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PGA GPP

Tee 2 Green PGA DFS Picks: Shriners Hospitals For Children Open

brucegray19722@gmail.com 4 years ago

written by brucegray19722@gmail.com

Hello everybody, and welcome back to ‘Tee 2 Green,’ a new article that I will be producing for Win Daily Sports weekly to give some extra insight into the DFS world of golf. My focus will be to discuss, decipher and dissect some of my preferred targets throughout the various price ranges, and I will always provide my opinion with a data-intensive outlook that you can see first-hand if you use the weekly model that I provide free of charge. You can find that here.

Course – TPC Summerlin

7,251 Yards – Par 71 – Greens: Bentgrass

Bobby Weed masterminded the property on the rugged desert terrain in 1991, with Fuzzy Zoeller serving as his consultant. The course meanders through arroyos and canyons, featuring lush Bentgrass greens to go along with friendly Bermuda rough. I use the word friendly because the rough is only two inches thick, but Bermuda rough can be sticky and cause fliers for those that miss the short grass off the tee. With all that being said, players don’t seem overly concerned about that fact since driving distance is over 13 yards above tour average, but it is worth noting that some of the added distance can be directly correlated to the slight altitude change and firm fairways from the Vegas heat. I think that gives an artificial boost to the shorter hitters, who will get more rollout than they are accustomed to having during a regular stop on tour.

The three par-fives and two short par-fours are the most accessible holes, and four of these are included during the final six-hole stretch. Overall, golfers that can demonstrate ball-striking ability and strategy off the tee should exploit TPC Summerlin since nine of the past 11 winners have taken home the title at 20-under par or better, but these birdie shootouts that don’t highlight a particular skillset are always a little more challenging to handicap. I tried to keep things predictive in a roundabout way, but there are some loopholes to get past since tournaments such as the Shriners Open could open up the field for more players to find success.

Strokes gained Tee to Green (17.5%) – I slightly reconfigured it from how the PGA Tour looks at the stat to try and make it more conducive towards TPC Summerlin. We saw the dispersion in scoring last year be about 15% for both off the tee and around the green – while still coming in at a heavy 37% for approach. I reallocated those percentages to remove putting from the equation entirely, which essentially gave me a weighted T2G metric that incorporated 23% of my total on both OTT and ATG and then 54% on approach.
Total Driving (17.5%) – That is a 65/35 split of accuracy over distance. Yes, players average 13 yards more off the tee here, but I view that more positively for the shorter hitters. Vegas plays in added elevation, and the heat from the town tends to dry up the fairways and create extra rollout. Distance certainly will help, but the Bermuda grass can make a stickier shot than meets the eye, even if the rough isn’t thick.
SG: Total At Easy Courses L50 (10%) – With nine of the last 11 wins coming at 20-under par or better, it takes a specific type of player
SG: Total At TPC Courses L50 (10%) -The TPC filter works nicely since all of the TPC properties are somewhat similar in the sense that they are made for birdies.
Short Par-Four + Par-Five Birdie or Better (10%) – That is about as low as you will ever see me go for a non-par 70, but most holes out here provide the opportunity to make birdie. I thought pinpointing a specific par-total of any kind for a considerable weight was dangerous because it minimizes the impact that other holes will have.
Overall Birdie or Better (15%) – Instead, I added 15 percent here. I liked the complete picture this route took of where I still have 25% of my total statistical data being derived by scoring, but it isn’t condensed into a specific range.
Scrambling (10%) – I considered sand save percentage because over 100 are scattered throughout the property, but I figured scrambling made more sense since golfers will frequently play out of the rough.
SG: Total on Bentgrass Greens (10%) – This is just another way of looking for potential positive putting regression. I don’t mind adding in three-putt avoidance because these are larger green complexes, but I decided to keep the model and use stats like that as more of an eye test than anything else.

High-Priced DraftKings Players ($10,000+)

Viktor Hovland ($10,600) – Similar to last week, five of my top-nine golfers are in this range, but I will say that I am not as convinced that we are required to start in the $10,000 section. I don’t see a massive difference between most of these players and the dropdown in the 9k range, but it doesn’t mean I don’t have a few golfers that I will be using. Viktor Hovland feels the hardest for me to shake, as he might be sitting on a significant result, averaging 3.79 shots with his irons over his last eight and 2.65 OTT in his previous 16. Hovland has gained off the tee in 19 of his past 21 and ranks sixth in total driving.

Webb Simpson ($10,200) – If I am forced to give a chalk answer near the top, I don’t mind going down the Webb Simpson route. We have seen this narrative countless times where he is almost bulletproof at specific venues. The Wyndham Championship is the more pronounced definition of that, but even here, he has recorded four straight top-20 results. I think Simpson is one of the must-have cash options, but I can also get creative enough with builds to use him in GPPs.

Favorite Cash Play– Webb Simpson ($10,200)

$9,000 Range

Louis Oosthuizen ($9,900) – I will find myself littered in this section, as it seems like an optimal strategy to formulate flatter builds. Louis Oosthuizen should have playability across the board because of his 16 straight made cuts, but he also has upside at this specific test. There is a slight worry about his ability to make birdies in bunches for a shootout like this, but he should be safe for cash and still possesses a contrarian nature for GPPs at around 10% ownership. Oosthuizen ranks second on bentgrass greens and first in strokes gained total over his last 24 rounds.

Scottie Scheffler ($9,700) – If you look at my model this week, you will notice Scottie Scheffler doesn’t grade out exceptionally well with the way it was released, but one of the things I like to do is alter certain variables on my version to try and see who moves when something is added or subtracted. Scheffler will remain GPP-only for me because there are a few red flags, but some of them are easy to explain, like the fact that he has never finished better than 74th here in two tries. If you remember, Scheffler played in the Shriners tournament last year after taking three weeks off because of COVID-19. And his 74th place finish in 2019 is more aberrational than anything else when you consider that he entered Saturday eight-under par and within striking distance of the leaders. Scheffler feels underweight in projected ownership, and I think he has the upside to win this event at his best. I don’t view this situation much differently than the one I found with Max Homa at the Genesis, where he was lightly owned, but my reconfigured model loved his potential.

Harris English ($9,300) – Haris English ranks inside the top-25 of my model for strokes gained tee to green over his last 24 rounds and is also inside the top-16 over the last two years for scoring at easy courses, par-five birdie or better, overall birdie or better, scrambling and total driving.

