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MLB GPP Picks 8/2

In this article I will be breaking down MLB GPP Picks 8/2 seven game slate.  I will hit a player from each position. If I am interested in a player on only one site, I will be site specific. I will be using DraftKings pricing for this article.

We have a full Sunday full of sports and my basketball article is already written. Here I will be diving into my MLB GPP Picks 8/2 with a smaller seven game main slate. Pitching again is very ugly on this slate as Aaron Civale is the highest priced pitcher squaring off against the Twins. Pitching will be tough to get correct on this slate, as not many of these pitchers have real strikeout upside. Join myself and the rest of the WinDaily staff in the Discord chat as we confirm our selections and strategies as team lineups trickle in.

Pitcher

DylanCease – ($8,400)

As amentioned already pitching is going to be tough to figure out, but if Civale isgoing to be the highest priced pitcher like he is expected to be I will fadethat. I will role out Cease as he faces the Royals and he has a K rate of 24%.The Royals have six high strikeout hitters, and two of the hitters that aren’t highstrikeout players beat the ball into the ground at a near 50% rate.

Catcher

YasmaniGrandal – ($4,200)

I picked plentyof White Sox hitters last night and that paid off and I’m going right back tothe well as they face off against Jakob Junis who has yet to pitch this season andhad an ERA above five last season. Junis has lefties hit an exit velocity above95MPH nearly 44% of the time last season. Getting a switch-hitting catcherbatting cleanup is a bargain majority of the time.

1stBase

Jose Martinez– ($4,500)

Martinez isanother good Tampa Bay right hand hitter that hits lefties extremely well as heholds a .293 ISO and a .416 wOBA. Jose Martinez is extremely impressive againstlefties though as he only makes soft contact 9% of the time leaving his battedballs against lefties at 91% medium or hard contact.

2ndbase

JuricksonProfar – ($4,900)

Carryingonly a 14% strikeout rate and a near 80% contact rate against right handedpitching stands out. It stands out even further facing a pitcher that fails tomiss bats as Senzatela only has a 7% swinging strike rate, and an unimpressive13% K rate. I like Padres because of this in general but Profar should havezero issues putting the ball in play today with this matchup.

3rdbase

Rio Ruiz –($3,300)

Baltimorehas been surprisingly not as terrible as everyone thought they would thisseason in large due Ruiz as he is hitting above .318 and already has threehomeruns. I’m not sure how he is still priced this low, but he is facinganother right handed pitcher in Baltimore. On this slate it will be tough tofind a guy with this upside an production for the price,

Shortstop

FransiscoLindor – ($4,700)

Facing the Twinsand Devin Smeltzer today, Lindor should be a in for a good day. Smeltzerstruggles against right-handed hitters as he allows just 7.7% soft contact, buthe also is giving up nearly 45% hard hit rate against righties as well. AnIndians stack is definitely in play here as they have a very favorable matchup.

Outfielders

HunterRenfroe – ($4,300)

Let’s startoff with Renfroe smashes left handed pitching, he has a .317 ISO againstlefties. His fly ball rate is one we drool over at 52.4%, that correlates withhis air distance of 334.7 feet. Lastly, when squaring off against leftiesRenfroe has an exit velocity above 95MPH nearly 40% of the time! Looking at howRenfroe hits lefties and knowing Tommy Milone is far from a quality left handedpitcher, Renfroe should be in for a good day.

AdamDuvall – ($4,400)

The total forthis game is at 11 runs, which is the second highest total on the slate only behindthe Rockies game. Duvall smashes left handed pitching, he proves that with hismassive ISO of .396 against lefties. His fly ball rate and hard hit rate shouldbe a recipe for success as his fly ball rate is an absurd 64%, pair that withhis hard hit rate of 50% against lefties.

Thank you for reading my content MLB GPP Picks 8/2 seven game slate. Even though it is a smaller Sunday Matinee slate we should have plenty of offense due to the lack of pitching today. For my main stacks today, it will be the Padres, Rays, Cubs, Indians and White Sox. If you get those pitchers right today you should have a very profitable afternoon. Enjoy your Sunday full of sports as we have MLB, NBA, NHL, and Nascar on this wonderful day with sports back in full swing. Best of luck with all your DFS lineups on this action-packed day!

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Hopefully, you all were on the Discord last night to catch all of our discussions that lead to a very nice night of cashing! Let’s run it back today. The July 30th edition of Aces and Bases will take on the main MLB DFS slates on DraftKings and FanDuel.

The purpose of this article is to identify our top pitching plays and fades on the slate, in addition to our top offense stacks for your GPP lineups.

