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The Thursday night showdown kicks off the Week 16 NFL DFS contests, and we’ve got the picks to help you win big tonight and make some serious green!NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy and how it relates to Week 14 NFL DFS showdowns, see the Week 1 TNF showdown article. Week ...

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Win Daily Sports is proudly partnered with Monkey Knife Fight. MKF is offering you a FREE Win Daily Gold membership for three months ($150 value) simply for making your first deposit on Monkey Knife Fight. And if free gold isn’t attractive enough, they’re also offering a 100% match bonus up to $100 when you use promo code WINDAILY.

Tonight’s Thursday night match up between the 49ers (8-6) and Titans (9-5).  The 49ers come in to this one riding a 2 game winning streak trying to solidify their playoff spot. They will be without Elijah Mitchell for a third straight game as was already ruled out.  The AFC South leading Titans look to pad their lead tonight with a win.  One of the things they have riding for them tonight is the possible return of star wideout and favorite target of Ryan Tannehill, Mr. A.J. Brown.  

Let’s dig in and see if the we can find some Monkey Knight Fight games we can win.

More or Less – 3.6x Payout

Jimmy Garoppolo – 239.5 Passing Yards – More

Only the Buccaneers have given up fewer rushing yards on the year than the Tennessee Titans.  The Titans own one of the best rush defenses in the league.  Because of that, I expect the 49ers to have to pass more in this game.  In order for them to win tonight, they’ll need to have a ton of success through the air and for Garoppolo to have one of his better games of the year.  Thankfully, the Titans are nowhere near as good against QB’s as they are running backs. 

They’re in the bottom 10 in terms of passing yards against.  Monkey Knife Fight is giving us a goal of 239.5 yards tonight and it’s a number that Garoppolo has hit twice in the last 3 weeks.  The passing game for the 49ers normally starts with George Kittle.  That said, I expect Garoppolo to use his wideouts a bit more tonight as the Titans are one of the best teams in the league against tight ends. 

Against wide receivers?  They are one of the worst as only the Vikings have given up more yards to wide receivers.  While I do still love Kittle in this game, I’m looking for Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk to be the biggest beneficiaries of the passing game tonight.  I’m going with More side for Garoppolo tonight.

Ryan Tannehill – 205.5 Passing Yards – More

This is the side that is trickier in my opinion.  Tannehill has not been overly sharp over the past few weeks.  He’s in one of the worst stretches of his career as he’s been under 200 yards passing in 3 consecutive weeks.  The common denominator in those games is that he’s been mostly without his top two targets in A.J. Brown and Julio Jones.  While Jones is no longer the receiver he used to be when he was with the Falcons,  he’s still an imposing force that’s very capable of catching balls. 

In A.J. Brown we have someone that has back-to-back seasons of 1,000 receiving yards and if it wasn’t for injures he’d easily have a third.  With both of them potentially back tonight, Tannehill will be back to having 2 of his main targets.  If they are back and healthy tonight Tannehill should be able to get over the 205-yard mark that Monkey Knife Fight has given us tonight.  As of writing this, they are expected to play so I’m going to side with the More.  Should something happen today where neither plays, Tannehill under 200 yards for a fourth straight game seems like a no-brainer and I’d go with the Less Side.  

More or Less #2 – 3.6 Payout

Jeff Wilson – 64.5 Rushing Yards – Less

With Eli Mitchell out tonight Wilson will again be the top running back for the 49ers.  Last week against the 24th ranked rushing defense of the Falcons he was able to gain 110 yards rushing on 21 carries.  Tonight’s a much tougher task as he’s facing one of the best rush defenses in the Titans.  I highlighted it above when talking about Garoppolo that only the Buccaneers have given up fewer rushing yards than the Titans. 

Although the 49ers will try to establish the run early to help with their passing game, I just don’t think they’ll have much success against a team that has given up 65 rushing yards to running backs just once over the past 5 weeks.  Less side for me here.

D’Onta Foreman – 54.5 Rushing Yards – More

The Titans are expected to get some big weapons back tonight with the returns of Jones and Brown.  If that does happen it actually makes me like D’Onta Foreman even more than I already do.  A more spread-out offense only helps to make it a more effective offense too. 

