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Paul Goldschmidt

8/26 MLB DFS Winners: Founder and CEO Jason Mezrahi Wins FanDuel Monster

Sean Escobar 5 years ago

written by Sean Escobar

A flash back at some of the best performances from the 8/26 MLB DFS slate plus their outlooks for the remainder of the season.

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8/26 MLB DFS Winner: Win Daily CEO and Founder Jason Mezrahi

Our leader had a very prolific weekend, finishing second in the FanDuel MLB Monster on Saturday, winning 10K. He then came back to take the same tournament down on Sunday, finishing first and earning 20K!

Our founder @jasonmezrahi wrote a book called “Win Daily” . He spoke about hot streaks/cold streaks and sticking in the game with the right mindset and to always trust your process. Yesterday he finished 2nd in the Monster with 1 bullet, today his sent 1 back in and took it down! The lineup was Nova, Goldschmidt, Altuve, Carpenter, Bregman, Edman, Bader, Reddick, Reyes.
pic.twitter.com/CQZhnxHUKw— Win Daily (@windailydfs) August 26, 2019

Outlook: Jason adds to his incredible DFS history by winning big on back-to-back nights for the first time in his highlight-filled Fantasy career. He is also our second big staff winner this month, as David Jones won 100K on FanDuel. Get regular access to Jason and our DFS Pros in the Slack Chat Room and on our cheat sheets as a Premium Gold subscriber!

8/26 MLB DFS Winner: Paul Goldschmidt

Our founder and CEO Jason Mezrahi was all over Goldschmidt in this matchup on the Premium Gold Cheat Sheet as a value pick. He went 2-for-4 with a double, a run and a pair of RBI.

Outlook for the rest of the season: His numbers are down in his first year as a Cardinal. Goldschmidt isn’t putting the ball in the air as much as he had in recent years. Even with that stat, he is still at 29 HRs this season. Expect him to continue hitting and for a team that is surging right now.

8/26 MLB DFS Winner: Josh Donaldson

Another great pick by Mezrahi here as Donaldson was a beast in New York against the Mets. He went 2-for-4 with a pair of solo home runs and was the entire Atlanta offense.

Outlook for the rest of the season: The probable Comeback Player of the Year is swinging the stick at a ridiculous rate. He is now at 32 long balls on the year. He’s a key factor to this young Braves team with a veteran leadership and stroke at the dish. He could be the reason they hold off the Nationals in the NL East.

8/26 MLB DFS Winner: Reynaldo Lopez

The Data Driven Pitcher Projection Model expected a solid performance from Reynaldo Lopez and he delivered. Lopez went five no-hit innings with two walks and six strikeouts while picing up his eighth victory of the season. He didn’t give the length that opens a lot of eyes but it was a great outing.

Outlook for the rest of the season: The second-half Lopez has been a lot better on the mound than the beginning of the season. He has a 2.82 ERA in 54.1 innings since the break. Expect him to be a solid pitcher and be a big piece in the rotation for the White Sox in 2020 and beyond.

8/26 MLB DFS Winner: The Houston Astros

Both guys had the Astros as a team to stack and that was a money pick. This pick didn’t make its mark until the late innings as they scored nine of their 11 runs in the last two innings of the game. Eleven runs, 10 hits and six walks as a team at the plate is something that will get the job done in DFS.

Outlook for the rest of the season: This offense is one of the best in baseball. They are facing a weaker division and rank top-five in every offensive category, including leading the majors in OBP. This offense can keep hitting and helping their potent pitching staff to compete for the best record in the major leagues.

5 years ago 0 comments

8/26 DFS Hitting Picks and Prop Plays: Brewin’ Birds

Cora Baylis 5 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

It’s Monday, which means it’s a travel day for numerous MLB teams. That’s why we have only eight games in total and seven in the night slate. We’re going to go ahead and eliminate the one day game between Colorado and Atlanta because there really won’t be much action on that game for DFS purposes. What’s interesting here is that we have five of the eight games being played in pitcher’s parks, so we’re going to try to avoid those if possible. So, let’s get into our 8/26 DFS Hitting picks for the night slate.

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8/26 DFS Hitting Catcher

Yasmani Grandal, MIL vs. STL

DK ($4,600) FD ($3,100)

In such a limited slate, I was pleased that we were able to find such a good catcher at such a reasonable price. The simple fact is, Grandal is in the midst of a career year and he’s recording some of the best numbers among anyone at the catcher position. In fact, Grandal is generating a .381 OBP and .848 OPS this season, which are both Top-5 among catchers. Getting to hit from the left side is the main reason we like Grandal, with the Milwaukee battery mate posting a .483 SLG and .826 OPS against right-handers since 2017. That’s huge against Adam Wainwright and we’ll go over his struggles in our third base write-up.

8/26 DFS Hitting First Basemen

Paul Goldschmidt, STL at MIL

DK ($4,500) FD ($3,700)

Goldy has had a disappointing season by his standards but we really like him here against a lefty in a hitter-friendly stadium like Miller Park. Let’s begin with that matchup, as he faces Gio Gonzalez, who’s pitching to a 4.17 FIP and 1.40 WHIP dating back to last season. More importantly, right-handed hitters have a .345 OBP and 1.50 WHIP against him in that same span. That’s huge for a guy like Goldy, who’s got a .426 OBP, .589 SLG and 1.014 OPS against southpaws for his career.

