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Kansas City Royals

Fantasy MLB Stacks: MLB Winning Edge for August 19

5 years ago

written by

This report will provide recommended DFS stack options for today’s nine-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks. All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you stay up to date with all our favorite plays on our DFS Cheat Sheet as well.

Teams with Highest IRT

Fantasy MLB Stack: Houston Astros**

vs. RHP Edwin Jackson (DET): 7.50 Runs

**Low Risk

Edwin Jackson has disappointed a lot of people his last few starts. He has actually fared well against struggling teams like the Red Sox and Mariners. Today is a whole different story though. Jackson has the displeasure of taking on the most talented team in MLB, the Houston Astros. The Astros are on fire right now, slashing to a .378 wOBA, .272 ISO, and 143 WRC+ against righties. Jackson maintains his 8.00+ ERA, is allowing a massive 3.40 HR/9, and has a BABIP of .331. The cards are obviously stacked against him tonight and although he has had some decent performances, I highly doubt he will have one against this Astros squad. Eat the chalk, play the Astros.

Fantasy MLB Stack: Los Angeles Angels

vs. LHP Kolby Allard (TEX): 5.80 Runs

**Moderate Risk

The Angels come in with the second highest run total today and a get a major boost at Globe Life Park. We are looking at 101 degrees first pitch. The Angel’s have struggled mightily this month, slashing to a .211 wOBA, .130 ISO, and 28 WRC+. These are awful hitting numbers are I have hard time getting here for a full stack even with a ball park boost and LHP on the mound. I do like a few pieces here. Allard has looked decent in his first two starts away from Arlington, striking out 5 or more and allowing 3 runs or less in 5 innings pitched. Texas will presumably roll out five righties against Peters, I do like the Rangers as well.

Preferred Stack: Mike Trout ($4900 FD|$5600 DK), Albert Pujols ($2900 FD|$3800 DK), Justin Upton ($3500 FD|$4500 DK), and David Fletcher ($3000 FD|$3900 DK).

Fantasy MLB Stack: Baltimore Orioles**

vs. RHP Jorge Lopez (KCR): 5.50 Runs

**High Risk

The Twins actually have the slight edge over the Orioles for implied run total but I like the O’s today for less ownership. The Orioles are hitting the best they have all season in the last two weeks, slashing to a .332 wOBA, .235 ISO, and .321 WRC+. Their offensive struggles outweigh the good days but when they are making good contact the runs seem to pour in. Jorge Lopez owns a 6.51 ERA, 5.44 FIP, and 4.64 SIERA. He is allowing 1.89 HR/9 and .321 BABIP. Not sure if I’ll get to a full stack here but I do like a few pieces.

Other Teams I Have Interest in

Fantasy MLB Stack: Minnesota Twins**

vs. RHP Ivan Nova (CHW): 5.60 Runs

**Low Risk

Fantasy Team Stack: Cincinnati Reds**

vs. LHP Eric Lauer (SDP): 5.10 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Preferred Plays: Phillip Ervin ($2500 FD|$3800 DK), Aristides Aquino ($4500 FD|$5000 DK), Eugenio Suarez ($3800 FD|$4600 DK).

Fantasy Team Stack: Kansas City Royals

vs. LHP John Means (BAL): 4.75 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Preferred Plays: Jorge Soler ($3600 FD|$5500 DK), Chelsor Cuthbert ($2500 FD|$3500 DK), Hunter Dozier ($3800 FD|$5400 DK), and Whit Merrifield ($3200 FD|$5100 DK).

Pitching

Kyle Gibson RHP (MIN): 3.80
Marco Gonzales LHP (SEA): 3.50 Runs
Wade Miley LHP (HOU): 2.60 Runs
Zac Gallen RHP (ARI): 3.90 Runs

5 years ago 0 comments

8/11 DFS Pitching Picks: A Good Day For Arm Wrestling

5 years ago

written by

Unlike Saturday’s slate, the Sunday 8/11 DFS pitching schedule brings good tidings for those who seeking top end pitchers. All three formats are well-stocked with options, including a sleeper or two that has a chance to deliver surprise numbers.

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8/11 DFS Pitching Cash Game Pitchers

Jacob deGrom, NYM vs. WSH

DK ($11,600) FD ($11,700)

deGrom has fattened the wallets of many over his last 15 starts, scoring at least 40 FanDuel points 11 times, with his 49 point effort in his previous start against the Marlins leaving him a point shy of four straight starts with at least 50 points. Obviously, starting deGrom as your SP1 will impact the coin you’ll spend on offense, but when you’re getting 11.45 K/9 with just 2.2 BB/9 while keeping the ball in the yard, you’ll spend it and do so smiling. deGrom sets the pace by hitting first pitch strikes at 66.5% and is still putting up good numbers despite not maintaining the off-the-charts pace he had in 2018.

