DFS & Sports Betting Tools, Exclusive Content, and Expert Chat
GET STARTED TODAY
 
DFS & Sports Betting Tools, Exclusive Content, and Expert Chat
GET STARTED TODAY
 
Home / NFL DFS / Page 23
Tag:

NFL DFS

Wildly enough, the Thursday Night Football matchup between the Falcons and Panthers has…playoff implications? Somehow, both are still alive (the Panthers are only mathematically alive) in the pathetic NFC South race, and this one should be entertaining. The Falcons are favored by a field goal, and we have a total right around 44 points in this one. It has been a Jekyll and Hyde season for the Falcons. They blew out the 49ers, then turned right back around and got dominated by the Bengals. These two faced off two weeks ago, and the NFL ruined the game with their dumb taunting rules. Let’s enjoy what should be a fun TNF showdown game and make some cash!

DraftKings and FanDuel each have a slightly different setup for Showdown slates, with DraftKings using a “Captain” spot. Captain earns you 1.5X points, BUT also costs you 1.5X in salary. FanDuel uses an “MVP”, which is ALSO 1.5X points, but salaries are the same, regardless of position. DraftKings uses 5 FLEX spots, and FanDuel uses 4 “AnyFLEX” spots to fill out your roster.

Captain/MVP Plays

Cordarrelle Patterson, Falcons ($17,700 DraftKings, $14,000 FanDuel)

DraftKings wasted no time jumping Patterson up to the top of the salaries for this one, but FanDuel is taking their time. While there is zero chance that Patterson (or anyone else) matches Joe Mixon’s output last week, C-Patt is in a great spot here. Carolina has allowed the 4th-most fantasy points to opposing RB this season (much due to Mixon).

Patterson played only 39% of the snaps in his return from injury, but I’m expecting that number to rise here in this one. A short week will likely prevent his snap count from rising in a huge way, but that doesn’t worry me. He turned 14 touches into 18.3 DraftKings points, including a pair of trips to the end zone. I’m not quite expecting the 71 points we saw in this matchup a few weeks ago, but neither defense is scaring anyone. Get your C-Patt shares!

DJ Moore, Panthers ($13,800 DraftKings, $12,000 FanDuel)

This looks like the perfect time to jump back on the DJ Moore bandwagon. Last week was a complete disaster for PJ Walker and the Panthers. Walker completed three passes (for nine yards) to his team, and two passes to the Bengals. Moore was a non-factor, and didn’t see much action late as the Panthers were down by 35.

I have no interest in Walker here, as his leash will be incredibly short with both Baker Mayfield and Sam Darnold healthy. Regardless, the Atlanta secondary is an absolute dumpster fire. Over the last four weeks, they have allowed FIFTY-TWO points per game to opposing WR. The Panthers are going nowhere anytime soon, and neither is DJ Moore. The team made it clear that he is the cornerstone of the franchise now, and he will certainly see looks here. I’m all aboard, regardless of who is under center.

Kyle Pitts, Falcons ($10,500 DraftKings, $8,500 FanDuel)

Pitts is the most talented player in the NFL who gets the least amount of opportunities. That said, he has seen 16 targets over the last two weeks, totaling 7/107/1. The Falcons still run the ball more than any team aside from the Bears, but Pitts will get some looks here. He had a solid game against them a few weeks ago (5/80/1).

Pitts is a frustrating player to roster in any format, and his floor is much, much lower than it likely should be for a player of his talent. Despite throwing a total of 27 times against the 49ers and Bengals, Mariota has averaged 25.5 pass attempts over the last two weeks. If Atlanta wants to stay alive and possibly pull off the improbable in this division, this game is a must. After being gifted a win due to two missed kicks and a complete failure by the NFL, they need to take advantage.

Riddle me this though…DJ Moore gets a game-altering penalty for taking off his helmet (off the field of play). Travis Kelce not only removes his helmet, but angrily slams it to the turf throwing it 10+ yards. One is penalized, one is not. The NFL bias and inconsistency is a joke. Enough about that though…

FLEX/AnyFLEX Plays

Terrance Marshall Jr., Panthers ($8,400 DraftKings, $9,000 FanDuel)

The former LSU Tiger is finally making a name for himself in the NFL. He has 12.7 and 14.3 DraftKings points over his last two games. He has seen 15 targets over that span as well. While the targets can’t be relied on to be accurate, regardless of who is under center, the potential is there.

I mentioned above how awful the Atlanta secondary has been of late. I still have little to no faith in PJ Walker, or either of the failed journeymen behind him. However, volume is king, and Marshall will continue to get looks here.

Chuba Hubbard, Panthers ($5,800 DraftKings, $10,000 FanDuel)

Hubbard looks to be ready to return to action this week, and it’s a good spot for him. I feel like a broken record talking about the inconsistencies at the QB position for Carolina. However, both Hubbard and D’Onta Foreman have shown flashes in the backfield.

Hubbard’s last appearance led to 11 touches for 73 yards and a score. He should step right back into a close timeshare with Foreman in this one. The committee here will cap any upside for Carolina backs, but his price is more than reasonable here.

Drake London, Falcons ($8,200 DraftKings, $10,500 FanDuel)

Add London to the list of Falcons players with elite upside who are simply dying in this run-first offense. He could use a traditional QB under center. Regardless, London is among the best rookies in the NFL, and showed his upside early this season.

I’m banking on a bounceback here for London. The opportunities have been there the last few weeks, as he has seen 12 looks over a two-week period. Call it a hunch. He’s going to break a long touchdown and post a big total here.

Other Options

With Chuba Hubbard back in the mix, everyone will look away from Raheem Blackshear. He had nine touches last week, and totaled 53 yards and a score. He could still see some work on passing downs, and he is fairly cheap. Decent pivot with a low floor but touchdown upside.

Both kickers are in play here, but I prefer Younghoe Koo. Their previous matchup aside, neither offense has done much. If we see some stalled drives, it could be a kicker kind of night.

With the uncertainty under center for the Panthers, I think this could be a spot to take a shot on Sam Darnold if you’re doing MME. Baker Mayfield came in against the Bengals backups and played decent, but I’m not putting much stock into that. The Panthers have seen what Mayfield can (can’t) do, and while Darnold inspires very little confidence…he could see a shot if Walker struggles again. Just to be clear, I’m talking about maybe 2-3% of your lineups if mass-entering. It is most likely you will get a full zero.

Shi Smith played on 80% of the offensive snaps last week, and didn’t do much (1/20 on two targets). However, that sort of opportunity makes him a play to consider if you’re diving deep.

Both of these defenses are absolutely dog water (my kids never stop with that one), but I’d lean toward Atlanta if you’re taking a shot with one. The Panthers QBs are much more turnover-prone.

Make sure to join our Discord to jump into our conversations with the team and share your successes (I am “Myrtle Beach Mermen”, if you understand the reference, we will get along right away! We have a TON of great tools for you to check out, make sure you’re taking advantage! You can find projections here and try out the optimizer here.

Good luck on Thursday Night! Make sure to follow me on Twitter if you aren’t already, and let’s meet at the top of the leaderboards!

0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail

The Tight End position has been a tough one to peg this season, but we continue to get more information. TJ Hockenson dominated in his new home and James Mitchell found the end zone. Gerald Everett and Zach Ertz continued to see elite volume. Travis Kelce wasn’t on the main slate but saw a ridiculous amount of volume against the Titans (who are essentially just a college team who only runs). Let’s find some value for Week 10!

Greg Dulcich, Broncos ($3,400 DraftKings, $5,900 FanDuel)

Dulcich has only played three games this season, but he is now 5th among all TE (on this slate) in fantasy points per game. He has averaged four catches on six targets for 66 yards and .3 TD per game. He has seen both Russell Wilson and Brett Rypien (who seems like he was named to be a player in the 70s with a mustache and a Firebird). His volume and role in the offense seems to be steady.