In the last 3 weeks, Foreman has eclipsed the 100-yard mark twice.  While I don’t expect him to get quite up that number tonight, I do expect him to crush the 54.5 yards that Monkey Knife Fight has picked for us.  I’m going with More here.

Already a member, don’t forget to use our optimizer daily.

Good luck tonight and hope you cash!

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The NFL DFS season continues with the Monday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the final Week 6 NFL DFS contests!NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see my first showdown article of 2021.Let’s get to the game!Week 6 NFL DFS MVP candida...

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The NFL DFS season continues with this week’s Thursday night showdown, and we’re helping you win big money in the first Week 10 NFL DFS contests!

Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

DraftKings calls them “Showdowns,” and FanDuel doesn’t really have a name for them other than “Single-Game Contests,” but whatever we call them they require an understanding of game narratives and game theory – which means we need to target low-ownership players that will give us the best opportunities within the narratives and game outcomes we’re expecting.

My picks will focus almost exclusively on finding GPP-winning combinations that have a chance at taking down the contests you’re entering, be they single-entry or MME. While we can’t cover all the possible combos or provide full lineups for you to deploy, the goal here is to give you the tools to win and highlight some names that will help make for profitable results.

If I enter five lineups in a large-field GPP, at least three of those lineups will focus on the most likely game outcome (based on Vegas odds, props and totals), with one or two contrarian builds. As we know, late-breaking news can have a significant effect on full slates, and that’s just amplified with single-game contests. If you have any questions leading up to lock, please consult our NFL DFS experts in Discord.

Let’s get to the game!

Week 10 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.

Chalk: Ryan Tannehill (DK $16,800, FD $16,000)

Pivot: Derrick Henry (DK $16,200, FD $15,500)

Contrarian #1: AJ Brown (DK $15,600, FD $15,000)

Contrarian #2: Philip Rivers (DK $14,700, FD $12,500)

The Colts defense is one of the best in the NFL – and the run defense may very well be the best in the game – so Ryan Tannehill could be throwing the ball more than normal to move the football up the field. He’s no Lamar Jackson, so they will likely take a different approach than the Ravens did on Sunday.

Meanwhile, Derrick Henry is second in the league in rushing (843 yards) behind Dalvin Cook and hasn’t had the same success in recent weeks – held under his usual benchmark of 100 yards in two of the last three games. While I wouldn’t categorize him as a contrarian play, he makes for an interesting pivot from Tannehill, who’s the highest priced player on both sites.

Perhaps the sharpest choice for captain this week is AJ Brown, and explosive playmaker who carries enormous upside into every matchup. He’s physical, he’s fast, and he won’t be deterred by the challenge of Indy’s stout defense. Corey Davis has seen a career resurgence in 2020, making him a solid option as well, and TE Jonnu Smith has been a feast-or famine fantasy producer this season with five TDs over his first four games and just one since (2-32-1 in Week 9 vs. CHI).

To further complicate things, Anthony Firkser has been the more productive Titans TE since Week 5. Making a captain selection is difficult because the Titans roll out a pretty balanced offensive attack, so I could see a drastic approach of playing the Titans DST at CPT on DraftKings in order to fit in all the studs.

Philip Rivers (who may get benched at some point in favor of Jacoby Brissett) gets back an important weapon in the relatively inexpensive T.Y. Hilton, who rejoins a WR corps that includes rookie Michael Pittman, the inconsistent Zach Pascal and Marcus Johnson – who’s actually been targeted 19 times over the past three games.

Their RBs (rookie Jonathan Taylor, change of pack back Nyheim Hines and Jordan Wilkins) have been a frustrating group for fantasy owners – since there’s no indication of who’s going to be the main producer. The best option is still probably Taylor, who is usually the early focal point of the running attack, but that could easily shift to Hines in a negative game script.

There’s no Jack Doyle (concussion) this week, so we can expect a few targets for Mo Alie-Cox (questionable, knee) and Trey Burton. Burton has more red-zone upside (with rushing TDs in consecutive games straddling the Week 7 bye), but last week we saw Alie-Cox find paydirt.

This game is going to be a grind, with both teams approaching full strength and the lack of an obvious game script – but I’m comfortable using lots of Henry/Titans DST and a smattering of Tannehill/Brown/Smith stacks with Rivers and some Indy skill players on the other side.

