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MLB DFS

9/30 DFS and Betting Winners

written by Vincent Pensabene

A flashback at some of the best performances from the Sunday slate plus their outlooks for the remainder of the season on the 9/30 DFS and Betting review and look ahead.

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9/30 Betting Winners – John L.

If you were a Premium Gold subscriber, you will get full access to DFS experts 24/7 and a myriad of other rewards. Our John L. (MLB Moving Avg.) touted an 80 percent win on his prop bets for the day and here are some from our Slack channel. With the potential to increase your bankroll tenfold by becoming a part of the Win Daily family, what are you waiting for?

9/30 DFS Winner: Nick Chubb

Premium Gold members saw our NFL Cheatsheet and Nick Bretswich was on the money at his value running back spot with Nick Chubb. Going up against the Baltimore Ravens, Chubb ran the ball 20 times for 165 yards and three touchdowns. He also added three receptions for 18 yards. Chubb had a huge day and was the main reason for the Browns scoring 40 points yesterday

Outlook for the rest of the season: This was a great bounce-back game for Chubb, who was pedestrian against the Rams last week. This is around the amount of touches he will get per game in this Cleveland offense and if teams are focusing on keeping one of their flashy playmakers out of the end zone, Chubb could have games like this. He broke an 88-yard run and is now averaging 5.1 yards per carry. Expect him to continue being a key cog in this Browns offense.

9/30 DFS Winner: Chris Godwin

Here’s a screenshot from our Premium Gold NFL Projection Model of the Top 25 wide receivers for Week 4 based on salaries on FanDuel. In a game where points were flying all over the board, Chris Godwin was the besr receiver in the league for Week 4. Going on the road against the Rams, he finished with 12 catches (14 targets) for 172 yards and a pair of touchdowns.

Outlook for the rest of the season: This might have been the breakout game for Godwin as the stats for this game are very similar to his first three games combined. It helps to have Mike Evans on the opposite side of the field from him attracting attention, but Godwin looked like a legitimate threat all day long. Expect Godwin to get more action in the next few weeks.

9/30 DFS Winner: Will Smith

Rookie Will Smith had a great final day of the 2019 MLB Regular Season as he went 2-for-3 with a three-run home run against the San Francisco Giants. Since becoming the main catcher for the Dodgers at the end of July, he has an .876 OPS. It will be interesting to see how he will fare in the playoffs against whoever wins the N.L. Wild Card matchup.

9/30 DFS Winner: Andrey Rublev

Here is a snippet of our Cash with the Flash article, available to all Premium Gold subscribers. Tennis could be a difficult sport to bet with many different tournaments and players, but if you follow Phil’s expert advice, you could be making a ton of extra money. Rublev ended up beating Dimitrov in straight sets and advanced to the Round of 16 in the China Open.

6 years ago 0 comments

9/27 DFS and Betting Winners: Hot Handicappers

Sean Escobar 6 years ago

written by Sean Escobar

A flashback at some of the best performances from the Thursday slate plus their outlooks for the remainder of the season on the 9/27 DFS and Betting review and look ahead.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! DFS Pro Cheat Sheets, projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats with our DFS Pros and more!

9/27 Betting Winners – Capper Steve and John L.

Our Capper Steve hit 5.5 units on the underdog Eagles at +4. Check out his regular picks as a Premium Gold subscrib er, as you will get access to all of our top handicappers. Our John L. (MLB Moving Avg.) also pinpointed Geronimo Allison as a DFS play on our Thursday Podcast and nailed his prop pick in our Slack Channel.

9/27 DFS Winner: Davante Adams

Premium Gold members had access to the a ton of different content, including the Projection Models just like this. The screenshot is of the five-highest priced wide receivers on the Week 4 slate. Davante Adams somehow still provided a lot of value, even with his price tag. Adams finished with 10 receptions for 180 yards in the Thursday Night Football matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles before a toe injury ended his night early.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Adams now has the second-most receiving yards in the league, albeit with an extra game compared to the rest of the NFL. He was the beneficiary of Ronald Darby being out with an injury as he was burning the single high safety coverage all night long. Now at 94.5 yards per game and the Green Bay offense beginning to click, expect Adams to be one of the elite receivers in the league from hereon out.

9/27 DFS Winner: Aaron Rodgers

Here is a Premium Gold projections screenshot of the Top 25 quarterbacks on the Week 4 slate based on their DFS salaries. Aaron Rodgers barely cracked the Top 10 for the week and balled out against the Philadelphia Eagles on Thursday Night Football. He finished 34-of-53 for 422 yards with a pair of touchdowns, an interception and a lost fumble.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Rodgers has the second-most passing yards in a game this season (Pat Mahomes in Week 2) last night. The offense looks like they are beginning to click on all cylinders. Rodgers did also have good pocket protection as he was only sacked once throughout the game. Expect Rodgers to be an elite QB.

9/27 DFS Winner: Sorano Cirstea

Sorano Cirstea dominated in straight sets against Katerina Zavatska in their semi-final matchup at the Tashkent Open. This snippet is from Cash with the Flash article, available to all Premium Gold members. Cirstea will be going against the three seed Alison Van Uytvanck Saturday morning.

9/27 DFS Winner: Sean Manaea

Here is a screenshot from our MLB Cheatsheet, another perk for all our Premium Gold members. Jason was spot on with his value pitcher as Sean Manaea had his final regular season game and went against divisional-rival Seattle Mariners. He finished the day going six innings and allowing a run on four hits and five strikeouts.

Outlook for the rest of the season: This game had as much playoff feeling as a Seattle game can have this season with it being Felix Hernandez’s final start there. Manaea has returned to form in his five games this season since returning from shoulder surgery. He has a 1.21 ERA in 29.2 innings with over a strikeout an inning. He seems to be who will line up to get the ball in the Wild Card game on Wednesday.

6 years ago 0 comments

MLB Daily Fantasy Sports

9/26 DFS Hitting Picks and Stacks: Indians Can’t Cease Fire

jason mezrahi 6 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

The main slate for 9/26 DFS is just a simple, five-game assembly of MLB DFS matchups featuring some playoff implications and some sneaky stacks! Let’s find the best one-off plays and a couple quality stacks to get you on the road to cash!