The Broncos (along with their fellow AFC West foes Las Vegas) have been one of the biggest disappointments in the NFL this season. Russell Wilson is still an absolute bore, but at least we don’t have to watch (or hear) him in showtime this week. Enough about Wilson. Dulcich looks like a fantastic option against a Titans defense that has allowed the 3rd-most fantasy points per game to opposing TE this season.

Travis Kelce, Chiefs ($7,800 DraftKings, $8,500 FanDuel)

Kelce once again cemented himself as the class of the NFL at the TE position. He saw an insane 17 targets while Kansas City struggled with the Titans. He finished with 10/106. He eclipsed the 22-point DraftKings mark for the fourth time in his last five games. The outlier? A pathetic 15.8 points.

Kelce is incredibly expensive, but his floor/ceiling combo is so much higher than any other player on the slate. He has legitimate 30-point upside any time he steps on the field, regardless of the matchup. The Jaguars are #6 in the NFL in fantasy points allowed to opposing Tight Ends, but Kelce cares not for your numbers.

Although it was a complete joke that he wasn’t penalized for his temper tantrum last week, you don’t lose fantasy points for being emotional. He has nine more targets than any other TE in the NFL. I don’t need to explain much more about Kelce. You all know who he is and what he is capable of every day.

Cole Kmet, Bears ($3,400 DraftKings, $5,300 FanDuel)

Guess who’s BAAACCCKKK? Kmet FINALLY broke through last week, and his coming out party directly coincides with with Justin Fields’ ascension. Cole not only found the end zone again, but has now scored three times in two weeks. The Bears remain the most run-heavy offense in the NFL, but that isn’t a concern here.

Not only is Kmet in a great spot against a Lions defense that is truly abysmal across the board (although they made a mockery of Aaron Rodgers). They rank 29th in the NFL in fantasy points allowed against opposing Tight Ends. Kmet and Fields have now connected on seven of eight attempts for 52 yards and three touchdowns over the last two weeks.

The yardage upside may never be there, but Kmet has firmly established himself as a touchdown-upside play each and every week now. The Lions are an ideal target here. Fire him up.

Dalton Schultz, Cowboys ($3,800 DraftKings, $5,500 FanDuel)

If you’re looking for a safe option at a good price tag, let me interest you in Schultz. He has a fantastic rapport with Dak Prescott, and that has been evident over the last two weeks. He has pulled in 11 of 12 targets for 123 yards over two games since being reunited with Dak.

The Packers have been about as good against TE as Aaron Rodgers has been bad against everyone. The offense has been a joke, but the defense has fared well most weeks. That won’t scare me off of Schultz here, as this game will likely be close until the end. I expect the Cowboys to win this one, and Schultz will continue to see looks as a vital part of this offense.

Tyler Higbee, Rams ($3,600 DraftKings, $6,000 FanDuel)

In the same way that a dog targets a cat, a bully targets a nerd, or anything in between, we will continue to pick on the Cardinals with Tight Ends. Ownership may play into our favor as well, as Higbee is coming off of three straight terrible performances. He has TOTALED three catches and 5.2 DraftKings points over that span.

Despite that lack of production, Higbee still saw nine targets over the last three weeks. The Rams have been a trainwreck on offense. They have scored 20, 9, 10, 24, 13, and 16 points in their last six games. While the upside may not seem to be there, I truly believe it is this week.

Matthew Stafford is in concussion protocol right now, but even if he doesn’t suit up, I think Higbee could be a game-changer this week. This week will undoubtedly see some low-cost Tight Ends score among the highest. Factor in cost, and there are a good number of cheap Tight Ends in Week 10. Higbee needs to be on your radar.

Be sure to jump into the WinDailySports Discord, and take advantage of our cheat sheets and projections while you build your lineups for Week 8 on FanDuel and DraftKings! Week 10 is upon us, and we are ready to keep rolling! Let’s find ourselves a few edges as we climb the leaderboards once again!

Come find me on Twitter and let’s chat some football! Good luck in Week 7, and let’s meet at the top of the leaderboards!

0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail

The Tight End position has been a tough one to peg this season, but we continue to get more information. TJ Hockenson dominated in his new home and James Mitchell found the end zone. Gerald Everett and Zach Ertz continued to see elite volume. Travis Kelce wasn’t on the main slate but saw a ridiculous amount of volume against the Titans (who are essentially just a college team who only runs). Let’s find some value for Week 10!

Greg Dulcich, Broncos ($3,400 DraftKings, $5,900 FanDuel)

Dulcich has only played three games this season, but he is now 5th among all TE (on this slate) in fantasy points per game. He has averaged four catches on six targets for 66 yards and .3 TD per game. He has seen both Russell Wilson and Brett Rypien (who seems like he was named to be a player in the 70s with a mustache and a Firebird). His volume and role in the offense seems to be steady.

The Broncos (along with their fellow AFC West foes Las Vegas) have been one of the biggest disappointments in the NFL this season. Russell Wilson is still an absolute bore, but at least we don’t have to watch (or hear) him in showtime this week. Enough about Wilson. Dulcich looks like a fantastic option against a Titans defense that has allowed the 3rd-most fantasy points per game to opposing TE this season.

Travis Kelce, Chiefs ($7,800 DraftKings, $8,500 FanDuel)

Kelce once again cemented himself as the class of the NFL at the TE position. He saw an insane 17 targets while Kansas City struggled with the Titans. He finished with 10/106. He eclipsed the 22-point DraftKings mark for the fourth time in his last five games. The outlier? A pathetic 15.8 points.

Kelce is incredibly expensive, but his floor/ceiling combo is so much higher than any other player on the slate. He has legitimate 30-point upside any time he steps on the field, regardless of the matchup. The Jaguars are #6 in the NFL in fantasy points allowed to opposing Tight Ends, but Kelce cares not for your numbers.

Although it was a complete joke that he wasn’t penalized for his temper tantrum last week, you don’t lose fantasy points for being emotional. He has nine more targets than any other TE in the NFL. I don’t need to explain much more about Kelce. You all know who he is and what he is capable of every day.

Cole Kmet, Bears ($3,400 DraftKings, $5,300 FanDuel)

Guess who’s BAAACCCKKK? Kmet FINALLY broke through last week, and his coming out party directly coincides with with Justin Fields’ ascension. Cole not only found the end zone again, but has now scored three times in two weeks. The Bears remain the most run-heavy offense in the NFL, but that isn’t a concern here.

Not only is Kmet in a great spot against a Lions defense that is truly abysmal across the board (although they made a mockery of Aaron Rodgers). They rank 29th in the NFL in fantasy points allowed against opposing Tight Ends. Kmet and Fields have now connected on seven of eight attempts for 52 yards and three touchdowns over the last two weeks.

The yardage upside may never be there, but Kmet has firmly established himself as a touchdown-upside play each and every week now. The Lions are an ideal target here. Fire him up.

Dalton Schultz, Cowboys ($3,800 DraftKings, $5,500 FanDuel)

If you’re looking for a safe option at a good price tag, let me interest you in Schultz. He has a fantastic rapport with Dak Prescott, and that has been evident over the last two weeks. He has pulled in 11 of 12 targets for 123 yards over two games since being reunited with Dak.

The Packers have been about as good against TE as Aaron Rodgers has been bad against everyone. The offense has been a joke, but the defense has fared well most weeks. That won’t scare me off of Schultz here, as this game will likely be close until the end. I expect the Cowboys to win this one, and Schultz will continue to see looks as a vital part of this offense.