8/26 DFS Hitting Second Basemen

Gleyber Torres, NYY at SEA

DK ($5,100) FD ($4,200)

Any time the Yankees get a matchup against a lefty, they’re always in play for a full-on stack. Sending out a bunch of potent righties is the main reason why and Torres would be the main part of that stack. What we really like is his recent form, with Torres collecting 12 homers over his last 20 games. That’s led to him providing 32 dingers and a .552 SLG for the year, which is simply incredible statistics. He’s killed lefties in his career too, tallying a .538 SLG and .880 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor. Tommy Milone is certainly not a southpaw we need to fear either and we’ll go over that in the outfield write-up.

8/26 DFS Hitting Third Basemen

Mike Moustakas, MIL vs. STL

DK ($5,000) FD ($3,700)

We foreshadowed Wainwright’s numbers in the Grandal recommendation, so let’s discuss why we like these Brewers. So far this season. Wainwright is allowing left-handed bats to accrue a .393 OBP, .377 wOBA, 1.86 WHIP and 5.86 FIP against him. Those are ghastly numbers and it really makes him someone we want to stack against in a place like Miller Park. Moustakas should play a major part in that damage, as he too is setting career-highs in AVG, OBP, SLG and OPS. The Moose is really letting it loose right now too, generating a .500 OBP and 1.000 SLG over his last six games en route to a 1.500 OPS.

8/26 DFS Hitting Shortstop

Paul DeJong, STL at MIL

DK ($4,400) FD ($3,400)

Those aforementioned numbers from Gio Gonzalez put many of the Cardinals bats in play, with Goldy, Marcell Ozuna and DeJong being the cream of the crop. The slugging shortstop usually finds himself batting third for the RedBirds and it’s no surprise when you see his career .473 SLG and .794 OPS. That’s huge from a guy who has four dingers in his last 11 games and 10 homers across his last 34 fixtures. DeJong getting the platoon advantage is simply the icing on the cake, with the shortstop producing a .357 OBP against lefties so far this season.

8/26 DFS Hitting Outfielders

Aaron Judge, NYY at SEA

DK ($4,600) FD ($4,100)

Let’s get into Tommy Milone, as he makes the Yankees one of the best stacks of the day. The Seattle southpaw is currently pitching to a 4.84 ERA, which looks even worse when you see his 7.02 ERA and 1.44 WHIP over his last seven starts. That definitely puts Judge in play, with the big man posting a .483 OBP and 1.120 OPS against lefties this season. Those brilliant numbers are coming in a down year, as Judge’s 96.5 MPH exit velocity and 58.4 percent hard-hit rate happen to be the best marks in MLB, which indicates even more positive regression is headed his way.

A.J. Pollock, LAD at SD

DK ($4,400) FD ($3,400)

Pollock has been dealing with injuries throughout his career but he’s always in play when he’s healthy. The reason we like him today is because he gets to face a lefty, with the Dodgers typically batting him leadoff in these circumstances. That’s really no surprise when you see that he has a .369 AVG, .425 OBP, .523 SLG and .948 OPS against lefties so far this season. That’s all you can ask for from a player who has a .383 OBP, .590 SLG and .973 OPS over his last 30 fixtures. Not to mention, he faces Eric Lauer and his 4.47 ERA and 1.40 WHIP.

Corey Dickerson, PHI vs. PIT

DK ($4,700) FD ($3,500)

Dickerson is always a favorite of mine against righties. The simple fact is, this dude is one of the best hitters in the game against right-handed pitching. That’s evident by his .364 wOBA, .534 SLG, .868 OPS and .243 ISO against righties for his career. Those numbers are even better this year, with Dickerson generating a .981 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor. Dickerson happens to be raking right now too, hitting .340 over his last 27 games en route to a .649 SLG and 1.013 OPS. That’s the opposite of what Joe Musgrove is doing, with the Pirates righty pitching to a 7.03 ERA and 1.41 WHIP over his last eight starts. That’s even scarier in a hitter’s haven like Citizen’s Bank Ballpark.

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day

Adam Wainwright Under 5.5 Strikeouts

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Seeing as how we love the Brewers, this prop seems like a great pick. I don’t anticipate Wainwright getting past the fifth inning and that’s truly scary against this lefty-heavy lineup. Wainwright’s 20 percent K rate against lefties and his aforementioned struggles against southpaw bats only add to the value of this prop.

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

MLB DFS Stacks and Hitting Picks Of Destiny: August 1st

Emely Sharman 5 years ago

written by Emely Sharman

This Thursday August 1st slate is all about landing the right bats. Follow my studs and value plays and lock in the MLB DFS Picks of Destiny.

MLB DFS STACKS: Dodgers, Astros And Braves Lead Thursday Offensive

L.A. Dodgers: They are coming out of Coors Field, and while I traditionally don’t like to play teams right after that I will make an exception for these elite bats. The Dodgers take on Joey Lucchesi (L) at home tonight. Luch has a great 2.71 ERA at home but is SIGNIFICANTLY worse on the road (6.48 ERA). The Dodgers will no doubt roll out an outstanding lefty hitting lineup to keep Luch away from a QS and then get into that worrisome Padres bullpen. The Dodgers are my safest stack, with highest upside tonight.

Justin Turner, Max Muncy, Cody Bellinger, A.J. Pollock, Kristopher Negron (My favorite players analysis and pricing listed below)

Houston Astros: The Astros go up against Danny Salazar and the Indians. Salazar has not made a major league start since 2017. He has looked good in AAA (2.60 ERA 28:5 K:BB) but he wasn’t facing hitters like the Astros 1-8. The Astros lineup is just too scary to fade. At least two of them are getting homers tonight maybe more, you just have to roster the right ones.

