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Well, we’ve been talking about the Adjusted Expected Total Yards (AETY) model that was created in the off-season for NFL Prop Bets … It’s time to let her shine for Thursday Night Football! Please play responsibly and enjoy the AETY edge.

I’ll keep it brief and simply just post the plays the model spit out when reconciling the lines from BetRivers, DraftKings, Fanduel, etc.

Make sure you get similar prices on these odds or simply back off that play. We are in for a long season and NEVER want to force a play (despite what Sia and Michael say).

Team/PlayerSportsBookLineUnit Risk
Darnell Mooney O37.5 Rec YdsFanDuel-1100.5

Best of luck this week on all of your DFS endeavors and NFL Prop Bets! It’s football szn.

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @stixpicks and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Model powered by AETY and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate as this football season moves onward.

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Well, we’ve been talking about the Adjusted Expected Total Yards (AETY) model that was created in the off-season for NFL Prop Bets … It’s time to let her shine for Thursday Night Football! Please play responsibly and enjoy the AETY edge.

I’ll keep it brief and simply just post the plays the model spit out when reconciling the lines from BetRivers, DraftKings, Fanduel, etc.

Make sure you get similar prices on these odds or simply back off that play. We are in for a long season and NEVER want to force a play (despite what Sia and Michael say).

Team/PlayerSportsBookLineUnit Risk
Tim Patrick O29.5 Rec YdsFanDuel-1100.5
Brett Rypien O204.5 P YdsFanDuel-1101

Best of luck this week on all of your DFS endeavors and NFL Prop Bets! It’s football szn.

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @stixpicks and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Model powered by AETY and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate as sports FINALLY return.

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The AETY Model has started the season with a bang and a lot of profit. Let’s keep it rolling into Week 3 NFL Prop Bets.

I’ll keep it brief and simply just post the plays the model spit out when reconciling the lines from BetRivers, DraftKings, Fanduel, etc.

Make sure you get similar prices on these odds or simply back off that play. We are in for a long season and NEVER want to force a play (despite what Sia and Michael say).

Team/PlayerSportsbookLineUnit Risk
James Robinson O15.5 Rec YardsBetRivers-1120.5
Isaiah Ford O3.5 RecFanDuel+1181

Best of luck this week on all of your DFS endeavors and NFL Prop Bets! It’s football szn.

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @stixpicks and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Model powered by AETY and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate as sports FINALLY return.

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Core Plays for Thrive Week 2

Week 1 wasn’t the greatest week ever, but it’s a fresh week and we actually have some hard data to work with. Sure, you don’t want to get too carried away with just one week of stats but it’s better than last year’s stats. Now is a great time to check out Thrive Fantasy to get into prop betting! We’ll be going over the Core Plays for Thrive Week 2 to get you started into the world of NFL prop plays this Sunday!

When you sign up, use promo code “WINDAILY” to get a matching bonus up to $250 and get 3 months FREE of Win Daily Sports Gold Membership! That’s a crazy bargain that is really hard to beat!

Core Play – Jared Goff Over Passing Yards

The Rams head onto the road this Sunday but Goff is going to get a Philly defense that I still strongly believe can be had through the air. He passed for 275 yards in his first game on just 31 attempts, just missing his current prop.

The Rams ran the ball 40 times for over 150 yards but that’s not like to happen this week. The Eagles have been a passing funnel defense for a couple years. They shut down the run but get tagged through the air. Goff didn’t take chances last game with only 140 intended air yards but that script changes this weekend. If he almost hit it last weekend on 31 attempts, it won’t take much to get over the hump this week.

Core Play – Ronald Jones Over Rushing Yards

The Buccaneers backfield could turn into a mess at some point. However, that wasn’t the case the first game of the season. Jones was on the field for more than 47% of the snaps and ground out 66 yards on the ground against the Saints.

The Saints are a much tougher matchup than the Panthers. Not only did they get walloped on the ground last year, they kicked off the season by getting smacked by the Raiders for 122 yards on the ground, fifth-worst. If Jones gets another 17 carries, he should coast past this number.

