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NASCAR

JT’S COCA-COLA 600 NASCAR DFS TOP TARGETS.

Jim Thomson 5 years ago

written by Jim Thomson

This article is going to be a little bit different, seeing as usually the qualifier race is held a day or two before the primary race. For the Coca-Cola 600, the qualifier is being held at 2 pm eastern time on the day of the actual race. With these particular circumstances, and not knowing the starting positions of the drivers, the possibility of drivers increasing or decreasing value is high. I recommend tuning into the Win Daily discord to stay up to date with the upcoming driver starting positions. My article is going to focus on my top three targets for both cash games and GPP’s. I will have a primary focus on DraftKings. Towards the end of the article, I will have a separate section for SuperDraft. The Coca-Cola 600 race starts at 6 pm eastern time, which gives us plenty of time to build a profitable NASCAR DFS lineup on multiple DFS sites.

#1 TARGET: MARTIN TRUEX JR (+550) (10,600).

Toyota cars have been crushing the Coca-Cola 600 the previous years. One of the fastest Toyotas has no doubt been the number 19 car of Truex JR. Even though he didn’t take down any part of the doubleheader at Darlington, he definitely made his presence known and bagged two top-ten finishes (6th and 10th). Charlotte Motor Speedway has been Martin Truex JR’s personal stomping ground. Finishing first and second the previous two years. In 2016 he showed that he’s here to dismantle the field with a victory and dominated 392 out of the 400 laps. Truex has a 50% win rate at Charlotte, yes I said 50%. Out of his last six races at Charlotte Motor Speedway he has claimed the crown three times, that is an unbelievable feat. Martin Truex JR is my clear cut, number one, overall play coming into this race, looking for his second win in a row and fourth first-place finish in seven years. He will be in over 50% of my NASCAR DFS lineups, and there should be no reason that he’s not in yours.

#2 TARGET: KYLE BUSCH (+450) (11,500).

We all just saw Kyle Busch fly through Darlington with his number 18 car to a second-place finish, but not without some drama. He is forever going to be known for his ” I made a mistake” moment that caused Chase Elliot’s car to be spun around and out of the race. It may be challenging to pick Busch for the win here, considering Elliot could be out for blood. Putting that all behind us and focusing on the facts here. Like Truex, Busch has been a dominating factor at Charlotte Motor Speedway. In the previous two years, KB has pumped out a third-place finish (2019) and a First place dominating performance (2018), where he led 377 out of 400 laps. If Kyle Busch can find his way around Truex and now Elliot, he could be added to the list of repeat winners at Charlotte Motor Speedway. I will be rolling out Kyle Busch in about 50% of my NASCAR DFS lineups.

#3 TARGET: JIMMIE JOHNSON (+1200) (9,200).

What more can we say about Jimmie Johnson except that he is well on his way, if not already legendary status? Over Johnsons Career, he has EIGHT wins at Charlotte Motor Speedway, with his most recent coming in 2016. He has been a force at Charlotte over the years, with an average starting position of 19.3 and an average finish position of 9.3. Looking at the potential for place differential and gaining a minimum of ten spots, he is another lock and load for my NASCAR DFS lineups.

HONORABLE MENTION:

KEVIN HARVICK (11,200)

CHASE ELLIOT (9700)

ALEX BOWMAN (9,400)

RICKY STENHOUSE JR (7400)

AUSTIN DILLON (7000)

COREY LAJOIE (5400)

SUPERDRAFT PICKS: IN ORDER OF PREFERENCE.

MARTIN TRUEX JR (1.2X)
KULE BUSCH (1.15X)
JIMMIE JOHNSON (1.5X)
COREY LAJOIE (2.1X)
AUSTIN DILLON (1.7X)
TYLER REDDICK (1.9X)
KEVIN HARVICK (1.2X)
CHASE ELLIOT (1.1X)
ALEX BOWMAN (1.35X)
RICKY STENHOUSE JR (1.4X)
ARIC ALMIROLA (1.45X)

I will be building 10 NASCAR DFS lineups for both DraftKings and SuperDraft. I recommend playing multiple lineups, if possible. The variance in NASCAR is high, and multiple lineups can help you fade some of that variance and give you a better chance to win big money. I am going to focus on my top three targets and try to fit as many of them in my lineups as possible. I will be using the honorable mention drivers to fill in the gaps with the available salary. On DraftKings, I will have a bigger player pool because of the salary cap. On SuperDraft, my player pool will be limited to ONLY my favorite drivers who I see having the best chance to hit value. Good Luck, and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!

