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Nolan Arenado

Stack Report for MLB Main Slate: Winning Edge for July 15

5 years ago

written by

This report will provide recommended DFS stacks for today’s 10-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer we get to the postseason.

Cleveland Indians Stack

vs. LHP Daniel Norris (DET): 6.30 Runs

Daniel Norris takes the mound in Cleveland this evening. He carries a 4.96 ERA, 4.62 FIP, and 4.71 ERA into tonight’s matchup. We get a nice little recipe here with his reverse splits. Left handed batters are slashing to a .367 wOBA, .540 SLG, and .343 OBP across 16 innings pitched. He has allowed 13 runs in that short span. His 40% hard contact rate and 40% pull rate combined with his shakiness to lefties can make for some easy liners to right field. Norris racked up eight strikeouts but gave up six earned runs in his last meeting with Cleveland. Cleveland batters are hitting below their season averages this month, slashing to a .309 wOBA, .154 ISO, and 88 WRC+. These numbers aren’t typically what we look for but they’re in the worst part of their slump and this is a good opportunity to bust out of it.

Preferred Stack: Roberto Perez ($2700 FD|$4100 DK), Jordan Luplow ($2500 FD|$3900 DK), Carlos Santana ($3800 FD|$5000 DK), and Francisco Lindor ($4000 FD|$4900 DK).

Colorado Rockies Stack

vs. RHP Derek Rodriguez (SFG):

Dereck Rodriguez was called up from AAA as the 26th man ahead of today’s doubleheader. He carries a 5.27 ERA, 5.57 FIP, and 5.46 SIERA across 57 innings pitched into tonight’s game. He has struggled both to righties and lefties, allowing a .338 wOBA, .462 SLG, and 46% hard contact rate. The Rockies batting averages are creeping up again on this home stand and should continue to rise this evening. They are slashing to a .349 wOBA, .193 ISO, and .457 SLG against right handed pitching recently and the studs in this lineup are coming off a rest day.

Every stack report in the industry is going to have the Giants and Rockies. Ownership almost always levitates to Coors, especially when you have Dereck Rodriguez (SFG) and Chi Chi Gonzalez (COL) pitching. Going to be a lot of ownership on both sides here ,so I am not writing up the Giants in detail for that purpose, but I’ve included my preferred stack if you decide to go with the masses tonight.

Los Angeles Dodgers Stack

vs. RHP Zach Eflin (PHI): 5.40 Runs

I imagine ownership here will be higher as well. It’s not very often we get the Dodgers so early in the evening. Zach Eflin carries a 3.78 ERA, 4.66 FIP, and 4.70 SIERA into tonight’s matchup. Left handed batters are slashing to a .357 wOBA, .544 SLG, and .333 OBP. He has allowed 22 earned runs and 11 home runs across 43 innings pitched to lefties as well. The only concern I really have with Dodgers batters here is a possible hangover from last night’s game. The Dodgers are slashing .to a 335 wOBA, .209 ISO, and 109 WRC+ vs. right handed pitching over the last month.

Preferred Stack:Max Muncy ($3800 FD|$4600 DK), Alex Verdugo ($3100 FD|$4100 DK), Cody Bellinger ($4800 FD|$5100 DK), and Joc Pederson ($2600 FD|$4200 DK).

Boston Red Sox Stack

vs. RHP Trent Thornton (TOR): 6.25 Runs

The Red Sox get another cupcake matchup against Thornton. They have faced him twice this season, his first outing in Boston when he allowed only two earned runs and a recent second outing in Toronto in which he allowed seven earned runs. This Red Sox team is hitting very well recently. They are slashing .372 wOBA, .254 ISO, and 129 WRC+. I have the same concern with the Red Sox as with the Dodgers. They played late last night but they do get the benefit at being at home. Trent Thornton has a 4.85 ERA, 4.41 FIP, and 4.75 ERA on the year. He has identical splits, allowing batters to slash to a .332 wOBA, .321 BABIP, and .444 SLG.

Preferred Stack: Rafael Devers ($4100 FD|$5500 DK), Xander Bogaerts ($4400 FD|$5300 DK), Mookie Betts ($4200 FD|$4800 DK), and Christian Vazquez ($2900 FD|$4700 DK).

