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DFS: Week Two Injury Report

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I can only assume that you walked away a winner from Week One by listening to our podcasts, reading our strategy pieces, and staying up to date on our injury report. So, congratulations! If you didn’t, don’t be concerned, as your time is coming. Now, let’s discuss the Week Two injury report.

Mike Evans

Evans battled a stomach bug all last week, and it showed on the field. The weather was hot and humid while Evans struggled to stay hydrated and explosive. On top of that, Jameis Winston didn’t have the best showing (to put it nicely). With all of that said, I expect Evans to bounce back.

Julio Jones

Jones and the injury report go together like a fine wine and perfectly aged cheese. I say that because ultimately, he usually performs extremely well despite any designations and concerns. The issue this week is that it’s an unfamiliar injury with his wrist, which can compromise his ability to catch the ball. I’m watching the report all week on this one before throwing him into lineups.

Tyler Lockett

Ah, Tyler Lockett, the pride of Kansas State, my Alma Mater. I still smile when I remember watching Lockett in person as he returned punts for touchdowns that glorious 2012 season. I digress, Lockett showed up on the injury report on Wednesday after being presumed completely healthy following the Week One victory over the Bengals. Watch Lockett’s status on Thursday and Friday for a better picture. I’m hoping this turns into a minor issue and scares most away from one of the most efficient receivers.

Joe Mixon

I tweeted a picture and a short blurb about Mixon’s injury here. He had a classic lateral ankle sprain mechanism of injury as he was forced down by two defenders. The good news is that this is a manageable injury that responds very well to active rest and rehab. Unfortunately, it can take a couple of weeks to get back to 100%. He also mentioned on Wednesday that his intention is to play on Sunday. Regardless, I’m fading him in DFS unless we hear he is back to full speed by Friday (which I do not expect)

Update: Mixon was limited at practice on Thursday and continues to be day to day.

Mike Williams

This is an interesting case as I went back to watch the play that he was injured on, and nothing jumped out at me. I have a few theories in mind that aren’t worth mentioning specifically, but what matters is that on Wednesday coach Anthony Lynn said that he was “concerned” for Williams’ knee. How concerned? Well, the Chargers signed another depth receiver on Wednesday in light of Williams’ injury.

Update: There continues to be a sense of mystery behind this injury and I would not play Williams even if he is active. He missed practice on Thursday.

JuJu Smith-Schuster

JuJu is another interesting case to me. I’m going to assume that the medical staff knows something we don’t, as it was reported that he suffered a toe injury, but only X-rays were conducted. You see, X-rays are only used to rule out bone and joint injuries (fractures, dislocations, etc). That means if JuJu has “turf toe” (a sprain of the first toe) an X-ray would not catch it. To make matters worse, he was limited in practice on Wednesday. Keep your eyes peeled this week for JuJu’s injury status.

*It’s worth noting here that JuJu’s teammate, James Conner, was ill on Wednesday.

Update: The teammates are both expected to play on Sunday.

Baker Mayfield

The Titans pressured Mayfield all game long and at one point, sacked him for a safety. Mayfield stood up holding his wrist and simply looked uncomfortable the rest of the game. His X-rays are negative, but again, if it isn’t a bone or joint injury, we could be missing something. Add in the Jets’ (surprisingly) decent defense, and I might avoid Baker in DFS this week. He’s another guy to watch for as the week progresses.

Greg Olsen

At 34 years of age, Olsen is still trotting out there on Sundays despite his body starting to wear down. He’s been dealing with a back injury this week, and did not practice on Wednesday ahead of their TNF game against Tampa Bay. The flip side of these warning signs is that the veteran doesn’t need a walk-through practice and he told reporters on Wednesday that he’ll be ready to go. If he’s out, Ian Thomas is an extremely valuable option at tight end for showdown plays.

Update: Olsen is likely to play based on coach Ron Rivera’s comments all week. However, I’m staying away as there is potential for him to be on a snap count and due to risk of a back “flare up”.

Amari Cooper

Cooper sat out an entire month in the pre-season to nurse his plantar fasciitis, which is a chronic foot condition that can be very painful. The logic was to allow him to take it easy, rehab, and rest so it would not plague him all season like it did while still at Alabama. This was a very smart and prudent plan. Well, on Wednesday he told reporters that during Week One against the Giants, he had a “flare up” but it concluded that it is not an ongoing issue. Look, I’m not anybody to tell you to fade a receiver who just performed as well as Cooper did in that new-look offense, so I won’t. The best way to put Cooper’s situation into words is like this: with each passing week, Amari Cooper might become that yellow light that I’m just not comfortable racing through.

Patrick Mahomes

I wasn’t concerned whatsoever about Mahomes before Wednesday’s practice. He was seen during warm-ups clearly limited in lateral movements and favoring the ankle. I can’t imagine ever paying the premium for Mahomes in DFS, and even though I expect him to play, I’m looking for a better option.

Sam Darnold

Darnold was sick on Wednesday and did not practice, so watch his progression throughout the week. I’m always nervous about illnesses as hydration and fatigue are an issue.

