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Cash with Flash Thursday MLB Picks!

Phil Naessens
written by Phil Naessens

Welcome to Cash with Flash Best Bets Thursday MLB Betting Column. We’re excited to be here and we’ll try and write in this space as often as time allows.  

Wednesday was a terrific day as we went 2-0 with our picks, including the underdog Chicago Cubs. That leaves us with a 39-37-11 mark over the history of this 2021 MLB Betting column. 

We’re ahead of the game because of the 21 underdogs and several short favorites we hit. Over half of our wins were from wagering on underdogs and without them we’d be trending in the wrong direction. That’s something we don’t want to do. 

The most important thing to remember when betting on baseball is finding underdogs as it takes a 52.4 percent success rate at -110 just to break even. This column will offer a mixture of mid to short favorites (-110 to -160) as well as underdogs at +200 and below.

We’re also looking at F5 inning wagers in order to eliminate bullpens, the church league softball extra-inning, man on second base and seven-inning doubleheader rules MLB has thrust upon us. 

Thursday MLB Best Bets!

Unless otherwise indicated, all wagers are First Five Innings Wagers (F5).

In order to arrive at our conclusions, we’ll be using the principles found in Betting Baseball 101 

Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies

Game one of a four-game scheduled series is set to take place tonight at 7:05 pm. The Phillies hold a season series edge of 7-5.

Charlie Morton (8-3, 3.69) should make the start tonight and over his previous 18.1 innings pitched has allowed seven earned runs with 22 punchouts. He’s up against a Phillies offense with a 24 percent strikeout rate, .159 ISO and wRC+ of 90 against righties this season.

Matt Moore (0-1, 5.25) should toe the rubber tonight and over his past 12.1 innings pitched has allowed six earned runs with 14 strikeouts. He’ll face a Braves offense with a 24 percent strikeout rate alongside a .193 ISO and wRC+ of 100 against left-handed pitching this season.

Cash with Flash Thursday MLB Pick: Braves -140

Los Angeles Angels vs Minnesota Twins

Game one of a four-game series takes place tonight at 8:10 pm and Los Angeles has a 2-1 season series edge.

Andrew Heaney (5-7, 5.56) should make the start tonight and over his past 12.1 innings pitched has allowed 14 earned runs with 13 strikeouts. He’ll meet a Twins offense with a 23 percent strikeout rate alongside a .190 ISO and wRC+ of 107 against lefties this season.

Kenta Maeda (4-3, 4.71) is expected to toe the rubber tonight and has allowed three earned runs with 25 strikeouts over his past 16 innings pitched. He’s up against an Angels offense with a 24 percent strikeout rate, .176 ISO and wRC+ of 104 against right-handed pitching this season.

Cash with Flash Thursday MLB Picks: Angels +125

Good luck today!

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Cash with Flash Tuesday MLB Picks!

Phil Naessens
written by Phil Naessens

Welcome to Cash with Flash Best Bets Tuesday MLB Betting Column. We’re excited to be here and we’ll try and write in this space as often as time allows. 

Monday was another winning day as we took down the +130 Indians but lost on the -100 Dodgers. That leaves us with a 23-13-5 mark over the history of this MLB Betting column. 

We’re ahead of the game because of the eleven underdogs and several short favorites we hit. Nearly 50 percent of our wins were from wagering on underdogs and without them we’d be trending in the wrong direction. That’s something we don’t want to do. 

The most important thing to remember when betting on baseball is finding underdogs as it takes a 52.4 percent success rate at -110 just to break even. This column will offer a mixture of mid to short favorites (-110 to -160) as well as underdogs at +200 and below.

We’re also looking at F5 inning wagers in order to eliminate bullpens, the church league softball extra-inning, man on second base and seven-inning doubleheader rules MLB has thrust upon us. 

Tuesday MLB Best Bets!

Unless otherwise indicated, all wagers are First Five Innings Wagers (F5).

In order to arrive at our conclusions, we’ll be using the principles found in Betting Baseball 101 

Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays 

Game one of a three-game set begins tonight at 7:05pm with Boston holding a 3-0 season series edge.

Lefty Eduardo Rodriguez (5-4, 6.21) is set to make the start tonight and over his past 14 innings pitched has allowed 13 earned runs with 20 strikeouts. He’s up against a Red Sox offense with a 22 percent strikeout rate, .161 ISO and wRC+ of 100 against southpaws this season.

