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Rougned Odor

Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks 8/13: MLB DFS Lineups

written by Vincent Pensabene

Here is a look on how some of our staff predicted winners on the Monday August 12 slate for MLB. You can access some of the content every day by getting a Premium Gold subscription.

8/13 MLB DFS Winner: Randal Grichuk

As you can see on the Premium Gold Win Daily MLB Cheatsheet, Jason Mezrahi thought Grichuk was a value pick in last night’s matchup and he was right. Grichuk went 3-for-5 with a double, home run, three runs and four RBI against the Texas Rangers.DFS Outlook: Grichuk has been hitting well in his last 15 games, .310 average with 5 HR and 12 RBI in that span. Going against Lance Lynn in tonight’s matchup, I would be hesitant to look in this direction for my lineup.

8/13 MLB DFS Winner: Rougned Odor

This snippet was posted in the Hitting Picks and Analysis piece that you can read here. Playing in Toronto against the Blue Jays, Odor went 2-for-4 with a home run, RBI and a run.DFS Outlook: Odor has been stinking at the plate this last week. He has 35 strikeouts in his last 30 games as well. He will be facing Thomas Pannone, who needs to bounce back after his last start. Fade Odor in this matchup.

8/13 MLB DFS Winner: Raimel Tapia

Another pick by Jason on the MLB Cheatsheet that came to fruition, Raimel Tapia had a solid day at the plate against the Diamondbacks. Tapia went 3-for-5 with two RBI and a run scored.DFS Outlook: Tapia is En Fuego since the All-Star break, hitting .341 in almost a month span. He will be facing Zac Gallen in tonight’s game and should be in your lineup once again.

8/13 MLB DFS Winners: Toronto Blue Jays

Jason with the trifecta on the Cheatsheet! The Toronto Blue Jays had an offensive explosion against the Texas Rangers last night. The Blue Jays scored 19 runs on 21 hits with four walks.DFS Outlook: Toronto had five (Randal Grichuk, Danny Jansen, Brandon Drury, Cavan Biggio and Justin Smoak) batters in their lineup drive in at least two runs. Going against Lance Lynn today, don’t expect much offense against a Cy Young candidate.

5 years ago 0 comment

8/13 DFS Hitting and Stacks

wesley maxwell 5 years ago

written by wesley maxwell

A full Tuesday 8/13 DFS hitting slate with a bunch of weather issues, including games in NYY, PHI and oh boy….WSH.

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8/13 DFS Hitting Catcher

Gary Sanchez, NYY vs. BAL

DK ($4,300) FD ($4,000)

A lefty (John Means) against Sanchez…..sign me up! The slugging catcher is posting a .360 wOBA, .291 ISO and .860 OPS against left-handers for his career.

8/13 DFS Hitting First Baseman

Paul Goldschmidt, STL vs. KC

DK ($4,400) FD ($4,100)

Goldschmidt just might be the streakiest hitter in the Majors. And we catch him on a tear with hits in three consecutive games, including multiple hits in two of them, with a homer and four each of RBI and runs. Glenn Sparkman, the opposing starting pitcher, has proved to be a below-average MLB pitcher.

8/13 DFS Hitting Second Baseman

Rougned Odor, TEX at TOR

DK ($4,100) FD ($3,300)

Odor had eight homers and 15 RBI over his previous 15 games. That home run potential is what we are chasing here and he came through for us last night. Do not be scared of the left on left matchup, as the Blue Jays starter Thomas Pannone, will likely have a short outing.

8/13 DFS Hitting Third Baseman

Gio Urshela, NYY vs BAL

DK ($5,000) FD ($4,400)

Yankees. Get as many Yankees as you can tonight. Though Gio disappointed a bit out of the 3-hole last night, you have to love Aaron Boone’s confidence in him to bat him there. And maybe disappointed is too strong of a word, as he recorded three hits and scored twice.

8/13 DFS Hitting Shortstop

Gleyber Torres, NYY vs. BAL

DK ($4,400) FD ($3,600)

I am unashamedly stealing from John Sterling here. You know when I as a Red Sox fan do that, then I must really like the Yankees tonight. Anyway, as the calendar approaches, Gleyber Day and the first weekend of September, you can count on Torres. Sort of like how you can count on a good Gleyber to be there for you. I am sorry, I apologize. I really do. USE THE YANKEE BATS TONIGHT!

8/13 DFS Hitting Outfielders

Aaron Judge, NYY vs. BAL

DK ($4,400) FD ($4,000)

The price is just too low going up against a struggling lefty.

Nomar Mazara

DK ($4,200) FD ($3,500)

Another lefty on lefty matchup to not be scared of tonight in Toronto. This guy is starting to hit the ball hard and the Jays will have to use their bullpen a bunch tonight.

Charlie Blackmon

DK ($5,600) FD ($4,600)

This is my spend-up outfielder for tonight. He disappointed last night with only five DK fantasy points, what are the chances he does that again tonight?

Stacks to use Tonight

Yankees: They get the Orioles. you know what to do.
Rockies/Diamondbacks: This game is at Coors. The weather is warm. The ball will carry great. I like the Yankees stack better simply because the two starting pitchers in this game (Gallen and Gray) are both pretty good (though this is Gallen’s 1st Coors experience).
Rangers: This choice will make you different than the crowd. We have seen that the Blue Jays starting pitcher, Thomas Pannone, is a lefty that can be hit hard.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB Daily Fantasy Sports

8/5 DFS Hitting and Prop Picks: All Rise!

