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Stoweby’s NBA Breakdown For 5.1

Uriah Wesson
written by Uriah Wesson

Bonus NBA anyone? Looks like I get the opportunity to run it back on a 10 game Saturday slate. Believe it or not, NBA DFS gets even crazier towards the end of the regular season. Rest assured we’ll find you the best options to keep you above the cash line. We have a number of 10K and above players so we’ll need to get creative on the low end so don’t forget to check out our NBA Projection Model and Cheat Sheet all the way till lock for the latest and most accurate information when it comes to value plays!

***Note***We typically don’t put value plays in the articles as things always change at the last minute so you’ll need to be on discord when news break so you can pivot.

Teams with potential injury news (multiple Q tags):

Detroit, Golden State, Atlanta, Orlando, Indiana, Dallas,

Stoweby’s NBA Breakdown For 5.1

Point Guard:

Luka Doncic, Mavericks, $10,900:

If this matchup doesn’t get you excited nothing will. We get one of the most NBA’s most prolific all around offensive weapon against a Wizards team who leads the NBA in pace and is mediocre at best defensively.

Steph Curry, Warriors, $10,600:

I know I’m being captain obvious here with my first two recommendations but can you blame me? No need for me to go deep into analytics with these first two. You know what they bring to the table and the matchups are two of the best on the evening.

Frank Campazzo, Nuggets, $4,800:

Ghost says it day in and day out. You play primary ball handlers against the Clippers, PERIOD. with Jamal Murray out for the season it’s Frank the tanks team to lead from point guard and DraftKings hasn’t adjusted his price enough to reflect his new role. In the last nine games, he has played no less than 26 minutes and he has plenty of weapons to facilitate with Jokic, Gordon, and Porter Jr on the court. I’m going on faith a little here with such a small sample but attacking the Clippers in this way rarely fails.

Also Consider:

Kevin Porter Jr: $7,400

Shooting Guard:

Jordan Clarkson, Jazz, $7,500:

No Donovan Mitchell or Mike Conley so the point guard duties fall firmly on the shoulders of Clarkson tonight. With a 227 total and Clarkson 30.5% usage sans those two on the court, he’s going to get every opportunity to put points on the board. I may opt to go with a cheaper option to save a little salary but Jordan is looking at potentially 40 minutes on the court so it’s hard to not look at him. If I decide to run a couple of balanced lineups tonight he’s 100% going to be in there for me.

Deangelo Russell, Timberwolves, $6,900:

Perimeter shooting against the Pelicans, that is all.

Also Consider:

Josh Jackson: $6,000

Svi Mykhailiuk: $3,400

Small Forward:

Anthony Edwards, Timberwolves, $7,400 :

I remember distinctly talking to our guy Michael Rasille on a Wednesday night podcast about two months ago when Minnesota was facing off against the Pelicans and we couldn’t figure out who in the hell was gonna take the perimeter shots where they are exploitable. My how times have changed. It’s almost a given he takes 20 shots tonight and most of them will be from the outside. If his shots are falling his bump in rebounds lately (nine boards in the three of his last four) gives him a ceiling north of 50 DK points tonight.

Oshae Brissett, Indiana Pacers, $5,700:

His price keeps climbing but it’s still not where it should be for the results. In his last five games he’s played no less than 31 minutes and has done no worse than 5x his salary. This play becomes largely worthless if the Pacers choose to bring back Domantas Sabonis tonight so be aware of the starting rotation before you lock him in. If it all works out I like the sneaky upside this game gives you on a large slate.

Also consider:

Kent Bazemore, Warriors, $4,600

Power Forward:

Darius Bazley, Thunder, $6,700:

Steady eddie lately. Bazely has been quietly giving you between 6x-7x return in six of the last eight contests and Detroit doesn’t scare me in the least. No matter what the scenario or score his minutes stay above 30 minutes and he’s taking around 15 shots a game with between 25 and 30% usage. He’s been a mainstay in my lineups when hunting for mid-range options.

Bojan Bogdanovic, Jazz, $6,600:

It may surprise some of you but it isn’t Jordan Clarkson who sees the biggest uptick in usage and fantasy points when Conley and Mitchell are off the court. It’s Bojan. His usage spikes by 5.2% to 27.2% and he comes in $600 cheaper than Joe Ingles and $900 less than Jordan which will be needed tonight if you’re trying to get multiple 10K studs like me tonight.

Also Consider:

Dorian Finney Smith (If Maxi or Kristaps sit): $5,000

Miles Bridges: $7,300

Center:

Christian Wood, Rockets, $8,700:

His pricing has been off all season. Night after night he gives you 50+ DK point upside and I don’t recall his price ever getting to 9K at any point. Since Harden and Boogie the Rockets have also climbed to one of the highest paced teams in the NBA sitting around 5th and we all know how fast the Warriors like to play. Throw in the 25% usage rate and the lack of interior size for Golden State the ole ding-ding kicker himself Draymond Green dealing with an injury he should be able to have a field day today.

Nikola Jokic, Nuggets, $10,900:

I’m throwing Jokic in here for obvious reasons. With no Murray or Barton, Nikola gets to soak up even more than his typical 29% usage rate and I’ll be completely honest, I’ve never been a Boogie Cousins fan and now that he’s older and slower I don’t think can do anything to stop Joker from running circles around him.

Also Consider:

I’m waiting for injury news here. I’m not really enamoured with most of the options at this point.

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Sports Draftkings Stoweby’s NBA Breakdown For 5.1. Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord Chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

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NBA

Stoweby’s NBA Breakdown For 4.30

Uriah Wesson
written by Uriah Wesson

Ladies and gentlemen, I am thrilled to say I’m back in the saddle for NBA action going forward every Friday and I’m ready to help you all put some cash in your wallet down the home stretch of the NBA season. We have a ton of big-name guys already out. One clear game that you will see a lot of attention paid to is Portland against Brooklyn with a 241.5 total and a 1 point spread. No other contest in close. Don’t forget to check out our NBA Projection Model and Cheat Sheet all the way till lock for the latest and most accurate information when it comes to value plays! Enough yammering, you came for plays. Let’s get into Stoweby’s NBA Breakdown for 4.30.

***Note*** Make sure you use the projection model to get value close to tip. We don’t put value plays in the articles as things always change at the last minute so you need to be on discord when news break so you can pivot.

Stoweby’s NBA Breakdown For 4.30

Point Guard:

Damian Lillard, Trail Blazers, $9,200:

All signs point to Lillard having a monster performance. We have the slowest spread and the highest total game and not a shred of defense to be found between either team. Lillard has had some down games as of late but we have to keep a short memory in DFS. The important thing is that his shot volume is still there. Aside from his last two games he’s tossing up 20+ shots a game. If they start falling instead of 35 DK points you’re looking at 65 DK points. Just be patient.

