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10/10 NHL DFS: The Daily Hot Shot

Allan Fabrykant 5 years ago

written by Allan Fabrykant

Hey everyone, last night was a very successful one for WinDaily’s hockey crew and we hope you were able to join along for the ride. Tonight we have an 11-game slate to examine. We have brought you guys a full breakdown of each game followed by our top plays on the slate at the bottom for the 10/10 NHL DFS slate.

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TORONTO vs. TAMPA BAY – This matchup pits two of the best offenses in the league against each other in what promises to be a high scoring affair. Even though both teams have had solid goaltending their defensive-minded play has been rather questionable Targets: Matthews-Rielly (Stack), Point-Kucherov (Stack)

DETROIT vs. MONTREAL – Montreal just lost an OT thriller last night to the Buffalo Sabres, while the Red Wings have recently had their season-opening flame put out by the Anaheim Ducks. Tonight’s matchup pits two original six teams against each other, both are very similar but I have to give Montreal a slight edge Targets: Domi-Suzuki, Larkin-Mantha, Kotkanemi-Armia

EDMONTON vs NEW JERSEY – Unfortunately for New Jersey they did not start the season as they would’ve hoped and it doesn’t look as though it will be getting much better tonight. New Jersey has had one major problem area coming into the season and that was goaltending, This has turned out to be a major problem and tonight the Devils will start Blackwood between the pipes, Mackenzie Blackwood has not been playing at an NHL level and will most likely be exposed by Edmonton’s high powered offensive options Targets: McDavid-Draisaitl-Bear

ST. LOUIS vs. OTTAWA – As mentioned last article, Ottawa is one of the worst teams in the league and coughs up a lot of goals because of it. The Sens proceeded to give up four goals en route to a 4-1 loss to the Rangers last Saturday. St. Louis won the Cup last year and won’t be taking it easy on the Senators who finished dead last. This is a true first vs. worst matchup Targets: St. Louis Blues 1, Blais-O‘Reilly-Faulk

WASHINGTON vs. NASHVILLE – Washington has been good this season but the Preds have had the scoring touch as of late with 13 goals through their first three games. With tonight’s game in Smashville, I gotta favor the home side. Targets: Nashville Predators 1-Josi, Rinne

MINNESOTA vs WINNIPEG – Neither of these two teams have been particularly impressive thus far this season but Winnipeg has arguably been the better side as the Wild have yet to record a win this season. The Jets, on the other hand, have scored four or more goals in three of their four games. Targets: Winnipeg Jets 1-Pionk

sSAN JOSE vs CHICAGO – Gonna have heavy shares of Chicago in this one as they are probably my favorite offense tonight. San Jose’s backup, Aaron Dell, who will get the start tonight, has been absolutely catastrophic over the past two seasons. He has statistically been one of the worst goalies in the NHL and his last game did not help his cause as he gave up three in a 3-1 loss to the Ducks. Targets: Chicago Blackhawks 2, Kane-Gustafsson

CALGARY vs DALLAS – Two strong teams with mediocre starts to the season. This game also works as a game stack, however, I will prioritize the Flames in this matchup. Targets: Calgary Flames 1-Dallas Stars 2, Tkachuk

ANAHEIM vs PITTSBURGH – The Ducks are off to one of their strongest starts in a while and Gibson has relatively held down the fort, only allowing one goal in each of his three starts while holding a SV% of .970. Pittsburgh will also be nursing some significant injuries Targets: Crosby-Simon, Isac Lundestrom, Devin Shore

BOSTON vs. COLORADO – Both teams have started their 2019-20 campaigns on a strong note and both teams present some good value options to explore, however, I think there are better options on this slate. Targets: Kadri, Makar, Heinen-Coyle, Kuraly

VEGAS vs ARIZONA – Pure mismatch here, Vegas should take this win walking away and score a lot of goals in the process. Vegas has averaged four goals a game and Fleury has held the door relatively shut with a 2.02 GAA and a .935 SV% Targets: Vegas Golden Knights 1, Glass-Pacioretty, Fleury