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9/26 DFS Hitting Stacks ofthe Day

Cleveland Indians at DylanCease

With Jose Ramirez back, the Indians have another titanic bat in their lineup as they try to sneak into the playoffs via the Wild Card. Eliminated from securing their fourth straight AL Central title with Wednesday’s loss (coupled with a victory by the Minnesota Twins), the Indians have a Thursday night matchup that bodes well for the bats facing a hittable Dylan Cease (5.79 ERA). Expect Francisco Lindor to erase that poor showing last night and get some exposure to the 2-5 bats, along with Franmil Reyes and a dirt-cheap Mike Freeman ($3,200 DK, $2,500 FD) at the bottom of the order.

Oakland Athletics atSeattle Mariners

We’ve come to expect a lot from the A’s as September winds down, and this is a prime opportunity for the bats to come alive and pile on some runs on this 9/26 DFS slate. Mark Canha left the game early last night and Khris Davis is battling a stomach bug, but there are plenty of bats to go to in their stead, and while Felix Hernandez is a historically solid pitcher, he’s nearing the end of his career (6.51 ERA this season) and just isn’t the same old King Felix. The A’s also hit well on the road, with a .329 wOBA as a team. I like Matt Olson, Matt Chapman and Marcus Semien.

Houston Astros at JaimeBarria

The Astros plan on sitting Jose Altuve, Carlos Correa and George Springer, but that just means you can grab some value at the top of their lineup with Kyle Tucker and mix in some “next man up” types who’ve performed well in limited duty this season. They’re not my favorite stack for 9/26 DFS, but they’re certainly viable and a little cheaper to fit in without all the regulars.

9/26 DFS Hitting Stacks toConsider

Chicago Cubs at Joe Musgrove – The Cubs face ahittable pitcher who can hand out free passes and get lit up as easily as hecan rack up the Ks.

New York Mets vs. Jordan Yamamoto – Yamamoto isn’t a bad young pitcher, but he struggles with RHBs and the Mets have a bunch of really good ones.

9/26 DFS HittingCatcher

Wilson Ramos, NYM vs. MIA

DK ($3,600) FD ($2600)

Unfortunately, the pickings are slim at catcher today, so I’ll be looking to Wilson Ramos and his power upside. The Mets regular catcher is slashing .286/.350/.415 this season and Yamamoto has trouble with right-handed bats (.322wOBA vs. RHBs, .250 wOBA vs. LHBs). Just make sure he’s in the lineup before you lock him in.

9/26 DFS Hitting FirstBaseman

Matt Olson, OAK at SEA

DK (4,600) FD ($3,700)

My affinity for Matt Olson is well-known among my peers, and he’s deliveredfor me time and again in GPPs. This matchup is an interesting one, because Olsonhas a .293 ISO and 150 wRC+ against righties. Olson, who’s been hitting forpower this month with a .345 ISO, will likely face a couple of RHPs and has agood chance at going deep in this game.

9/26 DFS Hitting SecondBaseman

Aledmys Diaz, HOU at LAA

DK($4,100) FD ($2,900)

With some Astros sitting, Diaz probably gets another start tonight and is carrying a decent slash line (.271/.349/.457) into the 9/26 contest. He has a 122 wRC+ against RHPs this season, is fairly priced on DK and is unbelievably cheap on FD. It looks like I may give him a shot in about half my lineups this evening.

9/26 DFS Hitting ThirdBaseman

Matt Chapman, OAK at SEA

(DK $4,100) FD ($3,600)

Mr. Chapman homered last night, is very affordable on both sites, and is slightly better against RHPs (124 wRC+ vs. RHPs, 122 wRC+ vs. LHPs). While he had a relatively quiet September, I like the matchup for Chapman against King Felix here here — and there are not many 3B who stick out in this slate other than him, Alex Bregman (who’s available at SS on DK), and Yoan Moncada.

9/26 DFSHitting Shortstop

Alex Bregman, HOU at LAA

DK ($2,600) FD ($2,000)

Some of the veteran Astros players will get spelled tonight, but Bregman is slated to stay in the lineup and is red hot at the plate (3-4, two 2B, RBI, R last night). He sports a robust 168 wRC+ and is slashing .298/.421/.595 triple-slash line with 119 runs scored, 40 homers, 110 RBI and five steals this season. The hard-hitting Bregman is a fine place to anchor your SS slot.

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9/26 DFS HittingOutfielders

Kyle Tucker, HOU at LAA

DK($4,800) FD ($2,900)

Tucker draws the leadoff spot for 9/26 DFS a night after launching a solo homer against the Mariners. With Jose Altuve getting the day off, he takes over a prime spot in the Astros lineup and has done ell with his chances so far: The 22-year-old rookie outfielder is hitting .304/.339/.571 with 11 runs scored, three HRs, 10 RBI and five SB in 59 plate appearances this season. The price on DK is fair, but on FD he’s just way too cheap.

Brandon Nimmo, NYM vs. MIA

DK ($3,900) FD ($2,900)

I love Nimmo in the leadoff spot today for the Mets, who don’t havea lot to play for but still have an exciting group of young hitters. Nimmo hasa 133 wRC+ against RHPs in his career and will have plenty of run scoringopportunities here. He also has a 16.4 BB% facing RHPs in his career and a 19.7BB% this season against righties – a nice patience complement to his burgeoningpower.

Kyle Schwarber, CHC at PIT

DK ($3,800) FD ($2,700)

While he’s not much of a contact/average hitter, Schwarber has been heating up at the plate (2-4 last night with a pair of singles on Wednesday) just in time for his team to be eliminated from the playoffs. Schwarber is hitting .248/.337/.527 with 37 homers, 91 RBI and 80 runs scored in 152 games overall in 2019, and he’s got a great matchup vs. RHP Joe Musgrove.

