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10/11 DFS Diamonds: DFS Pro J.P. on Week 6 NFL

Coby Williams 5 years ago

written by Coby Williams

To those of you that don’t recognize me, I go by JPrellezo on FanDuel and DraftKings, but you can call me Javi. My goal here in the 10/11 DFS column is to assist you in becoming more successful and profitable with some fantasy gold. I’ll go through what works for me and I hope I can guide you to the Promised Land!

Iwant to focus this article on a deep dive into NFL Week 6 and guide you to winbig. I will go game by game with my takes on each game along with my core andvalue plays for Week 6.

Deep Dive and Top Plays

Cowboys vs. Jets

I’mgoing to start with this game because you may not know this, but I’m a big Cowboysfan. In this game, the Cowboys are coming off two straight losses to actualcompetition and are looking to end this streak. Sam Darnold is back, which bumpsup the projections and values of a few players, but I’ll be on the Cowboys sidefor the most part.

Cowboys – The Jets rankin the middle of the pack for defense and have been pretty solid behind a pouroffense that was being run by Luke Falk. The Cowboys are projecting fora bounce back game and I’m high on Amari Cooper and Michael Gallup. TheCowboys thrive against bad teams and I’d expect them to continue theirdominance against bad teams.

Jets – Sam Darnold is back, which means JamisonCrowder and Le’Veon Bell receive a boost in projections. In Week 1, JamisonCrowder had 10+ targets and had quite a game. Bell was also used in thepassing game and on the field for 100% of their offensive snaps. Le’Veon Bell will garner some ownershipand he’s projecting well over 20% for Week 6, but I won’t be that high on him.Yes, the Cowboys defense allowed 4 TDs to Aaron Jones, but the Dallas defenseis pretty solid and should bounce back against a poor Jets team.

10/11 DFS Core Plays

FanDuel
- Michael Gallup, WR, DAL – $6,100
- Ezekiel Elliott, RB, DAL – $8,500
DraftKings
- Amari Cooper, WR, DAL – $7,000
- Michael Gallup, WR, DAL – $5,600
- Dak Prescott, QB, DAL – $6,200

10/11 DFS Value Plays

FanDuel
- Jamison Crowder, WR, NYJ – $5,400
DraftKings
- Le’Veon Bell, RB, NYJ – $6,400
- Jamison Crowder, WR, NYJ – $4,000
- Michael Gallup, WR, DAL – $5,600

49ers vs. Rams

Thisgame is probably 1 of 3 games that I won’t be focusing on as much. I believethat this is a tough game to predict due to which LA Rams defense will show upthis Sunday. Jameis Winston had a field day against the Rams a few weeks agoand the Rams don’t look solid at all. Meanwhile, the 49ers are looking like oneof the best teams in the NFL and the defense might be legit. It’s still early,but time will tell.

49ers – I like the 49ers side for value, but it is very difficult to predict which Wide Receivers will perform as Jimmy Garoppolo loves to spread the ball around. George Kittle is severely underpriced and I’ll definitely have some shares on DraftKings. I also like the price tag of Marquise Goodwin on FanDuel. As for the running backs, I’m at a complete fade given how many they are using right now. I’d use them in GPPs, but a definite fade in cash.

Rams – Besides all our questions surrounding Gurley and his usage, we’re also wondering about Brandin Cooks and Robert Woods. Cooper Kupp is settling in as Jared Goff’s favorite WR, but everyone else seems to be a big question mark. I do like the price tag for Robert Woods, but I’m not high on the Rams side given the rejuvenation of the 49ers defense.

10/11 DFS Core Plays

FanDuel
- George Kittle, TE, SF – $6,500
- Cooper Kupp, WR, LAR – $7,800
- Robert Woods, WR, LAR – $7,100
DraftKings
- George Kittle, TE, SF – $5,200
- Jared Goff, QB, LAR – $6,100
- Robert Woods, WR, LAR – $5,600

10/11 DFS Value Plays

FanDuel
- Marquise Goodwin, WR, SF – $5,200
- Tevin Coleman, RB, SF – $5,000
DraftKings
- Todd Gurley, RB, LAR – $6,200
- Tevin Coleman, RB, SF – $4,400
- Marquise Goodwin, WR, SF – $4,500
- Gerald Everett, TE, LAR – $3,600

Saints vs. Jaguars

Thishas the potential to be the sneakiest game of the slate, but I believe it’smore a GPP game stack then cash game. The New Orleans Saints defense is middleof the pack , but have one of the best run defenses in all of football. Meanwhile, the Jaguars defense is a shell ofits former self and ranks towards the bottom of the NFL. With two weak pass defenses,this has the potential to be a higher scoring game.

Saints – Is Teddy Bridgewater the real deal? He could be getting into the swing of things, but only time will tell. You can use him and Michael Thomas in GPP’s, but my main focus is going to be Alvin Kamara. He will be the only Saints player with most of my exposure.

Jaguars – I believe in Minshew Mania. That’s the first point I want to get across before I dive into this. DJ Chark is priced a little too high for me right now given his recent success so I won’t be using him in as many lineups except for my Gardner Minshew stacks in GPP’s. The value play for me will be Dede Westbrook. He is still a vital part of the passing game and he’s a solid salary saver. As for Leonard Fournette, he projects well, but this Saints run defense is the real deal and I won’t be as high on him. He does have high usage in this Jaguars offense, but the defense and price tag make me shy away from him. On DraftKings, I’m more on Fournette and Chark because of their price tags.

10/11 DFS Core Plays

FanDuel
- Alvin Kamara, RB, NO – $7,900
- Dede Westbrook, WR, JAX – 5,400
DraftKings
- Alvin Kamara, RB, NO – $8,000
- Leonard Fournette, RB , JAX – $6,700
- Gardner Minshew, QB, JAX – $5,000

10/11 DFS Value Plays

FanDuel
- Dede Westbrook, WR, JAX – 5,400
DraftKings
- DJ Chark, WR, JAX – $5,500
- Dede Westbrook, WR, JAX – $5,100

Seahawks vs. Browns

This isanother interesting game that I will have some pieces for my lineups, but alower amount of stacks. My favorite play of this slate is from this gamebecause of his price tag and usage and he will be in a lot of my GPP and cashlineups. Also, we see a pretty steep discount on Odell Beckham.

Seahawks – This is the moment you’ve been waiting for. My core play of the entire slate. Are you ready? If you listened to my podcast yesterday, you’ll know that I love the price tag of Tyler Lockett and he is going to be locked and loaded in my cash lineups along with most of my GPP lineups. Chris Carson has a pretty nice price tag, but I want to see one more solid game before I roster him in multiple lineups. D.K. Metcalf is also interesting to me, but I’ll mainly be on Lockett. Matt Breida and Tevin Coleman did just run all over this defense so I can see the case for Chris Carson, but I don’t trust him given his ball security issues.

Browns – If there is to be a bounce back game for the Browns, I think this might be the one. I see them trailing for a good portion of this game so they will be passing the ball a ton. Odell Beckham is at a discount and I’ll lock him in GPP lineups until I see more consistency. I’m mainly off the Browns for this game except for tournaments.

10/11 DFS Core Plays

FanDuel
- Tyler Lockett, WR, SEA – $6,300
- Odell Beckham, WR, CLE – $7,600
DraftKings
- Tyler Lockett, WR, SEA – $6,400
- Odell Beckham, WR, CLE – $6,800

10/11 DFS Value Plays

FanDuel
- Tyler Lockett, WR, SEA – $6,300
- D.K. Metcalf – WR, SEA – $5,800
DraftKings
- Chris Carson, RB, SEA – $6,000
- D.K. Metcalf , WR, SEA – $4,700

Titans vs. Broncos

Thisgame is a fade for me. Since I’m doing 150 lineups on the Milly Makertournaments on FanDuel and DraftKings, I’ll have 1 or 2 stacks for each team,but I am far from a fan of this game.

