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Portland Trail Blazers

NBA DFS for Ghost’s Gems (Mar. 14)

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

The race for playoff positioning is quickly heating up. NBA teams continue to jockey for seeding, while others attempt to best their competition for the Play-In round. It’s a Taco Tuesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Be sure to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups as the news rolls in. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

Brooklyn Nets @ Oklahoma City Thunder (-1.5)

Brooklyn Nets (+1.5)

Since their arrivals in Brooklyn, both Spencer Dinwiddie and Mikal Bridges have made a significant impact. While the Nets no longer have a game-changing superstar, this roster is built with depth and improved ball movement. Over his last five games, Bridges leads the team in both usage rate and scoring. Alongside Dinwiddie, who is second in both scoring and usage rate, Bridges has been able to flourish offensively. Moreover, Nic Claxton gets a friendly matchup against an OKC interior defense that ranks 26th in the NBA to true centers, while being ranked 26th in rebounding percentage.

Oklahoma City Thunder (-1.5)

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been removed from the injury report after resting on Sunday night. Since he has sat out the last few back-to-backs for OKC, SGA looks rejuvenated out there. Over his last four games, he has scored 30 or more points in all four appearances. Moreover, he has averaged 36.3/6/4.8 on 52.2% shooting during that span. With many enticing options at the top of the pricing grid on this NBA slate, including Nikola Jokic, Damian Lillard, and Anthony Davis, SGA will likely be less of a priority for the rest of the field, making him an enticing tournament play.

New York Knicks @ Portland Trail Blazers (+2.5)

New York Knicks (-2.5)

Jalen Brunson has missed the last two games for the Knicks and is unlikely to play again tonight. Thus, Julius Randle and Immanuel Quickley will shoulder the load on offense. The former leads the team with a commanding 38.5% usage rate without Brunson this last weekend, averaging 26/8/4 on a mere 33.3% shooting. Moreover, the duo of Quickley and RJ Barrett are awkwardly positioned on the pricing grid tonight, making this game a commitment if choosing to play either one of them. Lastly, Josh Hart has seen his minutes increase since arriving to New York, logging 30 or more minutes in his last six games. During that span, he has averaged a modest 8.7/9/3.7 on 59.3% shooting with little volume.

Portland Trail Blazers (+2.5)

Should Damian Lillard be ruled out tonight with a calf injury, this offense becomes more enticing. The trio of Jerami Grant, Anfernee Simons, and Cam Reddish will all see more offensive opportunity should Lillard be ruled out. This is a tough situation to evaluate considering it is the last game of the NBA slate, but there is tremendous upside here at different positions of the pricing grid.

Honorable Mentions:

Orlando Magic @ San Antonio Spurs (+5.5)
Los Angeles Lakers @ New Orleans Pelicans (-1.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

NBA DFS for Ghost’s Gems (Mar. 6)

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

There may only be six games on the NBA schedule tonight, but many have playoff implications to them. Teams continue to fight injuries and aim to get healthy before the postseason, while others battle it out for the Play-In round. It’s a Mojito Monday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Portland Trail Blazers @ Detroit Pistons (+5.5)

Portland Trail Blazers (-5.5)

Despite being on the outside looking in, Portland has a real shot to make the NBA Play-In tournament. On an Eastern Conference road trip, the Trail Blazers squeaked by Orlando last night and must win this game versus Detroit. Thus, Damian Lillard will need to give it all he’s got to carry his team to another victory on the second half of a back-to-back. After another 40-point performance last night, Lillard has now averaged 38.1/5.6/6.2 over his last 15 appearances. Moreover, the duo of Jerami Grant and Cam Reddish are good ways to get exposure to an elite offense, if you cannot get to Dame Time.

Detroit Pistons (+5.5)

Riddled with injuries, the Pistons will be one of, if not the most popular rotation on the NBA slate. Detroit will be without the trio of Bojan Bogdanovic, Jalen Duren, and Isaiah Stewart, in addition to Killian Hayes and James Wiseman listed as questionable. Until their final injury report is released, this rotation is up in the air. However, look for Marvin Bagley and Hamidou Diallo to play significant roles, in addition to Alec Burks, should any combination of Hayes and/or Wiseman miss this game.

New Orleans Pelicans @ Sacramento Kings (-5.5)

New Orleans Pelicans (+5.5)

A team that once looked to be poised to make noise in the NBA Playoffs has been suffering from injuries all season long. Brandon Ingram missed significant time earlier this year, while Zion Williamson has been out since the first week of January. After missing the team’s last two games, Jonas Valanciunas returned to practice and is a candidate to return, but will have to test out his calf injury before getting the green light. Thus, the backcourt duo of CJ McCollum and Brandon Ingram will have to carry this offense. The former turned in two elite performances in the absence of Valanciunas, averaging 24.5/6.5/6 during that span. Moreover, Ingram continues to lead the team in field goal attempts, amassing 20 or more in five of his last seven appearances.