Si Woo Kim ($9,000) – Four top-30s in Si Woo Kim’s last five starts. Two top-15s here in his previous three appearances. Top-10 in my model at short courses. I think he fits nicely into a cash build and is still highly usable in GPPs.

Additional Thoughts: I am okay with the idea of using any of the options in this section now that Kevin Na has withdrawn. Hideki Matsuyama ($9,500) and Sungjae Im ($9,200) are both very playable.

$8,000 Range

Patrick Reed ($8,600) – I consider this GPP-only if his ownership remains sub-10 percent, but he is too good to be priced here and not generate traction.

Joaquin Niemann ($8,300) – East Lake will sometimes eat a golfer alive, but his ball-striking numbers are trending towards a big result if we remove that start. Niemann has gained OTT in 31 of 34, with his irons in 17 of 20, and he probably has about as much upside as anyone we can find in the $8,000s on the board.

Other Thoughts: Cameron Tringale ($8,500) and Paul Casey ($8,900) will be sprinkled into builds, but I am going so heavy in the $9,000 range that I don’t have a ton of room for multiple selections here. Reed and Niemann are two of the better upside choices.

$7,000 Range

Russell Henley ($7,900) – Russell Henley was shaky in his last start at the BMW Championship, but he had gained at least five shots tee to green in his previous five events. We keep running into this trend with some of these options where I am not sure they can make enough birdies to win the event, but the reason I am willing to forgive Henley for ranking 72nd in my model for overall birdie or better percentage is because of how he performs at a more straightforward test. It is the same theory that I had with Scheffler in the sense that some of his data will get skewed at the more challenging tracks that they play, and we should see a more robust outcome when faced at a birdie fest because of his ball-striking nature.

Brian Harman ($7,600) – Brian Harman always feels universally underpriced for how I run my model. As Sia said on the podcast this week, ” don’t be surprised to see Harman crack into the next range at some point.”

Ian Poulter ($7,000) – Ian Poulter is trending across the board with his strokes gained data. He is the 53rd most expensive player on DraftKings and is 30th in the betting market. That is the third-largest disparity behind only Hayden Buckley and Adam Hadwin.

Additional Thoughts: I will mostly be using this range as random dart throws when not playing the three above. I don’t envision having to use any of these often, but they are options I am either rounding a lineup up with or playing as my second-to-last choice. Stewart Cink ($7,100), Kevin Kisner ($7,400), Sebastian Munoz ($7,000), Rasmus Hojgaard ($7,100), Cameron Davis ($7,300), Sahtith Theegala ($7,500), Seamus Power ($7,400), Cameron Young ($7,000), Talor Moore ($7,300). Volatile options with high upside and high missed cut potential.

$6,000 Range

Adam Hadwin ($6,800) – I never play Adam Hadwin. In fact, I usually fade him in H2H wagers, but I love how this course sets up for him. Three top-35s here since 2016, and while he is volatile missing three of his last six cuts, Hadwin has two top-10s recently. The Canadian ranks second in strokes gained total on Bentgrass and fourth in short par-four scoring

Additional Dart Throws To Consider: William McGirt ($6,100), Adam Long ($6,000), Hayden Buckley ($6,600), Harry Hall ($6,000), Mark Hubbard ($6,100), Hank Lebioda ($6,300), James Hahn ($6,400), Kyle Stanley ($6,100), Adam Schenk ($6,800), Matt Kuchar ($6,600), Nick Taylor ($6,300). I am telling you now that if we get half those guys through the cut, I will consider it a success. Hall, Long, Hubbard and Stanley are projected to miss by my math, but they are extremely close. The other handful are barely in on the other side, but I hope that adds a little insight into playable options that my model expects to outproduce their price tag. I won’t find myself down here often this week, but there are random dart throws to target.

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4 years ago 0 comments

The Shriners Open: Initial Picks

Sia 4 years ago

written by Sia

Welcome to the Vegas swing, baby. It’s gonna be a fun west coast ride and we kick it off with The Shriners Open. We’ve got a full field event this week that is going to test APP precision and PUTT, but make no mistake about it, it’ll be another birdie-fest. I want good ball strikers but being sharp OTT isn’t a pre-requisite as the fairways are wide and there isn’t much trouble beyond them even if you miss. We’re going to discuss the course dynamics at length during our PGA Livestream, which of course, will feature @TeeOffSports model breakdown. In the interim, check out the Shriners Open Initial Picks. I’ll note that most of the plays below are for GPP and we will have at least two additional articles tomorrow that will address both GPP and Cash.

Viktor Hovland (10600) – No experience on this track, but I think he’s the best golfer in this field and his ball striking and APP play can get red hot which is what you’re going to need here.

Abraham Ancer (10400) – He’s in good form and is certainly a good fit with his ball striking and potentially hot putter. His course history is hit or miss with two 4^th place finishes and 2 MCs, but I’m leaning toward a Top 10 finish this week.

Louis Oosthuizen (9900) – I think Louis has plenty of opportunity to be contending here late on Sunday afternoon. He’s a great ball striker, particularly on APP and he’s no stranger to a hot putter. Interesting to note that he hasn’t been great from the APP proximities I’m focused upon this week, but I’m willing to overlook that.

Si Woo Kim (9000) – I like him as a GPP play if his rostership is low. He’s made 3 cuts in a row at The Shriners Open and that includes two Top 15s. His recent form has also been very good. The putter can get him in trouble but I’ll take a chance on him this week.

Erik Van Rooyen (8000) – We haven’t seen much of EVR lately which makes it the perfect time to roster him as people likely take a wait and see approach. Last we saw him he was in his best form as he fought to get into the FedEx Cup Playoffs and then continued to surge. A great play if the ownership is low. Speaking of good GPPs at low ownership, if Patrick Reed is very low owned, he’s another guy I would play in GPPs.

Russell Henley (7900) – I’m looking for guys who may be able to stuff it near the pin on these large Bentgrass greens. If Henley’s APP game is what it can be, he’s certainly eligible to do just that. He’s made 3 out of his last 4 cuts here, but nothing higher than 24^th.

Kevin Streelman (7800) – His history here is just plain bad and his recent history isn’t much better. I happen to think he’s a great course fit and I think he may be a very sneaky and low owned GPP play. Do not play him in cash.

Brian Harman (7600) – I really wonder what his ownership will be at The Shriners Open. If he’s low owned he’s an easy play for me with three Top 20s over his last three on this track. I’m hopeful that his awful recent form will steer people away (and I’d like to chalk up that poor form to fatigue down the stretch of a jam packed 2021 season).

