A flashback at some of the best performances from the Wednesday slate plus their outlooks for the remainder of the season on the 8/29 MLB DFS review and look ahead.
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As Wes Anderson chose him on our Premium Gold Cheatsheet as a value second baseman, Kolten Wong was a dominant player in an otherwise dormant Cardinals lineup. Wong went 3-for-4 with a double, home run and RBI against the Milwaukee Brewers.
Outlook for the rest of the season: Kolten Wong has been one of the best hitters in the second half of the season. Since the All-Star break, Wong is slashing .363/ .441/ .500 at the top of the order. Without him, the Cardinals are struggling to make a playoff spot and there are no signs of him slowing down during the final five weeks of the season.
As you can see from the cheatsheet, both Jason and Wes chose a player that had a good game in a value slot with Matt Joyce. In an interleague matchup against the Toronto Blue Jays, he went 3-for-5 with a home run and two RBI.
Outlook for the rest of the season: As a relative bench player, Joyce has accumulated just 142 at-bats this season. He isn’t going to be the difference maker in many games, but with this young Atlanta team battling for the N.L. East and second-best record in the N.L., Joyce will be a nice veteran bat that will help the young guys in the clubhouse.
This screenshot is from the Pitcher Projection Model, available for all premium members to access. This screenshot is the top 10 FanDuel projection points for pitchers on the slate. DeSclafani was brilliant against the Miami Marlins, as he went seven shutout innings and allowed just two hits and a walk while racking up eight strikeouts as well.
Outlook for the rest of the season: The rest of this season is a “show me what you got” situation for DeSclafani. He has shown he could be a solid middle-of-the-rotation starter and could help the Cincinnati Reds next season (and they have a good staff already there).
The Philadelphia Phillies are battling the Pittsburgh Pirates and need to beat up on them as they are at two separate levels right now. The Phillies rattled off 12 runs on 17 hits with three walks. Seven of their eight position players that started the game recorded multiple hits and the other recorded a single hit as well.
Outlook for the rest of the season: Sitting just two games back from the second Wild Card spot, the Phillies need their offense to carry them as their pitching staff hasn’t been too good this season. With a month left in the season, expect the Phillies to start hitting like this more regularly and get into the playoffs.
This report will provide recommended DFS stack options for today’s 13-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.
The Angels are in Cleveland tonight facing Adam Plutko. Plutko owns a 4.83 ERA, 6.80 FIP, and 5.35 SIERA. He has a measly 14.5% K rate and struggles with the long ball, allowing 2.50 HR/9 and a 48% fly ball rate. Plutko has struggled against righties, particularly at home. They are slashing to a .371 wOBA, .625 SLG, and .294 OBP. Plutko has shown inconsistency overall so I won’t be afraid to roll out these powerful Angels lefties. The Angels are slashing to a .316 wOBA, .210 ISO, and 100 WRC+ over the last month against right handed pitching.
Preferred Stack: Mike Trout ($4800 FD|$5700 DK), Shohei Ohtani ($3800 FD|$5100 DK), Kole Calhoun ($3300 FD|$4700 DK), and Matthew Thaiss ($2500 FD|$4100 DK).
**Low Risk
The Twins were the top stack on the slate as I stated yesterday. They take on an underwhelming Danny Duffy. Duffy owns a 4.42 ERA, 4.73 FIP, and 4.85 SIERA. He hasn’t thrown a lot to lefties, but has struggled in the 24 innings he has. He is allowing them to slash to a .357 wOBA, .457 SLG, and .367 OBP. The Twins are slashing to a .357 wOBA, .223 ISO, and 122 WRC+ over the last month.
Preferred Stack: Nelson Cruz ($4400 FD|$5200 DK), Mitch Garver ($3500 FD|$5500 DK), Miguel Sano ($3800 FD|$4800 DK), and Jonathon Schoop ($2700 FD|$3700 DK).
**Low Risk
Ross Detwiler is on the mound tonight for the White Sox. He owns a 6.35 ERA, 6.84 FIP, and 4.39 SIERA over 22 innings pitched. He has a slate low 11.7% K rate and is allowing 2.78 HR/9 innings (inflated stat due to small sample size). Detwiler absolutely gets smashed by right handed batting, allowing them to slash to a .480 wOBA, .726 SLG, and .440 OBP. He has allowed 11 earned runs and six home runs against righties across 15 innings pitched.