9/26 DFS Additional StackOptions:

C: Wilson Contreras ($4,700 DK, $3,000 FD), Sean Murphy ($4,000DK, $2,900 FD)

1B: Anthony Rizzo ($4,900 DK, $3,900 FD), Pete Alonso ($5,000 DK,$4,000 FD)

2B: Ian Happ ($4,000 DK, $2,600 FD), Yolmer Sanchez ($2,700 DK) ($2,300FD)

3B: Yoan Moncada ($4,800 DK, $3,500 FD), David Fletcher ($3,900DK, $2,800 FD)

SS: Francisco Lindor ($4,600 DK, $4,200 FD), Jack Mayfield ($2,600 DK, $2,000 FD)

OF: Yordan Alvarez ($5,400 DK, $4,400 FD), Nick Castellanos ($4,600DK, $3,800 FD), Michael Brantley ($4,000 DK, $3,500 FD), Oscar Mercado ($4,900DK, $3,400 FD), Michael Conforto ($4,600 DK, $3,500 FD), Robbie Grossman, ($3,500DK, $2,400 FD),

6 years ago 0 comments

NFL MLB

9/26 DFS and Betting Winners: MLB Cheatsheet Is On Fire

Vincent Pensabene 6 years ago

written by Vincent Pensabene

A flashback at some of the best performances from the Wednesday slate plus their outlooks for the remainder of the season on the 9/26 DFS and Betting review and look ahead.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! DFS Pro Cheat Sheets, projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats with our DFS Pros and more!

DFS Winner: Zack Greinke

Premium Gold members had access to the MLB Cheatsheet, as well as other parts of the website and the Slack channel with access to all the DFS Pros. Jason selected Zack Greinke as a value pitcher on last night’s slate against the divisional-rival Seattle Mariners on the road. He went 8.1 innings of no-hit ball before allowing back-to-back singles and being relieved. Greinke also added a walk and nine strikeouts in the outing.

Outlook for the rest of the season: This was most likely Greinke’s final start of the regular season. He has been sensational as a member of the Astros rotation since being traded there at the deadline. In 10 starts, he is 8-1 with a 3.02 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP in that span. He will most likely be a Game 3 starter in the ALDS and should be great during the postseason.

9/26 DFS Winner: Josh Donaldson

Another winner from the MLB Cheatsheet was Josh Donaldson of the Atlanta Braves. He was listed as a value third baseman going against the Kansas City Royals in an interleague matchup. He went 3-for-6 with three doubles, two runs scored and four RBI.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Donaldson needed a game like this before the season ended since he was on a massive cold stretch. Going into last night’s game, Donaldson was 1-for-22 in his last six games. With the NLDS beginning next weekend, it was crucial for him to get his bat going and begin to look as close to the 2015 A.L. MVP as he can.

9/26 DFS Winner: Franmil Reyes

If you seriously aren’t a Premium member by now, what are you waiting for to join the family and win some money? Jason was on fire with the Cheatsheet and hit on another value spot, this time in the outield. Franmil Reyes had a great night against the divisionrival Chicago White Sox, going 3-for-4 with a pair of runs scored.

Outlook for the rest of the season: In his 47 games played since being traded to Cleveland, Reyes has a .293 OBP and a .737 OPS. For the Indians to get into the playoffs, they need their offense to click. Do not get your hopes up for Franmil Reyes to begin hitting in the final few games of the regular season.

9/26 DFS Winner: Sorano Cirstea

This was a solid bet from our Cash with the Flash article, that you can get as a Premium Gold member. Sorano Cirstea won in three sets against Danka Kovinic in their quarter-final matchup. Cirstea was slated as the eight seed heading into the Tashkent Open and will face off against Katarina Zavatska early Thursday morning. Expect Cirstea to be the favorite going into the matchup.

6 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports MLB

9/24 DFS Hitting Picks and Stacks: Stacking Sox in the Texas Heat

jason mezrahi 6 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

We’ve got a 13-game main slate for 9/24 DFS and while a playoff picture is finally emerging and the season is winding down, there are still some high-upside hitters and stacks to get you prepped to win some green!

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9/24 DFS Hitting Stacks of the Day

Red Sox at Edinson Vólquez/Ariel Jurado

The Red Sox shouldn’t have problems getting to either Vólquez, who’s having a last hurrah in the big leagues before retiring, or Jurado, who has a 5.73 ERA this season and has trouble getting Ks. You may want to skip Betts, who’s been getting rest since coming back from a foot injury, but grab shares of J.D. Martinez, Rafael Devers, Xander Bogaerts and some of the more inexpensive bats (Mitch Moreland, Brock Holt, Jackie Bradley) that should help you make salary. I think the 2-5 plus Christian Vazquez (the projected 7 hitter) might be my favorite stack among the Red Sox bats.

Houston Astros at Justin Dunn/Tommy Milone

The Astros are always worth looking to considering their 121 team wRC+ and .349 wOBA, but they face a couple mashable pitchers and you don’t have to worry about splits since they rake just about everybody. Get some shares of the red-hot George Springer (three HRs on Sunday) as well as Jose Altuve, Alex Bregman, Yuri Gurriel and Yordan Alvarez. they have the highest implied total among the teams with set lines so far.

TorontoBlue Jays at Dylan Bundy

These teams have been bashing each other’s brains in, and while I prefer the Blue Jays side of this offensive tilt, the entire game stack is in play. It’s been a GPP winner recently, so I have no qualms about rolling out the usual suspects again: Cavan Biggio, Randal Grichuk, Rowdy Tellez, and value bats like Brandon Drury and Teoscar Hernandez – especially if Lourdes Gurriel, Jr. (illness) sits for a second consecutive day.

9/24 DFS Hitting Stacks to Consider

Chicago Cubs at Mitch Keller – The Cubs are nearly out of the playoff picture thanks to the Cardinals, but for 9/24 DFS you shouldn’t consider them officially dead yet – and they’re a bunch who can still pile on the runs. The Pirates home park isn’t the best venue for stacks, so ownership should be relatively low.

Atlanta Braves at Danny Duffy – Plenty of bats to like for this potent Braves lineup facing the lefty in Kansas City, you’ll just have to leave out a couple since they’re all so good. I may be fading the Yankees in Tampa, but I’m not worried about the Braves against a hittable pitcher in the heartland.