Pat Perez (7200) – Not a guy I normally roster but I like his APP play and his OTT game won’t hurt him to badly. He can rack up birdies and find a hot putter and while he MC’d last year, he placed 3^rd and 7^th the two times prior to that. Honorable mention to Maverick McNealy in this 7k range.

Henrik Norlander (7000) – His history here isn’t great, but I just love his form right now. He gained over 8 strokes on APP last week and has been great on APP and with the PUTT since last summer. Hoping this is the beginning of a hot streak.

Hank Lebioda (6300) – There’s a lot to consider in this 6k range, but for now I’ll leave you with Hammerin’ Hank as it wouldn’t shock me if he returns to form. He missed the cut at the Fortinet, but was pretty good on APP and really lost it OTT and ARG. I don’t expect that to crush him at The Shriners Open and I’m willing to gamble at this price. Way more on this 6k range during our PGA Livestream.

Secret Weapon (less than 7k/less than 5% owned) – Current record is 43-13.

4 years ago 0 comments

PGA Premium

Tee 2 Green PGA DFS Picks: Sanderson Farms Championship

brucegray19722@gmail.com 4 years ago

written by brucegray19722@gmail.com

Hello everybody, and welcome to the initial installment of ‘Tee 2 Green,’ a new article that I will be producing for Win Daily Sports weekly to give some extra insight into the DFS world of golf. My focus will be to discuss, decipher and dissect some of my preferred targets throughout the various price ranges, and I will always provide my opinion with a data-intensive outlook that you can see first-hand if you use the weekly model that I provide free of charge. You can find that here.

Course – Country Club of Jackson

7,461 Yards – Par 72 – Greens: Bermuda

The Country Club of Jackson is a unique venue to try and handicap from a DFS or gambling perspective. Originally designed by John Fought and Mike Gogel, the layout pays homage to Donald Ross by mimicking his typical quirks throughout the property. That means undulating greens will play a heavy factor at the facility, and it will require golfers to miss shots to the correct part of the fairways and greens to find success. The ability to work the ball both ways should be seen as a benefit, and while the rough should be considered non-existent, the undulation and set up of the course will still require misses to come to the correct side if players want a legitimate chance to score on most holes.

Unfortunately, that is about where our help stops from trying to handicap this statistically. I want to preface my breakdown by saying this course has been difficult for me to figure out in the past because the numerical data doesn’t seem to equal what is being shown on paper. Strokes gained putting and proximity from 100-150 yards continue to jump out like a sore thumb, but I’ve noticed the golfers winning the tournaments every year are some of the worst in those categories during that season.

To highlight that viewpoint a little more, let’s take a deeper look into the past three champions since 2018. As I mentioned, putting has been very impactful in deciding the winner, but Sergio Garcia, Sebastian Munoz and Cameron Champ all graded outside of the top-100 in putting last year. Conversely, and maybe even more alarming, the two most significant differentials when looking at approach shot distribution here versus tour average have come from 100-125 yards and 125-150 yards. When we break down each golfers’ finish during the year they won the event, the picture gets murky fast. Garcia finished last year 92nd from 100-125 and 144th from 125-150, Munoz was a more respectable 61st and 29th in 2019 and Champ was awful in 2018, ranking 187th and 173rd.

Look, I am the king of telling people not to overreact to limited sample sizes because they often are aberrational results beyond anything else, but the lack of historical production from those two ranges from the winners piqued my curiosity. Yes, the plurality of approaches are coming from 100-150 yards, but what if the most important shots are coming elsewhere? I decided to dive into that a little deeper, and I think I figured out a potential answer.

The last five winners have combined to shoot 97-under par during their wins. That highlights a birdie fest, but it doesn’t tell you where the scoring is coming. It isn’t going to blow anyone’s mind when I say the four par-fives are most impactful to find success, but what if I told you it is so much so that it accounts for 47.5% of the winning output? That’s substantial, right? Well, what if I also told you that another 11.5% is coming from the 15th hole – a hole that plays as a short par-four and is drivable off the tee. That would certainly raise some eyebrows that 59% of the scoring is coming during a five-hole stretch, especially when projections would suggest that the average golfer is only birding them 33.68% of the time, giving us a massive disparity between the winners and those that barely make the cut.

So with that thought in mind, I built a model to highlight those five must-have holes and came up with the following:

Proximity From 200+ Yards (20%) – This will lead me to my next category, but the real scoring chances seem to be coming for those who can control their long irons.
Par-Five Birdie or Better (25%) – As I mentioned, 47.5% of the winning scores are coming here.
Short Par-Four Efficiency (7.5%) – That takes the par-four 15th and even a little of the par-four first. I didn’t include that first hole into any of my metrics, but the ability to play shorter par-fours well will be critical.
Total Driving (17.5%) – That is an 80/20 split of distance over accuracy.
Overall Birdie or Better (10%) – I want birdie-makers that can get hot.
Strokes Gained Total Donald Ross (10%) – These types of courses are always similar.
GIR (10%) – You need to hit greens in regulation if you want to provide yourself a chance to make birdie.

High-Priced DraftKings Players ($10,000+)

Will Zalatoris ($10,800) – Pricing looks very solid at the top of the board. I think you could nitpick some of these golfers being a spot higher or lower when it comes to their price tag, but the top four players of Sam Burns ($11,000), Will Zalatoris ($10,800), Sergio Garcia ($10,500) and Sungjae Im ($10,300) are the same top four I have in my model (just a marginally different order). When pricing is spot-on like that, it can be challenging to find an edge, but I like Zalatoris because I think he provides the most complete package for all contests. The American becomes the number one golfer in my model when I remove the Ross attachment from the weight – a stat that is slightly skewy as it is.

Sungjae Im ($10,300) – Sungjae Im is a Bermuda specialist that will get a boost in ownership because of that, but it is worth noting that he has averaged 2.4 shots gained per event with his irons over his last nine starts. Im ranks inside the top-25 of my model in proximity from 200+ yards, par-five birdie or better, overall birdie or better, short par-four efficiency and strokes gained total on Donald Ross tracks, making him another target that is playable in all builds.

Potential MME Pivot – Sergio Garcia ($10,500)

$9,000 Range

Cameron Davis ($9,100) – My favorite play in this section is Cameron Davis at $9,100. Sixth here last year, which isn’t the be-all, end-all for a course that doesn’t have great rollover effect, but his distance and birdie-making prowess shows why he did find success here in 2019 and 2020. Davis is currently under 10 percent owned and is the second-largest differential in my model when comparing my rank versus his ownership projection of a golfer priced $9,000 or above. Only Sergio Garcia has a more significant difference.