Tyler Higbee, Rams ($3,600 DraftKings, $6,000 FanDuel)

In the same way that a dog targets a cat, a bully targets a nerd, or anything in between, we will continue to pick on the Cardinals with Tight Ends. Ownership may play into our favor as well, as Higbee is coming off of three straight terrible performances. He has TOTALED three catches and 5.2 DraftKings points over that span.

Despite that lack of production, Higbee still saw nine targets over the last three weeks. The Rams have been a trainwreck on offense. They have scored 20, 9, 10, 24, 13, and 16 points in their last six games. While the upside may not seem to be there, I truly believe it is this week.

Matthew Stafford is in concussion protocol right now, but even if he doesn’t suit up, I think Higbee could be a game-changer this week. This week will undoubtedly see some low-cost Tight Ends score among the highest. Factor in cost, and there are a good number of cheap Tight Ends in Week 10. Higbee needs to be on your radar.

Be sure to jump into the WinDailySports Discord, and take advantage of our cheat sheets and projections while you build your lineups for Week 8 on FanDuel and DraftKings! Week 10 is upon us, and we are ready to keep rolling! Let’s find ourselves a few edges as we climb the leaderboards once again!

Come find me on Twitter and let’s chat some football! Good luck in Week 7, and let’s meet at the top of the leaderboards!

0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail

We’re just getting started here in DFS as we cruise into the NFL of Week 10. More teams on bye, but still plenty to work with at quarterback for this slate. Ten games, 20 quarterbacks in the pool…let’s figure out who makes the most sense and has the clearest path to paying off their salaries. When in doubt refer back to the model, it’s the best tool in the WinDaily shed! Remember I’m on our Discord @JDiCarlo78 and tag me anytime for questions on DFS or season long. And now back to the agenda at hand, Week 10 quarterbacks… Here we go!

Check out our NFL Week 10 DFS Quarterbacks!

Josh Allen ($8,600 DraftKings/$9,200 FanDuel)

The front-running MVP candidate was clearly in discomfort from a loss to the Jets and from injuring his UCL (elbow) in his throwing arm. The Bills seem optimistic about Josh playing in Week 10 as of Tuesday, but it’s way too early to tell. We’ve been rolling with Allen all year in DFS, if the medical staff can sign off on him to play, we should too. If he does sit this one out, feel free to plug in the veteran Case Keenum ($5,000 DraftKings/$6,100 FanDuel). A reunion with Stefon Diggs against their former team could be a match made in DFS Heaven.

Patrick Mahomes ($7,900 DraftKings/$8,500 FanDuel)

The ideal pivot from a less than 100 percent Josh Allen, positions Mahomes as the default number one quarterback in the Main Slate for Week 10. The Kansas City pride and joy should crush his hefty price tag again by hosting Jacksonville this weekend. Averaging 35 DK points in his last two contests, Mahomes controls his own destiny at this point of the season. With the amount of weaponry at his fingertips, there may not be a defense capable of containing him.

Kyler Murray ($7,200 DraftKings/$7,800 FanDuel)

Murray continues to be consistent. He provides us with a 20-point fantasy floor each week, mainly with his legs and dart passes to DeAndre Hopkins. He faces the Rams in their second of two meetings on Sunday. When Aaron Donald gets loose, Murray will be on the move for a ton more rushing yards, and since LA cannot defend the middle of the field, it should open up targets for tight end Zach Ertz and Rondale Moore. The Cardinal defense has had problems themselves this year in the secondary, which portrays a back-and-forth game script for Murray to rack up fantasy points again in Week 10.

Tua Tagovailoa ($6,700 DraftKings/$8,100 FanDuel)

His matchup isn’t as juicy as his previous two weeks, but we still have to hang with the quarterback with the NFL’s highest QB rating (115.9) of Tua. He hit the jackpot with probably the best receiving core of Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle since “The Greatest Show on Turf”. The rationale of this Miami offense is to get the ball out to both of these receivers and Tua reaps the rewards every game. Tagovailoa has averaged 30 DK points in his last two contests and with the creativity of head coach Mike McDaniel, opposing defenses struggle to pinpoint where the ball is going in the Dolphin offense.

Justin Fields ($6,500 DraftKings/$8,300 FanDuel)

Boy oh, boy did we just witness a break out for Mr. Fields last week…45 DK points are you kidding me?! Fields set a new record for rushing with 178 yards in one game, eat my shorts, Michael Vick! You for sure cashed in tickets last week if you rostered him, and I see no reason why not diving back in with Fields again this week. Detroit, at home, nuff said. Get your Fields shares this weekend playing a defense that has ranked dead last in rushing and passing DVOA for the year.

Trevor Lawrence ($5,400 DraftKings/$7,000 FanDuel)

Lawrence did fairly well against Vegas at his salary last week, but he ran into a Justin Fields explosion on Sunday. T-Law has hit his value in 3 of his last 4 games, and on the road in Kansas City, there’ll be plenty of ground to make up for against Mahomes‘ impeccable offense. In order for Lawrence to keep up the pace with Kansas City, the team will need to rely on his arm and get points on the scoreboard. Super cheap on DraftKings and FanDuel, Trevor will moon-walk into paying off fantasy managers on a Chiefs’ defense that ranks 24th in DVOA against the pass.

Thanks for reading our NFL Week DFS Quarterbacks article for Week 10. There will be tons of content covering each position all week, cash games and tournaments, and plenty of articles, videos, and podcasts so check in with us whichever way you like to consume your content. Don’t forget to check out our projection models and cheat sheets which will be updated throughout the week. Livestreams will be up on our Video Hub and make sure you lock into our Sunday morning live stream to keep up to date with all the last-minute news. Tag me @Jdicarlo78 on our Discord chat or on Twitter @JoeDiCarlo78. Fellas let’s keep the green screens coming!

0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail

I couldn’t have been more wrong about last week’s Monday Night game. I’ll take my “L” right on the chin. Zac Taylor refused to run the ball in a prime spot and the team looked disinterested. Nevertheless, we move on to Week 9, and have a good one on tap. The Ravens are currently listed as a 1.5-point favorite with a total hovering around 46.5 points. The Ravens have had five straight games decided by five points or less, going 3-2 in that span. The Saints have also played five of six games within one score, save for their dominant 24-0 beating of the Raiders last week. Let’s cash in tonight!

DraftKings and FanDuel each have a slightly different setup for Showdown slates, with DraftKings using a “Captain” spot. Captain earns you 1.5X points, BUT also costs you 1.5X in salary. FanDuel uses an “MVP”, which is ALSO 1.5X points, but salaries are the same, regardless of position. DraftKings uses 5 FLEX spots, and FanDuel uses 4 “AnyFLEX” spots to fill out your roster.

Make sure to join our Discord to jump into our conversations with the team and share your successes (I am “Myrtle Beach Mermen”, if you understand the reference, we will get along right away! We have a TON of great tools for you to check out, make sure you’re taking advantage! You can find projections here and try out the optimizer here.

Captain/MVP Plays

Lamar Jackson, Ravens ($18,600 DraftKings, $17,000 FanDuel)

The Ravens may be 5-3 and sitting pretty coming into this one, but Lamar hasn’t been his best this season. Since his two monster performances in Weeks 2-3, Lamar has averaged 16.3 DraftKings points per game. It sounds absurd to say, but I don’t think he is the must-play here that many believe. His upside is second to none, and if he has a ceiling game, you simply aren’t catching up on a showdown slate without him. However, his price is very prohibitive in a matchup that is less than ideal.

The Saints are much more beatable through the air than on the ground, as they rank top 10 in fantasy points allowed to RB. They aren’t too far behind the Ravens at 26th in the NFL against opposing WR. That said, Lamar has an enormous ceiling, and if you are one of those degenerates who plays cash on a showdown slate, he’s a must-play.