Righty Andrew Kitridge (5-1, 1.34) is the Rays probable starting pitcher for tonight and has allowed zero earned runs with three strikeouts over 3.1 innings of work. He’ll meet a Boston offense with a 24.5 percent strikeout rate, .193 ISO and wRC+ of 106. 

Cash with Flash Tuesday MLB Pick: Red Sox -101

Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets

Game three of a four-game series takes place tonight at 7:10pm ET with the sides splitting a doubleheader last night. New York has a 4-2 season series lead.

Righty Charlie Morton (6-3, 4.03) is the Braves probable starting pitcher and over his past 16.2 innings pitched has allowed six earned runs with 15 punchouts. He’s up against a Mets offense with a 23.5 percent strikeout rate, .142 ISO and wRC+ of 95 this season.

Right-hander Marcus Stroman (6-5, 2.35) will likely make the start tonight and has surrendered three earned runs with 23 strikeouts over his last 20 innings pitched. He meets a Braves offense with a 25 percent strikeout rate, .190 ISO and 103 wRC+ against righties this season.

Cash with Flash Tuesday MLB Pick: Mets +109

Good luck today!

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Cash with Flash Wednesday MLB Picks!

Phil Naessens
written by Phil Naessens

Welcome to Cash with Flash Best Bets Wednesday MLB Picks Betting Column. We’re excited to be here and we’ll try and write in this space as often as time allows. 

Tuesday we went 1-0-1 but pushed with the Brewers at plus money. That leaves us with a 17-10-4 mark over the history of this MLB Betting column. 

We’re ahead of the game because of the seven underdogs we hit. Nearly 50 percent of our wins were from wagering on underdogs and without them we’d be trending in the wrong direction. That’s something we don’t want to do. 

The most important thing to remember when betting on baseball is finding underdogs as it takes a 52.4 percent success rate at -110 just to break even. This column will offer a mixture of mid to short favorites (-110 to -160) as well as underdogs at +200 and below.

We’re also looking at F5 inning wagers in order to eliminate bullpens, the church league softball extra-inning, man on second base and seven-inning doubleheader rules MLB has thrust upon us. 

Wednesday MLB Picks!

Unless otherwise indicated, all wagers are First Five Innings Wagers (F5).

In order to arrive at our conclusions, we’ll be using the principles found in Betting Baseball 101 

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays

Game two of a three-game scheduled series takes place tonight at 7:05 pm EST and New York took game one of the series. Toronto has a 6-4 season series lead.

Righty Gerrit Cole (7-3, 2.31) is the Yankees probable starting pitcher tonight and over 17 innings pitched has allowed eight earned runs with 21 strikeouts. He’s up against a Toronto offense with a 22.3 percent strikeout rate, .193 ISO and .338 wOBA against righties this season.

Right-hander Ross Stripling (2-3, 4.91) is set to make the start tonight and has allowed six earned runs with 13 strikeouts over his past 15.2 innings pitched. He’ll face a Yankees offense with a 25 percent strikeout rate alongside a .152 ISO and .310 wOBA against right-handed pitching this season.

Cash with Flash Wednesday MLB Pick: Toronto +160

Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Game three of a three-game scheduled series is set for 10:10 pm tonight. Los Angeles is looking to sweep the series with a win.

Righty Zach Wheeler (4-3, 2.29) is set to make the tonight and over his previous 22.1 innings pitched has allowed five earned runs with 32 strikeouts. He’s up against a Dodgers offense with a 22.1 percent strikeout rate alongside a .171 ISO and .339 wOBA against righties this season. 

Lefty Clayton Kershaw (8-5, 3.39) will toe the rubber against Philadelphia and over his previous 18 innings of work has surrendered 11 earned runs with 24 strikeouts. He’s pitching against a Phillies offense with a 27.3 percent strikeout rate, .155 ISO and .318 wOBA against southpaws this season.

Cash with Flash Wednesday MLB Pick: Dodgers -140

Good luck today!

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Cash with Flash Tuesday MLB Picks!

Phil Naessens
written by Phil Naessens

Welcome to Cash with Flash Best Bets Tuesday MLB Betting Column. We’re excited to be here and we’ll try and write in this space as often as time allows. 

We’re sure you are wondering what an “NBA Guy” is doing writing an MLB betting column here at Win Daily? 

That’s a very good question and since you asked, you can rest assured that Cash with Flash Best Bets knows exactly what we are doing. In order to arrive at our conclusions, we’ll be using the principles found in Betting Baseball 101 

Friday was a rough one as we went 1-2 on the day. That leaves us with a 8-7-1 mark over the history of this MLB Betting column. 