Honorable Mention

Houston Astros vs. RHP Griffin Canning (LAA): 4.90 Runs

Preferred Stack: Alex Bregman ($4200 FD|$4400 DK), Yordan Alvarez ($4300 FD|$4800 DK), Michael Brantley ($3900 FD|$4000 DK), and Yuli Gurriel ($3800 FD|$4200 DK).

Toronto Blue Jays vs. RHP Rick Porcello (BOS): 4.25 Runs

Preferred Stack: Freddy Galvis ($3200 FD|$4300 DK), Cavan Biggio ($3700 FD|$4500 DK), Eric Sogard ($3300 FD|$4700 DK), and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ($3800 FD|$5300 DK).

Pitching

RHP Adam Plutko vs. DET: 4.20 Runs
RHP Lucas Giolito vs. KCR: 4.40 Runs
LHP James Paxton vs. TAM: 4.00 Runs

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

DFS Hitting and Stacking Guide for July 13

Donnie Laur 5 years ago

written by Donnie Laur

Your DFS Hitting Picks and Top Stacks for Saturday.

First Base – Daniel Murphy, Colorado Rockies

DraftKings – $4,300, FanDuel – $3,700

Tanner Roark struggles a ton against lefties and Daniel Murphy is an above average hitter and we get the Coors Field boost here for DFS Hitting.

Second Base – Whit Merrifield, Kansas City Royals

DraftKings – $4,200, FanDuel – $3,600

I love how Merrifield is hitting right now, he’s on fire. He gets a lefty, and he is a career .310 hitter vs. them. There is always a stolen base threat here also.

Shortstop – Elvis Andrus, Texas Rangers

DraftKings – $4,400, FanDuel – $3,800

Elvis Andrus is always a very solid DFS Hitting play at home and I love him more against lefties. Wade Miley isn’t going to strike out a ton, so the ball will be put in play here with the Texas air boost.

Third Base – Nolan Arenado, Colorado Rockies

DraftKings – $4,900, FanDuel – $4,400

Nolan Arenado at under $5,000 on DraftKings is a crime. Tanner Roark is mediocre and I think Nolan takes him deep in Coors.

Outfield – Charlie Blackmon, Colorado Rockies

DraftKings – $5,500, FanDuel – $4,600

As one of the hottest hitters in baseball, Blackmon is my favorite DFS Hitting plays on the slate. Roark cannot get lefties out and Blackmon has been very hot overall.

Outfield – Mike Trout, Los Angeles Angels

DraftKings – $5,200, FanDuel – $4,800

Mike Trout against a lefty at home? Gimme gimme. Wade LeBlanc is a terrible pitcher and Mike Trout is the best player in the league. Don’t overthink it.

Outfield – Avisail Garcia, Tampa Bay Rays

DraftKings – $4,600, FanDuel – $3,200

Until the day I no longer play DFS I will play Garcia against a lefty. He is my favorite DFS Hitting one off in tournaments every time a southpaw takes the rubber against him.

DFS Hitting Stacks

1.) Colorado Rockies

Tanner Roark is very very bad against left handed bats (.290 BAA, .531 SLG). We get the Coors Field effect here and a terrible pitcher on the mound. Give me all the lefties plus Nolan Arenado. Charlie Blackmon, Daniel Murphy, and David Dahl. There’s no reason why they shouldn’t be the highest scoring team on the slate.

2.) Texas Rangers

Outside of his home stadium, Wade Miley has been horrible. He holds a 4.56 ERA and a .250 BAA. He has been worse against right handed bats and that’s who I want to target with DFS Hitting Stacks. I also love Joey Gallo as he MASHES left handed pitching in Texas. Miley is going to be in for a bad night here.

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

DFS Hitting and Stacking Guide for July 13

Mark Sheppard 5 years ago

written by Mark Sheppard

Your DFS Hitting Picks and Top Stacks for Saturday.

First Base – Daniel Murphy, Colorado Rockies

DraftKings – $4,300, FanDuel – $3,700

Tanner Roark struggles a ton against lefties and Daniel Murphy is an above average hitter and we get the Coors Field boost here for DFS Hitting.

Second Base – Whit Merrifield, Kansas City Royals

DraftKings – $4,200, FanDuel – $3,600

I love how Merrifield is hitting right now, he’s on fire. He gets a lefty, and he is a career .310 hitter vs. them. There is always a stolen base threat here also.