Kyrie Irving, Nets, $9,400:

No need to repeat the same thing about the game. I honestly don’t know if they will play KD after playing 36 minutes last night. Weather or not he suits up I’m still looking at Kyrie Irving in my main lineup. With Harden still sidelines Irving is taking around 20 shots per game and I’m pleasantly surprised to see him channeling his inner Russell Westbrook and collecting at least 8 rebounds in five of six games.

Also Consider:

Russell Wesbrook: $11,000

Ja Morant: $8,500

Ben Simmons: $7,500 (If not on minutes restriction)

Shooting Guard:

C.J.McCollum:

ALL THE NETS AND BLAZERS!!!!. I wouldn’t recommend it in cash but in my GPP’s I’m likely going to have four guys from this game in my lineup, maybe six if the value allows it. CJ is in a similar DFS funk like his teammate Dame but there is not a better get right spot than tonight. Shot volume is still there and his FG percentage is still decent he’s just lacking from the assists and rebounds side of things. If dames shots start falling it’s almost a given we’ll see CJ’s assists climb as a benefit.

Jrue Holiday, Bucks, $7,800:

I don’t have any expectations that Giannis will see the court after leaving last night with an ankle injury. Whenever the Greek Freak is off the court Jrue sees a 5% usage increase and more than nine DK points per 48 minutes. It looks like Vegas sees the same thing as the Bucks when from 5 point favorites at open to just one point favorites now

Also Consider:

right now I’m waiting on value news to come out.

Small Forward:

Khris Middleton, Bucks, $7,900:

Everything I said about Jrue applies here and in this instance, Middleton’s usage sees an even larger 6.7% usage increase while scoring 8.57 more fantasy points per 48 minutes without Giannis. Both guys make for great mid range options.

Bradley Beal, Wizards, $9,800:

Bradley Beal is STILL the NBA’s leading scorer averaging 31.3 points per game and they continue to price him under 10K. The reason I prefer Beal over Westy tonight is pretty simple. Rus turns the ball over way too much and Cleveland is one of the best in the league when it comes to steals. Currently, they are 8th with over 8 steals a game. Given Westbrooks bad habit they’ll get more than that and I see Beal taking the lead role at least for tonight and being the primary option all around.

Also consider:

Kyle Kuzma: $6,100

Power Forward:

Kevin Durant $8,900

Everything I’ve been mentioning in the entire article applies here. My only hint of concern here is that he just played 36 minutes last night so they may choose to sit Durant as he’s still coming back from a lengthy injury. He’s not someone I should need to explain. If he plays he’s KD and he’s under 9 K in a 241 total game. You play him.

Danillo Gallinari, Hawks, $5,300 :

A lot of things need to break right but to this point the following Hawks are out: Huerter, Hunter, Reddish, Snell. The following Hawks are also are questionable or doubtful: Trae Young, Clint Capela, Bogdan Bogdanovic. When forced into a position to take on a lead role he has shown that he can do it in short bursts. Earlier this year against Boston when put in a similar position he scored 38 real world points and broke the slate at almost no ownership. We need to see a at minimum Capella to be out to take a shot at him but we’ll see.

Also Consider:

Jeff Green: $4,800

Tobias Harris: $7,100

Center:

Andre Drummond, Lakers, $7,500

With no Lebron and potentially no AD the offense runs through Drummond against the weakest defensive team in the NBA in the Kings. No tell me that you are giving me this at $7500? Yes please. Drummond can legitimately give you 20 and 20 tonight without breaking a sweat.

Jusuf Nurkic, Blazers, $7,100:

High paced, no defense, a 241 total, and Nurkic is a point per minute monster at 1.25 ppm. There is nobody on Brooklyn who can slow him down, much less stop him. My only concern is time. Will he play 20 minutes or 30? If it looks like 30 I’m all in tonight.

Also Consider:

Joel Embiid: $10,200

Jonas Valanciunas: $7,700

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Sports Draftkings Stoweby’s NBA Breakdown For 4.30. Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord Chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

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Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 4/26

Mitchell Thoennes
written by Mitchell Thoennes


Welcome back for tonight’s NBA GPP Picks 4/26 where we have a huge eleven-game NBA slate to break down. The first thing we notice looking at this slate is that we have two stars questionable in Luka Doncic and Joel Embiid. That isn’t including guys like Kristaps Porzingis, Tobias Harris, and Dennis Schroeder all being questionable as well. This all makes for Discord Chat being an extremely important place to be tomorrow up till lock. Our WinDaily family will be in there to help you adjust to this slate as it changes. Let’s get into today’s pick to help you take down a GPP!


In today’s article, I will be using DraftKings pricing to select my two top players at each position using a GPP/Tournament mindset.

Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 4/26

Point Guard
Tyrese Haliburton – ($6,800)
Last night without Fox, Haliburton had a 26.6% usage rate while leading the team in shots taken at 20. He played 37 minutes and scored over 40 fantasy points in his start. The rookie sees a 6.7% usage increase without Fox and Bagley that results in a fantasy point per minute. The Mavericks could be without several players tonight especially on the front end of a back-to-back. I believe Wright, and Hield could be other selections.


Theo Maledon – ($5,300)
When taking off all the players out for OKC we get Maledon with a 6.3% usage increase to a 25.2% usage rate. That is good for second on the team behind only Darius Bazley. Maledon is averaging .85 fantasy points per minute with all these guys out. The 76ers may sit several players with Simmons also already ruled out. He has 8x ceiling left in this price as he just went for nearly 40 last time out.


Shooting Guard
Paul George – ($9,600)
With Kawhi, Luke Kennard, Ibaka, and Beverley off the court George is seeing a 36.7% usage rate and scoring 1.4 fantasy points per minute. The matchup here is great against the fourth-worst defensive team this season. In seven of the last eight games without Kawhi, George has scored more than 50 fantasy points including three 60-point games. This matchup will allow George another 50+ fantasy point night.


Shake Milton – ($4,900)
The 76er’s have Tobias Harris and Joel Embiid coming into this game questionable and Ben Simmons ruled out. With Simmons off the floor, Milton has a usage rate of 28.1% and averaging .92 fantasy points per minute. A fantastic matchup here as the Thunder have been the fifth-worst defensive team and the third quickest team over the past ten games.


Small Forward
Tim Hardaway Jr. – (4,300)
They say Luka is a 50-50 to play tonight with the Mavs on the front end of a back-to-back. Dallas has Porzingis and Josh Richardson listed questionable as well. Hardaway has had usage of over 22% in six straight games his shot just has not been falling. He is at a reduced price from where we saw him a month ago and will surely benefit from any of those three being ruled out. Let’s not forget the Kings are the worst defensive team in the NBA this season.


