Stoweby’s NBA Breakdown For 4.30

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Ladies and gentlemen, I am thrilled to say I’m back in the saddle for NBA action going forward every Friday and I’m ready to help you all put some cash in your wallet down the home stretch of the NBA season. We have a ton of big-name guys already out. One clear game that you will see a lot of attention paid to is Portland against Brooklyn with a 241.5 total and a 1 point spread. No other contest in close. Don’t forget to check out our NBA Projection Model and Cheat Sheet all the way till lock for the latest and most accurate information when it comes to value plays! Enough yammering, you came for plays. Let’s get into Stoweby’s NBA Breakdown for 4.30.

***Note*** Make sure you use the projection model to get value close to tip. We don’t put value plays in the articles as things always change at the last minute so you need to be on discord when news break so you can pivot.

Stoweby’s NBA Breakdown For 4.30

Point Guard:

Damian Lillard, Trail Blazers, $9,200:

All signs point to Lillard having a monster performance. We have the slowest spread and the highest total game and not a shred of defense to be found between either team. Lillard has had some down games as of late but we have to keep a short memory in DFS. The important thing is that his shot volume is still there. Aside from his last two games he’s tossing up 20+ shots a game. If they start falling instead of 35 DK points you’re looking at 65 DK points. Just be patient.

Kyrie Irving, Nets, $9,400:

No need to repeat the same thing about the game. I honestly don’t know if they will play KD after playing 36 minutes last night. Weather or not he suits up I’m still looking at Kyrie Irving in my main lineup. With Harden still sidelines Irving is taking around 20 shots per game and I’m pleasantly surprised to see him channeling his inner Russell Westbrook and collecting at least 8 rebounds in five of six games.

Also Consider:

Russell Wesbrook: $11,000

Ja Morant: $8,500

Ben Simmons: $7,500 (If not on minutes restriction)

Shooting Guard:

C.J.McCollum:

ALL THE NETS AND BLAZERS!!!!. I wouldn’t recommend it in cash but in my GPP’s I’m likely going to have four guys from this game in my lineup, maybe six if the value allows it. CJ is in a similar DFS funk like his teammate Dame but there is not a better get right spot than tonight. Shot volume is still there and his FG percentage is still decent he’s just lacking from the assists and rebounds side of things. If dames shots start falling it’s almost a given we’ll see CJ’s assists climb as a benefit.

Jrue Holiday, Bucks, $7,800:

I don’t have any expectations that Giannis will see the court after leaving last night with an ankle injury. Whenever the Greek Freak is off the court Jrue sees a 5% usage increase and more than nine DK points per 48 minutes. It looks like Vegas sees the same thing as the Bucks when from 5 point favorites at open to just one point favorites now

Also Consider:

right now I’m waiting on value news to come out.

Small Forward:

Khris Middleton, Bucks, $7,900:

Everything I said about Jrue applies here and in this instance, Middleton’s usage sees an even larger 6.7% usage increase while scoring 8.57 more fantasy points per 48 minutes without Giannis. Both guys make for great mid range options.

Bradley Beal, Wizards, $9,800:

Bradley Beal is STILL the NBA’s leading scorer averaging 31.3 points per game and they continue to price him under 10K. The reason I prefer Beal over Westy tonight is pretty simple. Rus turns the ball over way too much and Cleveland is one of the best in the league when it comes to steals. Currently, they are 8th with over 8 steals a game. Given Westbrooks bad habit they’ll get more than that and I see Beal taking the lead role at least for tonight and being the primary option all around.

Also consider:

Kyle Kuzma: $6,100

Power Forward:

Kevin Durant $8,900

Everything I’ve been mentioning in the entire article applies here. My only hint of concern here is that he just played 36 minutes last night so they may choose to sit Durant as he’s still coming back from a lengthy injury. He’s not someone I should need to explain. If he plays he’s KD and he’s under 9 K in a 241 total game. You play him.

Danillo Gallinari, Hawks, $5,300 :

A lot of things need to break right but to this point the following Hawks are out: Huerter, Hunter, Reddish, Snell. The following Hawks are also are questionable or doubtful: Trae Young, Clint Capela, Bogdan Bogdanovic. When forced into a position to take on a lead role he has shown that he can do it in short bursts. Earlier this year against Boston when put in a similar position he scored 38 real world points and broke the slate at almost no ownership. We need to see a at minimum Capella to be out to take a shot at him but we’ll see.

Also Consider:

Jeff Green: $4,800

Tobias Harris: $7,100

Center:

Andre Drummond, Lakers, $7,500

With no Lebron and potentially no AD the offense runs through Drummond against the weakest defensive team in the NBA in the Kings. No tell me that you are giving me this at $7500? Yes please. Drummond can legitimately give you 20 and 20 tonight without breaking a sweat.

Jusuf Nurkic, Blazers, $7,100:

High paced, no defense, a 241 total, and Nurkic is a point per minute monster at 1.25 ppm. There is nobody on Brooklyn who can slow him down, much less stop him. My only concern is time. Will he play 20 minutes or 30? If it looks like 30 I’m all in tonight.

Also Consider:

Joel Embiid: $10,200

Jonas Valanciunas: $7,700

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Sports Draftkings Stoweby’s NBA Breakdown For 4.30. Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord Chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!