Shortstop – Elvis Andrus, Texas Rangers

DraftKings – $4,400, FanDuel – $3,800

Third Base – Nolan Arenado, Colorado Rockies

DraftKings – $4,900, FanDuel – $4,400

Nolan Arenado at under $5,000 on DraftKings is a crime. Tanner Roark is mediocre and I think Nolan takes him deep in Coors.

Outfield – Charlie Blackmon, Colorado Rockies

DraftKings – $5,500, FanDuel – $4,600

As one of the hottest hitters in baseball, Blackmon is my favorite DFS Hitting plays on the slate. Roark cannot get lefties out and Blackmon has been very hot overall.

Outfield – Mike Trout, Los Angeles Angels

DraftKings – $5,200, FanDuel – $4,800

Mike Trout against a lefty at home? Gimme gimme. Wade LeBlanc is a terrible pitcher and Mike Trout is the best player in the league. Don’t overthink it.

Outfield – Avisail Garcia, Tampa Bay Rays

DraftKings – $4,600, FanDuel – $3,200

Until the day I no longer play DFS I will play Garcia against a lefty. He is my favorite DFS Hitting one off in tournaments every time a southpaw takes the rubber against him.

DFS Hitting Stacks

1.) Colorado Rockies

2.) Texas Rangers

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

DFS Hitting Stacks for July 3rd: Subway Slammers

Wes Anderson 5 years ago

written by Wes Anderson

Wednesday’s MLB actionincludes some big-time offenses in great spots for DFS purposes. So below wehave four stacks to target as you assemble your Daily Fantasy Sports entries.

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New York Yankees

The New York Mets will be starting Jason Vargas on the bump in this one. Vargas is a guy that the Yankees should be able to get to. The right-hander has a 5.05 SIERA and a 5.09 xFIP while striking out just 20% of the batters he has faced in 2019. We will want to get some exposure in our DFS lineups.

So of course, we want to load up on some Yankees in our DFS lineups and our New York stack will start with Gary Sanchez (FanDuel: $4,200 DraftKings: $4,700). Sanchez has an ISO north of .300 versus left-handed pitching. Some other Yankee’s bats worth considering are: Edwin Encarnacion (FanDuel: $4,100 DraftKings: $4,300) and Gleyber Torres (FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $4,600). Both have ISOs above .200 versus righties in 2019. And do not forget about Aaron Judge (FanDuel: $4,500 DraftKings: $4,800) and D.J. LeMahieu (FanDuel: $4,500 DraftKings: $5,200). Both of these Yankees have wOBAs greater than .400 against lefties in 2019.

Houston Astros

With the Astros having already hit 98 home runs against right-handed pitching this season, it is safe to say they have a really good chance of tacking a few more onto that total in this one. Not only are they playing in Coors Field, but the Rockies’ Peter Lambert is allowing 2.55 HR/9. Load up on the Astros in your DFS entries.

Lambert has really struggled at home this season. He is allowing a .478 wOBA and a 46% hard contact rate in Colorado in 2019. So feel free to stack any combination of Astros. But you will want to pay particular attention to the lefty bats in the Houston lineup. Lambert is allowing a .440/.444/1.040 slash line to lefties at home this season. With that in mind, we will want to start our DFS Astros’ build with Yordan Alvarez (FanDuel: $4,400 DraftKings: $5,500), if he is healthy enough to get back in the lineup. The Houston slugger has a .400 ISO and a .424 wOBA against righties this season.

Colorado Rockies

Any time the Rockies’ offense is opposed by a lefty, they have to be considered for DFS stacking purposes. Against left-handed pitching this season, Colorado has been very successful. As a team, they have a .200 ISO and a .340 wOBA against left-handed pitching. And when they get to face a left-hander in the thin air of Colorado they are a no-brainer DFS stacking option.

So, your Colorado DFS building blocks should include the likes of: Ian Desmond (FanDuel: $3,300 DraftKings: $4,500), Nolan Arenado (FanDuel: $4,600 DraftKings: $5,300), Charlie Blackmon (FanDuel: $4,500 DraftKings: $5,800) and David Dahl (FanDuel: $3,900 DraftKings: $5,200). All four of these Rockies’ batters have accumulated at least a .230 ISO versus left-handed pitching.