Additional Thoughts: Keegan Bradley ($9,700), Cameron Tringale ($9,400), Harold Varner III ($9,200) and Charley Hoffman ($9,000) all feel playable in cash. Mito Periera ($9,900) is the number one player in my upside model, but I think his ownership projection makes him more of a single-entry target than that of an MME-style build.

$8,000 Range

Carlos Ortiz ($8,600) – I keep waiting for Carlos Ortiz’s game to flash again, but two top-fives here since 2018 is a pretty good indicator that he likes this venue. Ortiz has gained strokes with his irons in seven of his previous nine starts and off the tee in his past five. The fact that he has made 10 of the past 12 cuts only adds to the luster, and it feels like a big result might be just around the corner.

Matthew Wolff ($8,500) – Consider Matthew Wolff a GPP-only play, but the potential is there for him to take down an MME for you at roughly 10 percent ownership. His floor might be that of a golfer that comes into the week having missed back-to-back cuts, but his upside is that of a $10,000 golfer. Expect that volatility with what you might receive, but I find the risk to be worth the reward.

Cash Play: Seamus Power ($8,800)

$7,000 Range

Keith Mitchell ($7,800) – If distance and off the tee play is going to matter at the Sanderson Farms, why not Keith Mitchell? Like Sungjae Im, Mitchell is a Bermuda specialist that tends to pop out of nowhere, but he has shown life recently with multiple top-10s in his past four starts.

Taylor Pendrith ($7,800) – We still don’t have enough data to form a concrete opinion, but Taylor Pendrith looks like the real deal from the limited sample that we do have in front of us. The Canadian ranks first in both distance and strokes gained off the tee in this field, and while I do have some concerns about his long irons, the par-five scoring has been brilliant. Pendrith can be deployed a little safer across the board than the other two names in this range.

Luke List ($7,500) – The stats are trending better than the current form looks on paper for Luke List, and it is the same blueprint I am trying to find over and over again. Give me distance, long iron play and the ability to score at the five critical holes.

Additional Thoughts: Chad Ramey ($7,000) burned everyone in his last start at the Fortinet Championship, but the fact that he is priced as essentially an $8,000 golfer when we look at the top-20 market is pretty telling.

$6,000 Range

Grayson Sigg ($6,900) – Grayson Sigg is the eighth-best golfer in my model for this field when it comes to current form over the past 10 weeks. His GIR percentage and long iron play might leave something to be desired, but we are just trying to find potential when we get here, and Sigg has shown that early in his career when it comes to making birdies.

Hudson Swafford ($6,900) –Hudson Swafford is a good Bermuda player that excels off the tee. Burning everyone at the Fortinet has lowered his ownership total, but I like this course better for his upside potential.

Kevin Tway ($6,800) -Five top-30s in his last seven. Seven made cuts in his previous eight. We have seen Kevin Tway excel before on these driver-friendly tests.

John Augenstein ($6,700) – John Augenstein has the amateur pedigree to continue this recent burst of success.

Additional Dart Throws To Consider: Dylan Frittelli ($6,600), Andrew Putnam ($6,600), Peter Malnati ($6,500), Tyler McCumber ($6,500), Brandon Hagy ($6,300), Wyndham Clark ($6,400), Anirban Lahiri ($6,200) and Davis Thompson ($6,100). Please note that these are highly volatile options that might possess a higher ceiling but also a lower floor.

4 years ago 0 comments

PGA Premium

The Sanderson Farms Championship: Initial Picks

Sia 4 years ago

written by Sia

The new PGA Tour year is well underway and this week we make a stop in Mississippi for the Sanderson Farms Invitational. Feels like I’ve been saying a lot these days, but this week we will have yet another birdie-fest. Usually that means almost the entire field is in play, but there will definitely be an added emphasis to golfers who are long off the tee. We’re always looking for good APP and the shorter irons will definitely be emphasized here. For more on the course and each golfer, tune into our Tuesday night PGA Livestream at 8:00. Now let’s get to the Initial Picks.

Sam Burns (11000) – Burns being the highest priced golfer tells you what you need to know about this field, but he has been very good lately and has shown the ability to pop at any moment. His history here is pretty weak other than a 3^rd place finish in 2019. I also like Sungjae in this range.

Mito Pereira (9900) – Likely to be very popular so be ready to pivot in GPP’s if the ownership percentage gets too high, but this guy has plenty of upside and flashed more than a few times last season and this season at the Fortinet (3^rd place). He’s well above average in almost every metric that matters to me this week.

Keegan Bradley (9700) – I don’t love the price but Keegan is an elite ball striker and his PUTT troubles could be minimized at a course that has a history of rewarding bad putters. He was 4^th here in 2020.

Cam Davis (9100) – A great course fit who has shown upside both in his recent play and at The Sanderson Farms. I really like his trajectory at The Sanderson Farms as in his only three years here he has gone MC, 28^th and 6^th.

Charley Hoffman (9000) – Certainly not a sexy pick but if there were ever a field for Charley to contend in, it would be here at The Sanderson Farms Championship. He is good OTT and great on APP and rates out well with the PUTT and with BOB gained. Finishes of 6^th and 23^rd over the last two years.

Seamus Power (8800) – I think the pricetag may keep people off of Power and I think that makes him a pretty solid GPP play. He has a lot of experience here for a younger golfer and has had solid finishes. Recent form isn’t great but plenty of upside in the BOB Gained department. I will also consider Aaron Wise and Carlos Ortiz in this range as GPP plays only.

Patrick Rodgers (7600) – A risky play for sure as the metrics don’t jump off the page and his course history isn’t great either. I do think he’s a good course fit however and I’m willing to take a chance on a guy who has shown some upside over the last few tournaments.

Luke List (7500) – If you think PUTT is neutralized this week then I have the golfer for you: meet Luke. List is great OTT and on APP and can hit it a long way, but he is borderline hilarious with the PUTT. His missed his last two cuts here as well so tread carefully. A GPP play only.

Henrik Norlander (7200) – He’s been very good as of late and his main trouble spot is the short game, which shouldn’t come into play too much at The Sanderson Farms. Finished 4^th in 2021.

Matt Wallace (7100) – His play as of late hasn’t been good on either the PGA or European Tour, but his upside is clearly better than most in this price range. Hopefully the long break has Matt tweaking his game a bit and I’m willing to take the chance in GPPs.

