Tonight’s nine-game slate is a little bit challenging from a pitching perspective because it is very top-heavy again, but this time there is very little to be had in the mid-range and even the punts are questionable at best. It could be another slate where we have to find cheap bats to make things work out. Let’s dig into the MLB DFS: DraftKings and FanDuel Pitching 8/10 and see which directions we need to be heading in tonight!
I do suspect that he’ll be among the most popular pitchers, if not the lead dog in ownership and it’s not hard to see why based on his season. He has a 1.73 ERA (the xFIP has concerned me all season at 3.43 but Verlander plows through that every fifth day), a 2.98 FIP, the K rate is 25.5%, and he’s still getting an 11.4% swinging-strike rate even though his four-seam is down to a 16.6% whiff rate. The slider is the best pitch as far as strikeouts with 62 and whiff rate at 35.1% but his curve has the lowest wOBA allowed at .194. He uses that one a bit more to the left side and helps explain why lefties have a .201 wOBA, a 27.5% K rate, and a 0.75 WHIP. With Texas firing off 5-6 lefties in their normal lineup and carrying the eighth-highest K rate when facing a righty at 23.4%, Verlander is a perfect fit from a lot of angles.
I’m very curious to see how the ownership on these two pitchers falls because Alcantara is a great play in his own right. He’s coming off a game where he threw a CGSO on only 105 pitches and even if he only whiffed three, Alcantara is the rare pitcher where I don’t worry about it as much. His ability to get deep into games is virtually unmatched as he leads the league in innings by 13.1 innings. It’s not like his K rate is horrific either at 23.3% and Philly is right about average in their K rate against righties at 22.4%. It’s not the best matchup he’ll ever have but he could also be half of the ownership Verlander could be and even on the road, Alcantara is only allowing a .256 wOBA and a 2.91 FIP. Oddly, the K rate comes up to over 24% and not one of his pitches is allowing a wOBA over .282. Additionally, the Phillies are just 16th against the changeup and that’s the main pitch for Alcantara with a whiff rate over 36%. This should make for a pretty interesting duo tonight.
At least for me, it’s pretty easy to rule out Sonny Gray and Nick Pivetta against the Dodgers and Braves, respectively. The only other pitcher in the Mid-Range by salary is Noah Syndergaard who gets the same elite matchup that Wheeler did last night in the Marlins. I’m never super excited for the guy because he has a 4.26 xFIP and there’s just not a trust factor there because his K rate is down to just over 18%. Granted, the salary isn’t much and the Marlins have been dreadful but it’s kind of hard to point to what Syndergaard does well. The ground ball rate might be the best aspect at 45% because the swinging-strike rate is only 10.4% and his change/four-seam duo (43% of his arsenal) both allow a wOBA of .369 or higher. That’s a little tough to swallow even in a great matchup and both sides of the plate hit hm for at least a .294 wOBA. Perhaps the Marlins offensive ineptitude covers his warts, but that is far from guaranteed.
Past Syndergaard, it really depends on just how dangerous you want to live because boy, it gets ugly fast. Everyone knows how much I hate Jose Berrios and I could see him being chalky tonight because the field will want to play Cardinals against a below-average lefty in Coors Field. Berrios Chalk is an honest to goodness nightmare for me because he just hasn’t been good at all this year. He has been unlucky to some extent with a 4.05 xFIP compared to the 5.19 ERA but his K rate has never been lower than the 21.1% he has right now outside of his rookie year. His fly-ball rate has grown to 40.8% and the swinging-strike rate is just 9.3%, another number at the lowest point of his career outside of the rookie season. He’s using the fastball more this year despite the fact it’s getting killed for a .452 wOBA allowed and eight homers. On the road this year, his road ERA is 7.50, the HR/9 is 2.50, the K rate drops to 15.1%, and the xFIP is 4.80. I mean, that is hideous.
Let’s get deeper into the muck and slime because we’re talking about Madison Bumgarner next! It takes a special kind of offense to even look in the direction of MadBum and he daws *checks notes* the Pittsburgh offense in Arizona. They have the second-highest K rate at 26.5% while sitting 29th in OBP, 26th in OPS, 17th in ISO, 26th in wOBA, and 28th in wRC+. Bumgarner has a 3.96 ERA with a 4.83 xFIP which is far from great and the K rate is under 16% but the salary is right. Like most pitchers, the production has been better at home and the ERA is 3.31 with a .325 wOBA and a 1.28 WHIP. The xFIP is still 4.67 but you’re just playing the matchup and the horrid Pittsburgh offense.