Lahius Leverette 5 years ago

written by Lahius Leverette

For our 8/5 DFS Hitting Picks, we got some great options for you. We actually have a large 12-game slate, which is pretty surprising for a Monday. That is the ideal amount of games for DFS. though, and it should make for a fun slate.

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If you’d like to see more of my work click here!

8/5 DFS Hitting Catcher

Yasmani Grandal, MIL at PIT

DK ($4,200) FD ($3,000)

Picking catchers is always tough but Grandal is always one of the safest options on the board. That’s clear by his .373 OBP, .481 SLG and .854 OPS. Not only are those all career-highs for Grandal, they also happen to be some of the best numbers at the catcher position. We have to like him against Dario Agrazal, whose 6.21 xFIP is one of the worst marks in the game. It also puts Grandal on the left side, with the switch-hitter posting a .490 SLG and .854 OPS against righties since last season.

8/5 DFS Hitting First Baseman

Ji-Man Choi, TB vs. TOR

DK ($3,900) FD ($3,100)

Choi is quietly one of the best values in DFS right now and it’s time for these sites to take notice of his stellar play. What’s really changed things for him is the move to the leadoff spot, with Choi batting leadoff in four-straight games against righties. It’s led to one of his best stretches of his season too, with Choi hitting .500 in that span while collecting three doubles, six runs scored and six RBI. That’s no surprise when you consider his splits, with Choi generating a .376 OBP and .878 OPS against right-handers since 2017.

8/5 DFS Hitting Second Baseman

Rougned Odor, TEX at CLE

DK ($4,900) FD ($3,200)

I’ve had some great luck in recommending this guy and it’s easy to see why when looking at his recent numbers. Over his last 14 games, Odor has accrued three doubles, seven homers, 12 runs scored and 14 RBI en route to a 1.163 OPS. That’s the dude that we’ve been waiting for and he’s always one of the streakiest players in our game. The matchup against Aaron Civale is nice too, as it puts the platoon advantage in Odor’s favor versus a pitcher who’s only made one appearance at this level.

8/5 DFS Hitting Third Baseman

Jose Ramirez, CLE vs. TEX

DK ($4,800) FD ($3,700)

Much like Odor, Ramirez is one of the hottest hitters in the league. Over his last 27 games, Ramrez is hitting .313 while providing 22 runs scored, 11 doubles, nine homers and 27 RBI en route to a .988 OPS. That’s the stud that we’ve been waiting for and it’s scary that he’s one of the league leaders with 22 steals as well. The icing on the cake is this matchup against Ariel Jurado though, who’s pitching to a 6.70 ERA and 1.58 WHIP over his last nine starts. It also puts Ramirez on the left side, with the switch-hitter posting an OPS north of .900 against righties since 2017.

8/5 DFS Hitting Shortstop

Jonathan Villar, BAL vs. NYY

DK ($4,700) FD ($3,300)

Villar is a regular in my articles and recent results would indicate that we’ve been all over this guy. The 14 homers and 24 steals tells you everything you need to know, as that alone makes this price hard to understand. Any leadoff hitter with that power-speed combo is worth using in this price range, especially with his recent form. Over his last nine games. Villar has collected two doubles, three homers, 12 runs scored and seven steals en route to a .455 OBP and 1.121 OPS. That’s absurd production and it’s really no surprise that most of it has come against righties. So far this season, Villar has a .346 OBP and .765 OPS against right-handers while swiping 19 of his 23 steals. That’s huge against Masahiro Tanaka, who’s got an unsightly 10.59 ERA and 1.89 WHIP over his last six starts.

8/5 DFS Hitting Outfielders

J.D. Martinez, BOS vs. KC

DK ($5,100) FD ($4,200)

Martinez is starting to get hot and that’s scary from a guy who’s already one of the best hitters in our game. Over his last 15 games, J.D. is hitting .374 while providing a .464 OBP, .729 SLG and 1.193 OPS. That’s the stud that we were expecting and his .584 xSLG and .408 xwOBA would indicate that this streak will only continue. What really adds to his intrigue is this matchup, with Martinez posting a .455 OBP, .887 SLG and 1.341 OPS against left-handers this season. It happens to be a southpaw we want to exploit, with Mike Montgomery pitching to a 6.34 ERA and 1.77 WHIP this season.

Aaron Judge, NYY vs. BAL

DK ($4,600) FD ($4,100)

While I don’t really like this FanDuel price, it’s pretty hard to fade Judge on DraftKings at $4,600. That price is absurd for someone so talented and the hitting profile is still there. While he’s been struggling recently, this masher is still generating a .545 xSLG, .405 xwOBA and 97.8 exit velocity. That exit velocity happens to be the best mark in baseball and it’s just a matter of time before his numbers start turning around. A matchup against the Orioles is a great way to start the rebound, with Baltimore sitting dead-last in ERA, WHIP and home runs allowed.

Eloy Jimenez, CWS at DET

DK ($3,400) FD ($2,900)

Jimenez is going to be one of the best power hitters in the league in coming years and we have to capitalize on this price. I truly believe that he’ll be $1,000 more on each site come this time next season and it’s really no surprise when you look at his power potential. A .220 ISO speaks for itself, as that’s pretty much on par with the power stud that we saw in the minors. While Jimenez is struggling in his first few games off of the IL, we’re talking about a guy who had 11 homers in his 28 games before going on the IL. That power potential is especially tough to fade in a matchup like this, with Detroit sending out Drew VerHagen and his 11.66 ERA and 2.80 WHIP. We can’t fade a guy with so much upside in such a premium matchup at a price like this!

