NBA GPP Picks 1/16
Man have we had some crazy basketball slates lately or what? We have had slate breaking news it seems like every night to allow us to play stars and scrubs lineups. Joel Embiid has already been ruled out along with Jimmy Butler. Other notables listed as questionable are Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Goran Dragic and Gordon Hayward. With Minnesota having positive COVID tests keep an eye on Memphis as they were the most recent team to play Minnesota. Since Embiid is out our highest priced player on this four-game slate is Damian Lillard at just $9,200. For my article NBA GPP Picks 1/16 I will be using DraftKings pricing. Due to the four-game slate tonight I will just break down each game to determine my favorite plays and go through scenarios due to a plethora of questionable tags.
Pace is 1st being the fastest and Def RTG 1st is the best defense.
NBA GPP Picks 1/16
Charlotte Hornets vs Toronto Raptors
Pace: 19th Def RTG: 6th Pace: 11th Def RTG: 21st
Hornets
Gordon Hayward – ($7,800)
This Raptors match-up is one to target on this small four game slate. They have allowed the most fantasy points to both small forwards and power forwards this season. If Hayward plays he carries the highest usage average on his team at 26%. This match-up is one to drool over if Hayward suits up especially since he has the highest usage rate on his team against the Raptors vulnerable SF/PF positions.
PJ Washington – ($6,400)
I like this play if Hayward plays but I like it much more if he sits. If Hayward sits Washington see’s a 3.5% usage bump putting him at second on the team in usage at 25.6% As I mentioned the Raptors have given up the most fantasy points to power forwards as well. His lowest minute total in his last four is 31 minutes and he has scored over 40 fantasy points in three of his last four. Let’s not forget he just saw this match-up and went for over 40 fantasy points and it’s easily possible again.
Miles Bridges – ($4,500)
Clearly you see the theme here attacking the Raptors weakest spot. His minutes without Hayward have been nearing 30, even if Hayward plays he see’s around 25 minutes. Usage numbers wont be crazy for him but I want pieces of these positions. Bridges has been above 6K on DraftKings earlier this year so this is a bargain price for this dream scenario against Toronto.
Raptors
OG Anunoby – ($5,500)
He is about as consistent as it gets and I will take that for this small slate. Anunoby has scored less than 25 fantasy points in only three of the Raptors eleven games thus far. Small Forward is the position Charlotte struggles with the most giving up the sixth most fantasy points. Anunoby typically has minutes in the mid to upper 30’s along with other Raptors starters. Seeing those minutes with Hayward or Caleb Martin defense will allow Anunoby to pass off his salary with a smaller usage rate.
Chris Boucher – ($6,900)
Raptors have been searching for their big man and it looks like they found him with Boucher. He has played 25 minutes in four straight games and has yet to score under 37.5 fantasy points in those games. He just put of 48.5 fantasy points and a near 24% usage against this same Charlotte team he faces tonight. With Baynes and Len seeing minimal minutes lately at center I feel confident with Boucher and he has been a fantasy point machine given the minutes this year. His minutes are there and its time to fire up Boucher.
You can play any Raptors starters they see at least 35 minutes pretty much every night, about as tight and consistent of a rotation as it comes other than center but Boucher seems to have solidified that.
Philadelphia 76ers vs Memphis Grizzlies
Pace: 4th Def RTG: 5th Pace: 19th Def RTG: 4th
76ers
Shake Milton – ($5,200)
With Embiid already ruled out its tough to ignore the 8% usage bump Milton gets with Embiid and Curry off the floor. That brings his usage total to 30.9% without Embiid and Curry. If you exclude the first four games for Milton he has been good and consistent regardless of who plays. Curry being out we have seen Milton’s minutes much closer to 30 and above. Given the usage rate, minutes, and price, Milton should be able to smash value.
Tobias Harris – ($7,500)
Harris see’s a massive usage increase much like Milton. Harris’ increase is 7% bringing him to a 30% usage rate without Embiid and Curry. We see other bumps to Harris’ stats with a 8.6% assist rate increase and a rebounding increase. Being that Ben Simmons isn’t much of a shooter Milton and Harris will be relied on to do the heavy lifting in the scoring department. Roll out Tobias comfortably given his massive usage and roll in this offense with Embiid and Curry absent.