Boston Red Sox

You are going to want to pick on Toronto’s Sean Reid-Foley in your DFS lineups on Wednesday. Reid-has a 5.75 SIERA and a 6.46 xFIP as well as a low 9.9% swing strike rate. The Blue Jays’ starter is not missing many bats.

We want to build our Boston’ DFS stack starting with the usual suspects: Mookie Betts (FanDuel: $4,100 DraftKings: $4,400), Rafael Devers (FanDuel: $4,100 DraftKings: $4,700) and Xander Bogaerts (FanDuel: $4,200 DraftKings: $4,600). These three batters have ISOs greater than .200 against right-handed pitching.

Washington Nationals

In 65 career at-bats against the Marlins’ Sandy Alcantara, the Nationals’ current roster has a .369/.431/.706 slash line. In particular Anthony Rendon (FanDuel: $4,400 DraftKings: $5,500) and Juan Soto (FanDuel: $4,200 DraftKings: $5,000) have been excellent against the Miami starter. Combined, the players are 9-for-23 with three home runs and eight RBIs against Alcantara and are excellent DFS building blocks for Wednesday.

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5 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports

6/29 MLB DFS Podcast With Jason Mezrahi & Your Favorite Meteorologist Mark Paquette

Jason Mezrahi 5 years ago

written by Jason Mezrahi

DFS PROS Jason Mezrahi and Mark Paquette get into the full MLB schedule as they speak on the 6/29 MLB DFS Podcast. They break down the two different slates on FanDuel. There are a ton of options in both slates and the obvious Coors Field game to factor in.

6/29 MLB DFS Podcast Early Slate Notes

On the early only slate there are a couple ways to attack from the hitting perspective but there is not one clear cut stack option. Listen to our 6/29 MLB DFS Podcast takes on the Minnesota Twins, Washington Nationals, Cincinnati Reds, Cleveland Indians, Toronto Blue Jays, New York Mets, and the Atlanta Braves.

We also dive into some rookie pitchers on 6/29 MLB DFS Podcast: Austin Voth and Brendan McKay may provide big value on the early slate.

Can we stack at Coors Field again?

Looks like there could be some potential fireworks again in the slate with another Coors Field matchup, therefore attack the spot again. Let’s not forget about the Houston Astros, Milwaukee Brewers, and the matchup in Los Angeles which could go underowned in the late slate. Take a listen to the 6/29 MLB DFS Podcast and get a game-by-game MLB DFS breakdown for all your Saturday games.

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5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

DFS Winners and Losers: Bauer, Gurriel Jr. and More

Emely Sharman 6 years ago

written by Emely Sharman

Our DFS slate had a full 15 games once again on Wednesday, June 26th. It was a good day for most of the high priced pitchers and some other batters put up big games as well. Points and salaries are based on DraftKings.

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DFS Winners

Trevor Bauer ($10,600)

Trevor Bauer and the Indians beat the Kansas City Royals at home Wednesday 5-3. Bauer pitched 6.2 innings and gave up one earned run on only three hits and one walk. He racked up 12 strikeouts while throwing 127 pitches. Bauer scored 37.4 DFS points. This was a good bounce-back performance as Bauer gave up five earned runs on 10 hits over four innings in his last start. Bauer’s ERA is now at 3.55 and his WHIP is at 1.14. This is now three out of his four starts that have been stellar.

Bauer’s Outlook

Bauer’s next projected start will come against the same Kansas City Royals, this time on the road on July 3rd. Bauer dismantled the Royals offense Wednesday and he should have similar DFS success in this start. The Royals offense has been bad this year and has not been any better lately. In June, the Royals rank 25th in runs scored and average 3.91 runs per game. They are also tied for 10th in strikeouts. He should be counted on again vs. the Royals in DFS.

Mike Minor ($11,000)

Mike Minor of the Texas Rangers threw a complete game gem on Wednesday. He pitched all nine innings while giving up only one earned run on five hits and two walks. Minor struck out seven and gave up one home run. He scored 34.55 fantasy points in DraftKings DFS. Minor’s ERA is now at a sparkling 2.40 and his WHIP is at 1.12. His K/9 sits at a pretty good 8.79.

