Today’s edition of Aces and Bases focuses ONLY on FanDuel’s 10-game MLB DFS Main Slate for 7:05PM ET, hopefully finding you some green screens!
There are some weather issues tonight but we can exploit that by playing at least one pitchers folks might stay away from because of the PPD threat in Yankee Stadium.
Cole was brilliant in his last start and there’s nobody (except possibly Brandon Woodruff) with the upside he carries into this matchup. It’s the Red Sox, so it’s not an easy task, but he’s carried a 33.5% K rate into the All-Star break and could easily hit double digit Ks against this bunch. The only thing that worries me is the weather, so be ready to pivot to Woodward or another high-priced option like Anthony Desclafani in cash games if it gets to be a tighter window of clean weather.
The price on Castillo does not reflect his consistency this season or the ceiling that he has in MLB DFS. Again — the biggest problem I have with using him is weather, and if the chances for a delay are low enough I’ll take that chance in some GPPs. Castillo struggled with his command all day against the Brewers in his last outing, needing 102 pitches just to get through 5.1IP, but he did rack up 6 Ks. I think he’ll right some of that ship in another crack at this not-very-scary Brewers lineup.
Eovaldi handles the Yankees quite well, scoring 46 points (June 4 outing @NYY: 6.0 IP, 7 Ks, 1 ER) and 48 points (June 28 outing vs. NYY: 7.2 IP, 6 Ks, 1 ER) in his last two appearances facing the Bombers — who are missing some firepower tonight and are still stocked with plenty of right-handed batters. Adam Strangis discusses some of that upside in his must-read 7/17 Starting Rotation article, and I’m buying into that upside as a reasonably priced GPP option. Ownership should be low and I still think Eovaldi could get to double digit strikeouts as long as they finish this before the rain comes.
The Dodgers in Coors Field are going to be the highest owned stack, but let’s consider the Padres. It’s fun to pick on Patrick Corbin, and the red-hot Padres lineup looks ready to go again tonight — but only if the weather cooperates. The smart-money weather sharps are projecting a late start and completed game, but we’ll have to double check before lineup lock to see if that’s still the case. Getting Fernando Tatis Jr. ($4,300), Manny Machado ($3,800), Tommy Pham ($2,900) and Wil Myers ($2,500) into my stack would be the top priority.
There’s no threat of bad weather and the Angels are loaded with value in this matchup against hittable Yusei Kikuchi. Aside from the mopre expensive Shohei Ohtani ($4,500) and Jared Walsh ($3,500), we can find lots of value in David Fletcher ($2,900), Max Stassi ($2,800) and Taylor Ward ($2,500). I’d probably try a few different combinations to mix things up, but I like that five-player pool of bats on this “other” LA team tonight.
I’m not convinced the Braves won’t just rock Josh Fleming off the mound early tonight and I’m really interested in starting the big righty bats, including switch-hitting Ozzie Albies ($3,700), Dansby Swanson ($3,300) and Austin Riley ($3,100), with lefty 1B Freddie Freeman ($4,100) finishing off the four-man stack. Ownership will be low but these guys have massive upside in this matchup. Catcher Kevan Smith is also really cheap at $2,200.
Good luck tonight, and make sure you utilize the MLB Projection models to land on your one-offs and off-the-wall value plays!
Two elite arms on Friday’s schedule are Cash Game worthy. There’s at least four pitchers who sit on the cusp of CG status. However, the 9/13 DFS Pitching Picks is most intrigued by the punt option.
I think I made myself sick with that thought.
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Sunday’s 76-point performance was the 13th straight start that Cole has scored at least 40 points at FanDuel. He’s averaged at least 52 FD points in his last five starts. Cole also enters tonight with at least 10 strikeouts in eight of his last 10 starts and is just 19 Ks away from the 300 mark. Oddly enough, the Royals are one the few teams he’s slipped against this season, allowing four earned runs over 6.1 innings in his only previous appearance them. He did happen to fan nine before departing.
Cole is striking a sick, sick, sick 39.4% of the batters he’s faced along with 6.53 K/BB rate. He’s dropped his xFIP to 2.51 with SIERA of 2.67. Only eight pitchers have a better DRA- (Deserved Run Average Minus) than Cole’s 2.64. Kansas City’s projected lineup will have at least four players with better than 100 strikeouts this season with only three with above-average Deserved Runs Created+ Even with Jorge Soler’s 43 homers and Hunter Dozier’s breakout campaign, the Royals are lagging near the bottom of the American League in most offensive categories while also playing in a park that is strongly tilted toward pitchers.
