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Trevor Story

MLB DFS: Aces and Bases – 8/7 (FanDuel Main Slate)

written by Antonio D'Arcangelis

Today’s edition of Aces and Bases focuses ONLY on FanDuel’s 10-game MLB DFS Main Slate for 7:05PM ET, hopefully finding you some green screens!

Some light rain in Baltimore, where I’m not looking at pitchers anyway, and some normal pop-up chances in Atlanta and Cincy, but nothing tumultuous that could PPD a game we’re featuring. Giddyup!

MLB DFS: The Aces

Top MLB DFS Ace: Julio Urias ($10,000)

Urias may not have the highest upside on the slate, but both he and a pitcher to be named later offer the best chance at safety in cash games. His solid July numbers (2.30 ERA, .264 wOBA, 20% K rate, 5.6% BB rate) portend a more steady stretch in the season’s second half. The scuffling Angels have hit just .216/.271/.342 over the past week and this should not be considered a get-right spot for the halos. I’ll be plugging Urias in about half my cash and a third of my GPP lines tonight and moving on to some value stacks.

Best GPP Value: Yu Darvish ($9,600)

Last week we discussed how Darvish has struggled in July and had a good spot against the Rockies and he got lit up (including yielding a HR to the opposing pitcher, German Marquez) for 5 ER — though he did rack up 8 Ks and 27 FD points. This time we have reason to expect he can improve on those numbers and hit the 40+ threshold we’re looking for in GPPs. Adam Strangis discusses Darvish’s matchup in the 8/7 Starting Rotation article and as usual it’s a must-read. Darvish has been a reverse-splits pitcher in 2021 because of the soft contact he induces against LHB, and with the D-Backs’ featuring a slew of lefty hitters and the team K rate at 23.6% (24.4% vs. RHP), he’s once again in a great spot for GPPs.

Value Cash/Single-Entry GPP Play: Charlie Morton ($8,700)

At one point, a matchup against the Nationals would have scared me off a guy like Morton, and there may still be some oblivious DFS folks who don’t take advantage of what we’re really getting on this slate with the veteran hurler in this spot. That’s a solid floor of around 30-35 FD points and the opportunity to notch 55-60+ points if he hits his ceiling. Over his past nine starts dating back to June 17, Morton has at least 25 FD points in every one, with four in the 45+ point range and three at 52, 54 and 64 FD points. The Nats have been decimated by injuries and trades and have only or two hitters that really frighten me, so I’ll have some shares of Morton in both cash and GPPs where I may need the extra $1,000 to $1,300 to squeeze in a potent stack.

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stack: Colorado Rockies

This idea that we don’t have to tell you to play hitters n Coors has been around for quite a while, but some days you need to reiterate just how high the team total for Colorado (or in many cases their opponent) is. Today’s the home team is in a really great spot against a talented but unproven starter in Jesus Luzardo that may not be ready for the Mile-High treatment. There’s a very good avenue to some decent value in fastball-mashing Brendan Rogers ($3,500) and Elias Diaz ($3,400) before we have to pay a premium for Trevor Story ($4,300) and C.J. Cron ($4,000), and we could always mix in a guy like Yonathan Daza ($3,000). It’s not a slate we need to overthink, and getting exposure to the Rockies is a good idea on a slate where they won’t garner that high of the ownership share.

GPP Stack: Cincinnati Reds

They’ve been RED-hot as of late and just got Mike Moustakas back from the IL Damn near everybody in the lineup got in on the action last night, and now we’ve got a roster chock full of left-handed hitters looking to annihilate Mitch Keller and exceed the massive projected 6+ run total the Cincy crew is carrying into the slate. Moustakas is a ridiculous bargain at $2,500, while some of the usual suspects — Joey Votto ($4,100), Jesse Winker ($4,100), Jonathan India ($3,700) and Nick Castellanos ($3,500) — still feel underpriced somehow. Throw in Kyle Farmer ($2,900), who’s been on absolute fire in the second half (.421/.470/.671 slash line, 1.141 OPS with a 200 wRC+), and lefty Tyler Naquin ($2,900) — and you’ve got plenty of options to choose from.

Contrarian Stack: Cleveland Indians

With the majority of ownership heading to the Rockies, Reds and likley the Dodgers and Braves, I’m more than happy to give the future Guardians a chance to put up galactic numbers against a weak Detroit southpaw (Tyler Alexander) and bullpen. Getting exposure to the top four — Myles Straw ($2,600), Amed Rosario ($2,900), Jose Ramirez ($3,700), Franmil Reyes ($3,500) is optimal, and we can take a few shots with Harold Ramirez (2,400), Bobby Bradley ($2,500) and Oscar Mercado ($2,500) if we need some bargain plays. If we want to pay up for a top arm and fade Coors in some lineups, there’s a few cheap and potent bats on the Detroit end (facing the hittable Eli Morgan) to make this a full game stack! Let’s go DET-CLE!!

Make sure to keep an eye on the starters as lineups are released. Good luck tonight, and please utilize the MLB Projection models to land on your one-offs and off-the-wall value plays!

3 years ago 0 comment

9/17 DFS Hitting Picks and Stacks: Mets Marauding Melville

jason mezrahi 5 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

We’ve got a loaded 14-game 7:05 EST main slate for MLB 9/17 DFS – one that we’ve got some high game totals for, including another big-time stack at Coors. The lineups get unstable toward the end of the year, but that just gives us more opportunities to embrace the variance and make it fun on this enormous slate.

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9/17 DFS Hitting Stacks of the Day

NewYork Mets at Tim Melville (NYM at COL)

The Mets are expensive but have the highest implied total on the slate. Last night they scored just four runs in Coors but on Tuesday get to face Melville, who’s been torched in his three home starts (.516 xwOBA, 9.00 ERA, 6.31 xFIP). I’ll be applying a liberal smattering of Mets hitters in most of my lineups, with most of my exposure coming with the first five hitters: Brandon Nimmo, Jeff McNeil, Michael Conforto, Robinson Cano and Pete Alonso. Wilson Ramos is a very affordable $2,900 on FD as well, where he can be used in one of two spots.

Boston Red Sox vs. Logan Webb (BOS vs. SF)

The Sox may be missing Mookie Betts (foot) but they’re still a powerful bunch of bats in a hitter’s park. Logan Webb has been tuned up for a .400 xwOBA vs. RHP) during his short time in the Majors, and he’s not going to like the ballpark shift from Oracle. The usual suspects (Rafael Devers, Xander Bogaerts, J.D. Martinez and Andrew Benintendi) are all $5,000 or under on DK, and Mitch Moreland is just $4,200.