Lamar hasn’t rushed for a score since Week 3, and has only five scores to five turnovers in the last five weeks. Call me insane here if you want, as the Saints defense has been susceptible through the air, but a Lamar fade in large-field tournaments could pay off in a massive way. I’m not telling you to fade him, but if you’re doing MME, there are quite a few options that can be had. Hear me out.

Alvin Kamara, Saints ($17,100 DraftKings, $15,500 FanDuel)

You ready for this? Kamara is going to outscore Lamar on MNF. Not in the idiotic way that Domonique Foxworth said PJ Walker would outplay Joe Burrow on Sunday (absolute clown show). But think about this. With Mark Andrews, Gus Edwards and Rashod Bateman all OUT (Edwards is DOUBTFUL), Lamar is going to be the only player the Saints truly have to stop.

Kamara is coming off his best game of the season, and the Ravens have been stout against the run. However, they have been susceptible against pass-catching backs. They have allowed 63 catches (8th-highest) and 365 receiving yards (7th-highest) to opposing RB this season.

Kamara played 72% of the snaps last week, and saw 10 targets in the passing game. He has now seen 9+ targets in three straight weeks. He has a high floor and high ceiling in this one, and could see a high volume in this one especially as the Saints will look to control the clock.

Chris Olave, Saints ($12,900 DraftKings, $13,000 FanDuel)

You all saw what elite receivers have done to this Ravens defense at times this season, and Olave will get his shot here. Baltimore is allowing nearly 40 fantasy points per game to opposing WR, good for 29th in the NFL.

Olave has become the #1 option out wide for Andy Dalton this season, and now it looks like Michael Thomas may have played his last game in a Saints uniform. He has been a target hog, and has reached 100 yards or a touchdown in four of his last five games. He makes for a solid play across the board, and could put up big numbers if the Saints go the aggressive route.

FLEX/AnyFLEX Plays

Isaiah Likely, Ravens ($5,800 DraftKings, $7,500 FanDuel)

I’ve seen some rumblings about fading Likely in this one and not taking the chance in season-long, and I couldn’t disagree more. The Saints do rank #1 in the NFL in fantasy points allowed to opposing TE, but check out this murderer’s row of TE they have faced:

Kyle Pitts

Cameron Brate

Ian Thomas

Irv Smith Jr.

Noah Fant/Will Dissly

Hayden Hurst

Zach Ertz

Foster Moreau

They have yet to allow a TD to the TE position, but that ends tonight. We have seen time and time again how much Lamar and the Ravens rely on their TE, and Likely showed that last week. He posted a 6-77-1 line after Mark Andrews went down with injury. Granted, Tampa Bay has been a sieve on defense against TE, but the point remains. It’s “likely” a good move to lock Likely into your lineups tonight. I’ll be doing the same.

Andy Dalton, Saints ($10,200 DraftKings, $15,000 FanDuel)

Love him or hate him, Dalton has cemented himself as the starter for the Saints (at least for now). He is coming off a two-game stretch where he averaged 295 yards, 3 TD and 1.5 INT per game. He may not be the one you want leading a game-winning drive, and he certainly isn’t the guy you want to rely on in the playoffs. That said, he has been solid under center for New Orleans, and this isn’t a bad spot at all.

The Saints may be getting Jarvis Landry back for this one (keep an eye on his status), but Dalton has built a great rapport with Kamara and Olave. The Saints have only allowed 15 sacks the entire season, which is among the best in the league. Baltimore has gotten after the QB pretty well this season, averaging nearly three sacks per game. Something has to give, and the Saints have turned to a conservative game plan in situations like these. I don’t expect many deep drop backs to put Dalton in harm’s way.

Quick reference here…in Andy Dalton’s last six games against Baltimore, he has 2, 2, 0, 2, 4, and 3 TD passes. Dalton played on some bad teams in that stretch. He has played this team a good deal, and the main threat to him on this showdown slate is Taysom Hill (more on him soon).

Devin Duvernay, Ravens ($6,800 DraftKings, $11,000 FanDuel)

Duvernay’s price is a little much for me on FanDuel, where his tag is a lot closer to the top options I much prefer. However, SOMEONE has to catch the ball on this offense, right? I’m banking heavily on Likely, but Duvernay will undoubtedly be heavily involved here also.

His usage has been sporadic (much like the Baltimore offense), but he has seen work in some creative run plays of late. He has five carries, including a touchdown over his last four games. All of the carries came against Cincinnati and Tampa Bay, and I see this game as being a similar one to those. Duvernay has the added benefit of returning kicks as well. I’m not forcing him in anywhere, but he should be on your radar.

Other Options

Tayson Hill most weeks will be your most genius play or the biggest waste of your time. His price is actually super reasonable here. Taysom’s last four games look like this (DraftKings scoring): 37.08, 4.54, 10.12, 8.28. His floor continues to outweigh his ceiling by a good bit. There may not be another player around this price point with anywhere near his upside. Jameis Winston is healthy now, but he is clearly the backup. Taysom will be involved here.

You ready for this one? Kansas City let us down last night, but the Titans ran a great gameplan to avoid disaster. It’s DEFENSE MONDAY! The Saints defense is honestly not that great. They are still missing Marshon Lattimore, but there are no Ravens WR that worry me. What the Saints HAVE done well is get after the QB. They have at least three sacks in five of their last six games. I’m looking for an edge here, and I see value in the Saints defense.

On the other side of the ball, the Ravens defense is absolutely in play as well. Andy Dalton has a propensity to force throws, and we could easily see a few passes headed the other way. I see more leverage on the field with a Saints play, but I’ll have a few lineups with both as well.

Justin Tucker is still the best. He has a very punchable face, and I can imagine he would be an absolute bore to hang out with, but the dude just makes kicks. He will be popular, and for good reason.

Don’t forget about Kenyan Drake, he will be a popular play here. His pass-catching ability makes him one of the better overall options in this one. Gus Edwards’ status is key here, but he seems very unlikely to play. Cue up the Ravens fans telling you that only their team ever has injuries and losses don’t count if anyone is out…

If DeSean Jackson is activated for this one, he is only $200 on DraftKings. Stick him in a few lineups. You know Lamar will be taking a few shots down the field to one of the best to ever do it (although I think Jackson is my age now?).

Rashid Shaheed has come through for us on a couple showdown slates already…but his price has risen quite a bit. He should still see a look or two down the field, so he will be in my player pool.

Good luck on Monday Night! Make sure to follow me on Twitter if you aren’t already, and let’s meet at the top of the leaderboards!

0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail

Sunday Night Football is here once again, and we have a matchup of the #1 and #2 seeds from last year’s AFC Playoffs. Both teams come into this one at 5-2. Regardless, the Titans are the biggest underdog of the week at 12.5 points. Kansas City has looked exponentially better than the Titans this season, but playing in the cupcake division of the AFC South has the Titans once again propped up much higher than they rightfully should be. Expect

DraftKings and FanDuel each have a slightly different setup for Showdown slates, with DraftKings using a “Captain” spot. Captain earns you 1.5X points, BUT also costs you 1.5X in salary. FanDuel uses an “MVP”, which is ALSO 1.5X points, but salaries are the same, regardless of position. DraftKings uses 5 FLEX spots, and FanDuel uses 4 “AnyFLEX” spots to fill out your roster.

Captain/MVP Plays

Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs ($18,000 DraftKings, $16,500 FanDuel)

This may be stunning to remember, but these Titans dominated Kansas City last season to the tune of a 27-3 beatdown. In fact, Derrick Henry threw a touchdown pass in that one and Mahomes did not. I’d be willing to wager that we don’t see that again.