Power Forward
Anthony Davis – ($9,400)
Davis played 28 minutes last game but struggled to find his Rythm shooting 5-19. His minute restriction should be lifted in time for a great matchup. Over the past ten games, the Magic have given up the second-most fantasy points to power forwards and rank dead last in defensive rating. The Laker star had a 39% usage rate last game and he is at a reasonable price with Lebron absent.


Bojan Bogdanovic – ($6,400)
We just saw the Jazz and Wolves play when Bogdanovic played 38 minutes to score 42 fantasy points. I can easily see that happening again since the wolves rank third-worst in defensive rating and play at the fourth-fastest pace. That last game was much lower scoring than expected and Bogdan still put up these numbers. His usage without Mitchell is 25%, good for second on the team averaging just under a fantasy point per minute.


Center
Joel Embiid – ($10,200)
When Ben Simmons is off the court Embiid sees a 6.2% usage increase making his usage an absurd 43%. An average of 1.84 fantasy points per minute to go along with that should be enough to put him in. He is starring at a dream matchup against OKC who has given up the fourth-most fantasy points to centers this year. The Philly big has gone for 60 fantasy points in three of his last five games as long as he is healthy fire him up.


Jarrett Allen – ($7,000)
First off, this is the cheapest that Allen has been in well over a month. Today he gets a good positional matchup against the Raptors who have given up the fifth-most fantasy points to centers. The Cavs played Toronto a little over a month ago where Allen scored 39 fantasy points. I like that his minutes have been up to 33 and 34 in the past two games too.


Closing Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 4/26


It is a large slate tonight for NBA GPP Picks 4/26. This eleven-game slate that looks as if it should have tons of value will be high scoring too. I will be crossing off two games to start. Those two will be PHO vs NYK and LAL vs ORL unless Schroeder guys ruled out for LAL. We have a fun slate ahead of us with many injuries and tons of stars to play. Don’t forget to check out our projection models to help you select the top point per dollar value plays. Good luck with tonight’s slate.

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Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 4/25

Mitchell Thoennes
written by Mitchell Thoennes


It was a crazy night in the sports world and now it’s time to bring it all back with NBA GPP Picks 4/25. It will be a four-game slate that has tons of injury information already. De’Aaron Fox and Collin Sexton are already ruled out with Clint Capela, Wendell Carter, and Terrence Ross all questionable. As usual for NBA that makes the Discord Chat rooms an important place to be. The WinDaily staff and I will be there to answer any questions and keep you posted on the latest news. Vegas has three of the four games opening at a 229 which should make for a fun slate so let’s dive in!


In today’s article, I will be using DraftKings pricing to select my two favorite GPP/Tournament players for today’s NBA slate. Due to the smaller slate, I may not get two selections for every position.

Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 4/25

Point Guard
Stephen Curry – ($10,500)
It has gone to a little Steph take-over time where he has shot over 20 times in ten out of eleven games. He attempted ten or more threes in all of those eleven games except one. He is averaging a 37% usage on the year making it hard to overlook him when it comes to setting lineups. Today he draws about the juiciest matchup he can ask for playing the worst-ranked defensive rate team along with giving up the fourth-most fantasy points to point guards this year.


Brandon Goodwin – ($4,200)
With Trae Young sidelined Goodwin is forced into a strong role on this Hawks squad. In the first game without Young, we saw Goodwin with a 29% usage rate. He turned that into 26 fantasy points on 22 minutes of court time. The Bucks represent a pace-up spot as they have been the third-fastest team this season. Regardless of the score, Goodwin will see his minutes and this price is still fair.


Shooting Guard
Caris Levert – ($8,400)
You can’t ask for a better matchup than the one Levert gets tonight. The Magic rank dead last in defensive rating over the past ten games and have given up the most fantasy points to shooting guards this season. When Sabonis and Turner are off the floor Levert sees a 27.5% usage rate resulting in 1.13 fantasy points per minute. The matchup is juicy and the added usage Is here for Levert to capitalize on a smash spot.


Delon Wright – ($4,900)
Since Fox is ruled out it will be up to Wright and Davis to play big minutes. I chose Wright because in three of his last four games he played 26 or more minutes scoring 28 or more fantasy points in all three. Averaging .9 fantasy points per minute with Fox out solid especially when you’re in a matchup with the second fast-paced team in the league.

Small Forward
Kevin Huerter – ($6,400)
When Young is out along with the other Hawks that have been out for a while Huerter sees the largest usage increase of 4%. Recently Huerter has been playing massive minutes recording at least 36 minutes in four of his last five. A date with the third-fastest team will benefit Atlanta. I believe other than Goodwin, Huerter and Gallinari will be my main plays from a Trae Youngless Hawks.


Isaac Okoro – (3,600)
Since Sexton and Prince will both miss this game the minutes for Okoro are as safe as it comes. With those two off the floor, he has played more minutes than any other Cavelier. Okoro obtains a slight 2.6% usage increase without those two. At this price and facing the fastest-paced team in the league will be all Okoro needs to hit value. He has played at least 30 minutes in six of his last seven.


Power Forward
Davis Bertans – ($5,100)
The Wizards are thin at power forward with both Hachimura and Avdija already ruled out. Bertans sees a 3% usage increase without those two on his way to just under .9 fantasy points per minute. The minutes and opportunities will be here against Cleveland who is giving up the sixth-most fantasy points to power forwards in the past ten games. A big part of that is three-pointers made for those power forwards which is lovely news for Bertans.


Center
Mo Bamba – ($5,500)
We will need to see what happens with the status of Carter Jr. If he sits again Bamba should be in line for a minimum of 25 minutes. Last game out with Carter off the floor Bamba played 28 minutes going for 38 fantasy points. Let’s not forget that in two of the last three games he led his team in usage both games totaling over 26%. Now add that Indiana is extremely thin in the frontcourt and it’s tough to go wrong.


Oshae Brissett – ($4,800)
Since Bitadze was ruled out last night I assume he will remain out tonight along with Sabonis and Turner. All three have been out the past two games where Brissett played 38 and 42 minutes, on his way to 32.25 and 51.5 fantasy points. A great matchup awaits with the Magic allowing the sixth-most fantasy points to centers over the past ten games and maybe without starter Wendell Carter.


Closing Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 4/25


Thanks for reading NBA GPP Picks 4/25 where we broke down this Sunday night four-game slate. It will be a fun one with injury news to follow and several star players already ruled out. Any given day Discord Chat rooms are important to follow all news. Don’t forget to check out our projection models for the best value plays on this slate. My favorite game to choose from will likely be Golden State vs Sacramento where both sides of the ball have some value to choose from. Best of luck to you all and enjoy your Sunday!