Toronto Blue Jays at Dylan Bundy/Chandler Shepherd

The Blue Jays are a sneaky stack in a slate with Coors Field on the docket, and they’ll be playing in Baltimore, where the homers fly out and the Orioles pitching staff has reached a new nadir in allowing the long ball. I’m stacking the 1-5 with occasional shares of Randal Grichuk ($4,300 DK) and Billy McKinney ($3,300 DK).

Cleveland Indians vs. John Schreiber/Spencer Turnbull (CLE vs.DET)

The Indians are underpriced for the matchup on this 9/17 DFS slate, whether it’s against Schreiber (the possible opener) or Turnbull, who’s really struggled this season (3-15 in 27 starts with a 4.77 ERA and 1.48 WHIP). I’m leaning toward mini-stacks considering there are so many other great matchups on this slate, but feel free to grab shares of the 1-5 hitters and get some exposure to the value bats (Franmil Reyes, Mike Freeman and Jordan Luplow, if he’s in the lineup).

9/17 DFS Hitting Stacks to Consider

Atlanta Braves at Vince Velazquez (It’s tough to fadeFreeman and Co. in a hitter’s park)

Miami Marlins at LHP Alex Young (all the righties –including my guy Starlin Castro)

Colorado Rockies vs. Marcus Stroman (The contrarian side ofCoors against a decent RHP)

9/17 DFS Hitting Catcher

J.T. Realmuto, PHI at ATL

DK ($4,600) FD ($3,900)

I’m a huge fan of Realmuto, who sports a .443 xwOBA and .227 ISO against LHPs over the past two seasons. It’s a one-off play that should command low ownership and provide a decent floor – as well as immense upside in GPPs.

9/17 DFS Hitting First Baseman

Rowdy Tellez, TOR at BAL

DK ($3,900) FD ($2,600)

Tellez has four homers in his last 11 games, crushes right-handedpitching (.453 xwOBA, .245 ISO since 2018), and bats fourth between Lourdes Gurrieland Vladimir Guerrero, Jr. Tellez is my double-dinger call of the day, and he’snot really thrown off by lefty relievers, either (.430 xwOBA against LHPs since2018).

9/17 DFS Hitting Second Baseman

Cavan Biggio, TOR at BAL

DK ($4,500) FD ($3,700)

Biggio is another Jays bat I want exposure to in Camden Yards, where he’s already got three homers in five career games and a 168 OPS+ that screams GPP play. As part of stack or simply a value bat at a reasonable price, Biggio makes a solid play for his speed and power.

9/17 DFS Hitting Third Baseman

Matt Chapman, OAK vs. KC

DK ($4,200) FD ($3,600)

Chapman and his surging power numbers (4 HRs in September so far) couldbe overlooked on this slate, and if you’re wary of spending more than $5K for J.D.Davis but still want to get some other Coors bats in, he could be a big help.All these games matter for the A’s, and Chapman (.423 xwOBA and .250 ISO vs.RHPs since 2018) is the heart and soul of their lineup along with Matt Olsonand Marcus Semien, the other two Oakland bats with 30+ homers this year.

9/17 DFS Hitting Shortstop

Francisco Lindor, CLE vs. DET

DK ($4,800) FD ($4,000)

Lindor is my favorite shortstop of this slate. He gets lotsof ABs and benefits from a circular Indians lineup that has some decent hittersat the bottom of the order – giving him some run-creating opportunities alongwith table-setting ability. His price is cheaper than Xander Bogaerts, Trevor Storyand Bo Bichette on DK (with just as much GPP upside) and he’s playable in allformats at home (where he owns a .386 wOBA and .403 xwOBA sine 2018) against theTigers.

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9/17 DFS Hitting Outfielders

J.D. Martinez, BOS vs. SF

DK ($4,000) FD ($3,200)

Idiscussed the Red Sox stack up top, but if there’s one bat from Boston I’d likein this matchup, it’s J.D. His .506 xwOBA vs. RHPs since 2018 (over a hugesample of 998 plate appearances) means he can hit all types of pitching (it’s apreposterous .560 vs. LHPs) and he’s still surrounded by Bogaerts andBenintendi, who both hit RHPs well. I’m banking on a three-run homer for the RedSox OF/DH in hitter-friendly Fenway against young Logan Webb (.400 xwOBA vs. RHP).

Oscar Mercado, CLE vs. DET

DK ($4,100) FD ($3,000)

Thehome numbers for Mercado are impressive (.290/.340/.477) and his bat has beenshowing some life again (10 hits in his last 26 AB). You’re getting thetalented young OF at a discount on both sites, and he’s a great piece to havein Indians mini stacks along with Lindor and Carlos Santana.

Garrett Hampson, COL vs. NYM

DK ($3,500) FD ($3,200)

Hampson is red-hot at the plate and is dirt cheap onDK. He’s played much better since getting more regular time, starting in theRockies’ last five straight and games and going 11-for-22 over that stretch(counting Monday night). He’s easy to overlook in the lineup as the No. 7 hitterand makes plenty of sense in both cash games and GPPs.

Additional options:

C:Roberto Perez ($3,600 DK, $2,900FD), Reese McGuire ($3,900 DK, $2,800 FD)

1B: Pete Alonso ($5,600 DK, $4,300 FD), Carlos Santana($4,300 DK, $3,900 FD)

2B: Robinson Cano ($4,700 DK, $3,600 FD), Jonathan Villar($4,700 DK, $3,800 FD)

3B: Vladimir Guerrero Jr, ($3,900 DK, $2,900 FD), EugenioSuarez ($4,500 DK, $3,900 FD)

SS: Bo Bichette ($5,400 DK, $3,900 FD), Xander Bogaerts ($5,000DK, 3,800 FD)

OF: Austin Meadows ($5,600 DK, $4,400 FD), Yordan Alvarez ($5,200DK, $4,100 FD), Brandon Nimmo ($4,500 DK, $3,900 FD), Khris Davis ($3,800 DK,$3,200 FD), Michael Brantley ($4,000 DK, $3,800 FD), Matt Joyce ($4,100 DK, $2,400FD)

5 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports MLB

9/16 DFS Hitting Picks and Stacks: Rockie Mountain High

Cora Baylis 5 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

After another successful weekend, we’re back at it with more hitting picks for Monday’s slate. We only have seven games on this small schedule, though, and that should cause chaos with a Coors Field game overshadowing everything. With that in mind, let’s get into our 9/16 DFS Hitting stacks and hitting picks.