We’re ahead of the game because of the three underdogs we hit. Nearly 50 percent of our wins were from wagering on underdogs and without them we’d be trending in the wrong direction. That’s something we don’t want to do. 

The most important thing to remember when betting on baseball is finding underdogs as it takes a 52.4 percent success rate at -110 just to break even. This column will offer a mixture of mid to short favorites (-110 to -160) as well as underdogs at +200 and below.

We’re also looking at F5 inning wagers in order to eliminate bullpens, the church league softball extra-inning, man on second base and seven-inning doubleheader rules MLB has thrust upon us. 

Tuesday MLB Best Bets!

Unless otherwise indicated, all wagers are First Five Innings Wagers (F5).

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds

The two sides meet for game-one of a three-game series. Tuesday marks the fourth time the teams have met this season with the Brewers holding a 2-1 season series lead. 

Milwaukee boasts an away underdog record of 12-5 and has scheduled righty Adrian Houser (3-5, 3.86) out to the bump against the Reds. Over his last 14 innings pitched Houser has allowed seven earned runs with 14 strikeouts. He’s up against a Reds offense with a 22 percent strikeout rate alongside a .185 ISO and .334 wOBA this season against right handed pitching.

Cincinnati is playing .500 ball when favorites at home and will look to rightly Sonny Grey (1-4, 3.64) to slow down Milwaukee. Over his previous 16.2 innings of work Grey has surrendered six earned runs with 21 punchouts. Grey will face a Brewers offense with a 26 percent strikeout rate, .155 wOBA and .288 wOBA against righties this season.

Cash with Flash Tuesday MLB Pick: Brewers +127

Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago White Sox

Game one of a three-game set begins on Tuesday and is the first meeting between the two clubs this season.

The Blue Jays are 11-10 as away underdogs and will look to southpaw Robbie Ray (3-2, 3.57) to quiet the Chicago bats. Over the past 17.2 innings pitched Ray has allowed six earned runs with 21 punchouts. He’ll meet a White Sox offense with a 23.9 percent strikeout rate, .194 ISO alongside a .357 wOBA against southpaws this season.

Chicago is 23-8 this season as home favorites and they’ll send out southpaw Carlos Rodon (5-2, 1.98) to face Toronto. Over his past 18 innings of work Rodon has whiffed 31 while allowing six earned runs. He’s up against a Blue Jays offense with a 21.3 percent strikeout rate, .169 ISO and .322 wOBA against lefties this season.

Cash with Flash Tuesday MLB Pick: White Sox -151

New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins

Game one of a three-game scheduled series commences on Tuesday and this will be the first meeting of the season between the two clubs.

New York is 13-12 as an away favorite and they will look to lefty Jordan Montgomery (3-1, 3.92) to tame the Twins bats. Over his past 18 innings pitched Montgomery has allowed four earned runs with 18 strikeouts. He’s up against a Minnesota offense with a 25.1 percent strikeout rate, .196 ISO and .324 wOBA against left-handed pitching this season.

The Twins are 2-2 this season as a home underdog and are expecting righty Michael Pineda (3-3, 3.40) to make the start on Tuesday. Over his previous 14.1 innings pitched Pineda has surrendered nine earned runs with 16 strikeouts. He’ll face a Yankees offense with a 25.9 percent strikeout rate alongside a .137 ISO and .304 wOBA against right-handed pitching this season.

Cash with Flash Tuesday MLB Pick: Twins +107

Good luck today!

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Tuesday MLB Predictions!

Phil Naessens
written by Phil Naessens

Welcome to Cash with Flash Best Bets Tuesday MLB Betting Column. We’re excited to be here and we’ll try and write in this space as often as time allows. 

We’re sure you are wondering what an “NBA Guy” is doing writing an MLB betting column here at Win Daily? 

That’s a very good question and since you asked, you can rest assured that Cash with Flash Best Bets knows exactly what we are doing. In order to arrive at our conclusions, we’ll be using the principles found in Betting Baseball 101 

Saturday was a rough one as we went 0-1-1 with our predictions. That leaves us with a 3-1-1 mark over the history of this MLB Betting column. 

The most important thing to remember when betting on baseball is finding underdogs as it takes a 52.4 percent success rate at -110 just to break even. This column will offer a mixture of mid to short favorites (-110 to -160) as well as underdogs at +200 and below.

We’re also looking at F5 inning wagers in order to eliminate bullpens and the church league softball extra-inning and doubleheader rules MLB has thrust upon us. 

Tuesday MLB Best Bets!