Titans – The only two things I’m considering for the Titans are using their DST and a few Derrick Henry lineups. With a low Vegas total, this team is not a focus for me.

Broncos – Another low Vegas total for the Broncos and until they have someone other than Joe Flacco throwing to Emmanuel Sanders or Courtland Sutton, they are a fade. Sutton and Sanders do have a nice number of targets, but I’m not a fan because of Flacco. They are pretty much a fade for me.

10/11 DFS Core Plays

FanDuel
- Derrick Henry, RB, TEN – $6,700
DraftKings
- Derrick Henry, RB, TEN – $6,100

10/11 DFS Value Plays

FanDuel
- Delanie Walker, TE, TEN – $5,200
- Courtland Sutton, WR, DEN – $5,900
- Emmanuel Sanders, WR, DEN – $5,500
- Royce Freeman, RB, DEN – $5,200
DraftKings
- Delanie Walker, TE, TEN – $3,700
- Courtland Sutton, WR, DEN – $5,000
- Emmanuel Sanders, WR, DEN – $4,800

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Bengals vs. Ravens

I tooka stab at this game in my Wednesday article talking about the Bengals and theirhorrific defense. In my $40,000 victory this past Sunday, I used the Bengals DSTand it hurt my chances at the $100,000. The Bengals rank in the bottom 5 in overall defense and rank 27^thin points allowed.

Ravens – Given Lamar Jackson has struggled the past 2 weeks, I expect a bounce back game. I’m a little off Mark Ingram because of his price tag, but you can use him in GPP as he projects to be under 10% owned. Marquise Brown will garner ownership because of price tag, especially on FanDuel. Mark Andrews is just too cheap on DraftKings to pass up on him

Bengals – Although the Ravens defense is nothing to brag about, the Bengals offense has been struggling since week 2. I’m high on the Ravens defense is season long leagues, but that price tag is way too high in a matchup against a mediocre Bengals offense. The Bengals rank in the bottom 5 in offense as well, but they will be passing a lot this game given they will be trailing from the get go. I’ll have a few lineups with Joe Mixon and Auden Tate on DraftKings because of their price, but my main play in GPP’s will most likely be Tyler Boyd. The Bengals side of this game is not my favorite play, but I’ll have some GPP lineups with them.

CorePlays

FanDuel
- Lamar Jackson, QB, BAL – $8,200
- Marquise Brown, WR, BAL – $5,800 (only on FanDuel)
DraftKings
- Lamar Jackson, QB, BAL – $6,900
- Mark Andrews, TE, BAL – $4,800

ValuePlays

FanDuel
- Joe Mixon, RB, CIN – $6,400
DraftKings
- Auden Tate, WR, CIN – $4,500

Texans vs. Chiefs

I’mgoing to stick with this game as the “Game Stack of the Week”. Both sides will garner ownership given their letit fly mentalities

Texans – DeAndre Hopkins is due to breakout. Plain and simple. Given Will Fuller’s recent performance, I expect DeAndre Hopkins to break out of his funk versus a mediocre Chiefs defense. As always, we are unsure of what’s wrong with the DraftKings pricing model because Carlos Hyde is ridiculously cheap and the best value on the slate.

Chiefs – The same narrative can be said here about Travis Kelce. Kelce has struggled in recent weeks and Patrick Mahomes seems to be human. I’m hoping many shy away from the Chiefs given their price tags, but I’m still high on them this week given Atlanta was passing all over Houston last week. I don’t have Mahomes listed as a core play, but that doesn’t mean I won’t have shares of him.

CorePlays

FanDuel
- DeAndre Hopkins, WR, HOU- $8,400
- Will Fuller, WR, HOU – $6,600
- Travis Kelce, TE, KC – $7,500
DraftKings
- DeAndre Hopkins, WR, HOU – $7,400
- Travis Kelce, TE, KC – $7,000
- Will Fuller, WR, HOU – $6,000
- Deshaun Watson, QB, HOU – $6,700

ValuePlays

FanDuel
- Carlos Hyde, RB, HOU – $6,000
DraftKings
- Deshaun Watson, QB, HOU – $6,700
- Carlos Hyde , RB, HOU – $4,400

Falcons vs. Cardinals

Couldthis be the game that Julio Jones breaks out of his funk? He is one of myfavorite plays of this slate. I honestly think Hooper will go lower owned giventhe Cards shutting down Tyler Eifert, but I’m locking in Hooper as the Falconsare pass happy and I expect lots of targets to head Hooper’s way.

Falcons – Arizona defense is bad. Plain and simple. They arebroken when it comes to defending the TE. I will load up on Falcons stacks as I expect them to continue to be passheavy.

Cardinals – Kyler Murray is coming off his first win and this was without doing as well as we wanted him to. Given the Falcons and Cardinals having two of the worst defenses in the NFL, I’d expect a shootout. This game will most likely be my number two game stack I heavily use. Look for Christian Kirk news because I’ll be loading up on Larry Fitzgerald along with some KeeShan Johnson if Kirk is ruled out.

CorePlays

FanDuel
- Calvin Ridley, WR, ATL – $5,500
- Julio Jones, WR, ATL – $8,500
DraftKings
- Austin Hooper, TE, ATL – $5,000
- Julio Jones, WR, ATL – $8,000
- Matt Ryan, QB, ATL – $6,400

ValuePlays

FanDuel
- Larry Fitzgerald, WR, ARI – $5,600
- Christian Kirk, WR, ARI – $5,600
- Calvin Ridley, WR, ATL – $5,500
DraftKings
- Calvin Ridley, WR, ATL – $5,700
- Christian Kirk, WR, ARI – $5,200 (if active)
- Devonta Freeman, RB, ATL – $5,700

Eagles vs. Vikings

I sidemore with the Vikings side over the Eagles side for this game. Vikings DSTstill ranks as one of the top defenses, but they are susceptible to the pass. Isee the Eagles trailing in this game so they’ll need to pass. Ertz projectswell from the Eagles side.

Eagles – As I mentioned, my main target is Ertz, but Jordan Howard comes in as value on DraftKings given that he seems to have won the feature back role.

Vikings – This is where things get dicey. The Eagles secondary is garbage and Kirk Cousins should have a field day. The question is whether Stefon Diggs will finally have his breakout game. I’m high on him this week given his price tag, but you just never know. I do like Dalvin Cook this week after a down week in Week 5.

CorePlays

FanDuel
- Stefon Diggs, WR, MIN – $5,800
- Zach Ertz, TE, PHI – $6,600
- Dalvin Cook, RB, MIN – $8,200
DraftKings
- Dalvin Cook, RB, MIN – $8,400

ValuePlays

FanDuel
- Stefon Diggs, WR, MIN – $5,800
DraftKings
- Stefon Diggs, WR, MIN – $5,900
- Jordan Howard, RB, PHI – $4,900
- Zach Ertz , TE, PHI – $5,400

Redskins vs. Dolphins

Battle of the defeated! One of my least favorite games, but could be a GPP gold mine. There is value all over the place with this game and both defenses rank towards the bottom. Not much to dive deep into for this game as it has the lowest projected total in Vegas so I’ll keep the value plays on this end. I will have some Case Keenum and Terry McLaurin stacks given the chemistry they’ve had this season.