Moving on to 2022, Mahomes has once again looked like an MVP candidate, posting a 20/5 TD/INT ratio. He is the clear top dog here, and with yet another weapon added to the mix in KaDarius Toney, KC is once again in a great spot.

The Titans are 23rd in the NFL in fantasy points allowed to opposing QB, and Mahomes is as good as any (but you knew that). Don’t overthink this one. Mahomes needs to be a priority on this showdown slate. The loss to Tennessee last season prevented the Chiefs from earning that coveted first-round bye. I’m certain that Mahomes hasn’t forgotten. Get ready for some fireworks.

Derrick Henry, Titans ($16,200 DraftKings, $16,000 FanDuel)

I already mentioned that Henry found the end zone through the air against Kansas City last season. Aside from that, he was unspectacular but solid, totaling 97 yards from scrimmage. That said, Ryan Tannehill has been terrible this season, and is coming into this one as a major question mark. Whether we see Tannehill under center or Malik Willis, Henry will be the focal point of the offense.

His volume is second to none in the NFL, and he has at least THIRTY touches in each of the last three games. Henry may be the safest option at the position on even a main slate. His upside is all dependent on his role in the passing game, and touchdowns. He has multiple scores in two of his last three games, and 30+ receiving yards in three of five.

Pairing Henry and Mahomes will be tough on this slate, but certainly something to consider if we can make it work. Kansas City ranks 26th in the NFL in fantasy points allowed to opposing RB. Enough said. King Henry has only one thing potentially going against him here, and that’s game script. The Titans were blown out once this season, and Henry saw only 13 touches.

JuJu Smith-Schuster, Chiefs ($12,600 DraftKings, $11,500 FanDuel)

JuJu has finally stopped focusing on making his insufferable TikToks and focused on actually playing football. It has paid off in a big way of late, as his 5/113/1 and 7/124/1 lines over the last two games have paced the team.

The Titans are that team that is just good enough against inferior competition to feign competitiveness. Don’t mistake a soft schedule and division for anything but good fortune. This isn’t much more than an average team, and they are very exploitable.

Tennessee ranks 27th in the NFL in fantasy points allowed to opposing WR, serving up nearly 40 PPG. JuJu remains a big play threat, and his rapport with Mahomes seems to be growing by the week. Lock him with some confidence. He will be one of my higher-owned players on this slate.

FLEX/AnyFLEX Plays

Kansas City Defense ($5,800 DraftKings, $9,000 FanDuel)

Listen, the KC defense isn’t a particularly good unit, allowing 31, 29, 24, and 23 points in their last four games. That said, this is a Titans offense has has less than 200 TOTAL passing yards the last two weeks COMBINED. This passing attack is scaring nobody, and even less so if Malik Willis draws the start.

One thing this unit does well is force turnovers, as they have forced eight on the season, including five in their last four games. I just don’t see a path for the Titans to score a lot here unless Derrick Henry runs wild. Whoever is under center for the Titans will be under a lot of pressure and ready to make mistakes. Let’s cash in on the opportunity.

Dontrell Hilliard, Titans ($4,200 DraftKings, $8,000 FanDuel)

I simply cannot in good conscience suggest that you prioritize a single WR from the Titans side. I truly believe the only chance the Titans have in this one is to control the clock by running 10000x again. They had better pray for some defensive stops, or else that strategy is going to be damn near impossible.

Either way, I like Hillard a bit here because of the potential volume, especially if Tannehill doesn’t play. He was productive last week, totaling 95 scrimmage yards on 9 touches. I mentioned the struggles Kansas City has had against the run. If Tannehill sits, I may just lock both Henry and Hilliard and move along.

Travis Kelce, Chiefs ($10,400 DraftKings, $14,500 FanDuel)

What can I say about Kelce aside from the fact that he never seems to be on the main slate when we want him to be. He is the epitome of consistency and upside. He is averaging 21.8 DraftKings points per game, and has 22.2 or more in three of his last four games. I don’t see him as a must-play here by any means, as I do think this game plays much slower than Kansas City is accustomed to. That said, we have seen Kelce dominate even with low volume (7/25 and FOUR touchdowns against the Raiders). Give him a look, if Tennessee keeps this one close, the sky is the limit for Kelce again.

Other Options

Mecole Hardman has become a key part of this terrifying Chiefs offense, and it’s about damn time. He has scored four touchdowns on nine touches over the last two weeks. He will likely be higher owned than he should be based on volume, but the upside is certainly there and he is reasonably priced.

Harrison Butker could be the Titans’ best friend if they are able to get some stops, and he could be yours as well if this one stays low-scoring. “ButtKicker” has actually missed two of his five attempts this season, but his track record speaks for itself. He likely won’t carry much ownership due to the Chiefs propensity to score touchdowns.

If you absolutely have to play some Titans WR (which I’m prioritizing more if Tannehill plays), Robert Woods would be the guy. I can’t imagine the frustration from a guy like him going from the Rams to the Titans, but the talent is still there. Kansas City has been one of the worst in the NFL against opposing WR, but a good deal of those stats have been garbage time. We also don’t care when the points come…we just want to see GREEN at the end of the night.

If you believe this one turns into a blowout, you need to prioritize Isiah Pacheco. In both games Kansas City has carried a big lead late, he has seen extra work, averaging 10+ carries per game in those spots.

Austin Hooper isn’t a bad punt play at all here, I prefer him to Geoff Swain by a good bit.

Keep an eye on the status of Tannehill as the day progresses, and let’s cash in on Sunday Night!

Make sure to join our Discord to jump into our conversations with the team and share your successes (I am “Myrtle Beach Mermen”, if you understand the reference, we will get along right away! We have a TON of great tools for you to check out, make sure you’re taking advantage! You can find projections here and try out the optimizer here.

Good luck on Sunday Night! Make sure to follow me on Twitter @BigItaly42 if you aren’t already, and let’s meet at the top of the leaderboards!

0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail

We had another solid week with the Running Back Report Card in Week 8. Our number one play was the number one play last week in Tony Pollard and he paid off with 3 touchdowns versus the Bears. We also had shares of Foreman, Kamara, and Henry which put us in prime position to cash in GPP’s.

Please be sure to check out Stix’s projections each week when evaluating NFL DFS using the NFL Projection Model. It’s the best predictive tool on the market and will give you a competitive advantage against the competition! Also don’t forget to check out our NFL DraftCast we did earlier this week here at WinDaily, which breaks down our favorite plays on the entire slate.

As with the past weeks I highlight my favorite 10 RB’s below and break them up into Tiers (Tier 1 = $7K above, Tier 2 = $6K to $7K, Tier 3 = below $6K).

My strategy this week is to employ 3 RB’s in most of my lineups as I think there is better value at the top of the WR board. I’ll look to take a Tier 1 RB as I love several of the backs in that tier. I’ll then try to balance it with 2 more from a mix of Tier’s 2 and 3. I will not try to stack two from Tier 1.

TIER 1 DFS RUNNING BACKS

AUSTIN EKELER $8800 DraftKings $9400 FanDuel

Ekeler and the Chargers had a bye in Week 8 which was a good thing. That’s because the Chargers RB was coming off a stretch in which he caught 22 balls in 2 games and had 45 touches. What’s more impressive is if we go back 4 weeks, Ekeler has averaged 33.8 DK points per game as the Chargers have put a premium on getting Ekeler the ball. And this week, he has two advantages going his way. First is the Atlanta Falcons as they rank 31st in defensive DVOA (26th in rushing DVOA). Last week they allowed 118 yards rushing and 3 TD’s to D’Onta Foreman. The next piece of the puzzle playing in Ekeler’s favor is that the Chargers are without Keenan Allen and Mike Williams meaning they will make Ekeler a big part of their gameplan once again this week. SMASH this play.