Preferred Stack: Rhys Hoskins ($4200 FD|$4600 DK), J.T. Realmuto ($3700 FD|$4500 DK), Jean Segura ($3600 FD|$4300 DK), and Scott Kingery ($3300 FD|$4400 DK).
vs. LHP Marco Gonzales (SEA): 6.30 Runs
**Low Risk
Preferred Stack: Alex Bregman ($4000 FD|$4400 DK), George Springer ($4400 FD|$5300 DK), Jose Altuve ($4200 FD|$4600 DK), Carlos Correa ($3800 FD|$4300 DK), and Yuli Gurriel ($3300 FD|$4200 DK).
vs. RHP Trevor Bauer (CIN): 4.70 Runs
**Moderate Risk
Preferred Stack: Freddie Freeman ($4100 FD|$4900 DK), Brian McCann ($2400 FD|$3700 DK), Josh Donaldson ($3600 FD|$4400 DK) and Ozzie Albies ($3600 FD|$4200 DK).
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This report will provide recommended DFS stack options for today’s eight game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.
**Low Risk
Zach Plesac is on the mound in Cleveland this evening and he has had a pretty good rookie campaign thus far. He sports a 3.10 ERA, 5.14 FIP, and 5.21 SIERA. Through expected regression his 3.10 ERA will come closer to his FIP and SIERA. Plesac also has tremendous splits, only allowing righties to slash to a .304 wOBA, .425 SLG, and .293 OBP. Despite the great averages put forth by Plesac he still only has a K rate of 18.1%, one of the lowest on today’s slate. Houston is the second best team in the league in regards to striking out, averaging only 7.23 per game. The Astros are red hot vs. right hand pitching right now, slashing to a .374 wOBA, .264 ISO, and 140 WRC+.
Preferred Stack: George Springer ($4500 FD|$5600 DK), Alex Bregman ($3800 FD|$5200 DK), Yordan Alvarez($4000 FD|$5500 DK), Jose Altuve ($4200 FD|$5100 DK), and Michael Brantley ($4100 FD|$5100 DK).
**Moderate Risk
Thankfully the Coors game falls on the early slate so we don’t have to worry about that. We do get Coors south in Texas, which has quickly become one of the more prolific hitting parks in MLB this season. There’s no doubt this Rangers lineup is just not the same without Joey Gallo in it. The Rangers are slashing to a lowly .288 wOBA, .170 ISO, and 70 WRC+ for the month of July. Despite these poor hitting averages they get to face Wade LeBlanc at home. LeBlanc owns a 4.79 ERA, 5.17 FIP, and 4.69 SIERA. He is allowing 1.85 HR/9 and holds a terrible K rate of 17.6%. LeBlanc gave up three earned runs and struck out five over five innings pitched the last time he faced the Rangers at home.
Preferred Stack: Danny Santana ($3600 FD|$5300 DK), Elvis Andrus ($3000 FD|$4300 DK), Shin-soo Choo ($3200 FD|$4800 DK), and Hunter Pence ($3500 FD|$4700 DK). Roughned Odor ($2800 FD|$4400 DK).
vs. LHP Ryan Yarbrough (TAM): 7.00 Runs
**Low Risk
Preferred Plays: J.D. Martinez ($4100 FD|$4900 DK), Xander Bogaerts ($4200 FD|$5100 DK), Rafael Devers ($4300 FD|$5300 DK), and Christian Vazquez ($2600 FD|$3900 DK).
vs.RHP Jeff Samardzija (SFG): 5.35 Runs
**Moderate Risk
Preferred Plays: Bryce Harper ($4200 FD|$4300 DK), Rhys Hoskins ($4000 FD|$4200 DK), Cesar Hernandez ($2700 FD|$3400 DK) and Adam Haseley ($2300 FD|$3400 DK).
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This report will provide stacks that I recommend for today’s 4 game main slate. I’ve also included my favorite one offs and value plays.
Implied Run Total: 5.25 Runs
The Blue Jays and Red Sox game should receive a good bit of attention this evening. We have Rick Porcello in Toronto, he carries a 5.07 ERA, 4.41 FIP, and 4.98 SIERA coming into tonight’s game. He does struggle a bit more with lefties, but his splits are nearly identical. He holds an average .325 wOBA, .326 OBP, and ,444 SLG. The Blue Jays are hitting extremely well over the last 2 weeks against right handed pitching. They are slashing to a .412 wOBA, .289 ISO, and 162 WRC+. I want to emphasize I do like Toronto a lot this evening and will have a ton of exposure across the board and will be differentiating my builds.
