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Supermarket Heroes 500 picsk.

Join us in the #nascar Discord channel to discuss your picks for Cheddar’s 300. The following is intended for DraftKings GPP purposes only. Follow Josh on Twitter at @dfs_noshame.

THE SLATE

NASCAR Xfinity Series is back tonight with the Cheddar’s 500 at Bristol Motor Speedway in Bristol, Tennessee. This race is 160-miles, or 300-laps on this 0.533-mile race track.

The optimal lineup last time out at Bristol included Tyler Reddick, Justin Allgaier, John Hunter Nemechek (not Joe), Chase Briscoe, Landon Cassill, and Timmy Hill. The salaries for these drivers was $4,800 to $11,300, the total score was 397 points, and the remaining salary was $900.

THE DRIVERS

AJ ALLMENDINGER – Allmendinger will be starting 27th this evening and is projected to finish 9th. He has the third-highest price tag, after Briscoe and Allgaier, but the place differential upside is hard to pass up on this slate.

JUSTIN ALLGAIER – Allgaier starts 10th tonight and is projected to finish 2nd, after Briscoe. He finished 8th last time out at Bristol, but towards the end of stage 2, he prevailed in a head-to-head battle with Kyle Busch. Kyle Busch has historically dominated this track in both Cup Series and Xfinity Series. Allgaier is my favorite dominator if you are only pairing one with Allmendinger.

CHASE BRISCOE – Briscoe is the favorite to win this race, and will be starting 11th tonight. He is the highest priced driver on this slate, but for GPP purposes, go ahead and plug him in and look to Additional Options to finish off your lineup.

Additional options: BJ MCLEOD, TIMMY HILL, CHAD FINCHUM, RONNIE BASSETT JR., PATRICK EMERLING

For a more balanced build, look to the following drivers:

JUSTIN HALEY, RILEY HERBST, RYAN SIEG, MICHAEL ANNETT, JEREMY CLEMENTS, ALEX LABBE, AUSTIN CINDRIC, DANIEL HEMRIC, NOAH GRAGSON, ROSS CHASTAIN

“Change your game, and change your life!” #windaily #nascardfs

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NASCAR moves to the Bristol Motor Speedway tomorrow for The Supermarket Heroes 500. This half mile track has given me fits in DFS, but I have had a good run at picking the winners. This week will be very tricky on DrafKings as the pricing and starting lineup is very difficult and true to normal form. Brad Keselowski will be on the pole with Almirola at his side. The top 10 is full of drivers who can take this down and is led by Kyle Busch in the 7th spot who has won at Bristol 8 times.

The Supermarket Heroes 500 Starting Lineup

Joe Gibbs has dominated taking 4 of the last 5 races, and 5 of the last 9 with Toyota. Chevrolet has 3 wins in the last 10 with Jimmie Johnson winning 2 of them. Brad Keselowski and Matt Kenseth are the only other active drivers with a win in the last 10 races.

Winners of the last 10 Food City 500 Races at Bristol

My top DFS plays at each price tier this week are listed below. I am all about those who have had success at this track or I believe can be a dominator. My final Driver Usage will be posted on Twitter Sunday, but my top plays are below.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced | DraftKings

  1. Kyle Busch $12,500
  2. Jimmie Johnson $10,200
  3. Brad Keselowski $9,100

NASCAR DFS Mid-Tier | DraftKings

  1. Kurt Busch $8,300
  2. Ryan Blaney $8,600
  3. Matt Kenseth $8,100

NASCAR DFS Value Plays | DraftKings

  1. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. $7,400
  2. Christopher Bell $7,300
  3. Aric Alirola $6,700

I also like 5 plays to win the race. I am riding Kyle Busch as my pick to win his 3rd Food City 500 in a row this week, but I do like 4 other value plays.

My Picks to WIN at Bristol Sunday

I am also on some plays to finish in the Top 3, Top 5, Top 10, and a couple of driver match ups. 2 units on Kyle Busch and 1 unit on all other plays.

TOP 3 PICKS: Kyle Busch +100; Brad Keselowski +300

TOP 5 PICKS: Kyle Busch -152; Brad Keselowski +170

TOP 10 PICKS: Jimmie Johnson -118, Kurt Busch -137, Ryan Blaney -180

Matchups: Kyle Busch over Chase Elliott -136; Christopher Bell over Austin Dillon +135

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE. JOIN US ON DISCORD, TOO!