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Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 4/24

Mitchell Thoennes
written by Mitchell Thoennes


Tonight’s slate brings us six games to break down for NBA GPP Picks 4/24. It will be a busy one with tons of injury news already surfacing. The Rockets ruled Wall out and Wood picked up an injury last night looking unlikely to play tonight. At least three Rocket players will likely be optimal. Other news to watch is Kristaps Porzingis and Demar DeRozan are both questionable. This slate with tons of value will easily allow for stars and scrubs builds. My favorite team to target tonight other than Houston will be the Jazz. That Wolves vs Jazz game holds the highest projected total at 233. Let us dig into this value-filled six-game slate.


In today’s article NBA GPP Picks 4/24, I will be using DraftKings pricing to select my two favorite players from each position using a GPP mindset.

Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 4/24

Point Guard
Malcolm Brogdon – ($8,300)
The Pacers will be without Turner and Sabonis tonight with several others questionable. When Turner and Sabonis are off the court Brogdon sees a usage increase of 5% to a team-leading 31.4%. With that increase, Brogdon sees a healthy 1.27 fantasy points per minute. A good positional matchup awaits as the Pistons have given up the sixth-most fantasy points to point guards this season and in the past ten games.


Armoni Brooks – ($3,800)
Houston is looking like they will only have eight players available for tonight’s game. I will confirm that In Discord later on but John Wall and Christian Wood are both expected to sit. Brooks has seen 30 minutes or more in the past two games and now Wall will be absent. He shot at least eight threes in the last three games and that was with both Wall and Wood. The minutes will be massive and someone needs to shoot for the Rockets.


Shooting Guard
Derrick White – ($6,800)
This play will specifically be if DeRozan ends up missing this game. White obtains a 5.1% usage increase and averages 1.13 fantasy points per minute without DeRozan. The Spurs have Rudy Gay also questionable if he sits to the numbers for White get even better. We did just see a 55-point ceiling game for White in under 30 minutes with DeRozan out.


Jordan Clarkson – ($6,500)
When Donovan Mitchell is out Clarkson becomes the team leader in usage at 31.3%. Tonight, he draws about the best matchup in the league against Minnesota. The Wolves have been the worst defensive team in the league over the past ten games and play at a top-five best in that span. He still has a ceiling at this price especially against the Wolves, I think Joe Ingles is an option here too.


Small Forward
Luka Doncic – ($11,000)
I like this play whether Porzingis plays or not. Luka has played 33 or more minutes in ten straight games. In five of his last six games, Doncic recorded a usage rate of 35% or higher, including 37% or more in his last three. Dallas just played the Lakers and Luka went for 58 fantasy points, 30 real points, and flirted with a triple-double. The Mavs are at home where Luka hasn’t scored under 58 fantasy points in his last four games.


PJ Dozier – (4,100)
Will Barton exited last night’s game due to a hamstring injury which benefited Dozier. He played over 30 minutes and recorded double-digit shot attempts for the fourth time in his last five games. With injuries striking this Nuggets team Dozier has played at least 24 minutes and scored 18.5 or more fantasy points in Denver’s past five games. Tonight, he gets a glorious matchup against a Houston squad that will be extremely shorthanded.


Power Forward
Jae’Sean Tate – ($6,100)
The minutes and shot attempts are about as safe as if comes for Tate with Houston thin. Last game Wall missed against Orlando Tate scored 39.75 fantasy points with Wood and Porter playing. Rocket players will be a hot commodity today and getting your hands on Tate or Olynyk may be the ticket. My one concern here is a massive blowout but Denver will be without Barton tonight now.


Bojan Bogdanovic – ($5,900)
When Donovan Mitchell is off the floor Bogdanovic sees the largest usage increase of 2.5%. That does bring him to the second-highest on the team at 24.1% behind Clarkson. He averages just under a fantasy point per minute without Mitchell. The Wolves are an excellent spot to surpass the fantasy point-per-minute threshold as they rank dead last in defensive rating and play at a top-five pace. He has been consistent of late scoring at least 30 fantasy points in five of his last six.


Center
Nikola Jokic – ($10,900)
This is a matchup where the Joker will erupt for a huge game. Houston presents a lousy defense and with Wood out the likes of DJ Wilson and Kelly Olynyk will be forced to guard Jokic. Those two are going to get eaten alive tonight. In a small sample size without Murray and Barton Jokic is averaging a massive 45% usage rate while recording 1.71 fantasy points per minute. No doubt this will be a popular play but he is too hard to ignore in this beautiful spot.


Oshae Brissett – ($4,200)
We have Sabonis and Turner already ruled out for Indiana. Then there is Bitadze, McDermott, and Lamb all questionable. In two games of 25 minutes or greater Brissett has recorded 24 and 51.5 fantasy points. If Bitadze is out of action again Brissett will be forced to eat as many center minutes as he can. Regardless of Bitadze’s status Brissett just signed a new contract with the Pacers. He will have a role and contribute with just Sabonis and Turner out.


Closing Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 4/24


It is a crazy slate already for NBA GPP Picks 4/24 and the day has just begun. We could see more injury news roll in throughout the day. The best way to keep track of that is in the Discord Chat rooms with the WinDaily family and me. In Discord, we will keep you updated on all injury news and the best ways to adjust to it. I’ll be in MMA Discord today as well talking about the first big fight card WITH FANS tonight! Good luck on all your bets and DFS lines today!

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NBA

Stoweby’s NBA Breakdown For 4.23

Uriah Wesson
written by Uriah Wesson

Ladies and gentlemen, I am thrilled to say I’m back in the saddle for NBA action going forward every Friday and I’m ready to help you all put some cash in your wallet down the home stretch of the NBA season. This is a point guard rich environment tonight and there are several key players expected to miss the games this evening so don’t forget to check out our NBA Projection Model and Cheat Sheet all the way till lock for the latest and most accurate information when it comes to value plays! Enough yammering, you came for plays. Let’s get into Stoweby’s NBA Breakdown for 4.23.

Stoweby’s NBA Breakdown For 4.23

Point Guard:

Russell Westbrook, Wizards, $11,000:

If you can get there Westy has been on a tear lately giving you nine triple-doubles in the last ten games with no less than 55.75 DK points during that stretch with a usage rate of around 33% during that stretch. His shooting percentage is still terrible but that really hasn’t done anything to slow him down and against a Thunder team who is top seven in pace and bottom seven in defensive efficiency I see no reason that he will take a step back tonight.