Please make sure you keep an eye on the weather and other factors as those are always important things to monitor when playing MLB DFS. Be sure to check out our MLB DFS Projections as well. Without further ado, it’s Aces and Bases time.

MLB DFS: The Aces

Best Value: Dylan Bundy ($8,200 DK / $8,200 FD)

Bundy had a great first showing this season striking out 7 while giving up just 1 run over 6.2IP. This was Bundy’s Angels debut and he immediately looks more comfortable using his arsenal. Everything seemed to be working, including his slider that FINALLY had increased usage (33%!).

Bundy gets a great chance to follow up his good start with a go at the Mariners today, where strikeouts will be plentiful.

Honorable Mentions: Ross Stripling

Top Ace(s): Shane Bieber ($9,800 DK / $10,700 FD)

Absolute domination on opening day. 14Ks an no earned runs. Bieber had it all going with 21 whiffs on the day and showcasing top tier fastball command. Great to see Bieber picked up where he left off last year and is match up proof until proven otherwise.

Honorable Mention: Dinelson Lamet

Punt Play: Robbie Ray ($7,100 DK / $7,900 FD)

Ray had his normal nasty stuff in his first outing, but he did not exhibit this new found control we were hearing about. The new shortened arm circle did seem to be real, but it did not bring the command I was hoping it would (so far). Ray is going to have a tough opponent in the Dodgers today, if the stuff is there he could hang though, and could provide some good value with a low draft %

Honorable Mention: Brady Singer

Top Fade: Jose Berrios ($10,200 DK / $9,000 FD)

Berrios has accrued some good name value while being a consistent arm with a good looking breaking ball. I don’t want to call him over rated, but I think his price is too high here. In Berrios’s opening day start against the White Sox he gave up 4 runs, while only strike out 1 and getting 1 measly swinging strike. Berrios needs to show us something before I believe in the $10k price tag.

Honorable Mention: J.A. Happ

MLB DFS: The Bases

There are a ton of different ways to build your offense on these big slates. Personally, I’m going to take a stand on a few offenses and call it a day. If you’re play MME style of GPPs, you can always get some exposure to more offenses, but for 3-Entry Max and Single Entry GPPs, I’m going to battle with a very limited player pool, as I really want to pick on a couple of starting pitchers and weaker bullpens.

We all know the importance of stacking when play MLB DFS GPPs, so here are my top stacks for the Thursday Main Slate.

Top Stacks

  1. New York – I like both the Mets and the Yanks today. John Means is going for Baltimore and the Yankees have a lineup designed to kill left handed pitching. The Mets get Martin Perez, who couldn’t handle the aforementioned Orioles in his last start.
  1. Los Angeles Angels  – The Mariners have allowed at least 6 runs in each of the first 6 games of the season. The Angels put up a 7 spot last night and I don’t see a reason they cant repeat that tonight.

Value Stacks

  1. Kansas City Royals – The Royals have been great stacks to start the season, incredibly cheap for the production they are providing and get another great opportunity against a weak Tigers staff today.
  2. San Diego Padres – Another cheap option that has been hitting so far this year. Obviously it is easy to pick on the Giants, but I will continue to do so.

Monkey Knife Fight

Using the information above, you can even make some money on Monkey Knife Fight! As I said I like Shane Bieber in this spot and you can grab the over on his 5.5 strikeout prop!Check out how to play with our quick overview here.

https://www.monkeyknifefight.com/newgame?p_source=affiliate&p_affiliate=windaily

Make sure you follow me on Twitter @TimmySigs and be sure to sign up for a ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate as sports FINALLY return.

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Hopefully, you all were on the Discord last night to catch all of our discussions that lead to a very nice night of cashing! Let’s run it back today. The July 29th edition of Aces and Bases will take on the main MLB DFS slates on DraftKings and FanDuel.

The purpose of this article is to identify our top pitching plays and fades on the slate, in addition to our top offense stacks for your GPP lineups.

Please make sure you keep an eye on the weather and other factors as those are always important things to monitor when playing MLB DFS. Be sure to check out our MLB DFS Projections as well. Without further ado, it’s Aces and Bases time.

MLB DFS: The Aces

Best Value: Chris Paddock ($8,400 DK / $9,700 FD)

Cowboy Chris Paddock gets a nice match up in San Francisco for a nice price here on DK, I do not like his price as much on Fan Duel though, as they have him the 3rd SP off the board. I can see Paddocks draft percentage getting higher as he looks like a great kicker to the high end guys.

Nevertheless, Paddock will be a good play throwing in a park where its easy to keep in the yard… especially when playing the giants.