Sacramento Kings (-5.5)

With De’Aaron Fox listed as questionable, the Kings’ injury report will be crucial to this NBA slate. There is no indication that Fox will miss this game, but if he does, the Kings’ supporting cast will have to step up in a tight Western Conference playoff picture. Harrison Barnes has now dropped 20 or more points in three straight games, averaging 23/6.7/1.3 on 56.8% shooting. Moreover, Malik Monk and Kevin Huerter will have more shot attempts if Fox is ruled out, but no one will have a more important role than Domantas Sabonis. The all-star has nine double-doubles over his last ten games, averaging 20.7/12.8/6.4 on 63.7% shooting during that span.

Honorable Mentions:

Philadelphia 76ers @ Indiana Pacers (+6.5)
Atlanta Hawks @ Miami Heat (-3.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS for Ghost’s Gems (Mar. 3)

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Amongst a plethora of games on the NBA schedule are a few that stand above the rest. Moreover, a few key rotations are on the second half of a back-to-back. Injury reports will be crucial to monitor heading into the late games, as usual. It’s a Fajita Friday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Portland Trail Blazers @ Atlanta Hawks (-6.5)

Portland Trail Blazers (+6.5)

Injuries for the Trail Blazers continue to get worse. While still missing Jusuf Nurkic to a calf injury, Anfernee Simons managed to log a mere 20 minutes before reaggravating his ankle injury after a two-week absence. The two have both been ruled out tonight, meaning this is once again an NBA slate where Damian Lillard will be amongst the most popular options in the field. After scoring 25 points versus Golden State, Lillard returned to form against the Pelicans, dropping an efficient 41 points in 39 minutes. He has now averaged 45.7/5.7/4.3 on 53.1% shooting in three games since the All-Star break, sporting an outrageous 41% usage rate. In the absence of Simons, look for Cam Reddish and Matisse Thybulle to see extended run.

Atlanta Hawks (-6.5)

There are two ways to approach this Hawks offense tonight. The first, being the more clear path to success, is playing both Damian Lillard and Trae Young. However, be aware that, consequently, lineup construction is entirely dependent on this game being the highest scoring affair of the NBA slate. Young has logged three straight 30-point efforts since the All-Star break, averaging 33/2.7/8 through a commanding 40.1% usage rate. Moreover, the second approach is riskier. Both Clint Capela and John Collins have terrific matchups on the inside versus a Portland interior defense that struggles mightily in the paint and on the glass. However, Onyeka Okongwu is a candidate for increased minutes in favor of Capela, should Portland run a smaller lineup down the stretch.

Los Angeles Clippers @ Sacramento Kings (OTB)

Los Angeles Clippers (OTB)

The Clippers are on the second half of a back-to-back and face another potential playoff opponent tonight. However, they are notorious for resting players in these types of situations, primarily Paul George and/or Kawhi Leonard. The former has said to have been on a minutes restriction lately, but his minutes say otherwise. Meanwhile, Leonard has been in and out of the lineup after serious injuries over the years. There is no clear cut way to get exposure here at the time of writing, but this is one of the best spots on the NBA slate for a team that is already missing Ivica Zubac (calf) and Marcus Morris Sr. (elbow).

Sacramento Kings (OTB)

Two of the best individual matchups on this NBA slate belong to the Sacramento Kings. If primary ball handlers versus the Clippers did not entice you enough over the years, the acquisition of Russell Westbrook only makes matters worse for Los Angeles. Enter De’Aaron Fox, who was back at practice yesterday after a wrist injury. In three appearances since the All-Star break, Fox has averaged 35.3/3.7/7.7 on 63.9% shooting. Moreover, Domantas Sabonis gets the matchup that the fantasy community loves: Mason Plumlee. The former Charlotte Hornet was a daily target to pick on, and the league’s leading rebounder will be no match for him.

Minnesota Timberwolves @ Los Angeles Lakers (+1.5)

Minnesota Timberwolves (-1.5)

While this offense is dominated by Anthony Edwards in the absence of Karl-Anthony Towns, both Mike Conley and Jaden McDaniels make for intriguing plays on this NBA slate. Since coming over from Utah, Conley has averaged 8.5/2.7/5.8 on a mere 36.7% shooting. While the numbers certainly do not jump off the page, the game environment is elite: the Lakers rank second in the league in pace, while ranking 27th against combo guards. Moreover, McDaniels has been a focal point of this defense, alongside Rudy Gobert. The former has been efficient on both ends of the court, scoring in double digits in five straight appearances while averaging 15.4/5.2/1.6 on 62.5% shooting during that span.