If you’ve got some serious guts, Kris Bubic at least is somewhat interesting. I get it, he’s been a target for hitters for a long time but look at these last few games. He’s faced Boston, went to Yankee Stadium, went into Toronto, and he scored at least 15.9 DK points in all of those starts. The xFIP was no higher than 3.84 in any of those starts and he whiffed 16 total hitters. He’s been using the changeup a little bit more and the fastball a little less. That would be a welcome change as the changeup allows just a .313 wOBA compared to .410 for the fastball and the whiff rate is 28.3%. The White Sox are excellent against lefty pitchers but so are New York and Toronto. Chicago also lost Tim Anderson, played two games yesterday, and their season is slipping away.
Kyle Wright – We’ve been talking about it but the strikeouts just haven’t been there for a player of this salary and it’s tough to build the case he scores more than Verlander or Alcantara.
Johnny Cueto – Someone explain to me like I’m five why his salary keeps climbing? He has six strikeouts in his past 22 innings and even though he’s only given up seven earned, he’s yet to crack 16 DK because K’s are king.
Cardinals
Guardians
Rockies
Braves
Astros
Twins
Orioles
D-Backs
Thank you for reading my MLB DFS: DraftKings and FanDuel Pitching 8/10 and make sure you follow me on Twitter at @bucn4life! Be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!
Welcome to the Tuesday edition of the Stack City, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel.
It’s Tuesday and that means we have a full slate of games. We have 28 of the 30 teams in action tonight and that means we have a plethora of options.
Let’s dig in and see if we can find some stacks to use today!
Mike Minor’s Reds’ career has not gone well. He is having statistically the worst year of his career. His ERA, xFIP, BB/9, and HR/9 are all at career highs. It’s been a struggle for him and those struggles will continue tonight vs. a very solid New York Mets lineup. Over the last month, Minor has pitched to a 5.3 ERA and an xFIP north of that at 5.87. His BB/9 over that stretch is an embarrassing 6.27. No pitcher on tonight’s slate is even remotely close to that number.
One thing I want to really focus on with Minor is his HR/9. He’s giving up homers this season at just an epic pace. 2.54 HR/9 is something that we want to attack. He’s had just one game all season without surrendering a long ball. That’s bad. With Minor, we want to go all in with righties. They have a massive .646 slugging % and a .435 wOBA.
Core: My core with the Mets tonight will be Pete Alonso and Starling Marte. Both of these guys had polar opposite nights in the opener of this series last night. Marte was lights out, with a homer, a stolen base, 2 RBI, and a run scored. We should expect more of the same tonight as Marte is much better against southpaws. He has an OPS of .908 against lefties compared to just .763 vs. righties. He also has a wOBA pushing .400 vs. lefties at .392.
Alonso was a dud last night but should get back on the saddle tonight. Over the last month, he’s absolutely tortured lefties with a .474 ISO and a .676 wOBA.
Secondary Pieces: Other pieces that I really like in this stack will be Francisco Lindor, Darin Ruf, Eduardo Escobar, and Mark Canha. The only reason that I don’t have Lindor in my core tonight is that he’s been better as a lefty hitter throughout his career. With batting as a righty, I’m not as laser-focused on him but he’s still in a great spot to succeed tonight.
Newly acquired Darin Ruf should get the start tonight and he has my interest at just $3k tonight. Over the last 30 days, he has a .333 ISO and a .388 wOBA vs. southpaws. The only concern with him is a pinch hit risk tonight and us only getting 2 AB out of him. That said, he should be able to do some damage in those 2 AB.
Value: Should Tomas Nido get the nod tonight behind the plate, I’ll lock him into catcher as my punt play. He’s min-priced tonight on DK and has actually been swinging a decent stick with 5 hits in his last 16 AB. He’s also fared pretty well vs. lefties over the last month, with a .333.
I expect the Braves to come out tonight fired up. They were embarrassed by the Mets this weekend, losing 4 of 5 games, and now sit 7 games out of first place. They couldn’t have asked for a better matchup tonight, going against Rich Hill. While Hill is a crafty veteran, father time may finally be catching up to the almost 43-year-old. In his last outing, which came after a month’s stint on the IL, Hill was chased after just 3 innings against the Astros.