Honorable Mentions: Andrew Heaney & Brandon Woodruff

Top Ace(s): Gerrit Cole $11,400 DK / $11,700 FD) & Jacob DeGrom ($12,000 / $11,200 FD)

I mean, obviously. Nose bleed prices for top end performance. Its easy to imagine that Cole will have double digit strikeouts against Baltimore.

The Red Sox however might be able to put up a tad bit of resistance, and if there ever was a time when DeGrom got beat, it was those three starts in April of last season, where he didn’t last more than 5 innings and had 3 or more Earned Runs in each start. Of course its not actually April, and I still believe the reigning Cy Young winner will roll. I may even set a couple Pocket Aces lineups today to see what the bats would have to look like.

Honorable Mention: Charlie Morton & Mike Soroka

Punt Play: Joe Musgrove ($5,300 DK / $6,700 FD)

My favorite part about Ace Day is the pure salary value provided. Musgrove had a pretty decent outing last week, 5.2IP/5h/3bb/3ER and 7Ks, and he is UNDER 6,000! Love this play tomorrow, great kicker to one of the top aces and can be paired with a value arm to load up on bats. The strikeout upside has always been there for Joe and its starting to come together. Musgrove’s second nod to hill will be to face a Brewers lineup that always seems to over perform.

Honorable Mention: Danny Duffy

Top Fade: Matthew Boyd ($9,000 DK / $8,400 FD)

Boyd looks like good value in the middle of the pack, and playing a sparse KC offense, but I am scared for Boyd and am staying away until I see that slider return home. Boyd hit two batters in the first inning and could not produce a single swinging strike until the 3rd inning! Nothing was working for Boyd and i’m very hesitant to roll him out today with all the other options available.

Honorable Mention: Rich Hill

MLB DFS: The Bases

There are a ton of different ways to build your offense on these big slates. Personally, I’m going to take a stand on a few offenses and call it a day. If you’re play MME style of GPPs, you can always get some exposure to more offenses, but for 3-Entry Max and Single Entry GPPs, I’m going to battle with a very limited player pool, as I really want to pick on a couple of starting pitchers and weaker bullpens.

We all know the importance of stacking when play MLB DFS GPPs, so here are my top stacks for the Tuesday Main Slate.

Top Stacks

  1. Los Angeles Dodgers – The Astros are missing their ace after Verlander went down last week, that leaves a hole in the rotation to be filled by Cristian Javier, a 23 year old who holds some great minor league strikeout numbers, but still needs work on his command.
  1. Los Angeles Angels  – Sticking in tinsel town, and picking on another youngster, the Angels get a good spot facing off the Mariners and Justin Dunn.

Value Stacks

  1. Kansas City Royals – As I talked about above, Boyd looks lost right now, no real secondary pitch until that slider returns and a fastball that can not carry that situation.
  2. San Diego Padres – Johnny Cueto loves to give up barrels, Tommy Pham loves to barrel the ball.

Thrive Fantasy

Using the information above, you can even make some money on Thrive Fantasy! As I said I was like the LAD Stack and you can grab the over on Mookie Betts Prop of OVER .5 hits. Check them out and use promo code “windaily” when you sign up for some extra bonuses. Learn how to play here on our quick over.

Make sure you follow me on Twitter @TimmySigs and be sure to sign up for a ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate as sports FINALLY return.

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Baseball is back and I’ve got five hitters for you to consider in large-field DK GPPs for 7/28 MLB DFS, where it pays to be fearless!

7/28 MLB DFS – C Will Smith (DK $4,300) LAD @ HOU

If I’m spending up at catcher today, it’s for Smith, who sports a.410 road wOBA in his career and has a lofty .322 career ISO in 206 plate appearances.He’s a reliable power source who stands a good shot at going deep in MinuteMaid Park. We can find Wilson Ramos (DK $3,700) a little further down the pricelist and the punt play is probably Sal Perez (DK $2,800). But with plenty ofvalue on this slate I’ll leaning toward spending for the most pop at catcher.

7/28 MLB DFS – 1B Matt Olson (DK $4,600) OAK vs. COL

I love the Athletics’ lefty bats in this matchup, as Antonio Senzatelais a bit of a dumpster fire against LHBs – yielding a .394 wOBA and a walk rateover 11%. Olson is almost $1K cheaper than Pete Alonso ($DK $5,500) and has a decentcontact rate for a slugger. I’ll absolutely be rolling out shares of Alonso andMax Muncy (DK $4,000), and the latter comes at a big discount because the Astrosare starting lefty Framber Valdez – who, let’s be honest, may not last long inthis game.