Dwight Howard – ($4,300)
Memphis typically plays with two bigs meaning minutes should be solidified for Howard here. Howard clearly isn’t a usage guy but contributes in his rebounding, blocks,and gets a bucket here and there. With over 30 minutes up for grabs at the center position a double-double should be the floor here for Howard assuming he gets the start. I also like Tony Bradley at stone minimum on DraftKings as a sneaky play.
Grizzlies
Dillon Brooks – ($6,500)
I don’t really like much from Memphis especially if Morant plays which I think he will. If he doesn’t though the main piece, I have from this game will be Brooks. He sees the highest usage rate on the team without Morant as he averages a usage of 29%. This is a nice pace up spot for Memphis and the 76ers have allowed the eighth most fantasy points to shooting guards this season.
Jonas Valanciunas – ($7,000)
This is the lowest price that we have seen Valanciunas other than his previous game against the Wolves. Valanciunas has a nice usage rate for a center at a season average of 24%. He has accrued a double-double in nine of his eleven games this season and now looks at a pace up spot against a team missing their starting center.
Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat
Pace: 22nd Def RTG: 23rd Pace: 8th Def RTG: 12th
Detroit
Jerami Grant – ($7,400)
Man, I can’t believe that his price went down as solid as he has been. Grant’s lowest minute total on the season is 34 minutes. In nine straight games he has a usage of at least 25%, with four of those games being above 30% usage. Miami has given up the seventh most fantasy points to power forwards this season. Given the matchup and the pace up spot for Grant another 40-point fantast night is in sight. That shouldn’t be hard to come by for Grant as he has scored at least 42 fantasy points in four out of his last five games.
Derrick Rose – ($5,200)
Returning to the court after a couple game absence is Rose. I don’t believe he will be on a strict enough minutes restriction to where he can’t see his regular 25 minutes. In the eight games that Rose his played this season in six of those he has a usage rate above 30%. Rose leads Detroit in usage rate at an average of 30% on the season. This price is crazy low for Rose as it is the lowest price he has been on DraftKings by $600. I will take the chances in GPP’s on Rose coming back from the injury, after all it was just a week two game absence.
Miami
It all depends on who plays for Miami as the come into tonight with eight players questionable. If Herro plays he is a great option for Miami as he should take the bulk of the usage with Butler out. Adebayo is a fantastic play if he gets the green light as well. Detroit has given up the second most fantasy points to centers on the young NBA season. Check out Discord Chat rooms closer to lock when we receive who is active for Miami.
Atlanta Hawks vs Portland Trail Blazers
Pace: 11th Def RTG: 11th Pace: 14th Def RTG: 25th
Atlanta
Trae Young – ($8,900)
Young has been cold of late and went 1 for 11 last night against Utah. The plus for that is Young only played 24 minutes so this back to back shouldn’t affect them horribly. Portland has allowed the sixth most fantasy points to point guards this season. That should be a perfect recipe for a point guard like Young who dominates the ball and usage on his team. A season average of 32% usage is tops on Atlanta by far as the next closest rotation player is at 21%. We get a bargain price on Young as well, he was $200 cheaper last night in Utah and that was the cheapest he has been all season.
Cam Reddish – ($4,600)
His minutes are about as safe right now as they will ever be. With Bogdanovic and Gallinari out again minutes at wing for the Hawks aren’t as hard to come by. You wouldn’t see that in his last two games both were massive blowouts. Three games ago is when Bogdanovic got hurt and Reddish saw his season high 34 minutes in that game. A usage above 24% in two out of the three games without Bogdanovic is also something to note for Reddish. A fantastic matchup here as well as Portland is bad defensively and has surrendered the fifth most fantasy points to shooting guards. Let’s not forget they just lost their rim protector in Nurkic.
Solomon Hill – ($3,600)
In the near three games without Bogdanovic, Hill has seemed to benefit some with minutes as he has seen over 20 minutes in three straight games now. He is likely to matchup with Carmelo and see his defense so I don’t mind this as a cheap punt play.