Unless otherwise indicated, all wagers are First Five Innings Wagers (F5).

We don’t like a single Tuesday MLB underdog but we have three picks that should help you Cash with Flash tonight. 

Miami Marlins vs Toronto Blue Jays

Tuesday marks game one of a two-game series and this should be a terrific matchup.

Righty Sandy Alcantara (2-4, 3.26) takes the bump tonight and has allowed ten earned runs with 16 strikeouts over the previous 15.1 innings pitched. He faces a Blue Jays offense with a 22.4 percent strikeout rate alongside a .185 ISO and .334 wOBA against righties this season.

Southpaw Robbie Ray (2-2, 3.81) has surrendered nine earned runs with 21 strikeouts over his past 17.1 innings pitched. He’ll see a Miami offense with a 27.8 percent strikeout rate, .164 ISO and .301 wOBA against lefties this season.

Cash with Flash Tuesday MLB Pick: Toronto -153

Detroit Tigers vs Milwaukee Brewers

We have game two of a three-game series with Milwaukee winning Monday by a score of 3-2 in ten innings.

Lefty Matthew Boyd (2-6, 3.43) takes the ball Tuesday and he’s allowed 13 earned runs with 18 strikeouts over his previous 16 innings pitched. He will meet a Brewers offense with a 27.8 percent strikeout rate. .158 ISO alongside a .313 wOBA against southpaws this season.

Southpaw Eric Lauer (1-1, 2.45) toes the rubber Tuesday and has allowed four earned runs with a dozen strikeouts over his previous 11 innings pitched. He deals against a Tigers offense with a 31 percent strikeout rate, .087 wOBA and .264 wOBA against left-handed pitching this season.

Cash with Flash Tuesday MLB Pick: Milwaukee -141

New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks

New York took game one of this three-game series with a 6-2 Memorial Day victory.

Righty Marcus Stroman (4-4, 2.27) takes the bump Tuesday and has given up seven earned runs with a dozen punchouts over his last 18 innings of work. He faces a Diamondbacks offense with a 24 percent strikeout rate, .144 ISO and .300 wOBA against right-handed pitching this season.

Lefty Caleb Smith (2-1, 3.27) has allowed one earned run with nine strikeouts over his previous 6.1 innings pitched. He’s up against a Mets offense with a 24 percent strikeout rate alongside a .142 ISO and .305 wOBA against southpaws this season.

Cash with Flash Tuesday MLB Pick: New York -114

Good luck today!

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Saturday Early Afternoon MLB Picks!

Phil Naessens
written by Phil Naessens

Welcome to Cash with Flash Best Bets Saturday MLB Betting Column. We’re excited to be here and we’ll try and write in this space as often as time allows. I have three MLB Picks for you to consider for this afternoon.

We’re sure you are wondering what an “NBA Guy” is doing writing an MLB betting column here at Win Daily? 

That’s a very good question and since you asked, you can rest assured that Cash with Flash Best Bets knows exactly what we are doing. In order to arrive at our conclusions, we’ll be using the principles found in Betting Baseball 101 

We opened our MLB Betting season Wednesday with a perfect 3-0 day. If you followed along, and we sure hope that you did, you would be up around three units. 

The most important thing to remember when betting on baseball is finding underdogs as it takes a 52.4 percent success rate at -110 just to break even. This column will offer a mixture of mid to short favorites (-110 to -160) as well as underdogs at +200 and below.

We’re also looking at F5 inning wagers in order to eliminate bullpens and the church league softball extra-inning and doubleheader rules MLB has thrust upon us. 

Saturday MLB Best Bets!

Unless otherwise indicated, all MLB Picks are First Five Innings Wagers (F5).

Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays

Saturday marks game one of a two-game inter-league series and will be their first meeting of the season.

Righty Zach Wheeler (4-2, 2.38) is set to take the hill Saturday afternoon and over his previous 20.1 innings pitched has surrendered three earned runs with 29 strikeouts. Wheeler is coming off of a one earned run with a dozen punchouts over 7.1 innings pitched just six days ago. He’s up against a Rays offense with a 25.2 percent strikeout rate alongside a .173 ISO and .325 ISO against right-handed pitching this season.

Southpaw Ryan Yarbrough (2-3, 4.27) is slated to start this ballgame and six earned runs with ten strikeouts over his previous 15.1 innings pitched. Yarbrough allowed three earned runs while striking out four over six innings pitched Monday afternoon against Toronto. He faces a Phillies offense with a 29.8 percent strikeout rate alongside a .158 ISO and .316 ISO against left-handed pitching this season.