Check out my author page right here and come hang out in our Free Expert Discord Chat for updates!

5 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports

Win Daily Show 5.20: NASCAR, Golf, and NFL Props

Michael Rasile 5 years ago

written by Michael Rasile

Win Daily Show 5.20: NASCAR DFS, Golf, and NFL Props

On this Win Daily Show 5.20 Sia and Michael discuss NASCAR DFS for the race on 5.20, Outlaw Golf Picks, and NFL Player props that they’re liking for the upcoming season.

They have Jmo (@dfs_noshame) come on the show to tell us a bit about the Toyota 500 and who he is liking for the race. There was some changes in the starting line compared to this past Sunday’s race, and certain guys who crashed now have better prices.

They also have their bi-weekly check in to see how Sia’s Outlaw Tour Golf Picks are rolling along, seems like he’ll be making some money!

Sia and Michael then discuss their favorite player props each picking a QB, RB, and WR and looking at their season totals. We look at DraftKings, FanDuel, and shout out Monkey Knife Fight!

Make sure to hop into our Free Expert Chat on Discord, its free and people are making money.

Listen to the episode below and don’t forget to subscribe, share, and review!

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5 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR

NASCAR DFS Picks for Toyota 500 – 5/20

tRock 5 years ago

written by tRock

NASCAR DFS Picks for Toyota 500

Welcome back to a nation where NASCAR has grasped the attention of sports fans everywhere. In the midst of the sports void, NASCAR has drawn in DFS players from all formats looking for a taste of the action just to feed that fantasy itch. And for the DFS NASCAR aficionados that means money money money. Here are the NASCAR DFS Picks for the Toyota 500.

The series rolls back into Darlington just 3 days after Harvick took the checkered on Sunday. Don’t let Sundays race skew your build for Wednesday though as there are a few differences that can change a lot of how we see the race unfold. First and foremost is that Wednesday will be run under the lights and the handling of cars will be completely different. The inversion of the lineup affects a lot too meaning that there are plenty of fades that were strong plays on Sunday. So let’s dive into Wednesdays plays and build some winners.

Disclaimer: All salaries are according to DraftKings pricing.

***TOP DOG***

*Alex Bowman 10,000. No car was faster at times than Alex Bowman and his price reflects that some. He was dominant at times and showed he had the equipment to pass cars when he needed to. The place differential will be huge for a legitimate contender for the win.

*Joey Logano 9,400 This is incredible value for the hottest driver on the circuit prior to the layoff. Joey knows how to wheel around Darlington and has a starting position that could see him snatch the lead in the first handful of laps and hold it for a while.

*Kevin Harvick 11,600. Its hard to keep the winner out of this grouping of drivers, especially when we are talking about Harvick. Mr consistent this season, he has shown that running inside the top 5 to 10 is as sure as a lock as anything in sports can be. The starting spot allows for the place differential to get him a large chunk of his value and laps led to exceed value. He falls behind the other drivers a bit because of his salary but I will take him over the hefty price of Kyle here because of his consistency. Something else that shoukdnt be overlooked is the chemistry he has with the same crew chief during all of his SHR tenure. After a layoff like this there is no price you can put on the value of that especially after so many big name drivers swapped crew chiefs going into the year ie: Logano, Keselowski, Truex, Blaney.

*Martin Truex 11,100. Speaking of Truex, he showed quite the resiliency on Sunday to place that car into a position with the speed capable of winning. He has shown dominance here before and under the lights I like Truex as a lower owned option that is most certainly capable of winning.

To address Kyle Busch and Denny Hamlin, those are strictly contrarian gpp plays for me as there is place differential to be had rolling off 26th and 16th respectively. However rostering a 12k driver really limits your balanced build and therefore limits your upside.

Potential winners that should eclipse value.