George Springer, Michael Brantley, Carlos Correa, Alex Bregman, Yuli Gurriel, Yordan Alvarez, Robinson Chirinos (My favorite players analysis and pricing listed below)

Atlanta Braves: The Braves are another elite lineup facing a mediocre pitcher in Anthony DeSclafani. He is worse on the road with a 4.64 ERA and the ballpark he is traveling to is not exactly a “pitcher’s park”. It’s hot at Suntrust and the ball is flying. You also have a lineup in the Braves with a ton of pop and motivation to win games and hold a top spot in the playoffs. I’m thinking we get a June throwback DeSclafani game where he gives up multiple runs and doesn’t go six innings. Braves stack could be a GPP winner.

Freddie Freeman, Josh Donaldson, Ozzie Albies, Ronald Acuna Jr, Adam Duvall, McCann/Flowers (My favorite players analysis and pricing listed below)

Note: The Boston Red Sox are in a great spot tonight too. I am being forced to fade them because of their high price tags and me paying up for Kershaw against the Padres. If you can find another pitcher you like that will allow Red Sox bats, go for it.

GUT STACK: Tampa Bay Rays vs Andrew Cashner: Sometimes Cashner is good and sometimes Cashner is Trashner. I am hoping for the second one tonight. This is a GPP play because Cashner has proven this year he has made significant changes to not get completely obliterated every start like he was doing in Baltimore for so long. I like a couple Rays bats listed below (d’Arnaud and Meadows) so I might as well throw in a couple other hot players like Ji-Man Choi and Kevin Kiermaier

MLB DFS Bats:

Position Rankings and Values

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Catcher: Travis D’Arnaud ($3,400 FD; $4,900 DK) is batting third vs Andrew Cashner. While Cashner has made improvement this year he still carries a 4.18 ERA. Someone should get to Cashner and my bet is D’Arnaud (or Meadows; see below). D’Arnaud batted .338/.732 SLG in July and is producing every night. I feel comfortable with him continuing his dominant month in Fenway tonight.

Catcher Mid/Value: Robinson Chirinos ($3,100 FD; $3,900 DK) is batting seventh with six very capable bats in front of him to help wear down Danny Salazar. Chirinos is cheap (for Houston) and has 11 homers on the season vs right handed pitching. He is also hitting .212 ISO/.344 wOBA in the same time frame. I like him, at the price, in a Houston stack to get us double digit fantasy points.

Honorable Mention: Flowers/McCann

First Base Stud: Paul Goldschmidt ($4,300 FD; $4,400 DK) is still on fire. HE HAS SEVEN HOME RUNS IN HIS LAST EIGHT GAMES. The last seven games he has hit an astounding .400/1.000 SLG/1.423 OPS. He will be able to compete with the lefty Jon Lester just fine. In their history Goldy has hit Lester seven times with 15 ABs and a homer. Don’t overthink it.

First Base Value: Yuli Gurriel ($3,300 FD; $4,500 DK) is another cheaper option on the Houston Astros. He is tied with Alex Bregman for 17 homers off righties on the season. He averages a .224 ISO/ .260 wOBA. Gurriel feels very safe with big upside.

Honorable Mention: Freddie Freeman

Second Base: Max Muncy ($3,800 FD; $4,400 DK) has been relatively quiet lately (which has brought his price down a touch) but all it takes in one big swing with him. As mentioned in STACKS, I like targeting Luch tonight. I also like Muncy vs a lefty. He is hitting them at .232 ISO/.375wOBA this year with seven home runs in 119 ABs. I like Muncy to round out my Dodger stacks.

Second Base Value: Cavan Biggio ($3,300 FD; $4,200 DK) is making his Dad, and fantasy owners, proud this past week. In his last five games he is averaging 20.38 FanDuel points. He is batting .243 ISO/.349 wOBA on the season vs right handed pitching. The opposing pitcher, Asher Wojciechowski, has made a very respectable entrance in MLB recently with a 3.60 ERA and .93 WHIP but we are looking for value here. When cheaper players tend to get rolling, like Biggio is right now, I tend to gravitate to them. Woj, started hot for sure, and may even be popular tonight, but he is still unproven in my book. I’ll take a cheap shot on Biggio if I can’t pay up.

Honorable Mention: Ozzie Albies, Jose Altuve

Shortstop Stud: Carlos Correa ($3,700 FD; $4,300 DK) has come to life recently with two home runs in his past four games. He missed a good chunk of the season but appears to finally be healthy again. I hope people forgot just how good this guy is. The Astros are going to be a force in the playoffs.. Anyway, Correa is batting .231 ISO/.324 on the season. He faces Danny Salazar in his return from AAA. I don’t think Salazar is total trash, but I also don’t think he can handle this lineup. Not many people can. Correa is a solid play at $3,700.

Shortstop Mid/Value: Bo Bichette. ($2,700 FD; $3,900 DK) Like his teammate Cavan Biggio he is hitting value in his short MLB tenure. In his first three games as a big leaguer he has six hits, two runs, one HR and one RBI. Not bad kid. He is batting leadoff today against Woj, who I mentioned I do not have 100% confidence in just yet. You also get the small bump of the rostering the leadoff man on the away team. If Bichette will just keep doing what he has been doing, he will keep out heads above water at low ownership.

Third Base Stud/mid: Justin Turner ($3,300; $4,200 DK) is another Dodger bat that hits lefties well (.253 ISO/.357 wOBA/7 homers). He got the day off last game and should be recharged here at home tonight. I want him in my stack against the lefty Luch. I like him slighter better than the $100 more option below so I listed him first.