Cleveland Indians vs. Hector Santiago – The Indians aren’t as consistent as the Braves offensively, but they have a bunch of lefty mashers with a special affinity for Santiago. The implied run total is over 5.5, which means you should have shares of the 1-5 bats along with some exposure to Franmil Reyes and Jordan Luplow. I might take a wait-and-see approach with Jose Ramirez, who’s set to be activated from the IL.

Oakland Athletics at Dillon Peters – The A’s aren’t as good against LHPs (.305 team wOBA), but it’s a viable contrarian stack to consider for 9/24 DFS. The implied total is also over 5.5 runs and seems a bit high — so tread lightly with this bunch.

9/24 DFS Hitting Catcher

Christian Vazquez, BOS at TEX

DK ($4,600) FD($3,200)

Vazquez got a day off yesterday against the Rays, but he should beback in the lineup Tuesday in Texas. He’s got 3 homers in his last seven gamesand his overall numbers in 2019 have been impressive: .273/.316/.472 with 22 HRs.Digging a little deeper, we find a .232 road ISO, with 14 of his dingers comingaway from Fenway Park.

9/24 DFS Hitting First Baseman

Carlos Santana, CLE at DET

DK (4,900) FD ($4,000)

Santana is having a career year, and I’m plugging him into most ofmy GPP builds against Hector Santiago. Hisseason slash sits at .288/.403/.529 with a 139 wRC+ and he’s destroying LHPsthis season (1.015 OPS, 162 wRC+ and .421 wOBA). There are many ways to go at1B on this slate, but Santana is my bet for a monster game.

9/24 DFS Hitting Second Baseman

Cavan Biggio, TOR at BAL

DK ($4,900) FD ($3,700)

Did you expect me to play some other than Biggio? He hit anotherbomb last night and has ben raking every time I use him in GPPs – from lastTuesday’s cycle and Thursday’s home run to helping me spike some decent cashesin last night’s Rally contests on FanDuel. He’s way too cheap on that site andhis price tag on DK should keep him from being chalk – especially with so manyhigh-priced arms.

9/24 DFS Hitting Third Baseman

Manny Machado, SD vs. LAD (3B/SS on DK)

(DK $3,700) FD($3,000)

It’s been a disappointing season for Machado, but he’d like to endit with some standout performances against his old team, the Dodgers. I lovethe matchup against LHP Rich Hill since Machado – with some really pronouncedsplits this season – hits .314/.401/.683 against southpaws. The price is rightfor Machado, and using him as a one-off or with OF Hunter Renfroe ($4,000 onDK, $3,100 on FD) – who’s another viable Padres power hitter with a 132 wRC+against LHPs – makes a lot of sense if you’re trying to find some value and buildingmultiple lineups.

9/24 DFS Hitting Shortstop

Corey Seager, LAD at SD

DK ($4,700) FD($3,800)

Seger is finally hitting his groove as we near the postseason, andnow is a great time to plug him in at SS in the 9/24 DFS main slate. He’s got a123 wRC+ against RHPs and has a .381 WOBA and .314 ISO sine the start of September.There’s no time like the present, and presently, Corey Seager is raking.

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9/24 DFS Hitting Outfielders

Cody Bellinger, LOS at SD (1B/OF on DK)

DK ($4,800) FD($3,200)

Cody might just ring that bell again on Tuesday night against “BadRonald” Bolanos, who’s given up three homers in 14 innings. Bellinger’s 166wRC+ and ridiculous .314/.414/.641 slash line vs. RHPs means he’ll be in all thelineups I can afford him in, regardless of the venue and the fact he’s on the road(149 wRC+ in away games this season).

Ronald Acuna, Jr., ATL at KC

DK ($5,300) FD ($4,400)

He makes for a fine one-off if you’re not using the Braves stack, and he’s putting up obscene numbers against both LHPs and RHPs. Another interesting stat about Acuna is that he’s slashing a robust .281/.370/.510 with a 125 wRC+ at home and .279/.361/.527 with a 128 wRC+on the road. There’s not a day that I don’t consider him, even against the league’s top pitchers and regardless of the lofty price tag.

Austin Hays, BAL at TOR
DK ($3,800) FD ($2,700)

Hays had a monster night in Toronto on Monday and he’s once again in a good spot facing a lefty. The 24-year-old slugger is slashing .302/.362/.535 in the 15 games he’s played in the majors, and he’s still very inexpensive on both sites. If he’s in the Orioles lineup on Tuesday, I’ll be grabbing shares.

9/24 DFS Additional Stack Options:

C: Wilson Contreras ($4,400 DK, $3,200 FD), Sean Murphy ($4,000DK, $3,100 FD)

1B: Anthony Rizzo ($4,900 DK, $4,100 FD), Trey Mancini ($4,700 DK,$3,900 FD)

2B: Jose Altuve ($4,700 DK, $4,200 FD), DJ LeMahieu ($5,000 DK)($4,200 FD – 3B)

3B: Gio Urshela ($4,100 DK, $3,000 FD) Vladimir Guerrero Jr, ($3,800DK, $3,200 FD)

SS: Francisco Lindor ($5,400 DK, $4,300 FD), Nico Hoerner ($3,700DK, $3,000 FD)

OF: Anthony Santander ($4,000 DK, $3,400 FD), Brett Gardner ($4,500DK, $3,500 FD), Randal Grichuk ($4,100 DK, $3,000 FD), Ramon Laureano GPP($3,100 FD), Austin Riley GPP ($2,200 FD), Adam Duvall GPP ($2,400 FD)

6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

The MLB DFS Stacks and Hitting Picks Of Destiny For September 21

6 years ago

written by

This Saturday September 21st slate is all about landing the right bats. Follow my stud and value plays and lock in the MLB DFS Picks of Destiny.

Check out our Data Driven Projections for FanDuel Hitters for Premium Gold Members.

Todays picks are listed in order of preference, not price.

David Jones won 100K on FanDuel! Read about it here!