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9/16 DFS Hitting Stacks of the Day

Colorado Rockies vs. Steven Matz

While Matz is a pretty good pitcher, this start in Colorado spells disaster. The reason for that is because he has to pitch in Coors Field, the most hitter-friendly ballpark in baseball. The Rockies are regularly looking at implied run totals in the 6-7 range and that’s just the case here. What makes it even worse is the fact that Matz has been struggling mightily on the road this season. In fact, the southpaw has a 6.08 ERA and 1.56 WHIP outside of Citi Field, regularly getting blown up.

New York Mets vs. Antonio Senzatela

On the other end of the ball, we have to like the Mets too. They also have an implied run total north of six and it’s beneficial for anyone to hit in this ballpark. The ballpark boost paired with this matchup is a recipe for success, with Senzatela pitching to a 6.87 ERA and 1.75 WHIP this season. This is a better offense than many people may think too, with N.Y. ranked 10^th in both wOBA and xwOBA.

Oakland A’s vs. Glenn Sparkman

The Athletics have quietly been one of the best offenses in baseball this season, ranking seventh in wOBA and fifth in xwOBA. Those are terrific numbers despite hitting in a pitcher-friendly park, as they should have no problem continuing their success against a guy like Sparkman. The Kansas City righty is currently pitching to a 5.94 ERA and 1.48 WHIP. That’s why Oakland enters this matchup as a –315 favorite with the A’s projected for nearly six runs.

9/16 DFS Hitting Catcher

Yasmani Grandal, MIL vs. SD

DK ($4,500) FD ($3,200)

Grandal is always one of the first catchers that I consider for this article. Any guy who sits Top-5 at the position in OBP and OPS is definitely worth considering, particularly in such a good matchup. The Padres are sending out the oft-injured Garrett Richards for his first start of the season and that’s terrible news in a ballpark like this. The guy he should really worry about is Grandal, with the backstop generating a .479 OPS and .823 OPS against righties dating back to 2017. Those are actually lower than his season-long averages, with Grandal posting a .385 OBP and .871 OPS in nearly 500 at-bats this year.

9/16 DFS Hitting First Baseman

Matt Olson, OAK vs. KC

DK ($5,200) FD ($3,700)

Olson is my favorite piece to this Oakland stack, as he’s one of the only guys who actually get the platoon advantage in his favor. So far this season, Olson has a .291 AVG, .385 OBP, .589 SLG and .974 OPS against right-handed pitching. That elite power is backed up by a .291 ISO for the season, which is simply one of the best power strokes in the game. He happens to be scorching right now too, hitting five homers over his last six games.

9/16 DFS Hitting Second Baseman

Luiz Arraez, MIN vs. CWS

DK ($4,000) FD ($2,600)

It really doesn’t make any sense why this Arraez price remains so low. This dude has done nothing but rake since getting called up, which is evident by his .345 AVG and .861 OPS. He’s actually been even better against right-handers, amassing a .368 AVG, .502 SLG and .917 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor. That’s bad news for Reynaldo Lopez and his 5.35 ERA and 1.45 WHIP.

9/16 DFS Hitting Third Baseman

Nolan Arenado, COL vs. NYM

DK ($5,500) FD ($4,700)

The Rockies bats are coming in hot and it’s easy to see why when you see that they have an implied run total approaching seven. Arenado is certainly a big part of that, as he’s fantastic at home and absolutely brilliant against left-handed pitching. In fact, Arenado has a .355 AVG, .663 SLG and 1.079 OPS at home this season and a .367 AVG, .448 OBP, .734 SLG and 1.182 OPS against lefties dating back to 2017.

9/16 DFS Hitting Shortstop

Trevor Story, COL vs. NYM

DK ($5,500) FD ($4,500)

The Arenado splits are truly amazing and it’s incredible just how close he and Story are in terms of success against lefties at home. Dating back to 2017. Story has a .315 AVG, .379 OBP, .625 SLG and 1.004 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor. His numbers at home are just as good, accruing a .333 AVG, .401 OBP, .670 SLG and 1.071 OPS at Coors Field so far this year. That’s why these two are the best two-man stack of the day, particularly against a guy who struggles so badly on the road.

9/16 DFS Hitting Outfielders

Michael Conforto, NYM at COL

DK ($5,400) FD ($3,900)

We have to like the other team hitting in Coors Field, as any good hitter is in play at Coors. Conforto is more than that and he should have success against a guy with a 6.87 ERA and 1.75 WHIP. What it does is give Conforto the advantage from the left side, with the outfielder totaling a .383 OBP, .543 SLG and .926 OPS against right-handers this year.

Khris Davis, OAK vs. KC

DK ($3,700) FD ($3,200)

Don’t look now but Davis is starting to find the power stroke that has allowed him to lead the league in dingers dating back to 2016. That power potential is truly amazing, as Davis has an ISO in the .250-range in that four-year span. Getting to face someone like Sparkman is a good way to keep mashing baseballs and he should be right in the heart of this potent lineup. Over his last seven games. Davis has collected three homers and 10 RBI en route to a .411 OBP, .731 SLG and 1.145 OPS.

Ian Desmond, COL vs. NYM

DK ($4,100) FD ($3,300)

Desmond is the final piece to our Rockies stack and he’s really the only one who’s a great value. Like the rest of these righties, he’s made minced meat of lefties all season long. In fact, Desmond has a .291 AVG, .350 OBP, .588 SLG and .938 OPS against southpaws so far this season. His home splits are good too, with Desmond amassing a .291 AVG, .354 OBP, .535 SLG and .890 OPS at Coors Field so far this year.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

8/29 DFS Hitting and Stacks

jason mezrahi 5 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

I was excited to get you all some dingers from three out of my featured eight hitters for the 15-game Tuesday slate, but we’re aiming even higher for my second piece here at Win Daily Sports. Were building GPP stacks for the Thursday 8/29 DFS main slate, and we’ve only got six games on tap. While there’s an obvious game we want to use some hitters from, I’ll try to identify a few value plays so we can throw a potent stack or two in our GPP builds so your bankroll gets a boost.