Week 9 NFL DFS Utility options (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Remember to build your team based on a narrative that makes sense, and utilize the WinDaily fantasy toolbox for cheatsheets and projections that can help you tremendously with lineup building.

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together

DON’T: Focus too much on the sub-$3K punts on DK – there’s plenty of productive guys from $3-9K offering excellent upside.

DO: Deploy a balanced approach for the Titans – because that’s how they roll – and mix in some of their defense as Philip Rivers has not been great this season.

DON’T: Forget about Rivers/Hilton in GPPs, however, as they could be a game-breaking combo this week if Hilton isn’t limited.

Now that we’ve established some narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):

  1. Derrick Henry
  2. Ryan Tannehill
  3. AJ Brown
  4. Philip Rivers
  5. Jonnu Smith
  6. Corey Davis
  7. T.Y. Hilton
  8. Titans DST
  9. Jonathan Taylor
  10. Nyheim Hines
  11. Colts DST
  12. Zach Pascal
  13. Trey Burton
  14. Anthony Firkser
  15. Stephen Gostkowski
  16. Michael Pittman, Jr.
  17. Marcus Johnson
  18. Ryan Blankenship
  19. Jordan Wilkins
  20. DeMichael Harris
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A bizarre Week 5 NFL DFS concludes with the Bills and Titans on a rare Tuesday night contest, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money!

Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

DraftKings calls them “Showdowns,” and FanDuel doesn’t really have a name for them other than “Single-Game Contests,” but whatever we call them they require an understanding of game narratives and game theory – which means we need to target low-ownership players that will give us the best opportunities within the narratives and game outcomes we’re expecting.

My picks will focus almost exclusively on finding GPP-winning combinations that have a chance at taking down the contests you’re entering, be they single-entry or MME. While we can’t cover all the possible combos or provide full lineups for you to deploy, the goal here is to give you the tools to win and highlight some names that will help make for profitable results.

If I enter five lineups in a large-field GPP, at least three of those lineups will focus on the most likely game outcome (based on Vegas odds, props and totals), with one or two contrarian builds. As we know, late-breaking news can have a significant effect on full slates, and that’s just amplified with single-game contests. If you have any questions leading up to lock, please consult our NFL DFS experts in Discord.

Let’s get to the game!

Week 5 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.

Chalk: Josh Allen (DK $19,500, FD $16,000)

Pivot: Derrick Henry (DK $16,500, FD $14,500)

Contrarian #1: Devin Singletary (DK $12,000, FD $12,000)

Contrarian #2: Jonnu Smith (DK $10,800, FD $10,500)

Some notable injuries/COVID updates: For the Bills, rookie RB Zack Moss (toe), veteran WR John Brown (calf) and standout CB Tre’Davious White are all questionable, with Brown having the best chance of suiting up and contributing. LB Matt Milano is out. White’s absence would mean a logical upgrade for A.J., Brown (knee, questionable), who is expected to return for the Titans following three weeks off. The Titans will be without WRs Corey Davis and Adam Humphries, who are both on the reserve/COVID-19 list along with seven other Tennessee players. The preparation, talent, health and overall football edge is overwhelmingly in the Bills favor, though the defensive unit – especially the secondary – is pretty banged up.

The obvious chalk at captain will be Bills QB Josh Allen, who leads his undefeated team into Tennessee on the heels of four straight 25+ point fantasy performances. He’s averaging an impressive 8.96 yards per pass attempt this season (second to only Jared Goff), has thrown for 1,326-12-1 in four games and has added 83 rushing yards and three TDs on the ground. I’ll gladly eat this chalk and pair him with speedy WR Stefon Diggs. Using Allen with Devin Singletary is also a possibility, since the Bills could be spending a lot of time in the Titans red zone and the Tennessee secondary is one of its strengths, with Kevin Byard, Malcolm Butler, Johnathan Joseph and Kenny Vaccaro all healthy for this game.

My favorite pivot if you can’t afford Allen at CPT is Derrick Henry, assuming they continue to utilize him in the passing game. I could see Ryan Tannehill or A.J. Brown having a big game as well, but the Bills are missing Milano and Henry has logged 34, 27 and 29 touches in his first three games of 2020. The former Heisman winner is fully rested; the last game the Titans played was in September.

