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Travis Kelce

Week 9 DFS TE and DST NFL Picks: Kelce Killin’ It

jason mezrahi 5 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

It’s time for Week 9 DFS recommendations for the Sunday main slate. I’m focusing on tight ends (TEs) and defenses (DSTs) that will help you win some green!

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Week9 DFS Tight End Cash Game Plays

Travis Kelce, KC vs. MIN

FD ($6,700) DK ($6,900)

It’s a stark reality that most TEs just aren’t that reliable in DFS, but Kelce (65 targets, 42-604-2 this season) is about as automatic for 10+ fantasy points as you can get. He’s got only one game this season (9.8 DK points in Week 8 against the Texans) where he didn’t reach that mark – but he was darn close, and he said he was disgusted with his performance vs. Green Bay. The Vikings have a solid defense but are middle of the roads vs. TEs, and even with one more week of Matt Moore under center for the Chiefs, Kelce is one of the two best cash game plays.

DarrenWaller, OAK vs. DET

FD ($6,800) DK ($6,300)

Waller didn’t have a great week last Sunday (he caught just two of eight targets for 11 yards and a touchdown), a result of constant attention from the Houston defense, though his score salvaged what would have been a DFS disaster. The matchup is much better for Week 9 DFS against a Lions defense that ranks 27th against TEs. Waller is still seeing plentiful targets, so he’s about as safe as it gets for cash games.

Week9 DFS Tight End GPP Plays

Hunter Henry, LAC vs. GB

FD ($6,400) DK ($6,000)

The Chargers TE is oneof the top GPP plays, as he’s a consensus Top 5 five this week. With 23 targetsover his past three games, Henry is an elite GPP play with multi-TD upsidefacing the Packers.

JimmyGraham, GB at LAC

FD ($6,000) DK ($4,300)

The veteran TE is a huge bargain on DK but makes for a solid GPP play on both sites. There’s 15-20 point upside, which is actually a pretty high mark this week given the player pool. He’s worth a look in Week 9 DFS because of the matchup and his QB – but Graham’s play this season has been streaky. He’s pretty far down the list in the consensus Week 9 rankings, so his ownership shouldn’t be too high.

GregOlsen, CAR vs. TEN

FD ($5,300) DK ($3,500)

Olsen had a solid start with two monster games in his first three weeks, but he’s been held scoreless over his past four appearances. He dealt with a back injury in late September, but hasn’t had a designation in a while and is facing a Titans defense that’s yielded plenty of scores to opposing TEs. He’s an under-the-radar GPP play in a decent matchup.

ZachErtz, PHI vs. CHI

FD ($6,000) DK ($4,700)

The main slate ismissing several of the game’s best TEs due to prime-time affairs or bye weeks,so we’re going to have to take chances in GPPs, and Ertz is a huge risk at themoment – with three straight games scoring fewer than 10 DK points and just oneTD on the season. The price has come down on DK to a point that’s reasonable,and his upside makes me comfortable rolling him out in GPPs – even against theBears.

Week9 DFS Tight End Punt Plays

JonnuSmith, TEN at CAR

FD ($5,500) DK ($3,800)

With fellow Titans TE Delanie Walker (ankle) ruled out, Smithdraws another start in Week 9 against the Panthers, and while the matchup istougher than last week, I’m going right back to the well following his 6-78-1 (onseven targets) performance.

EricEbron, IND at PIT

FD ($5,200) DK ($3,600)

Ebron has been a hit-or-miss fantasy option this season,but he’s in a good spot against the Steelers. He’s mired in a timeshare attight end with Jack Doyle, but has at least three targets in every game this seasonand has scored over 10 DK points in three contests – the three he caught TDpasses in. It’s possible he and Doyle will both get more targets in the comingweeks with T.Y. Hilton slated to miss time, even if their upside is limited abit with both TEs healthy.

RyanGriffin, NYJ at MIA

FD ($5,000) DK ($3,400)

Griffin has been one of the lone bright spots these pastcouple weeks for the Jets, and he’s coming off his best game of the season, atwo-touchdown performance against the Jaguars (4-66-2). I keep hearing talkthat Griffin will be relegated to a backup role once Chris Herndon returns fromhis hamstring injury, which could be as soon as this week in Miami, but Herndonis still a 50-50 shot to play. If he sits, Griffin is an option.

T.J.Hockenson, DET at OAK

FD ($5,000) DK ($3,700)

The rookie tight end hasbeen relatively quiet lately, with just four catches in his last two weeks, butthat could change versus an Oakland defense that’s 28th against TEs. He’s stillgot 15-20 point upside but is a TD-dependent option who’s fine for GPPs.

Additional Week 9 DFS GPP and punt options:

Cameron Brate, TB at SEA (FD $5,100, DK $3,100)

Jack Doyle, IND at PIT (FD $5,000, DK $3,000)

Trey Burton, CHI at PHI (FD $4,800, DK $2,900)

Anthony Firkser, TEN at CAR (FD $4,700, DK $2,500)

Noah Fant, DEN vs. CLE (FD $4,600, DK $3,000)

Foster Moreau, OAK at HOU (FD $4,900, DK $2,600)

Week 9 DFS DST Cash Game Plays

BuffaloBills (BUF vs. WAS)

FD ($5,000) DK ($3,800)

The Bills have disappointed us as the chalk DST before, but they’ve been serviceable against bad offenses, and this week they have a great home matchup against Washington. They’re relatively safe, have some upside, and Washington has just a 13-point implied total – the lowest of Week 9 – with turnover-prone rookie Dwayne Haskins starting at QB. The Bills DST should rebound in a big way.

PhiladelphiaEagles (PHI vs. CHI)

FD ($4,600) DK ($3,000)

Considering the Bears have one of the worst offenses in football and the Eagles defensive unit has been solid, I’m giving the Eagles the green light in cash games this week. Philly’s DST dropped 35 DK points on the Jets in Week 5, and they have similar upside this week against Mitchell Trubisky and the Bears.

DenverBroncos (DEN vs. CLE)

FD ($4,300) DK ($2,900)

If you’re looking for a cheap defense to play in cashgames, the Broncos face a turnover-prone Browns team at Mile High, where they usuallyplay a lot better as a unit. Give them a look if you’re in a salary crunch foryour lineup’s final spot.

Week9 DFS DST GPP Plays

SeattleSeahawks (SEA vs. TB)

FD ($4,900) DK ($3,600)

Seattle faces a Bucs team that’s got an implied total of 24.5 points, but Jameis Winston has thrown seven INTs over his past two weeks, making them a great GPP play. The secondary does have some issues with depth – last Sunday they were missing Tre Flowers, Quandre Diggs among others, and saw just a handful of snaps from Bradley McDougald. Those recurring injury problems and the implied total make them a little riskier for cash, but they’re one of my top tournament plays of Week 9.

GreenBay Packers (GB at LAC)

FD ($4,400) DK ($3,400)

The Packers were an under-the-radar DST for a while, and now’sthey’re one of the top defenses thanks to stellar play from the entire unit, especiallyZa’Darius Smith and Preston Smith at LB. And they have Darnell Savage back atsafety – which gives them a big boost. I’ll have some Aaron Jones/GB DSTlineups in GPPs.

NewYork Jets (NYJ at MIA)

FD ($4,600) DK ($3,500)

The Jets defense is a bit of a mess right now with a lot ofbackup players forced into starting roles, but the matchup versus Miami means wehave to consider them.

ChicagoBears (CHI at PHI)

FD ($4,400) DK ($2,900)

The Bears DST came into the season a juggernaut, had acouple monster games in weeks 3 and 4, and now is struggling to make a bigsplash because of how poorly the offense is playing. They’re under $3K on DKnow, and the Eagles offensive line is in disarray, so that’s enough for me toconsider them in DFS.

ClevelandBrowns (CLE at DEN)

FD ($4,300) DK ($3,100)

The Browns get to face an untested QB, and they still havean effective pass rush and decent cornerbacks – so I’m buying some shares in Week9. A risk as a road play, but one with plenty of upside.

Week9 DFS DST Punt Plays

Carolina Panthers CAR vs. TEN)

FD ($4,000) DK ($2,800)

The Panthers are cheap and their opponent, the Titans, havean implied total under 20 – making this one of the bets matchups of Week 9. Don’toverthink it.

MiamiDolphins (MIA vs. NYJ)

FD ($3,600) DK ($2,700)

The Dolphins defense has its moments – and so does SamDarnold the Ghost Whisperer. Seriously, though, we can make a case for theDolphins DST even in full tank mode based solely on the awfulness of the Jets.