Stacks

Minnesota Twins

The Twins go against Glenn Sparkman (6.02 ERA) at home tonight. Here are Sparkman’s FanDuel points the last five games (4, 24, 6, -5, 13). He has given up 22 hits in the same amount of time. The Twins let some people down last night but I will go back to them today on a slate where there are several stackable MLB DFS teams.

Garver, Rosario, Kepler, Cruz, Sano, Polanco

LA Dodgers

Goodness, there are a lot of great MLB DFS stacks I like tonight. I love to target Chi Chi Gonzalez (6.23 ERA). He looked good in his last start at Coors only surrendering one run, but that was vs a poor Padres team. Tonight he should regress to being bad. The Dodgers lineup is stacked and I think you can play basically anyone that fits.

Bellinger, Smith, Joc, Muncy, Seager, Pollock, Freese, Beaty

Astros

Patrick Sandoval (L) is on the mound for the Angels in Houston tonight. He should only last three to four innings here, as that his been his average over the last several games. The Astros’ top of the order should help make it a short night for Sandoval. They looked fantastic last night early, but took their foot off the gas late. I think we get a few more homers from the boys tonight from what I consider the best team in baseball.

Altuve, Bregman, Alvarez, Gurriel, Correa

Stack Pivots: Brewers, Indians, A’s

Catcher: Yasmani Grandal ($3,200 FD) I really like the matchup for the Brewers against James Marvel (9.0 ERA in two starts). Grandal slugs righties at .201 ISO/.353 wOBA with 16 home runs on the season. I like his place in the middle of the order for a team that should rake tonight. I am counting on him to bust out of his slump.

Catcher Pivots: Mitch Garver (obvious spot, I like him just as much as Grandal), Josh Phegley, Roberto Perez, Sean Murphy, Will Smith. Catcher is deep today.

First Base: Matt Olsen ($3,700 FD) This guy is producing every night in MLB DFS and tonight he goes against Brock Burke, who gave up nine runs in his last start. The Oakland A’s are in a sneaky spot and Olsen gets his when the whole lineup is turning over, which I expect tonight. Olsen hits to a .262 ISO/.317 wOBA with 10 home runs in 141 ABs vs lefties.

First Base Pivots: Yuli Gurriel, Carlos Santana, David Freese, Eric Thames

Second Base: Jose Altuve ($4,400 FD) When Altuve is hot you play him. He has four home runs in his last six games. He is elite versus lefties and that’s what he gets tonight in Patrick Sandoval. He has a homer in each of his last two games. Yes please.

Second Base Pivots: Keston Hiura, Max Muncy

Third Base: Mike Moustakas ($3,400 FD) I don’t love a lot at third basemen today so I am landing on Moustakas because of the matchup vs James Marvel. I mentioned earlier he is getting bludgeoned in his first two MLB games. Mous has 24 homers off lefties this season and there is no reason he can’t go deep again tonight.

Third Base Pivots: Matt Chapman, Miguel Sano

Shortstop: Alex Bregman ($4,300 FD) Over his last five games he is averaging 17.9 FD points per game. No need to overthink it here vs Patrik Sandoval. He is locked in to give you MLB DFS production and keep your lineups alive. He has three home runs in his last five games.

Shortstop Pivots: Fransisco Lindor, Carlos Correa, Cory Seager, Jorge Polanco

Outfield: Cody Bellinger ($4,500 FD) He is locked in right now and he gets one of my favorite pitchers to target in Chi Chi. He hits to a .332 ISO/.438 wOBA against righties and has 28 home runs. Easy play.

Pivots: Yordan Alvarez, Nelson Cruz, A.J. Pollock

Outfield: Eddie Rosario ($3,500 FD) He has a poor outing last night but the three games before he had multiple hits in each. Going against Glenn Sparkman will give him an excellent chance to get back on track. He hits .to a 237 IS/.333 wOBA with 24 home runs against righties this year. He should be batting fifth and can help clear off the bases.

Pivots: Franmil Reyes, Mark Canha, Joe Pederson

Outfield: Trent Grisham ($2,700 FD) batting lead off against James Marvel and he is cheap. He is not the Brewers best bat, but he should exceed value at $2,700 in MLB DFS.

Pivots: Jordan Luplow

I primarily used FanDuel when building optimal MLB DFS lineups.

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6 years ago 0 comments

MLB Daily Fantasy Sports

9/21 DFS Pitching and Prop Picks: Manaea is the Man

jason mezrahi 6 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

I’m looking to follow up some great MLB DFS picks from last night with another batch of winning hurlers. It’s a nine-game slate with a couple big names and some fabulous value plays among a pretty large mess of unreliable arms and likely pitch counts. But I know we’re going to find some gems in this edition of 9/21 DFS pitching picks.

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9/21 DFS Pitching Cash Game Plays

SeanManaea, OAK vs. TEX

DK ($9,800) FD($9,200)

Manaea is a huge home favorite (-340), he’s backed by a potent offensewith a high implied total (6.00), and the Rangers offense has been scufflinglately. Over the course of the season, Texas has struck out at a 25.7% rate, whichis third worst among MLB teams. Manaea (2-0, 0.50 ERA in three starts this season) gave up justthree hits and one walk while striking out six through 6.0 scoreless IP againstthis same Rangers team on Sunday – in a much tougher hitting environment inArlington. I feel comfortable going right back to the well in cash games andGPPs, as the 27-year-old hurler had 11 swinging strikes and 19 called strikesin that last outing.

Jose Berrios, MIN vs. KC

DK ($10,900) FD ($9,400)

The Twins are large favorites against the Royals and while I don’t like Berrios for a monster K game here in 9/21 DFS, he’s still a viable cash game play with the Kansas City implied run total languishing at just 3.39. Keep an eye on the weather before this one locks, because we could see a late start – but deploy him with confidence in a slate lacking in elite pitching options. The Twins offense should get him a win, and on FanDuel he could easily notch a quality start bonus – as he’s gone at least 6 IP and has given up less than 3 ER in three of his last four starts.