In short, Cole’s easily the best Cash Game arm on the night. The Ks will be there in spades.
Scherzer still put up 52 points for his FanDuel users despite pitching just six innings. He reportedly “felt good” during a bullpen session on Tuesday, which is good news as he faces a Braves team that he limited to two hits and one earned run when he pitched in Atlanta last Sunday.
Only four pitchers — including teammate Stephen Strasburg — has a better PWARP than Scherzer’s 5.72. He leads all qualified starters with a 2.28 FIP and has lowed his BB/9 to a career-low 1.75. He has allowed a homer in four straight starts, but continues to fan batters at a 35% rate. What makes him almost a stone lock for Cash Game consideration every time out is also his ability to induce grounders (41.6%) better than he allows fly balls (38%), an underrated trait in this offensive frenzy of a season. The Braves offer an imposing lineup, yet Scherzer has held opponents to a .218 batting average while posting a 114:20 K:BB rate at home.
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Kershaw has been a Cash Game letdown of late, finishing with a combined 18.05 FanDuel points in his last two starts. With the NL West already clinched, there’s also the likelihood that the Dodgers could ease Kershaw’s workload. Those two reasons are why I can’t put Kershaw into a Cash Game format. He’s also lost his last three starts, approaching the 100-pitch count in his last two despite not reaching the sixth inning.
Blip or not, Kershaw has been hittable in his last two starts, allowing eight earned runs and three homers. The strikeouts are still there (12 over nine innings), yet his FB/GB rate has been 24:15, quite unusual for a hurler who has a 48.3% GB rate and allows fly balls at a 33.1% clip. The Mets did tag him for 10 hits and three earned runs over six innings on May 27. That memory also offers another reason why Kershaw is sitting at GPP status. The cost is too damn high to expect him to suddenly have his A-stuff when he’s been hovering around D+ of late.
Like his equally high-profile mound opponent, Syndergaard has been erratic of late. His ERA is above 4.00 for the first time since July 30 after allowing four earned runs over five innings against the Phillies last Sunday. It feels like Syndergaard has a brilliant outing only to have a letdown the following start. He pitched seven shutout innings against the Giants in his previous start before the Phils. However, he had come off of allowing nine earned runs in three innings against the White Sox.
Syndergaard is keeping the ball down (32.9% fly ball rate), a huge trait when facing Dodgers lumber. That’s allowed him to maintain an 11.8% HR/FB rate, a number further enhanced by the fact Syndergaard has allowed a 30% hard contact rate to opposing batters. There’s also the issue of who’s behind the plate. Syndergaard wants either Tomas Nido or Rene Rivera to catch him, but the Mets may go with Wilson Ramos’ offense rather than either of the two defensive-minded backstops. If Syndergaard gets his wish, he might border on Cash Game, but is best suited here.
Consider this striking while the iron is hot. Castillo gets a reeling Diamondbacks offense that managed just four runs in losing all four critical games at the Mets. Prior to Thursday, Arizona was a hitting a combined .199/.290/.321 over the previous six games, averaging over 10 batters’ strikeouts per game.
Castillo has four straight starts of at least 20 points at DraftKings and should be a solid play tonight. He has struck out 29 batters in his last 19.2 innings and offers an odd stat: Castillo has a very low 26.7% fly ball rate but has an 18% HR/FB rate. Don’t let that bother you when considering Castillo tonight. He could be one of higher scoring pitchers on the evening.
Morton has bounced back nicely since being smoked by the Astros on August 27. Since then, he’s produced consecutive starts of 43 points for his FanDuel users. His 30.4% strikeout rate is going to be challenged by an Angels lineup that has the third-fewest batters strikeouts in the majors.
Alcantara has quietly ripped off four straight starts of at least 30 FanDuel points, striking out at least seven in each. He’s got an 0.92 WHIP in his last seven starts while holding batters to a .209 average since the All-Star Break. His 4.09 BB/9 rate remains an issue, but the increased strikeout rate makes him a sneaky good play against a so-so San Francisco offense in a heavily-favored pitcher’s park.
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We have a nice full schedule tonight on this 8/27 MLB DFS slate, including the Red Sox at Colorado with Rick Porcello on the mound. With a lot of top tier starters going it will be important, especially on DraftKings, to find value at the SP2 position to create enough flexibility to roster a competitive lineup. So, with NFL right around the corner, and an incredibly busy day ahead of me, I bring you today’s top pitching plays.