Update: Darnold was ruled OUT for Monday’s game against the Browns. The Jets report that Darnold has mononucleosis, “the kissing disease” which is a member of a common family of viruses. This illness can cause inflammation of the spleen, which is the primary reason (aside from general fatigue) for his absence. Unfortunately for Darnold, this can cost him several weeks as the only treatment is to allow it to run it’s course.

More Updates

Le’Veon Bell: Along with the Darnold news, Adam Gase reported that Bell has a “sore shoulder” and he’ll receive an MRI. Although Gase says they are being “extra cautious” it’s a red flag to jump straight to an MRI, which will show the joint congruencey, ligaments, tendons, muscles, and overall integrity of the structures within the shoulder. I’m watching this injury closely as a shoulder injury could impact Bell’s ability to catch the football. If Bell is out, Ty Montgomery would be the cheap (and admittedly chalk) play of the week.

Update: Bell received a “precautionary” MRI that (unsurprisingly) found nothing significant. Sticking to my conservative style of play, I’m side stepping Bell in daily this week. The reasoning is that imaging reports and pain are terribly correlated and Bell can still be in quite a bit of pain despite his MRI. This could lead him to avoid contact and raising his arms to catch passes.

Derrius Guice: Guice will reportedly get a second opinion on his meniscus injury, which has a chance to turn into surgery. Although this development is more relevant in season long, it’s worth noting that Chris Thompson’s stock is on the rise this week. Use him in lineups before his price goes up.

KeKe Coutee: Coutee is making progress in practice and has the potential to play this week. I would wait a day or so longer before making a solid decision on him.

Sterling Shepard: Monitor his progress through concussion protocol. As of now, he has a good chance of playing

Update: Coutee was a full participant in practice Thursday. He could be a sneaky play this week.

Everybody Else

Lastly, for the less informed crowd, I want to provide a list of players who have been ruled out for Week Two (and beyond in most cases). I assume most people are aware of these players by now, but just to be sure: Tyreek Hill, Keke Coutee Tevin Coleman, Nick Foles, Derrius Guice, Devin Funchess, Quincy Enunwa, Hunter Henry.

Keep an eye out for an updated versions of this report on Saturday and Sunday before kickoff. Thank you for reading!

FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE.

Featured image courtesy of Chris J. Nelson.

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It’s here.

NFL week one is upon us, and the purpose of the two-minute drill injury analysis is to provide a final two-minute drill injury analysis on relevant player injuries to help you win today. Let’s start with the 1:00PM kick-offs.

Cam Newton: How fitting to start the two-minute drill with Cam Newton, who is not on the injury report. However, he is on my list of “if not now, then never” list. In other words, many analysts and talking heads label Cam an “injury risk”. While I don’t share that same sentiment (let’s say I do for argument’s sake) week one is the time to start him anyway. Fire away with Cam Newton.

Todd Gurley: Let’s continuewith this game and my “list.” Enough with the talk. I mention here that if we’regoing to trot Gurley out in tournaments, week one is the time to do it.

Cooper Kupp: In true two-minute drill fashion, this one’s quick: Fire away.

Odell Beckham Jr: He has no formalinjury designation, just a weird way of communicating. His head coach says Beckhamis 100%. Just one day prior, OBJ said in an interview that he hasn’t been ableto “open up and run”, that’s a cause for concern. You have better options.

Stefon Diggs: Diggs draws a Questionable tag for Sunday. I was planning on using Diggs this week myself before he came up on the injury report on Wednesday. If we’re being honest, the smart move is to find another option. The devil’s advocate in me says that in a game with shoot-out potential, ya gotta risk-it-for-the-biscuit. Ultimately, I’m staying away, but if one of you out there takes the risk, it could pay off big.

Robby Anderson: Anderson wasalso limited in practice all week with a calf injury and is listed as questionablefor Sunday against the Bills. I’m less optimistic on him than Diggs and I’m stayingaway until we get a clearer picture of how long this injury may linger.

Jordan Reed: He’s likely out for Sunday and I’m just hoping this dude finds what he’s looking for after his seventh documented concussion. You’re probably steering clear of this atrocious offense, but I suppose check the tight end depth chart for a lottery ticket/flyer.

Mike Evans: The only playerI’m truly concerned about in the post 4:00PM kick-offs is Evans. He fought offa stomach bug all week, so fatigue and hydration could be a big concern. Theearly September weather in Florida doesn’t make me any more optimistic. However,like Diggs, if you risk it, there could be a biscuit waiting for you at the finishline.

That’s it, the two-minute drill is over. How are you feeling?

Remember, this is a game of probability. You must be the one to make the decision. Happy week one and good luck!

FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE.

Mike Evans featured image courtesy of Keith Allison.

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This report will provide NFL DFS touches and targets for the Week One 12-game main slate. I will break down players into three tiers: High, mid, and low.

High Tier

NFL DFS WR: Mike Evans (TBB) ($7900 FD|$7900 DK)

61% Reception rate. 139 Targets, 86 Receptions, 11 yards per target (2018).