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day

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Lucas Giolito Over 5.5 Strikeouts

After another winner in our last article, let’s go back to the well with the K props. What makes this prop crazy is that Giolito has recorded at least four Ks in all 21 of his starts this season. He’s done that to the tune of a 30 percent K rate and gets to face a Tigers offense that ranks bottom-three in runs scored, OBP, OPS, xwOBA, xwOBA and K rate. I’m going to go bold and say he clears this prop in just four innings.

I’ll also be keeping track of my MKF picks from here on out so that you have a better idea of what I’m bringing to the table. I can only tack back to June but here’s where we are since. Record 22-14

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

Hitting and Stacks for 6/22: Be Bold with Blue Jays!

Mark Paquette 5 years ago

written by Mark Paquette

First Base:

Roberto Guzman, Rangers vs. White Sox: At only $2,800 on FD in the most extreme hitting environment (great for hitters), I like taking the savings here and spending up elsewhere. Globe Life Park is currently missing their “wind shields” put into place in 2015 to help curtail the number of home runs (see this article here). With these features damaged by a thunderstorm and removed, this park becomes very good for hitters (especially ones on the strong side of the platoon split) who are strong and hit the ball in the air.

Second Base:

Rougned Odor: Rangers vs. White Sox: Again, a bargain at $2,800 on FD, I love this play for the same reasons listed for Guzman above. Odor seems to be regaining his power stroke, with two home runs in his last four games.

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Third Base:

Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Blue Jays at Red Sox: My theme today is take the savings with bats and spend up for pitching (either Berrios or Ryu). Though Fenway will not be as good of a place for hitters as Globe Life, playing in the late afternoon will mean temperatures will be near 80 in Boston so the ball should carry well. At $2,800 on FD, there are few players at any price that are matching Guerrero Jr.’s exit velocity over the past several weeks. Getting a matchup against a below-average lefty in Brian Johnson should help Vlad, and the fact the Red Sox and Jays went extra innings means that Johnson could be asked to go deeper into the game than normal (the Red Sox used five bullpen arms last night after Chris Sale only went five innings).

Shortstop:

Freddy Galvis, Blue Jays at Red Sox: Same theme as above. Take the savings ($2,700 FD) and spend up elsewhere. Galvis is a streaky hitter, and with multiple hits in six of his last eight games, we can see he is on the positive side of a streak right now.

Outfield:

Nomar Mazara, White Sox at Rangers: This man hit a ball 505 feet last night. Yup, 505 feet. I guess he is over the injury that kept him sidelined recently. Oh, and he is only $3,000 on FD? Yes please.

Stacks

Texas: Odrisamer Despaigne is not a good MLB pitcher, as mentioned above. With the heat, and the lack of the wind screens at Globe Life, offenses should thrive and you have to like the Rangers chances.

Blue Jays: Here is a different one! Most of the time people use starting pitchers against the Blue Jays, but to use the Blue Jays as a stack? Listen to me here: Brian Johnson is not a good pitcher and he is a lefty. Chris Sale made the bullpen pitch five innings last night, thus Johnson may be asked to go deeper in the game than he normally would. You have to like so powerful righty bats, like Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ($2,800 FD), Teoscar Hernandez ($2,700) and Lourdes Gurriel Jr ($3,000 FD) in this game.

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

MLB DFS Hitting and Prop Picks for 5/30: Targeting Cleveland and Texas

Alisia Gustafson 5 years ago

written by Alisia Gustafson

JaguarLou here, providing you with the go-to batters and need-to-know DFS information as well as my Monkey Knife Fight pick of the night.

Catcher

Roberto Perez ($2,500 FD & 3,700 DK): This is a solid value play on a team that is expected to score and score big! Perez has been solid over his last six games, averaging 10.98 FanDuel PPG and should see an uptick in potential RBI and runs against a vulnerable Manny Banuelos. He owns a 10.60 ERA against Cleveland so far this season over two starts. In those starts, Cleveland totaled five homers over only 8.1 total innings, averaging a team .353 BA. Stack those Indians!

First Base

Cody Bellinger ($4,800 FD & $5,800 DK): This is where we are going to be spending up tonight, as Cody Bellinger is on fire! The Dodgers cleanup man has averaged 21.34 FanDuel points over his last five games while homering in three of the five. Although Bellinger crushes right handed pitching (and Vargas is no right-hander) there’s a slight misconception that he can’t hit lefties but it couldn’t be further from the truth. Bellinger owns a .343 BA with seven home runs against left handed pitching in just 67 at-bats so far this season. My hope is that Bellinger goes lower owned than he should due to the L/L matchup but the facts are, he’s one of the hottest hitters in the league facing an unimpressive Mets pitching staff at home in Dodger Stadium.

Second Base

Rougned Odor ($2,700 FD & $3,900 DK): Rougned Odor has massive potential in a high over/under that favors left-handed power bats. While Globe Life Stadium hasn’t allowed as many home runs as it usually does, these numbers will even out, Globe Life Park in Arlington is always one of the more premier hitting parks in the Majors. So with the mere 1.024 HR/game that the stadium is currently allowing, I fully expect to increase and quickly. Odor faces Jakob Junis, who has been inconsistent at best and has allowed 50% more home runs on the road than he does at home due to the fact that Kansas City’s Kauffman Stadium is huge. Tonight in Globe Life, balls should be flying!