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JustinVerlander vs. Tampa Bay Rays
$12,300 FD / $12,000 DK
Verlander is the top dawg on this 8/27 MLB DFS slate, even if not necessarily getting the best matchup. Although the Rays are one of the better offenses versus RHPs, they still strike out 22 percent of the time. The last time Verlander faced the Rays he allowed one earned run over seven innings while fanning nine. The price is high, but so is the safe upside.
Walker Buehlervs. San Diego Padres
$11,600 FD / $11000 DK
With the Padres boasting a whopping .298 wOBA versus RHPs, and a 26.6 percent strikeout rate, Buehler is a another top dawg on this 8/27 MLB DFS slate. The last time he faced the Padres he struck out 15 batters while allowing only one earned run in a masterful complete game performance. Now factor in the has thrown three shutouts in his last seven starts and this one seems to easy.
Luis Castillovs. Miami Marlins
$11,000 FD / $10,000 DK
One of the only teams better to attack versus RHPs than the Padres, is the Marlins. They are striking out 25.5 percent of the time and are 30th in MLB in both wOBA, and wRC+. With RHBs posting a .180 average versus Castillo, and an extremely right-handed heavy lineup, Castillo should dominate tonight on this 8/27 MLB DFS slate as he goes fishing for strikeouts against this simply horrible team.
Mike Sorokavs. Toronto Blue Jays
$8,800 FD / $9,300 DK
Although I would make sure to roster at least one of the three starters listed above as my SP1 on DK for this 8/27 MLB slate, if I was to take a shot, Soroka would top the list. The Blue Jays are striking out 25.6 percent of the time versus RHPs while posting a .311 wOBA, which is 25th in MLB. Even though he gets less than a favorable park shift taking the mound in Toronto, Soroka has managed to navigate the Dodgers, Nationals, and Twins as of late which leads me to believe he can easily cage the Blue Jays tonight.
Adam Plutko vs.Detroit Tigers
$7,600 FD / $6,500 DK
With a Coors Field game on this 8/27 MLB DFS slate you are going to want to take some chances tonight and hope to hit some value so you can roster some of them big bats. Snuggled right in between the Marlins, and Padres as the worst teams in MLB facing RHPs, is the not so mighty Detroit Tigers. Despite allowing five earned runs the last time he faced this terrible lineup, over his last two starts facing the Yankees, and Mets, he has only allowed five earned runs over 12 1/3 innings while striking out eight. This may not sound that great but, for $6,500 on DK I would be more than happy with similar numbers facing a Tigers team that strikes out a lot more than both previous mentioned teams.
Adrian Houservs. St. Louis Cardinals
$7,500 FD / $5,000 DK
I know what you are thinking, why attack the Cardinals after last night? The answer is simple, especially on DK, salary. Although I would only use Houser tonight as a GPP play on FD for the price, at that $5,000 salary on DK, boy I sure salivate at the thought of that extra spending power. The last time Houser faced the Cardinals in St. Louis he only allowed one earned run over 5 1/3 innings while fanning six. Over his last three starts in general he has only allowed three earned runs over 18 1/3 innings with 20 strikeouts. This 8/27 MLB DFS slate has the potential to be an exciting one, and this could be the sleeper play of the night.
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I always look forward to writing these pitching articles and we have yet another fascinating slate here. While a lot of these pitchers are guys I haven’t used much this season, there are still some great options out there. With that in mind, let’s get into our 8/16 DFS Pitching Picks.
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I really haven’t written up Castillo a whole lot this season and that’s probably a mistake on my part. We’re talking about a complete breakout, with the Reds righty pitching to a 2.69 ERA and 1.11 WHIP this season while striking out 172 batters. That equates to an incredible 29.5 percent K rate, which is no surprise when you look at his 3.57 career xFIP.
That’s why his price has risen so much and it’s amazing just how consistent he’s been. Castillo has at least 30 FD points in 20 of his 24 starts this season. The icing on the cake is this matchup though, with the Cardinals establishing themselves as one of the worst offenses in the league. In fact, St. Louis sits 25th in runs scored, 24th in OPS, 22nd in OBP and 25th in wOBA. That’s why Castillo and the Reds enter this matchup as a –160 favorite.
