Tag:

Max Scherzer

6/30 MLB DFS Podcast With The King And the Weatherman

Scott Engel 5 years ago

written by Scott Engel

Scott Engel and Mark Paquette get into the full MLB schedule on the 6/30 MLB DFS Podcast. They break down the Sunday slate on DraftKings and FanDuel. Making pitching decisions will not be easy and there are a few notable stacks to choose from.

6/30 MLB DFS Podcast Pitching Notes

The big question is whether to spend up for Max Scherzer at an astronomical price. Gerrit Cole is an alternative, but will a Houston starter disappoint for a second consecutive day? Robbie Ray could be your prime choice if you want to spend a bit less.

6/30 MLB DFS Podcast Hitting Notes

The Astros are looking nearly complete again, and Jose Altuve is at a great price on DraftKings. You really have to spend up for Cleveland bats. Toronto offers a quality option or two. Should you really consider Royals and Padres stacks?

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

DFS Pitching/Monkey Knife Fight Picks: Max Effort

Mark Paquette 5 years ago

written by Mark Paquette

it is a 14 game schedule for this last Sunday in June as the Red Sox “host” the Yankees across the pond at 10 am. Will today’s ace (Max Scherzer) disappoint like last night’s (Justin Verlander) did? The odds say no, but also Coors will likely have more than eight runs scored. Something has to give when it comes to designing your DFS lineups today. It is going to be very difficult to make a choice between spending on Max and spending on Coors bats. And we have other aces to chose from as well!

Upper-Tier DFS Arms

Max Scherzer, Nationals at Tigers ($12,500 FD, $12,300 DK): This just might be the highest price tags on a player/pitcher that you will see this year. So it comes down to this: do you pay up for Scherzer and require an ace start out of him (anything less and your day is likely done)? Or do you find a more affordable arm and try to get some big Coors bat in? Decisions, decisions today for sure! What makes this start for Max even more interesting is Scherzer hasn’t started at Comerica Park since joining the Nationals in 2015. The last time this ace faced his former team was his 20-strikeout game in ’16. Scherzer is 5-0 with a 0.97 ERA with three straight double-digit strikeout starts in the month of June. Scherzer certainly has to be in your cash-game consideration.

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Gerrit Cole, Mariners at Astros ($11,200 FD, $11,900 DK): This is not much of a discount today for sure! The last time Cole and Scherzer pitched on the same day, I chose to take the discount with Cole and spent up a bit for bats. That really did not work out for me. And I do not think that works out for you today either. Obviously, he is in play every time he takes the mound but today I am considering him GPP-only. Cole has posted a quality start in each of his past six games, with a 2.19 ERA and 51 strikeouts in 37 innings in that span. He has pitched great recently, coming off a stretch where he has allowed two earned runs or less in eight of his last nine starts. He already has 151 strikeouts on the season and 300 is not an impossibility.

Middle-Tier DFS Arms

Blake Snell, Rangers at Rays ($8,500 FD, $8,000 DK): Oh how the mighty have fallen. Look at that price on DK, talk about savings. He is obviously a GPP-only choice here with how the results have been recently. But the upside is still there. Advanced statistics (K%: 31.6% in ’18, 31.7% this season, xFIP: .316 in ’18 vs. 3.20 in ’19) tell us that Snell is no different than he was last year. Our eyes tell us something else. He is not a choice for the faint of heart (or cash-game players).

Robbie Ray, Diamondbacks at Giants ($9,600 FD, $10,000 DK): It is debatable as to whether he should be considered middle-tier or upper-tier, Ray is beginning to pitch like a potential ace. Ray has nine punch-outs in each of his last two starts and it seems a 15 K game is just around the corner. He has good history against both the Giants and at this park, going 5-1 with a 3.01 ERA in 13 career starts, including 4-1 with a 2.34 ERA in six outings at Oracle Park. Even through his struggles earlier in the year, Ray has remained consistently able to throw strike three. He’s averaging 11.8 strikeouts per nine innings, 0.3 short of his NL-leading average from 2017.