Shortstop

Elvis Andrus ($3,800 FD & 5,200 DK): Elvis Andrus has a nice matchup against the struggling Jakob Junis. His splits indicate that Junis has struggled on the road, in night games, as well as allowing a .292 BA to opposing lefties. Junis has also struggled at times with the HR ball and in Globe Life Park, this is what we’re banking on, the home run ball! Rougned Odor and Elvis Andrus are likely going to be batting second and third and should see an array of opportunities for fantasy goodness. Texas is favored by -150 with a 10.5 under/over, Andrus becomes one of my favorite plays, especially due to his reasonable price of $3,800 on FanDuel. Andrus’ high price of 5,200 on DraftKings gives me even more confidence in him as the shortstop play of the day on FanDuel.

Third Base

David Freese ($2,900 FD & $3,900 DK): David Freese is a high risk, high reward player, as his ceiling has reached 38 FD points as recently as the 24th of May, yet we’ve also seen his floor (zero) just three days prior. The question remains, what will we see tonight as Freese sets out to face the left-handed Jason Vargas? While I do NOT always follow BvP stats, I mention them on the rare occasions when they are very strong. This is one of those occasions. Freese owns a .571 BA with three home runs in 15 at bats against Vargas. In addition, Vargas is currently sporting very poor road splits, allowing a 6.75 ERA in four road starts this season. The Dodgers are favored at -260 with an 8 point under/over and Freese will have increased RBI opportunities as I fully expect him to be batting fourth or fifth in the lineup.

Outfielder

Starling Marte ($3,600 FD & $4,600 DK): Starling Marte owns a .481 BA with three doubles, one triple and two homers in 30 career at-bats against Chase Anderson. He struggled in his last two starts, allowing three earned runs over four innings at home against the Phillies and one week prior Anderson only lasted four innings against the Braves after walking four batters on just 76 pitches. While I don’t necessarily want to stack the Pirates against Anderson, I will have high exposure to Marte as the Pirates are slight underdogs with an 8.5 under/over.

Monkey Knife Fight Prop Picks

Cleveland seems to have every statistical advantage in this game. I expect Carlos Santana and Francisco Lindor to significantly outperform Tim Anderson and Jose Abreu. Chicago has a tough matchup against Carlos Carrasco ,who has held the White Sox to a team .190 BA over 198 at bats. That is what I like to call consistent, long-term production. And in the end that’s really what we’re looking for, Consistency. Lock and load the overs on the Indians players in the props below:

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB Daily Fantasy Sports

DFS Hitting and MLB Prop Picks for 5/20: Texas Two-Step

Cora Baylis 5 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

Catcher

Wilson Ramos, NYM vs. WSH

DK ($3,300) FD ($2,500)

I honestly don’t really like this matchup, but this DraftKings price absolutely blows my mind. We’re talking about one of the best hitting catchers in the Majors and it’s a wonder why he’s priced below guys like Rene Rivera, Austin Romine and Caleb Joseph. Ramos is obviously the cream of the crop and that’s just a small sample of the nobodies who are ahead of him. Getting to face a lefty should limit some of the risk, with Ramos posting an .842 OPS against southpaws since the beginning of 2017. Keep an eye on Ramos over the coming weeks, because he should be closer to $4,000.

First Base

Kendrys Morales, NYY at BAL

DK ($3,400) FD ($2,200)

Let’s keep the value plays riding, as Morales has found himself in the heart of the Yankees order. In fact, Morales has batted fifth in three of his first four games with New York, picking up a hit in all three fixtures while providing a homer, two runs scored and three RBI. That’s pretty much the Morales we’ve become accustomed to throughout his career and it’s hard to argue with his .860 OPS against righties last season. Getting to hit in Yankee Stadium should only improve that lefty power, considering that bandbox is the friendliest park for left-handed bats in the league. We’re talking about a guy with a career .189 ISO and .334 wOBA and it’s hard to understand why he’s flirting with a minimum price on both sites in the heart of a potent lineup. The icing on the cake is the matchup though, with Andrew Cashner posting a 4.54 ERA and 1.46 WHIP over the last four years, and the Yankees projected for more than five runs.

Second Base

Rougned Odor, TEX vs. SEA

DK ($4,300) FD ($2,900)

Let’s keep our value plays rolling, as I really love Odor on FanDuel. I probably won’t ride him out there on DK at $4,300, but paying below $3,000 on FD is hard to overlook. What really makes Odor intriguing is his recent form. The lefty second baseman is one of the streakiest players in the league and collecting five homers, nine runs scored and 13 RBI over his last 11 games shows that he’s starting to get hot. What should scare off fantasy owners is his lack of discipline at the plate, but that shouldn’t be an issue against a contact pitcher like Mike Leake. Odor always performs better against righties too, posting a .754 career OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor while picking up almost all of his steals against them.

Third Base

Josh Donaldson, ATL at SF

DK ($4,300) FD ($3,500)

After a few value plays, let’s get to some higher-end options. While hitting in Oracle Park is a scary proposition, facing Andrew Suarez is not. In fact, the Giants southpaw posted a 4.49 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in the Majors last season, and he tallied a 6.33 ERA and 1.70 WHIP in Triple-A so far this season. This marks his first start of the year at this level and it’s a wonder why he was called up while struggling so badly. Suarez is especially bad against righties, with right-handed bats posting a .504 SLG and .363 wOBA against him in his career. That’s a beautiful sign for Donaldson, with the slugging third baseman posting a career .959 OPS against southpaws. He’s hot right now too, providing 12 doubles and seven homers over his last 35 games.