9/21 DFS Pitching GPP Plays

WalkerBuehler, LAD vs. COL

DK ($12,300) FD($11,100)

Buehler willlikely be on a pitch count, so he’s way too expensive for cash gamesconsidering he’s likely looking at around 5-6 IP. Still, his low WHIP (1.01) andelite strikeout rate (29.4%) mean he very well could fan 10 hitters even onsuch a short leash. The Rockies may have gotten a few licks on Clayton Kershawlast night, but they have a team K rate of 23.7% and shouldn’t have muchsuccess against this dominant young arm.

MaxFried, ATL vs. SF

DK ($8,500) FD ($8,600)

Fried (16-6, 4.25 ERA) allowed five runs on six hits while striking out just two hitters (and walking three Nationals) in just 2.1 innings in Washington during his last outing, but he’s a much better pitcher at home this season and he draws a great matchup against the Giants. Fried has been battered a bit in two consecutive starts and has given up at least three earned runs in five of his last six starts, but that should help keep some of the ownership off him here in a start where he looks like he could get a little chalky for the DFS Pros. There’s plenty to like once you check out the home/away splits in a little more detail and take into account the sometimes punchless Giants offense.

9/21 DFS Pitching Punt Plays

JohnnyCueto, SF at ATL

DK ($9,600) FD($7,800)

I’m a lot more interested in Cueto as a GPP play on FD, where he’s essentially a punt at 7,800 and doesn’t have to keep guys off base. The veteran should have a much easier path to making value by striking out a handful of Braves, even if he gets knocked out after 4 innings. There’s plenty of risk here because Cueto only has 6 Ks in his last 10 IP, but the price is right for FD GPPs and I’m looking for some contrarian angles in the mid-tier since Fried might be a little more chalky. Grabbing the other side of that chalk could pay off.

Justus Sheffield, SEA at BAL

DK ($7,900) FD ($7,300)

Once again, it’s a huge risk playing Sheffield in a hitter’s park like Camden Yards, but few pitchers on this slate have better strikeout potential against a weak opponent like the Orioles, and there’s an outside chance his team gets him a lead and a possible win. Forget the fact that he hasn’t notched a win in 2019 yet and focus on the metrics: He’s carrying a 10.13 K/9, 4.22 xFIP and 4.41 SIERA through his appearances despite an admittedly bad ERA, but his 12.4 SwStr% is promising.

You have to take some chances to win GPPs and I’ll have my fair share of Sheffield lineups on FD, though he’s a much riskier play on DK with such a high walk rate (4.91 BB/9 in his career).

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Jose Berrios Under 6.5 Strikeouts

Berrios is a solid pitcher, but he hasn’t been dominant in too many games back-to-back this season. These Royals will be focused on putting the ball in play after chalking up 11 team Ks in 33 ABs last night, and they only had 3 total Ks against Berrios in a June meeting.

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Zach Davies Under 3.5 Strikeouts

Davies doesn’t miss bats and could have an early night against a Pirates lineup sporting a 19.5 team K% — and has whiffed just 13 times in their last 23.1 IP against him. I fully expect the Pirates to have more success against Brewers pitching in this one, and knock Davis out of there before he gets to 4 Ks.

6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

9/20 MLB DFS and Betting Winners

Vincent Pensabene 6 years ago

written by Vincent Pensabene

A flashback at some of the best performances from the Thursday slate plus their outlooks for the remainder of the season on the 9/20 MLB DFS and Betting review and look ahead.

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9/20 MLB DFS Winner: Masahiro Tanaka

Here is a Tuesday snippet from our Pitcher Projection Model, that is accessible to all Premium Gold members. Masahiro Tanaka had an incredible outing for the price tag. Going up against the Los Angeles Angels at Yankee Stadium, Tanaka went seven innings while allowing a run on four hits and racked up six strikeouts while picking up his 11th victory of the year.

Outlook for the rest of the season: It seems as if Tanaka saves himself for the stretch run each and every season. While his season numbers are not eye-opening, he has pitched extremely well at Yankee Stadium in 2019, going 8-3 with a 3.10 ERA. Expect Tanaka to be featured in whatever the Yankees decide to do with their rotation and be a big factor in the playoffs.

9/20 MLB DFS Winner: D.J. LeMahieu

As Antonio D’Arcangelis stated above in the DFS Hitting Picks and Stacks, LeMahieu had a solid day at the plate against the Los Angeles Angels in a game where the Yankees clinched the A.L. East. He ended up 1-for-4 with a three-run home run on the day.

Outlook for the rest of the season: D.J. LeMahieu is playing better than most people expected in his first year outside of Coors Field. He is now at 25 home runs and 97 RBI predominantly as the leadoff hitter for the Yankees. Expect him to remain in the A.L. batting title race down to the final days of the season and eclipse the 100 RBI mark.

9/20 MLB DFS Winner: Mitch Garver

As Jason selected him as a value catcher / first baseman on the MLB Cheatsheet, which is available to all Premium Gold members, Mitch Garver had a solid day at the plate against the Kansas City Royals. Garver went 2-for-3 with a home run, RBI, three runs scored and a pair of walks from the leadoff spot.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Another player on a division leader who is predominantly a leadoff hitter appearing on today’s list. In a little under 300 at-bats this season , Garver is at 31 home runs on the season. He has incredible production, only matched by Gary Sanchez from the catcher position. Expect Garver to continue slugging as the season winds down.

9/20 MLB DFS Winner: Shed Long

Here is a screenshot from our Hitter Projection Model of players around the same value as Shed Long. He led off for the Seattle Mariners yesterday against the Pittsburgh Pirates in an interleague matchup and had a solid day at the plate. He went 3-for-5 with a walk, two RBI and the game-winning run.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Shed Long has a little over 100 at-bats in the Majors and does not look overmatched, which is great for him down the line. He has good speed and can hit for average while being able to play multiple positions on the field. Expect Long to work on the power side of his swing with the baseball being juiced and hitting into the gaps to utilize his speed.

6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

9/19 MLB DFS and Betting Winners

Vincent Pensabene 6 years ago

written by Vincent Pensabene

A flashback at some of the best performances from the Wednesday slate plus their outlooks for the remainder of the season on the 9/19 MLB DFS and Betting review and look ahead.