Preferred Stack: (in order of preference) Cavan Biggio $3700 FD|$4700 DK, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. $3700 FD|$5500 DK, Eric Sogard $3100 FD|$4800 DK, Freddy Galvis $2900 FD|$4000 DK, and Rowdy Tellez $2400 FD|$3600 DK. I’ll also have shares of Vlad Guerrero Jr. $3200 FD|$3900 DK and Justin Smoak $2700 FD|$3900 DK.
Implied Run Total: 5.10 Runs
Lance Lynn has been somewhat decent this season but I’m going to get behind the narrative that the Angels are going to play their hearts out for their beloved teammate, Lance Lynn carries 4.00 ERA, 2.94 FIP, and 3.84 SIERA into tonights game. He has an xFIP of 3.84 so we expect regression. The Angels are slashing .319 wOBA, .125 ISO, and 102 WRC+. Justin Upton and Shohei Ohtani were not in the lineup both times Lance Lynn faced the Angels this season.
Preferred Stack: Shohei Ohtani $3900 FD|$5200 DK, Mike Trout $4500 FD|$5300 DK, Justin Upton $3800 FD|$3800 DK.
vs. RHP Zach Eflin (PHI): 5.90 Runs
Preferred Stack: Josh Donaldson $3000 FD|$4000 DK, Freddie Freeman $4400 FD|$5000 DK, Ronald Acuna Jr. $4300 FD|$5400 DK, and Brian McCann $2600 FD|$3400 DK.
Josh Donaldson (ATL) $3000 FD|$4000 DK, Rowdy Tellez (TOR) $2400 FD|$3600 DK, Justin Bour (LAA) $2800 FD|$4100 DK, Roughned Odor (TEX) $2700 FD|$3900 DK, and Danny Jansen (TOR) $2200 FD|$3100 DK.
The umpire DFS report for the early slate.
Mets vs Phillies- umpire Ryan Blakney Avg. Ks/Gm- 17.50, Over record (4-6), 40% OVER, RUNS/Gm- 7.2, HR/Gm- 2.10
Tampa Bay vs Twins- umpire Adam Hamari Avg. Ks/Gm- 17.29, Over record (7-7), 50% OVER, RUNS/Gm- 11.1, HR/Gm- 2.86
Rangers vs Tigers- Tripp Gibson Avg. Ks/Gm- 15.71, Over record (9-4), 69.2% OVER, RUNS/Gm- 10.9, HR/Gm- 2.86
Seattle vs Brewers- Chad Whitson Avg. Ks/Gm- 16.79, Over record (10-4), 71.4% OVER, RUNS/Gm- 10.4, HR/Gm- 2.79
Pittsburgh vs Astros- Jeff Kellogg Avg. Ks/Gm- 15.92, Over record (9-3), 75% OVER, RUNS/Gm- 10.9, HR/Gm- 3.23
Braves vs Cubs- Nic Lentz Avg. Ks/Gm- 14.53, Over record (9-6), 60% OVER, RUNS/Gm- 10.4, HR/Gm- 3.13
Good afternoon everyone! For those not familiar, my name is Dan Wehr and I am a new author here at WinDailyDFS. This article will cover a game by game breakdown for the seven game main slate on Draftkings and Fanduel.
Over/Under: 10.5
Implied Run Total – TOR: 3.91 Runs
Implied Run Total – NYY: 6.63 Runs
Weather Concerns – N/A
Toronto Blue Jays – Aaron Sanchez (RHP) on the mound tonight for the Jays in New York. He is carrying a 5.49 ERA, 5.50 FIP, and 5.43 SIERA on the season. He has identical splits, allowing .354 wOBA, .380 OBP, and .445 SLG on the season. Toronto hitters are slashing .346 wOBA .213 ISO, and 119 WRC+ to left handed pitchers over the last two weeks.
Preferred Plays: Lourdes Gurriel Jr., Teoscar Hernandez, Eric Sogard, Vlad Guerro Jr., and Randal Grichuk.
New York Yankees – CC Sabathia (LHP) on the mound tonight for the Yankees at home. He is carrying a 4.14 ERA, 5.66 FIP, and 4.29 SIERA on the season. Sabathia has true splits, allowing .379 wOBA, .561 SLG, and .352 OBP against right handed batters. He is also allowing 2.14 HR/9. New York hitters are slashing .380 wOBA, .232 ISO, .366 BABIP, and 138 WRC+ to right handed pitching over the last two weeks, well above their season average.
