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MLB

MLB Umpire Report for July 3 (Main DFS Slate)

Nicholas Robert
written by Nicholas Robert

Cubs vs Pittsburgh- MLB Umpire Will Little  Avg. Ks/Gm- 17.21, Over record (7-6), 53.8% OVER, RUNS/Gm- 9.8, HR/Gm- 2.93

Boston vs Blue Jays- MLB Umpire Larry Vanover   Avg. Ks/Gm- 18.38, Over record (6-6), 50% OVER, RUNS/Gm- 9.3, HR/Gm- 3.08

Brewers vs Reds- Mike Estabrook  Avg. Ks/Gm- 18.53, Over record (7-8), 46.7% OVER, RUNS/Gm- 8.5, HR/Gm- 2.71

Yankees vs Mets- Marvin Hudson  Avg. Ks/Gm- 17.33, Over record (10-5), 66.7% OVER, RUNS/Gm- 10.7, HR/Gm- 2.80

Baltimore vs Tampa Bay- MLB Umpire Lance Barksdale     Avg. Ks/Gm- 16.73, Over record (5-10), 33.3% OVER, RUNS/Gm- 8.7, HR/Gm- 2.87

Phillies vs Braves- MLB Umpire Fieldin Culbreth  Avg. Ks/Gm- 18.14, Over record (8-6), 57.1% OVER, RUNS/Gm- 9.3, HR/Gm- 2.36

Angels vs Rangers- Marty Foster  Avg. Ks/Gm- 18.53, Over record (7-7), 50% OVER, RUNS/Gm- 10.0, HR/Gm- 2.60

Astros vs Rockies- Todd Tichenor   Avg. Ks/Gm- 17.80, Over record (6-10), 37.5% OVER, RUNS/Gm- 8.8, HR/Gm- 2.44

Tigers vs White Sox- Bill Miller  Avg. Ks/Gm- 17.93, Over record (6-9),40% OVER, RUNS/Gm- 8.1, HR/Gm- 2.47

Indians vs Royals- Gerry Davis  Avg. Ks/Gm- 17.13, Over record (7-9), 43.8% OVER, RUNS/Gm- 8.4, HR/Gm- 2.69

Twins vs Oakland- Roberto Ortiz  Avg. Ks/Gm- 19.27 , Over record (6-5), 54.5% OVER, RUNS/Gm- 9.3, HR/Gm- 🔥3.36

Giants vs Padres- MLB Umpire Jeff Nelson   Avg. Ks/Gm- 14.82, Over record (8-8), 50% OVER, RUNS/Gm- 9.1, HR/Gm- 2.71

D-Backs vs Dodgers- MLB Umpire Vic Carapazza Avg. Ks/Gm- 17.90, Over record (7-4), 63.6% OVER, RUNS/Gm- 10.5, HR/Gm- 2.55

Cardinals vs Seattle- Jeremie Rehak   Avg. Ks/Gm- 17.60, Over record (6-8), 42.9% OVER, RUNS/Gm- 9.1, HR/Gm- 🔥3.20


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MLB

Umpire Report for MLB DFS on June 27 (Day Games)

Nicholas Robert
written by Nicholas Robert

The umpire DFS report for the early slate.

Mets vs Phillies- umpire Ryan Blakney  Avg. Ks/Gm- 17.50, Over record (4-6), 40% OVER, RUNS/Gm- 7.2, HR/Gm- 2.10

Tampa Bay vs Twins- umpire Adam Hamari  Avg. Ks/Gm- 17.29, Over record (7-7), 50% OVER, RUNS/Gm- 11.1, HR/Gm- 2.86

Rangers vs Tigers- Tripp Gibson  Avg. Ks/Gm- 15.71, Over record (9-4), 69.2% OVER, RUNS/Gm- 10.9, HR/Gm- 2.86

Seattle vs Brewers- Chad Whitson  Avg. Ks/Gm- 16.79, Over record (10-4), 71.4% OVER, RUNS/Gm- 10.4, HR/Gm- 2.79