Morton is easily my favorite play on the board. This dude has been downright special the last two seasons and it’s a wonder why more people aren’t taking notice. Dating back to last season, Morton is providing a 3.02 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 30 percent K rate. That’s backed up by a 3.33 xFIP and it’s amazing just how much this guy has improved.
Much like Castillo, Morton is extremely reliable too. In 25 starts this season, the Tampa Bay righty has reached at least 33 FanDuel points in 21 of those fixtures. That appears to be the floor in a matchup like this, with the Motor City Kitties ranked bottom-three in runs scored, OBP, OPS, xwOBA and K rate. That’s truly frightening in a pitcher’s park like Tropicana Field and it’s main reason why Morton and the Rays enter this matchup as a –320 favorite.
Syndergaard has been slightly disappointing for season-long fantasy owners but his recent form shows just how much talent this dude possesses. Over his last six starts, Syndergaard is pitching to a 1.91 ERA and 1.04 WHIP while striking out 44 batters across 42.1 innings of action. He also went at least seven innings in all six of those starts, which is unheard of in today’s MLB. That’s the guy that we’ve been expecting, as his 2.85 FIP and 26.3 percent career K rate for show the sort of potential he has. All of that pairs beautifully with this matchup, with the Royals ranked 26th in runs scored, 25th in OBP, 26th in OPS, 23rd in wOBA and 22nd in xwOBA. All of these factors have him entering this matchup as a –190 favorite.
Velasquez has been stellar the last month or so and it’s not indicative in his price. Over his last 49 innings pitched, Velasquez is generating a 4.04 ERA, 3.50 xFIP, 1.12 WHIP and 9.7 K/9 rate. That’s the stud we’ve been waiting for and it’s really encouraging to see him pitching so well. This guy has always shown that sort of capability, with Velasquez posting a 4.19 xFIP. 4.04 SIERA and 25.4 percent K rate for his career.
What makes him an enticing option here is this matchup, with the Padres ranked 23rd in runs scored, 23rd in OBP, 22nd in OPS, 27th in K rate and 28th in xwOBA. What makes that even scarier is the fact that they’re missing Fernando Tatis Jr and are throwing out a bunch of righties against Velasquez. For his career, VV has a .320 wOBA and 27 percent K rate against right-handed batters.
Hendricks is coming off one of his worst starts of the year but that has lowered his price enough to entice me. We’re still talking about a guy with a 3.48 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 114:27 K:BB rate facing one of the worst offenses in the league. Prior to that ugly start against a scorching-hot Reds offense, Hendricks pitched to a 2.35 ERA and 0.97 WHIP over his previous seven appearances. All of that makes him tough to fade against a Pirates offense that ranks 20th in runs scored, 20th in wOBA and 19th in xwOBA.
This is very risky when you look at Texas’ team total but there’s a lot to like here about Odorizzi. Let’s start with the Twins pitcher, as he’s in the midst of a breakout year. A 3.44 ERA and 1.22 WHIP speaks for itself but his 25.3 percent K rate is also the best mark of his career. That impressive strikeout stuff becomes very attractive against an offense like this, with the Rangers owning the worst K rate in the Majors. In addition, the Rangers also rank 19th in OBP and they simply haven’t been the same offense since Joey Gallo went down.
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Kyle Hendricks Over 4.5 Strikeouts
We had an ugly 0-2 outing in our last article, so its time to rebound with this pick. This happens to be pitching and I’m actually hitting over 70 percent with these strikeout props. While Pittsburgh is pretty good in terms of strikeouts, their weak offense should allow Hendricks to pitch into the sixth inning. As long as he does that, he will likley reach five Ks with his 21 percent K rate and good peripherals.
MKF Record 26-18
There is a wide variety of DFS MLB arms to choose from today, from aces to really good punts. On a good-sized main-slate of games, there are many places to look for pitching.
Luis Castillo, Cardinals at Reds ($10,500 FD, $11,200 DK): Castillo is the most expensive DFS MLB pitcher on the DK slate and the second most on FD. He is in a good spot but comes with risk. This will make him a GPP-only choice for me tonight. The risk is how the ballpark plays in hot weather. It lived up to its moniker of the “Great American Smallpark” last night for sure! That being said, Castillo is in the midst of a terrific year and is in a smash spot. He is starting against a team that really struggles against above-average right-handed pitchers.