Third Base Stud/Mid: Renato Nunez($3,400 FD; $4,800 DK) I just like how he is swinging the bat right now and no one ever plays him. In July he hit .304/.576 SLG and has been one of the Orioles key contributors. I don’t mind the bats surrounding him tonight (Mancini, Santander and Villar) either. Contrary to popular belief the Orioles can actually get it together sometimes and I am not scared of targeting Trent Thorton (5.45 ERA) in his first start back from the 10 day DL with an inflamed elbow.

Third Base Honorable Mention: Eugenio Suarez, Josh Donaldson. Third is a loaded position tonight.

Outfield Stud: Michael Brantley ($4,000FD; $4,700 DK) is another Astro I like. He has 14 homers on the season with a .227 ISO/.403 wOBA. He is also a hometown Cleveland kid, and I like those narratives, especially if it is an ELITE bat. Load him up.

Honorable mention: Austin Meadows, Ronald Acuna Jr, Springer

Outfield MidRange: Adam Duvall ($3,100FD; $4,000 DK) Well, well well. Adam Duval; is playing like the true stud we knew him to be in previous seasons. The Braves finally needed him (because of injuries) and called him up recently. Since then he has hit four homer runs in five games. He belongs on a starting roster (somewhere) and he is making his case right now. I like the Braves stack tonight as well. There should be plenty of runners on for Duvall to help “cleanup”. He is batting .520/1.059 .SLG the last seven days. He is a better play on FanDuel because of the price.

Outfield Value: Kristoper Negron ($2,000 FD; $2,900 DK) is a cheap Dodger bat you can grab to help fit you stacks. He is hitting .300 ISO/.358 vs lefties the year. He has two home runs his last two games and is the nut minimum on Fanduel at 2k. Yes Please!

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5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

The MLB DFS Hitting Picks Of Destiny For July 21

5 years ago

written by

This Sunday July 21st slate is all about landing the right bats. Follow my stud and value plays and lock in the MLB DFS Picks of Destiny.

MLB DFS Stacks: Red Sox Roll; and the Indian’s find a Spark.

Sunday Stacks

Boston Red Sox vs Asher Wojciechowski (R)

The Red Sox are an obvious play here. They have the highest implied team total on the slate (7.5) and just exploded last night for 17 runs. While I don’t expect them to duplicate last nights performance, I will be happy with half. They are rolling, and there is no reason to jump off the train now. The usual suspects are in play.

Devers .262 ISO, .426 WOBA (4,500 FD, 5,500 DK); Xander .246 ISO, .414 WOBA (4,200 FD, 5,600 DK); Betts .231 ISO, .406 WOBA (4,400 FD, 5,400 DK); Vazquez .205 ISO, 348 WOBA (2,700 FD, 4,500 DK); JD .176 ISO, .343 WOBA (3,800 FD, 4,500 DK). Deeper analysis for all my favorite players can be found in my position rankings below.

Cleveland Indians vs Glenn Sparkman (R)

The last outing Glenn Sparkman pitched a gem, which should lower the Indians ownership. The three games combined before that he got bombarded for a combined 17 earned runs by WAS, TOR and CLE. The Indians got shut out at home last night and for a team with World Series aspirations I think they put up plenty of runs to ensure the W in a nice bounce back spot.

Lindor .243 ISO, .380 WOBA ($4,000 FD, $5,100 DK); Santana .286 ISO, .410 WOBA ($4,300 FD, $4,800 DK); Perez .225 ISO, .325 WOBA ($2,600 FD; $4,100 DK); Naquin .199 ISO, .356 WOBA ($3,300 FD, $4,400 DK); Mercado .164 ISO, .256 WOBA ($3,600 FD, $5,300 DK)

St. Louis Cardinals vs Anthony DeSciafani (R)

I am purposefully trying to find lower owned stacks and this fits the bill. Paul DeJong is thriving lately, Paul Goldschmidt is priced way to low on FD, Tyler O’Neil carries a whopping .405 WOBA hitting clean-up and Tommy Edman is batting lead scoring double digits in four games in a row. They also are in a positive hitting environment vs an arm they are very familiar with in DeSclafani. I like it.

Paul DeJong ($3,600 FD, $4,200 DK); Paul Goldschmidt ($3,300 FD, $4,100 DK); Tyler O’Neil ($2,800 FD, $4,400 DK); Tommy Edman ($2,900 FD, $4,300 DK) See below for further analysis on each player.

Position Rankings and Values

Catcher: Mitch Garver ($3,500 FD, $5,400 DK) This is being written before the lineup drops buts let’s cross our fingers and hope we wake tomorrow with Garver leading off again. He boasts a .300 IS0 and .381 WOBA vs righties. He is also hot with three homers in his last four games. If the Twins have faith in him to lead off and start breaking down Daniel Mengden, I do too. It worked last night right?

Catcher Value: Ryan Lavarnaway ($2,000 FD, $3,800 DK) Here is a tip.. go look at his last (and only) MLB box score and you tell me if you think he is worth playing at min price on FanDuel. Spoiler alert: He had two homeruns, one double, six RBI’s and one walk. Obviously he is not going to put up 63.6 FD points again in only his second game, but he is going to get you something for that price. This is pretty close to a lock for me.

First Base: Carlos Santana ($4,300 FD, $4,800 DK). Carlos boast a team leading 17 home runs this season vs righties while also having the highest team ISO (.286) and WOBA (.410) of all the Indians. If you have room to pay up here, he is a guy with huge upside and lower ownership. Don’t stack Indian’s without him.