 Cash with Flash: Phillies -131

Toronto Blue Jays vs Cleveland Indians

Game two of their three-game game set commences at 4:10 pm . Cleveland will look to avenge an 11-2 loss when the two clubs meet this afternoon at 4:10 pm EST. 

Righty Ross Stripling (0-3, 5.63) is slated to take the bump Saturday afternoon and Stripling has allowed eight earned runs with 19 strikeouts over his last 15.2 innings of work. The veteran righty is coming off of arguably his best start of the season with a seven inning shutout with seven punchouts Monday against the Tampa Bay Rays. He’s up against an Indians offense with a 24.2 percent strikeout rate alongside a .169 ISO and .292 wOBA against righties this season.

Lefty Sam Hentges (1-1, 6.92) is supposed to handle the pitching chores for the Tribe. The southpaw has allowed nine earned runs with 14 strikeouts over his previous 11.2 innings pitched. Hentges allowed three earned runs with seven strikeouts over five innings pitched in his Monday start against the Detroit Tigers. He’s up against a Blue Jays offense with a 21.1 percent strikeout rate with a .174 ISO and .325 wOBA against lefties this season.

Cash with Flash: Indians +113

Los Angeles Angels vs Oakland Athletics

Game two of their three game series is slated for a 4:07 start. Oakland will look to make it two straight when the two sides meet today. 

Righty Alex Cobb (2-2, 4.78) is slated to man the bump and over his last dozen innings the veteran has allowed four earned runs with 14 strikeouts. Cobb went five innings in his May 20 start against Minnesota, surrendering one earned run with four strikeouts over five innings pitched. Cobb faces an Oakland side with a 24 percent strikeout rate alongside a .180 ISO and .311 wOBA against righties this season.

Righty Frankie Montas (5-4, 4.92) is scheduled to take the ball Saturday afternoon and over his last 17 innings pitched has allowed seven earned runs with 21 strikeouts. Montas struck out 11 with four earned runs over six innings pitched Monday night against Seattle. He’s up against an Angels offense with a 24.6 percent strikeout rate with a .176 ISO alongside a .316 wOBA against righties this season.

Cash with Flash: Oakland -146

Good luck with the MLB Picks today!

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Cash with Flash Saturday NBA Picks!

Phil Naessens
written by Phil Naessens

Welcome to the Saturday edition of Cash with Flash Best Bets! Missed Friday due to tennis obligations but we are back today and hopefully do better than our 0-3 Thursday.

Glad to see you and I hope that your sports betting endeavors are going well. It’s been difficult handicapping professional and college sporting contests during the pandemic but if you’ve been tailing me, listening to my show, read my books, or whatever then you have been making money.

Cash with Flash Best Bets has 2020-2021 season-long totals of 66-53-1 for NFL football, 48-21 in NCAAF, 47-40 for NCAAB, 16-9 in NHL, 81-47-1 in the NBA, and 109-50 for tennis this season. 

Had you wagered $100 dollars on each of the picks we offered you’d be ahead of the game by about $11,300 since September 8, 2020. That’s not too bad for tailing Cash with Flash Best Bets. 

Don’t forget to pick up your copies of Betting Baseball 101 and Betting Football 101. Everything that you need to know in order to become a better sports handicapper can be found on the pages of those two books. Look for Betting Basketball 101 and Betting Hockey 101 in 2021!

Thursday was an 0-3 kinda day with our picks that leaves us with a 29-25 record through sixteen days of this column. We need to have a couple of big nights in order to reach our three-unit goal and let’s see if we can get some of that tonight!

Slightly profitable week but a profit just the same. We’ve had winning weeks in each of our past three weeks here and I suspect we’ll do the same this week.

You are doing it all wrong if you aren’t practicing some sort of money management system. I discuss a couple of them in my books and I will be sharing little tidbits here in this column.

Managing your cash is numero uno. Hiring someone to pick winners is an easy thing to do but if you don’t have the discipline to manage your money correctly then wagering on sporting events for long-term success won’t likely be successful.

We have eight games on the NBA slate for Saturday and plenty of opportunity to Cash with Flash with our winning picks!

Sacramento Kings vs Atlanta Hawks 7:30 pm EST

The Kings are 3.5 point away underdogs tonight when they face a surging Hawks side riding a three-game winning streak. The Hawks have allowed the tenth fewest points per game over their last five while Sacramento has allowed the twenty-second most points over their last five. The Hawks are ballin under interim Head Coach Nate McMillan and I see the Hawks covering in this one. 