Minor’s Outlook

Minor’s next projected start will come on Monday, July 1st at home against the Angels. The Angels have avoided the strikeout all year and this trend has not changed lately. In June, the Angels rank 26th in strikeouts and have struck out only 7.26 times per game. They have also scored well this month and average 5.43 runs per game, ranking in the Top 10. Minor has been good lately but this doesn’t look like a high upside matchup. At Minor’s price, I will be looking elsewhere for more DFS value.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ($4,500)

Gurriel Jr. and the Blue Jays visited the Yankees and lost in a close game 8-7. Gurriel Jr. did all he could to get them the win, going 3-for-5 while hitting two home runs and a double. He finished with two runs scored and four RBI for 37 fantasy points. Gurriel Jr.’s batting average is now at .304 and his OPS is at .965. He has hit 12 home runs and has 30 RBI. He has been on a DFS tear his last few games and has 12 hits over his last five games.

Gurriel Jr.’s Outlook

The Blue Jays now head back home for a four game series against the Kansas City Royals. Kansas City’s pitching has been pretty good lately and ranks 12th in team ERA in the month of June. They have allowed an opposing batting average .258 in June, ranking at 16th in the league. Gurriel Jr. has been one of the hotter hitters in baseball the last week and there isn’t a pitcher in the Royal’s rotation that should scare anyone too much. Fire him up in this series as an affordable DFS player.

DFS Losers

James Paxton ($9,000)

Paxton and the Yankees beat the before mentioned Blue Jays 8-7 but it was not because of Paxton’s pitching performance. Paxton was only able to pitch 4.1 innings and gave up six earned runs on eight hits. He also walked four and gave up three home runs. He earned three strikeouts over his 91 pitches. Paxton’s ERA is now at 4.34 and his WHIP is at at 1.43. Paxton has 81 strikeouts over 64.1 innings which puts his K/9 at 11.34.

Paxton’s Outlook

Paxton’s next projected start will come on Tuesday, July 2nd on the road agaisnt the New York Mets. The Mets offense has been pretty good lately and averages 5.17 runs per game in June. They have done well at putting balls in play and strike out only 7.87 times per game. Paxton has not gotten through more than six innings since mid April and I don’t see that changing here. He does have decent strikeout upside for DFS but if he can’t work deep into games, it is limited.

Nolan Arenado ($4,900)

Arenado and the Rockies visited the San Francisco Giants Wednesday and got the win 6-3. Arenado wasn’t any help offensively in this one as he went 0-for-4 and struck out once. He has played really well this year and has even played good away from Coors Field. Arendao has a home/away batting average split of .370/.280. He has actually hit more home runs on the road as 11 of his 19 have come away from home. His overall numbers are great and his batting average is at .321 and his OPS is at .964.

Arenado’s Outlook

The Colorado Rockies head back home for a four game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Dodgers pitching staff has been really good in June and leads the majors in team ERA at 2.27. This should keep Arenado a little less owned than normal, when he plays at Coors Field. He will always be a top DFS third baseman when he plays at home and I do not think that changes in this tougher matchup.

Injury Report

Eddie Rosario sprained his ankle Wednesday and is considered day-to-day.

Giancarlo Stanton has been placed on the 10-day IL with a PCL sprain.

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6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

MLB DFS Hitting Picks for 6/20: Colorado Kills Ray!

Alisia Gustafson 6 years ago

written by Alisia Gustafson

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First Base

Joey Votto, MIL vs. CIN

DK ($4,000) FD ($3,100)

Votto has a solid matchup against Jimmy Nelson tonight in Miller Park, a great hitters park. Votto is batting .346 with two home runs in 32 at-bats against Nelson. Nelson has a 10.29 ERA and has allowed at least four earned with four hits in each of his two starts this season. Nelson allows lefties to hit .333 but these sample sizes are very small at only 18 total at-bats. Miller Park is ranked ninth in home runs allowed with 1.226 HR/game. Also, Milwaukee’s bullpen is allowing a 4.23 ERA on the season. The Reds are slight underdogs but the under/over is high at 9.5. Feel free to roster other Reds including: Puig and Dietrich.