*William Byron 8900. Chad Knaus has worked wonders for Byron and the confidence Willy B garnered from iRacing dominance has seemed to help to as he was the fastest car on the track for quite a bit on Sunday. The Hendrick Chevys all showed good speed and I like that to continue. Rolling off 32nd is a lock.

*Jimmie Johnson 9100. If not for crowding a little close to the 17, Johnson may have stayed in contention all day long on Sunday. Johnson is a Darlington master and is the ultimate free square starting 35th. Another lock and load.

*Erik Jones. 8500. Starting 13th, Jones is primed for a top 5 run on Wednesday. He has shown well at Darlington and should see that trend continue through Wednesdays race. This 9100-8500 tier is loaded. I’d play any of the 4 with confidence.

*Kurt Busch. 8700. The one Busch brother I would play is Kurt. Kurt has a strong history at The Lady in Black too and showed us again on Wed that no matter where he starts, he will pass anyone on the way to running up front. Positive place differential is strong for him Wed too.

Line fillers to capture that $.

This is where the gpp winners separate themselves from the minimum cashers. Sunday saw the Reddick and Nemechek plays pay off well.

Tyler Reddick 7700 I will go back to the well with Reddick. He has been the rookie to own this year and showed an ability to pass quite a bit in Sundays race. While hes starting quite a bit higher than he did Sunday he should have no trouble clearing half of the cars ahead of him and maintain a top 10 run.

Ricky Stenhouse 7900 and Chris Buescher 8100 These are both purely place differential plays. Neither will run top 10 but a place differential of close to 20 spots is worth a look at filling out your line.

Matt Kenseth. 7600 How good is Matt Kenseth to be out of a stock car for a year and a half and with absolutely zero time behind the wheel come out and place top 10? Starting about where he did on Sunday he will have a chance to better that and I think he will. I look for Matt to ride around the top 5-8 and hit value easily.

John Hunter Nemechek 6200 This is the cheapest driver I will play on Wed and while he is certainly starting a lot higher than I’d prefer, he earned that starting position by outrunning the likes of Logano and Bowyer to help dfs players like myself rake in thousands on Sunday. At his price if he runs top 15, I’ll take that.

There is no need to get top heavy for this race. The deep punts are not worth it. Salaries got jacked on some of the drivers and inexplicably fell on others. Take these DFS Picks for Toyota 500 and win some money!
Good luck race fans and see you at the top of the contests. Check out more NASCAR content over at Win Daily Sports and make sure to hop into our Free Expert Chat on Discord.
tRock

5 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR

NASCAR DRAFTKINGS DFS: The Real Heroes 400

Chris Bouchard 5 years ago

written by Chris Bouchard

Finally we get back to some real NASCAR racing Sunday at Darlington Speedway. This starts a crazy good stretch of seven races is eleven days, but this comes with some negatives. There is no qualifying for this race and the starting grid was based off of owners points in 4 groupings, and a random draw. This will put the cream of the crop at front of the field and will make decisions on value plays critical.

NASCAR has been racing at Darlington since 1950 on this 1.366 mile oval. Joe Gibbs (4 wins)(Jones, Truex Jr., Kyle Busch, and Hamlin on his current team) and Toyota (5 wins)(Joe Gibbs Team plus Bell, Suarez, and Hill) have dominated at this track the last 7 races. Only Jimmie Johnson and Denny Hamlin have multiple wins at this track.

Brad Keselowski gained the pole followed by Alex Bowman in the first row. Harvick, Kyle Busch, Logano, and Hamlin are possible dominators in the top ten. I would be shocked if any drivers outside of the top ten make it into the top five without some major crash. My top three picks to possibly break the top five would be Elliott (11th), Byron (18th), and Jones (20th). I am not too thrilled with many outside of the top 20 to make up serious ground, but I would take Newman (21st), Kurt Busch (22nd), and Bell (28th) as my top three. I did have to throw in a few deep value plays just to get some diversity in my lineups, but other than McDowell (31st), T, Dillon (33rd), and Suarez (37th), I do not give many of them any hope to score decent DFS points.