Please also follow me on Twitter @CHRISBOUCHARD88

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Supermarket Heroes 500 picsk.

Join us in the #nascar Discord channel to discuss your Supermarket Heroes 500 picks. The following is intended for FanDuel GPP purposes only. Follow Josh on twitter at @dfs_noshame.

THE SLATE

NASCAR Cup Series is back today with the Supermarket Heroes 500 at Bristol Motor Speedway in Bristol, Tennessee. The green flag is set to drop at approximately 3:30 p.m ET.

This race is 266.5-miles, or 500-laps on this 0.533-mile race track.

It takes approximately fifteen seconds to complete a lap at this track, at a speed between 120 and 130 miles per hour.

Seven drivers finished on the lead lap, last time out at Bristol.

The optimal lineup last time out at Bristol included Denny Hamlin, Brad Keselowski, Clint Bowyer, Matt DiBenedetto, and Daniel Hemric. The salary range for these drivers was $6,500 to $13,000, the total score was 476.7 points, and the remaining salary was $1,000.

Be sure to include the race winner in your lineup, drivers that finish on the lead lap, drivers with positive place differential, and capture laps led points, if necessary.

FRONTRUNNERS

CHASE ELLIOTT ($13,000, +475) – The favorite to win this race, after Kyle Busch, Elliott will be starting from the sixth position today. Elliott is coming off a Cup Series and Truck Series win this week at Charlotte Motor Speedway, and is ranked third in the driver standings.

Pivots: KEVIN HARVICK ($12,200, +750; starts 8th)

DENNY HAMLIN ($12,000, +750) – Denny has two victories this season, and is coming off a second-place finish in Charlotte. Hamlin will be starting from the tenth position and offers some salary relief from his more expensive Joe Gibbs Racing teammates, Kyle Busch and Martin Truex Jr.

Pivots: KYLE BUSCH ($14,000, +450; starts 7th); MARTIN TRUEX JR. ($12,500, +1100; starts 5th)

JOEY LOGANO ($11,700, +800) – Logano is second in the driver standings and will be starting third today. Starting third increases Logano’s risk of negative place differential, but positions him to have the opportunity to take the lead early in this race and capture laps led points. Logano’s price offers some salary relief from the other studs on this slate.

Pivots: BRAD KESELOWSKI ($12,300, +1000; starts 1st), ALEX BOWMAN ($11,400, +1800; starts 11th)

CAPTURE THE UPSIDE

JIMMIE JOHNSON ($10,000, +2200)- Johnson is starting twenty-fourth today, and offers positive place differential upside. Johnson has the capability and car to finish the top fifteen today.

Pivots: KURT BUSCH ($10,600, +1600, starts 12th), RYAN BLANEY ($10,300, +1000; starts 4th), ERIK JONES ($9,600, +2200; starts 15th)

CLINT BOWYER ($9,000, +2500) – Bowyer is starting twenty-third today, and offers positive place differential upside as well. Bowyer recorded two top-tens at Bristol in 2019, and also has the capability to climb to a top fifteen finish.

Pivots: MATT KENSETH ($8,000, +3500, starts 14th), TYLER REDDICK ($7,300, +6600; starts 21st), AUSTIN DILLON ($7,000, +15000; starts 20th)

DANIEL SUAREZ ($4,000, +30000) – Suarez is starting thirty-seventh today, and offers positive place differential upside at a minimal price.

Pivots: BUBBA WALLACE JR. ($5,000, +35000; starts 36th), CHRISTOPHER BELL ($6,000, +15000; starts 35th), RICKY STENHOUSE JR. ($6,200, +4500; starts 16th)

STARTING A LITTLE TOO HIGH

NOTE: Avoid rostering drivers that will finish lower then they started.

Keselowski, Truex, and Blaney all face an increased risk of negative place differential due to their high starting positions.

Stenhouse faces an increased risk of negative place differential due to inconsistency in performance.

Additional drivers that were not listed due to the increased risk of negative place differential include William Byron, Matt DiBenedetto, Aric Almirola, Ryan Newman, Chris Buescher, Cole Custer, John Hunter Nemechek, and Michael McDowell.

NON-LEAD LAPPERS

NOTE: Avoid rostering drivers that will not finish on the lead lap.