Los Angeles Lakers (+1.5)

Make no mistake about it, a matchup versus Rudy Gobert does not limit Anthony Davis’ ceiling on this NBA slate. Not only is he a candidate to lead all players in fantasy points scored, but he has a tremendous floor for someone of his position on the pricing grid. Over his last two appearances, AD has averaged 29/17/2 on 53.8% shooting, amassing four blocks per game. After sitting out the second half of a back-to-back the other night, not only is the Lakers star rested, but there is no one more crucial to this team at the moment.

Honorable Mentions:

Utah Jazz @ Oklahoma City Thunder (+1.5)
New Orleans Pelicans @ Golden State Warriors (OTB)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS for Ghost’s Gems (Feb. 28)

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

While two of the league’s best are missing in action for their respective teams, many elite matchups are on the NBA schedule tonight. It’s a Taco Tuesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Los Angeles Lakers @ Memphis Grizzlies (-8.5)

Los Angeles Lakers (+8.5)

With LeBron James set to miss the next few weeks of the season, the Lakers will need all the help they can get from their newcomers. However, they will also have to do so without D’Angelo Russell tonight, who is doubtful to play because of an ankle injury. Dennis Schroder will start in the event that Russell is ruled out, while Malik Beasley and Jared Vanderbilt will have more offensive opportunity. Rui Hachimura will consequently dominate usage off the bench, but nothing is possible without Anthony Davis leading the charge. With LeBron off the court, Davis has posted a remarkable 1.49 fantasy points per minute through a 30.3% usage rate. With Steven Adams still missing from the Grizzlies lineup, Davis will dominate the paint on both ends of the court tonight.

Memphis Grizzlies (-8.5)

Despite two mediocre performances following the NBA All-Star break, this is a terrific spot for Ja Morant. On the season, Morant leads the team with a 35% usage rate, averaging 27/5.9/8.1 on 46.3% shooting. Moreover, the Lakers currently rank 28th versus primary ball handlers, struggling mightily with their on-ball defense. Should Morant alter lineup construction too much, Desmond Bane makes for a viable pivot in tournaments.

Sacramento Kings @ Oklahoma City Thunder (+2.5)

Sacramento Kings (-2.5)

With the Thunder ranking 3rd in the NBA in pace, this is an elite game environment. Moreover, the Kings currently have the best offensive rating the league has ever seen. While this is tough to compare to prior teams considering the way the game has changed over the years, it’s an impressive feat nonetheless. Tonight, Domantas Sabonis gets the best matchup of the Kings offense. The Thunder not only rank 24th versus crafty centers, but also sit 26th in rebounding percentage. Sabonis not only leads the league in total rebounds, but in rebounds per game as well.

Oklahoma City Thunder (+2.5)

In the absence of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, all eyes will be on Josh Giddey. Likely to be one of the most popular players in the mid range of the pricing grid on this NBA slate, Giddey has a terrific combination of ceiling and floor. With his fellow backcourt teammate off the floor, Giddey sees his usage rate increase from 24.5% to 25.6%, while his fantasy points per minute actually decrease from 1.24 to 1.10. Lu Dort and Isaiah Joe make for viable plays as well, but having no exposure to this Thunder offense is a fine approach as well.

Portland Trail Blazers @ Golden State Warriors (-4.5)

Portland Trail Blazers (+4.5)

Arguably the best scorer in the NBA this season, Damian Lillard has simply been unreal. Not only is he fresh off a 71-point performance, but he has scored 30 or more points in 11 of his last 13 appearances. Moreover, he has averaged 40.7/5.2/7.1 on 53% shooting during that span, taking nearly 13 shots from behind the arc per night and hitting at a 43.8% clip. It’s a lofty commitment to make on the pricing grid, but with the Warriors ranked 26th versus primary ball handlers, it’s never too late to jump on the Dame Time train.

Golden State Warriors (-4.5)

While Portland defends the three-ball at a decent rate, Klay Thompson has been lights out lately. Not only has he dropped 32 and 42 points, respectively, in his last two games, but he has made 18 three-pointers across those appearances. Moreover, Jordan Poole will continue to lead this offense and be overlooked on a large NBA slate considering he has struggled coming out of the All-Star break. Should Draymond Green suit up for this one, he makes for an interesting play in tournaments versus a depleted Portland frontcourt, while Kevon Looney is the preferable target between the two.