Bargain Basement DFS Arm

Andrew Heaney, Athletics at Angels ($7,400 FD, $7,500 DK): When you look at cheap pitchers, you at least want some upside. And the easiest way to fantasy points are strikeouts. And with Heaney, we have a cheap pitcher with strikeout potential, with 36 strikeouts in 30.2 innings pitched on the year. It is an afternoon game in Anaheim, so the shadows and bright sunshine can make the ball more difficult to pick up from the batters’ perspective and this could give Heaney an edge.

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day

Joc Pederson, Cody Bellinger, Max Muncy over 1.5 HRs

The old saying is scared money does not make money. So let’s go back to where some people may be scared away from today, Coors Field. With only eight runs scored there last night. some people got burned there (I did! I did!) 90 degrees in the middle of the day with very little wind? Sounds like a good recipe for HRs. Oh, did I mention someone named Chi-Chi is pitching for the Rockies? I thought he was a golfer from the 80s.

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

DFS Pitching Picks for 6/25: Max Cash

Jared Contestabile 5 years ago

written by Jared Contestabile

Max Scherzer @ Miami Marlins

DraftKings $12,400, FanDuel $12,200

A pitcher in Miami is always someone to look at for DFS purposes. Seeing that it’s Mad Max makes it 10x sweeter. Miami is already a pitcher’s ballpark and getting someone who has one of the highest upsides in all of MLB is that much prettier. On the road this season Scherzer holds a 2.76 ERA and a dazzling 13.01 K/9. He also has been completely dominant (.206 BAA) against righties with a 13.22 K/9. There’s zero reason to pivot off Scherzer here in DFS cash games. You can make a case for it in GPPs, but I wouldn’t even do it then on this slate.

Gerrit Cole vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

DraftKings $11,500, FanDuel $11,500

Cole has had a shaky season to say the least. Sometimes he seems untouchable and then he just blows up the next time out. He has been a tad worse ERA wise at home, but most of that is him giving up the long ball. Like Max Scherzer, Cole has amazing K/9 numbers sitting at a 14.30 K/9 at home. The Pirates don’t have a ton of strikeouts, but they do have the ability to swing and miss with the best of them. As a great DFS pivot off Schrezer for GPPs, I love Cole. As for cash, Scherzer is still the DFS play for me.

Jack Flaherty vs. Oakland Athletics

DraftKings $7,900, FanDuel $7,900

This DFS price is a complete joke. At home this season Flaherty holds a 2.49 ERA with a 10.15 K/9. This DFS price is completely reflective on his road ERA (6.68) and I’m taking full advantage. I’ll say this, Flaherty is a stone cold lock for me on DraftKings in all formats for my SP2 and is in strong consideration on FanDuel if I wanna pay down. Flaherty does struggle against lefties, but Oakland isn’t really lefty heavy and the ones they have down really care me. Against righties this season he holds a .206 BAA and a 11.49 K/9. Lock, lock, lock, lock.

Trevor Richards vs. Washington Nationals

DraftKings $8,000, FanDuel $7,800

This would be a DFS SP2 option if for some reason you haven’t fallen in love with Flaherty or you would like a pivot. Like I said before, I love playing pitchers in Miami because of the ballpark. The Nationals offense to me at least isn’t too scary, especially in Miami. He has a respectable 3.76 ERA at home with a 6.66 K/9. This is just a safe 15 DK point DFS option for me if Flaherty scares you off.

5 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports

6/25 MLB DFS Podcast With Jason Mezrahi & Matt Striker

Jason Mezrahi 5 years ago

written by Jason Mezrahi

DFS PROS Jason Mezrahi and Matt Striker are featured in the 6/25 MLB DFS Podcast. Listen to get caught up on who they are planning to play tonight. They break down the large 15-game slate and Matt tries to explain how he feels about the New York Mets.

Is Max Worth Top Dollar?

The first decision you have to make on this slate is to pay up for the top end pitching or not. Max Scherzer and Gerrit Cole are the clear-cut aces, but you will have to pay to play. There are value guys but they each garner some risk. Madison Bumgarner, Robbie Ray, Jack Flaherty, Chris Bassitt, and Andrew Heaney can present some value. They all make sense if you can stomach putting your money at risk. Is it worth it when you know Mad Max is staring you down with two different colored eyes? So listen closely to the 6/25 MLB DFS Podcast to find the hidden gems on the Daily Fantasy Baseball Slate.