10/10 NHL DFS TOP EXPOSURE PLAYS:
– St. Louis Blues >> St. Louis Blues 1, Blais-O’Reilly-Faulk
– Vegas Golden Knights >> Vegas Golden Knights 1, Glass- Pacioretty
– Chicago Blackhawks >> Chicago Blackhawks 2, Kane-Gustafsson
– Edmonton Oilers >> McDavid-Draisaitl-Bear

10/10 NHL DFS MID EXPOSURE PLAYS:
– Calgary Flames >> Calgary Flames 1, Calgary Flames 2, Andersson
– Nashville Predators>> Nashville Predators 1, Josi, Rinne
– Winnipeg Jets >> Winnipeg Jets 1-Pionk

10/10 NHL DFS RECOMMENDED GAME STACKS:
– Toronto vs Tampa Bay >> Toronto Maple Leafs 2-Tampa Bay Lightning 1
– Calgary vs Dallas >> Calgary Flames 1-Dallas Stars 2

10/10 NHL DFS RECOMMENDED PUNT PLAYS:
– Nick Suzuki MTL
– Isac Lundestrom ANA
– Roope Hintz DAL

5 years ago 0 comments

NHL

10/7 NHL DFS – The Daily Hot Shot

Daniel Wehr 5 years ago

written by Daniel Wehr

This report will provide favorite positional picks, stacks, and power play units for the 10/7 NHL DFS two-game slate.

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**Exercise caution on these smaller slates, very little room for error and very heavy chalk. Due to size of slate players listed will be limited to two per position.

10/7 NHL DFS Centers

Braden Schenn (STL) – Schenn gives us some of the value we need if we are going to spend up for defense, which is my goal tonight. Schenn has one goal on five shots, and one block in his first two games. St. Louis has five goals through two games to start the season.

Jack Eichel (BUF) – The Sabres have the best goal differential in the NHL through their first two games (ten goals, three against). Eichel has one of those goals on seven shots and one assist. I love pairing Eichel with the rest of the Buffalo FL1 (Olofsson, Reinhart) as the Blue Jackets have been one of the worst teams in the league, allowing 11 goals against and a differential -8 through two games.

Punts -Auston Matthews (TOR), Marcus Johansson (BUF)

10/7 NHL DFS Wingers

Sam Reinhart (BUF) – I will look to complement Eichel with ice mate Sam Reinhart who has two goals on five shots and one assist. He ended his 2018 season with 22 goals, 43 assists, and 47 blocks.

Victor Olofsson (BUF) – Olofsson was promoted from AHL late last season and has not disappointed in his first appearances in 2019. He has two goals on six shots and one assist. He scored 63 points in 66 games in AHL action and the 7th round pick is primed to be a big part of this Sabres offense in 2019.

Punts – Andreas Johnsson (TOR), William Nylander (DET).

10/7 NHL DFS Defensemen

Rasmus Dahlin (BUF) – The Sabres collectively have looked like the best team on ice in their first two starts and Dahlin is a big part of it. He comes in at a fair salary and has three assists and one goal to back it. As stated earlier, Columbus has one of the worst scoring offenses to begin the season and Rasmus serves on their PK1 unit who has the 5th best penalty kill rate in the NHL.

Morgan Rielly (TOR) – Rielly has been fantastic through his first two starts, recording seven shots, five assists, and four blocks. His price is steadily rising but his pure ability on the ice gives him upside no other defender on the slate has.

HM: Colin Miller (BUF), Alex Pietrangelo (STL)

10/7 NHL DFS Goalies

Frederik Andersen (TOR) – There really is no “safe” goalie tonight but if I have to pick one it would be Frederik Andersen. He boasts a .927 SV% but faces a St. Louis offense that just hasn’t gotten things going. I like Andersen mostly for win upside.