Another option for the CPT spot on DK is Jonnu Smith, sincehe could see upwards of 10 targets from Tannehill this game, and he allows you to fit in several Bills players and Henry.

Week 5 NFL DFS Utility options (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Remember to build your team based on a narrative that makes sense, and utilize the WinDaily fantasy toolbox for cheatsheets and projections that can help you tremendously with lineup building.

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together

DON’T: Forget to check inactives before game time and be ready to pivot. It’s a pretty fluid situation these days and there are some obscure but possibly relevant Titans WRs (Kalif Raymond, Nick Westbrook, Chester Rogers and Cody Hollister) in the player pool for this showdown, especially if A.J. Brown has any kind of setback leading up to kickoff.

DO: Use the projected team totals to shade one way or the other with your selections.

DON’T: Sleep on Devin Singletary tonight, especially if he’s paired with the Bills defense. The Bills RB is affordable on both sites, and that’s one build where you don’t necessarily have to plug in Allen, too.

Now that we’ve established some narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):

  1. Josh Allen
  2. Derrick Henry
  3. Devin Singletary
  4. Stefon Diggs
  5. Jonnu Smith
  6. A.J. Brown (knee, questionable)
  7. Ryan Tannehill
  8. Cole Beasley
  9. Bills DST
  10.  John Brown (knee, questionable)
  11.  Kalif Raymond
  12.  Dawson Knox
  13.  Gabriel Davis
  14.  Tyler Bass
  15.  Stephen Gostkowski
  16.  Zack Moss (toe, questionable)
  17.  Anthony Firkser
  18.  Tyler Kroft
  19.  Nick Westbrook
  20.  Titans DST
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NFL DFS Week 15 GPP Picks Of Destiny

Week 15 in NFL DFS is about finding the best opportunities for guaranteed production with a high upside. Follow my stud and value GPP plays and lock in the NFL DFS Picks of Destiny.

David Jones won 100K on FanDuel! Read about it here!

David also won back-to-back GPPs!

I am currently in Puerto Rico for the Fanduel World Championship but wanted to provide some of the guys I am looking at this week for my main lineup.

Quarterbacks:

Stud: Jimmy Garoppolo ($8,400 FD)

He is in an obvious great spot against the Atlanta Falcons who travel to the West Coast to face Kyle Shanahan (their old offensive coordinator) and the San Fransisco 49ers. The Falcons will be without their WR2 Calvin Ridley, and honestly, I don’t think they have much of a chance to win here. I am calling for a 49ers blowout. Atlanta has given up 24 touchdowns through the air (tied for 7th most) and probably give up a (at least) few more here. Garoppolo just put up 402 and four touchdowns on the Saints, in New Orleans. If this offense is clicking like it was last week Garoppolo could be your highest scoring QB.

Pivot: DeShaun Watson

Value: Ryan Tannehill ($7,600 FD)

He gets the 27th worst fantasy pass defense in the NFL in the Houston Texans. I rewatched the Texans game this week, and their defensive backs are lost. They allowed Broncos rookie QB Drew Lock to come in and throw for 309 and three touchdowns. Tannehill has been very stable in basically all of his starts as the Titans QB. He has multiple touchdowns in every game except for one and has rushed for three touchdowns in the last five games. I love his price this week and he is in top consideration to make my FanDuel live final lineup. I also like that the Titans can clinch the AFC South with a win on Sunday.

Pivot: Russell Wilson (not on your Chris Carson teams)

Punt: Derek Carr, Kyle Allen, Eli Manning

Running Backs

Stud RB: Chris Carson ($7,400 FD)

Every week you should be targeting the Carolina Panthers rush defense. They have given up five more touchdowns than any other team in the NFL this season. The issue with playing Carson lately has been the Rashard Penny was splitting touches, but now that he is out for the season we can go back to our Seattle bell cow. Carson could be in for 20 touches in this game and WILL get in the end zone at least once. He is my favorite running back on the slate and I will have him in virtually every lineup I make.