7/28 MLB DFS – 2B Kike Hernandez (DK $3,000) LAD @ HOU

Kike is available at 2B and any of the three outfield positions onDK, so there’s a great deal of flexibility in fitting him in your lineups.There’s always a chance he comes out of the game in the later innings, but whathe can do in just an at bat or two facing a southpaw is very intriguing. Thepricing is very soft on some of these Dodgers bats, and I’ll be taking advantage.I do have some love for dirt-cheap 2B/OF Whit Merrifield (DK $3,800), but I’llbe happy to use him in an OF spot along with the Royals OF I’ll get to in aminute, and 2B/3B David Fletcher (DK $3,200) is another interesting optionleading off for the Angels, especially with that bevy of sluggers following him(Trout, Rendon, Upton, Ohtani, Pujols).

7/28 MLB DFS – SS Xander Bogaerts (DK $4,000) BOS vs. NYM

The price on Bogaerts is way too low, so I’m not going to overthinkthis one and just use him as my main SS on DK. You can make a case for AmedRosario (DK $5,100) in GPPs that feature Mets stacks, but I’ll be putting mostof my eggs in Xander’s basket tonight. And aside from Adalberto Mondesi (DK $3,400),I’m just not seeing much upside in the value guys.

7/26 MLB DFS – OF Jorge Soler (DK $3,700) KC vs. DET

I almost included Soler in yesterday’s column but decided to give Yelich a shot, and he respond by going yard – even if it was his only hit of the game. The multi-hit games are coming, and tonight could be the first of many. Merrifield-Soler-Mondesi-Perez-Ryan O’Hearn-Maikel Franco is a fine 1-6 stack against Detroit SP Rony Garcia, and I’d be happy to run it back with some Tigers bats in a full game stack. Spend-up one-offs include Trout (DK $6,000) and the much more moderately-priced Joey Gallo ($4,100), and Mookie Betts is in a fine spot for Dodgers stacks.

NOTE: Pitching worked out great last night as I got plenty of value from Glasnow and Wacha, but tonight is a much tougher proposition. I’m currently interested in value option Patrick Sandoval ($6,600) and pairing him with a mix of higher-priced options like Kyle Gibson and possibly even Walker Buehler – pitch count and tough matchup notwithstanding.

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day

I’m looking at the offense for the Royals-Tigers game, which s of post time didn’t have a line yet. I’ll take the 1-2 hitters for the Royals who were discussed in the column and Tigers leadoff hitter Niko Goodrum. 3x is risky, but these guys can easily rack up 17.5 fantasy points so you can get a big triple-up reward when you take down your Monkey Knife Fight bet.

Good luck!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @LouisLipps and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate as sports FINALLY return.

Photo of Jorge Soler courtesy of Minda Haas Kuhlmann.

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MLB DFS season is finally here and so is the Aces and Bases from Win Daily Sports. The July 27th edition of Aces and Bases will take on the main 9-game MLB DFS slate on DraftKings and FanDuel. The purpose of this article is to identify our top pitching plays and fades on the slate, in addition to our top offense stacks for your GPP lineups.

Please make sure you keep an eye on the weather and other factors as those are always important things to monitor when playing MLB DFS. Be sure to check out our MLB DFS Projections as well. Without further ado, it’s Aces and Bases time.

MLB DFS: The Aces

Best Value: Pablo Lopez ($7,500 DK / $6,900 FD)

Pablo Lopez takes the bump for the first time in 2020 and gets a favorable match up in the Baltimore Orioles. The Orioles bats played better than expected over the weekend in Boston, but the lineup is still lacking and shouldn’t be able to keep it up during the week.

Lopez leans on his change up, and for good reason, it has great movement and produced a 46% O-swing rate last year. Look for Pablo to find strikeouts in Monday’s match up. Covid-Postponed.


Honorable Mention: Josh James

Top Ace(s) FanDuel: Tyler Glasnow ($8,900 DK / $9,700 FD)

Glasnow and his curveball were absolutely electric in 2019 (57% K rate!) as the young hurler was off to a fantastic start before getting injured.

Glasnow should be ready for almost a full workload Monday and looks to pick up where he left off in 2019 where started with a 1.78 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, and 76/14 K/BB ratio over 60 2/3 innings in 12 starts. Atlanta is a tough opponent but Glasnow was near match up proof before going down and he is just priced way too low at the moment.

Honorable Mention: Josh James($8,600 DK / $6,700 FD)

Punt Play: Asher Wojciechowski ($6,800 DK / $6,400 FD)

The counter play to our value ace, Wojciechowski gets to take the bump against the Marlins, which is the main reason for this play. It’s hard to justify rolling out a Orioles pitcher but Asher has decent command of his fastball and showed some flashes with a few good outings last year. The price sure reflects this one. Covid-Postponed.