Portland
CJ McCollum – ($8,300)
Nurkic is out with a significant wrist injury and McCollum sees the main usage benefit as gets a bump of 2.3% putting his total at 31.4%. That usage is more than Lillard’s and without Nurkic I think it hurts Dame more in the pick and roll game. In close games Portland rolls their stars out heavy. We saw that recently as CJ logged 39 and 43 minutes before the Indiana game. With his lowest fantasy output of 33 points McCollum really has yet to bust at this price. This game opened at 236 so a fast-high scoring game always benefits McCollum and his shooting.
Enes Kanter – ($5,600)
In the absence of his fellow big man Kanter should take over the starting roll in Portland. Kanter has seen over twenty minutes of playing time in just four games this season. He has scored over 23 fantasy points in all those games making it clear to see if he gets the minutes he should produce. His usage rate is near 20% on the season as well so its not like he isn’t involved offensively. His ownership could be chalky, and Harry Giles could be a sneaky play at a much cheaper price. Giles isn’t likely to see as much Capela defense either.
NBA GPP Picks 1/16
76ers vs Grizzlies
Tobias Harris – 19.5 points – More – He see’s the big usage increase without Embiid. Even if Embiid played this amount of points seems low. Regardless Harris should see more and I feel like this number should be more like 23.5 to 24.5.
Dillon Brooks – 15.5 points – More – I like this more if Morant sits a lot more. I think Brooks and the Memphis offense benefits with Morant so I would still take the more if Morant plays. Brooks has the second highest usage on the Grizzlies behind only Morant.
Closing NBA GPP Picks 1/16
Thank you for reading my article NBA GPP Picks 1/16. We have a nice four game slate that only has one player priced above 9K. We are in wait and see mode on the Heat pending who plays. Join myself and the rest of the WinDaily staff in the Discord Chat rooms to keep up with all breaking news and how to handle it. Ja Morant could return tonight as well which is something to watch. Check out the NFL section along with MMA for this action-packed Saturday of sports. We have NFL playoff Saturday along with UFC’s return to ABC from fight island in Abu Dhabi. Set your lineups or place your bets and good luck to you on this sport filled Saturday!
For the second straight night we saw massive NBA DFS scores across the industry as the combination of minimum priced value and ceiling games from the slate’s biggest stars have pushed scores into the 400 range.
A huge congrats to all the Win Daily Sports NBA members dropping screenshots in our NBA Discord last night as we had multiple members post their biggest scores of the NBA season and my friends – we are JUST getting started!
This beauty from “RLS021” took the top 4 values in our model and stacked the 4 man stud combo of Luka, Durant, Fox, and Dame. You love to see it!
Normally we start this section with the stars but I think for this 5 game NBA DFS slate on Thursday we need to work backwards and recognize the amount of value we will have tonight is much like we have seen the previous two slates.
Right off the bat, we have a similar situation with the Miami Heat as we had two nights ago as they take on the Sixers again with just an 8 man rotation. No Butler, Bam, Dragic etc. In fact, the Heat are in a similar spot where they need one of Meyers Leonard OR Gabe Vincent to shake off their injury tag and play just so they can have the required eight players.
The Houston Rockets may not be dealing with COVID protocols en masse, but are dealing with a virus of their own – as they traded away disgruntled star James Harden on Wednesday and tonight will play a game against the Spurs without John Wall and Danuel House.
Assuming Miami is able to play again, the Heat and Rockets become the keys to this slate as a result of all the value. When you open up our Custom Projections today and watch them refresh throughout the day – you are going to see tons of Miami and Houston.
I am not going to sit here and list off all the values, but instead, reiterate the importance of using that value in your NBA DFS builds. Two nights ago using the Miami Heat value was a pre-requisite to cashing and last night we saw the top three PP/$ values in our model – DeAndre Jordan, JJ Redick and Nickeil Alexander-Walker ALL in the winning $100,000 DK GPP lineup.