Ja Morant, Grizzlies, $7,200:

My first instinct was to see if Jonas Valanciunas was going to be a go for this one but sadly he is still dealing with lingering concussion issues but Ja’s usage jumps 2.6% without JoVal on the floor to just over 30%. Portland is garbage defensively, there is no other word for it. Aside from the Kings, there is no one worse. If I can fit it tonight a looking at leaning heavily on this contest for a little late-night hammer action.

John Wall, Rockets, $7,500:

If you don’t know what I am about to say you are either new, in which case welcome, or you have not been listening to us at all during the season in which case I say you aren’t doing DFS correctly. You play primary ball handlers against the Clippers, period. Only concern is a blowout but the Rockets are down to potentially Wall and Armoni Brooks so I think the minutes are safe.

Also Consider:

Goran Dragic or Kendrick Nunn (If Tyler Herro is out): $5,000 and $5,100 respectively.

Steph Curry: $10,300

Kyrie Irving: $10,100

Damian Lillard: $9,500

Theo Maledon: $5,200

Kemba Walker: $7,500

Shooting Guard:

Lou Williams, Hawks, $4,300:

I’m kind of guess here so I’ll need a little bit of confirmation later in the day but with Trae Young expected to miss the several games with an ankle sprain I’m expecting the Hawks to lean on Sweet Lou’s scoring ability. I don’t really have a great sample size to give you here but it should stay close enough that he will get plenty of minutes to pay off the cheap price. Keep an eye on news with this one.

Bradley Beal, Wizards, $9,600:

Overshadowed by Westy’s triple-double run he is on is the NBA’s number two scorer on the season Bradley Beal with a sub 10K price tag. While everyone is tailing Russ’s performance I may ultimately opt to find some savings in terms of price and ownership and stick with guy who is benefiting from the 14-15 assists Westy is dishing out a game right now. Oh, almost forgot, he’s small forward eligible on DK (I don’t know why). SF is really thin tonight so consider taking advantage here.

Also Consider:

CJ McCollum: $8,600

Marcus Smart: $6,900

Paul George: $9,600

Svi Mykhailiuk: $3,800

Small Forward:

Jimmy Butler, Heat, $9,700:

I really don’t like the point total of 215 with this game but the Hawks can’t guard anybody and Dipo is out yet again with that lingering knee issue and Tyler Herro looks to be a true game time decision so Jimmy will need to handle his business from both sides of the court tonight. I may back off of this in lieu of cheaper options as value opens up but to this point Butler is in a good position tonight

Kenrich Williams, Thunder, $4,900

If you’re trusting the 230 game total you have to find someone on the Thunder side to run back. With no SGA or possibly Luguentz Dort out and how thin small forward is tonight, he should be on the radar. I’m likely gonna find myself more on Beal at SF and running Svi at SG but Williams is sporting a decent usage of around 18% over the last handful of games and he took advantage of the higher pace against the Wizards a few days ago and scored 28.25 DK points so there are worse options out there.

Also consider:

Jae’Sean Tate: $6,200

Kevin Huerter: $5,800

Keep an eye on value opening up here tonight, I’m not “in love” with anyone to this point tonight here.

Power Forward:

Jason Tatum, Celtics, $10,000

A 232 game total and a depleted Brooklyn defense that was never good even when healthy and the potential of Jaylen Brown missing tonight and point Tatum feels like a smash spot in the making. I love that DraftKings does weird things like putting Tatum as a power forward. It makes no sense but I’ll be happy to take another primary ball-handler at PF. When Brown sits Tatum sees a massive 4.7% increase in usage to over 35%! He has the potential to be the top scorer on the evening so don’t forget about him tonight.

Jason Tatum again: Ok fine I’ll add another one.
Darius Bazley, Thunder, $6,200:

As I already mentioned I’m liking a lot of pieces in this contest. With no SGA and a 230 total, there is a ton of usage to go around for the rest of these mid-low prices Thunder players and Bazley sees a usage increase of 4.5% when SGA and Dort are off of the floor and he has given you right at 40 DK points in each of the last two with Dort off of the floor.

Also Consider:

John Collins (If Capella sits): $6,800

Jeff Green (If Durant sits): $4,800

Center:

Christian Wood, Rockets, $8,200:

Love this guy’s talent and now that he is playing his full allotment of minutes on an almost nightly bases he is hard to ignore at 8.2K. We will need to keep an eye on injury news for Houston to verify but I don’t think they’ll be able to sit him much no matter the score with as many as 7 guys on the Rocket’s roster missing tonight. I’m in no way worried about Ivica Zubac’s defense from the Clippers and I would be surprised if Boogie pulls a Boogie and get’s himself ejected against his old team without making an impact. All signs point to another 50+ DK point performance for Wood tonight.

Daniel Gafford, Wizards, $3,800:

Still way too cheap for the production he’s been giving you even when he is only getting 16 minutes. If he gets anywhere near the mid-20’s you’re talking 30 DK ponts at minimum. With a usage rate averaging near 23% over the last seven games and the already discussed pace and Thunder defense if we can get any idea on minutes his value is fantastic.

Also Consider:

Nikola Jokic: $10,900

Jusuf Nurkic: $5,200

Bam Adebayo: $8,200

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Sports Draftkings Stoweby’s NBA Breakdown For 4.23. Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord Chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

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Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 4/19

Mitchell Thoennes
written by Mitchell Thoennes


We have a much larger nine-game slate for NBA GPP Picks 4/19. With that comes a ton of injury news to keep track of with Steph Curry, Jaylen Brown, Tobias Harris, and Kemba Walker among the most notable players questionable. That makes joining the WinDaily staff and me in the Discord Chat rooms a must. In there you will find us keeping you updated on all player news and helping you adjust throughout the day. On a big slate-like today there are several games projected around or above the 230-point threshold and one of my favorites of those games is OKC vs Washington. Keep on scrolling and let’s get into today’s picks!


In today’s article, I will be using DraftKings pricing to select my two favorite GPP/Tournament players for today’s NBA slate.

Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 4/19

Point Guard
Russell Westbrook – ($11,000)
Westbrook has been a triple-double machine lately with eight in his last ten games and that won’t stop here. A great spot awaits against his former team who has allowed the most fantasy point by far to opposing point guards the last ten games. We know he touches the ball plenty and will attack the rim where OKC’s ranks seventh-worst in guarding the paint. Another triple-double is in the making with this beautiful matchup for Westbrook.


Killian Hayes – ($3,700)
The Pistons will be thin with them resting or having several starters listed out. I count they will only have ten available and the rookie should benefit from that. With all these guys out he is averaging a 20% usage rate while averaging .92 fantasy points per minute. In his last two games, he saw 25 or more minutes leading to 22 fantasy points or greater. The opportunity for big minutes is here and a cheap salary makes Hayes a wonderful option.