We should expect more of the same tonight against a hungry Braves team looking to make up for a bad last week of baseball. With Hill, we want to attack him with righties. Against righties this season, he’s given up a .475 slugging % and a .345 wOBA. 8 of the 9 homers he’s given up have been to righties.
Core: I’m building my core with Braves stack around the 3 guys right at the top of the order tonight, Ronald Acuna, Dansby Swanson, and Austin Riley. The three of them are expensive tonight, but oh do they have some serious upside in this matchup. We’ll start with Riley who has been one of the best hitters in the game this season against lefties. On the year, he’s hitting .362 against lefties with a 1.190 OPS. That OPS is fueled by a .752 slugging %. Over the last month, he’s been just as good against lefties, with a .522 ISO and a .712 wOBA. He’ll be a lock in any Braves stack I use tonight.
While Acuna has had somewhat of an up and down year so far coming off the knee injury, he’s long crushed lefties and should succeed here tonight. His wOBA vs. lefties over the last month is a solid .347. The power numbers will come around and that could happen tonight.
Value: After my core, I’m just going to jump right to value with my Braves stack. Both Robbie Grossman and Orlando Arcia are extremely cheap tonight. Grossman is min-priced on DK and has very solid numbers vs. lefties. Over the last month, he has a .440 wOBA vs. them. He’s one of, if not the best value play on the MLB DFS board tonight. Arcia has also been solid vs. lefties, with a .300 wOBA and a .158 ISO vs. them over the last 30 days. At just $2.6k, he’s also extremely cheap tonight.
I didn’t want to go Coors with my MLB DFS stacks, but it’s really hard to pass this up. The first-place Cardinals head to Colorado tonight to take on Ryan Feltner and the Rockies. Feltner’s first “full” season in the bigs has not gone that well. He’s pitched to a 5.75 ERA so far and even though the 3.84 xFIP says he’ll show some positive regression, tonight won’t be the night that it will happen.
The Cardinals are one of the top offenses in the league and they are rolling right now. Only a handful of teams have scored more runs over the last week than the Cards and with this game being in Coors, they shouldn’t slow down. With Feltner, we’ll want to focus mostly on the lefties. Lefties have a nearly .600 slugging % vs. him this season in Coors and a .366 wOBA.
Core: Even though I want to focus on the lefties here, Nolan Arenado will still be in my core group of players in this game. Arenado spent the first 8 years of his career in Colorado and will have the narrative in his corner. Narrative always wins, always. Arenado has also just been lights out vs. righties over the last month as he has a .293 ISO and a .449 wOBA.
Next up in my core will be Nolan Gorman, Dylan Carlson, and Tommy Edman. All three of these guys will get the platoon advantage and will be hitting in sequential order. Going with a 9,1,2 stack can get us Edman and with this being Coors, there are almost always extra AB to go around.
Value Pieces: Lars Nootbar is $2.3k on DK tonight, with the platoon advantage, in Coors. That’s all you really need to know.
Other stacks I’ll like tonight will be the Cubs vs. Paolo Espino, the red-hot Phillies vs. Braxton Garrett (Garrett has been really good though, so tread with caution), and the Dodgers vs. Joe Ryan.
Make sure to check our optimizer here.
Good luck and hope to see you in the green.
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Monday only has seven games to offer us and this might be among the worst pitching slates on the season. It says a lot that there is only one pitcher out of the 14 that is over $9,000 on DK and only four are over $8,000. That’s going to make life difficult but let’s see what we can find in the MLB DFS: DraftKings and FanDuel Pitching 8/8!
I suspect that Bassitt will be very, very popular tonight as he is the lone “ace” by the salary requirements and he’s at home against the Reds. The matchup is likely to work in his favor because the Reds should play four lefties at most and the quality of those lefties is questionable. Bassitt has had his way with the right side of the plate with a .252 wOBA, a 23.6% K rate, a 0.97 WHP, and a 3.21 xFIP. While his sinker is the most used pitch, the slider and four-seam are second and third against the right side and those two pitches have 66 strikeouts on the season while the slider has a 32.9% whiff rate to lead the pack for Bassitt. He’s also been better at home with a 3.06 ERA compared to 4.24 on the road and his K rate jumps up to almost 27%. With the Reds being in the bottom 10 in OPS, OBP, ISO, wOBA, and wRC+ to go along with a 24% K rate, Bassitt might be so popular that we can consider a fade in GPP but I’m betting we need him for cash.
