NBA GPP Picks 1/10
Well yesterday’s slate ended up being wild after all the news with star players being ruled out like Giannis and Russell Westbrook. It was an extremely high scoring night for NBA DFS. We are back tonight though with another edition of NBA GPP Picks 1/10 a six game Sunday night slate. It could be just a crazy of a slate as yesterday as Boston could be missing several players. We also don’t know what the deal with Kyrie is or if Anthony Davis misses another game as he is still listed questionable. Lakers vs Rockets, Wolves vs Spurs will be my main games to target, while also looking towards Boston for Value. In this article I will be referring to DraftKings pricing. Based upon my research I will select two players from each position that are great fantasy plays for tonight’s NBA slate.
PG
Dejounte Murray – ($6,800)
Well at this point the Wolves are about the dream matchup as they rank dead last in defensive efficiency. They have given up the fourth most fantasy points to point guards and just allowed Dame a massive game in three quarters. Murray has averaged a usage rate of 24% good for second on the Spurs. Adding the Wolves are the seventh fastest team in the league and Murray just went for over 50 fantasy points in the same matchup last evening.
D’Angelo Russell – ($8,100)
Even with Towns return Russell still grabbed a usage rate of 28.4%. He get’s the same opponent as he saw last night in San Antonio who has allowed the most fantasy points to point guards this season. San Antonio ranks 21st in defensive rating and has been the ninth fastest team in the league. Although Russell struggled in this matchup last night I will play him as that will likely drive ownership down even with this glorious matchup.
SG
Jeff Teague – ($4,400)
As I mentioned earlier Boston has loads of players questionable due to health protocols and Tatum is listed doubtful already. In Boston’s previous game Teague slotted third in usage at 21.3% behind just Brown and Tatum. With Tatum already doubtful a load of usage is up for grabs not to mention Jaylen Brown is also doubtful. Looking at Boston’s usage with just Tatum and the other Celtics off the floor, Teague sees a usage increase of 5.7% albeit a small sample size. The minutes and usage available will allow Teague to pay off this price tag even against a good Heat team.
D’Angelo Russell – ($8,100)
Even with the return of Towns, Russell still saw a usage rate near 30%. San Antonio currently ranks 21st in defense rating and is playing at the eighth fastest pace. Russell has a premiere matchup here as the Spurs have surrendered the most fantasy points to point guards on the season. I know Russell didn’t hit value last night that should drive down his owndership for the rematch. With an average usage of 29% and this beautiful matchup against the Spurs, Russell has another great opportunity to have a big fantasy day.
SF
Jimmy Butler – ($7,300)
Having a fantastic game against the depleted Wizards team was no surprise last night for Butler. He draws yet again another injury riddled team in the Celtics who have multiple players questionable or ruled out. The two main rim protectors will be out and one of the candidates to guard Butler is doubtful in Tatum. Butler is averaging a usage rate of 28.7% in his last two games one of those games was against Boston in which he saw a 34.7% usage rate. If he gets near that usage rate in this matchup against a thin Boston team he should crush value.
Demar Derozan – ($7,700)
Last night against the Wolves Derozan tied his highest point total with the Spurs. He went for 51 fantasy points while scoring 38 real points in route to a overtime victory. I personally watched the game and the Wolves had no one to guard Demar, even on ISO’s he just got right to the rim. In that victory Derozan amassed his highest usage rate of the season at 29.9%. As I mentioned in the Dejounte Murray section the wolves are a dream matchup as they are the worst defensive rated team in the NBA. After playing 44 minutes last night Derozan and some other Spurs could be rest candidates be aware of that.
PF
Julius Randle – ($9,500)
In his most recent game against the Thunder Randle saw his lowest minute total of the season at just 31. First half foul trouble was a factor in that. As we know Tom Thibodeau led teams typically have tight rotations with starters seeing heavy minutes. Prior to the Thunder game Randle’s lowest minute total was 35. This Denver team hasn’t been good defensively to start the year ranking 25th in defensive rating. With Robinson playing center for the Knicks it is likely that Randle avoids Jokic defense as well for majority of this game. Randle’s usage rate has also been way up this season averaging a usage rate of 28% on the year. In his last four games his usage rate has been above 25%. Heavy minutes, a large usage rate, and a slight price decrease against a Denver team struggling defensively will allow Randle his second triple double on the season.
JaMychal Green – ($4,300)
Michael Porter Jr. has received an additional quarantine meaning more fantasy goodness for Green. Since making his season debut Green is second on the Nuggets in usage at 26%. He has yet to see a game with a usage rate below 22% while seeing nearly 20 minutes in every game he has played. Green has scored over 20 fantasy points in four straight games and the only game he didn’t score over 20 was in his season debut. The price is fair and still leaves upside for Green that we have seen, but he also has been a safe play for this price.
C
Anthony Davis – ($9,700)
Of course Davis has to play here but I love this spot if he does. I do think he sat out that last game due to it being the second leg of a back to back. A matchup against the Rockets who have allowed the second most fantasy points to center up to this point. Averaging a 28% usage rate against this Houston team should be plenty to pay off Davis’ price tag below 10K. Houston has allowed the most rebounds to centers out of all NBA teams this season, as they also have the worst defensive rebound rate. Davis should be able to get a double-double grabbing that bonus on DraftKings. A fantastic spot awaits Davis as long as he is given the green light.
Tacko Fall – ($3,300)
With Daniel Theis being the only healthy center Fall was called upon for the most minutes of his career at 19 minutes. In those minutes he was efficient from a fantasy stand point scoring 20 fantasy points at minimum price on DraftKings. Its possible that more of these players are ruled out and this game could get out of hand if both Brown and Tatum sit for the Celtics. Fall would be a primary beneficiary of garbage time. If he is going to see around 20 minutes of regular rotation time regardless of the score he will hit value. Fall has also recorded five blocks in 25 minutes of playing time this season. This is a risky play as Fall doesn’t have gaurenteed minutes, but as we saw last game he can hit value when given the minutes.
Minnesota vs San Antonio
Demar Derozan – 20.5 points – More – facing the Wolves this shouldn’t be an issue. In this same matchup he just torched the wolves for 38 points. He has a large usage rate and should be able to eclipse 20 points.
D’Angelo Russell – 22.5 points – More – San Antonio has given up the second most real points to point guards this season. Russell also saw a near 30% usage rate with Towns returning last night.
Closing NBA GPP Picks 1/10
Thank you for taking the time to read my article NBA GPP Picks 1/10. This six game slate has already has news to watch with Tatum being doubtful and several other Celtics players being questionable. We also have no clue what is going on with Kyrie, and Anthony Davis comes into this slate questionable as well. We do have some rest candidates on this slate so keeping up with news up until and possibly after lock will be important. The best way to keep up with news and the proper way to adjust is in the Discord Chat rooms. In there you will find myself and the rest of the WinDaily staff as we help you find the correct combinations to cash. Enjoy your Sunday full of sports and good luck on your DFS lineups!