Replacement: Wade Miley

Top Fade: Jon Lester ($9,200 DK / $ 8,600 FD)

Lester’s arsenal is rapidly declining, his signature cutter lost a lot of movement last year and his four seam fastball wasn’t effective is the slightest. The four seamer lost a couple ticks of velo that it didn’t have to give away, coming down to a career low 90.8mph. Im going to be fading Lester all year.

Honorable Mention: Jake Arrieta

MLB DFS: The Bases

On an 9-game slate, there are a ton of different ways to build your offense. Personally, I’m going to take a stand on a few offenses and call it a day. If you’re play MME style of GPPs, you can always get some exposure to more offenses, but for 3-Entry Max and Single Entry GPPs, I’m going to battle with a very limited player pool, as I really want to pick on a couple of starting pitchers and weaker bullpens.

We all know the importance of stacking when play MLB DFS GPPs, so here are my top stacks for the Sunday main slate.

Top Stacks

  1. Houston Astros – Houston should have no problem teeing off against Kendal Graveman and the Mariners. This will be Graveman’s first start since the 2018 season as he missed all of 2019 down recovering from Tommy John.
  2. New York Yankees – The Yankees will be expensive all year and for good reason. The lineup is strong top to bottom and will be a good bet for a couple bombs against the aging Arrieta who lost a lot to his once great sinker.

Value Stacks

  1. Cincinnati Reds– Playing with our fade here, the Reds have yet to turn it on offensively, dropping the opening series to the Tigers. Lester gives them chance to get some runs across the board early.
  2. New York Mets – The Boston staff is thin this year, and they are either rolling out an opener or Phillips Valdez, either way this looks like a great spot to attack.

Good luck to all this week!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter @TimmySigs and be sure to sign up for a ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate as sports FINALLY return.

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I’ve got five hitters for you to consider for the early 7/26 MLB DFS 11-game slate in DK GPPs, where it pays to be fearless and swing for the fences!

7/26 MLB DFS – C Robinson Chirinos (DK $3,900) TEX vs. COL

The Rangers offense has been a bit slow out of the gate, but RHBsin that lineup have a favorable matchup vs. LHP Kyle Freeland. One fearless leftymasher who comes at a considerable discount is Chirinos – an ample power sourceat catcher and a guy who often flies under the radar in DFS. If you’re notpaying up for J.T. Realmuto (DK $4,800), Mitch Garver ($4,900) or ChristianVazquez (DK $4,300), Chirinos makes sense as part of a stack or as a one-off tosave a few bucks and get similar upside. *Note: Chirinos battled an ankleinjury near the close of camp and sat out Saturday but looks to be good to gofor today.

7/26 MLB DFS – 1B Joey Votto (DK $3,800) CIN vs. DET

Speaking of discounts, Votto is a relatively inexpensive veteran slugger off to an uncharacteristically hot start, with a couple HRs in his first two games. I’m intrigued by the Reds stack against eminently hittable Spencer Turnbull, who’s been known to issue the occasional free pass and give up the long ball. Spend-up options include Anthony Rizzo (DK $5,000) and one-off Josh Bell (DK $4,900), and the punt-worthy Michael Chavis (DK $2,900) is available at both 1B and 2B – but I’m putting about half my GPP eggs in the Votto basket on the early slate.

7/26 MLB DFS – SS Alex Bregman (DK $4,900) HOU vs. SEA

Thankfully, Bregman is available at both SS and 3B on DK, where there’s a few other guys I’d like to play at the hot corner. The Astros have the second-highest projected total after the Red Sox, and it’s a GPP priority to lock in Bregman and his eye-popping .417 career wOBA vs. LHP against Yusei Kikuchi, a southpaw with a home run problem. Xander Bogaerts (DK $4,600) got the day off Saturday but returns to the BoSox lineup this afternoon, so he’s a viable option as pivot from Bregman, in Boston stacks or alongside Bregman if you plug the latter in at 3B. Red-hot Didi Gregorius (DK $3,500) sticks out as a value option for the Phillies.

7/26 MLB DFS – 3B Mike Moustakas (DK $4,000) CIN vs. DET

I’d like to play both Reds 3B Eugenio Suarez (DK $4,500) and Moustakas on DK, but you have to take your pick since each player is limited to a singular position at the hot corner. While Suarez might see lower ownership, we can probably get our variance elsewhere, as the man who sounds like a delicious Mediterranean casserole comes in with the highest daily simulated projections in the Cincy lineup. He’s the anchor of a 1-2-4-5-6 Reds stack that won’t cost you a bundle, and his upside is similar to more expensive options like Josh Donaldson (DK $4,200) and Rafael Devers (DK $5,200).