At least on DK, I’d be pretty surprised if Bassitt and Snell aren’t the runaway chalk pair because Snell is still under $9,000 despite destroying five of his past six starts. He had been unlucky pretty much the whole season but things started to even out once the calendar flipped to July. Since then, the ERA has been under 2.70, the wOBA is under .280, the K rate is over 37%, and the FIP/xFIP combo dipped under 3.00. The walk rate is still high but you almost don’t care with the rest of his profile right now. The matchup isn’t easy by the seasonal metrics since the Giants are in the top 10 in our categories when facing a lefty but that didn’t matter last time for SnellZilla. He whiffed 11 hitters through six innings and allowed just one run and his slider and curve are evil this year. They both have a whiff rate over 42.5%, wOBA’s under .175, and 56 strikeouts. The four-seam does have a .414 wOBA which is not ideal, but he’s been much better with it lately.
The Bucs are heading West in the middle of a 10-game road trip and even though Spenser Watkins fell apart yesterday, Gallen is of a higher quality. He has a 23.3% K rate and a ground ball rate of 40% on the nose to go along with a 0.89 HR/9 to this juncture. I don’t love the fact that he’s still sitting at a 9.2% swinging-strike rate and the fastball is being used an awful lot at 48.1%. While it does have 50 strikeouts, it does have a .295 wOBA but the good news here is the Pittsburgh offense ranks 28th against the fastball. It also makes sense for Gallen as far as the splits go since the left side struggles more with him with a .248 wOBA, a 0.89 WHIP, and a 3.57 xFIP. It feels like Pittsburgh has been a thorn n pitcher’s sides lately but even over the last 14 days, they are in the bottom five of wRC+, wOBA, ISO, OPS, and OBP with a K rate just a bit under 24%.
Honorable Mention
I truthfully hate playing Jameson Taillon and this is the second straight Mariners start. That is a common theme on this slate but for Taillon, the K rate is 20.8% with a 3.81 xFIP but his swinging-strike rate is under 10%. He’s been worse on the road with an ERA over 4.45 and the K rate is under 18%, so there’s not a large path to success here. Both sides of the plate have a wOBA of at least .298 and the left side gets to him more, so I would much prefer Gallen.
Overall, the profile for Thompson is not that special and it’s scary to see that the xFIP of 4.30 is basically a run higher than his 3.48 ERA. He does have a K rate of 21.2% and the fly-ball rate is dead even with the ground ball rate at 40.1%. That has helped him succeed in Wrigley Field so far this year because through 57.2 IP, he has a 2.50 ERA, a .280 wOBA (righties and lefties are dead even), and a 3.77 xFIP, a WHIP of just 1.13, and the K rate jumps to almost 25%. His cutter, curve, and change all have a whiff rate of at least 24% but the four-seam still has the most strikeouts at 41%. Against a lineup that should struggle to put up a ton of production, this makes sense on this style of slate.
Honorable Mention
There’s no real way to possibly trust Jose Suarez with a 4.49 xFIP and a 40% fly-ball rate but he does at least have a 21.5% K rate and he does face the A’s. However, he just faced this team and I’m skeptical if he can navigate the lineup again but they do only have one-hitter with a wOBA over .350 against lefties this year. I would prefer him in 20-max or more with the instability baked in.
Logan Gilbert – He does get them at home but a second straight start seeing the Yankees is not a great idea, not to mention the first one went extremely poorly.
Jordan Lyles – In theory, this is not a bad play by the splits. Lyles is much better at home as far as the ERA goes at 2.68 but his K rate goes down to 17.2% and the xFIP is actually higher at home (4.71) than it is on the road (4.25). The right side has been way worse with a .265 wOBA and a 2.23 FIP but even then, the xFIP is still 4.23 and these are pretty good righties.
Yusei Kikuchi – He could be popular but I’m out on him if he’s chalky as he has a 5.50 FIP, a 4.36 xFIP, a walk rate of 13%, and he likely can’t go past 85 pitches. Now, if he’s not popular maybe he’s worth a shot because Baltimore does have a 25.4% K rate and Kikuchi is at 25% himself. Still, it’s beyond impossible to have any faith in him and he has gotten smacked by righties with a .380 wOBA, a 2.03 HR/9, and a 1.66 WHIP.