Shortstop

Carlos Correa, HOU vs. CWS

DK ($5,200) FD ($4,000)

Shortstop is an absolute nightmare on this slate, so we’re going to go big here with Correa. The slugging shortstop has been doing some serious damage in the heart of the Astros order, with Correa posting a 1.000 OPS over his last 25 games. That’s really no surprise when you consider the fact that Houston is the highest-scoring team over the last month. While we don’t know who he’s going to face, any time a potent offense like this faces a minor league TBD, it’s worth taking a shot on.

Outfield

Joey Gallo, TEX vs. SEA

DK ($5,700) FD ($4,200)

Much like Odor, we love to use Gallo against contact pitchers. The only weakness that Gallo has is that he strikes out a ton. With that K upside dropped a significant amount against Leake, he becomes one of the best options on the slate. Any time Gallo gets the ball in play, he’s a guy we want stock in. In fact, Gallo is one of the league leaders with a .441 xwOBA and a .362 ISO. He’s been even more absurd against right-handers, posting a 1.089 OPS against righties so far this season.

Ronald Acuna Jr, ATL at SF

DK ($4,600) FD ($4,100)

Acuna got off to a slow start this season but recent results indicate that he’s back to his rookie form. Over his last 14 games, Acuna is hitting .304 with 10 runs scored, nine RBI, three homers and three steals. That directly correlates with him returning to leadoff duties and we definitely want to use him against a weak lefty like Suarez. Since his call-up, Acuna owns a .391 OBP and a 1.001 OPS against southpaws while posting a .658 SLG against lefties so far this year.

Shohei Ohtani, LAA vs. MIN

DK ($4,000) FD ($3,800)

This DraftKings price is really hard to understand, as Ohtani has been one of the best hitters in the league since joining the Angels. Dating back to last season, Ohtani actually ranks Top 5 in the league in OPS. One would argue that he’s an even better hitter this year, with the Japanese slugger providing a .391 xwOBA so far this season. The lefty slugger is really finding his form at the plate too, collecting nine hits over his last 28 at-bats. We always want to use him against righties too, with Ohtani posting a 1.011 OPS against right-handers since his signing.

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day

Gallo/Odor/Choo combining for more than 4.5 runs+RBI

With a limited slate, we’re going to go with just one pick here. I really like the Rangers today and we’re going to back these Texas righties against Mike Leake. While Leake is a solid pitcher, he seems likely to struggle against a lefty-heavy lineup in a hitter’s haven like Globe Life Park. The main reason is because Leake has a minuscule 16 percent career K rate and that spells disaster in a park like this. Vegas appears to agree with me, as they have the Rangers projected for six runs, the highest total on the slate.

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB Daily Fantasy Sports

DFS Hitting and MLB Prop Picks for 5/20: Texas Two-Step

Cora Baylis 5 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

Catcher

Wilson Ramos, NYM vs. WSH

DK ($3,300) FD ($2,500)

First Base

Kendrys Morales, NYY at BAL

DK ($3,400) FD ($2,200)

Second Base

Rougned Odor, TEX vs. SEA

DK ($4,300) FD ($2,900)

Third Base

Josh Donaldson, ATL at SF

DK ($4,300) FD ($3,500)

Shortstop

Carlos Correa, HOU vs. CWS

DK ($5,200) FD ($4,000)

Outfield

Joey Gallo, TEX vs. SEA

DK ($5,700) FD ($4,200)

Ronald Acuna Jr, ATL at SF

DK ($4,600) FD ($4,100)

Shohei Ohtani, LAA vs. MIN

DK ($4,000) FD ($3,800)

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day

Gallo/Odor/Choo combining for more than 4.5 runs+RBI

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

MLB DFS Hitting Picks for 5/15 – Astro Assault

Cora Baylis 5 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

Our player write-ups have been on point recently and we’re hoping to continue our hot stretch today. Much like any other slate, the first thing we need to do is check in on Mother Nature. The good news here is that we have almost no rain in the forecast. There is one shady forecast in Philly but it appears to be nothing serious. To get more info, check in with Mark Paquette.

Catcher

Gary Sanchez, NYY vs. BAL

DK ($5,300) FD ($4,000)

While Sanchez is one of only two Yankees in this article. New York very well may be the best stack on the board. While many might be concerned about his status, the fact that he was in Tuesday’s lineup before a postponement proves that he’s fully healthy. What we like here about Sanchez is this matchup, with David Hess posting a 5.50 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. Those numbers are pretty bad, but his .281 xBA, .609 xSLG and .405 xwOBA are even worse. That really makes Sanchez an attractive option with his impressive .467 xwOBA and .380 ISO, which are simply some of the best marks in the majors.

Also Consider: Wilson Ramos hit a grand slam on Tuesday and is just $3,200 on DraftKings.

First Base

Luke Voit, NYY vs. BAL

DK ($5,000) FD ($3,900)

It’s hard to fade the Yankees with those ugly aforementioned Hess statistics, and Voit will be one of the key pieces to a New York stack. Voit’s peripherals are almost as ridiculous as Sanchez’s, with the first baseman posting a .400 xwOBA this season and a .261 career ISO. Vegas appears to love this Yankees stack too, as they have the Bronx Bombers projected for more than five runs.

Also Consider: Tyler White continues to be priced super cheap and could be a contrarian piece to a Houston stack.