Pittsburgh vs Astros- Jeff Kellogg  Avg. Ks/Gm- 15.92, Over record (9-3), 75% OVER, RUNS/Gm- 10.9, HR/Gm- 3.23

Braves vs Cubs- Nic Lentz Avg. Ks/Gm- 14.53, Over record (9-6), 60% OVER, RUNS/Gm- 10.4, HR/Gm- 3.13

DFS Umpire Report
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MLB

The Winning Edge – 6.24 – Main Slate Breakdown – DraftKings and FanDuel MLB

written by

Good afternoon everyone! For those not familiar, my name is Dan Wehr and I am a new author here at WinDailyDFS. This article will cover a game by game breakdown for the seven game main slate on Draftkings and Fanduel.

Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees

Over/Under: 10.5

Implied Run Total – TOR: 3.91 Runs

Implied Run Total – NYY: 6.63 Runs

Weather Concerns – N/A

Toronto Blue Jays – Aaron Sanchez (RHP) on the mound tonight for the Jays in New York. He is carrying a 5.49 ERA, 5.50 FIP, and 5.43 SIERA on the season. He has identical splits, allowing .354 wOBA, .380 OBP, and .445 SLG on the season. Toronto hitters are slashing .346 wOBA .213 ISO, and 119 WRC+ to left handed pitchers over the last two weeks.

Preferred Plays: Lourdes Gurriel Jr., Teoscar Hernandez, Eric Sogard, Vlad Guerro Jr., and Randal Grichuk.

New York Yankees – CC Sabathia (LHP) on the mound tonight for the Yankees at home. He is carrying a 4.14 ERA, 5.66 FIP, and 4.29 SIERA on the season. Sabathia has true splits, allowing .379 wOBA, .561 SLG, and .352 OBP against right handed batters. He is also allowing 2.14 HR/9. New York hitters are slashing .380 wOBA, .232 ISO, .366 BABIP, and 138 WRC+ to right handed pitching over the last two weeks, well above their season average.

Preferred Plays: Luke Voit, Gary Sanchez, Edwin Encarnacion, DJ Lemahieu, and Gleyber Torres.

New York Mets @ Philidelphia Phillies

Over/Under: 10

Implied Run Total – NYM: 4.76 Runs

Implied Run Total – PHI: 5.26 Runs

Weather Concerns – Possible late game shower

New York Mets – Steven Matz (LHP) on the mound tonight for the Mets in Philly. Matz is carrying a 4.28 ERA, 5.00 FIP, and 4.37 SIERA on the sesason. Matz has reverse splits, allowing .401 wOBA, .563 SLG, and .397 OBP to left handed batters. He is also allowing 40% hard contact and 1.83 HR/9. Mets batters are slashing .306 wOBA, .182 ISO, .262 BABIP, and .419 SLG. They are hitting close to their season average over their last two weeks.

Preferred Plays: Pete Alonso, Michael Conforto, Jeff McNeil, and Robinson Cano.

Philadelphia Phillies – Zach Eflin (RHP) is on the mound at home tonight. He is sporting a 2.83 ERA, 4.02 FIP, and 4.51 SIERA. Eflin is allowing only .221 BABIP on the season. Philly batters are slashing .332 wOBA, .155 ISO, .300 BABIP, and .412 SLG against left handed pitching over the last few weeks, close to their season averages.

Preferred Plays: Zach Eflin, Scott Kingery, Jay Bruce, Rhys Hoskins, Bryce Harper, and JT Realmuto.