Mets
Cubs
Padres
Yankees
A’s (for savings)
Orioles
Thank you for reading my MLB DFS: DraftKings and FanDuel Pitching 8/8 and make sure you follow me on Twitter at @bucn4life! Be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!
We’ve got 10 games tonight, a bit of a rare Saturday slate. While we do miss out on a couple of the big-name studs in the afternoon but that doesn’t mean there aren’t some very intriguing options available. Let’s find out who we like and who can lead us to green in the MLB DFS: DraftKings and FanDuel Pitching 8/6!
David Peterson was listed at one point last night but now it’s Mad Max and that changes everything on the slate. He’s themes appealing option tonight as the Braves should be righty-heavy (only three lefties last night) and Atlanta remains one of just three teams with a K rate over 25% on the season. When Scherzer faces a righty hitter, he’s been very difficult to hit with a .228 wOBA, a K rate over 32%, a 1.23 FIP, a 0.19 HR/9, and a 2.73 xFIP. The slider is one of his most effective pitches with a 50.3% whiff rate and a .143 wOBA allowed and every single one of the 283 he’s thrown have been against a righty hitter. Atlanta reminds us last night they are dangerous, but the Mets need to bounce-back after a rough loss last night and I think Mad Max puts the foot down tonight.
He’s certainly been frustrating to use lately, but Rodon is in an excellent spot against the Oakland offense. When they face a lefty, they are 26th in wRC+, 28th in wOBA, 25th in ISO, 28th in OPS, and 28th in OBP. Now, the K rate isn’t horrific at just 22.3% but with the ineptitude of the rest of the offense, I’m not sure that matters that much. It’s not going to help them that they rank 28th when facing a fastball or dead last when facing a slider because those pitches make up roughly 93% of the arsenal for Rodon and they have whiff rates over 26%. While each pitch is still a little worse than 2021, the wOBA’s allowed are still under .285 and they have 153 strikeouts. Rodon still has a K ate just under 32% and a WHIP under 1.10 to go along with a 14.2% swinging-strike rate. Both sides of the plate have a wOBA under .265 and the xFIP is under 3.30 against each side. He’s had bouts of inconsistency, but there s nothing from any metric that suggests he should have issues here and I’m in.
I get a little freaked out with Kelly at the $9,000 threshold but he has averaged over 21 DK points in his last 10 starts so it’s not that outrageous of a salary. His 20.7% K rate is pedestrian for this salary but he was on some kind of heater in July over 41.1 IP with a 1.31 ERA, a .213 wOBA, and a 0.77 WHIP. The xFIP was 3.83 so that’s a concern and another reason to not love the salary, but we also have to factor in the Colorado lineup when it’s away from Coors. They are in the bottom eight of all of our categories even though they have kept the K rate under 23% as a team. Kelly’s top three pitches all have a whiff rate of at least 21.8% and his change and cutter have a wOBA under .270. While his four-seam has a .329 wOBA, the xwOBA is just .303 and he throws it under 30% of the time. Kelly is also slightly better when facing a righty, his K rate s almost 24% in Arizona, and the Rockies are missing Kris Bryant. It’s a whole bunch of factors that leave him on my radar.
He used to be a target for us to attack but his past four starts would hint that he has something figured out as he’s scored at least 16 DK points and he has 31 strikeouts in those four starts. He has started to sue the slider much more, at least 26.7% of the time on those starts and it’s been into the positives for FanGraphs value. The whiff rate is 23.6% and the wOBA is just .234 while the Mariners are just 21st against that pitch. It’s no guarantee of success but in these past 24 IP, the ERA has been 1.13, the wOBA was only .209, the K rate was 34.4%, and the FIP is just 1.78. I’m hesitant to go all-out with him but he has a pedigree and we can hope he’s got something figured out.
We saw in the last start that Lodolo has some better days ahead as he only allowed six total baserunners in six innings of one-run ball while striking out seven Orioles. Even after that one, his BABIP is still an absurdly high .406 and that has to work its way down. It’s a big part of the 3.34 xFIP being almost a full run lower than his 4.23 ERA and Lodolo is sitting at a 30.3% K rate with a 12.7% swinging-strike rate so there is plenty of upside to chase. His curve is being thrown about 26% of the time and it has generated a 49.4% K rate and 28 strikeouts compared to 24 for the sinker, which also has a 24% whiff rate. Milwaukee is 20th against the curve and they also have the fourth-highest K rate when facing a lefty pitcher at 24.4%. On top of that, they aren’t higher than 23rd in OPS, wOBA, ISO, wRC+, or OBP this year which is a surprise with some of the hitters they have. Lodolo has only pitched seven of his 38.1 innings on the road and they have been ugly, but his profile is out of whack because of the BABIP. I’m still interested, even though he’s far from the most trusted pick of the night.