Core Play – Diontae Johnson Over Receiving Yards

Johnson had a rough start to the Monday Night game with a fumbled punt and a quiet first half. It took time to get into sync with quarterback Ben Roethlisberger. He finished with 57 receiving yards. That’s his prop again this week.

Johnson was targeted 10 times and got stronger as the game wore on. If he can get to 57 in what amounted to one half of football, he can hit the ground running and clear this number quickly. He only had an aDOT of 6.3 but he’s shifty and establishing a connection with Big Ben. It’s a matter fo time before some deep shots come.

Core Play – Kyler Murray Over Rushing Yards

This is really a great spot to get some action on Murray’s rushing yards. The number is actually four yards under his 2019 average.

He flashed the upside with 91 rushing yards last week and Washington is interesting. Their strength is the front, generating a top five pressure rate last week. They also sacked Eagles QB Carson Wentz eight times. Due respect to Wentz (he would dust me in a 40 yard dash going backwards at 20% speed), Murray is the superior athlete. He can escape and make these plays with his legs that Wentz can’t. I won’t be surprised to see him go over 50 rushing yards here.

Let’s get after it this week my friends! 

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @bucn4life and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!

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After a nice opening weekend of profit and another in Week 2, it’s time for the Adjusted Expected Total Yards (AETY) Model for NFL Prop Bets on Monday Night Football! Please play responsibly and enjoy the AETY edge.

I’ll keep it brief and simply just post the NFL Prop Bets the model spit out when reconciling the lines from BetRivers, DraftKings, Fanduel, etc.

Make sure you get similar prices on these odds or simply back off that play. We are in for a long season and NEVER want to force a play (despite what Sia and Michael say).

NFL Prop Bets: AETY Model Week 2 Plays

  • 1-Unit – Bryan Edwards Over 30.5 Rec. Yds. (FanDuel Sportsbook)

Best of luck this week on all of your DFS endeavors! Keep an eye on this article throughout the week as I’ll be adding more NFL Prop Bets as the model sees fit.

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @stixpicks and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Model powered by AETY and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate as sports FINALLY return.

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Well, we’ve been talking about the Adjusted Expected Total Yards (AETY) model that was created in the off-season for NFL Prop Bets… It’s time to let her shine! Please play responsibly and enjoy the AETY edge.

I’ll keep it brief and simply just post the plays the model spit out when reconciling the lines from BetRivers, DraftKings, Fanduel, etc.

Make sure you get similar prices on these odds or simply back off that play. We are in for a long season and NEVER want to force a play (despite what Sia and Michael say).

NFL Prop Bets: AETY Model Week 1 Plays

Player Prop DescriptionOddsUnit Risk
Marlon Mack O54.5 Rush Yds-1121.5
Rodgers O252.5 P Yds+1001.5
Anthony Miller O39.5 yds-1121.25
Anthony Miller O3.5 Rec+1151
Stefon Diggs O51.5 Rec Yds-1121
Ryan Fitzpatrick O234.5 P Yds-1120.5
Julio Jones U90.5 Rec Yds+1011
Todd Gurley O17.5 Rec Yds-1121
Julio Jones U6.5 REC+1150.5
Tyler Lockett O4.5 REC-1411
Bridgewater P Yds > Carr P Yds+1110.5
Darren Waller U4.5 REC+1100.5
Curtis Samuel O3.5 REC+1251
DJ Moore O5.5 REC+1100.5
Lamar Jackson O219.5 P Yds-1120.5
Lamar Jax P Yds > Baker P Yds+1300.5
Jarvis Landry O4.5 REC+1200.5
TY Hilton U63.5 Yds-1120.5
Jack Doyle O30.5 Yds-1120.5
Tyrod Taylor O219.5 P Yds-1122
Keenan Allen O55.5 Rec Yds-1121
Austin Ekeler O34.5 Rec Yds-1121
Drew Brees U292.5 P Yds-1120.5
Raheem Mostert O52.5 Rush Yds-1251

Best of luck this week on all of your DFS endeavors and NFL Prop Bets! It’s football szn.

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @stixpicks and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Model powered by AETY and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate as sports FINALLY return.

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