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8/29DFS Hitting Catcher

JorgeAlfaro, MIA vs. CIN

DK($3,800), FD ($2,800)

We can only hope that Alfaro’s day off on Wednesday hasn’t cooled off one of the hottest hitters in baseball over the past week. Not only is he in the midst of a five-game hitting streak, slashing .524/.424/1.000 with three homers and four RBI during that stretch, but he’s got an excellent matchup in his home park, where he sports a 117 RC+ and .339 wOBA. You can use whomever is catching for the Pirates (Elias Diaz $3,400 DK or Jacob Stallings $3,300 DK) for a few bucks cheaper, but Alfaro should still be low-owned and has solid upside in this 8/29 DFS spot.

8/29DFS Hitting First Baseman

JoshBell, PIT at COL

DK($5,400), FD ($4,300)

Bell’s price is steep, and I wouldn’t dare belittlethe benefit of Clay Bellinger (who’s also OF-eligible on DK) here, but theallure of Coors is what’s drawing me in – along with a .426 xwOBA againstright-handers. The eminently hittable Chi Chi Gonzalez is on the bump for theRockies, and while he’s had more success at home than on the road, it’s a smallenough sample that I feel a market correction and stackable situation buildingfor the Pirates mashers. There’s plenty of 1B/2B/OF combos available if you mixin Bell with the Dodgers bats, so explore them.

8/29DFS Hitting Second Baseman

StarlinCastro, MIA vs. CIN

DK($3,600), FD (3B – $2,400)

On Tuesday we scored bigwith Jason Kipnis in a pitcher’s park here, and I’m looking for hidden valueagain with Castro, a classic variance-positive hero whose price never seems toelevate despite his wide range of DFS outcomes. He had a hand in winning me aGPP and $20K in the past, and I usually fare well by using him at home facingleft-handers. With Alex Wood on the mound and our fearless veteran infielder checkingin with a .405 xwOBA against LHP the past two seasons, I feel comfortable notingan additional BvP tidbit: Castro is 5-for-10 career off Wood. He’s cheap onFanDuel too, but he’s a 3B on that site so you can look to Adam Frazier ($3,600FD) at 2B there.

8/29DFS Hitting Shortstop

TrevorStory, COL vs. PIT

DK($5,600), FD ($4,300)

Story is the top shortstop on the slate, much like Xander Bogaerts was the top SS on Tuesday (ding-dong!!). You can save a few bucks by taking Kevin Newman ($5,100 DK, $4,000 FD) but that seems counterproductive when there’s enough value elsewhere to use the best. Sure, Story is better facing southpaws, but he’s carrying a .446 xwOBA against righties and a .434 wOBA at home over the past two seasons. He’s facing a good contact manager in Trevor Williams (87.5 aEV), but a lot of that goes out the door in Coors, where sinkers and sliders go to die. If you absolutely, positively can’t fit him, Manny Machado (3B/SS $4,100 DK) makes for a bargain upside option.

8/29DFS Hitting Third Baseman

ColinMoran, PIT at COL

DK($4,800), FD ($3,700)

Moran’s aggressive approach could fare well in this hitting environment, and he’s not necessarily going to attract too much ownership with a slew of other priority plays in Pirates stacks. The .405 xwOBA vs. LHPs is an appealing metric, and while he doesn’t have the raw power of some of the other 3B on the slate, including counterpart Nolan Arenado (.309 home ISO), he’s likely to be batting fifth after Bell and looks like the finishing touch on a full 1-5 DK stack. Again, Machado is an option on DK and on FD, where he’s just $3,500.

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8/29DFS Hitting Outfielder

JocPederson, LAD at ARI

DK($4,400), FD ($3,300)

Joc went deep a couple nights ago, and while I mentioned him as an option in my Jackie Bradley Jr. writeup, I didn’t dedicate a unique space for this inconsistent-but-exciting millennial masher. I love the matchup against Merrill Kelly (.413 xwOBA vs. LHBs), who’s shown marginal effectiveness but yields a lot of long balls. Pederson is leading off once again and that’s always nice on a team with an implied total over five runs.

8/29DFS Hitting Outfielder

Aristides Aquino, CIN at MIA

DK($5,000), FD ($4,100)

I know – I’m clicking onway too hitters for a game in a pitcher’s park. But there’s not a ballyard thatcan hold the meteoric Aquino (.426 xwOBA vs. RHP) and he’s facing righty RobertDugger, who go rocked in his only Major League appearance on Aug. 5 in CitiField. We’d prefer Aquino face a lefty (.668 xwOBA against southpaws in 19 AB),but he might do that in the later innings after the Reds dispatch Dugger. Thereare loads of cheaper hitting options in friendlier confines, but I’m low-keyliking this Reds team facing the doe-eyed Dugger.

8/29DFS Hitting Outfielder

J.D. Davis, NYM vs. CHC

DK ($4,200), FD ($2,900)

Davis is batting thirdand gets a left-hander in Jon Lester, and that’s ideal considering his .476xwOBA and .359 OBP against southpaws. He’s also got a .308 ISO at home thisseason and could be entering another hot patch (3-for-8, HR in his last twogames). He’ll save you some salary and makes for a fine one-off or part of amini-Mets stack that includes Pete Alonso ($5,200 DK, $4,100 FD) and MichaelConforto ($4,500 DK, $3,300 FD).

8/29DFS Hitting Stacks

8/29 DFS Hitting Stack of the Day: Pittsburgh Pirates: No surprise here. The trick will be finding the right combination of Newman, Starling Marte ($5,800 DK, $4,200 FD), Bryan Reynolds ($5,300 DK, $4,100 FD), Moran, Jose Osuna (1B/3B $5,000 DK, $3,200 FD), Adam Frazier ($4,800 DK, $3,600 FD) and the starting catcher.

8/29 DFS Hitting Stack Runner-Up: Colorado Rockies: It’s possible to fit in a nearly full game stack in Coors without compromising pitching if we take advantage of the SD-SF game, so I’m bullish on using as many hitters from this 14-run total as we can. Charlie Blackmon ($5.700 DK, $4,400 FD), Ryan McMahon ($4,700 DK, $3,500 FD), Story and Arenado ($5,700 DK, $4,700 FD) are my preferred four in a matchup against Williams and his 5.22 xFIP. If Williams scares you that much, you can lean more heavily toward Dodgers bats or take a gander at the group below.

