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Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 4/11


We have an eight-game slate to break down for NBA GPP Picks 4/11. There is a hefty number of players already ruled out and a few with questionable tags. The main status’ we will be waiting on is Milwaukee, Kyle Lowry, and Jerami Grant. Tonight, we do expect to see Lowry back and Toronto will get one step closer to a healthy squad. Let’s not forget in the NBA World we can see the slate change in a moment.

The best way to make sure you don’t miss any news is by joining the WinDaily family and me in Discord Chat rooms. We help with any questions you may have up until the slate locks. The Wolves vs Bulls game will be my main target with Minnesota allowing over 140 points in two straight games. This Sunday night eight-game slate will be electric so let us get into it!


In this article, I will be breaking down my two top plays at each position using DraftKings pricing. These plays are based upon my research and pending news could change throughout the day. Join us in Discord to further follow my NBA GPP Picks 4/11.

Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 4/11

Point Guard
Cole Anthony – ($5,000)

In two games since returning from a rib injury, Anthony has logged 26 minutes with 25 or more fantasy points. During those two games, his usage has yet to fall below 21%. A date with Milwaukee means a massive pace-up spot as Chicago is the third quickest team. If we get a few more minutes out of Anthony he should surpass 30 fantasy points.


Goran Dragic – ($4,700)
With Oladipo suffering another injury and Herro rolling in questionable we could have major guard minutes available. When Herro and Oladipo are off the floor Dragic sees a usage rate of 27%. He is scoring .9 fantasy points per minute during that time and should see the upper 20’s in minutes without Herro. A great matchup awaits Dragic as the Blazers have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to point guards and rank second-worst in defensive rating.

Shooting Guard
Paul George – ($8,400)

We already received news that Kawhi will be out and that’s wonderful for rostering Paul George. When Leonard is off the floor George sees a massive 9.5% usage increase to a team-high 39%. Also, during that time PG is recording over 1.5 fantasy points per minute. The Pistons could be missing Jerami Grant again who is an effective defensive player. A reasonable price is a cherry on top for a guy who scored 50 in two straight games.


D’Angelo Russell – ($6,500)

Russell has played three games since returning from his two-month absence and last game he logged 29 minutes. I believe this price is too cheap especially if we see the Minnesota guard pass the 30-minute mark. He has already scored over 40 fantasy points in two of his three games with under 30 minutes. Since Vucevic was acquired, the Bulls rank sixth-worst in team defense. This game may be the highest total on the slate at 231 a DLO, Lavine, Town’s stack could be the ticket.


Small Forward
Khris Middleton – ($8,000)

Giannis is coming into this game doubtful which means I will ride Middleton yet again. When Giannis is off the floor Middleton sees a 6.3% usage increase bringing his total to 31.5%. It’s not like he hasn’t been taking the shots he did just shoot 27 times against Dallas but only made 6. The Magic isn’t a matchup that scares me and the high usage should allow Middleton to pay off this tag.


Marcus Morris – ($4,800)

When you’re missing a guy like Kawhi there is a ton of usage to makeup and Morris soaks up 6.4% of that. His usage then sits at 26% which is second to only Paul George. That makes this price too cheap and the minutes will be much safer without Kawhi. Let’s not forget that Morris is averaging 1.11 fantasy points per minute with Leonard absent. If Jerami Grant is out again Detroit has no one to guard Morris or George.


Power Forward
Zion Williamson – ($9,400)

New Orleans will be without Ball and Alexander Walker again not to mention Josh Hart. Zion increases his usage by 8.1% with them off the floor in route to a massive 1.66 fantasy points per minute. Last game without Lonzo, Williamson had a 41.5% usage rate and recorded 68 fantasy points against a tough Philly team. About a month ago to the day the Pelicans and Cavs squared off and Zion went for 23 points and 32 fantasy points in just 18 minutes. The small number of minutes was due to a giant blowout.


Taurean Prince – ($5,100)

I will go back to the well here as Nance should remain out and we may see Kevin Love rest on the second half of a back-to-back. Without those two and Jarrett Allen Prince comes in third in usage at 24% behind the two guards. In the six games since he has returned Prince has yet to see below a 21% usage rate. A wonderful spot here against the Pelicans who have given up the most points to power forwards and rank third-worst in defensive efficiency.


Center
Karl-Anthony Towns – ($10,800)

I normally don’t list two bigger names from the same team but with KAT and DLO you can soak up a huge chunk of the Wolves usage. He has scored 52 or more fantasy points in nine straight games while recording a double-double in all nine. This is a beautiful matchup against the Bulls who have given up the third-most fantasy points to centers and rank sixth-worst in defensive rating since getting Vucevic. It’s tough to overlook a guy in a great matchup who has scored 30 real points in four of his last five games.


Wendell Carter Jr. – ($5,700)

Carter may be the only active center tonight with Okeke and Bamba having questionable tags. Since joining his new squad Carter has recorded 30 minutes or more three times. All three of those games led to Carter scoring 40 or more fantasy points. He sees a fast-paced matchup against Milwaukee and may be forced to play big minutes. We saw him record a usage above 20% in five straight games. If one of the two above-listed players is ruled out then Carter is an extremely solid play.


Closing Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 4/11


I appreciate you reading my article NBA GPP Picks 4/11. Remember that Discord Chat and checking out our Projection Models will be a benefit. This will be a fun eight-game slate that has plenty of injury news to sort through already. A main target of mine will be the Wolves vs Bulls and Pelicans vs Cavs. It is Masters Sunday and I can’t wait to tune in. Enjoy your Sunday filled with golf, baseball, and basketball. Good luck and hopefully you secure some green.

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