We cannot always assume “past result guarantee future success” but what these last two NBA DFS slates have told us more than anything – when we have SO many value punts available to us, we need to utilize them. This is not as simple as just 1-2 guys being value – we are seeing 10-20 6-7x values a night in the models as we approach lock and the reality is, some combination of them is hitting every single night and if you don’t have them – well then you don’t have the high ceiling stars that the values allow you to afford and you are likely sitting outside of the cash line staring in.
So let’s assume tonight that your builds minimally will have 2-3 sub $4K punts with some combination of Heat/Rockets and “other value” that opens up throughout the day.
What that means is we have room to afford multiple studs and so building that core of high ceiling stars is the vital second step after using the “easy value.”
Welcome to the Golden State/Denver game my friends – stop #1 on our superstar train!
Golden State plays at the third-fastest pace in the NBA so Denver will see a similar pace up match-up as they did the last time out against Brooklyn and the Warriors meanwhile get the benefit of taking on a Nuggets team that ranks among the five worst teams in defense rating and will be without a key individual defender tonight in Gary Harris.
Nikola Jokic ($11K)is the most expensive player on the slate and frankly, the salary becomes largely meaningless with the amount of value that we have to make him a core play. In a similar pace up spot against Brooklyn, we saw Big Honey drop 67 DK points on a 23/11/8 line with 7 steals. Do you think James Wiseman is going to slow him down? Yeah, me neither.
The player that really interests me tonight on Denver though is Jamal Murray ($6.9K). Yes, the same Jamal Murray who has failed to top 30 DK points now in three straight games and four of his last five. Game log watchers kick rocks – school is in session.
Murray has superstar talent and DFS slate-breaking upside we all witnessed in the bubble last year but a slow start has really taken people off him and brought his price down to its lowest level.
The issue with Murray this season has been his sharp decline in usage as his usage rate has dropped 2% from last year, down to just 23%. With both Gary Harris AND Michael Porter Jr. sidelined, you would think the usage would flow to Murray more, and finally against Brooklyn – it did – as he sported a 31% usage and put up a whopping TWENTY shot attempts.
The 27.5K DK points that followed are where some may stop and move on – but I think the usage and volume here tells you that the DFS output is not far off and so buying low is the right GPP move. Over the last two weeks, opposing point guards have gone for 40+ DK points five times against Golden State with Dame (x2), Kyle Lowry, De’Aaron Fox and Aaron Holiday just 2 days ago.
In every single case, you are seeing the peripherals spike with these 5 PG’s averaging 7.4 assists, 4.6 rebounds and 1.5 steals per game. The upside in this game environment is massive and the recent run of players in the same match-up should give us confidence to go heavy on Murray who will likely be a forgotten commodity that could be a big GPP difference maker.
On the other side of this game, the obvious run back is Steph Curry ($9.7K) – another luxury spend that is easy to afford but the mini-stack partner I have my eye on here is a far too cheap Draymond Green ($5.4K).
When mini-stacking we always have to think through correlation and if Chef Curry is my top play, I do not want to pair him with similarly scoring dependent plays like Andrew Wiggins or Kelly Oubre. Instead, using Green who relies heavily on peripherals gives you a path for both players to hit their ceilings without capping the other’s upside.
Draymond has played 30+ minutes now in 3 of his last 4 games with 30 and 39 DK points in his last two outings as a result of his rebounds, assists and blocks/steals. With this game being projected as one of the fastest pace games on the slate, and the other Warriors bigs having to deal with Nikola Jokic – we could see a scenario where guys like Wiseman are pulled away from the basket to defend Joker on the pick and roll which would leave Draymond inside to get the lion’s share of the rebounds.
Starting your build tonight with a Joker/Jamal – Curry/Draymond mini stack will leave you over $4.2K per player for the rest of your build which is an easy path considering the context of the slate.
This slate is all about the value and the Stars and Scrubs approach that inherently follows. That build has been a consistent winner all season on Draftkings and especially over the last two nights and the context of this slate, in my mind, dictates the path as a core strategy once again.
Enjoy this slate – let’s get in Discord today and chat it up while we dig through our cheat sheets and projections here at Win Daily to set up the start of this NBA DFS season with some big wins!
Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @2LockSports and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!
If you played the last slate that had Miami on it and at least four players were 50%+ owned in cash…well, we’ll talk tomorrow. The Heat are still in the exact same spot as they were, and even with some pricing increases they just aren’t expensive enough. To add to that, the Rockets are missing John Wall and traded James Harden, so they need to replace a lot of scoring. This slate is likely to be very chalky with so many teams in a pinch so let’s start to figure out what we need to eat in NBA Cash Game Breakdown 1/14!
Malcolm Brogdon ($8,300 DK/$8,600 FD) – I mentioned earlier that this slate is likely to be chalky, and I don’t expect Brogdon to be a part of that at the moment. However, we know a lot can change. New teammate Caris LeVert won’t be there yet so Brogdon catches a Blazers team that will be on a back to back and is 10th in pace. He wasn’t anything to write home about on Tuesday but if your “down” game gets you 34 DK on a 5-18 shooting night, count me in. Brogdon gets an elite game environment and and least one more before LeVert is inserted into the mix. Don’t forget with Victor Oladipo off the floor, Brogdon has a 28.5% usage rate and a 1.23 FPPM.
Terry Rozier ($6,200 DK/$6,700 FD) – This play isn’t written in stone yet but Gordon Hayward was forced from last night’s game with a hip issue. At a guess, I would think the Hornets are cautious and he sits tonight. If that’s the case, Rozier is my first stop in all likelihood. He leads the Hornets in usage rate at 27.9% with Hayward off the floor, a bump of almost 4%. The Raptors sit just outside the top 12 in pace and Rozier would be too cheap on both sites.
Shake Milton ($5,200 DK/$5,400 FD) – Philly is starting to get right but they’re still missing Seth Curry. With him out, Milton steps into a role of either fifth starter or first man off the bench, and either way we need to pay attention. Milton is at a 25.9% usage rate and a 1.01 FPPM with Curry off the floor and he can shoot, so he likely fills Curry’s role in this spot. I probably won’t use him because I’ll be playing the much chalkier option below him.
Gabe Vincent ($4,200 DK/$4,500 FD) – With the Heat still down to either eight or nine players, we can expect another start and heavy minutes from Vincent tonight. He took 20 shots and 12 of them were from distance. There’s not a ton of angles to break down the Heat. They will almost surely have the exact same rotation they did last game and Andre Iguodala and Chris Silva played 22 and 18 minutes, respectively. I don’t think it’s wrong to go four Heat in cash again tonight.
Honorable Mention – Steph Curry
Tyler Herro ($7,300 DK/$6,500 FD) – FD didn’t even to pretend to price up Herro, which at least DK sort of did. This is an easy plug and play as he was on the court for 39 minutes last game, is their best offensive player left and he took 26 shots last game. I will take that style of volume at this price point all day long, and I can’t see any reason why he wouldn’t be a core piece to every single cash lineup.
Instead of going player by player, let’s talk about the position as a whole. Herro is a lock on both sites, and on DK it’s kind of easy to just be done with it for the most part. On FD, we need a second and I think there’s two routes that stand out. You can live in the Tyrese Maxey range, but with Tobais Harris back now for the Sixers that gets a little dicey. If Hayward is indeed out for the Hornets, Devonte’ Graham gets a small bump in usage as well. It doesn’t feel like the best idea to chase the Aaron Holiday ceiling game with Graham and Maxey there.
The only other option that I’d consider right now is Fred VanVleet. He’s coming off a terrible game, but we all know that FVV won’t score 10 real points very often. On FD, it’s Herro and then one of these three as we stand Wednesday night.
Tobias Harris ($7,900 DK/$7,600 FD) – He still feels a hair pricey to me since Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons are playing, but the high end of this position is basically non-existent tonight. With Curry off, Harris sits at a 26.3% usage and a 1.38 FPPM. That’s over an 83 minute sample, so that’s really not that bad. They need his shooting a bit more than normal tonight and since he didn’t have Covid, I don’t think we have to worry about that. He should slide right back to his normal role and very well could be the only spend-up option. He does feel like a luxury, since the Heat value pushes us towards a specific player in my eyes.