He can be totally lights out and he can get waxed, and Ashby often shows those attributes in the same start. His stuff is nasty as his slider/change/curve all have a whiff rate over 31.5% and the slider is his star pitch with 56 strikeouts and a .290 wOBA allowed. Cincy is 26th against that pitch and his K rate is over 27% with a 55.5% ground ball rate and a 13% swinging-strike rate. The issue remains that as a starter, he has a 4.34 FIP, a 3.55 xFIP (not shabby), and the K rate drops to under 26%. His WHIP rises to 1.53 and the Reds are 15th in wRC+ but below league-average in others. It’s not the worst matchup but Ashby has had a bumpy road as a starter filled with ups and downs.
We’ve had to be careful with Kirby and where to start him because the kid is young, both in age and experience. Despite his limited track record as a pro, he’s had a 3.38 xFIP, a 3.56 ERA, a K rate of 23.6%, the WHIP is 1.19, and his ground ball rate is 45.7%. These are fantastic numbers for his experience especially and his fastball has a 27% whiff rate, a .278 wOBA, and 47 of his strikeouts. The Angels are 29th against the fastball so that’s a huge bonus for Kirby and this Angles lineup has been rough against righties in the past 30 days. The K rate is almost 26% and they are 19th or lower in ISO, wOBA, and wRC+. We have to be careful with his splits because the right side has a .385 wOBA and a 5.09 FIP but the more dangerous hitters for LA tend to be on the left and his K rate is at 26.5% with a 2.70 FIP. The mid-range is full of intriguing but unstable options.
I can already tell you that he’s going to bite me since I wrote him p but I could see him getting some popularity at this salary. He is in Kansas City which helps his home run tendencies in a major way because Eovaldi has a 1.85 HR/9. However, His 4.11 ERA is way higher than a 3.37 xFIP and the 18.8% HR/FB rate is crazy high compared to the career rate of 11.1%. His K rate is over 23% and the ground ball rate is almost 48%, which also leads us to believe his home run luck has been terrible. Eovaldi is also a little better against the left side with a .298 wOBA and a 28% K rate with a 3.40 xFIP so the Royals lineup could play into his hands.
If the White Sox continue to hurt us when we try to stack them, maybe it’s time to turn the tables. They are still 29th in ISO on the season when facing a righty, among other issues like being in the bottom 10 in OPS, wOBA, and wRC+. They may not whiff a lot at 20% but they aren’t doing anything else either. Dunning is at his best when he’s facing righties with a 22.8% K rate, a 1.17 WHIP, a 3.46 xFFIP, and a .294 wOBA. He has performed much better at home and the K rate jumps to 27.7% against the right side while the wOBA drops to .267. Most of the reason there are strong splits is he uses the slider a lot more when facing a righty and it has a 38.9% whiff rate to go with a .255 wOBA and 32 strikeouts. Not only will Dunning face plenty of righties, but the White Sox are 25th against the slider this season.
Andrew Heaney – We’re not going to be in the business of challenging the Padres very often and even through just 23.1 IP, Heaney has been pretty lucky. His 0.77 ERA looks pristine but the 3.02 xFIP and the 5% HR/FB rate look much scarier. Sure, 3.02 for an xFIP is not bad but it has a way to go to catch up to the ERA.
Max Fried – You could likely get away with playing him if you wanted but I’m not going out of my way to target the Mets offense right now. They brought in a very solid platoon for the DH spot and have a strong lineup anyway, along with a K rate of just 20.4% as a team. Fried’s K rate is just 23.1% himself and it’s a very narrow path to paying off this salary.
Michael Kopech – I really wanted to give him a strong look but a .332 wOBA, 1.47 WHIP, and 4.78 xFIP against lefties were enough to pass on him against a lefty-heavy Rangers lineup.
Yankees (catchers vs former pitchers tend to be a thing)
Blue Jays
D-Backs
Rangers
Giants
Thank you for reading my MLB DFS: DraftKings and FanDuel Pitching 8/6 and make sure you follow me on Twitter at @bucn4life! Be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!
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