The following drivers have not finished on the lead lap of a 2020 Cup Series race: Timmy Hill, Garrett Smithley, B.J. McLeod, Gray Gaulding, Joey Gase, Brennan Poole (exception for Daytona 500), Quin Houff, J.J. Yeley (exception for Fan Shield 500), and Bayley Currey.

Ryan Preece has finished on the lead lap in 2 of 8 Cup Series races in 2020.

“Change your game, and change your life!” #windaily #nascardfs

Go over to FanDuel now to create your line ups!

RESOURCES

  • The starting lineup for this race is available here.
  • Pit stall selections are available here.
  • Results from the last Cup Series race at Bristol are available here.
  • Loop data (including fastest laps) from the last Cup Series race at Bristol is here.
  • Video of the last Cup Series race at Bristol is here.
  • 2020 driver stats are available here.
  • FREE Expert Discord Chat
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DraftKings NASCAR DFS Picks

The following DraftKings NASCAR DFS Picks are intended for GPP purposes only. Click here to join us in the #nascar Discord channel now! Follow Josh on twitter at @dfs_noshame.

The starting line up for tonight’s NASCAR Gander RV & Outdoors Truck Series race, the North Carolina Education Lottery 200, is available here.

NORTH CAROLINA EDUCATION LOTTERY 200

NASCAR Gander RV & Outdoors Truck Series returns tonight in Concord, North Carolina at the Charlotte Motor Speedway. The North Carolina Education Lottery 200 is scheduled to begin at approximately 8 p.m. (eastern time).

This 200-mile race will take 134 laps to complete. The three stages will be 30 laps, 30 laps, and 74 laps.

DraftKings rewards 0.25 points for each lap led, and 0.50 points for each fastest lap recorded. Approximately 100 DK points will be available from laps led, and fastest laps for this race.

PRIOR YEAR RESULTS

The prior year race results are available here. Prior year loop data is available here.

Kyle Busch took the checkered flag last year in the #51 car. Busch led 102 laps, and recorded 74 fastest laps. Brennan Poole, Stewart Friesen, Ben Rhodes, and Matt Crafton rounded out the top five. Ben Rhodes recorded the second-most fastest laps in 2019 with a total of six.

THE PICKS

NO. 51 – KYLE BUSCH ($15,000)

NO. 30 – BRENNAN POOLE ($6,600)

NO. 68 – CLAY GREENFIELD ($6,400)

NO. 97 – JESSE LITTLE ($6,500)

NO. 21 – ZANE SMITH ($8,500)

NO. 40 – GARRETT SMITHLEY ($6,800)

Additional options: NO. 23 – BRETT MOFFITT ($10,500) , NO. 42 – ROSS CHASTAIN ($12,000), NO. 2 SHELDON CREED ($8,100)

NOTE: All relevant updates related to these DraftKings NASCAR DFS Picks will be posted in the #nascar-research channel prior to lock.

“CHANGE YOUR GAME AND CHANGE YOUR LIFE.” Check out windailysports.com for additional insight on NASCAR, MMA, eSports, golf, and more.

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This article is going to be a little bit different, seeing as usually the qualifier race is held a day or two before the primary race. For the Coca-Cola 600, the qualifier is being held at 2 pm eastern time on the day of the actual race. With these particular circumstances, and not knowing the starting positions of the drivers, the possibility of drivers increasing or decreasing value is high. I recommend tuning into the Win Daily discord to stay up to date with the upcoming driver starting positions. My article is going to focus on my top three targets for both cash games and GPP’s. I will have a primary focus on DraftKings. Towards the end of the article, I will have a separate section for SuperDraft. The Coca-Cola 600 race starts at 6 pm eastern time, which gives us plenty of time to build a profitable NASCAR DFS lineup on multiple DFS sites.

#1 TARGET: MARTIN TRUEX JR (+550) (10,600).

Toyota cars have been crushing the Coca-Cola 600 the previous years. One of the fastest Toyotas has no doubt been the number 19 car of Truex JR. Even though he didn’t take down any part of the doubleheader at Darlington, he definitely made his presence known and bagged two top-ten finishes (6th and 10th). Charlotte Motor Speedway has been Martin Truex JR’s personal stomping ground. Finishing first and second the previous two years. In 2016 he showed that he’s here to dismantle the field with a victory and dominated 392 out of the 400 laps. Truex has a 50% win rate at Charlotte, yes I said 50%. Out of his last six races at Charlotte Motor Speedway he has claimed the crown three times, that is an unbelievable feat. Martin Truex JR is my clear cut, number one, overall play coming into this race, looking for his second win in a row and fourth first-place finish in seven years. He will be in over 50% of my NASCAR DFS lineups, and there should be no reason that he’s not in yours.