ValuePlays

FanDuel
- Adrian Peterson, RB, WAS – $5,300
- Preston Williams, WR, MIA – $5,600
DraftKings
- Adrian Peterson, RB, WAS – $4,500
- Preston Williams, WR, MIA – $4,100
- Case Keenum, QB, WAS – $5,000

My rankings for DST are as follows:

Washington Redskins
Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens
New Orleans Saints
Minnesota Vikings

My offenses to target and stacks to focus on are as follows

Houston Texans
Atlanta Falcons
Baltimore Ravens
Dallas Cowboys
Seattle Seahawks
Kansas City Chiefs

Thanks for reading and good luck this weekend!

I’ll be in Las Vegas this weekend so I’ll beon and off until Sunday morning, but please contactme with any questions on Twitter @Javi_Prellezo or on our Win Daily Slackchannel!

5 years ago 0 comment

DFS Diamonds for 10/9: DFS Pro J.P. on NFL, NHL and PGA

Coby Williams 5 years ago

written by Coby Williams

WIN DAILY is excited and proud to welcome DFS Pro Javier Prellezo to the team! Check out his incredible career DFS accomplishments in his bio at the bottom of the page.

Win Daily DFS Grinders: Happy Wednesday to you!!

To those of you that don’t recognize me, I go by JPrellezo on FanDuel and DraftKings, but you can call me Javi. My goal is to assist you in becoming more successful and profitable with some DFS Diamonds. I’ll go through what works for me and I hope I can guide you to the Promised Land!

For those of you that were in our Premium Gold Slack Chat this past week, I was trying to guide you all to push for Christian McCaffrey. They are simply forcing him the ball and rolling the offense towards CMC. Until they decide to lighten the workload, you need to keep pushing CMC as a CORE PLAY. Unfortunately, he’s not on the main slate for this week so it’s time to be sad.

MostDFS sites, pros, players, etc. don’t focus on the next week until later on inthe week, but I want to provide an early look into Week 6. I want to focus onthe top 3-5 games that I’m currently leaning towards for Week 6. I will take adeeper dive into the games later in the week.

DFS Cash Game Plays and Top Plays

Bengals vs. Ravens

This isn’t a game to target on both sides, but more on the Ravens side. The Bengals defense is bad and for those of you that took advantage of the cheap price on the Bengals DST were thoroughly disappointed. Given two straight weeks of disappointment for Lamar Jackson, I’d expect a BIG bounce-back game for Jackson and the Ravens offense. Keep your eye on Marquise Brown and his ankle throughout the week.

DFS Core Plays

FanDuel
- Lamar Jackson, QB, BAL – $8,200
- Marquise Brown , WR, BAL – $5,800
- Mark Andrews , TE, BAL – $6,300
DraftKings
- Lamar Jackson, QB , BAL – $6,900
- Mark Andrews, TE, BAL – $4,800

ValuePlays

FanDuel
- Joe Mixon, RB, CIN – $6,400
DraftKings
- Auden Tate, WR, CIN – $4,500

Texans vs. Chiefs

To be honest, this might be the game stack of the week. Texans vs. Falcons did NOT disappoint and I don’t think this game will either. Given two mediocre defenses and two killer offenses, I’ll be heavily invested in this game and I’d expect it to be the chalk. Keep your eye on Patrick Mahomes, who was hobbling all game on that ankle.

CorePlays

FanDuel
- DeAndre Hopkins, WR, HOU- $8,400
- Will Fuller, WR, HOU – $6,600
- Travis Kelce, TE, KC – $7,500
DraftKings
- DeAndre Hopkins, WR, HOU – $7,400
- Travis Kelce, TE, KC – $7,000
- Will Fuller, WR, HOU – $6,000
- Deshaun Watson, QB, HOU – $6,700

ValuePlays

FanDuel
- Carlos Hyde, RB, HOU – $6,000
DraftKings
- Deshaun Watson, QB, HOU – $6,700
- Carlos Hyde , RB, HOU – $4,400

Falcons vs. Cardinals

Many may shy away from this game because of how bad both teams are, but I wouldn’t say their offenses are as bad as their defenses. Austin Hooper will be the chalk given the Cardinals defense versus TEs, but hopefully, ownership will shy away from Hooper a little given that they shut down Tyler Eifert.

CorePlays

FanDuel
- Calvin Ridley, WR, ATL – $5,500
- Julio Jones, WR, ATL – $8,500
DraftKings
- Austin Hooper, TE, ATL – $5,000
- Julio Jones, WR, ATL – $8,000
- Matt Ryan, QB, ATL – $6,400

ValuePlays

FanDuel
- Larry Fitzgerald, WR, ARI – $5,600
- Christian Kirk, WR, ARI – $5,600
- Calvin Ridley, WR, ATL – $5,500
DraftKings
- Calvin Ridley, WR, ATL – $5,700
- Christian Kirk, WR, ARI – $5,200 (if active)
- Devonta Freeman, RB, ATL – $5,700

GPP Game(s) of theWeek:

Redskins vs. Dolphins

Battle of the defeated! Who will get their first win or will they tie? Honestly, both defenses are bad, both offenses are bad. I suspect that many will NOT be on this game because of how bad they are, but this could be GPP gold. I side more with the Redskins side for offense, but with the Dolphins coming off a bye week. You just never know.

ValuePlays

FanDuel
- Adrian Peterson, RB, WAS – $5,300
- Preston Williams, WR, MIA – $5,600
DraftKings
- Adrian Peterson, RB, WAS – $4,500
- Preston Williams, WR, MIA – $4,100

Eagles vs. Vikings

Kirk Cousins is alive! I feel like most players will shy away from this game because of what the Eagles just did, but I expect the Vikings to feast on this terrible defense. The Vikings are motivated and Dalvin Cook had an off week. I expect Dalvin Cook to be a CORE PLAY!

CorePlays

FanDuel
- Stefon Diggs, WR, MIN – $5,800
- Zach Ertz, TE, PHI – $6,600
- Dalvin Cook, RB, MIN – $8,200
DraftKings
- Dalvin Cook, RB, MIN – $8,400

ValuePlays

FanDuel
- Stefon Diggs, WR, MIN – $5,800
DraftKings
- Stefon Diggs, WR, MIN – $5,900
- Jordan Howard, RB, PHI – $4,900
- Zach Ertz , TE, PHI – $5,400

This is NOT a homer pick, but if Darnold is out this week once again, I’d say load up with the Dallas DST and move on from anyone else. Luke Falk is terrible and bad defenses (like the Eagles) have been feasting. The word is that Sam Darnold will be active, but be on the lookout for this news.

I’ll be back Friday with a deeper dive into my favorite NFL games for Week 6.

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NHL DFS (10/9)

Three game slates are NOT my favorite, but I do like to max enter on low-cost entries to see if we can hit big. My strategy is to put in 10-20 lineups for each team. Ideally, you can do 10 PP1 for each team and 10 PP2 for each team. It isn’t the best strategy, but it worked more times than once. I’d also recommend doing different combos of game stacks and hope for a 6-5 shootout in one of the games. With these PP lines, I’d focus on a game stack or focus on a particular stack that you’re in love with to mix and match,

Kings vs. Canucks

Kings – The Kings were bad last year and will continue to be bad. Losing 6-5 to Edmonton in their first game shows us a promising offense. As expected, their defense is bad and the Canucks could be a sneaky stack even though they are supposed to be any good this year. Core plays for the Kings include Anze Kopitar, Tyler Toffoli, and Ilya Kovalchuk.

Canucks – A young squad with lots to learn. This game might the one we want to avoid given the inconsistencies of both teams. I don’t know what to expect, but there are some solid core players here. Core plays for the Canucks include Elias Pettersson, J.T. Miller, and Alexander Edler.

Key Takeaway – Being on the second night of a back-to-back, I’d load up on the PP1 and PP2 of the Canucks. Nothing is sneaky on a three game slate, but the Canucks are a solid play against the worst team in the NHL. I’d fade the Kings.