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Click play below to listen to the 6/25 MLB DFS Podcast.

Above all, thank you for listening. Follow Win Daily DFS on twitter @WinDailyDFS. Please check out everything that Win Daily DFS has to offer by becoming a premium member. New articles, projection models and data are being added frequently. Check out our private Win Daily Slack Channel, as it provides one on one coaching for all sports and all platforms. Channels are set up for MLB, PGA, NASCAR, WNBA, CFL, NBA, and NFL. Our Handicappers have one channel dedicated to sports betting and one dedicated to Monkey Knife Fight . We provide winners to cash in on daily. So don’t miss another day and join now! We have a special promo for a limited time only to sign up for a full 12 months at only $199.99. If not try our monthly plan for $19.99 which are both 50% off our regular price.

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

MLB DFS Winners and Losers: Corbin, Snell and More

Ethan Thiel 5 years ago

written by Ethan Thiel

There was a full slate of games on Wednesday, June 19th. We actually played 16 games as the Phillies and Nationals had a doubleheader. Snell had one of the worst starts of his career while Corbin bounced back after a few tough starts and a couple of rainouts. Points and salaries are based on DraftKings. I covered the early games here and my fellow colleague, Mark Paquette, covered the late games.

Early Winner

Patrick Corbin ($8,200)

Corbin started the first of two games against the Phillies Wednesday and pitched really well. He pitched seven full innings while striking out eight and giving up only one earned run. He gave up four hits, three walks, and one solo home run. This was a good bounce-back performance for Corbin, who has not pitched well lately. He gave up 16 earned runs on 22 hits over his last 12 innings. He improved to 6-5 on the year and his ERA is now at 3.90. His WHIP is at 1.20 and his K/9 is in good shape at 9.95.

Corbin’s Outlook

Corbin’s next projected start will come at home against the Atlanta Braves on Sunday, June 23rd. The Braves’ offense has been good all year, averaging 5.41 runs per game and nearly 7.5 in the month of June. Their June team batting average of .293 trails only the Rockies and they have hit more home runs than any other team in that span with 37. They have been susceptible to the strikeout, though, and rank seventh in that category in June. The Braves’ offense has been too good to think Corbin can back this great start up with another one. We will be looking elsewhere for pitcher points come Sunday.

Early Loser

Blake Snell ($9,500)

Blake Snell had one of the roughest outings for a starting pitcher we have seen all year. He was only able to get one Yankee out while giving up six earned runs on two hits and four walks. Snell gave up a homer to Gary Sanchez. He netted a horrible -14.85 points. We know the Yankees’ lineup is starting to shape up, but this was more of a control problem than anything as shown with the four walks. Snell had been good going into Wednesday and had an ERA of 3.70 to go with a WHIP of 1.17. His K/9 was at a healthy 12.07.

Snell’s Outlook

Snell might not find his next start to be much easier as he faces off agaisnt the Minnesota Twins, on the road, on Tuesday June 25th. The Twins have scored more runs this year than any other team and average nearly six a game. They also lead the league in team batting average and home runs. Snell should be plenty rested but expecting a bounce-back performance agaisnt the top offense in baseball is asking a bit too much. We will be staying away for his start in Minnesota.

Late Winners

Max Scherzer($11,700)/Mike Trout ($4,800): It is so easy to write-up two of the best players in the game, but on the roll these guys are on, what the heck! Trout has homered in three of his last four games and is up to 22 on the year. His on-base percentage is an absurd .462 and .474 for the month of June. He is the best player in the game. Scherzer is making a case of regaining the crown of best pitcher in the league. He is simply on a dominant roll, making his “struggles” of early in the season a distant memory. In his previous three June starts (not including last night’s gem) he was 3-0 with a 1.23 ERA, 34 strikeouts, 12 hits allowed and three walks over 22 innings.