Second Base

Whit Merrifield , MIN vs. KC

DK ($4,900) FD ($4,000)

Whit Merrifield is batting .538 with three homers in 14 at-bats against Odorizzi. We have a high 9,5 under/over and Orodizzi has been struggling as of late, allowing four earned over six innings pitched to the Red Sox. Odorizzi has faced K.C. in one prior start this season where he allowed a .292 team BA and a 6.00 ERA. Merrifield and Kike Hernandez, two second basemen who are also OF eligible (depending on the site), are my first two locks of the day.

Third Base

Nolan Arenado, COL vs. ARI *Early*

DK ($5,100) FD ($4,200)

I’m including this sentence in two spots in this article because it is so important! Colorado kills Ray. The Rockies own a .337 team BA in 191 at-bats. The batters with the most impressive stats are easily Blackmon, Desmond, and Arenado. These players are batting a combined 38-for-90 with eight home runs in 90 at-bats. The Rockies tore up a solid matchup last night fagainst Greinke, how do you think they’ll fare today against a pitcher they have demolished in the past and who comes into this game struggling over the past month with a 4.85 ERA over his last five starts? In those starts, he’s allowed five home runs. It is clear the long ball has been a problem for him as of late and I don’t expect anything to change against an on-fire Rockies team in a great hitting environment in Chase Field.

Shortstop

Alex Bregman, HOU vs. NYY

DK ($4,500) FD ($4,300)

Now that Bregman is eligible at both SS and 3B, I’ve been rostering him a little more in my GPP lineups, as he always carries upside. And tonight in Yankee Stadium, I love Bregman against Chad Green and the Yankees bullpen. Green is allowing a 7.65 ERA on the year and righties are killing him! Right-handed batters are hitting .364 with four home runs in 55 at-bats. Can Green and Yankee Stadium hold Alex Bregman?.I think not. Beware of weather though. Good thing we have the best DFS weatherman in the business here.

Other option: Trevor Story *Early*

Outfield

Kike Hernandez, LAD vs. SF

DK ($3,400) FD ($3,000)

Let’s roster Kike Hernandez against Madison Bumgarner in Los Angeles tonight. Kike went 0-5 in a beautiful leadoff spot last night where he was fairly high owned. Disappointing for sure, but today’s a new day and I do expect him to lead off against despite his hitless efforts last night. Hernandez owns a .500 BA with six doubles and four home runs in 49 at-bats against Bumgarner. The under/over is low but the Dodgers are favored by -180. Expect some small ball, even a stolen base potentially. Regardless of how they do it, Kike will be a crucial piece in the Dodgers beating Bumgarner tonight. Bumgarner has already seen the Dodgers three times this season and owns them with a 0.95 ERA but has gone 0-2 due to no run support. Don’t stack the Dodgers but Hernandez is a viable play at such cheap pricing.

Charlie Blackmon, COL vs. ARI *Early*

DK ($3,400) FD ($5,500)

Colorado kills Ray. The Rockies own a .337 team BA in 191 at-bats. The batters with the most impressive stats are easily, Blackmon, Desmond, and Arenado. These players are batting a combined 38 for 90 with eight home runs in 90 at-bats. Lock and load this stack please and thank you. You won’t regret it. The Rockies are underdogs by -160 with a 9 under/over.

Other Option: Justin Upton

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day:

Early slate MKF game, you know what that means. No work gets done today, we’ll all be checking our phones every two minutes for the updates on the Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks game. We’re going to go with game flow, making four of these five picks pretty simple. For the back three including: Story, Blackmon and Arenado, we’re going with the OVER. I do think this will be a seven+ run effort by the Rockies and consequently Robbie Ray at 6.5 strikeouts seems a little high. Especially since the Rockies have only struck out 48 times over their last six games, ranking them eighth lowest in the league. The Rockies are seeing the ball well and Robbie Ray WILL have a tough time against them today in a hitter’s park.

The last prop is tough. Jeff Hoffman at 3.5 strikeouts isn’t an easy call but consider the Diamondbacks have the third least strikeouts over the past week and rank 14th in the league with 644 strikeouts. We’re going with the UNDER. This is clearly not the strikeout prone Arizona offense we’ve come to know from past seasons. They are seeing the ball well and Hoffman should have a tough day. So, To be clear, from left to right: UNDER, UNDER, OVER, OVER, OVER. And for the record, I do think Trevor Story plays. Get in on this game and get 100 percent bonus!