Stud Pivot: Christian McCaffrey, Derick Henry, Saquon Barkley (I don’t feel great about it but he is in a good, not great, spot)

Value RB: DeAndre Washington ($6,300 FD) or Josh Jacobs ($7,700 FD)

I like whoever starts but we do not have the official word yet.

We have to watch Josh Jacobs’ news. As I write this he is questionable. IF Jacobs is out I will be locking Washington into my main lineup against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense who has given up on the season. The Jags head to the west coast to get thumped by the Raiders in their last home game ever in Oakland. The Raiders win this game and whoever starts at the running back should give a great day. If Josh Jacobs is starting, feels free to roll him out too.

Update: If it is announced the RB’s will have a 50/50 split, I might have to get off of both of them.

NFL DFS Punts/High Risk: Phillip Lindsay (you can run on KC), Patrick Laird (DraftKings)

I will update again closer to Sunday. Be sure to check back.

Wide Receiver

Stud WR: Chris Godwin ($8,400 FD)

Mike Evans is out and Chris Godwin should get fed by Jameis Winston against the Detroit Lions. Our issue all season has been trying to choose bet which Buccaneers wide receiver will put up 30 points, and usually getting it wrong because of the unpredictability of the Tampa QB. Well, that problem is no more. I can’t believe I can actually type Chris Godwin is safe in NFL DFS, but that is the case this week IF we have a healthy Jameis Winston (he has been dealing with a hurt hand).

Stud Pivots: DeAndre Hopkins, Kenny Golladay, Devante Adams

Mid WR: A.J. Brown ($6,200 FD)

I hate chasing points but if I am playing Ryan Tannehill I am pairing him with A.J. Brown. Houston is absolutely terrible defending the wide receiver. I was astounded at how bad they looked last week. Brown is going to be the top targeted receiver in Nashville this Sunday and has a very reasonable price tag. If he just gets in the end zone once OR gets 100 yards, he pays off in NFL DFS. If he does both, we are making a lot of money.

Pivots: Jarvis Landry, DJ Moore, Tyler Lockett/DK Metcalf, Deebo Samuel, Sterling Shepard (plenty of options in the mid-tier)

NFL DFS Punt Wide Receivers: Terry McLaurin, Danny Amendola, Larry Fitzgerald, Will Fuller (questionable now), Justin Watson

Tight End Rankings

  1. Zach Ertz
  2. Darren Waller
  3. Ian Thomas
  4. Tyler Higbee
  5. Mike Gesicki
  6. Dallas Goedert
  7. Jonnu Smith (punt territory)

Note: George Kittle is in a great NFL DFS spot, but Jimmy G spreads it around so much, and I don’t think they need to rely on the Big Man in what should be an easy win.

Tight End Pivots: Zach Ertz, George Kittle, David Njoku

Defense

  1. Patriots
  2. 49ers
  3. Chiefs
  4. Punt: Raiders
  5. Punt: Giants

I will tweet out when there are NFL DFS updates. Be sure to follow me @tenaciousdjones on Twitter so you don’t miss out!

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Wow. The days leading up to Week 14 kick off have been full of injury drama and news revelations. I’ll touch on the Dalvin Cook saga, Josh Jacobs’ shoulder, Evan Engram’s dance with the practice report (and DFS players’ hearts) and other players’ status in this DFS Injury Fades and Plays. Note that the following prices are from FanDuel.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold​ right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

Dalvin Cook ($8,700)

There is a good amount of confusion surrounding Cook’s situation, and many DFS players aren’t sure how to view him. It is a bit ridiculous that Cook suffered an injury severe enough to rule him out on Monday night, but is no longer on the practice report. Not only that but when the cameras panned to him and the trainers, it was evident Cook was having an emotional response to the injury indicating that it was extremely painful for him. My brief twitter conversation with Dr. Jesse Morse is below:

https://twitter.com/FFStudentDoc/status/1203085288358268928?s=20

Situations like this are exactly why injury analysts are crucial. Below I’ll outline possible outcomes involving Cook and Alexander Mattison ($5,100).

  1. Dalvin Cook starts, plays approximately half of the snaps (he averages just around 75% normally) and sees about half of his touches. Mattison sees the other half but takes over the goal line/red zone opportunities to protect Cook’s SC joint and has the bigger day.
  2. Cook and Mattison split touches, snaps, and fantasy points rendering each other usable options, but no ceiling for either.
  3. Cook is “dummy active” and sees well below half the touches, Mattison takes the bulk of the work and has a big day against the Lions’ lowly rush defense.