Second Base

Rougned Odor, TEX at KC

DK ($3,700) FD ($2,500)

The one time we recommended Odor earlier this season he homered, so hopefully, we can keep that unlikely luck going here. It’s hard to look at his season-long numbers and get excited, but there’s reasons to like him today. While his .153 average is downright unsightly, hitting two doubles on Tuesday is hopefully the start of a special run. Not only does Odor have a .750 career OPS against right-handers, almost all of his stolen bases have come against righties too. Facing Jorge Lopez is a good way to continue his mini-surge, with the Kansas City righty posting a 6.07 ERA and 1.49 WHIP so far this season.

Also Consider: Robinson Cano is just $3,300 on DraftKings. While I don’t like this matchup, that price is crazy.

Third Base

Alex Bregman, HOU at DET

DK ($5,300) FD ($4,400)

Bregman is the second piece to our Astros stack, as he may be the hottest hitter in the league right now. Since April 30, Bregman has collected nine homers and 20 RBI en route to a 1.132 OPS. That’s obviously absurd and it’s really no surprise when you consider the fact that Houston is averaging 11.3 runs per game across their four fixtures while posting the best OPS in the league against left-handed pitching. That spells disaster for lefty Gregory Soto, who allowed 11 baserunners and seven runs in his one start this season.

Also Consider: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. remains super cheap on both sites and his two homers on Tuesday shows the sort of potential that he has.

Shortstop

Carlos Correa, HOU at DET

DK ($4,800) FD ($3,900)

Correa had a hell of a game on Tuesday and he makes for another great piece to our Houston stack. In that outburst on Tuesday, Correa hit a homer and a triple while collecting two runs scored and three RBI. That now gives him 16 extra-base hits over his last 24 games, as he’s also provided 16 runs and 20 RBI in that span as well. Facing a lefty should only help, as he, Bregman and George Springer all perform better with the platoon advantage in their favor.

Also Consider: Gleyber Torres has been slumping but he could have success against Hess in a Yankees stack.

Outfield

Joey Gallo, TEX at KC

DK ($5,400) FD ($4,200)

Gallo is probably my best bet to homer in this slate and he’s truly established himself as one of the best power hitters in the game. After hitting two doubles on Tuesday, Gallo has pushed his ISO to an absurd .372. That happens to be the second-best mark in the league and his .438 xwOBA is one of the best marks in the Majors, too. Lopez’s ugly numbers from the Odor write-up should only help, with Gallo posting a .530 SLG against righties since the beginning of 2017.

Andrew McCutchen, PIT vs. MIL

DK ($4,000) FD ($3,700)

Picking outfielders is tough in this slate, but McCutchen makes for a nice pivot batting leadoff against a lefty. Using BvP is dangerous, but McCutchen and Gio have had a ton of matchups over the years. In fact, McCutchen is 8-for-25 at the plate against Gonzalez, collecting a .935 OPS and .405 wOBA against him. That’s all you can ask for, especially considering the fact that McCutchen has a .948 OPS against left-handers throughout his career.

Marwin Gonzalez, MIN vs. LAA

DK ($3,500) FD ($2,900)

Gonzalez is actually third base eligible on both sites but I wanted to get him here in the outfield. What I really like is this price, as Gonzalez has traditionally been a $4,000 player over the last three years. In fact, Gonzalez has a .799 OPS since the beginning of 2017 and he finds himself in the heart of the order for one of the best teams in baseball. Marwin appears to be finding some rhythm at the plate too, posting an OPS just shy of 1.200 in his current seven-game hitting streak. We prefer to use Gonzalez against righties too, as he has an OPS north of .800 against right-handers since the beginning of 2017.

Also Consider: George Springer is one of the highest-priced players on the board but he’s tough to fade atop that Astros order against another weak lefty.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

MLB DFS Hitting Picks for 5/8 – Rockie Roll All Night

Cora Baylis 5 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

The first thing we always need to check before submitting DFS lineups is the weather and we have some nightmare forecasts here. Over half of the Wednesday slate has weather question marks and the cities/states we need to keep an eye on are as follows: Milwaukee, St. Louis, Chicago, Colorado, Baltimore, Detroit and Houston. That’s simply a bad outlook for DFS players and it’s imperative to check with Mark Paquette for weather updates.

Catcher

Yasmani Grandal, MIL vs. WSH

DK ($4,200) FD ($3,000)

The Brewers make for a nice stack here against Jeremy Hellickson and Grandal should be in the heart of their order. When picking catchers, I usually punt the position or pick an elite option, so we’re going to go with a stud like Grandal. What we like here is the fact that he gets to bat from the left side against Jeremy Hellickson. Since the beginning of 2017, Grandal owns an .805 OPS and .478 SLG against right-handers. Hellickson’s 5.33 ERA and 1.48 WHIP shouldn’t scare us off either, especially in a hitter’s haven like Miller Park.

Also Consider: Willson Contreras is the hottest catcher in the league right now and gets a good matchup against Jose Urena

First Base

Anthony Rizzo, CHC vs. MIA

DK ($5,300) FD ($4,300)

Rizzo might be the hottest hitter in the league right now and that alone makes him impossible to fade in this matchup. Over his last 15 games, Rizzo is posting a .351 AVG and .449 OBP. That is impressive but his power has been even more absurd, with Rizzo providing six doubles, six homers and 17 RBI in that span. Rizzo always hits better against right-handers and Urena’s .370 wOBA, 5.45 ERA and 1.54 WHIP definitely make him someone we want to stack against.

Also Consider: Jesus Aguilar is super cheap on both sites and has a .478 OBP and three dingers over his last eight games.