#2 TARGET: KYLE BUSCH (+450) (11,500).

We all just saw Kyle Busch fly through Darlington with his number 18 car to a second-place finish, but not without some drama. He is forever going to be known for his ” I made a mistake” moment that caused Chase Elliot’s car to be spun around and out of the race. It may be challenging to pick Busch for the win here, considering Elliot could be out for blood. Putting that all behind us and focusing on the facts here. Like Truex, Busch has been a dominating factor at Charlotte Motor Speedway. In the previous two years, KB has pumped out a third-place finish (2019) and a First place dominating performance (2018), where he led 377 out of 400 laps. If Kyle Busch can find his way around Truex and now Elliot, he could be added to the list of repeat winners at Charlotte Motor Speedway. I will be rolling out Kyle Busch in about 50% of my NASCAR DFS lineups.

#3 TARGET: JIMMIE JOHNSON (+1200) (9,200).

What more can we say about Jimmie Johnson except that he is well on his way, if not already legendary status? Over Johnsons Career, he has EIGHT wins at Charlotte Motor Speedway, with his most recent coming in 2016. He has been a force at Charlotte over the years, with an average starting position of 19.3 and an average finish position of 9.3. Looking at the potential for place differential and gaining a minimum of ten spots, he is another lock and load for my NASCAR DFS lineups.

HONORABLE MENTION:

KEVIN HARVICK (11,200)

CHASE ELLIOT (9700)

ALEX BOWMAN (9,400)

RICKY STENHOUSE JR (7400)

AUSTIN DILLON (7000)

COREY LAJOIE (5400)

SUPERDRAFT PICKS: IN ORDER OF PREFERENCE.

MARTIN TRUEX JR (1.2X)
KULE BUSCH (1.15X)
JIMMIE JOHNSON (1.5X)
COREY LAJOIE (2.1X)
AUSTIN DILLON (1.7X)
TYLER REDDICK (1.9X)
KEVIN HARVICK (1.2X)
CHASE ELLIOT (1.1X)
ALEX BOWMAN (1.35X)
RICKY STENHOUSE JR (1.4X)
ARIC ALMIROLA (1.45X)

I will be building 10 NASCAR DFS lineups for both DraftKings and SuperDraft. I recommend playing multiple lineups, if possible. The variance in NASCAR is high, and multiple lineups can help you fade some of that variance and give you a better chance to win big money. I am going to focus on my top three targets and try to fit as many of them in my lineups as possible. I will be using the honorable mention drivers to fill in the gaps with the available salary. On DraftKings, I will have a bigger player pool because of the salary cap. On SuperDraft, my player pool will be limited to ONLY my favorite drivers who I see having the best chance to hit value. Good Luck, and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!

Check out my author page right here and come hang out in our Free Expert Discord Chat for updates!

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Win Daily Show 5.20: NASCAR DFS, Golf, and NFL Props

On this Win Daily Show 5.20 Sia and Michael discuss NASCAR DFS for the race on 5.20, Outlaw Golf Picks, and NFL Player props that they’re liking for the upcoming season.

They have Jmo (@dfs_noshame) come on the show to tell us a bit about the Toyota 500 and who he is liking for the race. There was some changes in the starting line compared to this past Sunday’s race, and certain guys who crashed now have better prices.

They also have their bi-weekly check in to see how Sia’s Outlaw Tour Golf Picks are rolling along, seems like he’ll be making some money!

Sia and Michael then discuss their favorite player props each picking a QB, RB, and WR and looking at their season totals. We look at DraftKings, FanDuel, and shout out Monkey Knife Fight!

Make sure to hop into our Free Expert Chat on Discord, its free and people are making money.

Listen to the episode below and don’t forget to subscribe, share, and review!

You can also listen to the Win Daily Show 5.20 on any of the platforms below!
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NASCAR DFS Picks for Toyota 500

Welcome back to a nation where NASCAR has grasped the attention of sports fans everywhere. In the midst of the sports void, NASCAR has drawn in DFS players from all formats looking for a taste of the action just to feed that fantasy itch. And for the DFS NASCAR aficionados that means money money money.  Here are the NASCAR DFS Picks for the Toyota 500.