Kansas City Royals @ Cleveland Indians

Over/Under: 10

Implied Run Total – KCR: 4.34 Runs

Implied Run Total – CLE: 5.72 Runs

Weather Concerns – Possible PPD. 55% Precip. 7pm-10pm (EST)

Kansas City Royals – Brad Keller (RHP) on the mound for the Royals in Cleveland. He carries a 4.45 ERA, 4.35 FIP, and 5.41 SIERA on the season. Keller has identical splits, allowing .311 wOBA, .343 OBP, and .367 SLG. He has a low HC% and FB% all while only allowing .56 HR/9 this season. Royals batters are slashing .275 wOBA, .115 ISO, and .271 BABIP to right handed pitchers over the last few weeks. They are hitting well below their season averages.

Preferred Plays: Brad Keller

Cleveland Indians – Adam Plutko (RHP) takes the mound at home. He carries a 4.55 ERA, 6.25 FIP, and 4.69 SIERA on the season. Plutko is allowing .391 wOBA, .655 SLG, and .305 OBP on the year. He is also allowing 2.93 HR/9. Despite the inflated numbers, Plutko does offer strike out upside. Indians batters are slashing .341 wOBA, .212 ISO, and .327 BABIP over the last few weeks. They are hitting above their season averages.

Preferred Plays: Adam Plutko, Carlos Santana, Jason Kipnis, Oscar Mercado, Jose Ramirez, and Francisco Lindor.

Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox

Over/Under: 9

Implied Run Total – CHW: 3.88

Implied Run Total – BOS: 5.14

Weather Concerns – N/A

Chicago White Sox – Lucas Giolito (RHP) is on the mound in Boston tonight. He is sporting a 2.74 ERA, 3.09 FIP, and 3.62 SIERA on the season. Giolito has excellent splits, allowing .252 wOBA, .267 OBP, and .304 SLG to both hands this season. White Sox batters are slashing .353 wOBA, .192 ISO, and 124 WRC+ over the last two weeks, well above their season avearges.

Preferred Plays: Luery Garcia, Jose Abreu, James McCann, and Eloy Jimenez.

Boston Red Sox – Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP) is on the mound at home this evening. He is carrying a 4.71 ERA, 4.00, and 3.98 SIERA on the season. Rodriguez is a reverse splits pitcher, allowing .392 wOBA, .610 SLG, and 7 home runs through 18 innings pitched against left handed batters. Red Sox batters are slashing .392 wOBA, .243 ISO, and 139 WRC+ to right handed pitching over the last two weeks. The Red Sox are hitting well above their season averages.

Preferred Plays: Christian Vasquez, Rafael Devers, Xander Bogaerts, Mookie Betts, and Jackie Bradley Jr..

Atlanta Braves @ Chicago Cubs

Over/Under: 11.5

Implied Run Total – ATL: 5.45

Implied Run Total – CHC: 6.12

Weather Concerns – N/A

Atlanta Braves – Julio Teheran (RHP) takes the mound at Wrigley this evening. He is sporting a 3.40 ERA, 4.36 FIP, and 5.10 SIERA on the season. Teheran has identical splits, carrying .288 wOBA .311 OBP, and .347 SLG to both hands. I consider Teheran a viable pitching option in GPP’s. Braves hitters are slashing a massive .426 wOBA, .271 ISO, .386 BABIP, and 161 WRC+ over the last two weeks. To put it simply, they are on absolute fire.

Preferred Plays: Freddie Freeman, Josh Donaldson, Ozzie Albies, Austin Riley, and Ronald Acuna Jr..

Chicago Cubs – Jon Lester (LHP) is on the mound at home tonight. He carries a 4.13 ERA, 4.47 FIP, and 4.16 SIERA on the season. Lester has identical splits, allowing .390 wOBA, .329 OBP, and .464 SLG to both hands. He is also allowing 81% contact on his pitches, 41% of that being hard contact. Cubs batters are slashing ,291 wOBA, .163 ISO, .253 BABIP, and 78 WRC+ over the last two weeks. They are hitting well below their season averages.

Preferred Plays: Kyle Schwarber, Wilson Contreras, Anthony Rizzo, and Jason Heyward.