Eric Gordon ($5,100 DK/$5,200 FD) – Provided he plays (I think he might not have a choice), Gordon is going to be likely the chalkiest play of the slate. Houston is without both John Wall and James Harden tonight, and Gordon is going to have to take on the brunt of the offense with Christian Wood. Take it with a HUGE grain of salt, but Gordon is at a 35.5% usage and 1.60 FPPM with those two off the court. Now, it’s grain of salt because it’s a 16 minute sample and his true shooting is 79.4% but this team is so short right now. There’s 243 field goal attempts on the sideline or on their way to Brooklyn right now so Gordon is here to chuck tonight.
See Updated Thoughts at the end with the Core
Precious Achiuwa ($4,400 DK/$4,100 FD) – The rookie is only PF/C on DK, which honestly is fine but whichever site you’re on, he’s in the top 3-5 chalkiest of the night and that’s all we need to know. He only committed four fouls against Joel Embiid and the Sixers last game, fairly impressive for 36 minutes of court time. Achiuwa recorded a double-double and will play 30+ minutes again, so go ahead an hit the lock button. Especially on FD, this is why I think Harris is a total luxury and not needed. You’re probably playing Gordon and this man.
Honorable Mention – Will Barton but don’t get too cute if Gordon is active.
Domantas Sabonis ($9,500 DK/$9,200 FD) – We likely have a slate where Sabonis isn’t highly owned either. Last game, he was about 80% on FD and 50% on DK, so regardless of the results he was the right play. Especially on FD, he didn’t hurt you in cash in the slightest. He gets another excellent spot here. Portland has been solid in paint production given up, but Sabonis has more to his game than just paint touches.
It starts with raw touches, which Sabonis leads the entire NBA at 105 per game. While Jusuf Nurkic can at least hang with him, Sabonis on Enes Kanter for any amount of time is going to end poorly for the Blazers. We saw in the Golden State game that Sabonis had some issues with Draymond Green but ate up rookie James Wiseman. He’ll do the same with Kanter, probably touches the ball about 110 times tonight and has a 1.32 FPPM with Dipo off the court.
Christian Wood ($7,700 DK/$8,100 FD) – We don’t need Sabonis because Wood is far cheaper and is going to be WAY more popular. His sample without Harden and Wall is pretty tiny too, at just 22 minutes but the 26.9% usage rate is encouraging. The Spurs are 11th in pace, so that’s a nice bump for Wood as well. He’s siting at 15th in rebounds per game and Harden won’t be jumping in now either (although in fairness his effort surely wasn’t there lately). Either way, San Antonio is 29th in rebounds allowed in the paint and Wood was pushing 70 touches already. That’s going to skyrocket tonight and he’s pretty much a lock on both sites.
Kelly Olynyk ($6,400 DK/$5,300 FD) – I never thought I’d see a day where I didn’t hesitate on a $6,400 Kelly O but here we are. He was a TANK last game, playing 45 minutes and racking up 37 DK points. I would say that he’s the “least” likely to lock in member of the Heat for me on DK, but turning away from 40 minutes seems foolish. He only took 12 shots all game and still flirted with 40. On FD, the price is simply laughable. PF can be a difficult position to find and they just didn’t bother to price up anyone. We’ve consistently seen these short-handed teams get four players used in cash game settings. It’s against our normal rules but like the quote in Moneyball, “Adapt or die”.
Honorable Mention – Draymond Green, Pascal Siakam, P.J. Washington
Nikola Jokic ($11,000 DK/$11,200 FD) – One thing that we’ve learned on these with short-handed teams is the field is willing to play four from that team and then go studs the rest of the way. Let’s say you plug in the four members of the Heat that we’ve mentioned on each site. On DK, that leaves you with $6,925 per player left. FD leaves you with $7,920 per slot leftover. The way this slate shake out, I think Joker is going to be heavily owned in cash on both sites because there’s not another player like him available. You can argue for Embiid (and aren’t totally wrong) but the Warriors interior is so soft. Joker will go Godzilla on Wiseman, and I’m not sure Dray has the size to really give him much of an issue. Jokic still is over 100 touches a game and has a phenomenal chance at a triple-double, 60+ point DK game tonight.