Carter Hutton (BUF) – Same applies as with Andersen. Hutton carries a .939 SV% percentage and is backed by one of the better defenses in the league. He draws a matchup against a Blue Jackets team that has struggled to find the back of the net.

10/7 NHL DFS STACKS

Buffalo Sabres – FL#1: Jack Eichel/Victor Olofsson/Sam Reinhart

Toronto Maple Leafs – FL#2: Auston Matthews/William Nylander/Andreas Johnsson

Honorable Mention: Toronto Maple Leafs FL2, Buffalo FL2

10/7 NHL DFS Power Play of the Day

Buffalo PP1: Rasmus Dahlin/Jeff Skinner/Jack Eichel/Sam Reinhart

5 years ago 0 comments

NHL

10/6 NHL DFS – The Daily Hot Shot

Daniel Wehr 5 years ago

written by Daniel Wehr

This report will provide my favorite positional plays, stacks, and power play units for the 10/6 NHL DFS three-game slate.

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**Exercise caution on these smaller slates, very little room for error and very heavy chalk. Due to size of slate players listed will be limited to two per position.

10/6 NHL DFS Centers

Tyler Johnson (TBL) – Johnson will fill in for Brayden Point who is out with a hip injury. Tampa Bay rank second coming into the 2019-20 season in terms of fantasy production. Point is a huge part of the top forward line on this team but Johnson will get a significant boost in ice time (13;47 in 2018) and he will also serve on the Lightening’s top power play unit.

Mathew Barzal (NYI) – Barzal is coming off one of the best rookie seasons in recent memory. He finished the 2018 season with 85 points (22 goals, 63 assists), and three five-point games, ranking 14th best in the NHL. The Calder Trophy winner will look to continue his success story against a Winnipeg Jets Dline that took some major losses in the off-season.

Punts – Jordan Staal (CAR)

10/6 NHL DFS Wingers

Nikita Kucherov (TBL) – Kucherov lead this NHL last season with 128 points (41 goals, 87 assists). He has increased his point total every year for the last five years but will face one of the deepest defensive lines in the NHL. Tampa Bay was the top scoring offense in 2018 with 319 goals, 30 goals more than any other team in the league.

Nicholaj Ehlers (WPG) – Despite the massive losses to Winnipeg’s defensive line, they still have one of the most formidable offenses in the NHL. They ranked 8th in 2018 with with 270 goals (243 assists). Ehlers comes in as the top value play on the board, he will be popular but chalk worth eating. Ehlers is off to a nice start in 2019 with four assists and ten shots.

Punts – Anthony Mantha (DET), Todd Bertuzzi (DET).

10/6 NHL DFS Defensemen

Ryan McDonagh (TBL) – McDonagh comes in at great price and a great matchup with Erik Cernak against the Hurricanes FL#2. McDonagh had 161 blocks, 37 assists, and nine goals in an award winning 2018 season. (NHL All-Star, James Norris Memorial Trophy). McDonagh has four blocks and one hit to start the 2019-20 NHL season.

Erik Cernak (TBL) – Erik Cernak and Ryan McDonagh are like spaghetti and meatball. Cernak didn’t have quite the 2018 season McDonagh had but he was still an enforcer on the ice with 198 hits, 79 blocks, and 11 assists. Cernak has four blocks and four hits to begin the 2019-20 season.

HM: Erik Gustafsson, P.K. Subban

10/6 NHL DFS Goalies

Andre Vasilevskiy (TBL) – Vasilevskiy is coming off of his first NHL season as the number one goalie for Tampa Bay. He finished the season tied for the most wins (44) and shut outs (eight). He also finished the season with a .920 SV% which is incredible for a 24 year old. The fact that he is putting up these types of numbers so early in his career only leaves you to wonder how good he will be this year and years to come. He comes in at a hefty price so paying down in your offensive positions will be the way to get to him on a short slate. (Curtis McElhinney may draw start)

Semyon Varlamov – Varlamov stopped 26 of 28 shots in an impressive first outing but ultimately could not get the win because his teammates could not score. Semyon offers great upside with his goal saving capability and comes in at a fair price and allows you to pay up elsewhere. Varlamov finished the 2018 season with a .909 SV% and will look to maintain a .920+ SV% in the 2019-20 season.