7/26 MLB DFS – OF Christian Yelich (DK $5,600) MIL at CHC

I’m on board with using potent Reds leadoff hitter Jesse Winker (DK $3,500) and value option Shogo Akiyama (DK $2,000) – easy-to-fit stack components who could make or break the slate – but my favorite spend-up at OF on DK is Yelich, who annihilated RHPs to the tune of a .473 wOBA and 195 wRC+ in 2019. The Brewers star went 1-for-5 with a dinger in yesterday’s game and we could see the wind blowing out in Wrigley this afternoon. I’m also interested in seeing Joey Gallo (DK $4,300) solve the new roofed park in Texas, so I’ll be mixing in shares of him as well. Yelich is expensive, but my first few builds include him and all of the aforementioned players with Trevor Bauer and Carlos Carrasco at my pitching spots – two of the highest projected starters in the slate.

ANOTHER NOTE: It’s also my 45th birthday today, so taking down one of the big GPPs on DraftKings would be the ultimate present! Good luck… and be fearless!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @LouisLipps and be sure to sign up for a ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate as sports FINALLY return.

Image of Christian Yelich courtesy of Erik Drost.

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MLB GPP Picks 7/25 Slate

In this article I will be breaking down MLB GPP picks 7/25 slate. I will hit a few players from each position. If I am interested in a player on only one site, I will be site specific. I will be using DraftKings pricing for this article.

I am extremely happy that sports have returned and am ready to breakdown this 11 game MLB slate for Saturday afternoon. Chalk J.D Martinez hit again last night against an awful Orioles squad, same scenario will be in play tonight as Martinez will face Alex Cobb. As of now weather does not appear to be an issue for the second consecutive day. Don’t forget to join myself and the rest of the WinDaily staff in the discord chat rooms, as we breakdown the slate even further when starting lineups get solidified.

PitchersMLB GPP picks 7/25 slate

ZackWheeler – ($10,100)

I will goright back to a Phillies pitcher even though Nola wasn’t the best play lastnight. Wheeler’s best pitch to right handed batters is his slider, and the Marlinshave a ton of right handed bats. The Marlins entire lineup has a strikeoutpercentage of more than 20% against sliders last season. Only one Marlin isbelow 20% strikeout rate against curveballs as well, so this should be anamazing matchup even though Nola failed to hit value last night.

Lance McCullers– ($8,500)

Seattle ranout a lineup with six left-handed hitters last night, that screams Lance McCullers.Every season in the MLB McCullers has had a higher strikeout percentage againstleft-handed batters, the lowest percentage being 27.5%. Even though McCullersmissed last season, he has been excellent against lefties throughout his career.Facing a young Seattle offense should allow McCullers to have a successful returnto the diamond.

Jon Gray –($8,100)

Gray keepsthe ball on the ground with a 51.3% ground ball rate, which we love forpitchers in MLB DFS. He also had a strikeout rate of 24.5% last season,including that with the seven high strikeout hitters in this Texas lineup heshould be in a spot for success.

Dylan Bundy– ($7,700)

Bundy has a magnificentslider that is getting a swing rate of 27% against righties and 20% againstlefties. He will be facing Oakland who has seven guys in their lineup that hada strikeout percentage above 30 last season against sliders. His downfall hasbeen the homerun, but he’s playing in a big MLB ball park with loads of strikeoutupside.

Catcher

MitchGarver – ($5,300)

In the sectionbelow I tell you how I don’t spend up for catchers unless the numbers are toogood to pass up, that’s the case here. Garver absolutely tears up lefties with anISO of .415, a wOBA of .469, flyball rate of 53.8%, and hard hit rate at 57.7%.If you can find the salary to get to Garver this is a tough spot not to playhim.

WilsonRamos – ($3,100)

None of hisnumbers will just jump off the page at you but he’s a very good veteran hitter,with a low strikeout rate, facing a lefty with too cheap of a price tag on thisMLB slate. Catcher is typically my last position filled that is just how I constructmy lineups. I typically don’t roll out the high-end catchers so if you’relooking for a salary saver look at Ramos.

1stBase

MitchMoreland – ( $4,300)

Moreland didn’tstart opening day since they squared off against a left, he should start todaythough. I may fade J.D Martinez if he approaches above 20-30 percent today but Istill want Red Sox exposure against a very vulnerable Alex Cobb. Moreland onlyhas a 10% soft hit percent against righties, leaving 90 percent for medium andhard hit balls. He hits knuckle curves well with an ISO of .263 and hard hitpercent of 41.18%. and the short porch in right at Fenway he should be in linefor a solid day.