Preferred Plays: Luke Voit, Gary Sanchez, Edwin Encarnacion, DJ Lemahieu, and Gleyber Torres.
Over/Under: 10
Implied Run Total – NYM: 4.76 Runs
Implied Run Total – PHI: 5.26 Runs
Weather Concerns – Possible late game shower
New York Mets – Steven Matz (LHP) on the mound tonight for the Mets in Philly. Matz is carrying a 4.28 ERA, 5.00 FIP, and 4.37 SIERA on the sesason. Matz has reverse splits, allowing .401 wOBA, .563 SLG, and .397 OBP to left handed batters. He is also allowing 40% hard contact and 1.83 HR/9. Mets batters are slashing .306 wOBA, .182 ISO, .262 BABIP, and .419 SLG. They are hitting close to their season average over their last two weeks.
Preferred Plays: Pete Alonso, Michael Conforto, Jeff McNeil, and Robinson Cano.
Philadelphia Phillies – Zach Eflin (RHP) is on the mound at home tonight. He is sporting a 2.83 ERA, 4.02 FIP, and 4.51 SIERA. Eflin is allowing only .221 BABIP on the season. Philly batters are slashing .332 wOBA, .155 ISO, .300 BABIP, and .412 SLG against left handed pitching over the last few weeks, close to their season averages.
Preferred Plays: Zach Eflin, Scott Kingery, Jay Bruce, Rhys Hoskins, Bryce Harper, and JT Realmuto.
Over/Under: 10
Implied Run Total – KCR: 4.34 Runs
Implied Run Total – CLE: 5.72 Runs
Weather Concerns – Possible PPD. 55% Precip. 7pm-10pm (EST)
Kansas City Royals – Brad Keller (RHP) on the mound for the Royals in Cleveland. He carries a 4.45 ERA, 4.35 FIP, and 5.41 SIERA on the season. Keller has identical splits, allowing .311 wOBA, .343 OBP, and .367 SLG. He has a low HC% and FB% all while only allowing .56 HR/9 this season. Royals batters are slashing .275 wOBA, .115 ISO, and .271 BABIP to right handed pitchers over the last few weeks. They are hitting well below their season averages.
Preferred Plays: Brad Keller
Cleveland Indians – Adam Plutko (RHP) takes the mound at home. He carries a 4.55 ERA, 6.25 FIP, and 4.69 SIERA on the season. Plutko is allowing .391 wOBA, .655 SLG, and .305 OBP on the year. He is also allowing 2.93 HR/9. Despite the inflated numbers, Plutko does offer strike out upside. Indians batters are slashing .341 wOBA, .212 ISO, and .327 BABIP over the last few weeks. They are hitting above their season averages.
Preferred Plays: Adam Plutko, Carlos Santana, Jason Kipnis, Oscar Mercado, Jose Ramirez, and Francisco Lindor.
Over/Under: 9
Implied Run Total – CHW: 3.88
Implied Run Total – BOS: 5.14
Weather Concerns – N/A
Chicago White Sox – Lucas Giolito (RHP) is on the mound in Boston tonight. He is sporting a 2.74 ERA, 3.09 FIP, and 3.62 SIERA on the season. Giolito has excellent splits, allowing .252 wOBA, .267 OBP, and .304 SLG to both hands this season. White Sox batters are slashing .353 wOBA, .192 ISO, and 124 WRC+ over the last two weeks, well above their season avearges.
Preferred Plays: Luery Garcia, Jose Abreu, James McCann, and Eloy Jimenez.
Boston Red Sox – Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP) is on the mound at home this evening. He is carrying a 4.71 ERA, 4.00, and 3.98 SIERA on the season. Rodriguez is a reverse splits pitcher, allowing .392 wOBA, .610 SLG, and 7 home runs through 18 innings pitched against left handed batters. Red Sox batters are slashing .392 wOBA, .243 ISO, and 139 WRC+ to right handed pitching over the last two weeks. The Red Sox are hitting well above their season averages.
Preferred Plays: Christian Vasquez, Rafael Devers, Xander Bogaerts, Mookie Betts, and Jackie Bradley Jr..