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets

Dallas is a 2.5 point away favorite when they meet Denver tonight. The Mavericks are playing their third game in four nights and Denver had to fly in late from Memphis after defeating the Grizzlies to keep a five-game winning streak alive. These two sides have allowed the fifth and second-fewest points per game respectively over their last five games and we should expect a lower scoring game tonight. Dallas is the fresher team so take the 2.5 points and roll with Dallas to cover tonight. We also like to play UNDER 226.5 points tonight.

Good luck tonight!

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2/5 League of Legends LPL/LCK Breakdown

Josh Barzal
written by Josh Barzal

2/5 League of Legends LPL/LCK Breakdown

Welcome to tonight’s 2/5 League of Legends LPL/LCK Breakdown where I will be digging into our 4 game slate tonight to try to give you all the edge. Last night I got killed by subs and im sure most of you did too as KT decided to throw their matches and sub out their mid/jg duo which killed them. Tonight we have DWG/LSB, GEN/NS, TT/LGD, and SN/EDG, this is shaping up to be a great cash game slate with gpp upside.

DWG (-1600) vs Sandbox (+650)

This is the first of our two LCK matches and it is admittedly the safe match in terms of lineups today. We have the top team in the LCK and the bottom team on the LCK on this slate, DWG are priced up but not too high tonight and they are a spot I like as a small stack to fill your lineups out with safe wins and decent scoring.

Digging into the stats tonight DWG lead in everything tonight except for first drake which is expected in the team gap. Top lane goes over to DWG, along with jungle, mid, and the bot lane. I am taking DWG to take this match in a 2-0, but will say their upside is limited in how quickly they may finish these games.

GEN G (-425) vs NS (+280)

We may all hate Gen G right about now including me, I will say that I am not touching their mid/jg spots while I am more comfortable in taking their TOP/ADC/TEAM spots as it is Rascal, Ruler, and a very objective focused team. This is not a match I like for upside as in their recent loses NS has dies only around 14 times per match. I am taking a 2-0 here from GEN but not risking anything and will mostly have their Team spot in my lineups.

Taking a quick look at the stats, I thought there may be a stat in favor of NS and I was right, Elder Dragon… meaning every meaningful objective is in favor of GEN. Favorite plays from Gen are Rascal, Ruler, and the GEN team spot. Not looking for big stacks here either so look for a small stack or just the team spot preferably.

TT (-180) vs LGD (+130)

This is the match tonight I am most interested in tonight as it should have the most upside and gives the best value on the slate. Both of these teams are bottom dwellers in the LPL but TT is looking up winning their past 2 matches while LGD is still floundering even with the return of their star ADC in Kramer. TT has been able to play through SamD and Twila and I expect them to do more of that tonight and I will be taking them as my four stack tonight as their value is the best on the slate and allows me to get whatever ADC double stack I want and shoot for safety on the night in the best possible lineup that I have been able to build up.

This feels like it would be a closer match of the night but the stats do not support that as TT leads in almost every statistical category, only leading in First blood. TT has been a much better looking team recently and I expect them to once again roll tonight as my favorite play on the slate and the team I am 4 stacking in all my lineups. Favorite plays are SamD, Twila, Xiaopeng, and Teeen.

EDG (-215) vs Suning (+155)

This will be the best match of the night, not exactly for the upside but just to watch if anyone is interested. EDG is the last unbeaten team in the LPL and that is a dangerous thing with how scrappy the LPL is, though these teams are not very scrappy. I do not expect a high scoring match tonight as I believe both teams will score relatively low in a win with them playing into scaling comps. This match also has the highest chance at an upset tonight as Suning is a very good team that has the advantage in vision and jungle pressure

EDG has a stark advantage in the early and late game, leading in key stats such as First Turret, Drakes, and Baron. I believe both teams also draft towards their carries tonight in Huenfeng and V1per, the top lane matchup is very close with bin and flandre as both are stable for their team and will hold down the weakside. Jungle is also very even as Jiejie has been playing out of his mind and SofM has been his normal self vacuuming up the jungle. Mid goes over to Scout and I will make bot lane an even draw. This will be a very close match between two teams with similar styles though I expect EDG to win a 2-1 but would hedge here. Favorite plays Scout, V1per, Meiko.