LA Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks

Over/Under: 8

Implied Run Total – LAD: 4.25 Runs

Implied Run Total – ARI: 3.75 Runs

Weather Concerns – Dome

Los Angeles Dodgers – Clayton Kershaw (LHP) takes the mound in Arizona tonight. He is sporting a 2.85 ERA, 3.51 FIP, and 3.76 SIERA on the season. Kershaw has identical splits, carrying .282 wOBA, .269 OBP, and .278 BABIP to both hands. Dodgers batters are slashing .338 wOBA, .209 ISO, and .298 BABIP over the last two weeks. They are hitting close to their season averages.

Preferred Plays: Clayton Kershaw, Max Muncy, Joc Pederson, and Cody Bellinger.

Arizona Diamondbacks – Zack Greinke (RHP) takes the mound at home tonight. He is sporting a 2.91 ERA, 3.45 FIP, and 3.96 SIERA on the season. Greinke has identical splits, allowing .260 wOBA, .249 OBP, and .252 BABIP to both hands. Arizona batters are slashing .339 wOBA, .218 ISO, and .306 BABIP over the last two weeks, They are hitting above their season averages.

Preferred Plays: Ketel Marte, Eduardo Escobar, Ildemaro Vargas, and Carson Kelly.

Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants

Over/Under: 7.5

Implied Run Total – COL: 3.75

Implied Run total – SFG: 3.75

Weather Concerns – N/A

Colorado Rockies – Jon Gray (RHP) takes the mound tonight in San Francisco. He carries a 4.18 ERA, 4.20 FIP, and 4.19 SIERA on the year. Gray has identical splits, carrying a .338 wOBA, .339 OBP, and .439 SLG to both hands. Rockies batters are slashing a slate high .427 wOBA, .220 ISO, .438 BABIP, and 138 WRC+ over the last two weeks. They are hitting well above their season averages.

Preferred Plays: Jon Gray, Charlie Blackmon, Ian Desmond, David Dahl, and Nolan Arenado.

San Francisco Giants – Drew Pomeranz (LHP) is on the mound at home. He carries a 7.09 ERA, 6.01 FIP, and 4.68 SIERA on the year. Pomeranz has true splits as right handed batters are slashing .412 wOBA, .594 SLG, and .396 OBP against him this season. San Francisco batters are slashing .334 wOBA, .182 ISO, and .321 BABIP recently. They are hitting close to their season averages.

Preferred Plays: Brandon Belt and Alex Dickerson

Dwehrj08’s favorite plays

Top Pitchers:

  • Clayton Kershaw
  • Jon Gray
  • Julio Teheran

Top Stacks:

  • Atlanta Braves
  • New York Yankees
  • Toronto Blue Jays

Home Run Call: Austin Riley (ATL)