Second Base

Rougned Odor, TEX at PIT

DK ($4,000) FD ($3,000)

Odor’s ugly batting average will make many DFS owners overlook his potential but this guy is too good to be this cheap. Not only is he batting in the heart of the Rangers order, this is also a guy who has 25-20 potential. That’s evident by the fact that he’s averaging 27 homers and 14 steals per year over the last three seasons. While he hasn’t provided much of that yet this year, it’s good to invest in a guy when his stock is at its lowest because an increase is inevitably on the horizon. It could start against Nick Kingham, as Odor gets the platoon advantage against a righty who’s posted a 6.39 ERA and 1.50 WHIP.

Also Consider: Jose Altuve is more expensive but could have success against an inconsistent arm like Jorge Jopez.

Third Base

Nolan Arenado, COL vs. SF

DK ($5,500) FD ($4,900)

Arenado is always worth considering at home and especially so when he faces a weak left-hander. While this price makes him a tough sell, it’s hard to overlook his career numbers. In fact, Arenado owns a 1.020 OPS against lefties throughout his career and a .979 OPS at home. That’s obviously ridiculous and it says a lot about how good this guy is. He comes into this matchup rolling too, with nine homers, 21 runs and 21 RBI over his last 19 game. Not to mention, Arenado owns a 1.700 OPS and .600 OBP in 15 plate appearances against Derek Holland throughout their careers. The Giants lefty pitching in Coors is a nightmare circumstance too, as his .349 xwOBA and 5.17 FIP paint an ugly picture.

Also Consider: Matt Carpenter remains cheap on both sites and gets the platoon advantage against Jared Eickhoff.

Shortstop

Trevor Story , COL vs. SF

DK ($5,600) FD ($4,700)

Story pairs beautifully with Arenado as a two-man Rockies stack, as Story is easily the best shortstop option on the board. This write-up is nearly identical to the Arenado recommendation, as Story has made minced meat of lefties at home throughout his career too. Since his call-up, Story has posted a .973 OPS at home and a 1.024 OPS against southpaws. That has equated to an OPS north of 1.200 against southpaws at home and it’s no surprise when you consider the fact that Coors Field is the best hitting park in the majors. What also makes this Rockies stack intriguing is Vegas’ thoughts on the game, as they have Colorado projected to score nearly six runs, which is easily the highest total on the slate.

Also Consider: Corey Seager is just $3,600 on DK and $3,000 on FD and gets the platoon advantage against a struggling Mike Foltyniewicz.

Outfield

Mookie Betts/J.D. Martinez, BOS vs. BAL

DK ($5,400) FD ($4,300)

DK ($4,900) FD ($3,900)

These two ruined my Monkey Knife Fight picks on Monday but we’re going to go right back to the well here. The simple fact is, these are two of the best hitters in the game. That makes them worth considering on any slate but especially against Andrew Cashner. The Orioles righty has simply been one of the worst pitchers in the Majors over recent years, posting a .381 xwOBA this season while accruing a 4.52 ERA and 1.46 WHIP since the beginning of 2015. That spells disaster against Martinez, who homered on Tuesday and is one of the league leaders with a .452 xwOBA. Betts is on fire right now too, as he’s 25-for-64 at the plate over his last 16 games, accumulating three homers, six doubles, 14 walks, 14 runs and 13 RBI in that span.

Yasiel Puig, CIn at OAK

DK ($3,900) FD ($2,700)

The Cincinnati slugger has struggled in his first month with the Reds but he’s simply too good to be priced this cheaply. What makes Puig an intriguing option here is the fact that he gets the platoon advantage against Brett Anderson, with Puig posting a .932 OPS against left-handers this season. Anderson is not really a pitcher Puig’s going to worry about either, with the southpaw posting a 1.41 WHIP and 4.91 xFIP so far this year.

Gregory Polanco, PIT vs. TEX

DK ($4,100) FD ($2,900)

Polanco is in the exact same boat as Puig, as we’re going to bet on him getting much better over the next few months. The lefty slugger actually homered Tuesday and hopefully, that’s the sign of things to come. He now has at least 10 DK points in three of his last four games and it’s only going to continue against a weak righty like Shelby Miller. Not only does Miller own an unsightly 7.99 ERA and 2.03 WHIP, he’s also posting a nightmarish .408 xwOBA. That’s fantastic for Polanco, who owns an OPS of .800 against righties since the beginning of 2017.

Also Consider: Andrew Benintendi is another great piece to a Boston stack, as he gets the platoon advantage against Cashner.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