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9/19 MLB DFS Winner: Toronto Blue Jays

Here is a Tuesday snippet from our Slack Channel, that is accessible to all Premium Gold members. This is one of the many winners that are shown throughout the channel. The Toronto Blue Jays faced the Baltimore Orioles in Camden Yards and there was not much hope for the pitching staff of either team. As shown above, the Blue Jays won 11-10 behind a six-run ninth inning. Randal Grichuk went 1-for-5 with a grand slam and Teoscar Hernandez went 1-for-6 with a three-run home run.

Outlook for the rest of the season: The young Blue Jays hitters are showing that they could possibly be as good as their fathers: 11 runs, 15 hits, nine walks, and reaching twice via an error. Overcoming a 7-1 deficit after five innings, the Blue Jays stayed on the pedal and dominated the Orioles bullpen. Expect the Blue Jays to finish the year strong, attempting to play spoiler along the way and gain experience going into the 2020 season.

9/19 MLB DFS Winner: Aaron Civale

As Brandon C. Williams stated in the DFS Pitching Picks, Aaron Civale had a great day on the hill against the Detroit Tigers. He picked up a no-decision while going 7.2 innings and allowing a run on four hits with a walk and four strikeouts.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Don’t look now but Civale has a 1.82 ERA through 54.1 innings thus far in his rookie campaign. He is looking like if the Indians make an ALDS appearance, Civale has an argument to be near the top of the starting rotation. Expect similar outings like this one for the final couple of starts for Civale to end the regular season.

9/19 MLB DFS Winner: Trey Mancini

Jason chose as a top catcher/first baseman slot on the MLB Cheatsheet, also available for all premium members, Trey Mancini had a solid day at the plate against the Toronto Blue Jays. Mancini went 2-for-5 with a double, a run scored and three RBI.

Outlook for the rest of the season: The Baltimore Orioles do not have many reasons for people to pay attention (unless you are winning $1,500 on their demise) but Trey Mancini has been outstanding for them. He is now up to 91 RBI on a team that has scored 661 runs all season. Mancini might be stuck in a rebuild as he is about to enter arbitration this offseason, but expect him to get very close, if not surpass 100 RBI by the end of the year.

9/19 MLB DFS Winner: Yuli Gurriel

Another solid choice by Jason, this time a value catcher/first baseman, Yuli Gurriel had a great value for DFS players that chose him in their lineup. Gurriel went up against the Texas Rangers and finished 2-for-3 with a walk and a two-run home run.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Gurriel is now up to 30 home runs and an OPS of .902 on the season. Besides the offense, the ability to play both corner infield spots could play a huge factor with keeping him in the lineup while managing rest now that they clinched the AL West. Expect Gurriel to be a major force in the Astros lineup for their final few games of the season and beyond.

6 years ago 0 comments

NFL MLB

DFS Feature: Winning Daily at Win Daily Sports: The Back-to-Back GPP Takedown

Gerald Colvin 6 years ago

written by Gerald Colvin

The art of playing DFS every day is a significant challenge. So how does one crush back-to-back GPPs? That is a very good question that this article here at Win Daily Sports hopefully will answer for you. It’s a recent tale of success we wanted to share with you from the DFS MLB season while we embark on the NFL schedule. After reading this recollection of a rare feat, you’ll want to follow our DFS Pros here every day..

You see, our founder at Win Daily Sports, Jason Mezrahi, recently did the impossible in the DFS world by placing second on August 24^th in the FanDuel Saturday MLB Monster, and followed up the next night by taking down first place in the same contest. So with NFL season here, and the simple fact the Jason has won nearly a half million dollars playing DFS, we at Win Daily Sports this would be a great story to share. Below are Jason’s insights in his own words.

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Saturday August 24^th: The DFS near miss

Saturday’s 10k MLB Monster at FanDuel is alwaysa fickle beast that has its ups and downs with very little in the way ofconsistency. It seems that when you nail your pitching, your hitting will letyou down, or vice-versa. But on this day, I was feeling pretty good. You see,Monday through Friday I am so busy running a consulting business, along withthis business helping others, that it barely leaves much time on the plate formyself. Now factor in I have a newborn child, which any of you parents outthere already know is a full-time job. Anyway, on this Saturday night my wifedecided to take a long walk with my daughter and her mother, which left me witha few hours to myself. A rare occurrence. So, I did what any DFS player woulddo, especially a member of Win Daily Sports, and locked myself in my office andgot to grinding.

After about an hour of research I knew I wanted to stack the Twins, along with the Astros. I was confident the Twins would win the game in a soft matchup versus a Detroit team I have been picking on all year. I also found the value for Kyle Gibson at $7,900 was too good to be true facing a Tigers team with such high strikeout upside. From there the Minnesota stack was in full play, starting with their lefties. The one player I felt I had to spend up on was Max Kepler, in order to make sure I could afford the high price tag I also inserted a near minimum salary player into my lineup in the form of Jake Cave for $2,100. Cave had been swinging a hot bat at the time and he was in a great spot for the price.

To further enhance the upside of my lineup, and keeping with my stack, even though the split was not in his favor, I went with Miguel Sano at third base. He was a low $3,500 and he fit well with my Astros stack since Alex Bregman slid over to SS, leaving the third base spot ineligible from the Astros standpoint. Next the Astros stack itself. I started the stack with Bregman, who ended up netting me 31.7 fantasy points, along with Jose Altuve (24.4), Yuri Gurriel (12), and a George Springer letdown that cost me first place, netting me a low three fantasy points. I went with a 4-3-1 stack with four Astros, three Twins, and Tyler Naquin from the Indians at the minimum salary. The result was a strong second place finish netting me 205.6 total points, falling just 13 points short of first place for $10,000, and a nice Win Daily Sports victory.

Sunday August 25^th: The taste of sweet DFS victory

Coming off a strong second-place finish on Saturday night, and 10k win, I felt confident rolling into Sunday’s slate. After all, MLB is about stacking and finding the right one. The previous night I had done a podcast which afforded me the luxury of getting an early jump on the Sunday action, and had me well prepared for the day. I had planned a trip to Manhattan to celebrate my anniversary with my wife on this day, which included a massage, and lunch, so I honestly was not even sure I would have the time to put in a lineup. Then the DFS gods shined upon me and my wife had to go out for about an hour, so here was my opening.