First Base Value: Paul Goldschmidt ($3,300 FD, $4,100 DK) The price for Goldy has officially gotten too low. He has been showing flashes of his previous 2018 form recently and who better to hand him a breakout game than his old friend Anthony DeSciafani. Goldy is getting on base over 50% of his ABs vs DeSciafani and at his current price tag I love the upside. DeSciafani has struggled with the long ball in his last two starts giving up a combined four home runs. I would like to see Goldy add to that total. I also like the fact the he is hitting in front of another value option I like in the outfield, Tyler O’Neill.

Second Base: Niko Goodrum ($3,000 FD, $4,100 DK). He gets Jacob Waguespack and his 5.93 ERA at home. I like what I am seeing out of Goodrum lately. He appears to be focused and is clearly the lead bat to fear on Detroit. IF the Tigers are putting up runs, you can be sure he is a part of it.

Second Base Value: Brock Holt ($2,300 FD, $4,100 DK). He gets on base, which is all you need at near min price (on Fanduel) when the rest of the Red Sox lineup should be churning in runs. Double digit Fanduel points is very doable.

Short Stop Stud: Francisco Lindor ($4,000, $5,100 DK). He is batting lead off on one of my favorite stacks of the day. Hitting .248 ISO, .380 WOBA vs righties. The Indians go as Lindor goes, and today that goes well. Don’t let Glenn Sparkman’s last start fool you, the Indians put it on him starting with the first at bat.

Short Stop Value: Paul DeJong ($3,800 FD, $4,200 DK). This is about as cheap as it gets for me today at SS. DeJong has two homers is last three games and is hitting .341 vs righties this season with the third most homers on his team. When he gets focused, I play him.

Third Base: Rafael Devers ($4,500 FD, $5,500 DK): Devers tends to get hot and stay hot. He has a .262 ISO and .426 WOBA with 15 HR’s vs lefties this season. He is literally the Red Sox best bat right now which no one would have predicted. Today he gets another pitcher he can take advantage of in the unproven Asher Wojciechowski. While Woj isn’t terrible (his K stuff is there) he still has a 5.74 ERA and has given up at least one homer in every one of his few starts this season. Boston has the highest team total on the main slate and he is in the right place in he lineup to clear the bases and hopefully put on in the stands.

Third Base Value: Tommy Edman ($2,900 FD, $4,300 DK) Tommy Edman is batting lead off and has scored double digits in his last four games. He carries a .220 ISO and .311 WOBA on the season and those number could very well increase with his new place in the batting order. I like him to keep up the production this afternoon.

Outfield Stud: Mookie Betts ($4,400 FD, DK) Batting leadoff and highest team total on the board. Betts is capable of breaking any slate while also having a very safe floor, especially today vs. Asher Wojciechowski. Nothing to not like here.

Outfield MidRange: Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ($3,900 FD, $4,800 $5,400 DK): 10 Homers, .405 ISO and .450 WOBA vs lefties this season. He faces Tyler Anderson, who has a 5.72 ERA in AAA, in a spot start for the Detroit Tigers. Anderson gave up two homers in his last MLB start to the White Sox. I like Gurriel Jr. getting to him here.

Outfield Value: Tyler O’Neil ($2,800 FD, $4,400, $5,400 DK) He is hitting .260 IS0 with a .405 WOBA. Last night his 8 game hit streak got broken but I like him to rebound here today. He has not had two games in a row without a hit since late May. I like the matchup vs DeSciafani (mentioned under Paul Goldschmidt above) and am looking for a couple RBI’s with a chance of a dong.

I primary used FanDuel when building optimal MLB DFS lineups.

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5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

DFS Stacks for Main Slate: Winning Edge for July 12

Daniel Wehr 5 years ago

written by Daniel Wehr

Welcome back everyone! I know we have a few “new” guys on the Win Daily staff, as well as a few subscribers. I just wanted to welcome all of you. This report will provide recommended DFS stacks for today’s 13-game main slate.

**Please check back this afternoon between 5-6pm EST. Possible updates to lines once starting lineups are released.

New York Yankees

vs. RHP Aaron Sanchez (TOR): 7.10 Runs

The Yankees lost two games in a row going into the All-Star break and had only lost two in their previous 18. They are clearly the best team in baseball right now, boasting a 6.5 game lead on the Rays and 9.0 on the Red Sox. We all know how tricky the AL East can be after the break. These teams can close the gap rather quickly given their talents. Look for the Yankees to keep their foot on the gas and truck their way into the post season. Aaron Sanchez carries a 6.16 ERA, 5.56 FIP, and 5.57 SIERA into tonight’s game. His splits are identical, holding .a 361 wOBA, .391 OBP, and .451 OBP on the year. Coming out of the break, The Yankees are slashing to a .364 wOBA, .247 ISO, and 126 WRC+. They are hitting well above their season averages.

Los Angeles Angels

vs. RHP Mike Leake (SEA): 5.60 Runs

Mike Leake hasn’t been awful this season, carrying a 4.32 ERA, 4.89 FIP, and 4.55 SIERA into tonight’s game. These +4.00 ERA stat lines seem more of the norm this season with the elevated scoring. Leake has identical splits, holding a .330 wOBA, .303 OBP, and .493 SLG through 114. innings pitched. He has the displeasure of facing an Angels team who hold the lowest strikeout rate in MLB. They average 6.87 strikeouts per game on the year. The Angels are slashing .to a 321 wOBA, .191 ISO, and .458 SLG to right handed pitching over a two week span coming out of the break.