WashingtonRedskins (WAS at BUF)

FD ($3,000) DK ($1,800)

The ultimate punt, it shouldn’t be hard for this team to make 4x or 5x value at the $1,800 price tag. I like Josh Allen, but he’s far from perfect, and has been known to throw ‘em to the opposition.

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Pick the Players that will get the most Receptions

Focused on TEs, here, I will go with Kelce, Ertz and Olsen for a goal of 17.5 at 2x.

Photo of Travis Kelce by: Master Sgt. April Wickes, U.S. Air Force

5 years ago 0 comments

Week 6 DFS TE and DST NFL Picks: Hanging With Mr. Hooper

Andrew Erickson 5 years ago

written by Andrew Erickson

It’s Week 6 DFS in the NFL, and there are plenty of viable TEs to consider, even if the list of DST plays is pretty stingy for cash games and GPPs. Either way, you’ll find the right plays right here at Win Daily Sports!

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Week 6 DFS TightEnd NFL — Cash Game Plays

Austin Hooper, ATL at ARI

FD ($6,400) DK ($5,000)

Hooper gets the most favorable matchup on the board, as he’s facing the Cardinals –who possess the league-worst defense against the tight end position. The former Stanford Cardinal – who has 20 targets over his last two games and 42 on the season – may even take exception to this group hawking his Alma Mater’s Cardinal name! But really – the price is reasonable, and the Falcons game plan has consisted of flowing their passing game through Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley, as well as feeding Hooper. The fast pace of this game should lead to another 8-10 targets and plenty of scoring opportunities.

Travis Kelce, KC vs. HOU

FD ($7,500) DK ($7,000)

Kelce and the Chiefs are coming off a bizarre loss to the Colts that saw the standout TE garner the most targets of the season (10) but post his lowest fantasy output (4-70-0) of 2019. That should change against the Texans, who have solid numbers vs. TEs but will be doing plenty of scoring themselves. This game has the highest total in the main slate, and Kelce is a lock-and-load cash or GPP play regardless of his high price.

George Kittle, SF at LAR

FD ($6,500) DK ($5,200)

Kittle led the 49ers in targets and receiving on Monday against the Browns and got “off the schneid” with his first TD of the season – showing he’s still capable of being Jimmy Garoppolo’s go-to guy. He’s definitely a Top 3 TE this week and worthy of cash game consideration since he’s still a pretty good bargain relative to Kelce, who has similar if slightly better upside and floor.

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Week 6 DFS Tight End NFL —GPP Plays

Mark Andrews, BAL vs. CIN

FD ($6,300) DK ($4,800)

Andrews is now nursing a shoulder injury (it was his foot before) butreturned to practice Thursday and makes a lot of sense as a GPP option thisweek against the Bengals. He’s ben alarmingly consistent in terms of targetsper week through five games (8,9,7,8,7) and makes for a high-upside, moderate-riskoption at a position where there just aren’t a lot of exciting plays outside theTop 10 at the position.

Will Dissly, SEA at CLE

FD ($6,000) DK ($4,900)

Dissly is an efficient receiver (23 catches on 26 targets this season)and is coming off of his highest yardage total of 2019, with 4-81-0 against theRams last week. The Browns were embarrassed by Kittle and the 49ers last weekand they don’t stand much of a chance in stopping Russell Wilson and his bevyof physical targets. He’ll be a core build in my Seahawks GPP stacks.

Zach Ertz, PHI at MIN

FD ($6,600) DK ($5,400)

Ertz is probably viable in cash if you really feel likely usinghim, but he’s more of a GPP play against the Vikings, who have better LBs and aball-hawking strong safety in Anthony Harris, who’s already earned an NFC Defensive Player of the Week in 2019 for his work versus the Falconsin Week 1. Sure, Hooper had a good game that week, but he didn’t find the endzone and the Falcons receivers are in ever way superior to the Eagles wideouts –so Harris may have been a little more focused on them when he wasn’t in man coverageagainst Hooper. Ertz is still a Top 5 TE in all formats and remains a solid GPPplay in Week 6 DFS.

Week 6 DFSTight End NFL — Value and Punt Plays

Jordan Akins, HOU at KC

FD ($4,600) DK ($3,200)

I’m not too keenon punting TE this week for many reasons, but Akins is near the minimum salary onFD and should garner lower ownership this week after Daniel Fells had hismonster game against the Falcons. The Chiefs-Texans is one of our prospective shootouts– if not the shootout – this week, so plug him into a smattering of your GPPsif you’re willing to assume some risk and hope for another big output like hisWeek 3 breakout (3-73-2).

Noah Fant, DEN vs. TEN

FD($4,500) DK ($2,900)

Fant is a Top 15 TE play this week but lacks the flash we’d liketo see from an athletic tight end of his pedigree. He makes my puntrecommendations because of a favorable matchup with the Titans (26th in the NFLvs. TEs) and because he’s both cheap and under-the-radar.

Mike Gesicki, MIA vs. WAS

FD ($4,600) DK ($2,700)

Gesicki may be my favorite GPP dart this week, because hisownership will be low and the Dolphins are emerging from a bye week where theyprobably surmised they could utilize him in the offense and still tank vs. Washington– another dysfunctional team without a viable offensive rudder. Josh Rosen willbe feeding both DeVante Parker and Preston Williams, but I could see 6-7 targets,a handful of catches and a TD from the sophomore TE this week.

Additional GPP options:

Delanie Walker, TEN at DEN(FD $5,200, DK $3,700)

Jared Cook, NO at JAC (FD$5,600, DK $3,400)

Gerald Everett, LAR vs. SF(FD $6,000, DK $3,600)

Blake Jarwin, DAL vs. NYJ (FD $4,600, DK $3,300)

Week 6 DFS DST NFL —Cash Game Plays

Seattle Seahawks (SEA @CLE)

FD ($4,100) DK ($3,400)

I don’t care that they’re on the road this week, the Seahawks aremy top cash game play for Week 6 because the Browns are an absolute disaster. ThisSeattle defense has actually been a little better on the road this season, itsbest performance as a unit being the Week 4 win at Arizona. They’re viable inall DFS formats this week and I’ll be locking them in just about everywhere.

Baltimore Ravens (BAL vs. CIN)

FD ($5,000) DK ($4,100)

The Ravens are going to be popular this week and I’d be remiss ifI didn’t include them as a viable cash game play, but I much prefer the Seahawksthis week and I won’t be rolling out any other unit in cash. The Bengals are aperfect “get-right” spot for any DST, but my concern is that some of the injuriesthe Ravens have suffered (safety Tony Jefferson just hit the IR) will keep themfrom reaching their normal upside.

Week 6 DFS DST NFL — GPPPlays

Washington Redskins (WAS atMIA)

FD ($4,200) DK ($3,200)

ThisWashington team may have its problems offensively, but there are myriad playmakerson this defensive unit and the Dolphins are a good candidate for turnovers and sacks.They’re probably my favorite GPP play if I choose to pivot off the Seahawks.

Dallas Cowboys (DAL at NYJ)

FD ($5,000) DK ($4,300)

The Cowboys are a good GPP play this week facing Sam “The Spleen” Darnoldand the Jets, who have struggled offensively and could have trouble stoppingthe Cowboys improving pass rush. They’re not cheap, but they won’t be lockedinto that many lineups given the return of Darnold and price point.

Tennessee Titans (TEN atDEN)

FD ($4,700) DK ($2,900)

The Titans have solid DST but travel to Denver this week. They’redefinitely an option as a low-owned play and they average 10.0 FPPG on DK thisseason, so work them into a few GPPs if you’re multi-entering.

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Week 6 DFS DST NFL — PuntPlays

Jacksonville Jaguars (JACvs. NO)

FD ($4,100) DK ($2,200)

This is not a play for the faint of heart, but I’m considering theJaguars DST – which is a much better unit at home than on the road. The Jagsscored 15 FP in Week 3 during their last home game against the Titans and they’llhave almost no ownership facing a dynamic Saints offense.

Miami Dolphins (MIA vs. WAS)

FD ($3,700) DK ($2,700)

The Dolphins shouldn’t everbe played in cash games, but they do have some good young defensive players andthey’ll know what’s coming this week, as interim HC Bill Callahan has alreadycommitted to hammering away with Adrian Peterson in Week 6 and this unit hashad two full weeks to prepare. It’s not an interesting game plan and playing theDolphins won’t exactly be fun – but if you’re feeling frisky and supercontrarian, this could be your angle.