8/29 DFS Hitting Stack to Consider: Cincinnati Reds: Despite the tasty matchup against a rookie hurler, I don’t expect too many Reds stacks. Let’s look at the projected top five hitters here, including Aquino, Josh VanMeter ($4,200 DK, $3,000 FD), Joey Votto ($3,900 DK, $2,800 FD), Eugenio Suarez ($4,500 DK, $4,000 FD) and Freddy Galvis (SS $4,100 DK, 2B $2,700 FD). Nick Senzel ($4,400 DK, $3,200 FD) could be sneaky as well, since he’s solid (.359 xwOBA) vs. RHP.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB Daily Fantasy Sports

8/28 DFS Hitting Picks and Prop Plays: Story Telling

Cora Baylis 5 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

Whenever we have games spread all throughout the day, I try my best to cater to every DFS player out there. What’s interesting here is that we only have three games during the day, so I’ll only offer up two plays from that slate. That should help DFS players who want to play both schedules and that’s our goal here at Win Daily Sports! So, let’s get into our 8/28 DFS Hitting picks!

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8/28 DFS Hitting Catcher

Robinson Chirinos, HOU vs. TB

DK ($3,400) FD ($2,900)

Trying to pick a catcher is always the toughest part of this article but Chirinos is a nice value on this slate. The reason for that is because of his matchup, with the Astros facing Ryan Yarbrough. While the Tampa lefty has been brilliant this season, his 3.89 xFIP indicates that he has some negative regression headed his way. That’s huge for a guy like Chirinos, with the Astros backstop generating a .447 OBP and .982 OPS against southpaws so far this season.

8/28 DFS Hitting First Baseman

Matt Olson, OAK at KC

DK ($4,700) FD ($3,500)

A power hitter like Olson becomes a great pick against a homer-prone pitcher like Jakob Junis. A 4.89 ERA and 1.40 WHIP from Junis is bad enough but his 58 dingers allowed since 2018 is one of the worst marks in baseball too. That’s got to light up Olson’s eyes, with the left-handed slugger posting a .511 SLG and .260 ISO since 2017. He’s been even better against right-handers in that span, tallying a .351 OBP, .543 SLG and .894 OPS against them. Olson is feeling it right now too, amassing a .382 OBP over his last 17 fixtures.

8/28 DFS Hitting Second Baseman

Gleyber Torres, NYY at SEA

DK ($4,600) FD ($4,400)

Let’s kick off our day-slate recommendations with the hottest second baseman in the league. This dude has been absolutely ridiculous the last few weeks and it’s scary just how good this 22-year-old kid could be. Over his last 22 games, Torres has 13 homers en route to a .786 SLG and 1.126 OPS, with 10 of those dingers coming in his last 15 fixtures. Those fantastic numbers since the All-Star break have led to a breakout season with 33 dingers in total. Torres has a career .531 SLG and .869 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor too and we definitely have to consider him against a guy like Justus Sheffield.

8/28 DFS Hitting Third Baseman

Miguel Sano, MIN at CWS

DK ($5,500) FD ($3,900)

Sano is a favorite of mine and I’m just thrilled to see him hitting so well. A .579 SLG, .923 OPS, .378 wOBA and .332 ISO is obviously all career-highs, as it really shows just how powerful this dude is. His .250 career ISO is still a rather impressive mark and it’s clear that things are finally clicking for the big man. The reason we like him today is because he gets the platoon advantage against a terrible lefty. The Twins face Ross Detwiler, who’s got an unsightly 6.29 ERA and 1.72 WHIP dating back to 2015. That’s why Minnesota is projected for more than six runs, with Sano accumulating a .394 wOBA, .341 ISO, .612 SLG and .966 OPS against left-handers this season.

8/28 DFS Hitting Shortstop

Trevor Story, COL vs. BOS

DK ($5,300) FD ($4,300)

While this isn’t a great matchup against Eduardo Rodriguez, Story is always in play at home against a lefty. Let’s start with his Coors Field numbers, with Story totaling a .326 AVG, .399 OBP, .683 SLG and 1.082 OPS at home this season. That’s pretty close to his numbers against lefties, with the shortstop posting a .383 OBP, .637 SLG and 1.020 OPS since the beginning of 2017. That means he’s hard t fade anytime he faces a lefty at home and Rodriguez surely has to be scared of Coors Field with the Rockies projected for more than six runs.

8/28 DFS Hitting Outfielders

J.D. Martinez, BOS at COL

DK ($5,600) FD ($4,700)

How can this possibly go wrong? Arguably the best pure hitter in baseball hitting in Coors Field is a recipe for success, particularly someone as hot as Martinez. Over his last 48 games, J.D. is putting together a 349 .AVG .420 OBP, .646 SLG and 1.066 OPS. Those are actually not that far off of his season-long numbers and he should do some serious damage in a place like Coors Field. What we like here is that he gets to face Peter Lambert, who’s pitching to a 6.40 ERA and 1.61 WHIP this season.

Aaron Judge, NYY at SEA

DK ($4,500) FD ($4,300)

We foreshadowed this a bit with our final sentence in the Torres write-up, as we love the Yankees on this slate. Any time they face a weak left-hander, all of the powerful righties are in play. Judge is just that, as he and the Bronx Bombers will oppose Sheffield and his 6.43 ERA and 2.29 WHIP. That’s truly frightening against a stud like Judge, who actually leads the league in exit velocity and hard-hit percentage. Those elite advanced statistics have been really shining recently, with Judge hitting four doubles and five homers over his last 14 games. Not to mention, he also has a .478 OBP, .667 SLG and 1.144 OPS against southpaws so far this season and is priced way too low on DK.

Franmil Reyes, CLE at DET

DK ($4,000) FD ($3,200)

After a couple of stud outfielders, let’s give you a value play. Reyes is just that and it’s truly hard to understand why his price remains so low. We’re talking about a slugger with a .513 SLG and .271 ISO being priced around a bunch of minor leaguers. What makes it even more bizarre is that Reyes has four dingers over his last three games while knocking out six homers in total over his last 13 fixtures. That means the power stroke is strong right now, which is not a good thing for Jordan Zimmermann and his 6.48 ERA and 1.46 WHIP.

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day

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Aaron Civale Over 5.5 Strikeouts

Adam Plutko just struck out nine Tigers on Tuesday and I expect Civale to have a similar performance. The rookie is pitching to a 1.82 ERA and 0.91 WHIP and gets to face a Detroit lineup who ranks last in runs scored, xwOBA and K rate.