AARON JONES $7400 DraftKings $7800 FanDuel

Aaron Jones was picked in the top 12 of many season long fantasy leagues and for the most part he’s been a disappointment. However, his last 2 weeks have popped and he’s put 233 total yards and 2 TD’s. This week he gets the dream matchup of facing the Lions who are the worst defense in the league. Detroit is 31st in defensive DVOA, 30th in defensive rushing DVOA and 30th in yards allowed per game rushing (154.9). Even better news is that Jones has 71% of the RB snap counts the past 2 weeks. It’s his backfield and unless Packers HC changes his gameplan, Jones will be the beneficiary of getting the pass catching reps and goal line carries as well as compiling 60% or more of the touches. I think he’s a SMASH play for FanDuel especially with the TD upside.

JONATHAN JACOBS $7300 DraftKings $8800 FanDuel

Jacobs finally had a bad game last week in New Orleans. But that was primarily due to the score of the game and the fact the Saints had the ball for 10 more minutes than the Raiders. He was limited to just 10 carries and 2 catches. But that should all change this week as he gets to face the Jaguars who are allow the 25th most fantasy points to RB’s and are 20th in rushing defense DVOA. The Raiders are a hot mess, but so are the Jags who have lost 5 in a row and are coming back from a trip overseas. I think the Raiders will make it a priority to get Jacobs the ball early and often and he will go for another huge game similar to his games against Houston, KC and Denver.

TIER 2 DFS RUNNING BACKS

JOE MIXON $6500 DraftKings $8100 FanDuel

I’m really not sure what head coach Zach Taylor is doing with his offense. Last week he was facing the Browns who have an aggressive pass rush so he decided to throw 82% of his play calls (only 9 rushes called). And what’s even more ridiculous is that the Browns are BAD against the run ranking 29th in rush defense DVOA. I’m betting he learned his lesson last week and will try to be more balanced so he doesn’t get Burrow killed. Carolina ranks 7th in rush DVOA but allows 126.6 yards per game rushing which is 23rd in the NFL. Close your eyes but this is one of those off the grid plays that has potential to be a big swing in GPP’s. I would not play Mixon in cash games.

TRAVIS ETIENNE $6300 DraftKings $7600 FanDuel

Etienne exploded for 156 rushing yards last week in his first game without James Robinson to share carries with. The Jags RB has now rushed for 427 yards the past 4 games on 58 carries. He’s shot up the charts as one of the top RB’s in all fantasy but yet still priced at only $6300. As for DFS, he’s received 80% of the snap counts the past 2 weeks and if that pace and rate continues he should be in line for a huge game again this week. The Raiders are 18th in rush defense DVOA and allow the 24th most fantasy points to RB’s. Another clear SMASH that will be chalky.

KENNETH WALKER $6200 DraftKings $7300 FanDuel

Walker didn’t have a great game against the Giants as he averaged just 2.8 yards per carry on 18 rushes. But he still managed to find the endzone which got him positive 2x return on his salary. He’s averaging over 20 carries per game over the past 3 games and I don’t see that stopping this week. Give me 20+ carries of Walker at this price and I’ll gladly bite. While the Cardinals are solid against the run (13th in yards per game) they are 29th in points allowed at 25.5. So I see endzone potential once again and another good opportunity to roster Walker. I like him better in cash this week and his ceiling is a little lower due to Arizona’s defense and pace.

RAHEEM MOSTERT $6000 DraftKings $6500 FanDuel

The addition of Jeff Wilson does muddy the waters. But I still think Mostert will be the primary back in the Dolphins offense. He has played with Wilson in previous years and they should have a good comradery. But more importantly is the fact the Dolphins face the Bears this week who just last week allowed the Cowboys to run for 200 yards and 4 rushing touchdowns. The Bears are also 28th in rush defense DVOA while allowing the 2nd most rushing yards per game at 156. They also traded Roquan Smith and Robert Quinn which severely dents their front 7. Let’s go and trust the Fins are still going to ride the Mostert train.

TIER 3 DFS RUNNING BACKS (VALUE TIER)

JAMAAL WILLIAMS DraftKings $7500 FanDuel

It’s pretty clear that even though De’Andre Swift is back and playing (though questionable on Sunday) t Jamaal Williams is the lead back for carries. Swift did manage to get 55% of the snaps last week but Williams got 55% of the carries. The intrigue this week is Williams faces the Packers who are 31st in rush defense DVOA. They also allow the 29th most rushing yards per game at 141.3. If Swift is out this is a smash. Otherwise, it’s a high upside play for GPP’s only.

CORDARRELLE PATTERSON $5800 DraftKings $7200 FanDuel

He’s back! Cordarrelle Patterson opened a season on a tear by averaging 16.2 fantasy points over his first 4 games. He had 62 touches in those games and 3 touchdowns. He faces the Chargers this week who allow the 31st most fantasy points to RB’s. I love this matchup and think there will be points scored in this game. Feel free to match Patterson and Ekeler in a very good overall game environment.

DEON JACKSON $5200 DraftKings $5000 FanDuel

The recipient of Jonathan Taylor’s ankle injury is Deon Jackson. And he thrived in this role in Week 6 when he scored 28.1 DK points. The other good news is that New England, his opponent this week, is 27th in rush defense DVOA. The Patriots are good against RB’s, allowing 2nd least fantasy points. But they do allow yards so I believe at $5200 on DK, there is good value in Jackson as he should be able to put up both rushing yards and catches this weekend.

BONUS PICKS

My bonus pick this week is LEONARD FOURNETTE ($6600 DK). He is playing against the Rams who have defensed the rush well this year. But he’s still getting over 60% of the snap counts for the slumping Bucs and always has the ability to catch 4+ balls per game.

RB PROP BETS

We will post our RB props on Saturday when the market has finalized some of the player lines.

Now that you finished reading the NFL RUNNING BACK REPORT article make sure to check out our YouTube Channel for constant content for every game and slate in the NFL this season and hop in our Discord Expert Chat.

Also, be sure to follow me on Twitter (@dgloeck) and my other content that is part of the WinDailySports family.

0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail

We had another solid week with the Running Back Report Card in Week 8. Our number one play was the number one play last week in Tony Pollard and he paid off with 3 touchdowns versus the Bears. We also had shares of Foreman, Kamara, and Henry which put us in prime position to cash in GPP’s.

Please be sure to check out Stix’s projections each week when evaluating NFL DFS using the NFL Projection Model. It’s the best predictive tool on the market and will give you a competitive advantage against the competition! Also don’t forget to check out our NFL DraftCast we did earlier this week here at WinDaily, which breaks down our favorite plays on the entire slate.

As with the past weeks I highlight my favorite 10 RB’s below and break them up into Tiers (Tier 1 = $7K above, Tier 2 = $6K to $7K, Tier 3 = below $6K).

My strategy this week is to employ 3 RB’s in most of my lineups as I think there is better value at the top of the WR board. I’ll look to take a Tier 1 RB as I love several of the backs in that tier. I’ll then try to balance it with 2 more from a mix of Tier’s 2 and 3. I will not try to stack two from Tier 1.

TIER 1 DFS RUNNING BACKS

AUSTIN EKELER $8800 DraftKings $9400 FanDuel

Ekeler and the Chargers had a bye in Week 8 which was a good thing. That’s because the Chargers RB was coming off a stretch in which he caught 22 balls in 2 games and had 45 touches. What’s more impressive is if we go back 4 weeks, Ekeler has averaged 33.8 DK points per game as the Chargers have put a premium on getting Ekeler the ball. And this week, he has two advantages going his way. First is the Atlanta Falcons as they rank 31st in defensive DVOA (26th in rushing DVOA). Last week they allowed 118 yards rushing and 3 TD’s to D’Onta Foreman. The next piece of the puzzle playing in Ekeler’s favor is that the Chargers are without Keenan Allen and Mike Williams meaning they will make Ekeler a big part of their gameplan once again this week. SMASH this play.