5 years ago 0 comments

NFL Daily Fantasy Sports

Week 4 NFL DFS TE and DST Picks: Evan the Excellent

jason mezrahi 5 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

We’re into an exciting Week 4 DFS for NFL action and I’m looking at some TEs and DSTs to plug into your daily fantasy lineups and win some of that sweet, sweet green in cash games and GPPs. Let’s shed the bracket coverage, avoid the pesky double teams and find the paydirt!

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Week 4 DFS Tight End Cash Game Plays

EvanEngram, NYG vs. WAS

FD ($6,800) DK ($5,700)

Engram is still the best receiver available on the Giants, so that hasn’t changed since Week 1 – and has been elevated to either the No. 1 fantasy TE or No. 2 by just about every expert polled in Week 4. More than anything else, consensus rankings that uniform are the stuff of cash game gold – and we needn’t look further than Engram’s game logs and target totals (14,8,8) to know that he’s a reliable pass catcher who’s involved in every aspect of the offense. With rookie QB Daniel Jones (DAMN, Daniel!) at the helm and Saquon Barkley injured, the Giants TE will be heavily riled upon in Week 4.

DarrenWaller, OAK at IND

FD($6,700) DK ($5,200)

A guy who rarely comes off the field for the Raiders offense and has seen target totals of 8, 7 and 14 in the first three games, Waller entered the season as a highly touted, but somewhat risky fantasy option on a rudderless team without a bona fide No. 1 receiver. He hasn’t yet to score a TD, and that makes him kind of risky in GPPs – where he’ll be pretty highly owned. But Waller has incredibly managed to put himself into fine position as a cash game option with his elite level of involvement in just about every Oakland game script. I’m not saying he’s a bad GPP play, but he’s going to be chalky along with Engram.

Week 4 DFS Tight End GPP Plays

TravisKelce, KC at DET

FD(7,600) DK ($7,200)

Once again, Kelce has adifficult on-paper matchup that could keep a portion of the field away, and he’sstill very much a viable cash game option despite facing the Lions – who havedefended TEs well so far. But he’s my top GPP option of the Week and it’s not especiallyclose. At the moment, I’m looking at having ownership levels north of 50percent for Kelce, who’s put up consistent target totals of 8, 9 and 8 in hisfirst three games and has already compiled 25-284-1 on the season. He’s primedfor a two-TD game versus the Lions and I’m not especially afraid of theirdefense, which will struggle to contain this big-bodied gamebreaker.

EricEbron, IND vs. OAK

FD($5,300) DK ($4,000)

With Jacoby Brissett really clicking in this Colts offense and the Raiders safeties and linebackers looking a bit sluggish and underwhelming, I’ll have some shares of Ebron at this price. He hasn’t drawn any huge target totals this season and splits the field time with Jack Doyle, who’s another possible GPP option. What Ebron (11-80-1 on the season through three games) offers in Week 4 is likely increased usage inside the red zone, where he should have more opportunities than usual given Oakland defensive futility. He won’t draw much ownership and we know he has enormous upside – albeit a relatively low floor.

DelanieWalker, TEN at ATL

FD($5,700) DK ($4,800)

Walker is nursing a kneeinjury that has seen him miss consecutive practices, but if he’s available –even in a limited fashion – during Friday’s sessions I’ll find a way to use himin some tournaments. Walker is a veteran TE who’s posted 16-158-2 over his firstthree games and has a history of playing hurt, which can be a blessing and acure for fantasy owners. He’s fairly priced on both sites and has decent upside againstan Atlanta team that just lost Keanu Neal – its standout strong safety – to atorn Achilles. If Walker plays on Sunday, I’ll have some exposure.

Week 4 DFS Tight End Punt Plays

WillDissly, SEA at ARI

FD($5,400) DK ($3,600)

I make sure I lead off the punts by reminding you that you’ll be assuming a considerable amount of risk not looking to the obvious top TEs, but I’m not so sure that Dissly isn’t obvious at this point – given the matchup against the dreadful Cardinals and the upside that he’s established. After a quiet Week 1, Will has put up performances of 5-50-2 on five targets and 6-62-1 on seven targets. He’s worth rostering in all contests as a FLEX pairing with a more chalky TE or as a “contrarian light” option if you’re fading the five or six guys ahead of him in the weekly fantasy rankings. He’ll still garner ownership, but it probably won’t be as high as it should be.

MikeGesicki, MIA vs. LAC

FD($4,600) DK ($2,600)

Gesickiis a complete dart throw given Miami’s putrid offense and the fact that he’s onlyseen 11 targets through the first there weeks. But don’t look at him havingjust six catches for 51 yards without a touchdown through threegames as a negative – look at it as an opportunity to keep his ownership in the0-5 percent range. The second-year tight end won’t be a cash game optionanytime soon, but he’s likely to see increased targets in Week 4 versus the Chargerswith WRs Albert Wilson (calf/hip) and Allen Hurns (concussion) questionable anddoubtful, respectively.

Additional Week 4 DFS GPP/Punt options:

Mark Andrews, BAL vs. CLE (FD $6,100, DK $5,000) – Nursing a foot injury, so a GPP option you should make sure is playing.

Austin Hooper, ATL vs. TEN (FD $6,400, DK $4,300) – Hooper is my white whale for DFS TEs, and I’m always on the wrong end of his capricious antics.

O.J. Howard, TB at LAR (FD $5,900, DK $3,900) – At some point they’re going to start throwing to him.

Vernon Davis, WAS at NYG (FD $5,100, DK $3,400) – He’s old as the hills, but he’s playing the Giants and this one could get interesting.

Week 4 DFS DST Cash Game Plays

LosAngeles Chargers (LAC at MIA)

FD($5,300) DK ($3,800)

The Chargers are playing the Dolphins – and while we needn’tsay much more than that, it’s important to point out that despite a bevy of solidpass rushers, they have only recorded four sacks through three games. That’s anumber set to increase on Sunday against the worst offensive line in football. Don’toverthink this one and get the Chargers DST in there in cash games if you canafford it.

JacksonvilleJaguars (JAX at DEN)

FD($4,700) DK ($3,700)

It’s somewhat dangerous to play a defense at Mile High – a venue that doesn’t lend itself to standout performances for opponents. But these Denver Broncos are not a well-oiled machine, and they could have trouble moving the ball against the Jaguars defense. This Jacksonville unit is coming off its best game of the season in Week 3, when they racked up nine sacks and recovered a fumble, their first takeaway in 2019. They’d obviously like to have Jalen Ramsey for this game, but he’s on paternity leave and probably won’t be available in Week 4. If he somehow is, the Jags are an even better play.

Week 4 DFS DST GPP Plays

LosAngeles Rams (LAR vs. TB)

FD($4,300) DK ($3,500)

The Rams DST has been consistent from a fantasy points perspective,scoring 9, 8 and 9 FP in the first three weeks of the season. They have somesuperstar defensive lineman, including one of the best in the game, a group ofcapable LBs and some excellent defensive backs. They’ve also notched an INT ineach of their contests so far and should continue that streak against JameisWinston and the Bucs. Plug them in some of your GPPs and enjoy the results.

ChicagoBears (CHI vs. MIN)

FD($4,700) DK ($3,400)

By way of their electrifying performance in Week 3, the Bearscould garner some higher ownership levels than they might deserve against a Vikingsunit that runs the ball a lot and will do everything they can to prevent KirkCousins from getting in too many 3rd and long situations. Truthfully, that’s apretty smart strategy against a Bears defense that caused five turnovers Mondaynight against the Redskins.

Week 4 DFS DST Punt Plays

IndianapolisColts (IND vs. OAK)

FD($4,300) DK ($3,100)

The Colts defense had four sacks in each of its first twogames before the goose egg against Atlanta, and I expect a much betterperformance at home facing the woeful Raiders. They give up some yardage, butfor this price I’m buying shares.

TennesseeTitans (TEN at ATL)

FD($3,500) DK ($2,600)

Ina week without too many viable punt options at DST, this is about as cheap as I’dlike to go. The Titans secondary is much better than they played last Thursdaynight in Jacksonville, and despite a difficult matchup against a potent Atlantaoffense, there’s plenty to like in terms of their upside (23 FP in Week 1) and theplaymaking ability of their ball-hawking defensive backs.