Most pitchers will take a 4.9 WAR a this point of the season, but that — along with a RAR of 43.3 — is what deGrom carries into this contest. He’s more dominant at home in Citi Field, where deGrom has struck out 84 batters over 68 innings at home with a 3.18 ERA. He’s more unforgiving to the Nationals, holding them to an 0.75 ERA while putting together an 18:4 K/BB rate and a composite .167 allowed against them.

Justin Verlander, HOU at BAL

DK ($12,400) FD ($12,500)

Most will consider deGrom the better play, but you can’t fault anyone plugging Verlander as their SP1. JV has four straight starts of at least 58 FanDuel points and faces a Baltimore lineup bereft of quality in its lineup, a huge reason they are 24th in OPS and 25th in wRAA. He’s pushing for a second straight season of striking out at least 35% of opponents, and he’s still a legit Cy Young award candidate despite a rise in hard contact rate (40.8%) and an elevated HR/9 rate (1.68).

deGrom gets the edge because of his track record against the Nationals, but Verlander has won seven of his last eight starts and is on a four-start stretch of at least 10 strikeouts. I think you’ll get another 10-K from Verlander and another win that would give him a sixth straight win.

8/11 DFS GPP Plays

Mike Minor, TEX at MIL

DK ($9,600) FD ($9,200)

Minor hit some major turbulence in mid-July but has won his last two starts, including seven shutout innings against the Indians on Monday. One could say that Minor is having a career year, as his 31.3 RAR has already eclipsed the 29.6 RAR he recorded as a member of the Braves in 2012. He’s been inconsistent when it comes to FanDuel reduction, as his 28.95 FD points were his best output since scoring 34.55 FD against the Tigers on June 26.

The Brewers are hitting a combined .252/.312/.403 this month and are paying dearly for their all or nothing at all mindset, striking out 85 times in eight games. There is good potential for Minor to be able to exploit Milwaukee’s loss of Christian Yelich, who remains sidelined with back woes.

Lucas Giolito, CWS vs. OAK

DK ($10,600) FD ($9.800)

Giolito has at least 43 FanDuel points in three of his last four starts and has shaken off the 9 points he produced at FD against the Cubs on July 6. He’s approaching 11 strikeouts per nine innings (10.86 K/9 to date). Giolito has continued to keep opposing batters from making max impact against him (30.9% hard contact rate) and has avoided the long ball despite a 41.1% fly ball rate.

This shapes to a good matchup for Giolito, as the Athletics have seen their bats go .233/.340/.454 over the past week. Oakland’s longball or bust mentality will work agains them considering Giolito allows opposing bats to hit just .203 against him at home this season while he’s delivered 70 strikeouts over 59.1 innings. What keeps Giolito from being a cash pitcher is the uncertainty that the A’s bats get dialed in early and catch Giolito off-balance.

8/11 DFS Punt Plays

Jakob Junis, KC at DET

DK ($7,900) FD ($8,600)

Junis comes off a 37 FanDuel point outing against the Red Sox and already has starts of 37 and 34 points against the Tigers this season. There is sneaky good strikeout potential in Junis, who averages 8.46 K/9 to go along with a slightly above league average 3.12 BB/9. The Tigers’ lineup won’t be able to fully exploit Junis’ weakness (his 1.56 HR/9 rate), this despite the fact the Royals hurler sports a 42.4% hard contact rate.

There’s a chance the Tigers might get one off him, but I think Junis is capable of setting the pace early with strikeouts before getting the Detroit bats to induce ground balls as a steady clip. This is a good pairing if you’re looking to go with deGrom or Verlander in a cash league or even Giolito in a PPS format.

Monkey Knife Fight Pitching Props

For my debut in MKF, I’ll go Astros-Orioles and take the shot on Asher Wojciehowski lasting long enough to get the over on strikeouts before Houston’s lineup sends him to an early exit.

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

Daily Fantasy Stacks for MLB: Winning Edge for July 29

Paul Cuccinello 5 years ago

written by Paul Cuccinello

This report will provide recommended DFS stack options for today’s seven-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.