10/6 NHL DFS STACKS

Tampa Bay Lightening – FL#1: Tyler Johnson/Nikita Kucherov/Steven Stamkos

Winnipeg Jets – FL#1: Nicholaj Ehlers/Mark Schiefele/Blake Wheeler

Honorable Mention: New York Islanders FL#1: Mathew Barzal/Jordan Eberle/Anders Lee

10/6 NHL DFS Power Play of the Day

Tampa Bay PP1: Tyler Johnson/Steven Stamkos/Nikita Kucherov/Victor Hedman

5 years ago 0 comments

NHL

10/4 NHL DFS – The Daily Hot Shot

Richard Masana 5 years ago

written by Richard Masana

This report will provide my favorite positional plays, stacks, and power play units for the 10/4 NHL DFS four-game slate.

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10/4 NHL DFS Centers

Auston Matthews – Matthews is off to a hot start in 2019 after a two goal performance on opening night in NHL DFS. He comes in at a premium price, but it is well worth it as he see’s an average of 18 minutes of ice time and pairs with one of the top rated forward lines in all of hockey. Consider pairing Matthews with wingers Andreas Johnsson and William Nylander.

John Tavares – Another Toronto forward line, but Tavares, Mitch Marner, and Kasperi Kapanen are a slightly cheaper option with similar upside. I am fine with Tavares as a one-off as well but Toronto is my preferred stack tonight so I will look to pair these linemen if possible.

Punt: Alexandre Texier
Honorable Mention: Cody Glass, Nico Hischier.

10/4 NHL DFS Wingers

Mitchell Marner– I listed Marner above as my preferred winger to stack along with John Tavares or Auston Matthews. Marner has been an absolute beast with man advantage, averaging 21 points per season during power plays.

Blake Wheeler – Wheeler and the Jets face The N.J. Devils, who were the second worst team in the Eastern Conference in terms of goal differential, surrendering 275 GA. Wheeler has been more of a distributor as of late, but still offers great scoring upside as indicated last night by scoring two goals in 22 minutes of ice time against the Rangers.

HM: Kyle Connor, Taylor Hall, Kyle Palmieri.

10/4 NHL DFS Defensemen

Morgan Rielly – As long as Rielly is priced under $6500 on FD I will always consider him in play. He was the highest scoring defender last year and is off to a hot start in the 2019-20 season with five shots, one block, and one assist. Buy low while you can cause he won’t be there for long.

Brent Burns – You definitely have to pay the price for Burns but he is well worth it if you have room to spend up. Burns ended his 2018 season with 105 blocks and averaged 25 minutes of ice time, so even if he doesn’t record a goal he still can almost always pay off his high price tag.

HM: Erik Gustafsson, P.K. Subban

10/4 NHL DFS Goalies

Marc-Andre Fleury – “The Flower” had two strong performances against San Jose during the preseason and posted good numbers throughout last season, owning a .913 SV% and a 2.51 GAA. Vegas also holds their opponents to an average of 29.3, which is the fifth-best in the league. Although goalies count on shots to rack up points, the less dangerous chances on target, the better. Not to mention Fleury had the fifth most wins of any goalie last season at 35.

Cory Schneider – Schneider comes in at a fair price tonight and is backed by one of the better defensive groups in hockey. Although he did end 2018 on a 6-13 record, he still maintains a .903 SV% which is right up there with Marc-Andre Fleury.