Honorable Mentions:

Denver Nuggets @ Houston Rockets (+10.5)
Indiana Pacers @ Dallas Mavericks (-6.5)
San Antonio Spurs @ Utah Jazz (-9.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS for Ghost’s Gems (Feb. 23)

Richard Masana 2 years ago

written by Richard Masana

After a long break following All-Star weekend, the NBA is back. Many elite matchups kickoff the last third of the season tonight, with teams making a playoff push and others jockeying for seeding. It’s a Thirsty Thursday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Memphis Grizzlies @ Philadelphia 76ers (-4.5)

Memphis Grizzlies (+4.5)

There are many elite duos in games on this NBA slate. Beginning with one of the most competitive game environments, Ja Morant faces a tough task versus a stout Philadelphia perimeter defense. By shifting Tyrese Maxey to the bench, James Harden is no longer guarding primary ball handlers and Philly has the sixth-best defense in the league because of it. Desmond Bane gets the friendly matchup versus Harden, but his position on the pricing grid has risen quite a bit. Thus, look to the first combo big off the bench for the Grizzlies in Brandon Clarke. With Steven Adams (knee) still out, Xavier Tillman likely draws another start, alongside Jaren Jackson Jr. With the two being foul prone and facing a foul-drawing artist in Joel Embiid, Clarke will be relied upon heavily off the bench. Moreover, Dillon Brooks draws a friendly matchup in the starting unit but the volume is worrisome.

Philadelphia 76ers (-4.5)

Joel Embiid was mentioned above and he is one of many marquee studs on this NBA slate. However, with a matchup versus Xavier Tillman looming, he has tremendous upside. Embiid leads the team with a 36.9% usage rate this season, good for third in the league. Moreover, he has averaged 33.1/10.2/4.1 on 53.7% shooting. James Harden makes for a good target in tournaments, possessing both a safe floor and a high ceiling. Before the break, Harden registered four double-doubles and recorded 20 or more points in four of his last five games. During that span, he averaged 24.4/4.6/10.2 on 48.1% shooting.

Golden State Warriors @ Los Angeles Lakers (-4.5)

Golden State Warriors (+4.5)

Coming out of the NBA All-Star break, many players have shifted upward on the pricing grid. One of the most affected teams are the Warriors, who are reflective of Steph Curry (leg) being out. However, the duo of Jordan Poole and Klay Thompson have slate-breaking upside, in balanced lineups, in a matchup versus the Lakers. Los Angeles gets LeBron James and Anthony Davis back together in a new-look offense, but this team still ranks second in pace and 18th in defensive rating. In the absence of Andrew Wiggins (personal), Donte DiVincenzo likely draws the start, but it’s Poole and Thompson who will combine for over 40 field goal attempts tonight.

Los Angeles Lakers (-4.5)

Similarly to how the Warriors offense is in a good spot, the Lakers are in just as good of one. While Los Angeles ranks second in the NBA in pace, it is the Warriors who currently lead the league. This one will play in transition, which is perfect for the duo of Anthony Davis and LeBron James. Moreover, newcomers D’Angelo Russell, Malik Beasley, and Jarred Vanderbilt round out a solidified starting unit. The preference is to allocate the core of lineups to this game environment, but there are solid value pieces here as well if you choose to prioritize the game below.

Portland Trail Blazers @ Sacramento Kings (-5.5)

Portland Trail Blazers (+5.5)

If the core of lineups will not be centered around the Lakers versus Warriors, it should absolutely be around this game environment. The Blazers are currently on the outside looking in when it comes to the NBA Play-In tournament, and no one is arguably as important to their team as Damian Lillard is right now. Fresh off winning the three-point contest last weekend, Dame left his mark before the break. Over his 12 games, Lillard has posted 30 or more points in ten appearances. Moreover, he has averaged a whopping 38.2/5.2/7.2 on 52.3% shooting during that span. In the absence of Anfernee Simons, Lillard has the potential to lead this slate in scoring based on his volume alone.

Sacramento Kings (-5.5)

While Jusuf Nurkic is a poor defender, Drew Eubanks is arguably worse when you watch this Trail Blazers defensive unit. Thus, as anticipated, Domantas Sabonis is an excellent pivot off Joel Embiid tonight in what could be the best game environment on the NBA slate. Portland not only ranks 26th in the league versus crafty centers, but they also rank 20th in points allowed in the paint and 17th in rebounding. On the season, Sabonis leads the NBA in both total rebounds and rebounds per game. Moreover, he has averaged 18.8/12.3/6.9 on 61.1% shooting this year.

Honorable Mentions:

Boston Celtics @ Indiana Pacers (+7.5)
Denver Nuggets @ Cleveland Cavaliers (-2.5)
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Utah Jazz (-2.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS for Ghost’s Gems (Feb. 13)

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Following the conclusion of the NFL season last night, all eyes turn to the NBA. After one of the most entertaining trade deadlines in recent memory, the league has a few games left before its All-Star break. It’s a Mojito Monday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Atlanta Hawks @ Charlotte Hornets (+5.5)

Atlanta Hawks (-5.5)

Make no mistake about it, this NBA slate is riddled with elite options at the guard position. However, two of them are in this game. Trae Young and the Hawks are in an explosive position on offense tonight. The face of the Atlanta franchise has been on fire lately, averaging 26.7/3.9/12 on 47.7% shooting over his last seven games. Moreover, the Hornets provide a great game environment for the primary ball handler. Charlotte ranks 25th in defensive rating and 7th in pace, giving Young a ton of upside. If going elsewhere at the guard position, Clint Capela makes for a tremendous target in the mid range of the pricing grid.