Clayton Kershaw, Marlins at Dodgers ($10,800 FD, $11,000 DK): Kershaw is the reverse of Castillo in terms of DFS MLB pricing on the two sites. The Dodgers lefty ace is an excellent choice for cash games today. We saw what good pitching did to the Marlins last night and we can expect more of the same tonight. He has a 2.76 ERA in 11 career starts vs. the Marlins.
Zack Greinke, Brewers at Diamondbacks ($9,000 FD, $10,000 DK): Greinke is coming off one of his roughest outings of the year against the Cardinals. Accordingly, he has been priced down a bit for DFS MLB pitchers, especially on FD. He is cash-game worthy on both sites, the low FD price tells me that FD is daring you to use him over Kershaw. Before the last start (where he actually salvaged a respectable 21 FD fantasy points), he was cruising on the season. His WHIP remains below 1.00 even after that start and today’s matchup, which is not perfect, can be navigated. .
Jeff Samardzija, Mets at Giants ($7,600 FD, $9,100 DK): The former Notre Dame wide receiver has pitched really well recently. You can’t ask for a better matchup for a DFS MLB pitcher. He gets a struggling offense in an extreme pitcher’s park. On DK, he is on the three game slate while on FD he is on the all-day slate. Samardzija looks to keep an excellent three start stretch going. Over those three starts, he has lowered his season ERA from 4.52 to 3.93 by having a 1.66 ERA with 17 strikeouts and only three walks.
Jakob Junis, Royals at Indians ($6,400 FD, $7,900 DK): After two straight strong outings, both seven-inning starts, Junis is suddenly worthy of DFS MLB consideration. On Monday, Junis beat the White Sox, 5-2, giving up only five hits and one run while striking out a career-high 10.
Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day
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The goal is at least one HR from this trio or two for double your money. With the weather still very hot and humid in Baltimore, look for the ball to carry well and for the Red Sox to get back into the win column at Fenway South.
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It is a rather full Monday schedule for MLB DFS Pitching with 11 games on the schedule. Only 10 will be on the main DFS slate because the first game of a doubleheader between the Giants and Rockies will be played in the afternoon.
Clayton Kershaw, Dodgers at Phillies ($10,300 FD, $10,700 DK): Kershaw seems like a safe floor guy tonight and thus is a good cash-game choice. With the Dodgers coming off an extra inning victory last night at Fenway, the lefty hurler may be asked to go deeper in the game than normal. The Dodgers, with a big lead in the NL West and trying to manage Kershaw’s workload, pushed him back and this is his first start in 10 days. His last start was classic Kershaw against the Padres, allowing two runs (one earned) in seven innings with nine strikeouts. He’s 2-3 with a 4.01 ERA at Citizens Bank Park.
Luis Castillo, Reds at Cubs ($9,700 FD, $11,800 DK): Castillo also pitched an inning in the All Star game like Kershaw did. Castillo has been pitching well recently, highlighted by 7.2 innings of one-hit, one-walk baseball with nine strikeouts in his last start before the All-Star break. That performance was against a solid hitting team at home in the Brewers. Now he gets to try to tame the Cubs at Wrigley. He is probably a DFS Pitching GPP-only choice for me as I will most likely go cheap on arms and spend up on Coors bats.
Kyle Hendricks, Reds at Cubs ($8,700 FD, $9,500 DK): Hendricks has struggled in his first two starts since returning from the IL. But look for him to go deeper into the game in this one. A DFS philosophy is always look to use arms against a team leaving Coors for the first day or two as the bats have trouble adjusting to “normal conditions”. Well, the Reds are that guinea pig today and Hendricks is the arm to target if you want to test it out.
Joe Musgrove, Pirates at Cardinals ($8,300 FD, $5,800 DK): This is a DK-only MLB DFS Pitching choice considering the prices at the DFS sites. A concern here is the weather, as thunderstorms from the meteorological remains of Barry will be near the Gateway to the West. Musgrove entered the All-Star break pitching very well. Since he allowed six runs in Atlanta on June 13, the righty has posted a 1.64 ERA as the Buccos have won each of his four outings. Though the recipe did not work out yesterday with Greinke on the mound, the Cardinals have generally struggled against righties this season, ranking near the bottom in ISO, wOBA and OPS against them.
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DFS Pitching Prime Pick: Luis Castillo vs. Milwaukee Brewers
DraftKings $10,000, FanDuel $9,400
The Brewers have been really slumping lately and Castillo has been dominant all season. At home he holds a 1.92 ERA and a .160 BAA. Not to mention his 9.43 K/9. Castillo has been one of the biggest DFS Pitching surprises this year and I expect him to keep rolling in this one.