Over/Under: 11.5
Implied Run Total – ATL: 5.45
Implied Run Total – CHC: 6.12
Weather Concerns – N/A
Atlanta Braves – Julio Teheran (RHP) takes the mound at Wrigley this evening. He is sporting a 3.40 ERA, 4.36 FIP, and 5.10 SIERA on the season. Teheran has identical splits, carrying .288 wOBA .311 OBP, and .347 SLG to both hands. I consider Teheran a viable pitching option in GPP’s. Braves hitters are slashing a massive .426 wOBA, .271 ISO, .386 BABIP, and 161 WRC+ over the last two weeks. To put it simply, they are on absolute fire.
Preferred Plays: Freddie Freeman, Josh Donaldson, Ozzie Albies, Austin Riley, and Ronald Acuna Jr..
Chicago Cubs – Jon Lester (LHP) is on the mound at home tonight. He carries a 4.13 ERA, 4.47 FIP, and 4.16 SIERA on the season. Lester has identical splits, allowing .390 wOBA, .329 OBP, and .464 SLG to both hands. He is also allowing 81% contact on his pitches, 41% of that being hard contact. Cubs batters are slashing ,291 wOBA, .163 ISO, .253 BABIP, and 78 WRC+ over the last two weeks. They are hitting well below their season averages.
Preferred Plays: Kyle Schwarber, Wilson Contreras, Anthony Rizzo, and Jason Heyward.
Over/Under: 8
Implied Run Total – LAD: 4.25 Runs
Implied Run Total – ARI: 3.75 Runs
Weather Concerns – Dome
Los Angeles Dodgers – Clayton Kershaw (LHP) takes the mound in Arizona tonight. He is sporting a 2.85 ERA, 3.51 FIP, and 3.76 SIERA on the season. Kershaw has identical splits, carrying .282 wOBA, .269 OBP, and .278 BABIP to both hands. Dodgers batters are slashing .338 wOBA, .209 ISO, and .298 BABIP over the last two weeks. They are hitting close to their season averages.
Preferred Plays: Clayton Kershaw, Max Muncy, Joc Pederson, and Cody Bellinger.
Arizona Diamondbacks – Zack Greinke (RHP) takes the mound at home tonight. He is sporting a 2.91 ERA, 3.45 FIP, and 3.96 SIERA on the season. Greinke has identical splits, allowing .260 wOBA, .249 OBP, and .252 BABIP to both hands. Arizona batters are slashing .339 wOBA, .218 ISO, and .306 BABIP over the last two weeks, They are hitting above their season averages.
Preferred Plays: Ketel Marte, Eduardo Escobar, Ildemaro Vargas, and Carson Kelly.
Over/Under: 7.5
Implied Run Total – COL: 3.75
Implied Run total – SFG: 3.75
Weather Concerns – N/A
Colorado Rockies – Jon Gray (RHP) takes the mound tonight in San Francisco. He carries a 4.18 ERA, 4.20 FIP, and 4.19 SIERA on the year. Gray has identical splits, carrying a .338 wOBA, .339 OBP, and .439 SLG to both hands. Rockies batters are slashing a slate high .427 wOBA, .220 ISO, .438 BABIP, and 138 WRC+ over the last two weeks. They are hitting well above their season averages.
Preferred Plays: Jon Gray, Charlie Blackmon, Ian Desmond, David Dahl, and Nolan Arenado.
San Francisco Giants – Drew Pomeranz (LHP) is on the mound at home. He carries a 7.09 ERA, 6.01 FIP, and 4.68 SIERA on the year. Pomeranz has true splits as right handed batters are slashing .412 wOBA, .594 SLG, and .396 OBP against him this season. San Francisco batters are slashing .334 wOBA, .182 ISO, and .321 BABIP recently. They are hitting close to their season averages.
Preferred Plays: Brandon Belt and Alex Dickerson
Top Pitchers:
Top Stacks:
Home Run Call: Austin Riley (ATL)
Here are my preferred DFS Stack recommendations for June 24.
Braves: Jon Lester has allowed at least four earned runs in five of his past seven starts, and the Braves have been the top hitting team in MLB for the month of June. They seemingly have been a regular DFS stack lately. Ozzie Albies, priced friendly at 4300 on DraftKings, is hitting .370 with four homers and 15 vs. left-handers and Austin Riley (5,300) is at .333/5/11. Dansby Swanson, also at 4300, is hitting .317 with three homers and 12 RBI vs. LHPs. Ronald Acuna Jr. (4800) and Freddie Freeman (5400) have 11 combined HRs with 14 RBI each vs. lefties. Johan Camargo has started to pick it up recently and is just 3600.