Summary

The summary for our 2/5 League of Legends LPL/LCK Breakdown, DWG 2-0, GENG 2-0, TT 2-0, and EDG 2-1. I expect the bloodiest match to be in TT/LGD and the least bloody to be GEN/NS. Not taking Gen players for sub risk but love their team spot too. We have 5 game slates starting tomorrow and I am excited to get into those along with LEC and LCS articles coming out tomorrow. Let’s hit the green tonight, for our other articles at Win daily Sports click here, to join our discord where I will further discuss tonight’s slate click here, I am also on Twitter @DfsGet. Have a great night everyone and hope we wake up to a green morning.

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Daily Fantasy Sports

2/1 League of Legends LPL Breakdown

Josh Barzal
written by Josh Barzal

2/1 League of Legends LPL Breakdown

Welcome to another night of LOL for this 2/1 League of Legends LPL Breakdown we are back to the two-game slates tonight. We have recently seen DK go from less chalky builds to purposely take a 1 off as a way to get an ADC or Mid into the captain spot. This is the approach that I am looking to take on tonight’s slate. We have two matches tonight between SN/LGD and RNG/BLG. I ready to dig into this so let’s get it!!!

Suning Gaming (-950) vs. LGD (+500)

The first of our two matches tonight and what I believe to also be the closer of the two matches. Suning has been a struggling team so far this split as they are still getting over their loss of SwordArt. Their support who was also their primary shot caller for the team, when Suning wins now it is primarily through their start ADC, Huenfeng. LGD is a team coming off a lot of change over the offseason and not much continuity so far in season as they have been experimenting with their lineups. They do have their own star ADC back in Kramer though he has not had the best of reintroductions into the league with matches against BLG and TES, a mid tier and top tier team in the LPL.

LGD leads Suning in First turret, first three turrets, and Rift Herald control rate while also having a 200 gold advantage at 15. If they are not able to snowball the game though with their slight edge in the early game watch out for Suning to come out firing with a likely scaling comp and playing through their better dragon and baron numbers. Of the two matches tonight this would have to be the closest and it would also be the lowest scoring as both teams average around 16 deaths a loss. I would take my small stacks from here while looking to target the next match. I am rolling with Suning to win 2-1 and taking LGD as my one off at the team spot in those RNG captain builds. Huenfeng and bin would be my favorite plays from Suning in a 4-2-1 build but I also like Angel tonight.

RNG (-385) vs. BLG (+265)

I am and always will be a BLG advocate, just something about watching them play and watching Meteor carry this team in years past. I enjoy the core they have built around them now but I fear it may not be enough for them in this matchup. RNG has been one of the best and bloodiest teams in the LPL this split being one of the only two undefeated teams. Their ADC in Gala has been very impressive in carrying this squad to go along with their mid in Cryin who has brought some of his old Estar style along with Wei into RNG. I fully expect RNG to sweep this series as they have been dominant this split and I do not see it stopping now.

Looking into the stats of the matchup, BLG hold a slight edge in Rift Herald and first blood while RNG has the edge in first turret. this is a very close match in the early game but as time goes on, RNG will begin to show their strengths through their baron control rate along with their drake percentage. RNG also leads in vision numbers giving them another advantage in the late game and these late game fights will favor them. I believe RNG take this in a 2-0 series that is very bloody, all of my four stacks will be Coming from RNG though I also expect that to be the chalk tonight. My favorite plays from them would have to be their starting five, this team tends to score well all around with the main carry being Gala so would make him my #1 priority tonight.

To summarize this 2/1 League of Legends LPL Breakdown I am going to have to call it Suning 2-1 and RNG 2-0. For roster construction tonight I am looking to take my main stacks from RNG and small stacks from Suning, for the 4-2-1 builds would go LGD at team to get in everything RNG. Goodluck tonight everyone and I hope we can all get a night of green. You can check out our other articles here and also hit us up on discord at where I will hopefully be able to answer your questions here. You can also find me on Twitter.

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PGAPremium

PGA Championship: Initial Picks

Sia
written by Sia

Hopefully you’ve already reviewed The Range and now comes the onslaught of DFS picks from our entire team.  Here are my PGA Championship: Initial Picks and these will be further developed on the Win Daily Show Livestream tomorrow at 8:30 pm.  Joining us on tomorrow’s show is none other than Joel Schrek, who has won 100k in just the last 3 weeks in PGA DFS.  Please join us on the Livestream @windailysports or @SiaNejad.  Let’s get after it. Pricing is for DraftKings.

Jon Rahm (10500) – He’s great in all aspects of the strokes gained metrics and is particularly great OTT. I expect a bounce back from a very below average performance last week.  Won’t be nearly as popular as JT or Xander so you gain a bit of leverage with Rahm. 