MKF Record 30-22

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

8/27 DFS Hitting and Stacks

Antonio D'Arcangelis 5 years ago

written by Antonio D'Arcangelis

Hey folks! It’s my first post here at Win Daily Sports so I’m psyched to get off to a big start and make everybody some money! It’s a full schedule (15 games) so let’s embrace the variance and give you some solid plays for those GPPs in 8/27 DFS!Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!8/27 DFS Hitting CatcherJ.T. Realmuto, PHI vs. PITDK ($4,600), FD ($3,600)I wouldn’t blame you for picking one of the catchers in the Coors Field game, but Realmuto is locked into a good matchup at home versus LHP Steven Brault (who has his biggest problem against RHBs and their cumulative .345 wOBA) and won’t be as highly owned as some of the other studs around his price point. The Phillies backstop sports a .294/.344/.563 slash against southpaws and is a better hitter at home as well (.375 wOBA, 132 wRC+).8/27 DFS Hitting First BasemanRhys Hoskins, PHI vs. PITDK ($4,500), FD ($3,900)You probably have an inkling who one of my non-Coors stacks is going to be at this point, but I’ll refresh your memory a bit on Hoskins and his destruction of LHPs at home this year. In 67 plate appearances, he’s hitting a ridiculous .340/.485/.680 at Citizens Bank versus southpaws with a similarly preposterous .340 ISO. He just ended a long homer drought and he’s been batting near the top of the lineup.8/27 DFS Hitting Second BasemanJason Kipnis, CLE at DETDK ($3,700), FD ($3,200)Kipnis benefits from facing a bad pitcher who struggles against lefties (Turnbull has a .373 xwOBA vs. LHB this season) and is primarily a value play that might help fit some of the more potent stacks. Hitters in Comerica Park are usually smart to avoid, but as a one-off in the middle of a dangerous lineup, Kipnis is worth a look in large-field GPPs for his reduced price on DraftKings and a tasty matchup. For BvP fans, he’s 3-for-9 career against Spencer Turnbull with a HR – the only Indians player who’s gone deep off the Tigers hurler.8/27 DFS Hitting ShortstopXander Bogaerts, BOS at COLDK ($5,700), FD ($4,100)The Red Sox are facing a pitcher making his Major League debut on Tuesday, and we’ll discuss the stack a bit later – but Bogaerts is one of the best Red Sox to start against either LHPs or RHPs (over the past two seasons he’s sporting an xwOBA of .406 against both types of pitcher with an ISO of .244 against RHPs) and he’s an excellent play in all formats if you can afford him. There’s a bevy of decent options at SS on this slate, and Bogaerts is the best of them.8/27 DFS Hitting Third BasemanMatt Chapman, OAK at KCDK ($4,800), FD ($3,600)Chapman endured a prolonged slump in July that saw him hit just two HRs and slash a measly .231/.299/.385, but he’s broken through in August with improved power (.303 ISO in 20 games this month) and is coming off a big night in Kansas City where the entire A’s lineup went wild. If you’re not too ken on going right back to the well with a full Athletics stack, Chapman makes a good one-off bat against the left-handed Mike Montgomery.Tired of losing money on your DFS and Sportsbook? Sign up today and become a winner while turning your passion for sports into a second stream of income!8/27 DFS Hitting OutfielderKhris Davis, OAK at KCDK ($3,400), FD ($2,400)Another value play that could help you fit in some of the more expensive stacks, Davis had a big Monday night in Kansas City and is starting to heat up with homers in two of his last five games. He’s one of the cheaper options who’s capable of a multi-HR game and sports a .443 xwOBA against lefties over the past two seasons. He’s a risk, for sure, but he’ll be relatively low-owned and doesn’t cost much.8/27 DFS Hitting OutfielderJackie Bradley, Jr., BOS at COLDK ($4,200), FD ($3,000)If Bradley gets the start in Coors, he makes for an excellent value play given the implied run total and the relatively cheap price. He’s homered twice in his last four games and any ball he hits into a gap could end up a triple. Bradley’s a much better hitter versus RHP and provides some much-needed salary relief in an otherwise expensive stack. You’ll have to double check to maker sure he’s in the lineup, but his price range offers some decent swap-outs (Joc Pederson and Matt Beaty are both $4,200 in the later games).8/27 DFS Hitting OutfielderMookie Betts, BOS at COLDK ($5,500), FD ($4,600)Betts is a little cheaper than both Charlie Blackmon and J.D. Martinez and should be busy wreaking havoc against the Rockies pitching staff. An excellent cash game play given his upside and baseline, Betts has a good matchup and makes for a smart anchor in Red Sox GPP stacks as well. He has a .469 xwOBA over the last two seasons facing RHPs and hits left-handers just as well – so the Rockies’ bullpen could be in for a long night.8/27 DFS Hitting Stacks8/27 Hitting Stack of the Day: Boston Red Sox: The first five hitters (Betts, Rafael Devers, Bogaerts and Andrew Benintendi – who’s DTD with side tightness – are my favorite four in that bunch) are going to be awfully expensive, so it might be best to swap out J.D. Martinez ($5,600 DK) for the aforementioned Bradley, Mitch Moreland ($4,800 on DK and $3,500 FD) Brock Holt ($4,000 DK and $2,900 FD) or even catcher Sandy Leon ($2,600 DK).8/27 Hitting Stack Runner-Up: Colorado Rockies: Rick Porcello has a lot more experience than counterpart Rico Garcia, but he’s still facing a lineup with an implied total over 6 runs and plenty of potent bats, including Charlie Blackmon ($5,700 DK, $4,500 FD, Trevor Story ($5,600 DK, 4,300 FD), Nolan Arenado ($5,600 DK, $4,600 FD) and Ian Desmond ($4,300 DK, $2,900 FD) – with value options 2B/OF eligible Garrett Hampson ($3,300 DK and $2,700 FD) and C Tony Wolters ($3,400 DK).8/27 Hitting Stack to Consider: Philadelphia Phillies: This could be an overlooked stack with Realmuto and Hoskins, Bryce Harper ($5,100 DK), Scott Kingery ($4,600 DK) and Jean Segura ($4,300) as my favorite options.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

Stack Report for MLB Main Slate: Winning Edge for July 15

5 years ago

written by

This report will provide recommended DFS stacks for today’s 10-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer we get to the postseason.

Cleveland Indians Stack

vs. LHP Daniel Norris (DET): 6.30 Runs

Daniel Norris takes the mound in Cleveland this evening. He carries a 4.96 ERA, 4.62 FIP, and 4.71 ERA into tonight’s matchup. We get a nice little recipe here with his reverse splits. Left handed batters are slashing to a .367 wOBA, .540 SLG, and .343 OBP across 16 innings pitched. He has allowed 13 runs in that short span. His 40% hard contact rate and 40% pull rate combined with his shakiness to lefties can make for some easy liners to right field. Norris racked up eight strikeouts but gave up six earned runs in his last meeting with Cleveland. Cleveland batters are hitting below their season averages this month, slashing to a .309 wOBA, .154 ISO, and 88 WRC+. These numbers aren’t typically what we look for but they’re in the worst part of their slump and this is a good opportunity to bust out of it.