RhysHoskins – ($4,200)

We got alefty on the mound in this game that struggles mightily against righties,including a lovely flyball rate of 55.8%. Hoskins loves left-handed pitching ashe has a flyball rate of 48% and a hard-hit rate of 54% those numbers arefantastic to predict a homer. This is also an extremely comfortable price topay for a guy with massive homerun upside here.

2ndbase

OzzieAlbies – ($4,700)

Ozzie isexcellent against left-handed pitching he has an outstanding .451 wOBA, only12% strikeout rate, and his contact percentage is 83%. He only has 10% soft hitpercentage against lefties leaving 90% for medium and hard-hit baseballs. Ozziehas a good chance at hitting value with this left-handed pitching.  

JasonKipnis – ($3,300)

He must playfirst so make sure you check your MLB team lineups, David Ross said Kipnis andHoerner will split time at second. Its another spot where Kipnis only has asoft hit percent of 12% leaving 88 for medium and hard hit. Add to that aflyball rate of 43.5% against a pitcher that is brutal against lefties, Kipnisshould pay off this price tag if he plays.

3rdbase

MiguelSano – ($4,800)

This pick isnot for the faint of heart and not for those that don’t like high risk. Sanostrikes out a ton we all know that, but his soft hit percentage is only 4.5%,an ISO of .367, and wOBA of .408 versus left handed pitching. I’ll take acouple shots at Sano here.

Matt Carpenter($3,700)

Matching upagainst Trevor Williams a pitcher that has issues with left-handed bats. He hasa soft hit percentage of just 13.7% against lefties, along with that is a strikeout rate of just 12.5%. Carpenter has only a 9.8% soft hit rate againstrighties leaving 90% for medium to hard hit. Williams is clearly worse againstlefties in nearly every category, should be a great day for Cardinals lefties.

Shortstop

CarlosCorrea – ($4,700)

There isnothing crazy special here I just want some Astros facing a pitcher that hasonly pitched in four games in the last two MLB season combined. After two seasonsoff I think Walker will need a couple outings to adjust and get things backfully. Correa also has the second highest ISO on the team against righties at.307.

Jean Segura– ($3,600)

Now Seguraisn’t a power hitter but I mentioned in the Hoskins section that righties hit CalebSmith well. Segura puts the ball in play and has an exceptionally low strikeoutrate of 11%. The Phillies should put up more than two runs in this game and I alsodon’t mind Scott Kingery as more of a power bat around this same price and sameteam.

Outfielders

CodyBellinger – ($5,300)

Bellinger isthe Dodgers leader in fly ball percentage and in hard hit percentage againstrighties which is why I chose him. Stack Dodgers lefties if you can afford it, oddsare you’ll hear me say that a ton this season. Samardzija had a hard-hitpercent of 40% along with a fly ball rate of 47%. Bellinger has a giant ISO of.328 against righties. This is no secret play but it wont be much longer untilBellinger blasts his first of the season.

LourdesGurriel Jr. – ($4,600)

Simple wayto put it Gurriel smashes lefties, with 114 plater appearances against leftieslast season he had a .367 ISO, .406 wOBA, and a 44% hard hit. With a 43.1%flyball rate against lefties, this seems like a good spot for a potentialGurriel homerun at a climate-controlled Tropicana Field. After missing the MLBseason opener ownership should be low as well.

KyleSchwarber – ($4,500)
The Cubs are facingCorbin Burnes who didn’t have the best season last year. I like the Cubs as astack on today’s MLB slate, but give an advantage to the lefties in the lineup.Burnes has a 47.7% hard hit rate, average exit velocity above 90mph, an ISO of.373 against lefties. Schwarber rakes righties with an ISO of .298 and a hard-hitpercentage of 41.7%.

YoenisCespedes – ($3,600)

Cespedes missedall of last years MLB season and only completed 38 games the season prior. So,although not a lot of recent data on him we know what kind of player he is. He ispriced way too cheap. He Is facing a left-handed pitcher and hit a bomb in hisfirst game back to give the Mets a 1-0 win. I’ll take him at this price before Itincreases.

Thanks for reading my article on MLB GPP picks 7/25 slate. That will wrap it up for this 11 game afternoon slate. It looks like we should have great weather throughout most of these games, making for a beautiful afternoon of Saturday baseball. We are happy that sports are back and the DFS grind is back in full swing. Jump in the Discord chat to join myself and the WinDaily staff for late news and later game lineup locks and adjustments. Thanks for reading my content and best of luck everyone!