10/4 NHL DFS STACKS

New Jersey Devils – FL#1: Nico Hischier/Taylor Hall/Kyle Palmieri/PK Subban

Toronto Maple Leafs – FL#1: John Tavares/Mitch Marner/Kasperi Kapanen/Morgan Rielly

Honorable Mention: Vegas Golden Knights FL#1: William Karlsson /Jonathan Marchessault/Reilly Smith

10/4 NHL DFS Power Play of the Day

New Jersey PP1: Taylor Hall/PK Subban/Kyle Palmieri

10/4 NHL DFS Punts:

Alexandre Texier, Sami Vatanen, Ryan Pulock.

5 years ago 0 comments

NHL

10/3 NHL DFS – The Daily Hot Shot

Allan Fabrykant 5 years ago

written by Allan Fabrykant

Hey everyone, hope your opening night was successful. We are back with another edition of the Daily Hot Shot. Tonight we have an eight-game slate to dig into with the first set of games beginning at 7 p.m. ET with the final puck drop set for 10 p.m. ET.

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10/3 NHL DFS Centers

Tyler Johnson – This one has a very simple explanation. Johnson will be centering a line alongside the league’s reigning MVP Nikita Kucherov and All-Star Steven Stamkos while Brayden Point is out with an injury. Stacking him will be a little difficult but it can be done. Even if you choose to play Johnson as a one-off, that is still a strong option.

Nazem Kadri – Kadri is set to begin his first season in Colorado after being traded from Toronto during the offseason. He has already made a positive impression, notching a goal in his last preseason appearance in the lead up to opening night.

Despite having a slight off season last year, Kadri is still capable of scoring 30+ goals in a campaign and will also get an opportunity to increase his goal tally alongside Colorado’s stacked top power-play unit.

Honorable Mention: Max Domi

10/3 NHL DFS Wingers

Mats Zuccarello – Zuccarello is coming off a peak playoff performance last season, where he registered 11 points in 13 playoff games for the Dallas Stars, despite coming off an injury a month before the playoffs began. Zucc will slot into Minnesota’s top line and first power-play unit, making him an optimal stack with the likes of Matt Dumba and Zach Parise.

Andrei Svechnikov – Young phenom Svechnikov was instrumental for the Canes as he registered 20 goals in his rookie campaign in the NHL along with five points in nine playoff appearances. Svech is set to see top-line minutes as well as time on the second power-play unit. Svechnikov is also coming off a strong preseason performance, where he recorded two assists against the Capitals.
HM: Artemi Panarin

10/3 NHL DFS Defensemen

Cale Makar – We got a taste of Makar’s talent last season during the tail end of the Avs’ season during the playoff run. Jumping straight into the playoff lineup for the Avalanche, it came as a shock to some that the reigning Hobey Baker Award winner recorded six points in 10 playoff games. During the preseason he was averaging over 20 minutes of ice time per game and recorded an assist in his final tune-up game. He’ll also appear on Colorado’s stacked top power play unit.

Matt Dumba – Coming off a season-ending injury from last season, Dumba is slightly undervalued in this slate and is in a position to be exploited. Last season, Dumba recorded 22 points in 32 games. He is also coming off a strong preseason performance with a goal and an assist in an OT loss to the Jets.
HM: Justin Schultz

10/3 NHL DFS Goalies

Matt Murray – Going up against the Sabres, Murray has one of the best odds on the slate and will be playing in front of the hometown fans in Pittsburgh. Murray came back into form last year after a shaky 2017-18 campaign and will be looking to improve on his numbers tonight.