Joel Embiid ($10,000 DK/$10,200 FD) – On FD, you’re going to have to choose but on DK you could eschew the Wood chalk and go Joker/Biid. That of course is NOT THE CASH play, but it would be an interesting route to travel. If there’s one player who can match Joker’s ceiling, Biid has to be in that discussion. Embiid has been a monster with Curry off the court, with a 34.9% usage rate and a 1.76 FPPM over 115 minutes. That’s skewed a bit because Simmons and Tobias were missing for some of that too, but still. It’s noteworthy because Simmons has a 112 minute sample and sits under a 20% usage and just a 0.96 FPPM. He has been the clear loser of the big three with Curry off the floor. Embiid is the man on this offense and he has no opposition from the Heat missing Bam Adebayo again.
DeMarcus Cousins ($4,700 DK/$4,600 FD) – Cousins is another player who the Rockets might need a little more out of tonight, and if he gets around 22-24 minutes I would be very interested. He would get the same matchup in the paint that Wood does and if the Rockets opt to play Wood and Cousins together, I feel like that could really give the Spurs fits. This is really more of a DK play and you would have to fade Wood or Joker, which likely isn’t the optimal route to take.
*Note* – This article was not exactly the most loaded with stats and options, but for cash this slate seems SUPER cut and dry. We need a lot of the Heat value, and then the Rockets main two pieces. After that we only have a couple roster spots to fill. Unless some crazy news hits, I can’t find reasons to veer off this path today. Don’t overthink, don’t get cute and let’s get after it.
*UPDATED THOUGHTS* Well, the NBA loves to mess with us. The Rockets lost Eric Gordon for the night, and that is a game changer. We need to be on the Rockets more than the Heat tonight for two reasons. One, everyone locks to new news. Brian hits on this all the time and he’s dead on. Secondly, the Rockets are cheaper than the Heat. We talked about Miami being almost impossible to fail the other night because they were all near minimum price. That’s the way the Rockets are tonight.
You can go three Heat, three Rockets and two studs but my path is four Rockets, two Heat and two studs.
DK Core – David Nwaba, Ben McLemore, Domantas Sabonis, Tyler Herro with a bonus of Jokic as the fifth
FD Core – Christian Wood, Herro, McLemore, Precious Achiuwa
Thank you for reading and make sure you follow me on Twitter at @bucn4life! Be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!
Ghost, Rich, Allan, and Matt breakdown broadcast their special NHL Season DFS Preview podcast.
We’ll have you rocking all season long to get you in the money and to build that bankroll for the NHL DFS season! You can sign up for our 7 Month All Access Pass for only $149.99! You get everything on the site from NFL, PGA, NASCAR, MMA, NBA, NHL, Esports, and more!
TODAY IS THE LAST DAY!
Make sure to check out the Win Daily Sports Betting Membership for even more shark plays and always be on top of the best lines on our Betting Lines page!
Listen to the show below and make sure to subscribe on your podcast app of choice!
You can also listen on these platforms below!
Apple Podcasts
Spotify
Anchor
🎙️ WIN DAILY SPORTS PODCAST: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/win-daily/id1461164275?ign-mpt=uo%3D4
🤑 GET 7 DAYS FREE OF OUR EXPERT CHAT: WinDailySports.com/Chat
🤓 FREE EXPERT DISCORD CHAT: discord.com/invite/KEFD2Kr
📺 FOLLOW Win Daily Sports: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCY2I3VNyf_dtW-2xl5vwv0Q
Change your game, change your life!
➙FIND WIN DAILY SPORTS SHOW ON APPLE PODCAST HERE: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/win-daily/id1461164275?ign-mpt=uo%3D4
➙FIND WIN DAILY SPORTS SHOW EVERYWHERE ELSE HERE: https://anchor.fm/windaily
➙FOLLOW WIN DAILY SPORTS ON TWITTER: https://twitter.com/windailysports
"*" indicates required fields