Charlotte Hornets (+5.5)

Similarly to Young, LaMelo Ball is in a fantastic position on this NBA slate. Despite the Hornets losing seven straight games, Ball continues to impress. He has averaged 22.9/8.3/8.1 on 40.7% shooting during that span, leading the team with a 29% usage rate. Moreover, the Hawks have a formidable on-ball defense in Dejounte Murray to counteract Ball, but the latter is excellent in finding open teammates. One benefactor will be Mark Williams, who has taken over the starting center role following the departure of Mason Plumlee. In two starts since then, Williams has averaged 8.5/8.5/1 on 58.3% shooting, amassing two steals and blocks per night.

Los Angeles Lakers @ Portland Trail Blazers (-2.5)

Los Angeles Lakers (+2.5)

The Lakers are in one of, if not the best game environment on the NBA slate. However, with the status of LeBron James unknown, there is a ton of uncertainty here. Should James play, he immediately becomes a contender to lead the slate in scoring. Yet, should he miss a third straight game with an ankle injury, both Anthony Davis and Dennis Schroder are in good spots. Davis has struggled over his last three games, but will be relied upon to shoulder the load versus an injured Trail Blazers frontcourt. Moreover, Portland ranks 27th in defensive rating and 26th versus centers. Schroder has looked good alongside newly acquired D’Angelo Russell, as the latter has shown the ability to play off the ball more so than the former. Over his last two appearances with LeBron out, Schroder has averaged 25.5/2.5/7.5 on 58.6% shooting.

Portland Trail Blazers (-2.5)

Two elite guards were mentioned in the previous game, but Damian Lillard is in one of, if not the best spot of the three. Over his last ten games, Dame Time has scored 30 or more points in eight appearances. Moreover, he has averaged 37.9/4.6/7.5 on 52.6% shooting during that span, including 41.3% from behind the arc on nearly 11 attempts per night. The Lakers rank 29th in the NBA versus primary ball handlers, while also ranking 20th in three-pointers allowed per night. The last time these two teams met, Portland took a 25-point lead into halftime, only to lose the game by nine. Counting Lillard out of the list of players to potentially lead this slate in scoring is a mistake.

Washington Wizards @ Golden State Warriors (-3.5)

Washington Wizards (+3.5)

Exposure to the Wizards offense hinges on the availability of Kyle Kuzma. Should he be ruled out, Bradley Beal is a great target in the mid range of the pricing grid. Over his last four games, Beal has averaged 26/4.5/6 on 58.3% shooting. Moreover, he leads the team in both usage rate and assists per game during that span. Since taking over as primary ball handler in the absence of Kuzma, Beal has much more room on offense to find his own shot, and create for others. With Beal also taking over six three-pointers per night over his last four appearances, he is in a position to take advantage of a Warriors defensive unit that ranks 22nd in the NBA in three-pointers allowed per night.

Golden State Warriors (-3.5)

Their positions on the pricing grid have not moved despite Steph Curry missing the team’s last three games, so there is no reason to avoid the backcourt duo of Jordan Poole and Klay Thompson. In three games since Curry went down with an injury, Poole and Thompson have combined for over 58 points per game, while taking 25 field goal attempts per night. Moreover, the two lead the team in usage rate during that span. This is far from the best game environment on the NBA slate, but it certainly is appealing enough for the sharpshooting Poole and Thompson.

Honorable Mentions:

Utah Jazz @ Indiana Pacers (-1.5)
New Orleans Pelicans @ Oklahoma City Thunder (-2.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

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NBA DFS for Ghost’s Gems (Feb. 8)

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Tonight’s NBA schedule is filled with intrigue. Multiple teams have players that contending teams covet, while others are missing some of their best players. It’s a Wet Wednesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

San Antonio Spurs @ Toronto Raptors (-9.5)

San Antonio Spurs (+9.5)

Not only do the Spurs have many players that contending teams desperately want, but their current roster is also riddled with injuries. The trio of Keldon Johnson, Tre Jones, and Jeremy Sochan are at risk of missing this game, with the latter being listed as doubtful. Moreover, Jones has missed the team’s last two games, while Devin Vassell is also out after having knee surgery. This injury report will be key to monitor throughout the day, as the Spurs will be one of the primary sources of value plays for this NBA slate.

Toronto Raptors (-9.5)

The most intriguing team heading into the NBA trade deadline is north of the border. The Raptors have had a disappointing season, to say the least. While Pascal Siakam is posting better numbers than his All-NBA seasons of 2020 and 2022, the team has struggled mightily. OG Anunoby remains out with a wrist injury and is one of, if not the most coveted player on the trading block across the league. Moreover, Fred VanVleet and Gary Trent Jr. join Siakam in a long list of core players potentially on the move. Should the Raptors sit players out, be sure to adjust accordingly.