Both Evans and Chris Godwin have matchups made in heaven in week one against the 49er’s. It is very clear that San Francisco’s weakness lies in their secondary and Tampa Bay is a pass heavy team to begin with. Will have to monitor the Q tag due to illness but I’m pretty certain he will play.

NFL DFS WR: Adam Thielen (MIN) ($7400 FD|$6800 DK)

74% Reception rate. 153 Targets, 113 Receptions, nine yards per target (2018).

Adam Thielen gets a bump here if Diggs sits and it sounds like he will due to a hamstring injury. Thielen was a focal point of the Vikings offense as indicated by his target share in 2018. I don’t expect this to change. Although Chad Beebe could get some looks here with Diggs on the sideline.

NFL DFS WR: Kenny Golladay (DET) ($6900 FD|$6300 DK)

58% Reception rate. 119 Targets, 70 Receptions, nine yards per target (2018).

Golladay is a personal top play for me in week one, so he will make it into the high tier at mid range price. This Arizona team has a lot of question marks and I firmly believe they will end up being a bottom five defensive unit by the end of the regular season. Golladay has voiced his aspirations for a 100 catch season and I don’t see why I can’t put a 10 reception dent in that goal with one of the better WR/CB matchups on the slate.

NFL DFS RB: Christian McCaffrey (CAR) ($8900 FD|$8800 DK)

86% Reception rate. 124 Targets, 107 Receptions, seven yards per target (2018).

CMC was the top pick on my running back breakdown if you had the chance to read that. He is one of the most utilized backs in the league and offers one of the highest usage percentages of any player. He has a snap share of 94.5% and is a staple in the red zone. Go ahead and lock him in.

NFL DFS RB: Saquon Barkley (NYG) ($9200 FD|$9000 DK)

75% Reception rate. 121 Targets, 91 Receptions, six yards per target (2018).

I’m hearing some chatter for a Saquon Barkley fade and I just don’t see it. Yes, the Cowboys have a great defense and they will likely improve in 2019. One thing that is being overlooked is the NYG improvements on their offensive line. They signed Kevin Zeitler at right guard, probably their weakest spot on the Oline prior to the signing. Zeitler is allowing one QB pressure per 58 passing snaps. I will prioritize CMC over Barkley but I still think Barkley is a good option.

Mid Tier

NFL DFS WR: Cooper Kupp (LAR) ($6800 FD|$5700 DK)

71% Reception rate. 56 Targets, 40 Receptions, 10 yards per target (2018).

Cooper Kupp went out on November 11th last year with a knee injury so his stats aren’t as appealing as the others. But he draws an excellent matchup against the Panthers and is one of Goff’s favorite weapons. You should also consider Robert Woods who is also in a good spot.

NFL DFS WR: Tyler Lockett (SEA) ($6800 FD|$6000 DK)

79% Reception rate. 77 Targets, 61 Receptions, 14 yards per target (2018).

This should be one of the more popular plays on the slate as Russell Wilson doesn’t have a ton of options to throw to (not that he ever did) but manages to get it in done week in and out. He draws a favorable matchup against B.W. Webb of the Bengals. Will Dissly serves as a pivot/punt in larger GPP’s.

NFL DFS WR: Chris Godwin (TBB) ($6900 FD|$6200 DK)

62% Reception rate. 95 Targets, 59 Receptions, nine yards per target (2018).

Same thing I talked about with Mike Evans. Matchup made in heaven against the 49er’s secondary. I don’t believe he will out perform big Mike but he certainly has upside here.

Low Tier/Punts

NFL DFS WR: Cole Beasley (BUF) ($4800 FD|$3600 DK)

76% Reception rate. 91 Targets, 69 Receptions, eight yards per target (2018).

He draws one of the worst cover corners in the game while lining up in the slot (Brian Poole) and reports coming out of Buffalo suggest Allen and Beasley have great chemistry. This was one of the missing pieces and now Josh Allen has a receiver who can serve as a great relief valve when defenses are amping up the pressure.

NFL DFS WR: Chad Beebe (MIN) ($4800 FD|$3000 DK)

No numbers in 2018 for Beebe but this is a name you should remember going into week one. Diggs should sit and this kid crushed it through the pre season and camp. Beebe is my sleeper punt play of the week and he’s off of everyone’s radar.

NFL DFS WR: Willie Snead IV (BAL) ($4800 FD|$4000 DK)

64% Reception rate. 101 Targets, 65 Receptions, seven yards per target (2018).

Aside from Mark Andrews, Snead should be a prime target for Lamar Jackson. I believe he’s good for 5-6 catches for 60 yards and one TD.

NFL DFS WR: Chris Conley (JAC) ($4500 FD|$3100 DK)

58% Reception rate. 55 Targets, 32 Receptions, six yards per target (2018).

For those that overlooked it, Conley and Foles actually practiced together in Kansas City for a year in 2016. There is talk of excellent chemistry between the two coming out of camp and Conley serves as a cheap pivot away from Dede Westbrook or Keelan Cole. Boost to Conley if Marquie Lee sits on Sunday.

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Adam Thielen Featured Image via Keith Allison

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