Shooting Guard
Jordan Clarkson – ($6,400)
Donovan Mitchell is sidelined for at least a week and Clarkson will benefit greatly from that. In his last game, Clarkson shot the ball 27 times, for a 28% usage rate, that allowed him to score 42 fantasy points. The usage last game is lower than Clarkson’s average of 31.5% when Mitchell is out. Clarkson by far has the highest usage with Mitchell out and isn’t Utah’s highest-priced player. I will fire up Clarkson against his former team.


PJ Dozier – ($3,700)
The Nuggets will be without Monte Morris and Jamal Murray who is lost for the season. In two games without Murray Dozier has played at least 24 minutes and shot ten or more times in both. His price is still extremely low and now we add another guard in Monte Morris out. The Grizzlies are a pace-up spot and have given up the fourth-most fantasy points to shooting guards this season.


Small Forward
Luguentz Dort – ($7,000)
Coming into last night’s game Dort was questionable so maybe he sits this back-to-back out. If he plays though I will roll him out again because he leads the Thunder in usage at 30.5% with all these players out. During that time, he is averaging 1.15 fantasy points per minute. Dort has had three straight games with 40 or more fantasy points and more than 15 shots. Today he draws a fantastic matchup against the fastest-paced team in the NBA.


Denzel Valentine – (3,300)
In the past two games without Lavine, Valentine has seen a 25% usage rate and 26%. He scored 22 fantasy points in that last game. When Lavine doesn’t play Denzel is averaging .99 fantasy points per minute so all he needs is 20 or so minutes. The Celtics have a lot of questionable tags on their side so we could see value on the side of the ball too.


Power Forward
Josh Jackson – ($5,100)
As mentioned already Detroit is going to be extremely short-handed. Jackson has already had four straight games with a usage rate of 30.5% or more. In two of those four games, Jackson scored over 40 fantasy points flashing that upside. With minimal options for Detroit, we should see Jackson’s playing time and shot attempts solidified. One of Jackson or Bey will have a big game today both are viable options.


Xavier Tillman – ($3,400)
The Grizzlies may be lacking players in the frontcourt with JOVAL ruled out and Brandon Clarke questionable. With just Valanciunas off the floor, it has been Tillman who has seen the most minutes this year. In those minutes Tillman has been able to average .9 fantasy points per minute. Tillman was already seeing regular minutes now Memphis is missing a starting center. If Tillman starts and lines up with Jokic I may fade him pending ownership.


Center
Nikola Jokic – ($11,000)
The Denver big man should go bonkers in this game against Memphis. It is a huge pass-up spot for the Nuggets and the Grizzlies will be without big man Jonas Valanciunas. They also have Brandon Clarke listed questionable. With Murray off the floor, Jokic usage gets a 7.7% increase totaling 37.1% and he is averaging 1.67 fantasy points per minute. The price is high but he did just score 65 fantasy points in just 27 minutes against Houston.


Joel Embiid – ($10,700)
If Tobias Harris misses another game due to his knee injury it will be hard not to spend up for one of these centers. With just Harris off the floor, Embiid’s usage is at a massive 39.8% and averaging 1.82 fantasy points per minute. Now today he is facing the second fastest team in the NBA who is banged up in the frontcourt. Embiid should be allowed to eat up the Warriors all day long especially if Tobias sits again.


Closing Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 4/19
Thanks for tuning into NBA GPP Picks 4/19 as we have an injury-filled nine-game slate. Remember on a day like today the Discord Chat rooms will be your best friend to keep track of who’s in and who’s out. Be sure to check out our projection models especially on a day like today where we see tons of value. We will see you next weekend. Enjoy your week and good luck on MLB and NBA.

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NBA

Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 4/18

Mitchell Thoennes
written by Mitchell Thoennes


Today brings us another five-game slate for NBA GPP Picks 4/18. We do have a couple of quality players out in John Wall and Damian Lillard. That should open plenty of value for us on this slate. A key player that enters today questionable is Kawhi Leonard. Any news on him will alter the slate so be sure to join the WinDaily staff and me in the Discord Chat room. We offer our latest advice along with the latest news on today’s slate. The late-night hammer for this slate between LAC and MIN is projected for the highest total at 234 ½. We have a five-game NBA slate to talk about so let’s get into it!

https://twitter.com/WinDailySports/status/1383638531344461831


In this article, I will be breaking down my two top plays at each position using DraftKings pricing. Due to the shorter slate, I may not get both for all positions.

Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 4/18

Point Guard
Cj McCollum – ($8,700)
When Lillard sat last game, McCollum led his squad in usage rate at 34%. A large part of that was him shooting the ball 26 times in that outing. It has been three straight games of over 36 minutes. I do think it is worth mentioning that McCollum is averaging five more real points and ten more fantasy points on the road. Combine that with his team-high in usage and McCollum will have a great night.


Anfernee Simons – ($3,600)
With Damian Lillard already ruled out we should see Simons play big minutes again. Last time out without Lillard Simons eclipsed the 30-minute mark and scored 29.5 fantasy points. When Lillard is absent Simons holds a 21.2% usage rate while averaging just under a fantasy point per minute. A matchup against a depleted Charlotte team is enticing too.


Shooting Guard
Paul George – ($9,300)
If Kawhi is out again this pick is a no-brainer it seems. Just play George and if he sucks so be it. In the past three games, he played without Leonard his lowest usage rate is 37%. All three of those games saw George score 50 fantasy points or more. A glorious matchup awaits PG as well with the Wolves being the fourth fastest team and ranking third-worst in defensive efficiency. Just fire him up he has scored over 50 in five straight now.


Gary Harris – ($4,200)
The former Nugget has been seeing around a 20% usage rate for his new squad. Harris has been getting worked back slowly and should be off any restriction he may have had. This is a smash spot in which Harris already scored 27 fantasy points in 28 minutes. With Houston ranking sixth fastest and fifth-worst in defensive rating Harris will have a fantastic opportunity at over 25 fantasy points.


Small Forward
Luguentz Dort – ($6,900)
In the past two games, Dort has led this thin Thunder team. Over the last two games, he is averaging a 36% usage rate while scoring at least 44.5 fantasy points in both. With the Thunder players off the floor that are already ruled out, Dort increases his usage by 10% and averages 1.22 fantasy points per minute. His last two massive fantasy performances were tough matchups against Utah and Detroit. This spot will allow Dort the possibility at a larger ceiling.