Golden State Warriors @ Portland Trail Blazers (-4.5)

Golden State Warriors (+4.5)

It will be a lather, rinse, and repeat scenario with the Warriors offense until Steph Curry makes his return. On Monday, both Jordan Poole and Klay Thompson were highlighted as core plays, and the backcourt tandem came through. Poole and Thompson combined for 53 points, with Thompson knocking down 12 of 16 shot attempts from behind the arc. Portland struggles mightily versus primary ball handlers, ranking 24th in the NBA, making Poole the preferred target of the two. Moreover, Draymond Green gets a friendly matchup on the inside versus Drew Eubanks, with Jusuf Nurkic ruled out with a calf injury.

Portland Trail Blazers (-4.5)

With Damian Lillard being close to the likes of Jayson Tatum and Joel Embiid on the pricing grid, the former will fly under the radar. Thus, Dame Time makes for the perfect play for this NBA slate in tournaments. The Warriors interior and wing defenses flourish thanks to Thompson and Green, but they lack perimeter defense versus primary ball handlers. They currently sit 26th in the NBA versus opposing lead guards, with Poole being a far worse defender than Curry. Lillard has posted 30 or more points in six of his last eight games, averaging 38.5/4.3/6.9 on 54.1% shooting.

Honorable Mentions:

Sacramento Kings @ Houston Rockets (+6.5)
Dallas Mavericks @ Los Angeles Clippers (OTB)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS for Ghost’s Gems (Feb. 6)

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Yesterday, we saw a rollercoaster of a storyline finally come to an end with Kyrie Irving being traded to the Dallas Mavericks. This not only has implications on future NBA slates, but also sets the wheels in motion for other negotiations to heat up. Injury reports will be key to monitor from now until the trade deadline. It’s a Mojito Monday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Sacramento Kings @ Houston Rockets (+6.5)

Sacramento Kings (-6.5)

De’Aaron Fox missed a second straight game last night due to personal reasons. Should he be ruled out once again, Domantas Sabonis is a prime candidate to be one of the highest scoring players on this NBA slate. Houston is surprisingly the best rebounding team in the league at this point in the season, but they struggle mightily versus Sabonis, who has amassed 29 rebounds across two previous meetings between these two teams. Moreover, he has averaged 22/14.5/12.5 versus Houston this season. The Rockets rank 26th in the NBA in points allowed in the paint per game, setting the stage for a bounce back performance from the Kings All-Star after a disappointing outing last night.

Houston Rockets (+6.5)

Kevin Porter Jr. remains without a timetable to return, making Houston one of the more intriguing rotations to follow in the latter stages of the NBA season. Jalen Green and Alperen Sengun hold bright futures, but the Rockets have a tough road ahead of them in this rebuild. The former returned to the lineup last game after missing the previous three, but struggled mightily with his shot. However, he led the team in usage rate and will do so again tonight. In the mid range of the pricing grid, Green carries a ton of risk, but has massive potential to be in the optimal lineup given his shot-making ability. KJ Martin and Eric Gordon make for intriguing plays in the mid range as well, but lack the upside that Green carries.

Oklahoma City Thunder @ Golden State Warriors (-4.5)

Oklahoma City Thunder (+4.5)

Fresh off a 32-point blowout versus the Rockets, where the Thunder put up a ridiculous 153 points, OKC have been thriving in an up-tempo offense this season. They currently sit third in the NBA in pace, while sitting 13th in net rating. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was recently named an All-Star for the first time in his young career, and deservingly so. However, Josh Giddey offers tremendous upside in this matchup as well. Over his last three games, Giddey has averaged 19.3/8/8 on 53.1% shooting. Moreover, he led the team in rebounds during that stretch, as he has done for the duration of the season. Giddey offers a safe floor and a high ceiling in an elite game environment.

Golden State Warriors (-4.5)

The reigning NBA Champions have been dealing with injuries all season long. After an extended absence earlier this season, Steph Curry is now ruled out for multiple weeks. Thus, Jordan Poole and Klay Thompson will be tasked with picking up the bulk of minutes in the backcourt. On the year, Poole has averaged 20.5/2.8/4.3 on 43.5% shooting. Not only is he third in the team in scoring, but also in field goal attempts per night. However, with Curry off the court, Poole takes on a bigger role, both off the bench and in the starting unit. In this scenario, Poole sees his usage rate increase from 29.4% to a whopping 34.8%, while producing 1.12 fantasy points per minute.