AdditionalDST options:

New England Patriots (NE at BUF)

Houston Texans (HOU vs. CAR)

Evan Engram Featured Image via Keith Allison

5 years ago 0 comments

NFL Daily Fantasy Sports

Week 3 NFL DFS TE and DST Picks: Howard, We Doin’ This?

jason mezrahi 5 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

As we roll into Week 3 NFL DFS, we’re going to try someoff-the-wall plays in GPPs, including one TE who’s been very quiet during the firsttwo weeks. There’s our usual group of cash game plays for your NFL DFS lineups– as well as some contrarian specials who could explode for monster gametotals.

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Week 3 NFL DFS Tight End Cash Game Plays

Zach Ertz, PHI vs. DET

FD ($6,900) DK ($5,700)

Theres not too many standout cash game plays in Week 3 NFL DFS among the TEs, as many of them look more like GPP plays. But with injuries to Alshon Jeffrey, DeSean Jackson and TE Dallas Goedert (who’s dealing with a calf injury), it makes sense that both Ertz and WR Nelson Agholor will draw more looks from Carson Wentz. When I look for upside plays at TE I search for opponents with LB issues, and the Lions unit is having some problems with both injuries and inexperience. Most importantly for cash games, however, is a boatload of targets. Ertz saw 16 targets in Week 2 against Atlanta and he’s much cheaper than Travis Kelce, who’s more of a GPP play this week.

George Kittle, SF vs. PIT

FD ($6,600) DK ($5,600)

Normally I’d prefer Kittle in large-field tournaments for NFL DFS, and last week’s relative dud (3-54-0 on just three targets) doesn’t help make my case. But the Steelers defensive unit is best attacked with TEs and possession wide receivers and Kittle is the most reliable option for Jimmy Garoppolo in a game that the 49ers should win. Last week I suspected that offensive ball control meant lots of looks for Kittle, but they really didn’t need him that much. We’re still waiting for the big offensive breakout and Kittle had two touchdowns called back on penalties Week 1, so there’s some hope on that front. He’s one of the team’s better red-zone options despite the lack of a TD through the first two games, and I think he’ll change that on Sunday.

Week 3 Tight End NFL DFS — GPP Plays

Travis Kelce, KC vs. BAL

FD ($8,000) DK ($7,100)

For many reasons, I like Kelce for cash games, especially if you’re not spending up for RBs and WRs. But I really like him for GPPs. As the most expensive TE and a facing what could be a tougher on-paper matchup against the Ravens, his ownership may be slightly down from last week. Kelce has double-digit receptions and two-TD upside every week, and there’s not much opposing defenses can do to stop him with all the weapons that Patrick Mahomes has at his disposal. I could see Kelce setting season highs in receptions, yardage and TDs in this game and being the linchpin on some tournament-winning lineups.

O.J. Howard, TB vs. NYG

FD ($5,800) DK ($3,800)

The first two weeks have frustrated Howard’s DFS supporters, and it’s safe to say the 2019 season is off to a poor start for the athletic, big-bodied TE who carried plenty of pundit buzz into Week 1. But playing time wasn’t the problem on Thursday, with Howard finishing second to just Chris Godwin in snaps among the Buccaneers skill position players. Fellow tight end Cameron Brate was on the field for just 18 snaps, so Brate just isn’t really cutting into Howard’s production. The main issue is targets, or a lack of them — which Bruce Arians said would change in the coming weeks. There’s no better time for a great bounce-back spot facing the Giants in Week 3, when the squeaky wheel should get some much-needed grease.

Evan Engram, NYG at TB

FD ($6,400) DK ($5,200)

We’re a couple weeks into the 2019 season and the Giants corps of receivers is an absolute disaster, though they could be getting Sterling Shepard back since he’s out of the concussion protocol. Engram, however, is still the Giants most reliable receiver excluding their star RB, and I’d even be willing to use him in cash games if they weren’t starting rookie Daniel Jones at QB this week. As bad as Eli Manning has been, he’s maintained a solid rapport with Engram the past couple of seasons. Jones will look to establish a similar relationship early and often, but there’s some inherent risk in this offense. Engram is a fine GPP play who won’t be chalky.

T.J. Hockenson, DET at PHI

FD ($5,500) DK ($3,500)

As we round out our GPP options, we can look for plays that buck the trends of recency bias, and since Hockenson disappointed in Week 2, he’s a good place to land. The Lions TE hauled in just one catch for seven yards on three targets against the Chargers, but I’m willing to throw out that performance, since every Lions passing game option took a backseat to WR Kenny Golladay and his seemingly effortless dominance. Hockenson is an exciting rookie with tons of upside on Sunday against an Eagles team that allowed Vernon Davis to run and jump over several defenders to find the end zone in Week 1. I’m expecting big things in Week 3 from him, and since the price isn’t an oppressive one, I’ll have some shares.

Week 3 Tight End NFL DFS — Value and Punt Plays

Darren Waller, OAK at MIN

FD(5,400) DK ($3,300)

Waller entered Week 2 as a popular play after a huge Week 1, seeing another high-usage game (95% of team snaps, seven targets and 6-63-0 in the loss to the Chiefs in Week 2). So he’s flourishing in the Jared Cook role in this Raiders offense, and should continue to compete with Tyrell Williams for the team lead in targets every week. While his Week 3 matchup against the Vikings and their capable defensive unit (Harrison Smith, Eric Kendricks and company) is a tough one, there’s plenty of reasons to believe Derek Carr will be peppering Waller more than anyone else. The Raiders have their work cut out for them in a possible game script which could ultimately benefit Waller more than in the first two weeks. He’s cheap and he’ll be on plenty of my GPP lineups – where I don’t mind pairing him with Kelce again with one of the two occupying the flex spot.

Blake Jarwin, DAL vs. MIA

FD ($4,500) DK ($2,900)

Full disclosure: I’m a Cowboys fan and I love Blake Jarwin, so I’mnot giving up on him despite his quiet Week 2, when he had just one catch for22 yards. He should have plenty of opportunitiesto score against Dolphins in Week 3, and if the Cowboys get out to a big lead,I doubt they’ll have Jason Witten on the field a lot. Jarwin could easily graba handful of catches and a couple of scores as Dak Prescott passes the time pickingapart the decimated Dolphins secondary. The athletic and reliable pass catcher isclose to the minimum salary on both sites, and he should see more than his usualshare of red zone looks on Sunday.

Additional GPP options:

Greg Olsen, CAR at ARI (FD $6,100,DK $3,700)

Vance McDonald, (FD $5,900, DK $4,300)

Austin Hooper, ATL at IND(FD $5,800, DK $3,600)

Eric Ebron, IND vs. ATL (FD $5,700, DK $3,800)

Week 3 NFL DFS — DST Cash Game Plays

Dallas Cowboys (DAL vs. MIA)

FD ($5,000) DK ($4,300)

The Cowboys are 21.5 point favorites at home facing a Dolphins team that has scored just 10 points through the first two weeks. While a lot of the focus has been on the Dolphins defensive woes (their negative-114.7 percent DVOA through two games is the worst of any team since at least 1986), they rank last in both offensive and defensive DVOA on the season, and they’re starting Josh Rosen this week over Ryan Fitzpatrick. The Cowboys pass rush could be better and they have some defensive holes, but they’re the top defense in consensus rankings and make for a fine cash game play.

New England Patriots (NE atMIA)

FD ($5,000) DK ($3,800)

I didn’t think we could see a point spread larger than the oneabove, but the Pats are 23-point favorites at home over the Jets. The Jets havean offense than went from mediocre, right past bad, and straight into terriblewhen they lost Sam Darnold and then watched in horror as Trevor Siemian had hisankle disassembled on prime time during Monday Night Football. They don’t havetheir full complement of receivers and won’t be able to do much to stop aPatriots defense that’s looked excellent through the first two games. I’d beusing the Pats in cash games and GPPs, where they could be somewhat ignoredthanks to the existence of the Cowboys-Dolphins matchup.

Minnesota Vikings (MIN vs.OAK)

FD ($4,200) DK ($3,300)

I’m not going to have too many shares of the Vikings in cash gamesbecause I don’t usually plug in DST last, but if that’s your strategy and youend up with less than the requisite funds for the Cowboys or Pats, they’re adecent option at home facing a dinged up Raiders offense with plenty ofquestion marks. If you arrive at Minnesota in your builds, don’t click off ofthem.

Week 2 NFL DFS — DST GPP Plays

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TBvs. NYG)

FD ($4,300) DK ($2,900)

The Giants are bad, and they might be getting worse. I’m wary ofstarting the Bucs in cash games because it’s a unit with its share of problems,but they draw a dream matchup at home facing Daniel Jones in his first NFLstart. They’re only $2,900 on DK and should have a handful of sacks and turnoversfacing a bad Giants offensive line.