Petr Mrazek – Mrazek is one of the bargain options when it comes to favored goalies tonight, as he is set to face off against the Canadiens. Mrazek is coming off one of his best seasons last year when he took charge of the Canes and held a 23-14-3 record along with a .914 SV% and a 2.39 GAA, ultimately leading Carolina to an Eastern Conference Finals appearance.
HM: Phillip Grubauer

10/3 NHL DFS STACKS

Carolina Hurricanes 1 – The Canes are rolling on momentum from an insane run last season, full of strong team performances, surprise heroes and of course post-game antics. The “Bunch of Jerks” are set to face off against a Montreal side that hasn’t made any significant improvements from last season, in fact losing a key piece in Andrew Shaw. Canadiens goalie Carey Price may be nursing a bruised hand, which was sustained during the preseason. Nevertheless, Carolina are favorites tonight and the O/U is set at 6. Considering the matchup is in Carolina, hopefully we will see a storm surge for the home opener.
HM: Tampa Bay 1

10/3 NHL DFS Power Play of the Day Winnipeg PP1
– This matchup pits last season’s fourth-best power play league-wide against the league’s fifth-worst penalty kill.
HM: Tampa Bay PP1

10/3 NHL DFS Punts
Kappo Kakko – Kakko is coming off a season in the Finnish league where he lit it up for 38 points in 45 games. This made Kakko the consensus second overall pick in last season’s draft. The Rangers have entrusted Kakko in their second power-play unit. He is easily stackable with his linemates Chris Kreider and Ryan Strome. Kakko is riskier than the punts outlined in yesterday’s article, however, Kakko also holds higher upside.
HM: Nikolaj Ehlers, Nick Suzuki

5 years ago 0 comments

NHL

10/2 DFS NHL – The Daily Hot Shot – Opening Night Edition

Allan Fabrykant 5 years ago

written by Allan Fabrykant

Hi everyone! The day is finally here and the NHL regular season is about to get underway. This article will dissect the main slate each day and provide analysis into which plays our experts are leaning to on each slate. Opening night will consist of four games with the first game starting at 7:00 pm EST (TOR vs OTT) and the last game starting at 10:30 pm EST (VGK vs SJS). We will cover our top 10/2 DFS NHL plays per position, stacks we are interested in, which power plays look promising and which punts are worthwhile.

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Centers

Auston Matthews – Matthews is set to be one of the higher owned players for tonight’s 10/2 DFS NHL slate and rightfully so, as he showed during the preseason that he hadn’t missed a step. Matthews will also be facing off against one of the worst statistical teams and one of the worst statistical goalies last season. Matthews will center Toronto’s top line tonight and will also appear on Toronto’s top power-play unit. This matchup also has the highest O/U on the slate at 6.5. However, that still seems too low, as in their four meetings last season these teams averaged 7.75 goals per game. Finally, Ottawa also posted the worst SA/GP (shots allowed) of any team last season at 35.7, essentially leaving their goalies out to dry. Ottawa hasn’t made any significant improvements to fix those statistics. Matthews pairs well with his linemates (Johnsson and Nylander) as well as Rielly

Brayden Schenn – In his final preseason tune-up Schenn recorded a goal and two assists against his opponent tonight, the Washington Capitals. Schenn is relatively inexpensive in 10/2 DFS NHL on both sites ($5,700 on FanDuel and $4,700 on DraftKings) and will play top-line minutes along with minutes centering the top power-play unit. During the second half of the 2018-19 campaign, the Blues posted the second most amount of shots in the league at 1,479, which helped squeeze them into a playoff spot to ultimately win the Cup. Not to mention the game has an O/U of 5.5 and will be taking place in St. Louis. If you are looking for an expensive pairing, Schenn works well alongside Tarasenko. For a more cost-effective option, he is stackable with Jaden Schwartz.
Honorable Mention: Cody Glass

Wingers

Brady Tkachuk – As mentioned earlier, Tkachuk will open the season against the Toronto Maple Leafs. Despite being major underdogs, Brady is a bright spot in what is overall a lackluster lineup. Brady is set to see a huge chunk of the ice time tonight as well as time on Ottawa’s first power-play unit. Tkachuk recorded two assists in his last regular-season game against the Buds and considering that the Battle of Ontario generally has offense generated from both teams, it is likely that Tkachuk will get more points tonight. He pairs well alongside Connor Brown and/or Thomas Chabot.