Scherzer’s and Trout’s Outlooks:

Only an injury can slow these two behemoths down. Well….maybe not even that! A full-blown shiner from a broken nose did not bother Scherzer in the least last night.

Late Losers

Texas pitching staff/bullpen (minus Lance Lynn and Mike Minor): Last season, Globe Life Park was the best park to score runs in and was the third easiest to hit a home run in. This season it is currently middle of the pack in both categories, but as the brutal summer heat begins to build (the last two games were the first pair in 90 degree heat) and continues through September, expect the rankings to return to their normal place at the top of the list. This spells trouble for next few months for arms in Texas (and visiting teams too) while bats should feast. Oh, did I mention that Texas has one of the worst bullpens in the league?

Texas Outlook:

Look for Texas bats, such as Joey Gallo when he is healthy, Nomar Mazara, Rougned Odor and Elvis Andrus to only get better while the time to pick on arms on Texas in DFS contests is here! Globe Life Park might be the second-most common park to stack in the rest of the season, only behind Coors (of course). And do not ignore the visiting team when they come into town either!

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

DFS Pitching and Monkey Knife Fight Picks for 6/14

Cora Baylis 5 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

Fridays are undoubtedly my favorite DFS day of the week and it’s clear that MLB realizes this is their prime day. All 30 teams are in action every Friday night and each game starts within a three-hour span. That’s a DFS players dream and it makes our job so much easier. That makes variables like lineup changes and weather so much simpler to navigate through, but you still need to check in with Mark Paquette about forecasts before submitting lineups. We also got some free Monkey Knife Fight Picks at the end and I’m 8-3 over my last 11 selections!

We have some fantastic premium tools at the site too and you can see even more of that here.

Cash Game Plays of the Day

Gerrit Cole, HOU vs. TOR

DK ($11.900) FD ($12,000)

Cole was actually my MKF pick and cash game play last week and his 14 Ks to show us that we made the right choice. The simple fact is, this dude is whiffing bats at an unsightly pace. Not only does he lead the Majors with 130 strikeouts, Cole is also at the top of the hill with a 39 percent K rate. That’s simply one of the best marks in Major League history and it makes him one of the best DFS plays every single time he toes the rubber. Facing Toronto is simply the icing on the cake, with the Blue Jays ranked 27^th in runs scored, 21^st in K rate and 28^th in OPS. That’s why the Houston righty enters this game as a –270 favorite.

Max Scherzer, WSH vs. ARI

DK ($11.500) FD ($11,600)

Cole isn’t the only guy who’s sending batters back to the dugout with their heads shaking, as Scherzer is quite the strikeout king in his own right. In fact, Scherzer is currently second in the league in total Ks, sitting just four back of Cole. His swing-and-miss stuff is actually more reliable than Cole too, with Scherzer posting a 32 percent K rate dating back to 2015 while providing a FIP south of 3.00 in that same span. The reason I have Cole ranked higher is because Scherzer has the much tougher matchup. Arizona has sneakily been one of the best offenses in the league but they really don’t have any bats that necessarily make me want to fade Mad Max. He still enters this matchup as a –200 favorite with Arizona projected for about 3.5 runs.

Mid-Tier Pitcher Options

Trevor Richards, MIA vs. PIT

DK ($9,000) FD ($8,700)

Richards is a guy who I’ve been using all year and recent results are finally paying some dividends. Over his last four starts, Richards is pitching to a 1.09 ERA and 0.81 WHIP while striking out 24 batters across 24.2 innings. That’s simply elite production and it’s no surprise when you consider that he gets to work in one of the best pitcher’s parks in the Majors. Facing Pittsburgh is simply the cherry on top, with the Pirates ranking 20^th in runs scored, 23^rd in xwOBA and 24^th in xSLG. Vegas expects this to be a pitching duel too, with the Pirates projected for only four runs in spacious Marlins Park.