Miles Bridges – (7,200)
Due to the substantial number of injuries for Charlotte Bridges has been playing massive minutes recording 36 or more in six straight. If the same players sit that sat last game Bridge’s usage increases over 5% and he averages over a fantasy point per minute at 1.03. He is facing the second-worst defensive team in the league which could only be a benefit. If the Hornets are shorthanded again the minutes and shot attempts available are impossible to ignore.


Power Forward
Kristaps Porzingis – ($9,000)
He comes with a price tag but if I am playing a Dallas player, I will choose Porzingis over Luka. I think you can play Luka since the Kings play at a top ten pace and still rank dead last in team defense. I will just prefer to pay less for Porzingis with a 55-to-60-point upside. The Kings are the fifth-worst rebounding team this season and will be without starting big man Richuan Holmes. I will want plenty of exposure to this game in general because it is going to be fantastic.


Darius Bazley- ($6,000)
Since the Thunder are shorthanded and since Bazley returned he has the second-highest usage at 24%. In three of this last four Bazley has gone for over 30 fantasy points while posting over a 25% usage rate in those three games. If you play Bazley and Dort you are getting over 50% of a team usage for a discounted rate.


Center
Christian Wood – ($8,500)
Since Houston will be without Wall tonight they will count on Wood and Porter Jr to absorb a majority of their usage. Their opponent brings a favorable matchup as they have been the fifth-worst defensive team since the deadline. We have just seen Wood go for over 50 fantasy points in two of his last three. Now tonight without a usage monster like Wall, Wood should have more touches against Orlando.


Ivica Zubac – ($5,400)
It will be up to Zubac to defend Towns so I believe his minutes will be safe here other than foul trouble. Other than his down performance last game Zubac had gone three straight games with 25 or more fantasy points. The Wolves are the best matchup he has had as they have allowed the second-most fantasy points to centers. Today’s icing on the cake is the Wolves’ fast-paced zero-defense basketball will allow Zubac to get a double-double.


Closing Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 4/18


It was fun breaking down today’s five-game NBA GPP Picks 4/18 slate. There is always the potential for slate-breaking news so don’t be afraid to jump in Discord. You can also check out our Projection Models before lock to stay updated on the best point per dollar plays. The majority of my spend-up options will come from SAC vs DAL or MIN vs LAC depending on Kawhi. I appreciate you tuning in. Enjoy the rest of your weekend and good luck!

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NBA

Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 4/17

Mitchell Thoennes
written by Mitchell Thoennes


Tonight will bring us a five-game slate for NBA GPP Picks 4/17. We have half of tonight’s teams on the second leg of a back-to-back. The Wizards are one of those teams and we will need to keep an eye on Bradley Beal resting after playing 42 minutes last night. A perfect place to stay updated on all the latest developments is in our Discord Chat rooms. Our biggest questionable status is Kelly Oubre and hopefully, it stays that way until lock. Some Grizzlies stuck out to me as cheap options because this game should be a track meet projected for 236 ½ points. Let us scroll and check out today’s picks!


In this article, I will be breaking down my two top plays at each position using DraftKings pricing. Due to the shorter slate, I may not get both for all positions.

Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 4/17

Point Guard
Ja Morant – ($7,000)
The Grizzlies star guard saw this matchup once earlier in the season and went for over 50 fantasy points. This a pass-up spot for the Grizzlies as Milwaukee has been the third-fastest team in the league. His minutes have been up slightly with playing at least 35 minutes in four of his last five games. The Bucks will be without a good defensive player in Divencenzo as well. Getting pieces of the highest total game will be important and Morant will be near the top of that list.


Coby White – ($5,200)
The Bulls already have Lavine ruled out and Satoransky entering today questionable. Last night with both players absent White played 33 minutes while going for 44 fantasy points. His usage rate was fantastic against Memphis last night at 27%. Tonight, he faces Cleveland who has given up the seventh-most fantasy points to shooting guards. Even if Satoransky plays White should start at shooting guard for Lavine.

Killian Hayes – ($3,400)
We have Dennis Smith Jr and Cory Joseph potentially sitting out another game. Last night without those two out Hayes started and played 27 minutes leading to 36 fantasy points. Now tonight he faces the fastest-paced team in the NBA who has allowed the third-most fantasy points to point guards this season. This is a cheap price tag that Hayes has paid off in two straight games. He has averaged a usage just under 20% since his return which is plenty to pay off this price.


Shooting Guard
Bradley Beal – ($8,700)
If Beal can give it a go this is the lowest salary, he has been in two months. He has played 36 minutes, not in his past three games showing the injury is behind him. In Beal’s last five games his usage rate has been above 32%. The Pistons could end up short-handed again which would help Beal. I say that because in the past ten games the Pistons are allowing the fifth-most fantasy points to shooting guards. If he plays the bargain price tag makes Beal hard to ignore.


Denzel Valentine – ($3,000)
In last night’s game, Valentine saw 17 minutes without the two starting guards. During those minutes Valentine found his way to a 25% usage rate. There is a good possibility Garrett Temple sits out this second half of a back-to-back. Cleveland struggles to guard the three-point line and shooting guards giving up the seventh-most fantasy points to them. If Lavine, Satoransky, and Temple all sit there will be massive minutes for Valentine at minimum price. Even if two sit I think he can pay off his salary.
Small Forward


Dillon Brooks – ($5,400)
The man has been chucking up shots lately, in his past five games, Brook’s fewest shot attempts are seventeen. Now today he gets a quick-paced game facing the third-fastest team in the league. These two squads have played once this season and Brooks went off for over 50 fantasy points in that game. Brooks will continue to see safe minutes if Melton is out and the above 32% usage over his previous two games can’t hurt.


Power Forward
Jayson Tatum – ($9,500)
I do not see the Warriors having anyone to guard Tatum. If they put Draymond on him, I think Tatum will eat him up. Tatum leads the Celtics in usage averaging a 30% rate on the year. Golden State is a plus matchup as they have given up the second-most fantasy points to power forwards and are playing at the second-quickest pace this season. I like Tatum over Giannis right now strictly due to the question mark with the minutes for the latter. If we get word Giannis is a full go, I may insert him here.


Jerami Grant – ($6,500)
Grant has been in and out of the lineup lately but has still scored over 35 fantasy points in his last three games. In those three games, he has not dipped below a 31.8% usage rate either. Today Grant sees a Wizard’s squad that ranks the fastest in the NBA. This is another player who is a bargain on this slate because this is Grant’s cheapest tag in well over a month. His minutes appear to be back too as he played 36 minutes last time out.


Center
Jarrett Allen – ($7,600)
After returning from a nearly three-week absence it seems Allen is ready for a full load as he played 35 minutes in his second game back. Those minutes allowed him to score 39 fantasy points. This is a smash spot if the minutes are that high because Chicago is allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to centers since getting Vucevic. They have also been the second-worst team in defensive rating over the past five games. The Cleveland big man has already dropped 40 fantasy points on Chicago this season. This tag is a little steep but we have value to get up here.