Max Pacioretty – Patches and the Golden Knights will face off against the San Jose Sharks. Vegas is heavily favored with a -180 line along with a high O/U of 6.0. Pacioretty recorded an assist in Vegas’ final preseason game against the Sharks, and if he is able to stay away from the penalty box, he will see around 18-20 minutes of ice time. Pacioretty will play on the second line and will also appear on Vegas’ top power-play unit. Vegas posted one of the highest average shot totals last season at 34.3 shots per game. Patches and his teammates will be facing some shaky goaltending from Martin Jones and the Sharks will likely have to compete without one of their more dangerous wingers in Evander Kane, who was suspended for three games for making contact with an official. Pacioretty pairs best alongside the uber-cheap Cody Glass.
HM: Anthony Duclair

Defensemen

Quinn Hughes – Hughes is Vancouver’s next top defensive prospect and will be looking to break out this season. In the sample of his five appearances from last season, he recorded points in three of them and averaged around 18 minutes of ice time in each appearance. Quinn is also set to see minutes on Vancouver’s second power-play unit. At Quinn’s price ($4,000 on both sites), he is definitely worth the gamble in 10/2 DFS NHL.

Morgan Rielly – He was the highest-scoring defenseman last season, and I truly believe him not being the most expensive defenseman on the slate is a joke. Take advantage of it while you can, Mo is on track to have an All-Star season. He is on Toronto’s deadly top power-play unit and saw an average of 23 minutes of ice time per game last season, but might see a slight decline with Toronto’s defensive power this season. However, Rielly is a steal at $5,700 on FanDuel and reasonably priced at $6,200 on DraftKings for 10/2 DFS NHL.
HM: Rasmus Sandin

Goalies

Frederik Andersen – As mentioned earlier, the Leafs have the highest odds of winning with the line currently favoring them at -300. The Leafs allowed the eighth most shots against last season (33.1). Although saves directly correlate with points, that statistic gives me cause for concern with Freddy. As we saw last season, the Leafs have a tendency to rely on offense and “score their way” out of problems.
HM: Jacob Markstrom

STACKS

Toronto: (Johnsson, Matthews, Nylander) *TOP STACK*
Toronto is in an excellent spot for 10/2 DFS NHL with by far the best odds of the slate at -300. This line, in particular, has excelled during the preseason with all three forwards recording a goal. Toronto’s top line is moderately priced, allowing for another top stack to be included in your lines. On top of that, the Maple Leafs averaged 3.56 goals per game at home and held the fourth-best goals per game average in the league last season at 3.49, meaning not only were they great at scoring, but they were better scoring at home.

The final piece of information leading me to this stack is the goalie matchup. Craig Anderson will settle in between the pipes for the opening matchup, and last season Anderson held the worst GAA for goalies who played at least half of their team’s games, allowing on average 3.51 goals per game.

Vegas (Pacioretty, Glass, Stone)

The Golden Knights are also heavily favored over their opening night opponents in the San Jose Sharks, with a -180 line. In the final preseason game against the Sharks, this line was able to register a goal and an assist in the 5-1 win. If Glass remains at center it will provide extreme 10/2 DFS NHL affordability for the entire line, as he is listed at $3,600 on FanDuel and $2,800 on DraftKings. All three forwards also appear on Vegas’ top power-play unit and to top it off it will be in Vegas against a goalie who held a dismal 2.94 GAA last season (Martin Jones).
HM: St. Louis (Schwartz, Schenn, Tarasenko)

Power Play of the Day

Toronto– This matchup pits last season’s fourth best home power play league-wide against the league’s ninth worst penalty kill.

10/2 DFS NHL Punts

Trevor Moore – Moore made some serious noise this preseason, recording three goals and an assist in his final three preseason games. Moore is set to see more ice time on the third line alongside Kerfoot and Mikheyev. All of Toronto’s third line holds value; if you’d like to stack Moore, however, I also see Moore as a viable one-off for GPPs.