Preferred DFS Stacks Build: Mike Trout ($4700 FD|$5300 DK), Shohei Ohtani ($3900 FD|$4800 DK), and Justin Upton ($3500 FD|$3800 DK).

Milwaukee Brewers

vs. RHP Shaun Anderson (SFG): 5.60 Runs

Shaun Anderson heads into tonight’s matchup holding a 4.23 ERA, 4.38 FIP, and 5.28 SIERA through 55 innings pitched. He has identical splits with a .320 wOBA, .331 OBP, and .417 SLG. I’m really hoping for a healthy Christian Yelich here tonight as he has been experiencing some lower back discomfort on and off this season. The Brewers come out of the break slashing to a .297 wOBA, .223 ISO, and .423 SLG to right handed pitching. The Brewers are only a half game back on the Cubs, who actively seem to be trying to hand the Brewers the division, but they have been having issues of their own. An unhealthy Yelich certainly does not give this lineup a ton of appeal. Look for the Brewers to get it together coming off the break.

Preferred DFS Stacks Build: Christian Yelich ($4800 FD|$5200 DK), Eric Thames ($3200 FD|$4800 DK), Yasmani Grandal ($3500 FD|$4900 DK), and Mike Moustakas ($3900 FD|$4700 DK) if you prefer a full stack on FD.

Honorable DFS Stacks Mentions

San Diego Padres vs. LHP Dallas Keuchel (ATL): 4.30 Runs

Preferred Stack: Hunter Renfroe ($3000 FD|$4700 DK), Manny Machado ($3900 FD|$4100 DK), and Manuel Margot ($2600 FD|$3600 DK).

Oakland A’s vs. RHP Ivan Nova (CHW): 5.60 Runs

Preferred Stack: Matt Chapman ($3900 FD|$4800 DK), Matt Olson ($3800 FD|$5100 DK), Mark Canha ($2800 FD|$4300 DK), and Ramon Laureano ($3100 FD|$4500 DK).

St. Louis Cardinals vs. LHP Robbie Ray (ARZ): 4.50 Runs

Preferred Stack: Paul Goldschmidt ($3200 FD|$3800 DK), Jose Martinez ($2800 FD|$3500 DK), and Dexter Fowler ($2900 FD|$3700 DK).

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

Stack Report for Main Slate: Winning Edge for July 6

Daniel Wehr 5 years ago

written by Daniel Wehr

This report will provide stacks that I recommend for today’s 7 game main slate. I’ve also included my favorite one-offs and value plays.

Houston Astros Stack

vs. LHP Andrew Heaney (LAA): 5.70 Runs

This is a play you’re not going to be able to get away from tonight. Andrew Heaney carries a 5.40 ERA, 5.39 FIP, and 4.20 SIERA through 36.2 innings pitched. Through 27 innings pitched, right handed batters are slashing .319 wOBA, .449 SLG, and to a .304 OBP against Heaney. The Astros have been hitting very well recently, slashing .374 wOBA, .204 ISO, and a .516 SLG. Smaller slate tonight so ownership will be a lot more concentrated on the Astros but it is good chalk and I’m perfectly fine with eating it.

Preferred Stack: (in order of preference) Jose Altuve $3700 FD|$4200 DK, Alex Bregman $4300 FD|$5000 DK, Yordan Alvarez $4100 FD|$4800 DK, Yuli Gurriel $3400|$4400, and Robinson Chirinos $3100 FD|$3800 DK. George Springer ($4400 FD|$5400 DK) is my last choice for higher priced guys but if you’re playing multiple lines I would definitely have exposure.

New York Mets Stack

vs. RHP Jake Arrieta (PHI): 5.00 Runs

I’ve eagerly awaited a solid left handed power hitting team to go against Jake Arrieta since those string of rainouts in Washington a few weeks back. He carries 4.43 ERA, 5.15 FIP, and a 4.85 SIERA into tonight’s game. He is absolutely terrible to left handed batters. They are slashing .383 wOBA, .535 SLG, and to a .386 OBP through 43.0 innings pitched. He has surrendered 27 earned runs and 11 home runs over that same span. The Mets are hitting to a tune of .313 wOBA, .181 ISO, and 101 WRC+ over the last two weeks, slightly above their season averages. Be weary of the weather here tonight.

Oakland Athletics Stack

vs. LHP Marco Gonzales (SEA): 5.15 Runs

Marco Gonzales carries a 4.39 ERA, 4.11 FIP, and 5.14 SIERA into tonight’s game. He has fairly identical splits with a .324 wOBA, .444 SLG, and .327 OBP through 78.1 innings pitched against right handed batters. Most should be focused on that Astros stack and probably spending down for some cheap Cardinals so we have a chance to catch the A’s at low ownership. I didn’t list them, but I know they let down a lot of people last night. The A’s are slashing to a .349 wOBA, .223 ISO, and .499 SLG vs. left handed pitching this season. The team as a whole has been in a bit of a hitting slump over the last two weeks, slashing to a .246 wOBA, .112 ISO, and .303 SLG in that time span. I always feel like Oakland is pretty risky, but I’ll go there in GPPs tonight.

One-offs and Value Plays

Josh Phegley (OAK) $2600 FD| $3700 DK, Robinson Chirinos (HOU) $3100 FD| $3800 DK, Hunter Renfroe (SDP) $2700 FD, Jose Martinez (STL) $2700 FD|$3500 DK, Paul Goldschmidt (STL) $3000 FD|$3400 DK, and Brad Miller (PHI) $2000 FD|$3500 DK.