Deandre Ayton – ($6,800)
Tonight, Ayton brings in a seven-game streak of scoring 34.5 fantasy points or more. Does not seem like much but for this salary, he is hitting value. The best part is in the past four games Ayton has played 30 minutes or less and still hit that mark. He should go Banana’s if he gets into the 33-minute range facing the team that has allowed the most fantasy points to centers this season. Over the past five games, Ayton has seen about a 3% usage increase compared to his season average.


Closing Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 4/17


Thank you for reading today’s article NBA GPP Picks 4/17. It is a fun five-game slate to break down and I hope we do not get any crazy news. I know that is a long shot but one can hope. Join the WinDaily staff and me in Discord chat where help you adjust based upon what news breaks. Enjoy your Saturday night and may your screens be green! We will be right back here tomorrow be sure to tune in!

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NBA

Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 4/11

Mitchell Thoennes
written by Mitchell Thoennes


We have an eight-game slate to break down for NBA GPP Picks 4/11. There is a hefty number of players already ruled out and a few with questionable tags. The main status’ we will be waiting on is Milwaukee, Kyle Lowry, and Jerami Grant. Tonight, we do expect to see Lowry back and Toronto will get one step closer to a healthy squad. Let’s not forget in the NBA World we can see the slate change in a moment.

The best way to make sure you don’t miss any news is by joining the WinDaily family and me in Discord Chat rooms. We help with any questions you may have up until the slate locks. The Wolves vs Bulls game will be my main target with Minnesota allowing over 140 points in two straight games. This Sunday night eight-game slate will be electric so let us get into it!


In this article, I will be breaking down my two top plays at each position using DraftKings pricing. These plays are based upon my research and pending news could change throughout the day. Join us in Discord to further follow my NBA GPP Picks 4/11.

Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 4/11

Point Guard
Cole Anthony – ($5,000)
In two games since returning from a rib injury, Anthony has logged 26 minutes with 25 or more fantasy points. During those two games, his usage has yet to fall below 21%. A date with Milwaukee means a massive pace-up spot as Chicago is the third quickest team. If we get a few more minutes out of Anthony he should surpass 30 fantasy points.


Goran Dragic – ($4,700)
With Oladipo suffering another injury and Herro rolling in questionable we could have major guard minutes available. When Herro and Oladipo are off the floor Dragic sees a usage rate of 27%. He is scoring .9 fantasy points per minute during that time and should see the upper 20’s in minutes without Herro. A great matchup awaits Dragic as the Blazers have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to point guards and rank second-worst in defensive rating.

Shooting Guard
Paul George – ($8,400)
We already received news that Kawhi will be out and that’s wonderful for rostering Paul George. When Leonard is off the floor George sees a massive 9.5% usage increase to a team-high 39%. Also, during that time PG is recording over 1.5 fantasy points per minute. The Pistons could be missing Jerami Grant again who is an effective defensive player. A reasonable price is a cherry on top for a guy who scored 50 in two straight games.


D’Angelo Russell – ($6,500)
Russell has played three games since returning from his two-month absence and last game he logged 29 minutes. I believe this price is too cheap especially if we see the Minnesota guard pass the 30-minute mark. He has already scored over 40 fantasy points in two of his three games with under 30 minutes. Since Vucevic was acquired, the Bulls rank sixth-worst in team defense. This game may be the highest total on the slate at 231 a DLO, Lavine, Town’s stack could be the ticket.


Small Forward
Khris Middleton – ($8,000)
Giannis is coming into this game doubtful which means I will ride Middleton yet again. When Giannis is off the floor Middleton sees a 6.3% usage increase bringing his total to 31.5%. It’s not like he hasn’t been taking the shots he did just shoot 27 times against Dallas but only made 6. The Magic isn’t a matchup that scares me and the high usage should allow Middleton to pay off this tag.


Marcus Morris – ($4,800)
When you’re missing a guy like Kawhi there is a ton of usage to makeup and Morris soaks up 6.4% of that. His usage then sits at 26% which is second to only Paul George. That makes this price too cheap and the minutes will be much safer without Kawhi. Let’s not forget that Morris is averaging 1.11 fantasy points per minute with Leonard absent. If Jerami Grant is out again Detroit has no one to guard Morris or George.


Power Forward
Zion Williamson – ($9,400)
New Orleans will be without Ball and Alexander Walker again not to mention Josh Hart. Zion increases his usage by 8.1% with them off the floor in route to a massive 1.66 fantasy points per minute. Last game without Lonzo, Williamson had a 41.5% usage rate and recorded 68 fantasy points against a tough Philly team. About a month ago to the day the Pelicans and Cavs squared off and Zion went for 23 points and 32 fantasy points in just 18 minutes. The small number of minutes was due to a giant blowout.


Taurean Prince – ($5,100)
I will go back to the well here as Nance should remain out and we may see Kevin Love rest on the second half of a back-to-back. Without those two and Jarrett Allen Prince comes in third in usage at 24% behind the two guards. In the six games since he has returned Prince has yet to see below a 21% usage rate. A wonderful spot here against the Pelicans who have given up the most points to power forwards and rank third-worst in defensive efficiency.


Center
Karl-Anthony Towns – ($10,800)
I normally don’t list two bigger names from the same team but with KAT and DLO you can soak up a huge chunk of the Wolves usage. He has scored 52 or more fantasy points in nine straight games while recording a double-double in all nine. This is a beautiful matchup against the Bulls who have given up the third-most fantasy points to centers and rank sixth-worst in defensive rating since getting Vucevic. It’s tough to overlook a guy in a great matchup who has scored 30 real points in four of his last five games.


Wendell Carter Jr. – ($5,700)
Carter may be the only active center tonight with Okeke and Bamba having questionable tags. Since joining his new squad Carter has recorded 30 minutes or more three times. All three of those games led to Carter scoring 40 or more fantasy points. He sees a fast-paced matchup against Milwaukee and may be forced to play big minutes. We saw him record a usage above 20% in five straight games. If one of the two above-listed players is ruled out then Carter is an extremely solid play.


Closing Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 4/11


I appreciate you reading my article NBA GPP Picks 4/11. Remember that Discord Chat and checking out our Projection Models will be a benefit. This will be a fun eight-game slate that has plenty of injury news to sort through already. A main target of mine will be the Wolves vs Bulls and Pelicans vs Cavs. It is Masters Sunday and I can’t wait to tune in. Enjoy your Sunday filled with golf, baseball, and basketball. Good luck and hopefully you secure some green.

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