      The series rolls back into Darlington just 3 days after Harvick took the checkered on Sunday. Don’t let Sundays race skew your build for Wednesday though as there are a few differences that can change a lot of how we see the race unfold.  First and foremost is that Wednesday will be run under the lights and the handling of cars will be completely different. The inversion of the lineup affects a lot too meaning that there are plenty of fades that were strong plays on Sunday. So let’s dive into Wednesdays plays and build some winners. 

Disclaimer: All salaries are according to DraftKings pricing.

DFS Picks for the Toyota 500

***TOP DOG***

*Alex Bowman 10,000. No car was faster at times than Alex Bowman and his price reflects that some. He was dominant at times and showed he had the equipment to pass cars when he needed to. The place differential will be huge for a legitimate contender for the win.

 *Joey Logano 9,400 This is incredible value for the hottest driver on the circuit prior to the layoff. Joey knows how to wheel around Darlington and has a starting position that could see him snatch the lead in the first handful of laps and hold it for a while.  

*Kevin Harvick 11,600. Its hard to keep the winner out of this grouping of drivers, especially when we are talking about Harvick. Mr consistent this season, he has shown that running inside the top 5 to 10 is as sure as a lock as anything in sports can be.  The starting spot allows for the place differential to get him a large chunk of his value and laps led to exceed value. He falls behind the other drivers a bit because of his salary but I will take him over the hefty price of Kyle here because of his consistency.  Something else that shoukdnt be overlooked is the chemistry he has with the same crew chief during all of his SHR tenure. After a layoff like this there is no price you can put on the value of that especially after so many big name drivers swapped crew chiefs going into the year ie: Logano, Keselowski, Truex, Blaney. 

*Martin Truex 11,100. Speaking of Truex, he showed quite the resiliency on Sunday to place that car into a position with the speed capable of winning. He has shown dominance here before and under the lights I like Truex as a lower owned option that is most certainly capable of winning.

To address Kyle Busch and Denny Hamlin, those are strictly contrarian gpp plays for me as there is place differential to be had rolling off 26th and 16th respectively. However rostering a 12k driver really limits your balanced build and therefore limits your upside. 

Potential winners that should eclipse value.

*William Byron 8900. Chad Knaus has worked wonders for Byron and the confidence Willy B garnered from iRacing dominance has seemed to help to as he was the fastest car on the track for quite a bit on Sunday. The Hendrick Chevys all showed good speed and I like that to continue. Rolling off 32nd is a lock.

*Jimmie Johnson 9100. If not for crowding a little close to the 17, Johnson may have stayed in contention all day long on Sunday. Johnson is a Darlington master and is the ultimate free square starting 35th.  Another lock and load. 

*Erik Jones. 8500. Starting 13th, Jones is primed for a top 5 run on Wednesday. He has shown well at Darlington and should see that trend continue through Wednesdays race. This 9100-8500 tier is loaded. I’d play any of the 4 with confidence. 

*Kurt Busch. 8700. The one Busch brother I would play is Kurt. Kurt has a strong history at The Lady in Black too and showed us again on Wed that no matter where he starts, he will pass anyone on the way to running up front. Positive place differential is strong for him Wed too.

Line fillers to capture that $.

This is where the gpp winners separate themselves from the minimum cashers. Sunday saw the Reddick and Nemechek plays pay off well.

Tyler Reddick 7700 I will go back to the well with Reddick. He has been the rookie to own this year and showed an ability to pass quite a bit in Sundays race. While hes starting quite a bit higher than he did Sunday he should have no trouble clearing half of the cars ahead of him and maintain a top 10 run. 

Ricky Stenhouse 7900 and Chris Buescher 8100 These are both purely place differential plays. Neither will run top 10 but a place differential of close to 20 spots is worth a look at filling out your line. 

Matt Kenseth. 7600 How good is Matt Kenseth to be out of a stock car for a year and a half and with absolutely zero time behind the wheel come out and place top 10? Starting about where he did on Sunday he will have a chance to better that and I think he will. I look for Matt to ride around the top 5-8 and hit value easily. 