Preferred Stack: Roberto Perez ($2700 FD|$4100 DK), Jordan Luplow ($2500 FD|$3900 DK), Carlos Santana ($3800 FD|$5000 DK), and Francisco Lindor ($4000 FD|$4900 DK).

Colorado Rockies Stack

vs. RHP Derek Rodriguez (SFG):

Dereck Rodriguez was called up from AAA as the 26th man ahead of today’s doubleheader. He carries a 5.27 ERA, 5.57 FIP, and 5.46 SIERA across 57 innings pitched into tonight’s game. He has struggled both to righties and lefties, allowing a .338 wOBA, .462 SLG, and 46% hard contact rate. The Rockies batting averages are creeping up again on this home stand and should continue to rise this evening. They are slashing to a .349 wOBA, .193 ISO, and .457 SLG against right handed pitching recently and the studs in this lineup are coming off a rest day.

Every stack report in the industry is going to have the Giants and Rockies. Ownership almost always levitates to Coors, especially when you have Dereck Rodriguez (SFG) and Chi Chi Gonzalez (COL) pitching. Going to be a lot of ownership on both sides here ,so I am not writing up the Giants in detail for that purpose, but I’ve included my preferred stack if you decide to go with the masses tonight.

Los Angeles Dodgers Stack

vs. RHP Zach Eflin (PHI): 5.40 Runs

I imagine ownership here will be higher as well. It’s not very often we get the Dodgers so early in the evening. Zach Eflin carries a 3.78 ERA, 4.66 FIP, and 4.70 SIERA into tonight’s matchup. Left handed batters are slashing to a .357 wOBA, .544 SLG, and .333 OBP. He has allowed 22 earned runs and 11 home runs across 43 innings pitched to lefties as well. The only concern I really have with Dodgers batters here is a possible hangover from last night’s game. The Dodgers are slashing .to a 335 wOBA, .209 ISO, and 109 WRC+ vs. right handed pitching over the last month.

Preferred Stack:Max Muncy ($3800 FD|$4600 DK), Alex Verdugo ($3100 FD|$4100 DK), Cody Bellinger ($4800 FD|$5100 DK), and Joc Pederson ($2600 FD|$4200 DK).

Boston Red Sox Stack

vs. RHP Trent Thornton (TOR): 6.25 Runs

The Red Sox get another cupcake matchup against Thornton. They have faced him twice this season, his first outing in Boston when he allowed only two earned runs and a recent second outing in Toronto in which he allowed seven earned runs. This Red Sox team is hitting very well recently. They are slashing .372 wOBA, .254 ISO, and 129 WRC+. I have the same concern with the Red Sox as with the Dodgers. They played late last night but they do get the benefit at being at home. Trent Thornton has a 4.85 ERA, 4.41 FIP, and 4.75 ERA on the year. He has identical splits, allowing batters to slash to a .332 wOBA, .321 BABIP, and .444 SLG.

Preferred Stack: Rafael Devers ($4100 FD|$5500 DK), Xander Bogaerts ($4400 FD|$5300 DK), Mookie Betts ($4200 FD|$4800 DK), and Christian Vazquez ($2900 FD|$4700 DK).

Honorable Mention

Houston Astros vs. RHP Griffin Canning (LAA): 4.90 Runs

Preferred Stack: Alex Bregman ($4200 FD|$4400 DK), Yordan Alvarez ($4300 FD|$4800 DK), Michael Brantley ($3900 FD|$4000 DK), and Yuli Gurriel ($3800 FD|$4200 DK).

Toronto Blue Jays vs. RHP Rick Porcello (BOS): 4.25 Runs

Preferred Stack: Freddy Galvis ($3200 FD|$4300 DK), Cavan Biggio ($3700 FD|$4500 DK), Eric Sogard ($3300 FD|$4700 DK), and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ($3800 FD|$5300 DK).

Pitching

RHP Adam Plutko vs. DET: 4.20 Runs
RHP Lucas Giolito vs. KCR: 4.40 Runs
LHP James Paxton vs. TAM: 4.00 Runs

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

On Deck: Pregame Notes and Updates for 6/15

Louis Cangiano 5 years ago

written by Louis Cangiano

Updated 6:32 pm EST

Want the perfect two hedges? A Mets back end stack, hedged with exposure to Wacha. Wacha has been pitching well but struggles against right-handed batters. Oddly enough, the Mets back end looks like they match up pretty well against the right-handed Wacha, who has reverse splits. If the back end (Frazier, Ramos, Rosario and Gomez) do not perform, Wacha will likely have a stellar outing. Have shares of both of these plays!

Updated 6:15 pm EST

To play Coors again or not? Good question. I am going to stay away for one main reason, fade the chalk. But I’m not happy about it! I like Colorado, I really do. But they’re going to be chalk city. Over my DFS career, I’ve just gotten into this habit of fading the chalkiest plays in at least 30 % of my lineups. Yes, it’s Coors, I get it. But a stadium/high altitude is an advantage but it’s not a definite by any means. Don’t forget the match up and get blinded by the environmental advantages. But if I were to invest in one of these teams, it would be the Colorado Rockies as Lauer tends to get beat up by them and he’s horrible on the road. On the other side, I actually don’t mind a little Marquez as he’s maintaining a 4.19 season ERA and beat San Diego earlier this season. (although he did allow 10 hits in this game) If you have the salary and don’t mind the chalk, these teams are obviously viable but for GPP purposes, I’m finding my pay up bats else where.

Updated 5:56 pm EST

I still love the price and potential for Bryce Harper DK ($4,200) & FD ($4,000). Yes, he’s slumping but check out the power they’re stacking up in the first four batters to hit behind him. They’re trying to get him pitches and against Sean Newcomb, this could be interesting. Newcomb has allowed a .324 BA to opposing left-handed batters this season, meaning reverse splits.
Bryce Harper owns a .333 BA in 13 at-bats against Sean Newcomb and I expect him to go low owned. Philadelphia is favored by -110 with a 9.5 under/over.

Updated 5:38 pm EST

Glenn Sparkman has one standout stat that tells me this will be a tough outing for him. Sparkman owns an 8.22 road era in four games, one game start. His splits indicate that left-handed batters hit him well which means lock and load Kepler, Polanco and Rosario. Minnesota is favored by -260 with a 9.5 under/over.