Rory Sabbatini (6900) – All you really need to do with Rory is look at his course history and recent history and you’ll see he’s a solid play in the 6k range. Rory was 10^th at The Wyndham, 2^nd at The Olympics and finished 12^th and 20^th at his last two efforts at The Sanderson Farms.

Brandon Hagy (6300) – A dart throw who has shown flashes, albeit sparingly. His strength is OTT. He’s MC’d here his last three efforts but finished 18^th and 14^th the two years prior to that.

Secret Weapon (less than 7k/less than 5% owned) – Current record is 43-12.

4 years ago 0 comments

PGA

The Fortinet Championship: Initial Picks

Sia 4 years ago

written by Sia

The new PGA Tour year is already underway as a full field of golfers descend upon The Fortinet Championship. This tournament comes with some headliners like Jon Rahm, but also features plenty of new names who have just obtained their PGA Tour cards. Tune into the Win Daily PGA Show at 8:00 TONIGHT for everything on all the players and course dynamics. In short, I’ll be looking for a combination of ball strikers and scorers (BOB Gained and Par 5 scoring in particular). Now, let’s get to the Fortinet Championship Initial Picks.

Jon Rahm (12100) – The best in the world coming out to play this tournament is a bit of surprise, but I expect his foot to be on the pedal and the main reason to fade him is if you’re trying to get different in a big GPP.

Will Zalatoris (10500) – We saw WillyZ cool off a bit toward the back end of the PGA Tour season and a lot of that had to do with the putter. Over the last two tournaments he’s gained pretty significantly with the putter so I’m willing to dive back in on the rookie of the year.

Charley Hoffman (8800) – Hoffman’s game was a little erratic toward the back half of the season but there’s no question he’s an elite ball striker when he’s on. I think he has a shot to contend in this field. You’ll notice I didn’t write up anyone in the 9k range, but Hoffman actually belongs in that price range.

Emiliano Grillo (8900) – Grillo is a great course fit in spite of middling results at The Fortinet Championship (previously the Safeway). I’m going to lean on the ball striking upside and hope for a decent putter. I’m guessing he won’t be rostered much and therefore I like him more as a GPP play only.

Maverick McNealy (8600) – The numbers haven’t been great as of late and his price is a bit high, but I’m hoping that makes him a somewhat unpopular play. If so, I’ll throw him into some GPP’s as I’m a fan of his scoring and birdie upside.

Chez Reavie (8500) – The putting can go sideways with Reavie but the ball striking is great. He’s made his last 4 cuts here and recent form looks very solid. A nice course fit at the Fortinet Championship.

Mito Pereira (8000) – He burst onto the PGA Tour scene a few months back. He’s tailed off a bit but certainly has the upside to contend here. The putter is likely to be the main issue with Mito. Other than that he rates out well. I only like him for GPP.

Doug Ghim (7900) – Pretty much a perfect course fit who showed promise last year with a 14th place finish. His putter is a big issue, but he’s been ok in that department as of late. If he’s good with the putter, don’t be surprised if he is in the mix on Sunday.

Brian Stuard (7600) – A short and accurate striker who can really putt. His main issue is that he may not score as well on the Par 5s as some of these other guys, but I like his all-around game and I expect him to make the cut.

Adam Schenk (7300) – You may recall I was on Schenk a handful of times last year and I’ll try him again at the Fortinet Championship as well. He comes in just above average OTT and APP, but he’s Top 10 in SG Par 5 and 12^th in PUTT. I like this price especially if he’s super low owned.

Chad Ramey (7000) – I’m throwing Ramey into the article because that’s what the bookmakers are telling me to do. For some reason Ramey is 70 to 1, but he is in a Draftkings price range with golfers who are mostly 100 to 1 or longer. These types of discrepancies should not be ignored. Add to that Ramey has been very good on the KFT Tour and is a good ball striker.

Bo Hoag (6800) – I’m convinced this guy is better than people think and I’m hoping we see it this week. He rates out great in my model and I think there is some upside at this price. He rates out well on APP, BOB Gained and SG Par 5. His history here isn’t bad either. A GPP play only.

Mark Hubbard (6500) – In this field Hubbard should probably be in the 7k range. He’s no superstar but he’s Top 30 on APP, PUTT, ARG, Good Drives and SG Par 5.

Jim Herman (6500) – We are definitely in the punt range, but I’m a pretty big fan of Herman. He’s been great OTT and solid on APP. He’s also Top 25 in BOB Gained and SG Par 5.

Secret Weapon (less than 7k/less than 5% owned) – Current record is 43-12. No SW with the short field and no cut.

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4 years ago 0 comments

PGA

The Tour Championship: Initial Picks

Sia 4 years ago

written by Sia

Welcome to the FedEx Cup Playoff finale. The Tour Championship will guarantee some big paydays for this entire field, with the winner taking home 15 million dollars. The DK field is comprised of only 29 players but Patrick Reed should be added which would round out the 30 person field. We will talk about course dynamics and roster construction on Tuesday’s PGA Livestream so make sure to join us there at 8:00 EST. Please keep in mind starting strokes apply here (which we will also talk about on the PGA show). My focus this week is to be a little more contrarian than normal in GPP as there will be some mega-chalk with this week. Let’s get to the Tour Championship picks.

Jon Rahm (13000) – Rahm begins this tournament four shots behind pre-tournament leader Patrick Cantlay, but that doesn’t concern me at all. Rahm is playing better golf than anyone and I expect him to prove he’s the best golfer on the planet this week. He starts at -6.

Tony Finau (11000) – He’s in excellent form (other than a pedestrian showing last week), but he’ll only be a play for me if his ownership is relatively low (relative to the rest of the 10k and above range). He starts at -8.

Dustin Johnson (10700) – I think DJ will end up being relatively contrarian since most people will choose to pay up for a star in better form or pay down for a guy like Rory or Xander (both of whom I also like). DJ isn’t in the best form but has some great East Lake and Tour Championship history. Won’t take much for him to get his groove back. He starts at -3.

Rory McIlroy (9300) – Great price plus great form plus great history. Rory is likely to be very popular at this price so feel free to fade him due to ownership, but he’s a great value and I’ll find a way to play him. He starts at -2.

Xander Schauffele (8900) – Another guy likely to be popular and for good reason. He absolutely destroys East Lake and illustrated that last year shooting a true 15 under par (that’s NOT accounting for starting strokes). He starts at -2.