6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

On Deck: Pregame Notes and Updates for 6/15

Louis Cangiano 6 years ago

written by Louis Cangiano

Updated 6:32 pm EST

Want the perfect two hedges? A Mets back end stack, hedged with exposure to Wacha. Wacha has been pitching well but struggles against right-handed batters. Oddly enough, the Mets back end looks like they match up pretty well against the right-handed Wacha, who has reverse splits. If the back end (Frazier, Ramos, Rosario and Gomez) do not perform, Wacha will likely have a stellar outing. Have shares of both of these plays!

Updated 6:15 pm EST

To play Coors again or not? Good question. I am going to stay away for one main reason, fade the chalk. But I’m not happy about it! I like Colorado, I really do. But they’re going to be chalk city. Over my DFS career, I’ve just gotten into this habit of fading the chalkiest plays in at least 30 % of my lineups. Yes, it’s Coors, I get it. But a stadium/high altitude is an advantage but it’s not a definite by any means. Don’t forget the match up and get blinded by the environmental advantages. But if I were to invest in one of these teams, it would be the Colorado Rockies as Lauer tends to get beat up by them and he’s horrible on the road. On the other side, I actually don’t mind a little Marquez as he’s maintaining a 4.19 season ERA and beat San Diego earlier this season. (although he did allow 10 hits in this game) If you have the salary and don’t mind the chalk, these teams are obviously viable but for GPP purposes, I’m finding my pay up bats else where.

Updated 5:56 pm EST

I still love the price and potential for Bryce Harper DK ($4,200) & FD ($4,000). Yes, he’s slumping but check out the power they’re stacking up in the first four batters to hit behind him. They’re trying to get him pitches and against Sean Newcomb, this could be interesting. Newcomb has allowed a .324 BA to opposing left-handed batters this season, meaning reverse splits.
Bryce Harper owns a .333 BA in 13 at-bats against Sean Newcomb and I expect him to go low owned. Philadelphia is favored by -110 with a 9.5 under/over.

Updated 5:38 pm EST

Glenn Sparkman has one standout stat that tells me this will be a tough outing for him. Sparkman owns an 8.22 road era in four games, one game start. His splits indicate that left-handed batters hit him well which means lock and load Kepler, Polanco and Rosario. Minnesota is favored by -260 with a 9.5 under/over.

Updated 5:30 pm EST

It’s going to be hard to talk me out of rostering the Yankees against Reynaldo Lopez tonight. Lopez stinks. It’s just that easy. Gary Sanchez is in the four hole with the first three batters being LeMahieu, Voit and Hicks. In an extremely hitter friendly park, I see some killer home runs for these Yankee power bats. Gary Sanchez is a must play at the very least. Double dong potential! The Yankees are favored by -175 with a 9.5 under/over.

The Mets are showing a unique starting lineup against Micheal Wacha. McNeil is in the lead off spot with J.D. Davis sitting behind him in the two slot. Conforto and Alonso are consequently sitting in the three and four slots in the order. This is a valuable stack and against Wacha its very interesting. Wacha has reverse splits and over a three-year average those reverse splits stay pretty consistent. He’s allowed a .280 BA with 26 homers to opposing righties, while only allowing a .248 BA to opposing lefties with 15 homers. With a high under/over that hasn’t moved, the Mets gained my confidence more and more throughout the day. The Mets are favored at -145 with an 8.5 under/over.

6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

On Deck: Pregame Notes and Updates for 6/15

Louis Cangiano 6 years ago

written by Louis Cangiano

Updated 6:32 pm EST

Updated 6:15 pm EST

Updated 5:56 pm EST

Updated 5:38 pm EST

Updated 5:30 pm EST

6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

DFS Hitting Stacks for 6/13: Kicking Kikuchi

Wes Anderson 6 years ago

written by Wes Anderson

Minnesota Twins

If you areplaying the early or all-day slates, you will want to be sure to get someexposure to the Twins. Minnesota has demonstrated an ability to hit the longball against lefties this season. As an offense they have a .212 ISO and a .373wOBA versus southpaws. Their success against lefties should continue today atthe expense of Yusei Kikuchi.

The Seattle starter is allowing a .348 wOBA to righties this season. And the best righty stick on the Twins belongs to Nelson Cruz (FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $4,800). The slugger has a .424 ISO and a .443 wOBA against lefties this season.