Jimmy Schuldt – At defense, Jimmy Schuldt provides value as a 10/2 DFS NHL defender who can post top-line minutes while also carrying scoring upside, as we saw in the final preseason game, Schuldt recorded a goal and an assist against tonight’s opponent, the San Jose Sharks. Schuldt pairs well alongside Vegas’s second line. I don’t see Schuldt being this cheap for too much longer.
HM: Brandon Pirri

5 years ago 0 comments

NHL

Top NHL RFAs Yet to be Signed: Revisited

Allan Fabrykant 5 years ago

written by Allan Fabrykant

Since our last RFA article, there have been many exciting updates to cover. We will revisit our three marquee RFAs and see where they stand today as we are approaching the start of the regular season. First, here is a recap on the difference between an RFA and a UFA.

In the NHL there are two kinds of Free agents. There are Unrestricted Free Agents (UFAs) who are eligible to sign for any team and there are Restricted Free Agents (RFAs). The latter are players whose signing rights belong to the team that drafted them, provided that the team tendered the player a qualifying offer at the expiration of their “Entry Level Deal.”

As a note, all NHL deals, including Canadian ones are made in U.S. Dollars and AAV stands for Average Annual Value. Regardless of how much money a player makes per year, the AAV is what counts against a teams cap space each season.

Brayden Point – Tampa Bay Lightning
Our first update is a major one as the Lightning and Point came together on a 3-year bridge deal valued at $20.25 million (or an AAV of $6.75). As was predicted, after negotiations around the league began to come to a conclusion, many RFAs would get more serious in their contract talks. With Point not being interested in practicing in Europe or an offer sheet, it was only a matter of time until Point and the Bolts reached a deal, as it just came down to what Tampa Bay was able to afford. The good news for Tampa is that after Point’s three-year contract expires, he will still be under team control, meaning he will have RFA status.
Patrik Laine – Winnipeg Jets
Unfortunately for the Jets, things don’t look much better than when we last examined the Laine RFA negotiation standstill. On the positive side for the Jets, Josh Morrissey (whose contract had not yet expired) re-signed for 8 years for $50 million (or an AAV of $6.25 million). Now that’s where the good news ends for the Jets as their situation with Laine has been the most notable of the bunch from a media perspective as he is now training with S.C. Bern in Switzerland along with Colorado RFA Mikko Rantanen. But Laine also made comments on his role with the Jets, signaling that he was discontent with his usage and would be given a higher role in any other team. According to Laine (and Rantanen’s agent), the 2016 second overall pick and the Jets organization are not close to a deal and right now it is unclear if the two sides will come to an agreement before puck drop on opening night. Notably, the Jets are still yet to sign RFA Kyle Connor and as we saw with William Nylander last year, holdouts are on the table for both these players.
Mitch Marner – Toronto Maple Leafs
The big RFA fish of the summer, Mitch Marner has signed a 6-year deal valued at $65.358 million (or $10.893 AAV) according to Hockey Night in Canada’s Elliotte Friedman. With this signing, the Leafs seem to have all their ducks in a row in preparation for the 2019-2020 campaign. After much speculation throughout the summer, Marner only ended up missing one day of camp. This contract may present some cap complications for the Leafs during the 2020 offseason as they will have five defensemen looking for new deals, most notably, Codi Ceci, Tyson Barrie and Jake Muzzin. Hockey analysts regard Marner’s contract as the contract to set the market and many agents say they will be using it as a comparable when discussing deals with their client’s GMs.

Honorable Mentions:
Matthew Tkachuk (Was skating with the London Knights of the OHL, Has just signed at 3 years for $21 million, with an AAV of $7)
Mikko Rantanen (Skating with SC Bern of the Swiss league with Laine, not close with Colorado, Colorado will have 6 RFA’s next season)
Brock Boeser (Signed, 3-year bridge deal for $17.625 Million USD, $5.875 AAV)

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