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

Win Daily On Deck: Pregame Notes and Updates for 6/8

Louis Cangiano 6 years ago

written by Louis Cangiano

(Updated 6:38 pm EST)

Second base is an extremely weak position tonight. I still can’t figure this one out. I’m actually thinking of rostering, L.A. Angel Rengifo. Low ownership, big upside, low floor. All you can ask for.

(Updated 6:27 pm EST)

Domingo Santana’s game logs are through the roof over his last three games averaging 26.7 FD points per game. Invest confidently.

(Updated 6:25 pm EST)

Anthony Rizzo, dong call!

(Updated 5:54 pm EST)

Paul Goldschmidt ($3,800 FD & $4,000 DK): Goldy owns a .500 BA in 12 at-bats with one homer. Solid Value here at $3,800 and $4,000. The under/over is low at 7.5 but I can see a solo shot or two in this game despite the low under/over. Goldschmidt is likely my one-off play of the day (if needed).

(Updated 5:36 pm EST)

How many times can the Angels burn me before I stop stacking them? Well, I like them again tonight. What do we do? I’m staying away but I need to mention that the numbers are there for an Angels team that are due for a big game. Angels Stadium is in the top five percentile in home runs allowed and runs allowed by a stadium this season. L.A does hit well against Seattle’s Kikuchi and it’s nice and sunny in Anaheim (77 degrees), so the ball should be flying tonight but like I said, L.A has burned me too many times this year, and in very similar spots, so I’m staying away but I won’t blame you for investing in a low owned, relatively cheap Angels team.

(Updated 5:24 pm EST)

Adrian Beltre’s jersey is being retired tonight in Texas, narrative if I’ve ever heard one. Second Half of a double header where the first game totaled 15 runs. Look out!

Updated 5:17 pm EST)

Stack those Rockies. The Rockies are facing Steven Matz who they have dominated in the past. Somehow the Mets are favored at -115 with an 8.5 under/over but I see a very different game flow here. Matz kills it at home with a 1.50 ERA on the season, which is great, not to mention the fact that his road splits ERA is at 5.79. But other than that, I don’t see much that would have me on Matz. The Rockies own a .390 team ERA! And Arenado has one double and four home runs in 14 at-bats against Matz. Almost all batters exhibit impressive BvP stats but in limited sample sizes. At the moment Matz is allowing lefties to hit for average and righties to hit for power, perfect combo no? Love me some Colorado Rockies tonight, despite Matz home ERA.

6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

DFS Hitting Stacks for 6/5: Look for L.A. Lefties

Marshall Rosen 6 years ago

written by Marshall Rosen

Washington Nationals

Whenever the White Sox run Dylan Covey to the bump, there should be interest in stacking against him. The right-hander is basically everything we look for when searching for a pitcher to target against. Covey is a flyball pitcher with a 40% flyball rate. And he is not missing any bats. Covey also has a slate low 16.02% whiff rate and is allowing contact on 85.8% of swings taken by the opposition. The flyballs and heavy contact have led to a slate high 6.44 SIERA.

So of course, we want to get some Nationals in our DFS lineups for Wednesday. The Washington stack needs to start with Juan Soto (FanDuel: $4,300 DraftKings: $5,700). The outfielder has the best matchup of any of the Nationals’ batters. Soto has a .230 ISO versus right-handed pitching while Covey is allowing a .368 wOBA to lefty batters. Some other lefties worth considering, if they are in the lineup are: Gerardo Parra (FanDuel: $2,500 DraftKings: $4,200) and Matt Adams (FanDuel: $3,100 DraftKings: $4,400). Both lefties have ISOs above .240 versus righties in 2019.

Feel free to get Anthony Rendon (FanDuel: $4,500 DraftKings: $5,900) and Howie Kendrick (FanDuel: $2,900 DraftKings: $5,800) in your lineups. Both have crushed right-handed pitching all year and should have no problem making light work of Chicago’s Dylan Covey.

Los Angeles Dodgers

Any time the Dodgers’ offense is opposed by a righty, they have to be considered for stacking purposes. Against right-handed pitching this season, Los Angeles has been very successful. As a team they have a .218 ISO and a .353 wOBA) against right-handed pitching.

And tonight should be no different. While the Diamondbacks’ Jon Duplantier has a respectable 3.18 ERA, there is some regression coming. On the season he is allowing a 45.5% hard contact rate, highest on the slate. We have also seen his velocity dip almost three MPH since the start of the season.

As you look to stack Dodgers’ bats, use their lefties. Duplantier has allowed a 58.8% hard contact rate to left-handed bats this season. So, your L.A. building blocks would include the likes of: Joc Pederson (FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $5,600), Cody Bellinger (FanDuel: $4,800 DraftKings: $5,800), Corey Seager (FanDuel: $3,900 DraftKings: $4,600) and Max Muncy (FanDuel: $4,000 DraftKings: $4,900). All four of these Dodgers’ left-handed batters have accumulated at least a .200 ISO versus right-handed pitching and should hit a few balls hard against the Arizona starter in this one.

Milwaukee Brewers

The Marlins’Sandy Alcantara is having an ok season on the surface with a respectable 4.08ERA. But his 5.65 SIERA tells a different story. A blow up is likely coming andprobably coming Monday. Alcantara is allowing a .323/.429/.485 slash line instarts where is coming in with five days rest. He last pitched May 30^th.