Honorable Mentions:

Los Angeles Clippers @ Brooklyn Nets (+6.5)
Milwaukee Bucks @ Portland Trail Blazers (+4.5)

Key Injury Reports:

Dallas Mavericks: Luka Doncic (heel – out), Spencer Dinwiddie (traded – out), Christian Wood (thumb – questionable), Dorian Finney-Smith (traded – out)
Brooklyn Nets: Kevin Durant (knee – out), Kyrie Irving (traded – out), Ben Simmons (knee – questionable), Seth Curry (adductor – out)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 01/17/2023

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

There are only four games on the NBA schedule tonight, but there is plenty of intrigue. It’s a Taco Tuesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Toronto Raptors @ Milwaukee Bucks (-6.5)

Toronto Raptors (+6.5)

Both of these teams are on the second half of a back-to-back and have key players in question. After the Raptors starting unit all played over 40 minutes yesterday in an overtime win versus the Knicks, it’s possible to see someone rest. The most likely candidate is Fred VanVleet, who has been dealing with a back injury. With Pascal Siakam dealing with Giannis Antetokounmpo and Brook Lopez in the paint, the perimeter options will have to carry the offense. VanVleet has been having a streaky season, showing upside on the offensive end, while also carrying a low floor. Moreover, Gary Trent Jr. seems to have shaken off his jitters from the beginning of the season. In his last 11 games, GTJ has seen 30 or more minutes in ten appearances, scoring 20 or more points in seven of them. The two are the preferred Raptors on this NBA slate.

Milwaukee Bucks (-6.5)

Giannis Antetokounmpo missed his third consecutive game yesterday. However, he had taken part in warmup and was listed as probable. Barring any setback, he is in a great spot to lead the NBA slate in scoring. While he had two poor performances recently, the upside he carries against the Raptors is tremendous. While Toronto sits 6th in the league in points allowed in the paint, Giannis is matchup proof. The MVP candidate has averaged 30.1/15/6.3 over his last seven games, despite two appearances with seven and nine points. There are plenty of studs to choose from on this slate, so Brook Lopez makes for a fine alternate to get exposure to this competitive game environment.

Brooklyn Nets @ San Antonio Spurs (+5.5)

Brooklyn Nets (-5.5)

Once one of the hottest teams in the NBA, the Nets are 0-2 since losing Kevin Durant to an MCL sprain. However, a matchup versus a Spurs defense that ranks last in the league could be what they need to get things in gear. The Spurs defense struggles most notably in their backcourt. They sit 27th versus primary ball handlers and 29th versus off-ball guards, allowing the 22nd most three-pointers and the highest shooting percentage from behind the arc. Ben Simmons has a modest 9% usage rate in two games without Durant, but he continues to run point alongside Kyrie Irving. Moreover, the quartet of Irving, Curry, Harris, and Warren are set to flourish in a quick game environment.

San Antonio Spurs (+5.5)

Vegas has this game as far from a blowout as anticipated. Despite the lopsided matchup on paper, the Spurs aren’t as big of underdogs as one would expect. Thus, the trio of Tre Jones, Keldon Johnson, and Jakob Poeltl are in for big minutes. Jones has been a pleasant surprise for the rebuilding Spurs this season. Over his last seven games, Jones has been phenomenal on offense despite the team’s 1-6 record. During that span, Jones has averaged 19.1/4.3/5.7 on 49.1% shooting. With the Nets shifting Simmons to the paint on defense, Jones gets a friendly matchup versus Kyrie Irving.

Portland Trail Blazers @ Denver Nuggets (-6.5)

Portland Trail Blazers (+6.5)

If you’re looking for fireworks on this NBA slate, look no further. This matchup is set to feature two elite offenses, but all eyes will be on Damian Lillard versus Nikola Jokic. The former has been on quite a tear for the Trail Blazers recently. Over his last five games, Lillard has scored 30 or more points in each appearance. Moreover, Lillard has averaged 38/3.6/6.4 on 53.1% shooting during that span while attempting over ten three-pointers per night.

Denver Nuggets (-6.5)

On the flipside of Lillard’s upside is none other than Nikola Jokic. The back-to-back NBA MVP has done it all for the Nuggets this season, and has posted three triple-doubles over his last four games. Moreover, he has averaged 20/13.5/12.3 during that span. If Jokic does not fit builds, both Aaron Gordon and Michael Porter Jr. are good ways to get exposure to this elite game environment. The two rely heavily on their scoring to provide a good fantasy output, but if Jokic does not break the slate, it’s largely because someone else on Denver is carrying the load alongside with him.

Philadelphia 76ers @ Los Angeles Clippers (+1.5)

Philadelphia 76ers (-1.5)

While the status of Paul George greatly impacts the Clippers rotation, his probable return makes this an elite game environment that will go overlooked on a small NBA slate. While there are many players with offensive upside on both teams, none have been playing to the level that James Harden has been lately. Over his last five games, The Beard has averaged 23/8.4/13 on 57.4% shooting. Moreover, Harden has two triple-doubles during that span, while collecting 11 or more assists in each appearance. Primary ball handlers versus the Clippers will forever be one of the best matchups in NBA DFS, and Harden is set to take flight tonight.