Kyle Gibson, MIN vs. KC

DK ($9,300) FD ($8,300)

Gibson has really surprised me so far this season and it’s hard to argue with the results. Much like Richards, Gibson is playing his best baseball of the season right now. In fact, the Twins righty is posting a 3.25 ERA and 1.15 WHIP over his last nine starts while striking out 59 batters across 52.2 innings. That K rate is especially impressive, as it’s clear that Gibson is really adapting to this new swing-happy environment. Facing Kansas City is nothing we need to worry about either, with the Royals sitting 23^rd in runs scored, 25^th in xSLG and 24^th in xwOBA. Minnesota’s recent form puts Gibson in a great spot for a win too, entering this game as a –220 favorite.

Eduardo Rodriguez, BOS at BAL

DK ($8,000) FD ($8,500)

This is the ultimate tournament play, as Rodriguez has sky-high K-upside in a matchup like this. We’re talking about a nasty southpaw who has posted a 26 percent K rate in three-straight seasons, which is all you can ask for from a player in this price range. He becomes particularly intriguing against an offense that ranks 19^th in K rate, 25^th in runs scored and last in xwOBA. Vegas understands all of these statistics and that’s why Rodriguez enters this game as a –210 favorite.

Value Options

Adam Plutko, CLE at DET

DK ($7,200) FD ($7,600)

I always target the Tigers when picking pitchers and Plutko makes for a fantastic, cheap option. It’s easy to see why when looking at the Tigers statistics, with the Motor City Kitties ranking 29^th K rate, 27^th in wOBA and last in runs scored. That’s why they’re always worth picking on, as any pitcher is in play against them. It’s not like Plutko has been terrible either, with the Indians righty pitching to a .318 xwOBA and 1.04 WHIP so far this season. He enters this matchup as a –160 favorite, making him a heck of a value in the $7,500-range.

Chris Bassitt, OAK vs. SEA

DK ($7,800) FD ($7,500)

Bassitt has quietly been extremely consistent this season and we have to like him against a struggling offense like this. The Oakland righty has allowed three runs or fewer in all but one of his nine starts this season, pitching to a 3.57 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. In addition, Bassitt has matched his 53 innings pitched with 53 Ks, which simply means he’s outperforming this price tag. Seattle’s season-long numbers may be concerning to some but this is a club that ranks bottom-10 in K rate, runs scored and OBP since the beginning of May. Hitting in Oakland Coliseum certainly won’t help those ugly offensive numbers, with that park ranking Top 5 in park factor for pitchers. All of these factors have made Bassitt a –195 favorite in this game, with Seattle projected for only four runs.

Monkey Knife Fight Picks of the Day

Gerrit Cole Over 7.5 Strikeouts

Ok, what is going on here? We recommended this exact same prop last week but it was 8.5 strikeouts. He rewarded us with a 14-K performance against the Orioles and there’s no reason why this number should have dropped. We’re talking about a guy with a 39 percent K rate facing one of the worst offenses in the league and it wouldn’t be surprising to see him reach double-digit Ks once again.

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Chris Bassitt over 5.5 Strikeouts

Bassitt’s strikeout numbers have been down the last few starts but facing the Astros and Angels did that to him. Bassitt had at least six Ks in all six of his starts to begin the year, posting a K rate close to 30 percent in that span. He becomes very intriguing against a team who ranks 29^th in K rate, hitting in a pitcher’s haven.

5 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports

Podcast for 6/14 with our CEO & Founder Jason Mezrahi

Jason Mezrahi 5 years ago

written by Jason Mezrahi

Podcast for 6/14 with our CEO & Founder Jason Mezrahi. Jason switches it up on us today and goes solo for an early morning quick-hitting breakdown of the Friday night MLB DFS Slate. He narrows the pitcher player pool down for us, along with providing his favorite stacks and strategies.

5 years ago 0 comment

Newer Posts

Older Posts

Max Scherzer

6/30 MLB DFS Podcast With The King And the Weatherman

6/30 MLB DFS Podcast Pitching Notes

6/30 MLB DFS Podcast Hitting Notes

DFS Pitching/Monkey Knife Fight Picks: Max Effort

Upper-Tier DFS Arms

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Middle-Tier DFS Arms

Bargain Basement DFS Arm

DFS Pitching Picks for 6/25: Max Cash

6/25 MLB DFS Podcast With Jason Mezrahi & Matt Striker

Is Max Worth Top Dollar?

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