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MLB

New Faces in New Places

Joel Bartilotta
written by Joel Bartilotta

New Faces in New Places: Bryce Harper, PHI (OF): Harper was obviously the biggest move in the offseason, as he signed a 13-year $330-million deal with the Philadelphia Phillies. While many believe that Citizens Bank Park is more hitter-friendly than National’s Park, the numbers say otherwise. In fact, Nationals Park actually ranked third in total runs last season while Citizens Bank sat 13th in scoring. They were both fantastic parks for home runs though, with Washington sitting fifth in total homers while Philly sat in fourth. That means that this is a rather neutral move for Harper and that makes it tough to know what you’re going to get. The reason for that is Harper’s volatility. In fact, his career-best marks are a .330 average and 42 home runs while his career-lows are 13 homers and a .243 average. His numbers last year were actually somewhere right in the middle, as he collected 34 home runs to go along with a disappointing .249 average. All this makes Harper a risky bet in fantasy but he has the upside to be the best player in baseball if it’s all clicking.      Manny Machado, SD (SS/3B): Machado was the second-biggest move in the offseason, as he took his talents to the beautiful city of San Diego. While he definitely moved to a tougher park, it really shouldn’t alter his value much. In fact, if you track all of his homers, only a few of them wouldn’t have gotten out at Petco Park. This isn’t the pitcher’s haven it once was either, with Petco Park ranking 13th in runs, 16th in homers and ninth in total hits last season. This is a guy who has at least 24 home runs and 86 RBI in four-straight seasons and it seems likely that he’ll land somewhere around 30 homers and 100 RBI in what should be another great season. Jean Segura, PHI (SS): Segura has moved around a lot recently and it’s hard to understand why. The versatile shortstop has played in Milwaukee, Seattle and Arizona in the last four years and will now suit up for the Philadelphia Phillies. This might actually be the best lineup he’s hit in and one has to wonder where he’ll hit in the batting order. That could be a huge part of his value, as he could be one of the best shortstops in the league if he leads-off or bats second in this much-improved lineup. What really makes Segura valuable is his speed-average combo. Not only does he have at least 20 steals in six-straight seasons, but he’s also hit at least .294 in four of those years. The only times he didn’t approach a .300 average is when he was dealing with the death of his son. It’s not just the speed-average combo either, as Segura is averaging 14 home runs per year across his last three seasons. Those are numbers you don’t see from many shortstops and he could be a great buy in fantasy at an affordable price.  Robinson Cano, NYM (1B/2B): Cano is back in The Big Apple but he’s suiting up for the Mets this time. After a disappointing stretch in Seattle, New York decided to swallow up the majority of his monster contract and gamble on a late-career resurgence. His spring training numbers indicate he’s ready to do just that, with Cano collecting a .475 average and 1.212 OPS in 40 spring training at-bats. The demise of Cano is slightly overexaggerated too. Not only has Cano reached at least a .271 average in all 14 seasons he’s played, but he’s also posted an OPS of .778 or higher in all but one season. While his power numbers definitely dropped off with the Mariners, Cano is still a great bet to accrue a .280 average and 20-25 home runs. With all that said, Cano moves from a tough ballpark to an absolute desert. In fact, Citi Field was the lowest-scoring ballpark in the majors last season.  Daniel Murphy, COL (1B/2B): Murphy probably saw the biggest increase in value with this move to Colorado. The reason for that is his absurd hitting profile. In fact, Murphy owns a .320 career BABIP and a 6.3 percent K-rate. That simply means he has some of the best bat-on-ball skills of any player in the majors and that becomes particularly intriguing in this ballpark. Not only does Coors Field post a BABIP north of .300 nearly every single year, it has led the majors in total hits in 14-straight seasons. Hitting in this ballpark is a godsend for a player like Murphy, who has ranked top-10 in total hits in four of the last five seasons.  J.T. Realmuto, PHI (C): Is this yet another Phillie? Yeah, it is, because the Phillies went crazy in the offseason. This may have been their most underrated move though. Realmuto actually ranked as the top catcher in fantasy last season and he did that in one of the toughest ballparks in the majors. Not only did Marlins Park surrender the second-fewest runs last season, it allowed the fewest homers in the league too. It really shows in Realmuto’s splits, as he posted a .249 average and .682 OPS at home the last three years. On the road, Realmuto generated a .318 average and .887 OPS in the same span. Needless to say, Realmuto is ecstatic to be leaving that terrible ballpark and even worse lineup. Getting such a boost in ballpark and lineup makes Realmuto one of the players to watch this season and he could truly become a superstar if he continues those road numbers for a full season in one of the best lineups in baseball.  Nelson Cruz, MIN (DH): Cruz is simply one of the most underrated players in baseball. Where that’s truly evident is in his power numbers, as he ranks top-five in both home runs and RBI over the last decade. In fact, Cruz is averaging 33.8 home runs in that 10-year span while hitting at least 37 dingers in five-straight seasons. He actually did that damage in Seattle, which is a ballpark that ranked 27th in total runs last season. He now gets to hit in Target Field, which ranked 16th in total runs last year. They’re pretty much on par in terms of home runs but Cruz could be in for another 35-homer season as long as he stays healthy.

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