Devils vs. Flyers

Devils – The defense has been suspect through two games and offense seems middle of the pack. I’d fade them for now, but the offense does look promising coming off what they did last year. Core plays from New Jersey include P.K. Subban, Taylor Hall, Wayne Simmonds, Travis Zajac, and Kyle Palmieri.

Flyers – One game, one win. They allowed three goals on the path to a 4-3 win against the lowly Blackhawks. This game has the potential for high scoring given the rivalry and the poor defenses on both sides. I’d target more the Flyers side vs. the Devils side. Core plays from Philadelphia include Claude Giroux, Jakub Voracek, James van Riemsdyk, and Shea Gostisbehere.

Key DFS Takeaway – This game has the potential to be high scoring so a game stack isn’t out of the question, but I’d prefer the Sabres vs. Canadians in that regard.

Canadiens vs. Sabres

Canadiens – Through two games, they’ve allowed three goals and five goals while losing both games in Shootouts. Defense looks to be a problem for the Canadiens, but the offense does NOT. I’d stack the top two PP lines with a focus on the PP1. Core plays from Montreal include Phillip Danault, Shea Weber, and Brendan Gallagher.

Sabres – They have beat two solid teams thus far with only three goals allowed thus far in the first two games. The offense put up seven recently against a solid Devils team, so we can wait and see to see how it goes, but I would just focus on the Canadiens side as of now. Core plays from Buffalo include Jack Eichel , Jeff Skinner, Victor Olofsson, and Sam Reinhart. These guys will be on the PP1 unit and have good value for your stacks.

Key DFS Takeaway – My primary game stack play would be this one. Both defenses are pretty suspect and both offenses seem to be strong this year. If I had to pick a side for this game, I’d choose Buffalo.

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PGADFS (10/9) – Houston Open

CorePlays

Doc Redman (FD : $8,400 ; DK : $7,200) – Best value for this tournament. He can find his way into contention given he is third in greens in regulation and fifth in strokes gained off the tee. Best value on the slate and will most likely be the chalk.

Harris English (FD : $9,900 ; DK : $8,900) – Weak field and this is your most expensive play on both sites, but this golfer was once elite. He’s an above-average with his putter and his short game is one of the best in the game. Although he has a weak approach game, he can be trusted given the weak field of this tournament.

My Consensus Value Rankings for this Tournament:

Harris English
Doc Redman
Lanto Griffin
Henrik Stenson
Brian Harman
Scottie Scheffler
Jhonattan Vegas
Zack Sucher

Please contact me with any questions on Twitter @Javi_Prellezo or on our Win Daily Slack channel!

5 years ago 0 comment

NFL NHL

10/7 DFS and Betting Winners: Win Daily DFS Pro Keeps Hot Run Alive

Vincent Pensabene 5 years ago

written by Vincent Pensabene

A flashback at some of the best performances from the Sunday slate plus their outlooks for the remainder of the season. All that and more on the 10/7 DFS and Betting review and look ahead.

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10/7 DFS Winner – Win Daily’s David Jones

As a Premium Gold subscriber, you’ll get access to a multitude of exclusive content including the ability to chat with DFS experts 24/7 on our Premium Slack channel. David Jones was huge on Will Fuller (see below for more details) and Christian McCaffrey had a huge day as well on FanDuel. With those two having incredible days, David is $7,500 richer as his hot run continues, He is coming off a big month of September. He has won nearly 190K since mid-August. Talk to David every day in our chats as a Premium Gold subscriber.

10/7 DFS Winner: Will Fuller V

All of our subscribers has access to the Week 5 NFL Picks of Destiny and would have saw this snippet by DFS expert David Jones. He was extremely high on Will Fuller V coming into Week 5, including calling him a prime play on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio. Fuller had a huge day against the Atlanta Falcons with 14 catches (16 targets) for 217 yards and three touchdowns.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Fuller essentially matched his entire season up to this point. His receptions and touchdowns were tied for most by a Texan in a single game. Do not expect consistent games like this with DeAndre Hopkins on the field, but he is a great second wide receiver for the Houston Texans. Expect Fuller to get more targets in the upcoming weeks.

10/7 Betting Winner: New York Islanders

The Cash with the Flash articles focused on the NHL last night and Phil Naessens correctly predicted an Islanders win. The Winnipeg Jets were in the midst of a road trip to begin the season. The Islanders gave up the least amount of goals a year ago and look like they have a good chance of doing so again. Expect the Islanders to make a solid push this season into the playoffs.

10/7 DFS Winner: Philadelphia Eagles Defense

The Philadelphia Eagles had a dominant day on defense against the New York Jets. The Jets, a putrid team on offense this season thus far, felt the pressure in Philly. The Eagles had 10 sacks on the day (led by Brandon Graham with three) as well as two interceptions (including a pick-six by Nathan Gerry). Orlando Scandrick also recovered a fumble and scored a touchdown of his own.

Outlook for the rest of the season: This Eagles defense is scary good. They lead the NFL in rushing defense with 63 yards per game and Top 10 in total defense. Going up next week against a run-heavy Minnesota Vikings team, expect big things by the defense for the remainder of the season as they continue to gain confidence.

10/7 Betting Winner: N.Y. Prop Exchange

Our John L. stayed hot with his prop picks, and he is also available to all of our Premium Gold subscribers.

5 years ago 0 comment

NFL Daily Fantasy Sports

Week 5 DFS TE and DST NFL Picks: Ertz So Good

jason mezrahi 5 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

It’s Week 5 DFS for the NFL, and there are plenty of viable TE and DST plays to get us in the money for cash games and GPPs. Let’s fire up the DFS engines and get you the picks you need to take down the tourneys and better your opponents.

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Week 5 DFS Tight End NFL — Cash Game Plays

Zach Ertz, PHI vs. NYJ

FD ($6,600) DK ($6,000)

While the Eagles receiving corps is getting healthier, Ertz remains a much-utilized target within Philly’s offense. Through four games, he’s seen the most targets among TEs (38) and racked up 24-255-0, the glaring lack of a TD the only thing that ‘s keeping him from fantasy glory. Against the Jets in Week 5, he stands a good chance to remedy that. Zach Ertz is reasonably priced, the number one cash game play of the main slate and makes for a fine lock-and-load in all formats.

Evan Engram, NYG vs. MIN

FD ($6,300) DK ($5,800)

If Wertz is first, who do you think is second? Engram has only one fewer target (37) than Ertz and is averaging 6.75 receptions, 82.75 yards and a 0.5 TDs per game. If we round those numbers up to 7-83-1, we’re looking at a solid cash game play in a game that should feature a lot of the Giants TE. He comes at a small discount from Ertz, and even with WR Golden Tate back and slot man Sterling Shepard clicking with Rookie QB Daniel Jones, Engram projects to see around 8-10 targets on a weekly basis.

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Week 5 DFS Tight End NFL — GPP Plays

Austin Hooper, ATL at HOU

FD ($6,700) DK ($4,500)

We’ve got some huge disparity with the pricing on Hoper, who’s themost expensive TE on FD at $6,700, and only the fifth priciest on DK. That’s somethingwe can take advantage of in GPPs on FD, where his ownership should be slightlylower. Hooper saw 11 targets in Week 4, the most among NFL tight ends, and bustedout for 9-130-0. The Texans have been stingy vs. TEs, but with this game projectedto be a boon for all the skill position players, I’ll be utilizing Hooper in game/teamstacks with Matt Ryan and Julio Jones, and running back some of the Texans (DeAndreHopkins, Will Fuller).