***The Real Heroes 400 Top 10 Starting Grid***

My top DFS plays at each price tier this week are listed below. I am leaning on those who have had success at this track or I believe can be a dominator. Those qualifying at the rear will be avoided other than to add some diversity in case of any big crashes. My final Driver Usage will be posted on Twitter Sunday, but my top plays are below.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced | DraftKings | FanDuel |

Denny Hamlin $11,100
Joey Logano $10,100
Kyle Busch $11,600

NASCAR DFS Mid-Tier | DraftKings | FanDuel |

Erik Jones $9.200
William Byron $8,700
Kurt Busch $8,500

NASCAR DFS Value Plays | DraftKings | FanDuel |

Ryan Newman $6,500
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. $6,800
Daniel Suarez $6,200

I also like 4 plays on DraftKings Sports Book to win the race. I am riding Denny Hamlin as my pick to win this week, but I do like 3 other value plays.

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE. JOIN US ON DISCORD, TOO!

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5 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports NASCAR

NASCAR DFS: Preparation and Execution

Chris Bouchard 5 years ago

written by Chris Bouchard

Shockingly, the world of sports, other than MMA and some Soccer, has shut down due to the Coronavirus. This is a good time to reflect and analyze what has worked in the past and tweak where needed to hit the ground running when everything returns. For NASCAR DFS, the preparation and execution of lineups with potential to WIN GPP’s is priority number one.

There are 3 approaches I use in NASCAR DFS depending on my confidence that week and the bankroll I am willing to put at risk. I love to attack the superspeedways like Talledega, Michigan, Pocono, and Daytona. I get very aggressive on these tracks and will throw in 150 plus lineups most weeks. Next for me are the 1.0-1.5 mile tracks, especially those that a dominator can crush. Finally, I tend to avoid very short tracks like Bristol or Martinsville and any road courses. These are just my personal preferences after analyzing years of results.

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Now that my home state of Michigan has opened sportsbooks, I will be playing many more WIN bets and hopefully “Top-5” and Driver Matchups depending on what is offered. This is where I excel. The Westgate Super Book in Las Vegas is where I have made most of my profit over the years betting 4 driver matchups that could also be parlayed. I can only hope Detroit will follow suit with some encouragement.

As for NASCAR DFS, my #1 look is always towards past performances at that track. If I can latch onto a Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, or Joey Logano who dominates a track, I will do so especially if they qualify near the top. I have no problem being 75% plus owned on a dominator. My next look is at the practice sessions. My thought the process is first done they have speed and second, can they maintain that speed over a number of laps.

I will put the practice session in the back of my mind as I watch qualifying. Obviously, if a potential dominator qualifies badly or is forced to the back for an issue, they instantly become chalk. You cannot avoid this. It just becomes a 5 player contest instead of 6 on DraftKings when this occurs. At times I have had the same 2 drivers in over 75% of my lineups if we have a situation with a dominator at the front and back of the starting grid.

Once qualifying has ended, I then rank the entire field based on potential and value. I personally like to create lineups by hand one at a time and check my driver usage along the way to make sure it matches my rankings. I can usually do this up to 40-50 lineups. If I am going for it that week, I will use an optimizer, entering my personal usage percentages from my ranking. While I do read a lot of articles during the week, especially from experts at the track that week, I am confident enough to override others’ opinions for my own. Many times, my driver usage is vastly different from what you will see in NASCAR GPP’s.

The key is to WIN a contest. Usually, you are splitting the top prize, but it can still pay off very well. Hitting the nuts or playing small field single or small MAX contests are the only way to make money. Diversity and aggressiveness have worked well for me, especially at the superspeedways.

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS, AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE

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5 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR

NASCAR FanShield 500 FanDuel Analysis

Phil Naessens 5 years ago

written by Phil Naessens

The following NASCAR FanShield 500 analysis is intended for FanDuel GPP purposes.

Editors Note: Joshua Moore makes his Win Daily Sports NASCAR debut today with his analysis of the FanShield 500!!

FRONT RUNNER – DENNY HAMLIN (FD-$11,000)

Hamlin, in the Joe Gibbs FedEx Office Toyota, will be starting from the 3^rd position. Hamlin won the last Cup Series race at Phoenix in November 2019; and will be in a strong position to capture laps led points and the checkered flag.