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MLB DFS season is finally here and so is the Aces and Bases from Win Daily Sports. The July 25th edition of Aces and Bases will take on the main 11-game MLB DFS slate on DraftKings and FanDuel. The purpose of this article is to identify our top pitching plays and fades on the slate, in addition to our top offense stacks for your GPP lineups.

Please make sure you keep an eye on the weather and other factors as those are always important things to monitor when playing MLB DFS. Be sure to check out our MLB DFS Projections as well. Without further ado, it’s Aces and Bases time.

MLB DFS: The Aces

Best Value: Corbin Burnes ($6,200 DK / $5,700 FD)

Alright, it’s risky, but he’s damn-near free. Burnes has always been a highly-touted prospect with ELITE swing-and-miss stuff. The problem is, he’s capable of walking the entire lineup and being pulled after two innings. Burnes posted a ridiculous 12.9 K/9 in his inconsistent 2019 season so you always need to keep an eye on him when he’s slated to start.

He’s been lights out thus far in the Brewers’ “Summer Training” and exhibition match-ups and should offer a ton of upside at a low price tag against a Cubs’ lineup that is projected for over a 21% K-rate.


Honorable Mention: Mike Minor

Top Ace(s) FanDuel: Mike Clevinger ($10,400 FD) | Luis Castillo ($9,800 FD) | Lance McCullers ($8,500 DK / $8,000 FD)

Clevinger, Castillo, and McCullers have juicy match ups for their opening performance of the 2020 season. Clevinger is facing off against a feeble Royals offense that shouldn’t put up much of a fight as a now healthy Clevinger should mow down batters on Saturday afternoon (just like Bieber did yesterday).

Staying in the AL central for opponents, Castillo has a uninspiring Tiger lineup that finished the 2019 campaign with a team .240 BA and a sad .294 OBP. Expect Castillo to feed the big cats a steady diet of changeups and produce strikeouts.

McCullers is simply priced way too low going up against a Seattle with an implied total of just 3.45 runs and a slate-high projected K-rate of over 24%. Keep this one simple and use McCullers.

Honorable Mention: Zach Wheeler ($10,100 DK / $9,000 FD)

Punt Play: Alex Wood ($7,800 DK / $7,600 FD)

Alex wood was sitting below 90mph with his fastball last year, and keeping it in the zone about 50% it was hit around quite a bit. Woods has a reported uptick in velo this year which wood (heh) make the fastball much more appealing. His changeup and curve were useful last year, with his curveball just being a few swinging strike points lower (48% in 2020 to 54% in 2017) than his All-Star 2017 season. This looks like some good value against a woeful SF lineup.

Top Fade: Steven Strasburg ($10,000 DK / $ 9,900 FD)

The Nationals are coming off the ultimate high of winning it all in 2019, and Strasburg is primed for another great season, but this Yankee lineup is one to fade all season. I am staying away from the high price and deadly lineup.

Honorable Mention: Lance McCullers

MLB DFS: The Bases

On an 11-game slate, there are a ton of different ways to build your offense. Personally, I’m going to take a stand on a few offenses and call it a day. If you’re play MME style of GPPs, you can always get some exposure to more offenses, but for 3-Entry Max and Single Entry GPPs, I’m going to battle with a very limited player pool, as I really want to pick on a couple of starting pitchers and weaker bullpens.

We all know the importance of stacking when play MLB DFS GPPs, so here are my top stacks for the Saturday main slate.

Top Stacks

  1. Los Angeles Dodgers – The dodgers get to beat up the Giants staff this week, the prices will be high, but with great value in pitching on the board over the weekend its possible to get a few of these bats in. Believe me, you want to get some of these bats in against SF.
  2. Houston Astros – The Astros face Taijuan Walker and I can’t think of anything positive to say about him. Houston feasts on fastballs and Walkers is bad, he also games a unreliable split finger that has a career -16pVal. Be aware of crooked numbers early and often courtesy of the Houston bats.

Value Stacks

  1. Cincinnati Reds (FanDuel) – I love this reds team and the middle of their lineup is full of hitters that just take good at bats and have power to boot. With the additions of Castellanos and Moustakas the have as much fire power as they need.
  2. Cleveland Indians (FanDuel) – Sticking with the Franmil Reyes and the tribe over the weekend. You know who else to play from this Cleveland offense, but you can always sneak in salary savers like Domingo Santana, Jordan Luplow, and Cesar Hernandez if you need salary elsewhere.

Good luck to all on this opening weekend!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter @TimmySigs and be sure to sign up for a ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate as sports FINALLY return.

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