There are a good number of options to pair with Cruz that will make for a dangerous stack. C.J. Cron (FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $4,600) owns a .404 ISO versus lefties. Miguel Sano (FanDuel: $3,600 DraftKings: $4,300), Mitch Garver (FanDuel: $3,500 DraftKings: $5,200), Bryon Buxton (FanDuel: $3,200 DraftKings: $4,400) and Ehire Adrianza (FanDuel: $2,200 DraftKings: $3,300) all have ISOs greater than .220 against southpaws this season.

The Minnesotaoffense has all the makings of a DFS winner on Thursday.

Colorado Rockies

The San Diego Padres will be activating Matt Strahm from the IL in time to make the start on Thursday. This is very good news for the Rockies’ sluggers. Strahm owns a 42.3% flyball rate. Not only does he allow a bunch of flyballs, the Padres’ starter has a 47.2% hard contact rate. A flyball pitcher that gets hit hard will be starting in Colorado, what could go wrong?

Plan on a lot going wrong for the Padres’ southpaw. The Rockies should do plenty of damage against Strahm. And that damage is likely to come from Nolan Arenado (FanDuel: $4,800 DraftKings: $5,600). The third baseman has punished lefties all season with a .391 ISO and a .467 wOBA versus them. Our projections really like Arenado as well. Click here to sign up for our gold premium package that includes the projections, Slack channel access and much more.

And Arenadoisn’t alone when it comes to giving lefties a tough time. Ian Desmond (FanDuel:$3,600 DraftKings: $4,400), Ryan McMahon (FanDuel: $3,300 DraftKings: $4,300),Charlie Blackmon (FanDuel: $4,400 DraftKings: $5,800) and even Mark Reynolds (FanDuel:$2,700 DraftKings: $3,600) all have ISOs above .200 versus lefties this season.

The Rockies’ offense will be popular today and deservedly so.

New York Yankees

The ChicagoWhite Sox’s Ivan Nova enters play today with the highest ERA of any startingpitcher for Thursday. The best part about picking on Nova is that he hasstruggled against both sides of the plate. He is allowing a .357 wOBA torighties, while surrendering a .406 wOBA to lefties.

So feel free to pick any Yankees for your Daily Fantasy lineups. But you most likely will want to start that New York build with Gary Sanchez (FanDuel: $4,300 DraftKings: $5,500). The catcher has a .392 ISO and a .413 wOBA versus righties this season.

Othertargets for the Bronx Bombers stack include: Gleyber Torres (FanDuel: $3,600DraftKings: $4,600), Aaron Hicks (FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $4,800), LukeVoit (FanDuel: $ DraftKings: $5,100), Brett Gardner (FanDuel: $3,100DraftKings: $4,300) and Clint Frazier (FanDuel: $3,500 DraftKings: $4,400).Each of these Yankees have ISOs over .235 against righties this season.

Value Stacks: Toronto Blue Jays (FanDuel), ArizonaDiamondbacks (FanDuel), San Diego Padres (DraftKings)

6 years ago 0 comments

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Nolan Arenado

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer we get to the postseason.

Cleveland Indians Stack

vs. LHP Daniel Norris (DET): 6.30 Runs

Colorado Rockies Stack

vs. RHP Derek Rodriguez (SFG):

Los Angeles Dodgers Stack

vs. RHP Zach Eflin (PHI): 5.40 Runs

Boston Red Sox Stack

vs. RHP Trent Thornton (TOR): 6.25 Runs

Honorable Mention

Houston Astros vs. RHP Griffin Canning (LAA): 4.90 Runs

Toronto Blue Jays vs. RHP Rick Porcello (BOS): 4.25 Runs

DFS Hitting Stacks

DFS Hitting Stacks

New York Yankees

Houston Astros

Colorado Rockies

Boston Red Sox

6/29 MLB DFS Podcast Early Slate Notes

Can we stack at Coors Field again?

DFS Winners

Trevor Bauer ($10,600)

Bauer’s Outlook

Mike Minor ($11,000)

Minor’s Outlook

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ($4,500)

Gurriel Jr.’s Outlook

DFS Losers

James Paxton ($9,000)

Paxton’s Outlook

Nolan Arenado ($4,900)

Arenado’s Outlook

Injury Report

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day:

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