PIVOTS: Kevin Harvick (FD-$12,500), Chase Elliott (FD-$11,000), Kyle Larson (FD-$10,300)

2. CAPTURE THE UPSIDE

Find a NASCAR driver that will give you positive, place differential points. Consider rostering the following:

KYLE BUSCH (FD-$14,000) – Kyle is starting 10^th and is the Vegas favorite to win the race.

JOEY LOGANO (FD-$11,200) – Logano is starting the 13^th. Logano is fifth in line as the Vegas favorite, following Busch, Truex, Hamlin, and Harvick.

JIMMIE JOHNSON (FD-$10,000) – Johnson is starting 21^st and this veteran driver should be able to finish within the top 15.

BRAD KESELOWSKI (FD-$11,500) – Keselowski is starting 14^th, and currently has the same Vegas odds as his teammate Logano.

RYAN BLANEY (FD-$11,000) – Blaney is starting 5^th and also shares the same Vegas odds as Logano and Keselowski. Roster Blaney with caution though due to the high starting position.

WILLIAM BYRON (FD-$9,500) – Byron is starting 17^th, but this NASCAR Hendrick Motorsports driver just may have the car and the skill to land a top 10 finish.

AUSTIN DILLON (FD-$7,600) – Dillon, the grandson of Richard Childress, qualified 30^th, and therefore, offers a significant upside if he can find his way to a top ten NASCAR finish.

TYLER REDDICK (FD-$6,700) – Reddick, a teammate of Austin Dillon, qualified 29^th. Reddick has an excellent history in the NASCAR Xfinity Series and looks to continue to excel in his rookie year as a Cup driver.

3. DEEP PUNTS

Look towards a balanced build this week for the FanShield 500. Avoid the drivers under $3,500, including Corey LaJoie, Brennan Poole, Joey Gase, Timmy Hill, Reed Sorenson, and J.J. Yeley due to the limited expected upside.

4. ROSTER WITH CAUTION

MARTIN TRUEX JR. (FD-$13,500) – Truex qualified in the 12^th position, however, due to an engine change prior to the pre-qualifying inspection, he will be starting from the rear.

JOHN HUNTER NEMECHEK (FD-$4,500) – Nemechek qualified in the 26^th position, however, it appears a radiator change will cause him to start from the rear as well.

5 years ago 0 comments

NFL NASCAR

2-26-20 DFS Podcast – XFL Week Three Review & Week Four Preview

Andrew Erickson 5 years ago

written by Andrew Erickson

On the 2-26 DFS Podcast, DFS Expert Javi and Andrew and has a few different topics in mind. DFS XFL is starting to heat up! You better believe it! The guys also talk some NASCAR DFS…VROOM VROOM.

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Listen to DFS Pro Jason Mezrahi and Former WWE Star Matt Striker on the WIN DAILY SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio Show Saturday Nights from 11 pm to 1 am ET and always available on-demand!

DFS Podcast: XFL Breakdown

On the 2-26 DFS podcast, Andrew and Javi look back at Week 3 in the XFL and onto Week 4. The guys provide a strategy for DraftKings and FanDuel for users to help them determine how to select their lineups. The fellas use the 2-26 DFS Podcast to discuss their favorite plays for the XFL Week 4 weekend slate. They include Dallas Renegades receiver Flynn Nagel and Jordan Smallwood.

The guys also share their side on a few other talking points including strategy. What should we do with injuries? How will the absence of Nelson Spruce influence the LA Wildcats offense? Have some fun with us and everyone at Win Daily Sports to start your Wednesday!

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5 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR Daily Fantasy Sports

NASCAR DFS: Pennzoil 400 Analysis

Chris Bouchard 5 years ago

written by Chris Bouchard

The NASCAR Daytona 500 did not go exactly to plan, as avoiding the “Big One” is very difficult. At times, I was up 4x-5x, but I ended up slightly down after those last 2 crashes. I probably should have play 150 plus lineups. Hamlin had the best car and deserved the win.

NASCAR heads to Las Vegas for the Pennzoil 400 presented by Jiffy Lube. This is a 1.5 mile oval that is running this race for the 23rd time. Jimmie Johnson has won this race 4 times, which is two more than Brad Keselowski and Kevin Harvick who are the only other multiple winners. Joey Logano won last year’s edition and is joined by Martin Truex Jr. and Kyle Busch as the other one-time winners in this year’s field. Keselowski and Truex Jr. also have won on this track in the South Point 400 run in September the last two years.