While thisstack is appealing enough with that in mind, also consider that the Brewers’offense has a .201 ISO versus right-handed pitching this season. Load up on thefollowing Brewers: Christian Yelich (FanDuel: $4,900 DraftKings: $6,000), MikeMoustakas (FanDuel: $4,000 DraftKings: $5,600), Yasmani Grandal (FanDuel: $3,600DraftKings: $5,100) and Eric Thames (FanDuel: $3,000 DraftKings: $5,100). Eachof these Brewers’ bats have over .200 ISOs against righties this season.

St. Louis Cardinals

The St. Louis Cardinals’ offense has a date with the Reds’ Anthony DeSclafani on Monday. The right-hander seems like a good target to pick on for Wednesday. Not only is he allowing 2.32 HR/9 this season, and the Cardinals have roughed him up pretty well in the past.

The current Cardinals’ roster has a career .300/.383/.555 slash line against him in 120 at-bats. You will want to get Marcell Ozuna (FanDuel: $4,300 DraftKings: $5,200), Matt Carpenter (FanDuel: $3,200 DraftKings: $4,300) and Paul Goldschmidt (FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $4,300) in your lineups. Carpenter and Goldy each have over 1.500 OPS against the Reds’ starter in their careers.

Other stacks to consider:

Texas Rangers vs. John Means

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Spencer Turnbull

New York Yankees vs. Trent Thorton

Value Stack: San Francisco Giants

By most accounts, the Mets’ Jason Vargas is not a very good pitcher. He has a 5.39 SIERA. He is allowing a 44.4% hard contact rate, while striking out just 17.8% of the batters he has faced.

DespiteVargas’ lack of success this season, the DFS sites, particularly FanDuel, have pricedthe Giants extremely low. Their most expensive regular can be had for just$3,300. Use the Giants to help cram in your other, more expensive stacks forWednesday.

Good luckand happy stacking!

6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

DFS Hitting Stacks for 6/5: Look for L.A. Lefties

Marshall Rosen 6 years ago

written by Marshall Rosen

Washington Nationals

Los Angeles Dodgers

Milwaukee Brewers

St. Louis Cardinals

Other stacks to consider:

Texas Rangers vs. John Means

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Spencer Turnbull

New York Yankees vs. Trent Thorton

Value Stack: San Francisco Giants

By most accounts, the Mets’ Jason Vargas is not a very good pitcher. He has a 5.39 SIERA. He is allowing a 44.4% hard contact rate, while striking out just 17.8% of the batters he has faced.

Good luckand happy stacking!

6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

DFS Hitting Stacks for 6/5: Look for L.A. Lefties

Marshall Rosen 6 years ago

written by Marshall Rosen

Washington Nationals

Los Angeles Dodgers

Milwaukee Brewers

St. Louis Cardinals

Other stacks to consider:

Texas Rangers vs. John Means

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Spencer Turnbull

New York Yankees vs. Trent Thorton

Value Stack: San Francisco Giants

By most accounts, the Mets’ Jason Vargas is not a very good pitcher. He has a 5.39 SIERA. He is allowing a 44.4% hard contact rate, while striking out just 17.8% of the batters he has faced.

Good luckand happy stacking!

6 years ago 0 comments

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8/26 DFS Hitting Catcher

Yasmani Grandal, MIL vs. STL

DK ($4,600) FD ($3,100)

8/26 DFS Hitting First Basemen

Paul Goldschmidt, STL at MIL

DK ($4,500) FD ($3,700)

8/26 DFS Hitting Second Basemen

Gleyber Torres, NYY at SEA

DK ($5,100) FD ($4,200)

8/26 DFS Hitting Third Basemen

Mike Moustakas, MIL vs. STL

DK ($5,000) FD ($3,700)

8/26 DFS Hitting Shortstop

Paul DeJong, STL at MIL

DK ($4,400) FD ($3,400)

8/26 DFS Hitting Outfielders

Aaron Judge, NYY at SEA

DK ($4,600) FD ($4,100)

A.J. Pollock, LAD at SD

DK ($4,400) FD ($3,400)

Corey Dickerson, PHI vs. PIT

DK ($4,700) FD ($3,500)

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day

MLB DFS STACKS: Dodgers, Astros And Braves Lead Thursday Offensive

MLB DFS Bats:

Position Rankings and Values

MLB DFS Stacks: Red Sox Roll; and the Indian’s find a Spark.

Sunday Stacks

Boston Red Sox vs Asher Wojciechowski (R)

Cleveland Indians vs Glenn Sparkman (R)

St. Louis Cardinals vs Anthony DeSciafani (R)

Position Rankings and Values

New York Yankees

vs. RHP Aaron Sanchez (TOR): 7.10 Runs

Los Angeles Angels

vs. RHP Mike Leake (SEA): 5.60 Runs

Milwaukee Brewers

vs. RHP Shaun Anderson (SFG): 5.60 Runs

Honorable DFS Stacks Mentions

San Diego Padres vs. LHP Dallas Keuchel (ATL): 4.30 Runs

Oakland A’s vs. RHP Ivan Nova (CHW): 5.60 Runs

St. Louis Cardinals vs. LHP Robbie Ray (ARZ): 4.50 Runs

Houston Astros Stack

vs. LHP Andrew Heaney (LAA): 5.70 Runs

New York Mets Stack

vs. RHP Jake Arrieta (PHI): 5.00 Runs

Oakland Athletics Stack

vs. LHP Marco Gonzales (SEA): 5.15 Runs

One-offs and Value Plays

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