Bounceback Candidates

Jason Mezrahi 5 years ago

written by Jason Mezrahi

Bounceback CandidatesClayton Kershaw, LAD, (SP): What if I told you that the best pitcher of our generation is being drafted around pick 100 in most season-long drafts? The main reason for that is because Kershaw is dealing with a shoulder issue but he appears to be progressing well in his rehab. In fact, Kershaw is expected to only miss the first two weeks of the year, as he’s already progressed to throwing to live hitters. Taking Kershaw is certainly risky but getting him this cheap takes out most of that risk. The upside is simply impossible to overlook, as Kershaw has finished as the top pitcher in baseball for about half of his career. That’s evident in his 2.39 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and 9.77 K/9 career rates. Those are straight ridiculous numbers and it seems very likely that people are over-reacting to his injury status. We’re talking about a pitcher who just turned 32-years-old. You’d think this guy is 50-years-old with the way people are reacting to him. His 2.73 ERA and 1.04 WHIP from last season indicate he’s not far off from the ace we’ve become accustomed to and he’s easily one of the best bounce-back candidates out there. Josh Donaldson, ATL (3B) Donaldson is being overlooked in the fantasy industry, as he could return to his MVP form in Atlanta. Not only does he get to hit in this dominant lineup, but Donaldson also gets the fortune of hitting in this little league ballpark. In its inaugural year, SunTrust Park finished seventh in total runs. That’s a small uptick from Rogers Centre but Donaldson gets to hit in a much better lineup. Having Ronald Acuna Jr. and Freddie Freeman around him in the lineup should open up some better pitches, as Donaldson is not far removed from being one of the best hitters in the majors. Prior to an injury-riddled 2018, Donaldson averaged 32.8 home runs and 98.2 RBI across his previous five seasons. This is a guy who stayed pretty healthy in that stretch too, averaging 149 games per season. The weak 2018 is an outlier in an otherwise impressive career, so don’t let that stray you away from one of the most overlooked hitters in the game. Joey Votto, CIN, (1B) Votto’s 12 home runs last year stands out like a sore thumb but he’s one of the easiest bounce-back candidates for this upcoming season. If you take out an injury-riddled 2014 season, Votto averaged 28.3 home runs and 116.4 RBI across his previous seven seasons before last year’s dud. Those are impressive numbers in itself but the fact that he posted a .433 OBP in that span makes him one of the most dangerous at-bats in the majors. The 12 home runs last season are an absolute fluke too, as his 41 percent hard-hit rate and 9.5 percent HR/FB rates are major outliers for his career. Having a career-high hard-hit rate while posting a career-low HR/FB rate shows just how unlucky he was last season, as he should return to his typical 25-30 homers this year. Adding Yasiel Puig and Matt Kemp to an already solid lineup can’t hurt either, as that should help Votto see better pitches, even though he already has the best eyes in the game.Rougned Odor, TEX (2B) Odor was one of the biggest disappointments last season with a .253 AVG, 18 home runs, and 12 steals but one stretch near the end of the year showed just how dominant he can be. Between June 16 and August 11, Odor hit 13 homers and 12 doubles while accruing 31 RBI and nine steals. That came out to a .640 SLG and 1.049 OPS, which was arguably one of the most dominant two-month stretches by any player all season. What’s really encouraging about Odor’s progression is his plate discipline. In fact, Odor nearly doubled his career average by posting an 8.1 percent BB-rate last season while lowering his K-rate below 24 percent. That discipline has carried over big time into spring training, with Odor collecting five walks in 38 spring training at-bats thus far. He’s also 14-of-38 at the plate while accumulating three doubles and four home runs en route to a 1.155 OPS. It’s not like he was chopped liver before either, with Odor tallying 63 home runs and 29 steals across 2016 and 2017. Everything here has the arrow pointing up for Odor and he’s one of few 2B who has legit 25 home run-20 steal potential. Jose Quintana, CHC (SP) Many people forget just how studly Quintana was in his days with the White Sox, as he looks primed to have a bounce-back season. In a disappointing 2018 campaign, Quintana posted a 4.03 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. Those numbers really aren’t even that bad but fantasy owners have pretty much given up on him looking at his ADP. This is a guy who averaged a 3.41 ERA and 1.24 WHIP across his first five seasons and that’s the pitcher I expect to see this year. The peripherals show why he struggled last season, as he posted career-highs in BB-rate and HR-rate. That’s a recipe for a boosted ERA and WHIP but his 14.7 percent HR/FB rate and .282 BABIP last season indicates he was slightly unlucky. Those are outlier numbers for his career and a regression to the mean seems like a likely outcome. It’s the price that really makes him attractive though, with Quintana going close to the 200-range in drafts while being priced super cheap in DFS. Some other notable players that I expect to bounce-back include Kris Bryant, Carlos Correa, Daniel Murphy, Cody Bellinger, Yu Darvish and Chris Archer. All of these guys have underlying statistics that show why they struggled last season and they should return closer to their career norms with positive regression headed their way.

5 years ago 0 comment

Newer Posts

Older Posts

Rougned Odor

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8/13 MLB DFS Winners: Toronto Blue Jays

8/13 DFS Hitting Catcher

Gary Sanchez, NYY vs. BAL

DK ($4,300) FD ($4,000)

8/13 DFS Hitting First Baseman

Paul Goldschmidt, STL vs. KC

DK ($4,400) FD ($4,100)

8/13 DFS Hitting Second Baseman

Rougned Odor, TEX at TOR

DK ($4,100) FD ($3,300)

8/13 DFS Hitting Third Baseman

Gio Urshela, NYY vs BAL

DK ($5,000) FD ($4,400)

8/13 DFS Hitting Shortstop

Gleyber Torres, NYY vs. BAL

DK ($4,400) FD ($3,600)

8/13 DFS Hitting Outfielders

Aaron Judge, NYY vs. BAL

DK ($4,400) FD ($4,000)

Nomar Mazara

DK ($4,200) FD ($3,500)

Charlie Blackmon

DK ($5,600) FD ($4,600)

Stacks to use Tonight

8/5 DFS Hitting Catcher

Yasmani Grandal, MIL at PIT

8/5 DFS Hitting First Baseman

Ji-Man Choi, TB vs. TOR

8/5 DFS Hitting Second Baseman

Rougned Odor, TEX at CLE

8/5 DFS Hitting Third Baseman

Jose Ramirez, CLE vs. TEX

8/5 DFS Hitting Shortstop

Jonathan Villar, BAL vs. NYY

8/5 DFS Hitting Outfielders

J.D. Martinez, BOS vs. KC

Aaron Judge, NYY vs. BAL

Eloy Jimenez, CWS at DET

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