Updated 5:30 pm EST

It’s going to be hard to talk me out of rostering the Yankees against Reynaldo Lopez tonight. Lopez stinks. It’s just that easy. Gary Sanchez is in the four hole with the first three batters being LeMahieu, Voit and Hicks. In an extremely hitter friendly park, I see some killer home runs for these Yankee power bats. Gary Sanchez is a must play at the very least. Double dong potential! The Yankees are favored by -175 with a 9.5 under/over.

The Mets are showing a unique starting lineup against Micheal Wacha. McNeil is in the lead off spot with J.D. Davis sitting behind him in the two slot. Conforto and Alonso are consequently sitting in the three and four slots in the order. This is a valuable stack and against Wacha its very interesting. Wacha has reverse splits and over a three-year average those reverse splits stay pretty consistent. He’s allowed a .280 BA with 26 homers to opposing righties, while only allowing a .248 BA to opposing lefties with 15 homers. With a high under/over that hasn’t moved, the Mets gained my confidence more and more throughout the day. The Mets are favored at -145 with an 8.5 under/over.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

On Deck: Pregame Notes and Updates for 6/15

Louis Cangiano 5 years ago

written by Louis Cangiano

Updated 6:32 pm EST

Updated 6:15 pm EST

Updated 5:56 pm EST

Updated 5:38 pm EST

Updated 5:30 pm EST

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

MLB DFS Winners and Losers: Laureano, Hamels and More

Emely Sharman 5 years ago

written by Emely Sharman

We had a 12 game slate on Wednesday June, 12th. Justin Verlander did have a career high in strikeouts, but I will be looking at some names who aren’t as obvious for our winners column. I will then take a look at some bigger players who didn’t fare well Wednesday. Salaries and points are based on DraftKings.

Winners

Ramon Laureano ($3,200)

Laureano and the Oakland Athletics played visitors to the Tampa Bay Rays and got the win 6-2. Laureano was a big part of the win for the A’s as he went 2-for-4 with a grand slam. He ended the night with five RBI and one run scored. The grand slam came in the top of the eighth and was the decider. He finished the night with 35 fantasy points. Laureano has had a slow start to the year and is batting .255 with an OPS of .723. He has now hit nine home runs and has 28 RBI.

Laureano’s Outlook

The Oakland Athletics have an off day Thursday before hosting the Seattle Mariners for a three-game series. In the month of June, covering 10 games, the Mariners have the second-worst team ERA and allow an opposing batting average of .276. On the year they have allowed an opposing batting average of .270 to right handed batters. Laureano did put up big fantasy points Wednesday but a majority of it came on one swing. I will not be on Laureano too much even with Seattle’s pitching struggles.

Cole Hamels ($8,100)

Cole Hamels drew the difficult task of pitching against the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. He came at a discount because of it but pitched really well. Hamels got the win and improved to 6-2 on the year while allowing no earned runs over seven innings of work. He gave up six hits and allowed one walk while striking out nine. Hamels has pitched well this year and his ERA is now at 2.98 and his WHIP has fallen to 1.18. He has not given up an earned run in his last three starts, across 22 innings. His strikeout numbers are just under a nine K/9.

Hamels’ Outlook

Hamels’ next projected start will come at home against the White Sox at Wrigley on Tuesday June, 18th. The White Sox offense has been sub-par this year and averages only 4.24 runs per game with a team batting average of .251. They also rank in the Top 10 in strikeouts. Hamels should continue his stellar year against a poor White Sox offense. He has been relatively affordable as well and can be used as a pitcher that will allow room for big bats.

Garrett Cooper ($4,300)

Garrett Cooper and the Marlins dismantled the St. Louis Cardinals Wednesday and Cooper was the main guy. Cooper went 3-for-5 in the 9-0 win. He was a double shy of the cycle as he hit a grand slam and a triple in the first two innings. He finished the game with four RBI, two runs scored, and two strikeouts. Cooper scored 33 fantasy points. Cooper’s year has gotten off to a good start and he has a batting average of .296 to go with his OPS of .875. He has now hit six home runs and 20 RBI.

Cooper’s Outlook

Cooper and the Marlins stay home to start a three -ame series against the Pittsburgh Pirates on Friday. The Pirates have been roughed up badly lately and have a team ERA right around seven in the month of June. They also have allowed an opposing batting average north of .290 in June. Cooper extended his hitting streak to seven on Wednesday and I expect him to add to that in the series with the Pirates. Cooper has been consistent and can fit in most lineups.

Losers

J.D. Martinez ($4,500)

Martinez and the Red Sox beat the Texas Rangers at home Wednesday but Martinez took the golden sombrero. He went 0-for-4 and struck out in all four at bats. Martinez was the only player on the Red Sox who did not reach base in the game. He has had a good year so far and his batting average dropped to exactly .300 and his OPS is now at .905. He has hit 12 home runs and has 34 RBI. Martinez had 10 hits in his last six games but this was not his night.

Martinez’s Outlook

The Boston Red Sox have one more game with the Rangers before heading to Baltimore for a three game set with the Orioles. Pitching for the Rangers Thursday will be Adrian Sampson. He has pitched adequately this year and has been really good lately. He has given up three or fewer hits in his last five games. I will be staying off Martinez for one more game before getting him back in the lineup against the Orioles. Baltimore has the worst team ERA in the league at 5.48.

Trevor Story ($5,300)

Trevor Story and the Rockies hosted Hamels and the Cubs and got pounded 10-1. Hamels pitched well and Story went 0-for-4 with two strikeouts. Story cost a pretty penny if you wanted him Wednesday and he scored zero fantasy points. Story has had a great year playing at home and a down year playing on the road. The Coors Field dynamic is fully in effect with Story. His home/road batting average split is .328/.246. His OPS is also wildly swayed at home at 1.055/.737.

Story’s Outlook

Story and the Rockies stay at home to face the San Diego Padres for a four-game series. Story should produce at home against a Padres pitching staff that has not pitched well in June. This month they have a team ERA of 5.56 and you should not expect that to get any better playing at Coors Field. Story and all of the Rockies hitters will be heavily owned this series but fading them could be trouble. I will be looking to roster Story in hopes of a bounce-back series at home.

Injury Report

Nolan Arenado left Wednesday’s game early after being hit in the forearm by a pitch. He is considered day-to-day.

Joey Votto was hit by a pitch and left the game with lower back tightness Wednesday.

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5 years ago 0 comment

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