Los Angeles Clippers (+1.5)

Exposure to the Clippers on this NBA slate is contingent on the status of Paul George. After practicing on Monday, the expectation is that PG will return after missing the team’s last five games. However, this greatly impacts the production of others around him. Given the level of uncertainty and the fact that this game is the last to tipoff, this is a risk that could send lineups to the top or bottom of the leaderboards.

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 12/19

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

As we approach the holiday period, many players will be sitting out games. It is common for NBA teams to make sure their key contributors are rested heading into the new year. Thus, new rotations will be key in elite game environments. It’s a Mojito Monday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Orlando Magic @ Atlanta Hawks (-6.5)

Orlando Magic (+6.5)

Despite numerous injuries, the Magic have reeled off six straight wins. No Orlando player has been as impressive as the #1 overall pick in this year’s NBA Draft, Paolo Banchero. Over his last seven games, Banchero has scored 20 or more points in each one. Moreover, he has averaged 22.4/7.4/4.6 on 41.3% shooting. During that same stretch, he has also led the team in both usage rate and minutes played per game. With the Hawks currently ranked 26th in the league against power forwards and 27th in points allowed in the paint, Banchero has massive upside in this matchup.

Atlanta Hawks (-6.5)

Exposure to the Hawks offense remains to be seen, depending on their final injury report. After missing multiple weeks, both John Collins (ankle) and Dejounte Murray (ankle) are questionable to make their returns to the lineup. Should both miss this game, there are options all over the pricing grid. At the top, Trae Young gets a friendly matchup versus a Magic defense that ranks 24th in the NBA in defensive rating, while also ranking 20th against primary ball handlers. Moreover, the duo of Bogdan Bogdanovic and Onyeka Okongwu figure to be popular options if both Collins and Murray miss another game. Over his last four games, Bogdanovic has averaged 26/5.8/2.8 on 54.4% shooting, including 54.8% from deep on over ten attempts per night. On the other hand, Okongwu will continue to fill in at the ‘5’ for Clint Capela, who remains out.

Portland Trail Blazers @ Oklahoma City Thunder (OTB)

Portland Trail Blazers (OTB)

While most will avoid the Blazers tonight versus a shorthanded Thunder roster, it’s the wrong approach. There is certainly a possibility that this game gets out of hand given the injuries to OKC’s two best players. However, they just pulled off a victory against the Grizzlies with this same rotation. Even with Morant getting tossed after 16 minutes of that game, it’s an impressive victory nonetheless. If you want to play Lillard at the top of the pricing grid tonight, I won’t talk you off of it. But with Lu Dort lining up on him, Simons and Nurkic are in better spots. The Thunder rank 27th in the NBA against true centers, while struggling versus off-ball guards as well. This rotation is risky but makes for an intriguing tournament play.

Oklahoma City Thunder (OTB)

This rotation will be one of, if not the most popular one on the entire NBA slate. Both Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Josh Giddey have been ruled out for a second straight game. Thus, there are plenty of viable options. Of the players of interest, pick your poison with any combination of Lu Dort, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins, and/or Aleksej Pokusevski. The four not only figure to play the bulk of minutes, but are in one of the best game environments on the slate.

Charlotte Hornets @ Sacramento Kings (-8.5)

Charlotte Hornets (+8.5)

Since making his return to the lineup, LaMelo Ball has looked great. Despite the concerns around his efficiency, he has still shot 50% from the field in his two games played since returning. During that span, Ball has logged 33 and 34 minutes, leaving no concern for any restrictions. Moreover, he has averaged 25/1.5/7 on 50% shooting, including 46.2% from deep on a whopping 13 attempts per night. With the Kings ranked 6th in the NBA in pace, this game environment is meant for Ball.

Sacramento Kings (-8.5)

Despite a lofty spread on this game, the Kings offense is in the best spot on the NBA slate. The Hornets currently rank 13th in pace, while being 27th in defensive rating. As expected, the main contributors of interest are De’Aaron Fox and Domantas Sabonis. However, the latter figures to be one of, if not my favorite play of the slate at the top of the pricing grid. In his last six games, Sabonis has scored 20 or more points in five appearances. Moreover, he has averaged 21.2/14.2/6 on 71.2% shooting during that stretch. The Hornets have always been a frontcourt to pick on, and they currently rank last in the league against centers, allowing over 60 fantasy points per game to the position.

Honorable Mentions:

Milwaukee Bucks @ New Orleans Pelicans (OTB)
San Antonio Spurs @ Houston Rockets (-3.5)
Los Angeles Lakers @ Phoenix Suns (OTB)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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