John Hunter Nemechek 6200  This is the cheapest driver I will play on Wed and while he is certainly starting a lot higher than I’d prefer, he earned that starting position by outrunning the likes of Logano and Bowyer to help dfs players like myself rake in thousands on Sunday. At his price if he runs top 15, I’ll take that.

There is no need to get top heavy for this race. The deep punts are not worth it. Salaries got jacked on some of the drivers and inexplicably fell on others. Take these DFS Picks for Toyota 500 and win some money!
Good luck race fans and see you at the top of the contests. Check out more NASCAR content over at Win Daily Sports and make sure to hop into our Free Expert Chat on Discord.
tRock

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Finally we get back to some real NASCAR racing Sunday at Darlington Speedway. This starts a crazy good stretch of seven races is eleven days, but this comes with some negatives. There is no qualifying for this race and the starting grid was based off of owners points in 4 groupings, and a random draw. This will put the cream of the crop at front of the field and will make decisions on value plays critical.

The Real Heroes 400 Starting Grid

NASCAR has been racing at Darlington since 1950 on this 1.366 mile oval. Joe Gibbs (4 wins)(Jones, Truex Jr., Kyle Busch, and Hamlin on his current team) and Toyota (5 wins)(Joe Gibbs Team plus Bell, Suarez, and Hill) have dominated at this track the last 7 races. Only Jimmie Johnson and Denny Hamlin have multiple wins at this track.

Brad Keselowski gained the pole followed by Alex Bowman in the first row. Harvick, Kyle Busch, Logano, and Hamlin are possible dominators in the top ten. I would be shocked if any drivers outside of the top ten make it into the top five without some major crash. My top three picks to possibly break the top five would be Elliott (11th), Byron (18th), and Jones (20th). I am not too thrilled with many outside of the top 20 to make up serious ground, but I would take Newman (21st), Kurt Busch (22nd), and Bell (28th) as my top three. I did have to throw in a few deep value plays just to get some diversity in my lineups, but other than McDowell (31st), T, Dillon (33rd), and Suarez (37th), I do not give many of them any hope to score decent DFS points.

The Real Heroes 400 Top 10 Starting Grid

My top DFS plays at each price tier this week are listed below. I am leaning on those who have had success at this track or I believe can be a dominator. Those qualifying at the rear will be avoided other than to add some diversity in case of any big crashes. My final Driver Usage will be posted on Twitter Sunday, but my top plays are below.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced | DraftKings | FanDuel |

  1. Denny Hamlin $11,100
  2. Joey Logano $10,100
  3. Kyle Busch $11,600

NASCAR DFS Mid-Tier | DraftKings | FanDuel |

  1. Erik Jones $9.200
  2. William Byron $8,700
  3. Kurt Busch $8,500

NASCAR DFS Value Plays | DraftKings | FanDuel |

  1. Ryan Newman $6,500
  2. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. $6,800
  3. Daniel Suarez $6,200

I also like 4 plays on DraftKings Sports Book to win the race. I am riding Denny Hamlin as my pick to win this week, but I do like 3 other value plays.

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE. JOIN US ON DISCORD, TOO!

Please also follow me on Twitter @CHRISBOUCHARD88

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Shockingly, the world of sports, other than MMA and some Soccer, has shut down due to the Coronavirus. This is a good time to reflect and analyze what has worked in the past and tweak where needed to hit the ground running when everything returns. For NASCAR DFS, the preparation and execution of lineups with potential to WIN GPP’s is priority number one.

There are 3 approaches I use in NASCAR DFS depending on my confidence that week and the bankroll I am willing to put at risk. I love to attack the superspeedways like Talledega, Michigan, Pocono, and Daytona. I get very aggressive on these tracks and will throw in 150 plus lineups most weeks. Next for me are the 1.0-1.5 mile tracks, especially those that a dominator can crush. Finally, I tend to avoid very short tracks like Bristol or Martinsville and any road courses. These are just my personal preferences after analyzing years of results.

Win Daily Sports is committed to bringing its members and subscribers fresh content daily for as long as the professional sports leagues remain on hiatus. Our goal is to continue to focus on how to be better DFS and Sports Gamblers by teaching you how to do the little things better just like the pros. Sign up at this link and stay prepared!

Now that my home state of Michigan has opened sportsbooks, I will be playing many more WIN bets and hopefully “Top-5” and Driver Matchups depending on what is offered. This is where I excel. The Westgate Super Book in Las Vegas is where I have made most of my profit over the years betting 4 driver matchups that could also be parlayed. I can only hope Detroit will follow suit with some encouragement.