Seattle Seahawks (SEA vs.NO)

FD($3,700) DK ($2,900)

I expect the Seahawks defensive line to make life very difficult for Teddy Bridgewater and the Saints – who are still reeling from the loss of Drew Brees, the NFL’s all-time passing yardage leader. It’s a difficult environment playing in Seattle, and with some of the Seahawks new acquisitions making their presence felt, there’s lost of opportunity for turnovers and sacks in what could be a lopsided victory for the home team. I’m surprised the spread is just 4.5 points.

Green Bay Packers (GB vs.DEN)

FD($4,500) DK ($2,800)

The Packers have a much-improved defensive unit and draw arelatively conservative Broncos offense that doesn’t put up too many points. GreenBay has given up just 19 points through its first two games, so they’recertainly an option in GPPs, especially since they’re playing at home.

Week 2 NFL DFS — DST Punt Plays

Carolina Panthers (CAR atARI)

FD ($3,700) DK ($2,700)

This Carolina defense might be a little too risky in cash games,because the Cards and their Air Raid offense can put points on the board andhave some potent weapons in David Johnson and Kyler Murray, so I’d prefer youpunt them in GPPs. But let’s face it: The Panthers are way too cheap and shouldregister a handful of sacks and a turnover or two.

Cincinnati Bengals (CIN atBUF)

FD ($3,400) DK ($2,400)

The Bengals are viable in GPPs but might be the better cash game punt considering the injuries to the Bills RB corps. Expect a consistent pass rush from Cincy and the chance for some big defensive plays.

Photo of O.J. Howard by Airman 1st Class Ryan Grossklag

5 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports NFL

Week 2 NFL DFS TE and DST Picks: Waller Pads Wallets

jason mezrahi 5 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

It’s already Week 2 NFL DFS time, and your wallets are gonna love Darren Waller — my favorite GPP play at TE this week. I’m also looking for some cash game TEs for your NFL DFS lineups – and some upside-laden defenses (DSTs) who could give you that essential edge.

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Week 2 Tight End NFL DFS Cash Game Plays

Travis Kelce, KC at OAK

FD ($8,000) DK ($7,300)

With Tyreek Hill out for an extended period of time and the Chiefs searching for reliable receiving options, Kelce will be looking at possibly 12-15 targets on a weekly basis. He’s a difficult matchup even for a decent defense with a good game plan, and he’s got both a solid floor and soaring upside. This week could feature a lot of the TEs from both teams (Darren Waller being the other). Kelce caught three of eight targets for 88 yards during last Sunday’s 40-26 win over the Jaguars and will be more heavily involved in this game plan with the Raiders losing safety Jonathan Abram.

Evan Engram, NYG vs. BUF

FD ($6,400) DK ($5,200)

Not to sound too much like last week, but Engram is STILL the best receiver available on the Giants and they will continue to throw him the ball without a corps of dependable wideouts. Sterling Shepard is questionable and Engram is essentially matchup-proof with how he’s deployed by the Giants. His 14 targets last week and 11-116-1 were more than even I anticipated, and he could top those numbers this week despite a tougher matchup against the Bills.

Week 2 Tight End NFL DFS GPP Plays

Darren Waller, OAK vs. KC

FD (5,400) DK ($3,300)

Waller played on every one of Oakland’s 55 offensive snaps in Week 1 in the Jared Cook role, hauling in 7-of-8 targets for 70 yards on MNF, leading the team in targets and appearing to be every bit as good as we’ve heard. That type of volume and his storied athleticism means he’ll be one of Derek Carr’s go-to players in a matchup that could see the Raiders throwing a lot in the second half.

George Kittle, SF at CIN

FD ($7,100) DK ($6,800)

I’m going back to the well this week with Kittle, who pulled down eight catches for 54 yards (no score) on a team-high 10 targets last week on an offense that didn’t have anybody else over three targets. With Matt Breida locked into the lead RB role and a lack of viable offensive ball control options, expect more of the same from the 49ers. That means plenty of looks for Kittle, who has the requisite upside for both GPPs and cash games. Plus, the Bengals were one of the weaker teams at defending tight ends a year ago, and that’s a good guideline for trusting George in the Jungle against the Big Cats this week.

Mark Andrews, BAL vs. ARI

FD ($6,100) DK (3,800)

Andrews caught all eight of his targets for 8-108-1 and essentially tripled his output projections for Week 1 — even if we expected a big game from him. He’s a bona fide TE1 with a decent floor and more upside than we imagined in last week’s write-up. I know the Dolphins defense was bad, but Andrews is still affordable on DK and should be an excellent FD GPP play.

Week 2 Tight End NFL DFS Value and Punt Plays

Blake Jarwin, DAL at WAS

FD ($4,500) DK ($2,900)

We know from last season that Jarwin has upside (his 12/30/18 game vs. the Giants saw him collect 7-119-3 on eight targets), and we know he’s involved in the Cowboys offensive plans for 2019 (3-39-1 on three targets in Week 1 against the Giants). I know — the Cowboys are in Washington, and don’t get to face the Giants again until later this season. But there’s still plenty of value here and Jarwin won’t make it onto too many rosters with all the viable TE plays this week — making him a solid GPP punt if you don’t have much more than the minimum to spend on your final spot.

T.J. Hockensen, DET vs. LAC

FD ($6,000) DK ($3,000)

Hockensen also shattered expectations in his remarkable debut for the Lions with 6-131-1 in the Week 1 tie against the Cards. We saw a pronounced skill set with oodles of athleticism and upside, and the Rob Gronkowski comparisons may be premature — that just doesn;t necessarily make them wrong. He’s projecting as a weekly option in all formats and makes for a fine flex play if you’re looking to use a couple of TEs.

Additional GPP/Punt options:

Will Dissly, SEA vs CIN (FD $4,000, DK $2,800)

Delanie Walker, TEN vs. IND (FD $5,900, DK $3,500)

Tyler Eifert, CIN vs. SF (FD $4,900, DK $2,900)

Week 2 NFL DFS DST Cash Game Plays

Baltimore Ravens (BAL at ARZ)

FD ($5,400) DK ($3,800)

The Ravens were the top consensus unit heading into last week, and the most expensive. This week, they’re once again the highest-priced DST on both sites, and that doesn’t dissuade me from locking them into any lineup in any format. The upside is still there, and they could force a bunch of turnovers facing a rookie QB. As one of the premier aggressive, ball-hawking defenses in an excellent matchup, they’re also as safe as any other DST on the docket.

New England Patriots (NE at MIA)

FD ($4,600) DK ($3,700)

The Pats get the Dolphins and come in a little bit cheaper on both sites. This is a pretty easy decision. In cash games, you’re going with the Pats or the Ravens and either unit makes sense in GPPs as well, especially since there’s plenty of opportunity to differentiate lineups at the skill positions. Still, the lack of counting stats in Week 1 (just one sack and one TO) could push some DFS competitors toward the Ravens.

Week 2 DST GPP Plays

Buffalo Bills (BUF at NYG)

FD ($4,400) DK ($3,400)

Like last week, there’s a precipitous drop following the top two defenses heading into Week 2. And while I dug the Rams here in Week 1, I’m looking for more exposure to the Bills in GPPS this week. Facing an exploitable New York Giants team with its questionable QBs, we could see another big outing from the Bills. They racked up four sacks and one takeaway while allowing just eight points to the Jets, and now get their in-state NFC analogs.

Houston Texans (HOU vs. JAX)

FD ($4,500) DK ($2,800)

The Texans defense had a tough time containing the Saints in Week 1, but get a much less potent offense to contend with in Week 2. Jaguars QB Gardner Minshew was solid in relief of Nick Foles (shoulder) last week, but Houston will watch the tapes and plot some new looks and impending disaster for the rookie. They’re a below-the-radar GPP/punt option that won’t cost you much on either site.

Chicago Bears (CHI vs. DEN)

FD ($4,200) DK ($3,900)

The Bears make it on the main slate after being confined to TNF showdowns and all-week slates in Week 1, and Broncos QB Joe Flacco couldn’t be more scared. I’m kidding, but the gist is that this is a defense to fear — and because of that, one to utilize in all fantasy formats. The effort against the Packers was maybe even a little better than expected: they limited the Packers to only 10 points while picking up five sacks — figures they could rocket past in Week 2.