Yankees: Aaron Sanchez has a 6.09 road ERA in nine starts, so the Yanks will be a great cash game DFS stack. D.J. LeMahieu is hitting .333 this month with 19 RBI, and Gary Sanchez has six HRs and 19 RBI in June. Luke Voit has eight HRs and 17 RBI this month and Gleyber Torres has four HRs and 15 RBI in June. You do have to get creative with this DFS stack, as all of the aforementioned hitters are $4,800 or above on DraftKings. Giancarlo Stanton comes in at 4500 and Gio Urshela is 4100 if he is in the lineup. Didi Gregorious can be your real DFS stack salary saver at 3700.
Phillies: Steven Matz has allowed five earned runs in each of his past two road starts and owns a 6.21 away ERA. Scott Kingery (4800) is hitting .390 vs. lefties. Jay Bruce (4400) is hitting .357 so far vs. LHPs since he came to Philadelphia and may not be widely used because of a lefty-on-lefty matchup. Jean Segura (4400) is hitting .300 with 18 runs scored vs. lefties. J.T. Realmuto has four home runs and 13 RBI vs. LHPs and is ideal at 3900. Cesar Hernandez is another DFS stack saver at 3700.
Indians: Brad Keller is 1-6 on the road with a 4.85 ERA. Orlando Mercado is hitting ,313 with three homers, 11 RBI, four steals and 14 runs scored. Jason Kipnis is enjoying a revival month of June with three homers and 16 RBI and is priced friendly for your DFS stack at 4000. Roberto Perez fits nicely at 4200 while you can also throw the Jose Ramirez dart at 3900. Carlos Santana (5100) and Francisco Lindor are obviously the DFS stack anchors here. Do check the weather in this one before you make Cleveland your DFS stack for the night.
Rockies: You have to consider this DFS stack against Drew Pomeranz and his 7.09 ERA against the second-best hitting team in the Majors this month. This is a good bounce-back spot for Colorado after getting swept at Los Angeles. David Dahl kills lefties, as does Ian Desmond, and either Tony Wolters (.319 vs, LHPs) or Chris Ianetta can save some salary.
Here are thetop teams to stack for MLB’s May 29th action:
EARLY SLATE
Cincinnati Reds
The Pirates’ Steven Brault is a guy we want to attack when he takes the bump for Pittsburgh. The left-handed pitcher has a robust 7.11 ERA. And his other numbers for this season aren’t any better. Brault has a 5.46 SIERA and a 5.85 xFIP. The Pittsburgh starter also is getting hit hard with a 44.9% hard contact rate, making the Reds look like a juicy stacking option for Thursday.
The building blocks for this stack will be Eugenio Suarez (FanDuel: $3,900 DraftKings: $4,900) and Nick Senzel (FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $4,900). Both of these right-handed bats have at least a .300 ISO against lefties in 2019. And while he doesn’t have great numbers against southpaws this season, how do you not chase yesterday’s three home run performance by Derek Dietrich (FanDuel: $2,900 DraftKings: $4,900)?
Other Reds to look at it include: Kyle Farmer (FanDuel: $2,100 DraftKings: $3,800) and Yasiel Puig (FanDuel: $3,200 DraftKings: $4,200). Both Cincinnati bats have over .200 ISOs against lefties in 2019.
Seattle Mariners
The Rangers’ Drew Smyly is struggling this season with a 6.15 ERA and is allowing 2.14 HR/9. With seven Mariners owning an ISO of over .200 against southpaws in 2019, the Texas starter’s struggles should continue in this one.
These seven players should be the emphasis of your stack: Jay Bruce (FanDuel: $3,100 DraftKings: $4,300), Domingo Santana (FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $4,500), Daniel Vogelbach (FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $5,300), Tim Beckham (FanDuel: $3,000 DraftKings: $3,800), Mitch Haniger (FanDuel: $3,900 DraftKings: $4,400), Omar Narvaez (FanDuel: $2,900 DraftKings: $4,200) and Edwin Encarnacion (FanDuel: $3,500 DraftKings: $4,500).
Los Angeles Angels
Since returning to the big leagues, the Athletics’ Daniel Mengden has been hit really hard by opposing offenses. In fact, he has allowed a 50% hard contact rate. The hard contact has resulted in him having a 6.07 SIERA and a 6.11 xFIP. The Angels’ offense should be able to hit some balls awfully hard against the young Oakland right-hander here and make for a great value play to combine with Cincinnati or Seattle.