Ultimately, this situation makes Cook a fade in cash, but at $5,100 Mattison warrants consideration in cash simply because any way you slice it, he’ll more than likely see an increased workload.

Josh Jacobs ($7,400)

Jacobs is not a cash option this week, period. He came out and admitted he has a fractured shoulder, which can help to explain his lack of passing game involvement if this has been a season-long injury. To make matters worse in DFS, he did not practice this week until a very limited session on Friday. He’s also a bit pricey against the middle of the road Titans and if the Raiders continue to give up points by the dozen, Jacobs can easily be game-scripted out. The only player I’m considering in this game is Ryan Tannehill ($7,300).

Le’Veon Bell ($7,300)

Bell missed Thursday and Friday practice with an illness, which is enough for me to completely fade him from a health perspective. We’ve been down this road with Tyler Lockett in Week 13 who followed the same pattern and saw a season-low in targets and snap share. Bell, if active, could be dealing with residual fatigue and dehydration that will cap his touches and production. Instead, I’m pivoting to the Miami passing game that has been on fire lately and is bolstered by the fact that star safety Jamal Adams has already been ruled out with an ankle injury.

The rest of the players in the DFS Injury Fades and Plays are tournament plays and only cash considerations for those who abide by the risk-it-biscuit ideology.

Darwin Thompson ($5,200)

Thompson is not a viable cash option but has a chance to be a slate breaker in tournaments. With the loss of Darrel Williams to the IR and Damien Williams still recovering from a ribs injury, Thompson vaults into the (basically) co-starter position alongside LeSean McCoy ($6,100). Given that the Chiefs signed perennial just-a-guy Spencer Ware, I expect Thompson to see enough work to warrant free square status this week against the Patriots.

David Njoku ($4,900)

Njoku should be completely healthy from a wrist fracture he suffered in Week Two and is a middle of the road option against the lowly Bengals defense this week. From a health perspective, he should be more than ready to go and given the injury should not have impacted his ability to aerobic conditioning, he could be another slate breaker at low ownership. The concern I have with Njoku is his quarterback, who has been a disappointment this year, to say the least. From a cash perspective, Njoku is still on my wait-and-see list, but I’ll be using him in tournaments this week given his opponent, projected ownership and low price tag.

Evan Engram

Engram (and Rhett Ellison) has officially been ruled out. Kaden Smith will be a chalky option against the Eagles in the showdown slates, but he’s a decent option considering the single-game slates are really more about ownership and being contrarian in different spots. Use Smith as a free square to differentiate yourself elsewhere. For example, Saquon Barkley could be low owned due to his recent lack of production. Stacking him with the ghost of the ghost of check down Eli Manning.

Thank you for reading my DFS Injury Fades and Plays for Week 14. If you have any questions don’t hesitate to find on Twitter or comment them down below. Good luck!

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE.

Photo courtesy of Ser Amantio di Nicola.

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The quarterback is the most important position in sports, let alone football. Choosing the correct QB on your DFS lineup could be the difference between winning a tournament and walking out empty-handed. With that all out of the way, let’s get into the Quarterbacks DFS Picks for Cash Games, GPP and who to punt!

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If you’d like to see more of my work click here! Also, Follow me on Twitter @VinPensabene

Week 13 Quarterback Cash Game Plays

Sam Darnold, NYJ @ CIN

DK ($6,100) FD ($7,600)

Sam Darnold has been on a roll the past three weeks throwing just one interception. He has not faced the stiffest of competitions with the Giants, Redskins, and Raiders in that span. The offense is clicking and facing another weak opponent in Cincinnati. Going up against a Bengals team that The Bengals allow 251 yards per game and are in a position to lose this game to secure the first overall pick in the 2020 NFL Draft. Expect a big day at a great price for Darnold.