Darren Waller, OAK vs. CHI

FD ($6,400) DK ($5,000)

At this point, it’s safeto call Waller matchup-proof, and while his upside is somewhat limited againstthe Bears, I can’t keep him completely off my builds for Week 5 NFL DFS. He’stied with Engram for second most targets among TEs (37) and he’ll be utilizedoften as a check down with the Raiders likely struggling to move the ball verticallyup the field. Ownership on both sites will be low and there’s no reason we shouldn’tlook to Derek Carr’s most reliable pass catcher as a contrarian GPP option here.

Greg Olsen, CAR vs. JAC

FD ($5,700) DK ($4,000)

In Week 3, Kyle Allen looked absolutely smitten with hisveteran TE, but Olsen had a quiet week last Sunday when he hauled in just twoof his four targets for 5 yards. That performance was against the aforementionedTexans, and game log followers with recency bias may steer clear of Olsen thisweek. That’s fine – because when healthy, we need reliable red zone targets withupside like Olsen in our GPPs. The Jaguars aren’t the big bad scary predatorycats they were in 2018, so plug in the Panthers TE with confidence.

Ben Watson, NE at WAS

FD ($5,200) DK ($3,700)

Doyou like risk? How about when it comes with oodles of upside in a matchup thatportends many scoring opportunities for a potent offense? Tom Brady has been desperatelylooking for a TE to lock onto since Rob Gronkowski retired, and Watson – in his15^th NFL season and his second turn with the Patriots – is comingoff a four-game suspension that’s kept him off the field thus far. In his triumphantreturn to New England, we could see a few extra targets go his way. I won’t havetons of exposure to Watson, who’s probably going to be limited to red zonechances and about half of the Pats’ total offensive snaps, but he’s anoff-the-wall play for GPPs.

Week 5 DFS Tight End NFL — Value and Punt Plays

Tyler Eifert, CIN vs. ARI

FD (4,600) DK ($3,300)

Eifertis crazy cheap on both sites and gets a gigantic boost against the Cardinals,who yield 163.7% of the average fantasy points to TEs. He’s been quiet thisseason and he might get chalky, but the Bengals offense is missing some oftheir WRs and Eifert is an attractive value play in Week 5.

Jared Cook, NO vs. TB

FD($4,500) DK ($3,400)

Game manager Teddy Bridgewater doesn’t necessarily get the bloodpumping and inspire confidence in the New Orleans offense, but the QB should belooking more to Jared Cook in Week 5 against the Bucs, who provide a favorablematchup for the athletic Cook. His 18 targets through four games is arelatively low number, but this is a good game for him to spike a Top 10 TEfinish and find some good, old-fashioned NFL paydirt.

Additional GPP options:

O.J. Howard, TB at NO (FD $5,800, DK $3,900)

Jimmy Graham, GB at DAL (FD $5,700, DK $4,300)

Dawson Knox, BUF at TEN (FD$4,800, DK $3,100)

Trey Burton, CHI at OAK (FD $4,800, DK $3,300)

Week 5 DFS DST NFL — Cash Game Plays

Chicago Bears (CHI at OAK)

FD ($5,000) DK ($3,800)

The Bears are slightly cheaper than the Pats on both sites and rank as my top cash game DST for Week 5. They’re just as likely as New England to notch multiple sacks and grab a few turnovers, and they probably have a little more upside based on some of their standouts defensive talents like sack specialist Khalil Mack, DB Kyle Fuller (23 solos, two INTs) and linebacker Roquan Smith, who’s back with the team after missing Week 4 for personal reasons. I’m buying in both cash and GPP contests.

New England Patriots (NE at WAS)

FD ($5,500) DK ($4,300)

The Redskins are having some difficulty settling on a QB for Week5, and the Pats defensive players must be licking their collective chops at theprospect of haranguing either journeyman Case Keenum, Colty McCoy (who’s yet tosee the field for Washington this season), or rookie Dwayne Haskins, who was9-for-17 in Week 4 with three INTs. New England comes in as my second-best cashgame play, but they’re usable in all formats.

Week 5 DFS DST NFL — GPP Plays

Minnesota Vikings (MIN at NYG)

FD ($4,500) DK ($3,200)

The Giants aren’t quite as terrible as they were during the firstcouple of weeks, but they’re prone to turnovers and providing scoring opportunitiesfor opposing defenses with a substandard offensive line and a rookie QB. TheVikings are affordable on both sites and could get lost in the shuffle ofviable DST options.

Philadelphia Eagles (PHI vs. NYJ)

FD ($4,900) DK ($3,700)

We’ll be seeing a lot of green-on-green violence in this Sunday tilt, and there’s as much upside to this Philly unit (which has yet to break out with a double-digit performance) as any other DST on the slate.

Tennessee Titans (TEN vs. BUF)

FD ($4,800) DK ($3,000)

I’m not trying to pick on the New York teams this week, even if it feels like it, but the Bills could be the third squad form the Empire State who’s not entering Week 5 with the same starting QB they rolled out in Week 1. The Bills are not a bad team, but the Titans have been watching the tape on Matt Barkley and planning accordingly.

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Week 5 DFS DST NFL — Punt Plays

Green Bay Packers (GB at DAL)

FD ($3,700) DK ($2,400)

The Packers are another team that’s super risky heading into Week5 but make sense an off-the-board GPP play in Dallas. I’m a Cowboys fan and I knowthat the offensive lien issues they’re having are much more of a problem than anyonewants to let on. Pairing them with Aaron Jones and fading Ezekiel Elliott on afew lineups could allow you to find some leverage and load up withTexans-Falcons, my favorite game stack on the slate.

Cincinnati Bengals (CIN vs. ARI)

FD($3,400) DK ($2,500)

The Bengals are once again viable in GPPs (they’re at home and facing a rookie QB) but they’re not going to make any of my cash game builds. Use them as a contrarian GPP defense with plenty of upside and just as much risk.

Photo of Zach Ertz by Keith Allison

5 years ago 0 comment

NFL

Week 4 NFL DFS Sunday Night Showdown Preview with DFS Pro David Jones

David Jones 5 years ago

written by David Jones

Week 4 in the NFL is all about finding the best opportunities for guaranteed production with high upside. Follow my stud and value plays and lock in the NFL DFS Picks of Destiny.

David Jones took down the Week 3 Sunday Night Showdown in his second tournament takedown in two days!

David Jones won 100K on FanDuel! Read about it here

I want to start off this article by saying you must have the absolute nuts to win the top prize up top on large field GPPs. There is no room for mistakes with so many entries in these contests. If you think you are going to win it all by playing a combo of the top seven guys in the player pool, you are not. If a combo of a bunch of guys you have heard of before is indeed the best scoring lineup, you will most likely tie for first. If that sounds good to you, then go for it. It will be profitable if you nail it, but for me I like to be a little different on these slates. I will be making multiple teams and taking long shots on a few cheap guys.

Leaving cash on the table in these NFL DFS contests is fine too. This makes your lineup even more unique and lower owned because a lot of amateurs will be pulling their hair out to use their entire salary.

That all being said, I have looked at every possible player that can get on the field and listed my picks below.

The NFL DFS Week 4 Sunday Night Showdown Picks

MVP: Ezekiel Elliott ($14,000 FD, $17,400 DK)

I know where the Cowboys offense is going to come from and that is Zeke, Dak and Coop. Playing Cowboys’ showdown slates is literally my favorite scenario. All I do is lock in the big three and build around them. Zeke has run for 100 + yard the past two games. He costs $500 less than Alvin Kamara and like him to outscore him straight up. I would expect a lot of ownership on Kamara based on his fantastic game vs. Seattle but he is not my top priority today.

MVP Pivots: Dak, Cooper

Again, I think you lock in all three. If you have multiple lineups get one with each at MVP.

NFL DFS Flex Options:

Listed in order of preference, with price factored in.