Week 2 DST Punt Plays

Los Angeles Rams (LAR vs. NO — GPP)

FD ($3,600) DK ($2,700)

This is not a play for the faint of heart. The Saints are really good, but the Rams have Aaron Donald anchoring their defensive line and play at home. Nobody will be on them, and they are dirt cheap on both sits.

Seattle Seahawks (SEA at PIT — GPP)

FD ($3,700) DK ($2,900)

The Seahawks aren’t as great a play as last week, but this unit is still having some growing pains, and they’ll only get better as the season progresses. Still — they recovered three fumbles in Week 1 and totaled four sacks as a team, and they’re facing a Steelers offense that scored three points in the opener.

Denver Broncos (DEN vs. CHI — DK Cash/FD GPP)

FD ($4,500) DK ($2,700)

The Broncos make for a solid GPP play at their elevated price on FD and a relatively safe cash game play on DK. The Monday night game can be viewed as an anomaly, since negative fantasy production against a seemingly innocuous Oakland offense was more than bizarre. The Broncos have the pieces for maximum disruption, including an elite pass rush, and they’re worth a look in Week 2.

Evan Engram Featured Image via Keith Allison

5 years ago 0 comments

NFL

The NFL DFS Week 2 GPP Picks Of Destiny

Gerald Colvin 5 years ago

written by Gerald Colvin

Week 2 in the NFL is all about finding the best opportunities for guaranteed production with high upside. Follow my stud and value GPP plays and lock in the NFL DFS Picks of Destiny.

David Jones won 100K on FanDuel!Read about it here!

Check back for updates closer to lineup lock on Sunday.

Quarterbacks:

Stud Quarterback: Lamar Jackson ($8,700 FD; $6,700 DK)

Lamar Jackson played almost perfectly in Week 1 vs the Miami Dolphins. I know that Miami defense looked particularly bad, but Jackson also looked fantastic throwing for 324 yards and five touchdowns. Can you imagine if he would have run for more than six yards?! Jackson faces the Arizona Cardinals this week, who just gave up 385 yards and three touchdowns to Matt Stafford at home. Jackson is going to be chalky, but like I said with Dalvin Cook last week, that doesn’t mean he is a bad play. He will be popular for a reason. He is in another great NFL DFS spot.

Patrick Mahomes: ($9,000 FD; $7,500 DK)

It feels like it is going to be another week where MVP Patrick Mahomes is going to be in a great matchup and low owned. People will fade him because there is a questionable tag by his name and because Tyreek Hill is out. Mahomes did just fine on his ankle last week and Hill basically missed the entire game. This was also vs an overhyped, yet good defense in Jacksonville. Mahomes will look to Kelce, Watkins and his pass catching backs a lot this week. The MVP will hit Kelce for at least one touchdown, and makes right for missing him in the end zone last week.

Mid Quarterback: Tom Brady ($7,800 FD; $6,400 DK)

The Patriots are going to win this game and Vegas thinks it’s going to be by a lot (-19). Tom Brady should tear them up the first three quarters before this game gets out of hand and he either gets pulled, or hands it off the entire fourth quarter. I like the NFL DFS price on Brady, and honestly don’t love a lot of other quarterbacks. I will have a Brady team.

Quarterback Punts: Josh Allen, Andy Dalton

Running Backs

Stud RB: Saquon Barkley ($9,200 FD; $9,200 DK)

It feels like a Saquon week and it has not been hard to fit him in my lineups. The Giants open at home vs the the Buffalo Bills and should absolutely feed Barkley. He looks elite again this year and gets a much easier matchup than the Cowboys were last week. He only got 11 carries, but a lot of that was game script. The Giants fell behind early and threw the ball more than they would have liked. Barkley did get six of those targets, though. Look for the Giants to control the tempo of this game more with getting Barkley going early and often. Lev Bell got his vs the Bills last week, Barkley will too.

Stud Pivot: Ezekiel Elliot

Mid RB: Mark Ingram ($7,500 FD; $6,000 DK)

Ingy impressed his first week as the new Baltimore Ravens featured back. He got 14 carries, 107 yards and two touchdowns before the Ravens pulled their starters. The Cardinals defense did fine against Kerryon Johnson last week, holding him to 49 yards, but I am not that high on Johnson to begin with. Ingram is a vet and never takes a play off. The Ravens trust him to move the chains and give him looks in he red zone. The Ravens defense will also be popular and it is a good idea to pair running backs with defenses. The more the ball turns over, the better the chances that the Ravens are winning, and therefore looking to the run game more.

Mid Pivot: Josh Jacobs

Wide Receiver

Stud WR: Sammy Watkins ($7,400 FD; $7,200 DK)

He is going to be popular, but man, has he earned it. If you want to fade him vs the Oakland Raiders based on ownership, I get it, but he is in another ideal spot this Sunday. He looked as good as ever in week one catching three touchdowns for 198 yards. There is no Tyreek Hill for a few weeks so Watkins and Kelce are both going to be putting up monster numbers. The Broncos were beating the Oakland Raiders by giving their receivers the opportunities to come up with big plays, whether that was getting them in a little space or throwing the deep ball. Both of these Watkins excels at and I have to get a few NFL DFS shares of him on Sunday.

Stud Pivots: Adam Thielen

Mid WR: Tyler Boyd ($6,300 FD; $6,500 DK)

I will be highly invested in Tyler Boyd this week. The San Fransisco 49ers head to Cincinnati this Sunday and to try and spoil the Bengals’ first home game. Boyd has shown us in the past what he can do as a number one receiver vs a poor defense. Once A.J. Green went down last year, Boyd had three games with over 100 yards and was targeted the most on the Bengals. Targeting the San Fran D should also be profitable in NFL DFS this year. They may have held the Tampa to under 200 yards through the air last week, however I put that more on Winston’s struggles. Boyd had 11 targets and eight receptions for 60 yards in Seattle last week. This week he will do much, much more.

WR Midrange Pivots: Will Fuller, Cooper Kupp, DK Metcalf

Value WR: Tyrell Williams ($5,900 FD; $4,400 DK)

Oakland should have to throw it a lot here vs the visiting Chiefs. Williams was targeted seven times in their win against the Broncos and emerged as the clear top option for the Raiders. The Chiefs are also struggling in the secondary, much like last year. The Jaguars backup QB was able to come in for the injured Nick Foles last week, and put up 275 yards with two touchdowns. Tyrell Williams at $5,900 on FanDuel feels underpriced for his role in the offense. When the Raiders get in the redzone he should be the first one targeted. He pulls his weight here and exceeds value.

WR Punt: Damion Willis

Tight End

Stud TE: Travis Kelce ($8,000 FD; $7,300 DK)

Lock. No Tyreek Hill gives the best tight end in the league a tremendous boost. He is getting in the end zone this week, at least once. Patrick Mahomes told reporters after last weeks win that he “owed Kelce lunch” for missing him in the end zone last week. He makes up for it this week vs the Oakland Raiders. Kelce may be the highest priced NFL DFS tight end this week, but he may also be the highest scoring.

Stud TE Pivot: Evan Engram

Value TE: T.J. Hockenson ($6,000 FD; $3,000 DK)

He got nine targets for 131 yards and a touchdown in his first NFL game. It is safe to say Stafford trusts him already. I don’t expect him to exceed what he did in Week 1 but at $6,000 on FanDuel he is a safe NFL DFS play with upside.

TE Pivot: Darren Waller

Defense

Ravens
Titans
Giants (punt)

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5 years ago 0 comments

NFL

Week 1 NFL DFS TE and DST Picks

jason mezrahi 5 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

It’s finally Week 1 of the NFL and I’m looking at what can sometimes be the last two pieces you plug into your NFL DFS lineups – tight ends (TEs) and defenses (DSTs). There’s plenty to discuss, so let’s dive right in!

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Week 1 Tight End NFL DFS Cash Game Plays

ZachErtz, PHI vs. WAS

FD($7,100) DK ($6,100)

Ertz caught the second-most passes of anyplayer last year (116) and saw 156 targets. He’s in a great Week 1matchup and is a consensus top 3 TE in every possible format. There may beample reasons to enumerate the many attributes of some of the remaining TEs in thisrundown, but I shouldn’t cloud your mind with too many competing thoughts in mycash game recommendations. Ertz is top dog this week in cash.

EvanEngram, NYG at DAL

FD($6,400) DK ($4,800)

Engram is the best receiver available on the Giants and they are going to inundate him with targets against the Cowboys are just middle-of-the-road when it comes to defending opposing TEs. The third-year TE had a TD in each of his games vs. Dallas in 2018 and offers a little more safety than Travis Kelce and O.J. Howard, with just a tad less upside.