Mike Trout (FanDuel:$4,700 DraftKings: $5,500), Kole Calhoun (FanDuel: $3,500 DraftKings: $4,100),Albert Pujols (FanDuel: $3,000 DraftKings: $3,500), Shohei Ohtani (FanDuel: $3,300DraftKings: $3,500) and Tommy La Stella (FanDuel: $3,100 DraftKings: $3,900)all have produced at least a 45% hard contact rate against righties in 2019.
MAIN SLATE
Arizona Diamondbacks
Winning DFS lineups for today’s slate will likely be loaded with Arizona Diamondbacks. The Rockies will be running Jeff Hoffman out to the bump. The right-handed starter has not fared well at Coors Field in his career. Hoffman has allowed a .303/.376/.541 slash line in 86.1 innings pitched in Colorado. Hoffman also has a 5.20 xFIP and 5.7% K-BB% in those contests. Look for the Diamondbacks to take advantage of this matchup in a big way tonight.
The Diamondbacks’ build must start with Eduardo Escobar (FanDuel: $4,600 DraftKings: $5,700). The third baseman is red hot. He has scored double-digit fantasy points per game for a week now. His hot streak should continue on Wednesday. Escobar has crushed against righties this season. He owns a .250 ISO and a .351 wOBA against them. You can build around Escobar with a combination of Adam Jones (FanDuel: $4,000 DraftKings: $5,300) and Ketel Marte (FanDuel: $4,400 DraftKings: $5,500) as well. Each of these Diamondbacks’ hitters have .200-plus ISOs against right-handed pitching in 2019.
Colorado Rockies
The Colorado Rockies have had Robbie Ray’s number throughout his career. In 106 at-bats against the current Colorado roster, the Arizona starter has allowed a .302/.395/.586 slash line with a .982 OPS. Of the 32 hits Ray has allowed to the current Rockies’ hitters, 16 of them have been for extra bases. And seven of those have left the yard. The success against Ray should continue tonight as the Rockies’ offense has a.209 ISO versus lefties in 2019.
When building your Rockies’ stack, of course you will want to start the construction with Nolan Arenado (FanDuel: $4,900 DraftKings: $5,600). The infielder has crushed lefties this season. He has a .466 ISO and a .516 wOBA versus them. Also, he has killed Ray in the past. Arenado has a 1.289 career OPS against the Diamondbacks’ pitcher.
You also need to consider Ian Desmond (FanDuel: $3,500DraftKings: $3,900). The outfielder has an ISO of .321 versus lefties in 2019.He also has a 1.289 career OPS versus Ray. Chris Iannetta (FanDuel: $3,300DraftKings: $3,700), Ryan McMahon (FanDuel: $3,200 DraftKings: $4,100), DanielMurphy (FanDuel: $3,600 DraftKings: $4,100), Raimel Tapia (FanDuel: $3,200DraftKings: $4,100) and even Mark Reynolds (FanDuel: $3,000 DraftKings: $3,500)should all be considered. Each of those Rockies’ hitters have .200-plus ISOsagainst left-handed pitching in 2019.
Kansas City Royals
The ChicagoWhite Sox’s Reynaldo Lopez has struggled this season. The Right-hander has a5.09 SIERA and a 5.81 xFIP. Lopez has also allowed a 53.6% flyball rate and a40.9% hard contact rate. In addition to his 2019 struggles, Lopez has also hada difficult time with the Royals in his career. Against the current Royals’roster, the Chicago starter has allowed a .301 batting average and a .382 on-basepercentage.
Hunter Dozier(FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $5,100) and Jorge Soler (FanDuel: $3,100DraftKings: $4,400) are great building blocks to a Royals’ stack. Both KansasCity hitter have ISO’s of at least .275 against right-handed pitcher but theyalso have .900-plus OPS against flyball pitchers.
Alex Gordon (FanDuel:$3,400 DraftKings: $4,800) and Adalberto Mondesi (FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $5,500)also have produced at least a .200 ISO against righties in 2019. While WhitMerrifield (FanDuel: $3,900 DraftKings: $5,200) has a .364 wOBA and a 127 wRC+against right-handed pitching this season.