Dak Prescott ($15,500 FD, $11,200 DK) He is the best quarterback in this game. The offense will run through him obviously. Lock him in.
Amari Cooper ($13,500 FD, $10,200 DK) He has a “sore” ankle but I think he will be just fine. The questionable tag may help suppress his ownership. He has four touchdowns in three games. He is elite and has the better quarterback throwing to him. If you decide you don’t trust his ankle, you have to pick another Cowboys pass-catching option.
Alvin Kamara ($14,500 FD, $11,800 DK) Stud RB who runs and is utilized in the pass game. If you can fit him, he is an excellent play. I am not sure that he will be on my main just because he will not fit with my top three Cowboys. Do not confuse this with he is a bad play. He is not, I am just picking my poison with Dallas tonight.
Michael Thomas ($11,500 FD, $9,200 DK) I am surprised that he is not more expensive. He is the Saints top receiver and will be Teddy Bridgewater’s safety blanket.
Jason Witten ($8,000 FD, $5,800 DK) The price is right to take a shot on Witten. I don’t mind him with Cooper as long as you roster Dak too. If you fade Cooper, I think you have to roster Witten. He will 100% be targeted in the red zone.
Ted Ginn Jr ($7,500 FD, $4,200 DK) You are going to need a big play out of him to pay off, but with Smith still sidelined he will have an uptick in opportunity.
Teddy Bridgewater ($13,000 FD, $9,000 DK) Don’t love him tonight but he is the quarterback and will have the ball in his hands half the game.. I think the price is a little high and I worry about Taysom Hill getting in the game when the Saints are in the red zone. Only way I play him tonight is if he fits perfectly.
Jared Cook ($7,000 FD, $4,400 DK) Nice price for Bridgewater’s check down TE. UPDATE: I would move him slightly ahead of Ted Ginn.
Devin Smith ($7,5000 FD, $5,200 DK) He is my top WR pivot off Cooper.
Randall Cobb ($8,500 FD, $7,000 DK) He is is my second WR pivot off Cooper. He costs more than Smith and should have the same opportunity, there for I rank him slightly lower.
Brett Maher ($9,000 FD, $3,800 DK) Cowboys kicker, better on DK
Wil Lutz ($9,500 FD, $3,600 DK) Saints Kicker, better on DK

Punt:

Latavius Murray ($7,000 FD, $3,200 DK) He is a pivot of Kamara (don’t play both)
Blake Jarwin ($5,500 FD, $1,000 DK) He is a pivot off Witten (don’t play both)
Taysom Hill ($6,000 FD, $2,600 DK) Cross your fingers and hope the Sean Payton drew something up for him this week. He is the Saints “Swiss Army Knife” and I am surprised we did not see him utilized more last week.

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I like the Cowboys to win this game and I like what I have seen out of Dak lately. He should be able to get right around 300 yards tonight. He has more options to throw to and is more accurate that Teddy B. I don’t have much faith in Bridgewater tonight. He has not surpassed 180 yards in either game this season.

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5 years ago 0 comment

NFL

Week 4 NFL DFS Thursday Night Showdown Preview with DFS Pro David Jones

David Jones 5 years ago

written by David Jones

Week 4 in the NFL is all about finding the best opportunities for guaranteed production with high upside. Follow my stud and value plays and lock in the NFL DFS Picks of Destiny.

David Jones took down the Week 3 Sunday Night Showdown in his second tournament takedown in two days!

David Jones won 100K on FanDuel! Read about it here

That all being said, I have looked at every possible player that can get on the field and listed my picks below.

The NFL DFS Week 4 Thursday Night Showdown Picks

MVP: Davante Adams ($14,000 FD)

The Eagles secondary is towards the bottom of the NFL and certainly worse than the Green Bay Packers. I expect the Packers to win this game by throwing the ball. Adams has not broke out this season, but tonight is the night. Aaron Rodgers will focus heavily on his most reliable receiver in Prime Time and seal the victory for the Packers at home.

MVP Pivots: Aaron Rodgers, Marquez Valdes-Scantling

NFL DFS Flex Options:

Listed in order of preference, with price factored in.

Aaron Rodgers ($15,000 FD) Rodgers in Prime Time against a poor pass defense. Lock it in.
Marquez Valdez-Scantling ($11,000 FD) Green Bay Packers WR2. Looks like he has made significant strides since last season. Adams, Rodgers or MVS is you MVP.
Mason Crosby ($9,500 FD) Green Bay Kicker and I expect them to score more points.
Aaron Jones ($13,000 FD) I know he has a shoulder “issue” but all reports suggest he is fine and going to play. He is my fifth favorite Packer.
Zach Ertz ($11,500 FD) Elite tight end that is almost guaranteed the most targets in the Eagles pass game.
Alshon Jeffrey ($12,000 FD) He is the Eagles WR1 when healthy, and he looks like he is going to play.
Carson Wentz ($14,500 FD) The Eagles will probably be forced to throw it more than run it.
Miles Sanders ($10,000 FD) The Packers gave up 81 yards and two touchdowns to Phillip Lindsey last week. Unfortunately Sanders splits time.
Mack Hollins ($8,000 FD) He has stepped up in the absence of Jackson. Might continue to get looks if Jeffrey is used as more of a decoy.

Punt:

Geronimo Allison ($7,000 FD) He is cheap for GB WR3. He hasnt done much this season but things can change rapidly in the NFL. He plays in the slot for the most part, which is a good place to attack the EaglesJ
Jamaal Williams ($9,000 FD) He is a little pricey. Only way he pays off is if Jones is restricted.
Dallas Goedert ($5,000 FD) Just a pivot from Ertz. Don’t play them in the same lineup.

Play light tonight and save up for the week. This game might be ugly.

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5 years ago 0 comment

NFL

Week 3 NFL DFS Sunday Night Showdown Preview

David Jones 5 years ago

written by David Jones

Week 3 in the NFL is all about finding the best opportunities for guaranteed production with high upside. Follow my stud and value plays and lock in the NFL DFS Picks of Destiny.

David Jones won 100K on FanDuel! Read about it here

That all being said, I have looked at every possible player that can get on the field and listed my picks below.

The NFL DFS Week 3 Thursday Night Showdown Picks

MVP: A Rams Receiver: The Rams receivers are all lumped together in price and it is near impossible to predict which one will break out. I have ranked them below, but if you have the bankroll, I think you make three lineups and lock what I believe will be the NFL DFS Sunday Night Showdown MVP.

Cooper Kupp ($12,000 FD) Goff’s favorite receiver. Got nine targets and 105 yards in last weeks game against the Saints. He scored 15.1 FanDuel points without getting in the end zone. This week, I think he finally gets a touchdown. In Week One he had 10 targets and seven receptions. All I want in NFL DFS is opportunity.

2. Robert Woods ($11,500 FD) Last week he was quite but the week before he got 13 targets and a designed run play. He is the cheapest of the bunch and will have just as much opportunity as the rest of the receiving core. By paying down a little, it allows for better players in your flex.

3. Brandin Cooks ($12,500 FD) Always a big play threat. He got in the end zone in a revenge game last week. Top tier receiver, just more expensive with the same opportunity as the other two so I ranked him third.

Whoever you don’t pick for MVP I think you need to pick at least one more in your flex spot. If you have two receivers than you probably want Goff too.