AARON JONES $7400 DraftKings $7800 FanDuel

Aaron Jones was picked in the top 12 of many season long fantasy leagues and for the most part he’s been a disappointment. However, his last 2 weeks have popped and he’s put 233 total yards and 2 TD’s. This week he gets the dream matchup of facing the Lions who are the worst defense in the league. Detroit is 31st in defensive DVOA, 30th in defensive rushing DVOA and 30th in yards allowed per game rushing (154.9). Even better news is that Jones has 71% of the RB snap counts the past 2 weeks. It’s his backfield and unless Packers HC changes his gameplan, Jones will be the beneficiary of getting the pass catching reps and goal line carries as well as compiling 60% or more of the touches. I think he’s a SMASH play for FanDuel especially with the TD upside.

JONATHAN JACOBS $7300 DraftKings $8800 FanDuel

Jacobs finally had a bad game last week in New Orleans. But that was primarily due to the score of the game and the fact the Saints had the ball for 10 more minutes than the Raiders. He was limited to just 10 carries and 2 catches. But that should all change this week as he gets to face the Jaguars who are allow the 25th most fantasy points to RB’s and are 20th in rushing defense DVOA. The Raiders are a hot mess, but so are the Jags who have lost 5 in a row and are coming back from a trip overseas. I think the Raiders will make it a priority to get Jacobs the ball early and often and he will go for another huge game similar to his games against Houston, KC and Denver.

TIER 2 DFS RUNNING BACKS

JOE MIXON $6500 DraftKings $8100 FanDuel

I’m really not sure what head coach Zach Taylor is doing with his offense. Last week he was facing the Browns who have an aggressive pass rush so he decided to throw 82% of his play calls (only 9 rushes called). And what’s even more ridiculous is that the Browns are BAD against the run ranking 29th in rush defense DVOA. I’m betting he learned his lesson last week and will try to be more balanced so he doesn’t get Burrow killed. Carolina ranks 7th in rush DVOA but allows 126.6 yards per game rushing which is 23rd in the NFL. Close your eyes but this is one of those off the grid plays that has potential to be a big swing in GPP’s. I would not play Mixon in cash games.

TRAVIS ETIENNE $6300 DraftKings $7600 FanDuel

Etienne exploded for 156 rushing yards last week in his first game without James Robinson to share carries with. The Jags RB has now rushed for 427 yards the past 4 games on 58 carries. He’s shot up the charts as one of the top RB’s in all fantasy but yet still priced at only $6300. As for DFS, he’s received 80% of the snap counts the past 2 weeks and if that pace and rate continues he should be in line for a huge game again this week. The Raiders are 18th in rush defense DVOA and allow the 24th most fantasy points to RB’s. Another clear SMASH that will be chalky.

KENNETH WALKER $6200 DraftKings $7300 FanDuel

Walker didn’t have a great game against the Giants as he averaged just 2.8 yards per carry on 18 rushes. But he still managed to find the endzone which got him positive 2x return on his salary. He’s averaging over 20 carries per game over the past 3 games and I don’t see that stopping this week. Give me 20+ carries of Walker at this price and I’ll gladly bite. While the Cardinals are solid against the run (13th in yards per game) they are 29th in points allowed at 25.5. So I see endzone potential once again and another good opportunity to roster Walker. I like him better in cash this week and his ceiling is a little lower due to Arizona’s defense and pace.

RAHEEM MOSTERT $6000 DraftKings $6500 FanDuel

The addition of Jeff Wilson does muddy the waters. But I still think Mostert will be the primary back in the Dolphins offense. He has played with Wilson in previous years and they should have a good comradery. But more importantly is the fact the Dolphins face the Bears this week who just last week allowed the Cowboys to run for 200 yards and 4 rushing touchdowns. The Bears are also 28th in rush defense DVOA while allowing the 2nd most rushing yards per game at 156. They also traded Roquan Smith and Robert Quinn which severely dents their front 7. Let’s go and trust the Fins are still going to ride the Mostert train.

TIER 3 DFS RUNNING BACKS (VALUE TIER)

JAMAAL WILLIAMS DraftKings $7500 FanDuel

It’s pretty clear that even though De’Andre Swift is back and playing (though questionable on Sunday) t Jamaal Williams is the lead back for carries. Swift did manage to get 55% of the snaps last week but Williams got 55% of the carries. The intrigue this week is Williams faces the Packers who are 31st in rush defense DVOA. They also allow the 29th most rushing yards per game at 141.3. If Swift is out this is a smash. Otherwise, it’s a high upside play for GPP’s only.

CORDARRELLE PATTERSON $5800 DraftKings $7200 FanDuel

He’s back! Cordarrelle Patterson opened a season on a tear by averaging 16.2 fantasy points over his first 4 games. He had 62 touches in those games and 3 touchdowns. He faces the Chargers this week who allow the 31st most fantasy points to RB’s. I love this matchup and think there will be points scored in this game. Feel free to match Patterson and Ekeler in a very good overall game environment.

DEON JACKSON $5200 DraftKings $5000 FanDuel

The recipient of Jonathan Taylor’s ankle injury is Deon Jackson. And he thrived in this role in Week 6 when he scored 28.1 DK points. The other good news is that New England, his opponent this week, is 27th in rush defense DVOA. The Patriots are good against RB’s, allowing 2nd least fantasy points. But they do allow yards so I believe at $5200 on DK, there is good value in Jackson as he should be able to put up both rushing yards and catches this weekend.

BONUS PICKS

My bonus pick this week is LEONARD FOURNETTE ($6600 DK). He is playing against the Rams who have defensed the rush well this year. But he’s still getting over 60% of the snap counts for the slumping Bucs and always has the ability to catch 4+ balls per game.

RB PROP BETS

We will post our RB props on Saturday when the market has finalized some of the player lines.

Now that you finished reading the NFL RUNNING BACK REPORT article make sure to check out our YouTube Channel for constant content for every game and slate in the NFL this season and hop in our Discord Expert Chat.

Also, be sure to follow me on Twitter (@dgloeck) and my other content that is part of the WinDailySports family.

0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail

Last week was a little tough with the high scoring games and guys going off, but we still were able to cash with the plays mentioned in my article last week. Be sure to check out the cheat sheet. I’m the guy to help you break down your Wide Receiver decisions for your daily fantasy lineups. If you don’t know how I typically play the game, I generally like to build my lineups based on ownership. Bear in mind there will be times when we don’t have a clear picture of what that looks like until game day. With that being said, I do like to wait and see what the field is doing so this article may be a little on the later side than the standard. This way we can stay with the pack, in cash games, and pivot to those high-upside players in GPP-style contests. Don’t forget to look at the bottom of this article for other players I really like as well. Once you’re done scanning this article make sure to hop in our Discord chat to stay up to date with lineup discussions.

Let’s dive into NFL DFS Wide Receivers for this week’s main slate.

TYREEK HILL, MIA $8,500 DRAFTKINGS $8,700 FANDUEL

Tyreek Hill is a player that I just want to play each and every week. He has been on absolute fire and he is on pace to break Calvin Johnson’s single-season record for receiving yards. If Hill can get that accomplished he’ll become the first player with over 2,000 receiving yards in a single season. He looks to be un-coverable no matter how you slice it. Prepare for another monster this week out of Hill. He’ll break all sorts of records this year. LFG!