Week 1 Tight End NFL DFS GPP Plays

TravisKelce, KC at JAX

FD(7,800) DK ($7,100)

The tough matchup willkeep a chunk of the field away and that’s what we want for a guy with this muchupside – especially in a game with a 51.5 total. I’ll tolerate some risk at myTE spot because there’s a shot to play both – and I’ll have a lot of exposureto a Kelce-Ertz combo on both sites, since they could both score three TDs andmake incredible value just under the price point of stud RBs.

GeorgeKittle, SF at TB

FD($7,300) DK ($6,600)

Traditional ownership inGPPs dictates that the better value with the lower risk gets taken, so Kittlemakes perfect sense as a GPP pivot from Ertz, who’s cheaper on both sites.Kittle is a one-man offensive powerhouse who can take over a game with 200 yardsand score 2-3 TDs, so he’s a fine GPP play in Week 1 facing the relatively weakBucs defensive unit.

Hunter Henry, LAC vs. IND

FD ($6,100) DK (3,900)

There’s just a ton of upside to Henry’s 2019 season, and it all starts in Week 1 facing the Colts. He’s blessed with a capable, adventurous QB in Philip Rivers (who has a history of torrid love affairs with his TEs), caught eight TDs as a rookie in 2016 (the fourth-highest mark for a rookie tight end in NFL history) spent a year in an expanded role while out-targeting Antonio Gates, and then missed the entire 2018 regular season with a torn ACL. Low projected ownership and a prime matchup make him a solid GPP play this week.

Week 1 Tight End NFL DFS Punt Plays

MarkAndrews, BAL at MIA

FD($5,400) DK ($3,000)

Andrews emerged as a viable TE option in 2018 and promises to once again be a useful safety valve for Lamar Jackson. There’s not an overwhelming sense of limitless upside with Andrews from a season-long perspective (and I think most folks who drafted him would be happy with Top 10 numbers), but the Dolphins LBs are an inexperienced unit at risk of giving up huge numbers to opposing TEs. Andrews is a cost-effective way to fit in a bunch of solid RBs and WRs, though you’ll be assuming a considerable amount of risk not looking to the obvious top TEs.

DelanieWalker, TEN at CLE

FD($5,400) DK ($3,500)

Walker makes for an interesting GPP play at just $5,400 on FD, and he qualifies as a punt for his low salary on DK. Walker probably has a little more upside than Andrews but the three-time Pro Bowler makes plenty of sense as a lower-risk option heading into a Week 1 contest that might be a little more lopsided than expected and have the Titans playing from behind. Walker played just one game in 2018 (dislocated ankle) and will look to rebound with a big Week 1, and Jonnu Smith isn’t much of a threat to his targets.

Additional GPP/Punt options:

Will Dissly, SEA vs CIN (FD $4,000, DK $2,900)

Tyler Eifert, CIN at SEA (DK $3,100)

Darren Waller, OAK vs. DEN (FD $4,800, DK $3,000)

Week 1 NFL DFS DST Cash Game Plays

BaltimoreRavens (BAL at MIA)

FD($5,400) DK ($3,800)

The Ravens lost some defensive starters in LB C.J. Mosley and DL Willie Henry, and there’s been some question as to the effectiveness of their pass rush, but they remain a perennial powerhouse and there’s no easier team to pick on in cash games than the Dolphins. Since Miami is a team in turmoil, Baltimore is the consensus top defense in the weekly rankings and there’s plenty of value to be found throughout the rest of the roster, so it’s no problem looking at the Ravens this week, even as the highest-priced DST on both sites.

PhiladelphiaEagles (PHI vs. WAS)

FD($4,600) DK ($3,600)

There’s plenty of appeal to both the Ravens and this Eagles unit in GPPs, since there’s plenty of opportunity to differentiate our lineups elsewhere. But the goal of cash games is to limit risk and maximize cost – and there’s just not a lot of difference cost-wise between the top and bottom defenses. Philly is still running the Jim Schwartz system of constant pressure and this group is a fine blend of experience and youth. They are deep, they are talented, and they are home in Week 1 to face the paltry Redskins. Don’t overthink it.

Week1 DST GPP Plays

LosAngeles Rams (LAR at CAR)

FD($4,400) DK ($3,200)

There’s a considerable drop after the top couple ranked DSTs this week, so they’ll be my only cash game recommendations, but the Rams are a formidable unit facing a much more potent offense. Whether Carolina’s Cam Newton is 100 percent is the main factor in the Rams making most of my GPP builds, and if I’ll look to some of the following options as a pivot. With that said, the Rams are a consensus Top 12 defense this week and the team’s offensive prowess sometimes forces opponents into silly mistakes (30 takeaways last season). This is where you can capitalize in GPPs. They offer relatively low ownership because of the higher price, but they’re still a few bucks cheaper than the elite DSTs, so they make sense as last-piece fit.

SeattleSeahawks (SEA vs. CIN)

FD($4,500) DK ($3,100)

Plenty of question marks surround the newer pieces (ZiggyAnsah and Jadeveon Clowney) in the Seahawks front seven and All-Pro safety EarlThomas is out the door – so DFS players could look at this unit with sometrepidation and steer clear in Week 1. But the Bengals are a team without itsstar WR for the first few games and I know that Scott Engel would beannoyed if I didn’t acknowledge his squad’s upside in this cushy spot and justhow good these linebackers and lineman can be in 2019.

ClevelandBrowns (CLE vs. TEN)

FD($4,200) DK ($3,100)

The Browns are a couple years removed from being a laughingstock, and this play might not be all that contrarian with the DST’s cost down. But Cleveland had 31 takeaways last season (17 INTs and 14 FRs) and should be an improved unit in 2019. The Titans aren’t too much of a threat to score 25+ points and a Nick Chubb/Browns DST game script could be a decent starting point in GPP builds.

NewYork Jets (NYJ vs. BUF)

FD($4,200) DK ($3,100)

The Bills and Jets defenses both feel a lot like the sameamount of risk and upside, so this should be a fun Week 1 contest to watch. It’llbe even more fun if you click the Jets into your DFS lineups and they force abunch of turnovers from Josh Allen and the dubious Bills offense. The Jets unitis a risk, because they’re susceptible to the big play, but the flip side is thepositive variance they offer. I’ve seen them as high as second on some Week 1 rankingsand as low as 30^th – the definition of a GPP option.

Week1 DST Punt Plays

LosAngeles Chargers (LAC vs. IND)

FD($4,000) DK ($3,000)

The Chargers are cheap, they get to the opposing QB, andthey have plenty of upside facing a Colts team without Andrew Luck. I’mcomfortable going here in Week 1 for this affordable cost.

SanFrancisco 49ers (SF at TB)

FD($3,700) DK ($2,200)

The 49ers are loaded with talented defensive lineman but have a weak LB corps, and they don’t stand out as particularly safe facing the Bucs in Tampa Bay. But if you’ve got to make it work with just a few bucks left in salary cap, they make plenty of sense. The biggest area of concern for the 49ers this season is +/ in turnovers, where they ranked last in the league at -25 in 2018. The addition of Nick Bosa, however, promises to change some of that and Week 1 is a fine place to take advantage of the cost savings this improving unit offers.

TampaBay Buccaneers (TB vs. SF)

FD($3,500) DK ($2,200)

The Bucs were second-to-last in turnover differential last season and offer a similar risk-reward scenario in Week 1 facing the 49ers. I could see easily see pick-sixes for both teams and a 20-17 final score, which would be an acceptable outcome given the variance at DST and our aim at providing a modicum of upside without overwhelming risk.

Zach Ertz featured image via Jason Peters.

5 years ago 0 comments

NFL

NFL DFS Cash Games – Week One Checkdown

brgrewe@gmail.com 5 years ago

written by brgrewe@gmail.com

Week One of the football season is finally here! It’s time to start building your NFL DFS cash games (also known as 50/50s) lineups and building up your DFS bankroll. For those of you that do not know what a cash game really means, here is an excellent read from Picks.org to help explain the basics of the different styles of DFS tournaments: https ://www.picks.org/daily-fantasy-sports/dfs-cash-games-vs-tournaments

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If you’re just now getting into the Daily Fantasy game, I would highly suggest utilizing at least 70% of your bankroll for cash game usage and the other 30% for GPP’s and Qualifiers. The art of building a lineup for NFL DFS cash games is entirely different than a GPP lineup build, so please be aware that these DFS cash game plays are not always recommended for GPP’s.

My articles will be mainly meant for DraftKings, but you can certainly use this information for other DFS websites.