Viktor Hovland (8000) – I’m trying to stay patient with Hovland as he was a disappointment last week. With that said, he did gain over 5.5 strokes BS and it was the short game that really failed him. At this price I’m willing to see if he can turn it around and climb the Tour Championship leaderboard. He starts at -3.

Scottie Scheffler (6800) – He was curiously bad OTT last week but great on APP. He’s way behind from a starting strokes standpoint but certainly has the complete game to climb the leaderboard. He starts at -1.

Hideki Matsuyama (6400) – A monster with the ball striking and simply needs to catch a good putter. It’s a tall order for Hideki to climb the Tour Championship leaderboard, but at this price I’m willing to invest (unless his ownership is prohibitive). He starts at -1.

Joaquin Niemann (5600) – With Berger and EVR likely garnering a ton of ownership, I’ll use Niemann as my GPP pivot. Niemann was great BS last week and was bad with the short game. I’m willing to take a chance on him to avoid some chalk (I do like Berger’s price so I will find a way to play him here and there despite his anticipated mega-chalk status). Niemann starts at -1.

Secret Weapon (less than 7k/less than 5% owned) – Current record is 43-12. No SW with the short field and no cut.

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4 years ago 0 comments

PGA

The Northern Trust: Initial Picks

Sia 4 years ago

written by Sia

Welcome to the first round of the FedEx Cup Playoffs. The Northern Trust features the Top 124 in the standings (125 minus Louis) and it is therefore a field that is packed with talent. This course will require all features of the golf game to be firing which means to be successful you’ll need to be good with the short and long game. We will talk plenty about course dymanics and metrics on tonight’s PGA Livestream with Joel and Spencer and myself so tune in at 8:00 EST for that. And now let’s get to the picks for The Northern Trust.

Jon Rahm (11500) – Just like anyone else, Rahm can sometimes have a bad putting tournament but he is absolutely elite in every other department. Only thing that can stop this guy in 2021 is Covid. Tough to play him at this price, but if that keeps his ownership down, I’m all aboard.

Jordan Spieth (10800) – The only knock on Spieth is that his long iron game hasn’t been clicking on all cylinders, but outside off that he checks all the boxes. Last 36 rounds he’s Number 1 in this field in the following categories that I’ve put into my model: BOB Gained, SG Par 5 and Draftking points. He’s also inside the Top 15 in the following categories: APP, PUTT, ARG, T2G, P4 450-500 and Bogey Avoidance. He’s got the all around game you’re looking for.

Abraham Ancer (9400) – The only issue with Ancer in this tournament is that you’re obviously buying the stock at its height as he’s coming off a win at the WGC-FedEx St. Jude. With that said, he’s been in good form for a while and has all-around game that we are looking for with the Ball Striking and the short game.

Scottie Scheffler (9300) – This guy hasn’t lost strokes ball striking since the Reagan Administration. He’s also 2^nd in this field in BOB gained over the Last 36 rounds. Plenty of upside here at The Northern Trust.

Webb Simpson (8900) – Webb was a pick of ours last week because he had great course history and because it looked like he had finally turned a corner. He may not be the best course fit this week, but the corner appears to have been turned which makes this the right price.

Paul Casey (8700) – Seems like a very fair price for a golfer who is in great form and also has the all-around game to compete at this course. He’s great with the long irons and is actually a much better scorer than most people think as the last 36 rounds establish: 15^th in BOB gained, 2^nd in SG Par 5, 8^th in DK Points and 2^nd T2G. If he gets super popular then he may be relegated to cash only, but for now he can be used in both formats.

Jason Kokrak (7700) – Another golfer that has the upside to smash his soft price and who can pile up the DFS points in a hurry. His main issue is the SG ARG, but even with that he is still inside the Top 20 in my model (with the upside to finish much higher than that).

Shane Lowry (7500) – Lowry has some flaws OTT and with the PUTT but he really makes up for it on APP. If he can get things going OTT then I think he can be inside the Top 10 at the close of this tournament. A GPP play with some upside here.

Brendan Grace (7200) – Much like Lowry, he can be a little erratic OTT, but he makes up for it with great APP play and he can sometimes get red-hot with the putter. He has finished inside the Top 10 in 3 of his last 5 tournaments so the upside is there to finish high at The Northern Trust.

Charley Hoffman (7000) – He hasn’t played much golf at all lately and I think the time off will help him get back on track. Hoffman is a consummate ball striker, and quite frankly, does everything well. If he were coming in with some recent play and good form under his belt, he’d be priced 1000 dollars higher. I’m happy to take this leap.

Charl Schwartzl (6900) – The DFS community is sophisticated enough to not jump off of a guy due to an MC, but we’ll need to wait and see what happens with Charl after his very poor showing last week. He’s been in good form overall and I think he’s a value at this price in spite of burning plenty of lineups last week. A GPP consideration only.

Hank Lebioda (6300) – the metrics are starting to slip a bit for this DFS Darling, but he still rates out as 50^th in my model. He’s pretty weak OTT but he rates out above average on everything else I looked at.

Secret Weapon (less than 7k/less than 5% owned) – Current record is 42-12. See you in Discord.

If you haven’t already, subscribe to Win Daily Sports on YouTube and at the Apple Podcasts and check out all the content at windailysports.com. It’s also important to be in Discord Wednesday night for all Northern Trust lineup adjustments, late breaking news and weather reports.

4 years ago 0 comments

PGA

The Wyndham Championship: Initial Picks

Sia 4 years ago

written by Sia

The last week of the regular season wraps up in North Carolina at the Wyndham Championship. Some of the golfers will be chasing down the top FedEx Cup prize while others will be simply trying to get into the Top 125. This week we have a pretty straightforward course that will play short and relatively easy. I’ll be focused on hitting fairways, being great on APP and being a good putter. Distance OTT and ARG are not big factors this week. More on course dynamics and on all the players in the field on tonight’s PGA Livestream at 8:00 EST. Now let’s get to the Initial Picks for the Wyndham Championship.

Louis Ooshtuizen (10700) – King Louis has been playing very well and if not for a poor Day 4 at the WGC, he would have had his 4^th Top 5 in a row. Louis makes birdies, is a great putter and is great on APP. The two main drawbacks are he can be a little erratic OTT (but I don’t expect that to be a problem here) and he has no course history whatsoever. If you’re looking for pivots in this range I think Hideki and Zalatoris will be far less owned than Louis and Webb (below).