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The practice sessions heading into qualifying were interesting as 2 Ford’s driven by Aric Almirola and Clint Bowyer was in the top three of both sessions. Jimmie Johnson led the 2nd practice with a speed of 179.432 which topped the day. Bowman, DiBenedetto, Larson, and Blaney were the others who were in the top 10 of both sessions. Ross Chastain also looked good driving the #6 to a 6th place finish in session #2 replacing Ryan Newman.

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Saturday’s qualifying was canceled due to rain which put Kyle Busch on the pole followed by Truex Jr., Harvick, and Hamlin in the first 2 rows. All the power players on top leaves values play at a minimum. I will lean on those who did well in practice or have had decent success in Las Vegas. Kyle Busch, Hamlin, and Bell will start from the back of the field but will be scored on their starting position. This makes them difficult plays unless you’re looking to be contrarian.

My top DFS plays at each price tier this week are listed below. I was very torn on how strong to play my top picks. I decided to play hard on those I thought could dominate in laps led and position differential.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced

Kevin Harvick $12,000
Brad Keselowski $11,100
Martin Truex Jr. $11,600

NASCAR DFS Mid-Tier

Clint Bowyer $8,000
Aric Almirola $7,800
Jimmie Johnson $8,400

NASCAR DFS Value Plays

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. $7,600
Daniel Suarez $6,000
Ross Chastain $6,100

I am working on all of my lineups currently and will be posting these on twitter either later tonight or early Sunday AM on twitter.

I also like 7 plays on DraftKings Sports Book to win the race. My #1 pick would be Clint Bowyer at 25/1, but I think there is value with the other plays too.

***DraftKings Picks to Win the Pennzoil 400 in Las Vegas***

Please also follow me on Twitter @CHRISBOUCHARD88

5 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports NASCAR Sports Betting

NASCAR DFS: DraftKings Analysis for the Daytona 500

bradleemikeska@gmail.com 5 years ago

written by bradleemikeska@gmail.com

The 2020 NASCAR season is finally here. The 2 Bluegreen Vacations Duels At DAYTONA are on tap for Thursday to complete the field for the 62nd Daytona 500 this Sunday. Denny Hamlin took home the trophy last season, and for the 2nd time in 4 years. Jimmie Johnson is the only other driver in the field with multiple wins in this event. While starting position is nice to have for DFS, I will always lean towards talent starting at the back of the field.

**The Bluegreen Vacations Duel #1 At DAYTONA**

**The Bluegreen Vacations Duel #2 At DAYTONA**

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This is my favorite race of the year, as I have taken home huge wins in the past with unlikely winners including Trevor Bayne and Austin Dillon. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. won the pole for Sunday’s race and leads a slew of driver racing for new teams.

2020 NASCAR driver changes

Richard Childress Racing
#8 Chevrolet
2020: Tyler Reddick
2019: Daniel Hemric

Stewart-Haas Racing
#41 Ford
2020: Cole Custer
2019: Daniel Suarez

Roush Fenway Racing
#17 Ford
2020: Chris Buescher
2019: Ricky Stenhouse Jr

JTG Daugherty Racing
#37 Chevrolet
2020: Ryan Preece
2019: Chris Buescher

JTG Daugherty Racing
#47 Chevrolet
2020: Ricky Stenhouse Jr
2019: Ryan Preece

Wood Brothers Racing
#21 Ford
2020: Matt DiBenedetto
2019: Paul Menard

Levine Family Racing
#95 Toyota
2020: Christopher Bell
2019: Matt DiBenedetto

Front Row Motorsports
#38 Ford
2020: John Hunter Nemechek
2019: David Ragan

Premium Motorsports
#15 Chevrolet
2020: Brennan Poole
2019: Ross Chastain

StarCom Racing
#00 Chevrolet
2020: Quin Houff
2019: Landon Cassill

Many rookies should make an impact in 2020 with Christopher Bell leading the way, but others including Custer and Reddick could give him a nice run It was nice to see these drivers get their chance on the big stage.