Philadelphia Phillies
The St.Louis Cardinals will be starting Genesis Cabrera. The left-handed pitcher has a6.35 ERA in Triple-A this season. In 39.2 innings pitched for the Memphis Cardinals,Cabrera has allowed 43 hits and 19 walks that have led to 28 earned runs. ThePhillies are likely going to provide a rude welcome the Cardinals’ starter.
Jean Segura (FanDuel:$3,900 DraftKings: $4,800), J.T. Realmuto (FanDuel: $3,400 DraftKings: $4,600),Scott Kingery (FanDuel: $2,800 DraftKings: $4,100), Rhys Hoskins (FanDuel: $4,400DraftKings: $4,900) and Bryce Harper (FanDuel: $4,300 DraftKings: $4,500) allwill be part of the welcoming party. Each of these players have recorded atleast a .200 ISO versus lefties in 2019.
Baltimore Orioles
The Tigers’Ryan Carpenter has had a rough go to the start of his 2019 campaign. He isallowing 3.21 HR/9 while maintaining a 9.00 ERA. While we usually stack againstthe Orioles, today you want to stack with the Orioles.
This stackwill of course start with Trey Mancini (FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $5,000).While he is not a cheap part of the stack, he is an owner of a .283 ISO and a.430 wOBA versus lefties this season.
The other bat to consider starting the Baltimore stack with is Pedro Severino (FanDuel: $2,800 DraftKings: $3,900). Severino has a .300-plus ISOs against lefties this season.
Good luckand happy stacking!
New York Yankees
Picking onthe Orioles’ Dylan Bundy seems like a great start to a winning DFS lineup. Theright-handed starter has a 4.46 SIERA this season as well as a 45.4% flyballrate. Bundy also is allowing 2.14 HR/9, which highest on the slate. Look forthe Yankees to take advantage of this matchup as the Pinstripes have a team ISOof .200 against righties this season.
The Yankees’build has to start with Gary Sanchez (FanDuel: $4,400 DraftKings: $5,600). The catcheris red hot and that should continue on Thursday. As Sanchez is raking againstrighties this season. He owns a .392 ISO and a .413 wOBA against them. You canbuild around Sanchez with a combination of Gleyber Torres (FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings:$5,400), Brett Gardner (FanDuel: $2,900 DraftKings: $4,500), Luke Voit (FanDuel:$4,100 DraftKings: $5,100) and Clint Frazier (FanDuel: $3,600 DraftKings: $4,500)as well. Each of those four Yankees’ hitters have .220-plus ISOs againstright-handed pitching in 2019.
Washington Nationals
The Nationals’ offense has found a lot of success against left-handedpitching in 2019. They have a .207 ISO and a .358 wOBA versus southpaws. Lookfor that good fortune to continue today against the Mets’ Steven Matz.
When building your Nationals stack, you will want to start the construction with Anthony Rendon (FanDuel: $4,400 DraftKings: $5,700). The infielder has crushed lefties this season. He has a .462 ISO and a .515 wOBA versus them. But also, he is killing the sinker this season. Rendon has a 1.440 SLG against that pitch this season, while Matz has relied on that pitch type 61.6% of the time this season.
You also need to consider Trea Turner (FanDuel: $4,300 DraftKings: $4,800). The speedster has a career .308 BAA versus the sinker and also have an ISO of .333 versus lefties in 2019. Juan Soto (FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $4,800), Brian Dozier (FanDuel: $2,500 DraftKings: $3,600), Victor Robles (FanDuel: $3,200 DraftKings: $4,300) and Howie Kendrick (FanDuel: $2,900 DraftKings: $4,800) should all be considered as well. Each of those Nationals’ hitters have .200-plus ISOs against left-handed pitching in 2019.
Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland’s Adam Plutko is a guy you will want to attack. In his career he has allowed a 2.40 HR/9 and has a 5.46 xFIP. So, feel free to load up on Rays. Guys like Austin Meadows (FanDuel: $4,300 DraftKings: $5,600), Ji-Man Choi (FanDuel: $2,900 DraftKings: $3,900) and Brandon Lowe (FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $5,200) should be your main targets, as they all have wOBAs greater than .340 against right-handed pitching.
Chicago Cubs/Philadelphia Phillies
Be sure to check back here with Win Daily DFS to get a full weather report, but it appears that the wind will be blowing out at Wrigley on Thursday. If the wind reaches double-digits in terms of MPH, load up on all the Cubs and Phillies you can in your lineups.
Good luckand happy stacking!
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