Webb Simpson (10600) – Webb has the best course history at the Wyndham Championship that I’ve ever seen (outside of Tiger Woods there is no golfer that dominates any course like Webb dominates this course). His game has been a little off but it appears that he found some confidence last week and appears highly motivated to charge into the FedEx Cup playoffs with a Wyndham Championship win under his belt.

Russell Henley (9400) – I’m not inlove with this 9k range but I do think Henley sets up well for this course. Other than an MC at the Open he has played well (Top 20s in the three tournaments prior to the Open). Henley can keep it in the fairway, is elite on APP and appears to be rebounding from a stretch of bad putting.

Seamus Power (8500) – Looking for a ball striker who has a recent outright win and is allergic to finishing outside of the Top 20? Perfect! He also happens to rank 2^nd in the field in Birdie or Better Gained percentage over the last 24 rounds (Kizzire ranks 1^st but not a part of this Initial Picks article).

Kevin Streelman (8300) – Not much by way of course history, but I like the course fit and specifically like his APP numbers. The formula this week is to keep in the fairway, be great on APP (especially from 150-175) and get hot with the putter. Streelman can do all those things. He does carry some volatility so only a GPP play for me this week.

Charl Schwartzl (8100) – His weakness is typically ARG and that shouldn’t hurt him here. His BS and finishing positions have been solid and he’s no stranger to a hot putter. I should note that he doesn’t rate out very well in the more important proximities (125-175) and therefore I may consider him for GPP only, especially if he’s low owned.

Mito Pereira (7900) – Very impressive start to this young man’s career. His ball striking has been excellent and he simply needs an average putter in order to outperform his soft pricetag. I should note the 7k range is rich with value and although Vegas and Kizzire did not make the Initial Picks cut, I do think they carry plenty of upside (my concern was staying in the fairway OTT).

Hank Lebioda (7600) – He had to WD at the 3M due to a family emergency but he was on his way to making yet another cut. The ball striking has been good, the putter has been hot and he is 5^th in BOB gained over last 24 rounds. The finishes have also been great for Lebioda (3 Top 10s in a row prior to the 3M WD) and if he once again finds a hot putter, well, see you on Sunday afternoon.

Chez Reavie (7400) – Reavie has been inconsistent this season but should find comfort at The Wyndham Championship as it appears to suit his game. With that said, his history here isn’t great so be careful. I’m leaning on his ball striking (significant BS gains over the last 6 measured rounds) and hoping for the best with the putter.

Ryan Armour (7000) – He checks quite a few boxes as he is a great Wyndham Championship course fit (keeps it in the fairway, good on APP and good with the putter), has good course history and is in good form. He is a great value play here and likely to be popular. If you’re interested in some pivots I think Brendon Todd and Doc Redman will be low owned with upside.

Henrik Norlander (6600) – The ball striking has been good since May, but we were still waiting for the putter to come around as it was struggling the entire year. Well, he’s gained with the putter in 5 of his last 6 tournaments and in his last 4 in a row. Pair that with what has become elite ball striking since the Palmetto and you have some upside with Norlander. I have at least four others to consider in this 6k range which I will be happy to share in Discord and on our PGA Livestream tonight.

Secret Weapon (less than 7k/less than 5% owned) – Current record is 41-12. See you in Discord.

If you haven’t already, subscribe to Win Daily Sports on YouTube and at the Apple Podcasts and check out all the content at windailysports.com. It’s also important to be in Discord Wednesday night for all lineup adjustments, late breaking news and weather reports.

4 years ago 0 comments

PGA

The WGC-FedEx St. Jude: Initial Picks

Sia 4 years ago

written by Sia

We are in the stretch run heading toward the FedEx Cup Playoffs and the PGA Tour is back on American soil for the WGC-FedEx St. Jude. This Par 70 7200 yard TPC Southwind course will test the complete game as golfers will need to be good in all areas. My focus will be on keeping it in the fairway and being good with the longer proximities (150-200 will be an emphasis), but I’m also looking for golfers that have the short game (ARG/PUTT) on these small Bermuda greens. This is another no-cut event. More on course dynamics, favored builds and players on Tuesday’s WinDaily Sports PGA Livestream which you can watch here at 8:00 EST. Let’s get to the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Initial Picks.

Collin Morikawa (11000) – Collin lost strokes on APP last week in a fairly significant way and still managed a 4^th place finish. I don’t expect the APP to continue to fail him, which means this brilliant ball-striker will be contending again on Sunday afternoon.

Brooks Koepka (10600) – In three of his last four measured tournaments he’s gained over eight strokes ball striking (BS). That’s pretty incredible. His track record here is also incredible (2^nd, 1^st, 5^th over his last three efforts).

Louis Oosthuizen (9600) – I’m looking for ball strikers at the WGC-FedEx St. Jude who are in good recent form and who have good course history. Check. Check. Check.

Scottie Scheffler (9100) – The 9k range is rich with talent and I have no issue with Hovland, Cantlay or Berger but I’m going to take a shot with Scottie. He shows up in a big way in talent-laden fields, ball striking has been excellent and the putter can get hot.

Webb Simpson (8500) – There’s no reason to trust Webb right now, but that’s why he may be a great pivot and play in a GPP. He’s coming off a Top 20 at The Open which is pretty great considering where his game was immediately prior to that. He also has some good history here with a 12^th and 2^nd over his last two efforts at the WGC-FedEx St. Jude.

Abraham Ancer (8300) – Ancer grades out very well in my model and really does check all the boxes in terms of hitting fairways, being superb with his long irons, being good on Par 4’s between 450-500, bogey avoidance and GIR. His upside may be capped, but he’s likely paying off his price either way.

Corey Conners (8100) – Another elite ball striker who just needs to find short game, which is more likely here because of the Bermuda greens. Be careful as his ARG game could get him into trouble. As for cash game potential I like Ancer (above) and English (below) a bit better than Conners.

Harris English (7600) – Over his last five measured starts he’s gained in BS. Over his last six measured starts he’s gained ARG. Finally, he’s gained PUTT in 5 of the last 6 measured rounds. He is putting the entire game together and he’s tremendous value at this price.

Tyrrell Hatton (7400) – Two missed cuts in a row should keep ownership down but he has great upside, not just in theory, but also in practice. At the Palmetto in June he gained 11.75 strokes BS on his way to a 2^nd place finish (thanks to losing 3 strokes with the putter). Bermuda is a preferred green for Hatton. Not a cash play but should be great savings and upside for GPPs.

