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Sports Betting

Cash with Flash Thursday MLB Picks!

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Welcome to Cash with Flash Best Bets Thursday MLB Betting Column. We’re excited to be here and we’ll try and write in this space as often as time allows.  

Wednesday was a terrific day as we went 2-0 with our picks, including the underdog Chicago Cubs. That leaves us with a 39-37-11 mark over the history of this 2021 MLB Betting column. 

We’re ahead of the game because of the 21 underdogs and several short favorites we hit. Over half of our wins were from wagering on underdogs and without them we’d be trending in the wrong direction. That’s something we don’t want to do. 

The most important thing to remember when betting on baseball is finding underdogs as it takes a 52.4 percent success rate at -110 just to break even. This column will offer a mixture of mid to short favorites (-110 to -160) as well as underdogs at +200 and below.

We’re also looking at F5 inning wagers in order to eliminate bullpens, the church league softball extra-inning, man on second base and seven-inning doubleheader rules MLB has thrust upon us. 

Thursday MLB Best Bets!

Unless otherwise indicated, all wagers are First Five Innings Wagers (F5).

In order to arrive at our conclusions, we’ll be using the principles found in Betting Baseball 101 

Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies

Game one of a four-game scheduled series is set to take place tonight at 7:05 pm. The Phillies hold a season series edge of 7-5.

Charlie Morton (8-3, 3.69) should make the start tonight and over his previous 18.1 innings pitched has allowed seven earned runs with 22 punchouts. He’s up against a Phillies offense with a 24 percent strikeout rate, .159 ISO and wRC+ of 90 against righties this season.

Matt Moore (0-1, 5.25) should toe the rubber tonight and over his past 12.1 innings pitched has allowed six earned runs with 14 strikeouts. He’ll face a Braves offense with a 24 percent strikeout rate alongside a .193 ISO and wRC+ of 100 against left-handed pitching this season.

Cash with Flash Thursday MLB Pick: Braves -140

Los Angeles Angels vs Minnesota Twins

Game one of a four-game series takes place tonight at 8:10 pm and Los Angeles has a 2-1 season series edge.

Andrew Heaney (5-7, 5.56) should make the start tonight and over his past 12.1 innings pitched has allowed 14 earned runs with 13 strikeouts. He’ll meet a Twins offense with a 23 percent strikeout rate alongside a .190 ISO and wRC+ of 107 against lefties this season.

Kenta Maeda (4-3, 4.71) is expected to toe the rubber tonight and has allowed three earned runs with 25 strikeouts over his past 16 innings pitched. He’s up against an Angels offense with a 24 percent strikeout rate, .176 ISO and wRC+ of 104 against right-handed pitching this season.

Cash with Flash Thursday MLB Picks: Angels +125

Good luck today!

Phil "Cash with Flash" Naessens hosts the Phil Naessens Show and This Week in Tennis. Phil was formerly a sports handicapper of three years at Winners and Whiners, Racing Dudes, and Stat Salt. Phil’s work has been showcased on several SB Nation websites, Win Daily Sports, FanSided, BetQl, Creative Sports 2, FanTrax, Fantasy Team Advice as well as many others. In addition to his writing, Phil has been a featured guest on Sirius XM, ESPN, CBS, Fox Sports, Radio Europe, Armed Forces Radio as well as several local radio and TV spots in the Cleveland Area. Phil is a semi-retired high-performance tennis coach and still teaches at camps and clinics worldwide, including Brookwood Sports Academy in Glen Spey, New York where he is the current Director of Tennis.

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