Bryson Dechambeau (10300) – How about a contrarian play right off the bat.  Bryson is tracking at less than 10% ownership while everyone else in the 10k and above range is 15% or higher (including Xander and JT at above 23%).  Thanks but no thanks on the chalk.  The rap on Bryson is that he’s not going to be able to bomb his way around the course for four days and I actually agree with that.  I think we all forget that before Bryson put on all the weight he was one of the smarter and more calculated guys in golf, and I expect that golf IQ to be in play this week.

Webb Simpson (9700) – Very quietly finished 12th last week and if not for a couple of terrible putts he would have been firmly inside the Top 10.  Great ball striker and an improved short game.  He also leads the field in par 4 scoring average.  Reasonable price for a very consistent player with upside.

Daniel Berger (8800) – In case you didn’t notice, Berger finished 2nd last week at the WGC.  While everyone was wondering whether Brooks would catch JT, Berger was making his way up the leaderboard like he has been doing this entire year.  Berger’s game is too good and this price is too low.  Good OTT and Great on APP.  He gains a lot with the putter which can be hard to rely on from tournament to tournament but he’s also picking up strokes ARG.  In other words, he gains in every category.

Collin Morikawa (8600) – He is good OTT and amazing on APP (2nd behind Justin Thomas on the year).  His ARG game could be better but it’s not Hovland bad.  I question Collin’s game when it gets to crunch time on Sunday, but if he is battling for an outright win on Sunday but then freezes up, he’s already paid off his DFS price tag.

Abraham Ancer (7700) – Has made the cut in all tournaments since the restart and 4 of 5 have been Top 15.  He’s longer than many think OTT and he’s great on APP.  I tend to give a pass to anyone who was below average at the Memorial and Ancer was certainly below average there (58th).  But every other tournament he’s played since the restart has been a Top 15 finish.  This guy defines value at this price.

Tommy Fleetwood (7700) – His game sets up well for this course and he’s starting to play well after taking a long layoff post-restart (finished 35th last week at WGC but shot 4 under on Sunday).  Add to that Fleetwood may be perfectly fine with potentially volatile weather conditions and the price is just too good here to pass over.

Chez Reavie (7400) – There is simply nothing bad to say about this guy.  He’s been successful on this track in the past and he is hitting the ball better than almost anyone on the tour right now.  He will be popular for sure but he’s a great value.  Don’t go overweight on Chez in GPP but have some shares.  A great cash game play to free up some money up top.

Harris English (7200) – Hasn’t played a ton since the restart but he’s Top 20 in his last three (including an impressive 13th at the Memorial).  English has been striking the ball very well and gains in every category.

Tom Lewis (7100) – I mentioned Tom Lewis on the Win Daily Show Livestream last week and wish I had rostered him on more than a handful of teams.  Lewis was red hot last week and it feels like I’m chasing points here, but he’s made 3 cuts in a row including a 2nd at the WGC and a 12th the Rocket Mortgage.  He’s priced up a bit but his ability to turn it on at any given moment is too much to ignore.

Ryan Palmer (6900) – You will have some swings and some misses in this range but Palmer feels like the ultimate upside option in this range.  He’s been great OTT and on APP and is in very good form with a 15th and a 2nd in his last two.  If the conditions get dicey, Palmer should be just fine as he thrived in tough conditions at the Memorial. 

Rory Sabbatini (6800) – If you’re looking for a cheap contrarian play, you’ve got one here.  He hasn’t been great as of late but the cuts that he’s made since the restart (3 out of 5) he’s been right around Top 20. 

Harold Varner (6600) – To be blunt, this guy just hasn’t been good since the restart.  But typically his OTT and APP game are very good and considering his current price, I think he’s worth a shot.  He hasn’t played since the Memorial so hopefully he’s used the off time to work on his mechanics. 

Chan Kim (6200) – If you’re looking for a true longshot then you have found him here.  I’m no fan of the OWGR in terms of how it correlates to DFS success, but this guy is well inside the Top 100 and currently stands at 83.  His SG metrics leave a little to be desired but I’m going to take a shot here with an absolute no name.

Secret Weapon (sub 7k/sub 5% ownership) – see you in Discord

Thank you for check out my PGA Championship: Initial Picks. Again, make sure you tune into the Livestream to catch Joel Schrek, Michael Rasile and myself as we develop these picks. Also, Discord will be a constant flow of information and narrowing of picks as we approach Thursday morning. There is simply no better time to be a part of the Win Daily family. Let’s go.

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