Making lineups comes easily for me and I can make a lineup in about three minutes that I feel completely confident in, while at the same time spending three hours and hating the finished product. Remembering my podcast, I knew I was locking in Aaron Nola in a cake matchup facing a Marlins team struggling against, well everyone. It seemed to me Nola had the highest upside on the slate, so he was locked and loaded.

Next up, the stacks. I knew it would be tough sledding in Houston, which I had pegged as the number one stack. But still, I had to try and find a way to make it work. The key was value, and I found it in Josh Reddick at $2,400, coming in at a nice low 5.5% ownership while netting me 22.7 fantasy points. Next I looked at one of the hottest teams in MLB to pair with the Astros, the St. Louis Cardinals. My favorite thing about these Cardinals was they were all coming in at a fair price, and I knew the ownership would be low. I locked in Matt Carpenter at $2,700 who was 9% owned, Tommy Edman at $2,700 (11% owned), Harrison Bader at an incredible value at $2,200 (5.5% owned), and Paul Goldschmidt at a bargain $3,500.

Unfortunately, or at least it felt that way at the time, I was unable to complete the 4-4 Astros/Cardinals stack, leaving me with an empty utility spot. I ended up going with the hot and power hitting Reyes at $2,500. With maybe 30 minutes to make this lineup, and a whole day planned in NYC, I locked it in, leaving my house and never looking back.

About three hours into the long Sunday slate I decided to check my lineup only to find Houston was off to a slow start while the Cardinals game was in a delay and started late. It often seems to me if I unglue myself from my phone, my lineups do better, so I dedicated the day to my wife and proceeded to our lunch, and massages. It would be dinner time before I checked again. Later that evening I found the time to check my lineup, I then looked up at my wife, told her I had another anniversary surprise for her, and showed her the screenshot. Another Win Daily Sports victory in the books! I won by 35 fantasy points.

You Can Win Big Too in DFS, at Win Daily

Jason is one of the top DFS players in the industry, and you can follow him on Twitter @jasonmezrahi. We have one of the most dedicated groups of DFS players here at Win Daily Sports. Our David Jones, a DFS Pro, recently won $100K. You can chat with Jason, David and our DFS Pros every day and get access to all of their content with a Premium Gold subscription.

Read more of Jason’s winning exploits in his best-selling book.

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6 years ago 0 comments

Newer Posts

Older Posts

MLB DFS

9/30 Betting Winners – John L.

9/30 DFS Winner: Nick Chubb

9/30 DFS Winner: Chris Godwin

9/30 DFS Winner: Will Smith

9/30 DFS Winner: Andrey Rublev

9/27 Betting Winners – Capper Steve and John L.

9/27 DFS Winner: Davante Adams

9/27 DFS Winner: Aaron Rodgers

9/27 DFS Winner: Sorano Cirstea

9/27 DFS Winner: Sean Manaea

9/26 DFS Hitting Stacks ofthe Day

Cleveland Indians at DylanCease

Oakland Athletics atSeattle Mariners

Houston Astros at JaimeBarria

9/26 DFS Hitting Stacks toConsider

9/26 DFS HittingCatcher

Wilson Ramos, NYM vs. MIA

DK ($3,600) FD ($2600)

9/26 DFS Hitting FirstBaseman

Matt Olson, OAK at SEA

DK (4,600) FD ($3,700)

9/26 DFS Hitting SecondBaseman

Aledmys Diaz, HOU at LAA

DK($4,100) FD ($2,900)

9/26 DFS Hitting ThirdBaseman

Matt Chapman, OAK at SEA

(DK $4,100) FD ($3,600)

9/26 DFSHitting Shortstop

Alex Bregman, HOU at LAA

DK ($2,600) FD ($2,000)

9/26 DFS HittingOutfielders

Kyle Tucker, HOU at LAA

DK($4,800) FD ($2,900)

Brandon Nimmo, NYM vs. MIA

DK ($3,900) FD ($2,900)

Kyle Schwarber, CHC at PIT

DK ($3,800) FD ($2,700)

9/26 DFS Additional StackOptions:

DFS Winner: Zack Greinke

9/26 DFS Winner: Josh Donaldson

9/26 DFS Winner: Franmil Reyes

9/26 DFS Winner: Sorano Cirstea

9/24 DFS Hitting Stacks of the Day

Red Sox at Edinson Vólquez/Ariel Jurado

Houston Astros at Justin Dunn/Tommy Milone

TorontoBlue Jays at Dylan Bundy

9/24 DFS Hitting Stacks to Consider

9/24 DFS Hitting Catcher

Christian Vazquez, BOS at TEX

DK ($4,600) FD($3,200)

9/24 DFS Hitting First Baseman

Carlos Santana, CLE at DET

DK (4,900) FD ($4,000)

9/24 DFS Hitting Second Baseman

Cavan Biggio, TOR at BAL

DK ($4,900) FD ($3,700)

9/24 DFS Hitting Third Baseman

Manny Machado, SD vs. LAD (3B/SS on DK)

(DK $3,700) FD($3,000)

9/24 DFS Hitting Shortstop

Corey Seager, LAD at SD

DK ($4,700) FD($3,800)

9/24 DFS Hitting Outfielders

Cody Bellinger, LOS at SD (1B/OF on DK)

DK ($4,800) FD($3,200)

Ronald Acuna, Jr., ATL at KC

DK ($5,300) FD ($4,400)

Austin Hays, BAL at TORDK ($3,800) FD ($2,700)

9/24 DFS Additional Stack Options:

Stacks

9/21 DFS Pitching Cash Game Plays

SeanManaea, OAK vs. TEX

DK ($9,800) FD($9,200)

Jose Berrios, MIN vs. KC

DK ($10,900) FD ($9,400)

9/21 DFS Pitching GPP Plays

WalkerBuehler, LAD vs. COL

DK ($12,300) FD($11,100)

MaxFried, ATL vs. SF

Austin Hays, BAL at TOR
DK ($3,800) FD ($2,700)

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