If you have any questions and would like some further help when building your lineups, please do not hesitate to reach out to me directly on Twitter. I’m always available to help DFS players make the most of their investments! Enough talking, let’s get to the plays for Week One NFL DFS cash games.

Quarterbacks

Jacoby Brissett ($4,400) – Brissett is simply way too cheap on all DFS formats (thanks to Andrew Luck’s out-of-nowhere retirement). The Los Angeles Chargers’ defense does not impress me on paper at the moment and Brissett is plenty skilled to start his season on the right track with a healthy wide receiving corps. For his price, I’m 100% lock-buttoning Brissett as my Quarterback in NFL DFS cash games for Week One.
Kirk Cousins ($5,500) – I’m not quite sure why Cousins’ price is so low this week, but if you don’t trust Jacoby Brissett, Kirk Cousins would be my next best cash game QB play. Rostering Jacoby Brissett or Kirk Cousins offers up a lot of salary relief to afford studs at the running back and wide receiver positions. Do we even need to mention how much the Falcons struggled on defense last year? Cousins is at home on Sunday and should have no problem hitting value for cash game players.
Lamar Jackson ($6,000) – Lamar Jackson is the definition of a high-floor DFS Quarterback in his Week One matchup against a very suspect Miami Dolphins’ defense. Once Jackson was named the starting Quarterback in Baltimore last season, he averaged a ridiculous 79 rushing yards per game! Assuming he can pass for at least 180 yards and a touchdown, his legs will make up for the below average passing numbers. Lamar Jackson makes an excellent play for Week One NFL DFS cash games.

Running Backs

Saquon Barkley ($9,000) – arguably the best player in fantasy football… Barkley is incredibly valuable in a DFS cash game at this price in a matchup against the Dallas Cowboys. The Cowboys’ defense is going to be stout all season long, but Barkley’s volume is probably going to be second-to-none in 2019 (thanks to Todd Gurley not being 100% healthy anymore). I don’t expect Barkley to have a monster game in Week One, but he will get 30+ touches, which is really all I need to be confident in rostering Barkley in cash games.
~~Tony Pollard ($4,500) –~~ just like Brissett at QB, Pollard is just too cheap to avoid when building lineups for your Week One NFL DFS cash games. Assuming Ezekiel Elliott does not sign a contract and suit-up on Sunday, Pollard is going to be a lock-button for me. He allows so much salary relief that you can utilize elsewhere. Lock him in (~~if Elliott is out~~)! UPDATE: Ezekiel Elliott has now signed with the Cowboys and is reporting to practice. I do not have a good grasp on how many snaps Elliott will play this week, so I am leaving him off my player pool for NFL DFS cash games this week.
Christian McCaffrey ($8,800) – we all know how much of a stud McCaffrey is. Regardless of the matchup, I project his volume is second to only Saquon Barkley. If you don’t like Barkley as your number one running back, plug-in McCaffrey with confidence (maybe even use both, if you can afford it).
Dalvin Cook ($6,000) – he is simply way too cheap for an elite, three-down starting running back. Dalvin Cook is finally 100% healthy and should be primed up for a big game against the Falcons. Please note, I do not advise using both Kirk Cousins and Dalvin Cook in the same lineup for your NFL DFS cash games (I never like to stack the passing and running game for a 50/50 style of DFS tournament).
Chris Carson ($5,700) – the Seattle Seahawks are currently a 10-point favorite at home this Sunday against the Cincinnati Bengals. That screams 22+ touches for Chris Carson (and probably a touchdown or two). I love getting shares of Chris Carson this week, especially in cash games.
Nick Chubb ($6,400) – similar to Carson, I expect Cleveland running back Nick Chubb, to be quite busy on Sunday at home against the Titans. I do not love his price in comparison to Carson and Cook, so I’m not building many lineups with Nick Chubb in them at the moment. Regardless, he is absolutely a safe play with a high floor and maybe an even higher ceiling. There are a lot of mouths to feed in Cleveland this season, but Chubb should still be their number one option on offense.
Leonard Fournette ($6,100) – Fournette obviously comes with a lot of risk. You never know when he’s going to re-injure that ankle and head to the locker room, but when he’s on the field, he is going to be productive (especially against a Chiefs’ defense that will struggle to get stops). I don’t love Fournette in cash games, but he will be on the field for all three downs and heavily active in both the running and passing games. This is an excellent spot for a 150 all purpose yard game, with a touchdown or two.

Wide Receivers

Chris Godwin ($6,200) – I hate that Chris Godwin is my number one play at the wide receiver position for Week One DFS cash games, but his price is great and the matchup is even better. This San Francisco/Tampa Bay game is going to be a shootout, and Godwin will have a hefty role in that. As long as Jameis Winston is competent, Godwin should be in-store for a solid season opener.
Ste~~fon Diggs ($6,700) –~~ Diggs is better than Adam Thielen, sorry. We have mentioned multiple times that the Atlanta Falcons’ defense is a good one to target in DFS this week, so why not use arguably the best route runner in the NFL, who also happens to be Kirk Cousins’ favorite target in the red-zone? I have Diggs projected for six catches, 110 receiving yards, and a score. I have no problem if you’d rather use Diggs over the chalky Chris Godwin… I may even prefer it. Hamstring injury concerns.
Kenny Golladay ($6,300) – Volume, Volume, Volume. Matt Stafford absolutely peppers Golladay with targets when he needs to pass the ball and with a depleted Arizona secondary, the Lions should pass it often on Sunday. Golladay should line up all over the field and take advantage of a cakewalk matchup. Better yet, Arizona cornerback Patrick Peterson, is starting the season off with a suspension. There is absolutely no reason to fade Golladay in Week One.
Keenan Allen ($7,300) – Similar to Golladay, we all know how much Phil Rivers trusts Keenan Allen. This WR is PPR gold and I have him projected for eight catches for 115 yards. He is an excellent cash game and GPP play this week, and it doesn’t appear that many others in the industry are even considering rostering him this week.
Dede Westbrook ($4,800) – we need to save money again in at least one wide receiver spot. Westbrook is my number one choice for salary savings at the wide receiver position in my lineups for NFL DFS cash games. He has already built excellent chemistry in the preseason with new Quarterback Nick Foles. Assuming this game shoots out, Foles is going to look to Westbrook early and often in hopes that they can keep up with the prolific Kansas City Chiefs’ offense.
Cole Beasley ($3,600) – there is nothing sexy about rostering Cole Beasley in DFS, but he is damn-near free to plug into your cash game lineup. Josh Allen has been targeting Beasley in the middle of the field all preseason, and that should carry into Sunday when the Bills open their season up in New York against the Jets. All you need out of Beasley is five or more catches for 60-75 yards receiving for him to hit value.

Tight Ends

Travis Kelce ($7,100) – I don’t have to say much about Travis Kelce… he offers DFS players the highest floor at the tight end position and the highest ceiling. If you can afford him, lock him in.
George Kittle ($6,100) – get exposure to this Tampa Bay/San Francisco game! The receiving corps for the 49ers is rather banged up right now so Kittle is going to be incredibly active in the passing game in what should be a high-scoring affair on Sunday afternoon. I love getting shares of Kittle this week. I have Kelce projected slightly higher, but for the $1,000 discount, you cannot go wrong with Kittle, who I have projected as the number two tight-end on the slate (and no, I did not forget about Zach Ertz).
Evan Engram ($4,800) – I do not love this play, but someone other than Saquon Barkley has to produce on Sunday… Engram will be that guy. His price is solid, but not great. If you use Saquon, don’t use Engram in your cash game lineup.
Hunter Henry ($3,900) – How is he only $3,900? If you need to pay down at the tight-end position, Hunter Henry is your guy.

Defense/Special Teams

I simply play who I can afford and who I think is in a somewhat positive matchup in regards to acquiring fantasy points. These plays are not in any order of preference, just price (high-to-low).

Baltimore Ravens ($3,800)
Philadelphia Eagles ($3,600)
Dallas Cowboys ($3,500)
Cleveland Browns ($3,400)
Seattle Seahawks ($3,100)
Carolina Panthers & Miami Dolphins ($2,100)

Sample Lineup

QB: Jacoby Brissett

RB: Nick Chubb

RB: Dalvin Cook

WR: Chris Godwin

WR: Kenny Golladay

WR: Dede Westbrook

TE: Travis Kelce

FLEX: Chris Carson

DST: Seattle Seahawks

Keenan Allen Featured Image via kevind810

5 years ago 0 comments

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