Stewart Cink (6500) – He’s hit a rough patch with the putter which is part of the reason he’s missed two cuts in a row. But he’s only one month removed from gaining 9.42 strokes at The Travelers. You’re hoping he can turn the putter around and putt like he did earlier this year while also capturing some consistency with the ball striking.

Ryan Palmer (6500) – Palmer is the type of player that you simply wouldn’t take in a normal cut event because the game has fallen off a cliff over the last few months. With that said, because the WGC-FedEx St. Jude has no cut, I’m more willing to push a few Palmer chips into the middle. He may not be good for 4 rounds, but he has the ability to pop for 2-3.

Jim Herman (6000) – He hits fairways and has a solid long iron game and that’s led to four Top 30’s in a row. He’s also gained in BS and in putting five tournaments in a row. Herman is an absolute no-name, but if you put these numbers next to a guy with a pedigree, he’d be priced a thousand dollars higher.

Secret Weapon (less than 7k/less than 5% owned) – Current record is 41-12. See you in Discord.

If you haven’t already, subscribe to Win Daily Sports on YouTube and at the Apple Podcasts and check out all the content at windailysports.com. It’s also important to be in Discord Wednesday night for all WGC-FedEx St. Jude lineup changes and weather reports.

4 years ago 0 comments

PGA

The 3M Open: Initial Picks

Sia 4 years ago

written by Sia

The PGA Tour is in Minnesota this week for the 3M Open. This is a relatively watered down field which should provide some opportunity for 2nd and 3rd tier golfers to go out and rack up the DFS points. I’ll be looking for ball strikers (OTT and APP) with an emphasis on APP. I’m also going to put a slight bump on PUTT as these greens are big and may be fast as the tournament progresses. More on the 3M tournament course and the players during tonight’s Win Daily PGA Livestream. We will also be discussing Joel’s $100,000.00 hit and his near outright for one million dollars! Now, onto the Initial Picks for the 3M Open.

Tony Finau (10700) – I have no issue if you want to skip this range altogether, but I do like the upside of Finau. He placed a very respectable 15^th at The Open Championship after missing two cuts in a row. Prior to the two missed cuts he was striking the ball very well. The putter may be an issue but he can get hot in that department. A GPP play only.

Emiliano Grillo (9300) – I’m looking for ball strikers at The 3M and Grillo certainly fits that description. His ARG game is terrible but that shouldn’t hurt him here. His PUTT can get him into trouble, but he’s just about average in this field and that’s fine with me. Tied for 3^rd here last year, and oh by the way, he was 12^th at the Open last week.

Bubba Watson (9100) – I’m not a Bubba guy in general, but his ball striking has been great after a recent slump with the APP game. Bubba finished 6^th at the Rocket Mortgage and 19^th at The Travelers and is in a weak field where he has to think he can win a tournament. A GPP play only.

Stewart Cink (8700) – A great ball striker who has been great on APP as of late. He’s coming off an MC at The Open which doesn’t bother me too much. Prior to that he was your consummate cut maker and he made the cut at the 3M Open last year as well (finished an underwhelming 46^th). I think the good year continues for Cink.

Maverick McNealy (8400) – This will be a birdie-fest and Mav is a birdie-maker. He’s got 4 Top 30s in a row due to good ball striking and a good putter. A very fair price here.

Charl Schwartl (8200) – The PUTT worries me as he’s just outside the Top 100 in this field last 24 rounds. But his BS is Top 10 and his BOB% (‘Birdie or Better) is 35^th. Charl isn’t usually on my radar, but these metrics are very solid. He finished T3 last year at the 3M last year.

Luke List (8100) – Another bad PUTT on my 3M list (extremely lazy pun right there), but another guy who is really striking the ball and closing well. He’s got two Top 5’s over his last two tournaments and finished 32^nd here last year. I prefer List as a GPP play.

Doug Ghim (7900) – He gained almost 9 strokes T2G at the JDC which is insane. Problem has always been the PUTT for Ghim, but the good news is he hasn’t been quite as bad in that department over the last three tournaments and he’s a better putter on Bentgrass.

Hank Lebioda (7900) – Well, hello old friend. Lebioda’s ball striking has been excellent for almost six weeks and he’s also killing it with the putter. This has resulted in made cuts and Top 10 finishes. Is this the new kid on the block or a flash in the pan? I’m not sure to be honest, but there’s not chance I’m jumping ship in this field and at this price.

Mito Pereira (7600) – Haven’t rostered this KFT monster yet, but I think now is the time to dive in. It appears that it has taken him a couple of tournaments to adjust to the PGA Tour, but last week’s 5^th place finish has him on the upward trajectory that I’m looking for.

Jhonattan Vegas (7500) – Great OTT and great on APP with an erratic putter than can get hot (albeit not very often). In every GPP you need to be chasing upside and I think Vegas fits the description.

Chez Reavie (7400) – You don’t need to be a bomber on this 3M Open track (but it certainly helps), but Reavie is really striking the ball well and he should be a very good course fit. He’s made 5 out of 6 cuts.

Secret Weapon (less than 7k/less than 5% owned) – Current record is 40-12. See you in Discord.

If you haven’t already, subscribe to Win Daily Sports on YouTube and at the Apple Podcasts and check out all the content at windailysports.com. It’s also important to be in Discord Wednesday night for all The Open Championship late tips, lineup changes and weather reports.

4 years ago 0 comments

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Older Posts

PGA GPP

Course – TPC Summerlin

High-Priced DraftKings Players ($10,000+)

Favorite Cash Play– Webb Simpson ($10,200)

$9,000 Range

Additional Thoughts: I am okay with the idea of using any of the options in this section now that Kevin Na has withdrawn. Hideki Matsuyama ($9,500) and Sungjae Im ($9,200) are both very playable.

$8,000 Range

Other Thoughts: Cameron Tringale ($8,500) and Paul Casey ($8,900) will be sprinkled into builds, but I am going so heavy in the $9,000 range that I don’t have a ton of room for multiple selections here. Reed and Niemann are two of the better upside choices.

$7,000 Range

$6,000 Range

Course – Country Club of Jackson

High-Priced DraftKings Players ($10,000+)

Potential MME Pivot – Sergio Garcia ($10,500)

$9,000 Range

$8,000 Range

Cash Play: Seamus Power ($8,800)

$7,000 Range

Additional Thoughts: Chad Ramey ($7,000) burned everyone in his last start at the Fortinet Championship, but the fact that he is priced as essentially an $8,000 golfer when we look at the top-20 market is pretty telling.

$6,000 Range

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