Jared Goff, LAR @ ARI

DK ($6,000) FD ($7,900)

This is the game where Goff shuts the critics up because he has to. People are now asking the question if he was worth the $110 million guaranteed money and coming off a bad game on Monday night. However, the Arizona Cardinals are the perfect remedy for this Rams offense. Goff is completing 62% of his passes this season and the Arizona Cardinals allow 297.5 yards a game through the pass. The team also allows the most passing touchdowns, passing first downs and quarterback ratings in the league. This is the perfect opportunity for Goff to correct a lot of his mistakes made in the past month.

Ryan Tannehill, TEN @ IND

DK ($5,700) FD ($7,300)

This might come as a shocker but Ryan Tannehill has the second-highest completion percentage this season with 72.1%. The only concern is his yards per game are just over 200, but the Colts give up 34 passing attempts a game and allow 235 passing yards a game. On a shorter slate due to the Thanksgiving games, there might be value going outside the norm for the quarterback position.

Week 13 Quarterback GPP Plays

Aaron Rodgers, GB @ NYG

DK ($6,500) FD ($8,100)

After getting humiliated against the Baltimore Ravens last week on a national level, expect Aaron Rodgers to come out firing in New York. He doesn’t turn the ball over as he has thrown just two interceptions. Rodgers has weapons and a running game to mix in some play-action passes. This Giants defense is not great against the passing attack either. The Giants allowed 260 yards per game and has given 18 touchdowns.

Carson Wentz, PHI @ MIA

DK ($5,800) FD ($7,300)

Carson Wentz has looked like he has taken a step back lately but the injuries to skill position players for the Eagles seem to continue. As of this writing, Zach Ertz missed practice with a hamstring injury and Nelson Agholor and Alshon Jeffrey were limited. If Wentz has two of the three then he should be great. The Dolphins do not pose much of threat defensively to stop a passing attack that the Eagles can have even without big-name targets. Miami doesn’t apply pressure to opposing quarterbacks as they recorded just 14 sacks so far. They also give up a quarterback rating of 106.8 which ranks as the second-most in the NFL. Expect a nice bounce-back performance from Wentz.

Nick Foles, JAX vs TB

DK ($5,700) FD ($7,500)

Nick Foles has looked like the quarterback the Jags were expecting after returning from injury. In the two games back, he has 47 and 48 attempts so expect the gameplan to continue to be throwing the football. The Bucs are one of the worst teams against the pass in the NFL so this matchup hugely favors Foles. Tampa allows 290 yards a game through the air and is susceptible to huge plays as they have given up 10 throws of at least 40 yards. Foles should be a high-demand player in a lot of lineups.

Week 13 Quarterback Fades

Tom Brady, NE @ HOU

DK ($6,100) FD ($8,200)

If you look at the numbers of Tom Brady, it makes you shake your head. He has the same completion percentage (62.2) as Mitchell Tribusky and a QBR of 55.8, meaning he is slightly above average this season. In his last four games, Brady threw for 237.5 yards a game and just four touchdowns. The offense isn’t counting on him to play a big role. Both the Texans and Patriots run the ball 27.5 times a game so expect the time of possessions to be inflated which could keep Brady on the sidelines.

Philip Rivers, LAC @ DEN

DK ($5,500) FD ($7,300)

Philip Rivers has not been completing passes at a high percentage lately as in the last two weeks, he has completed just 54.2%. Going up against the Denver Broncos defense is no easy order for him. The Broncos allow the fifth-fewest passing yards at 207.5 yards a game. They also allow the fourth-fewest passing first downs so moving the chains is going to be difficult as well. Expect another struggling effort for Rivers as his upside isn’t great in this matchup.

Baker Mayfield, CLE @ PIT

DK ($6,200) FD ($7,600)

This has the making of an ugly performance for Baker as it seems a lot will be going on. This is the Steelers first time to “get even” with the Browns since the brawl a few weeks ago. Nothing like that should happen but the Steelers will be playing with extra motivation. OBJ is questionable at the time of this writing and a limited team could struggle in this environment. Baker struggles in both road games and the fourth quarter so don’t expect much out of him in this game.

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day 

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Aaron Rodgers over 277.5 passing yards and Daniel Jones over 241.5 passing yards.

Aaron Rodgers should easily eclipse this with the reasons I mentioned in his section above. Daniel Jones has the big arm and Green Bay allows 238 yards of passing a game so expecting Danny Dimes to do slightly better isn’t that much of a difficult decision.

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