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My top DraftKings DFS plays going into this weekend are below. I may tweak them a bit once the final starting grid comes out, but I am fairly confident in these choices at this point. Other than maybe Stenhouse Jr. at the top, the qualifying was not too surprising as 4 Chevrolets were at the top. Erik Jones took down the Busch Clash last Weekend and finished 10th in qualifying.

I will be updating my plays, including my DFS driver usage, on Saturday.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced

Kyle Busch $9,800
Denny Hamlin $10,400
Joey Logano $10,500

Mid-Tier

Erik Jones $7,900
Matt DiBenedetto $7,800
Jimmie Johnson $8,200

Value Plays

Christopher Bell $6,700
Tyler Reddick $6,400
Chris Buescher $7,100

I have also chosen 5 NASCAR plays that I think have good value to win on DraftKings. While I think a big odds win is not probable, I am always willing to take some shots. Make sure you always shop around as most of the good odds this week are on FanDuel, not DraftKings.

Kyle Busch 10/1 (13/1 on FanDuel) $250
Jimmie Johnson 20/1 (22/1 on FanDuel) $100
Christopher Bell 33/1 (42/1 on FanDuel) $100
Erick Jones 25/1 $100
Bubba Wallace 50/1 (70/1 on FanDuel) $50

Please also follow me on Twitter @CHRISBOUCHARD88

5 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR Daily Fantasy Sports

NASCAR DFS: DraftKings DFS analysis for Texas

Chris Bouchard 5 years ago

written by Chris Bouchard

Martinsville did not turn out like I has hoped as Martin Truex Jr. did exactly what I expected Denny Hamlin to do by dominating the race. Those short tracks are tricky and you have to throw your dart. This week we get back to a 1.5 mile track at the Texas Motor Speedway. There are only 2 races left for those 8 finalists still left in the playoffs to make the final four in Miami. For those below the cut line, this week in crucial as a DNF could force a must-win situation at Phoenix next week. Truex is currently on top followed by Hamlin, Kyle Busch, and Joey Logano in the top 4.

***Playoff Standing thru Martinsville***

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The Texas Motor Speedway is a newer track opening in 1996. It hosts 2 races yearly with the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 in the Spring and the AAA Texas 500 in the fall. Jimmie Johnson has dominated at this track with 7 wins, but many others in the race Sunday have also had success including Kyle Busch and Hamlin with 3 wins, Harvick with 2, and Logano and Newman with one. Hamlin took the race earlier this season with some longer shots in the next three spots including Bowyer, Suarez, and Jones. I will have to spread a bit more in this race, to make sure I have proper DFS coverage.

***2019 O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 Results***

Below are my pre-qualifying NASCAR DFS rankings for DraftKings. I am a little more comfortable on this type of track, but I still prefer the super speedways. I always like drivers who will go for the win and take the risks necessary to make it happen.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced

Denny Hamlin $10,800
Kevin Harvick $10,400
Kyle Busch $11,200

Mid-Tier

Jimmie Johnson $8,600
Erik Jones $8,400
William Byron $8,000

Value Plays

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. $6,800
Daniel Suarez $7,200
Paul Menard $7,300

Kevin Harvick led qualifying which was no surprise. Erik Jones and Denny Hamlin were close behind followed by Kurt Busch to complete the first two rows. The other playoff drivers qualified 11th (Logano), 12th (Kyle Busch), 13th (Larson), 14th (Elliott), 15th (Larson), and 17th (Truex Jr.) so all are in decent position to make a run to the top.

It was very hard to decide who I wanted to back in this race on DraftKings. I decided to lean on the big three of Harvick, Hamlin, and Kyle Busch and wheel a bunch of value around them. It was hard to ignore Johnson who qualified 25th, but I was cautious only using him 4 times. I also thought Bowyer (24th), Newman (25th), and Menard (31st) had top 10-15 potential which would score well in DFS. I had to throw in some deep value in some lineups, but no one under $6K stood out. Below is my driver usage over 23 lineups. Good Luck!

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I am a bit leery about Logano in this spot, so I would lean under with him, but I think Jones could lead some laps and get a top 5 finish, thus, I am on the over with him.

Please also follow me on Twitter @CHRISBOUCHARD88

5 years ago 0 comments

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