NFL DFS Flex Options:

Jared Goff ($14,500 FD) I like the receivers, so I like Goff.
Nick Chubb ($13,00 FD) The Rams gave up three rushing touchdowns to the Carolina Panthers in Week 1. I like the Browns to use Chubb to try and control the pace of the game and keep the Rams offense off the field.
Todd Gurley ($12,000 FD) His price is too cheap for his skillset even if he gets vultured at the goal line. He is getting a lot of heat lately, but in reality he has been fine, just not putting up MVP numbers like he did two years ago.
Jarvis Landry ($9,000 FD) OBJ got his last game in his return to New York. It’s time to get Landry going for 6k less.
Greg Zuerlein ($10,000 FD) He is a little expensive for a kicker but I expect Rams to win the game and any time they score Big Z gets an opportunity.
OBJ ($15,000 FD) I don’t think he pays it off this week, but he always has upside.
Baker Mayfield (14,500 FD) He has looked rusty, but he is the QB and might connect a couple times. Don’t love it.
Damion Ratley ($6,500 FD) Browns WR three and cheap

Play light tonight and save up for the week. This game might be ugly.

MonkeyKnifeFight.com Pick

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5 years ago 0 comment

NFL

Week 3 NFL DFS Thursday Night Showdown Preview

David Jones 5 years ago

written by David Jones

Week 3 in the NFL is all about finding the best opportunities for guaranteed production with high upside. Follow my stud and value plays and lock in the NFL DFS Picks of Destiny.

David Jones won 100K on FanDuel! Read about it here

That all being said, I have looked at every possible player that can get on the field and listed my picks below.

The NFL DFS Week 3 Thursday Night Showdown Picks

MVP: Derrick Henry ($15,000 FD,$15,900 DK) This is an ugly game and one thing is for certain. Derrick Henry is going to get the rock. I expect the Titans to win this game and Henry is their bell cow. I am also expecting another relatively boring and low scoring Thursday night game. If it is low scoring I think it is mostly because the Jags can’t put any points on the board. If this is the case Henry will be in charge of running the clock out and marching it down the field. Derrick Henry is also the most likely player to get in the end zone.

NFL DFS Flex Options:

Marcus Mariota ($14,500 FD, $10,000 DK) has looked decent enough in the opening two games. At Cleveland he threw for 248 with three touchdowns while rushing for 24 yards. Against the Colts he threw for 154 and a touchdown while rushing for 32. Jacksonville’s defense is also not really a concern for me. I would rather target them than the Tennessee Titans D. Mariota is also at least used to starting in the NFL, and I can’t say the same for Gardner Minshew.
Cairo Santos ($9,500 FD, $3,600 DK) If anyone is scoring here it should be the Titans. If it is a low scoring affair kickers tend to outscore more expensive offensive options.
Leonard Fournette ($13,000 FD, $9,800 DK) The Jags are going to lean heavily on Fournette, especially in the first half of the game. He has gotten an average of 14 rushing attempts in his first two games and six targets in each. I like him better on DraftKings, but with not a lot of options tonight he is a safe play on FanDuel too.
Delanie Walker ($12,000 FD, $8,200 DK) is probably the best passing target for Mariota. In Week One he scoring two touchdowns on five receptions. In Week Two he had four grabs for 39 yards. We need safe options tonight and Walker is that.
Dede Westbook ($8,500 FD,$7,400 DK) If the Jags are playing from behind they are going to have to attempt to throw it. Dede disappeared last week but I trust him to have a better game this week. He is a boom or bust player with big play upside.
D.J. Chark ($12,500 FD, $7,600 DK) He has been the Jags’ breakout receiver this year with a touchdown in each game. He will be more popular than Dede because of this tonight. He may keep proving to be the truth for the Jacksonville offense but he is 4K more than Dede. If you need to save salary, I think you can just go down to Westbrook. I would not play them both in the same lineup tonight unless you stack with Minshew.
A.J. Brown ($8,000, $5,600 FD) He had three receptions for 100 yards in Week One. In Week Two he slowed down with three receptions for 25 yards. He is not as safe as the higher priced receivers, but this is a showdown slate and we at least know he is a part of the offense.
James O’Shaughnessy ($5,500 FD, $2,600 DK) He is a dart throw, but on this slate he is a pretty quality one. The Jags should be throwing in the second half and he should get a few targets at least. All he needs is one in the endzone and he is on the winning team.
Josh Lambo ($9,000 FD, $3,400 DK) He scored seven and eight points in the first two games. Kickers work in low scoring games. I’ll have some shares.

Play light tonight and save up for the week. This game might be ugly.

MonkeyKnifeFight.com Pick

I think Derrick Henry is the highest scoring player in the game. I also expect Minshew to struggle vs this Titans defense in prime time and turn it over a couple times. I do not think Minshew gets a passing touchdown tonight, therefor I will take under 14.5.

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5 years ago 0 comment

NFL

Week 2 NFL DFS Sunday Night Showdown Preview

Phil Naessens 5 years ago

written by Phil Naessens

Week 2 in the NFL is all about finding the best opportunities for guaranteed production with high upside. Follow my stud and value plays and lock in the NFL DFS Picks of Destiny.

David Jones won 100K on FanDuel!Read about it here

That all being said, I have looked at every possible player that can get on the field and listed my picks below.

The NFL DFS Week 2 Sunday Night Showdown Picks

MVP: Julio Jones: Julio has the highest upside on the slate. They are opening at home in a prime time spot on Sunday night. The Eagles defensive backs are not elite and Julio can enforce his will. It feels like Julio exceeds 100 yards tonight in NFL DFS.

MVP Pivot: Zach Ertz: There are a lot of mouths to feed on the Eagles but I know Ertz is going to get his targets. If the Philly offense is not dumping it down to one of their three backs there is a high probability the Ertz will get the first look from Wentz. He is a top three TE in the league.

NFL DFS Flex Options:

Matt Ryan: Very safe at home, and with Devonta Freeman looking rusty, I believe Ryan will be more inclined to throw to Jones, Ridley, Sano and Hooper.
Carson Wentz: I expect a high scoring game and Wentz will have the ball in his hands half of it. He has plenty of receivers to dish it out to and even Sproles and Sanders can catch the ball as well. He looked great in Week One, throwing for 313 yards and three touchdowns.
Calvin Ridley: He is Ryan’s second option after Julio. I think he has a breakout season this year. You can feel safe he will get targeted. He scored a touchdown last week when the the entire Falcons offense was struggling. I think they bounce back. I would not play him with Julio.
Darren Sproles: He is a pass catching back vs a team you want to target with pass catching backs. Dalvin Cook owned the Falcons last week, and Sproles is my pick to return the best NFL DFS value in the Eagles backfield.
Matt Bryant: Kicking in a dome, at home. If the Falcons can’t convert, out comes Money Matt.
DeSean Jackson: He exploded last week for 154 yards and two touchdowns. He can always make a big play. If he gives me a third of that production, I will be happy.
Alshon Jeffery: Another elite WR for Wentz. I wouldn’t play with DJax, but one of these guys should get in the end zone.

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5 years ago 0 comment

NFL

Week 1 NFL DFS TE and DST Picks

jason mezrahi 5 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

It’s finally Week 1 of the NFL and I’m looking at what can sometimes be the last two pieces you plug into your NFL DFS lineups – tight ends (TEs) and defenses (DSTs). There’s plenty to discuss, so let’s dive right in!

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Week 1 Tight End NFL DFS Cash Game Plays

ZachErtz, PHI vs. WAS

FD($7,100) DK ($6,100)

Ertz caught the second-most passes of anyplayer last year (116) and saw 156 targets. He’s in a great Week 1matchup and is a consensus top 3 TE in every possible format. There may beample reasons to enumerate the many attributes of some of the remaining TEs in thisrundown, but I shouldn’t cloud your mind with too many competing thoughts in mycash game recommendations. Ertz is top dog this week in cash.

EvanEngram, NYG at DAL

FD($6,400) DK ($4,800)

Engram is the best receiver available on the Giants and they are going to inundate him with targets against the Cowboys are just middle-of-the-road when it comes to defending opposing TEs. The third-year TE had a TD in each of his games vs. Dallas in 2018 and offers a little more safety than Travis Kelce and O.J. Howard, with just a tad less upside.

