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NASCAR DFS Picks for Toyota 500 – 5/20

NASCAR DFS Picks for Toyota 500

Welcome back to a nation where NASCAR has grasped the attention of sports fans everywhere. In the midst of the sports void, NASCAR has drawn in DFS players from all formats looking for a taste of the action just to feed that fantasy itch. And for the DFS NASCAR aficionados that means money money money.  Here are the NASCAR DFS Picks for the Toyota 500.

      The series rolls back into Darlington just 3 days after Harvick took the checkered on Sunday. Don’t let Sundays race skew your build for Wednesday though as there are a few differences that can change a lot of how we see the race unfold.  First and foremost is that Wednesday will be run under the lights and the handling of cars will be completely different. The inversion of the lineup affects a lot too meaning that there are plenty of fades that were strong plays on Sunday. So let’s dive into Wednesdays plays and build some winners. 

Disclaimer: All salaries are according to DraftKings pricing.

***TOP DOG***

*Alex Bowman 10,000. No car was faster at times than Alex Bowman and his price reflects that some. He was dominant at times and showed he had the equipment to pass cars when he needed to. The place differential will be huge for a legitimate contender for the win.

 *Joey Logano 9,400 This is incredible value for the hottest driver on the circuit prior to the layoff. Joey knows how to wheel around Darlington and has a starting position that could see him snatch the lead in the first handful of laps and hold it for a while.  

*Kevin Harvick 11,600. Its hard to keep the winner out of this grouping of drivers, especially when we are talking about Harvick. Mr consistent this season, he has shown that running inside the top 5 to 10 is as sure as a lock as anything in sports can be.  The starting spot allows for the place differential to get him a large chunk of his value and laps led to exceed value. He falls behind the other drivers a bit because of his salary but I will take him over the hefty price of Kyle here because of his consistency.  Something else that shoukdnt be overlooked is the chemistry he has with the same crew chief during all of his SHR tenure. After a layoff like this there is no price you can put on the value of that especially after so many big name drivers swapped crew chiefs going into the year ie: Logano, Keselowski, Truex, Blaney. 

*Martin Truex 11,100. Speaking of Truex, he showed quite the resiliency on Sunday to place that car into a position with the speed capable of winning. He has shown dominance here before and under the lights I like Truex as a lower owned option that is most certainly capable of winning.

To address Kyle Busch and Denny Hamlin, those are strictly contrarian gpp plays for me as there is place differential to be had rolling off 26th and 16th respectively. However rostering a 12k driver really limits your balanced build and therefore limits your upside. 

Potential winners that should eclipse value.

*William Byron 8900. Chad Knaus has worked wonders for Byron and the confidence Willy B garnered from iRacing dominance has seemed to help to as he was the fastest car on the track for quite a bit on Sunday. The Hendrick Chevys all showed good speed and I like that to continue. Rolling off 32nd is a lock.

*Jimmie Johnson 9100. If not for crowding a little close to the 17, Johnson may have stayed in contention all day long on Sunday. Johnson is a Darlington master and is the ultimate free square starting 35th.  Another lock and load. 

*Erik Jones. 8500. Starting 13th, Jones is primed for a top 5 run on Wednesday. He has shown well at Darlington and should see that trend continue through Wednesdays race. This 9100-8500 tier is loaded. I’d play any of the 4 with confidence. 

*Kurt Busch. 8700. The one Busch brother I would play is Kurt. Kurt has a strong history at The Lady in Black too and showed us again on Wed that no matter where he starts, he will pass anyone on the way to running up front. Positive place differential is strong for him Wed too.

Line fillers to capture that $.

This is where the gpp winners separate themselves from the minimum cashers. Sunday saw the Reddick and Nemechek plays pay off well.

Tyler Reddick 7700 I will go back to the well with Reddick. He has been the rookie to own this year and showed an ability to pass quite a bit in Sundays race. While hes starting quite a bit higher than he did Sunday he should have no trouble clearing half of the cars ahead of him and maintain a top 10 run. 

Ricky Stenhouse 7900 and Chris Buescher 8100 These are both purely place differential plays. Neither will run top 10 but a place differential of close to 20 spots is worth a look at filling out your line. 

Matt Kenseth. 7600 How good is Matt Kenseth to be out of a stock car for a year and a half and with absolutely zero time behind the wheel come out and place top 10? Starting about where he did on Sunday he will have a chance to better that and I think he will. I look for Matt to ride around the top 5-8 and hit value easily. 

John Hunter Nemechek 6200  This is the cheapest driver I will play on Wed and while he is certainly starting a lot higher than I’d prefer, he earned that starting position by outrunning the likes of Logano and Bowyer to help dfs players like myself rake in thousands on Sunday. At his price if he runs top 15, I’ll take that.

There is no need to get top heavy for this race. The deep punts are not worth it. Salaries got jacked on some of the drivers and inexplicably fell on others. Take these DFS Picks for Toyota 500 and win some money!
Good luck race fans and see you at the top of the contests. Check out more NASCAR content over at Win Daily Sports and make sure to hop into our Free Expert Chat on Discord.
tRock

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