As for NASCAR DFS, my #1 look is always towards past performances at that track. If I can latch onto a Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, or Joey Logano who dominates a track, I will do so especially if they qualify near the top. I have no problem being 75% plus owned on a dominator. My next look is at the practice sessions. My thought the process is first done they have speed and second, can they maintain that speed over a number of laps.

I will put the practice session in the back of my mind as I watch qualifying. Obviously, if a potential dominator qualifies badly or is forced to the back for an issue, they instantly become chalk. You cannot avoid this. It just becomes a 5 player contest instead of 6 on DraftKings when this occurs. At times I have had the same 2 drivers in over 75% of my lineups if we have a situation with a dominator at the front and back of the starting grid.

Once qualifying has ended, I then rank the entire field based on potential and value. I personally like to create lineups by hand one at a time and check my driver usage along the way to make sure it matches my rankings. I can usually do this up to 40-50 lineups. If I am going for it that week, I will use an optimizer, entering my personal usage percentages from my ranking. While I do read a lot of articles during the week, especially from experts at the track that week, I am confident enough to override others’ opinions for my own. Many times, my driver usage is vastly different from what you will see in NASCAR GPP’s.

The key is to WIN a contest. Usually, you are splitting the top prize, but it can still pay off very well. Hitting the nuts or playing small field single or small MAX contests are the only way to make money. Diversity and aggressiveness have worked well for me, especially at the superspeedways.

Recent Single Entry NASCAR Win

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS, AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE

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The following NASCAR FanShield 500 analysis is intended for FanDuel GPP purposes. 

Editors Note: Joshua Moore makes his Win Daily Sports NASCAR debut today with his analysis of the FanShield 500!!

  1. FRONT RUNNER – DENNY HAMLIN (FD-$11,000)

Hamlin, in the Joe Gibbs FedEx Office Toyota, will be starting from the 3rd position. Hamlin won the last Cup Series race at Phoenix in November 2019; and will be in a strong position to capture laps led points and the checkered flag. 

PIVOTS: Kevin Harvick (FD-$12,500), Chase Elliott (FD-$11,000), Kyle Larson (FD-$10,300)

2. CAPTURE THE UPSIDE 

Find a NASCAR driver that will give you positive, place differential points. Consider rostering the following:

KYLE BUSCH (FD-$14,000) – Kyle is starting 10th and is the Vegas favorite to win the race.

JOEY LOGANO (FD-$11,200) – Logano is starting the 13th. Logano is fifth in line as the Vegas favorite, following Busch, Truex, Hamlin, and Harvick.

JIMMIE JOHNSON (FD-$10,000) – Johnson is starting 21st and this veteran driver should be able to finish within the top 15.

BRAD KESELOWSKI (FD-$11,500) – Keselowski is starting 14th, and currently has the same Vegas odds as his teammate Logano. 

RYAN BLANEY (FD-$11,000) – Blaney is starting 5th and also shares the same Vegas odds as Logano and Keselowski. Roster Blaney with caution though due to the high starting position.

WILLIAM BYRON (FD-$9,500) – Byron is starting 17th, but this NASCAR Hendrick Motorsports driver just may have the car and the skill to land a top 10 finish.

AUSTIN DILLON (FD-$7,600) – Dillon, the grandson of Richard Childress, qualified 30th, and therefore, offers a significant upside if he can find his way to a top ten NASCAR finish.

TYLER REDDICK (FD-$6,700) – Reddick, a teammate of Austin Dillon, qualified 29th. Reddick has an excellent history in the NASCAR Xfinity Series and looks to continue to excel in his rookie year as a Cup driver. 

3. DEEP PUNTS

Look towards a balanced build this week for the FanShield 500. Avoid the drivers under $3,500, including Corey LaJoie, Brennan Poole, Joey Gase, Timmy Hill, Reed Sorenson, and J.J. Yeley due to the limited expected upside. 

4. ROSTER WITH CAUTION

MARTIN TRUEX JR. (FD-$13,500) – Truex qualified in the 12th position, however, due to an engine change prior to the pre-qualifying inspection, he will be starting from the rear.

JOHN HUNTER NEMECHEK (FD-$4,500) – Nemechek qualified in the 26th position, however, it appears a radiator change will cause him to start from the rear as well. 

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