Week 1 Tight End NFL DFS GPP Plays

TravisKelce, KC at JAX

FD(7,800) DK ($7,100)

The tough matchup willkeep a chunk of the field away and that’s what we want for a guy with this muchupside – especially in a game with a 51.5 total. I’ll tolerate some risk at myTE spot because there’s a shot to play both – and I’ll have a lot of exposureto a Kelce-Ertz combo on both sites, since they could both score three TDs andmake incredible value just under the price point of stud RBs.

GeorgeKittle, SF at TB

FD($7,300) DK ($6,600)

Traditional ownership inGPPs dictates that the better value with the lower risk gets taken, so Kittlemakes perfect sense as a GPP pivot from Ertz, who’s cheaper on both sites.Kittle is a one-man offensive powerhouse who can take over a game with 200 yardsand score 2-3 TDs, so he’s a fine GPP play in Week 1 facing the relatively weakBucs defensive unit.

Hunter Henry, LAC vs. IND

FD ($6,100) DK (3,900)

There’s just a ton of upside to Henry’s 2019 season, and it all starts in Week 1 facing the Colts. He’s blessed with a capable, adventurous QB in Philip Rivers (who has a history of torrid love affairs with his TEs), caught eight TDs as a rookie in 2016 (the fourth-highest mark for a rookie tight end in NFL history) spent a year in an expanded role while out-targeting Antonio Gates, and then missed the entire 2018 regular season with a torn ACL. Low projected ownership and a prime matchup make him a solid GPP play this week.

Week 1 Tight End NFL DFS Punt Plays

MarkAndrews, BAL at MIA

FD($5,400) DK ($3,000)

Andrews emerged as a viable TE option in 2018 and promises to once again be a useful safety valve for Lamar Jackson. There’s not an overwhelming sense of limitless upside with Andrews from a season-long perspective (and I think most folks who drafted him would be happy with Top 10 numbers), but the Dolphins LBs are an inexperienced unit at risk of giving up huge numbers to opposing TEs. Andrews is a cost-effective way to fit in a bunch of solid RBs and WRs, though you’ll be assuming a considerable amount of risk not looking to the obvious top TEs.

DelanieWalker, TEN at CLE

FD($5,400) DK ($3,500)

Walker makes for an interesting GPP play at just $5,400 on FD, and he qualifies as a punt for his low salary on DK. Walker probably has a little more upside than Andrews but the three-time Pro Bowler makes plenty of sense as a lower-risk option heading into a Week 1 contest that might be a little more lopsided than expected and have the Titans playing from behind. Walker played just one game in 2018 (dislocated ankle) and will look to rebound with a big Week 1, and Jonnu Smith isn’t much of a threat to his targets.

Additional GPP/Punt options:

Will Dissly, SEA vs CIN (FD $4,000, DK $2,900)

Tyler Eifert, CIN at SEA (DK $3,100)

Darren Waller, OAK vs. DEN (FD $4,800, DK $3,000)

Week 1 NFL DFS DST Cash Game Plays

BaltimoreRavens (BAL at MIA)

FD($5,400) DK ($3,800)

The Ravens lost some defensive starters in LB C.J. Mosley and DL Willie Henry, and there’s been some question as to the effectiveness of their pass rush, but they remain a perennial powerhouse and there’s no easier team to pick on in cash games than the Dolphins. Since Miami is a team in turmoil, Baltimore is the consensus top defense in the weekly rankings and there’s plenty of value to be found throughout the rest of the roster, so it’s no problem looking at the Ravens this week, even as the highest-priced DST on both sites.

PhiladelphiaEagles (PHI vs. WAS)

FD($4,600) DK ($3,600)

There’s plenty of appeal to both the Ravens and this Eagles unit in GPPs, since there’s plenty of opportunity to differentiate our lineups elsewhere. But the goal of cash games is to limit risk and maximize cost – and there’s just not a lot of difference cost-wise between the top and bottom defenses. Philly is still running the Jim Schwartz system of constant pressure and this group is a fine blend of experience and youth. They are deep, they are talented, and they are home in Week 1 to face the paltry Redskins. Don’t overthink it.

Week1 DST GPP Plays

LosAngeles Rams (LAR at CAR)

FD($4,400) DK ($3,200)

There’s a considerable drop after the top couple ranked DSTs this week, so they’ll be my only cash game recommendations, but the Rams are a formidable unit facing a much more potent offense. Whether Carolina’s Cam Newton is 100 percent is the main factor in the Rams making most of my GPP builds, and if I’ll look to some of the following options as a pivot. With that said, the Rams are a consensus Top 12 defense this week and the team’s offensive prowess sometimes forces opponents into silly mistakes (30 takeaways last season). This is where you can capitalize in GPPs. They offer relatively low ownership because of the higher price, but they’re still a few bucks cheaper than the elite DSTs, so they make sense as last-piece fit.

SeattleSeahawks (SEA vs. CIN)

FD($4,500) DK ($3,100)

Plenty of question marks surround the newer pieces (ZiggyAnsah and Jadeveon Clowney) in the Seahawks front seven and All-Pro safety EarlThomas is out the door – so DFS players could look at this unit with sometrepidation and steer clear in Week 1. But the Bengals are a team without itsstar WR for the first few games and I know that Scott Engel would beannoyed if I didn’t acknowledge his squad’s upside in this cushy spot and justhow good these linebackers and lineman can be in 2019.

ClevelandBrowns (CLE vs. TEN)

FD($4,200) DK ($3,100)

The Browns are a couple years removed from being a laughingstock, and this play might not be all that contrarian with the DST’s cost down. But Cleveland had 31 takeaways last season (17 INTs and 14 FRs) and should be an improved unit in 2019. The Titans aren’t too much of a threat to score 25+ points and a Nick Chubb/Browns DST game script could be a decent starting point in GPP builds.

NewYork Jets (NYJ vs. BUF)

FD($4,200) DK ($3,100)

The Bills and Jets defenses both feel a lot like the sameamount of risk and upside, so this should be a fun Week 1 contest to watch. It’llbe even more fun if you click the Jets into your DFS lineups and they force abunch of turnovers from Josh Allen and the dubious Bills offense. The Jets unitis a risk, because they’re susceptible to the big play, but the flip side is thepositive variance they offer. I’ve seen them as high as second on some Week 1 rankingsand as low as 30^th – the definition of a GPP option.

Week1 DST Punt Plays

LosAngeles Chargers (LAC vs. IND)

FD($4,000) DK ($3,000)

The Chargers are cheap, they get to the opposing QB, andthey have plenty of upside facing a Colts team without Andrew Luck. I’mcomfortable going here in Week 1 for this affordable cost.

SanFrancisco 49ers (SF at TB)

FD($3,700) DK ($2,200)

The 49ers are loaded with talented defensive lineman but have a weak LB corps, and they don’t stand out as particularly safe facing the Bucs in Tampa Bay. But if you’ve got to make it work with just a few bucks left in salary cap, they make plenty of sense. The biggest area of concern for the 49ers this season is +/ in turnovers, where they ranked last in the league at -25 in 2018. The addition of Nick Bosa, however, promises to change some of that and Week 1 is a fine place to take advantage of the cost savings this improving unit offers.

TampaBay Buccaneers (TB vs. SF)

FD($3,500) DK ($2,200)

The Bucs were second-to-last in turnover differential last season and offer a similar risk-reward scenario in Week 1 facing the 49ers. I could see easily see pick-sixes for both teams and a 20-17 final score, which would be an acceptable outcome given the variance at DST and our aim at providing a modicum of upside without overwhelming risk.

Zach Ertz featured image via Jason Peters.

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