Brandon Woodruff @ Cincinnati Reds
DraftKings $9,400, FanDuel $9,800
Woodruff has the DFS Pitching upside to hang with the best in the league. He can go out and strike out a ton in any matchup. The Reds aren’t all that scary and I can easily see him strolling through this lineup very easily. Woodruff has been pretty solid against right handed bats (.221 BAA) so I’m not really worried about the majority of this lineup.
Matt Boyd @ Chicago White Sox
DraftKings $10,600, FanDuel $10,100
This is my pay up high tournament DFS Pitching upside play of the day. Boyd has been a little shaky of late, but he figured it out last time he pitched. Boyd always has that very high strikeout upside that we search for in tournaments, especially on the road. He turns it up a notch to get strikeouts as he holds a 12.90 K/9 on the road. I love him here against a White Sox team that strikes out a ton.
Hyun-Jin Ryu vs San Diego Padres
DraftKings $11,100, FanDuel $10,800
By some point you just have to realize the obvious in DFS Pitching and that is Ryu is dominant this season. At home this season he holds a 0.94 ERA and a 9.05 K/9. He has been baseball’s best arm this year and against the Padres, who are always hit or miss, I have a strong feelings they’re going to miss in this one.
Am I crazy to like Wade Miley ($8,200 DraftKings, $7,800 FanDuel) tonight? Well, I might be, but it doesn’t mean I am wrong! Every DFS player will be talking about the potential chalk in Seattle considering, Encarnacion’s ridiculous BvP stats and a solid under/over in the potential late night dagger. With that said, boy do I love going against the chalk and today, that’s what I will be doing.
But what do I see in Miley? Seattle has struck out the most in the league over their last seven days with 68. Seattle is in a slight offensive slump, ranking in the middle of the pack in most offensive categories over the past week and over the past two weeks. I love looking at the recent splits, meaning last week and previous two week splits. Baseball is a sport of muscle memory, if a team is striking out today they will likely be carrying the same bat tomorrow.
Also, Seattle has actually struggled against left-handers, as they currently own a .234 BA with a 30 % strikeout rate vs. LHPs. Miley has been pitching well as of late, averaging 47.5 FD points over his last two outings. Is Miley’s strikeout pitch officially back? I think so.
Jerad Eickhoff ($7,300 FD & 7,100 DK): Okay, so this is a slightly safer play. Eickhoff faces a S.D. team that once again is in the Top 5 % in Ks over the course of the season. With a 7.5 U/O and a reasonable salary, Eickhoff should be quite chalky tonight against the San Diego Padres.
Kyle Hendricks ($10,200 FD & 9,500 DK): In moderate sample sizes Hendricks has struggled against three Colorado Rockies, yet dominated the remaining five. If Hendricks can keep Dahl, Reynolds and Murphy from hurting him too bad, he should be in for a nice game, Hendricks has been pitching well as of late, averaging 46 FD points over his last two games. But here is the stat that matters: Kyle Hendricks has been untouchable at home so far this season, sporting a 1.29 ERA over five game starts. Hendricks has also allowed a shockingly low .194 BA to opposing hitters at home.
Hendricks has seen Colorado before and has pitched very well against the hard hitting righties in Arenado and Story. The Rockies on the road scare me a lot less than the Rockies at Coors, Kyle Hendricks is a safe play, but you will not be getting a salary discount, as his prices on both sites are pretty high.
Other approved pitchers: Luis Castillo & Kenta Maeda
Let’s go big or go home! I’ve made it pretty clear that I like Wade Miley tonight, with Seattle striking out the way they have over the past week. W’ere going to be locking the OVER for the first section. The next prop including Encarnacion is easy to me, 1.5 runs + RBI should definitely be OVER as well.
Encarnacion is batting .389 with three homers in 25 at-bats against Miley. For the third and fourth picks including Bregman and Brantley, I will be updating this article when the confirmed pitcher is announced for Seattle. With that said, the last pick including Mallex Smith, is an easy UNDER for me. Mallex should be going L/L for most of the game and if he’s not leading off, this prop is a definite under to me. Smith is currently batting .220 against lefties and is even worse against right-handed pitchers with a .186 BA. Three of these five plays are easily locked in for me, Play MLB Prop Games NOW and get 100 percent bonus.
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