It was another excellent article last week, with a 4-1 record on the main bets! After a tilt-fest filled Wednesday afternoon game (Diontae Johnson…WHY???), we’re sitting at 37-22 overall for main bets. The Pizza Money Bets are 1-4 and we need more pizza in our lives. That’s part of the goal this week and we have a fun slate in front of us so let’s get to work on NFL Prop Bets Week 13!
Be sure when placing your bets to use the WinDaily link to DraftKings Sportsbook and all bets are placed using their odds! Take advantage of the deposit bonus where you get a 20% match up to $500!
Davante Adams O 6.5 Receptions
I love the Green Bay passing attack this week and we’re kicking things off right. Adams has a target share well over 30% and he’s hit this mark in every healthy game but two so far. The Eagles best corner Darius Slay is questionable. Even if he plays, the odds would say he’s not 100%. I certainly don’t fear him anyways and after seeing DK Metcalf succeed Monday night, Adams over seven receptions is an easy call to want to play.
Michael Thomas O 4.5 Receptions
I have plenty so say about Taysom Hill as a quarterback, but Thomas catching five balls seems close to automatic. He saw 12 targets last game against the Falcons and six last week with Hill throwing 16 times. Of the 42 times Hill has attempted a throw, he’s sent 16 to Thomas. That’s a massive share and the Saints are making it a focus to feed Thomas in the passing game. Anything over five I’d be concerned about but MT has four and nine receptions with Hill.
DK Metcalf O 77.5 Receiving Yards
Anytime I can get the NFL’s leading receiver under 80 yards in a game, I’m going for it. Metcalf has only been under this mark three times this season. One of them, he had two 40-yard receptions nullified by penalty. In another, he had a long touchdown called back that would’ve put him over. The only player who has kept him away from this mark has been Rams corner Jalen Ramsey. Giants corner James Bradberry isn’t Ramsey. Bradberry also has said that if you take away Metcalf’s deep routes, you can contain him.
Good luck on Sunday, James!
David Montgomery O 61.5 Rushing Yards
With Monty getting all he work he can handle, I love this prop. The loss of Tarik Cohen has been a boost to the fantasy value and he can take advantage of great matchups. Just ask the Packers. Detroit has consistently been one of the worst runs defenses in the league all season long and Monty should be in line for 12-18 rush attempts at least. The game script shouldn’t get away from them like Sunday night.
Aaron Rodgers O 2.5 Touchdown Passes
I said I loved the Packers passing game and I wasn’t lying. We can get the NFL leader in touchdown passes so far at +190 to throw three scored? A feat that he’s accomplished eight of 11 games? Wheels up.
Record – 37-22
Pizza Money Record – 1-4
Thank you for reading NFL Prop Bets Week 13! Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @bucn4life and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!
Well, we’ve been talking about the Adjusted Expected Total Yards (AETY) model that was created in the off-season for NFL Prop Bets … It’s time to let her shine for Week 7, Thursday Night Football. Please play responsibly and enjoy the AETY edge.
I’ll keep it brief and simply just post the plays the model spit out when reconciling the lines from BetRivers, DraftKings, Fanduel, etc.
Make sure you get similar prices on these odds or simply back off that play. This model is meant for taking advantage of sports betting market errors. If you don’t get a similar price to what we post here, it’s recommended that you do not play those NFL Prop Bets. We are in for a long season and NEVER want to force a play (despite what Sia and Michael say).
| Team/Player | SportsBook | Line | Unit Risk |
| NYG +4.5 | TBD | -105 | 0.3 |
| Darius Slayton O52.5 Rec Yds | FanDuel | -110 | 0.4 |
| Greg Ward O32.5 Rec Yds | FanDuel | -110 | 0.8 |
| DeSean Jackson O34.5 Rec yds | DraftKings | -134 | 0.5 |
| Greg Ward O3.5 Rec | DraftKings | -112 | 1.1 |
Also, keep an eye on the WinDailySports NFL tab on the website. I’m extremely excited to announce the BRAND NEW Adjusted Expected Team Totals tool that is going to be an extreme asset to our daily fantasy and sports betting toolset.
People always value Implied Team Totals from Vegas that factor in field goals and minimal things that do not impact daily fantasy… the new Adjusted Expected Team Totals are STRICTLY for skill position touchdown weights. You can’t roster kickers on your main slate lineups, so why would you care about numbers that factor in kickers? You shouldn’t. LFG!
Best of luck this week on all of your DFS endeavors and NFL Prop Bets! It’s football szn.
Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @stixpicks and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Model powered by AETY and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate as this football season moves onward.
Well, we’ve been talking about the Adjusted Expected Total Yards (AETY) model that was created in the off-season for NFL Prop Bets … It’s time to let her shine for Tuesday… yes, Tuesday Night Football! Hopefully you all enjoyed the clean sweep of Prop Bets last night! What a time to be alive. Please play responsibly and enjoy the AETY edge.
I’ll keep it brief and simply just post the plays the model spit out when reconciling the lines from BetRivers, DraftKings, Fanduel, etc.
Make sure you get similar prices on these odds or simply back off that play. This model is meant for taking advantage of sports betting market errors. If you don’t get a similar price to what we post here, it’s recommended that you do not play those NFL Prop Bets. We are in for a long season and NEVER want to force a play (despite what Sia and Michael say).
| Team/Player | SportsBook | Line | Unit Risk |
| Devin Singletary O19.5 Rec Yds | DraftKings | -112 | 0.7 |
| Kalif Raymond O37.5 Rec Yds | FanDuel | -110 | 0.4 |
| Kalif Raymond O2.5 Rec | FanDuel | -102 | 1.2 |
Also, keep an eye on the WinDailySports NFL tab on the website this week. I’m extremely excited to announce the BRAND NEW Adjusted Expected Team Totals tool that is going to be an extreme asset to our daily fantasy and sports betting toolset.
People always value Implied Team Totals from Vegas that factor in field goals and minimal things that do not impact daily fantasy… the new Adjusted Expected Team Totals are STRICTLY for skill position touchdown weights. You can’t roster kickers on your main slate lineups, so why would you care about numbers that factor in kickers? You shouldn’t. LFG!
Best of luck this week on all of your DFS endeavors and NFL Prop Bets! It’s football szn.
Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @stixpicks and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Model powered by AETY and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate as this football season moves onward.
At WIN DAILY®, our motto is to “change your game and change your life.” We want to help you win that bet, parlay, and big DFS tournament and have some fun while you do. Our goal is to help you turn your love of sports into a profit center while playing responsibly and enjoying your time with a like-minded community.