AMON-RA ST. BROWN, DET $6,600 DRAFTKINGS $7,100 FANDUEL

In the highest-total game of the Week, on the main slate anyway, St. Brown looks to be an elite option this week, going up against a weaker corner this week. When St. Brown has been healthy keep in mind he’s averaging 11 targets per game and 24FPG over his last nine healthy games. For perspective, that’s basically the same numbers that Cooper Kupp has averaged since the start of 2021. St. Brown is a great value on both DFS this week, in what looks to be a high scoring affair.

DEANDRE HOPKINS, ARI $7,900 DRAFTKINGS $8,600 FANDUEL

Hopkins is a guy I think that goes overlooked this week a bit, which is crazy to say because since he’s been back he’s had 13 and 14 targets. Last week he absolutely smashed catching 12 of 13 targets on 159 and a TD. In a game that might go a tad overlooked this is a spot to grab a piece of this game. For my lineup construction, I want a guy like Walker/Lockett on the other side.

DJ MOORE, CAR $5,800 DRAFTKINGS $7,000 FANDUEL

Moore has blown up since PJ Walker took over at Quarterback position in Week 7. Moore has averaged 23 FPG, and 10 targets per game since the return of PJ Walker. That is up there folks and ranks 4th best and in the past 2 weeks he ranks 7th best among target market share for Wide Receivers. Names like Kupp and Adams are just a little better. He’s been the focal point of the Carolina passing attack, and he’s finally showing that upside that we all knew he was capable of, of course thanks to PJ Walker.

JOSHUA PALMER, LAC $5,100 DRAFTKINGS $6,200 FANDUEL

With both Keenan Allen and Mike Williams out in Week 9, it’s safe to assume WR1 type volume will head Palmer’s way. Palmer is a screaming value especially on DraftKings, with the Chargers implied team total at 26, and going up against one of the worst defenses in the league, what else needs to be said. He should be popular, and we have to think that this is some good chalk this week.

GARRETT WILSON, NYJ $4,800 DRAFTKINGS $5,800 FANDUEL

I like playing a bit of Garrett Wilson this week because of the high total that Buffalo is sitting on. You’d have to think that the Jets will have to get the ball to someone, and that someone seems to be Wilson for now. With going over 100 yards last week, I think we can say he is back on track, and with the opportunities he will see, he’s a great value to fill out your roster constructions. Run it back with Wilson.

Honorable Mention: Jefferson, Kupp, Diggs, Waddle, Evans, Godwin, Boyd, Higgins, Lockett

Value Plays: Terry, Zay, Van, Mooney, London

ROCKER CORE CASH PLAYS: On the Sheet now in research channel

Thanks for reading our NFL DFS Wide Receivers article as the content is just getting started. There will be a boatload of content rolling in all week covering each position, cash games and tournaments. We will also have articles, videos, and podcasts so be sure to lock in with us in whichever way you like to! Don’t forget to check out our projection models and cheat sheets which will be updated throughout the week. Livestreams will be published each day on our YouTube page and make don’t forget to lock into our Sunday morning livestream to keep up to date with all the last-minute news.

0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail

Last week was a little tough with the high scoring games and guys going off, but we still were able to cash with the plays mentioned in my article last week. Be sure to check out the cheat sheet. I’m the guy to help you break down your Wide Receiver decisions for your daily fantasy lineups. If you don’t know how I typically play the game, I generally like to build my lineups based on ownership. Bear in mind there will be times when we don’t have a clear picture of what that looks like until game day. With that being said, I do like to wait and see what the field is doing so this article may be a little on the later side than the standard. This way we can stay with the pack, in cash games, and pivot to those high-upside players in GPP-style contests. Don’t forget to look at the bottom of this article for other players I really like as well. Once you’re done scanning this article make sure to hop in our Discord chat to stay up to date with lineup discussions.

Let’s dive into NFL DFS Wide Receivers for this week’s main slate.

TYREEK HILL, MIA $8,500 DRAFTKINGS $8,700 FANDUEL

Tyreek Hill is a player that I just want to play each and every week. He has been on absolute fire and he is on pace to break Calvin Johnson’s single-season record for receiving yards. If Hill can get that accomplished he’ll become the first player with over 2,000 receiving yards in a single season. He looks to be un-coverable no matter how you slice it. Prepare for another monster this week out of Hill. He’ll break all sorts of records this year. LFG!

AMON-RA ST. BROWN, DET $6,600 DRAFTKINGS $7,100 FANDUEL

In the highest-total game of the Week, on the main slate anyway, St. Brown looks to be an elite option this week, going up against a weaker corner this week. When St. Brown has been healthy keep in mind he’s averaging 11 targets per game and 24FPG over his last nine healthy games. For perspective, that’s basically the same numbers that Cooper Kupp has averaged since the start of 2021. St. Brown is a great value on both DFS this week, in what looks to be a high scoring affair.

DEANDRE HOPKINS, ARI $7,900 DRAFTKINGS $8,600 FANDUEL

Hopkins is a guy I think that goes overlooked this week a bit, which is crazy to say because since he’s been back he’s had 13 and 14 targets. Last week he absolutely smashed catching 12 of 13 targets on 159 and a TD. In a game that might go a tad overlooked this is a spot to grab a piece of this game. For my lineup construction, I want a guy like Walker/Lockett on the other side.

DJ MOORE, CAR $5,800 DRAFTKINGS $7,000 FANDUEL

Moore has blown up since PJ Walker took over at Quarterback position in Week 7. Moore has averaged 23 FPG, and 10 targets per game since the return of PJ Walker. That is up there folks and ranks 4th best and in the past 2 weeks he ranks 7th best among target market share for Wide Receivers. Names like Kupp and Adams are just a little better. He’s been the focal point of the Carolina passing attack, and he’s finally showing that upside that we all knew he was capable of, of course thanks to PJ Walker.

JOSHUA PALMER, LAC $5,100 DRAFTKINGS $6,200 FANDUEL

With both Keenan Allen and Mike Williams out in Week 9, it’s safe to assume WR1 type volume will head Palmer’s way. Palmer is a screaming value especially on DraftKings, with the Chargers implied team total at 26, and going up against one of the worst defenses in the league, what else needs to be said. He should be popular, and we have to think that this is some good chalk this week.

GARRETT WILSON, NYJ $4,800 DRAFTKINGS $5,800 FANDUEL

I like playing a bit of Garrett Wilson this week because of the high total that Buffalo is sitting on. You’d have to think that the Jets will have to get the ball to someone, and that someone seems to be Wilson for now. With going over 100 yards last week, I think we can say he is back on track, and with the opportunities he will see, he’s a great value to fill out your roster constructions. Run it back with Wilson.

Honorable Mention: Jefferson, Kupp, Diggs, Waddle, Evans, Godwin, Boyd, Higgins, Lockett

Value Plays: Terry, Zay, Van, Mooney, London

ROCKER CORE CASH PLAYS: On the Sheet now in research channel

Thanks for reading our NFL DFS Wide Receivers article as the content is just getting started. There will be a boatload of content rolling in all week covering each position, cash games and tournaments. We will also have articles, videos, and podcasts so be sure to lock in with us in whichever way you like to! Don’t forget to check out our projection models and cheat sheets which will be updated throughout the week. Livestreams will be published each day on our YouTube page and make don’t forget to lock into our Sunday morning livestream to keep up to date with all the last-minute news.

0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail

Subscribe to our newsletter

The best bets and resources to make you more profitable

    Our Company

    At WIN DAILY®, our motto is to “change your game and change your life.” We want to help you win that bet, parlay, and big DFS tournament and have some fun while you do. Our goal is to help you turn your love of sports into a profit center while playing responsibly and enjoying your time with a like-minded community.

    ©2024 WIN DAILY®. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

    This site is 100% for entertainment purposes only and does not involve real money betting. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800 GAMBLER. This service is intended for adult users only.
    -
    00:00
    00:00
    Update Required Flash plugin
    -
    00:00
    00:00