Daily Fantasy Stack: Cincinnati Reds

vs. RHP Alex McRae (PIT): 6.15 Runs

**Low Risk

The Reds are facing ~~Jordan Lyles,~~ who has seen better days over his last four starts. He has given up five or more runs in his last three of four games. This isn’t Coors Field, but it is close enough. Lyles carries a 5.36 ERA 4.81 FIP, and 4.43 SIERA on the year. He continues to struggle against left handed batting, allowing them to slash to a .416 wOBA, .630 SLG, and .403 OBP while allowing 28 earned runs over 31 innings pitched. I’m not huge on BvP statistics but the ~~Reds~~ ~~have seen a lot of success against Lyles. They have six players with .900 OPS or better against him.~~ The Reds are slashing to a .355, .194 ISO, and 117 WRC+ against righties the last two weeks. We’ve all come to find out Lyles was traded to the Reds so now we get Alex McRae on the mound. Same struggle to lefties, even better matchup for the Reds. I’ve upgraded this to a low risk play. You cannot beat the value here, but we do have some weather concerns.

Preferred Stack: Yasiel Puig ($3100 FD|$4400 DK), Jesse Winker ($2800 FD|$4100 DK), Eugenio Suarez ($3900 FD|$5100 DK), and Joey Votto ($3300 FD|$4000 DK). Value: Scooter Gennett ($2600 FD|$3400 DK) has been making good contact leading up to tonight’s game and he’s way too cheap on both sites.

Daily Fantasy Stack: Los Angeles Angels

vs. RHP Jordan Zimmermann (DET): 6.60 Runs

**Low Risk

Jordan Zimmermann is on the mound tonight for the Tigers and he is B-A-D. He owns a 7.57 ERA, 4.88 FIP, and 5.35 SIERA. Although he is worse vs. left handed batting, he is no angel to righties. They are slashing to a .358 wOBA, .530 SLG, and .345 OBP while he has allowed 27 earned runs over 31 innings pitched to them. Zimmermann basically allows one earned run per inning pitched so roll out the Angels with confidence this evening. They are slashing to a .315 wOBA, .205 ISO, and 99 WRC+ over the last month.

Preferred Stack: Shohei Ohtani ($4200 FD|$5200 DK), Justin Upton ($3600 FD|$4000 DK), Mike Trout ($4900 FD|$5700 DK), and Albert Pujols ($3100 FD|$4400 DK).

Daily Fantasy Stack: Los Angeles Dodgers

vs. RHP Jon Gray (LAD): 6.90 Runs

**Moderate Risk

No one is reinventing the wheel by playing either one of these teams at Coors tonight. This game will be highly owned as the Coors matchups typically are. The salaries are too high so we can’t stack both unless you’re okay with pitching Pannone and we’re not going to go there. Jon Gray has closed the gap in his splits and has actually fared decent at home. He is allowing batters to slash to a .333 wOBA, .463 SLG, and .336 OBP. He has allowed 24 earned runs and seven home runs over 55 innings pitched. Most will target the high power lefties like Max Muncy or Cody Bellinger and those plays are great, but you can easily differentiate from the field and play guys like A.J. Pollock and Justin Turner. The Dodgers are slashing to a slate high .381 wOBA, .281 ISO, and 140 WRC+ right now.

Honorable Mention

Daily Fantasy Stack: Kansas City Royals

vs. LHP Thomas Pannone (TOR): 5.25 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Preferred Plays: Jorge Soler($3100 FD|$4300 DK), Whit Merrifield ($3400 FD|$4900 DK), Hunter Dozier ($3200 FD|$4500 DK), and Chelsor Cuthbert ($2900 FD|$3800 DK).

Daily Fantasy Stack: Colorado Rockies

vs. RHP Kenta Maeda (LAD): 6.20 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Preferred Plays: Charlie Blackmon ($4500 FD|$5500 DK), David Dahl ($3400 FD|$4800 DK), Daniel Murphy ($3600 FD|$4700 DK), and Tony Wolters ($2500 FD|$3100 DK).

Pitching

Sonny Gray RHP (CIN): 4.00 Runs
Jaime Barria RHP (LAA): 3.90 Runs
Caleb Smith LHP (MIA): 3.75 Runs

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

DFS Winning Edge for 7/5: Main Slate Stack Report

Daniel Wehr 5 years ago

written by Daniel Wehr

For those not familiar, my name is Dan Wehr and I am a new author here at WinDailyDFS. This report will provide stacks that I recommend for today’s 13 game main slate. I’ve also included my favorite one offs and value plays.

Toronto Blue Jays

vs. RHP Dylan Bundy (BAL): 5.90 Runs

The Toronto side of this game will undoubtedly be on the chalkier side given how well the Jays are hitting and also how bad Dylan Bundy can be more often than not. Bundy carries 4.91 ERA, 5.29 FIP, and 4.38 SIERA. Bundy has nearly identical splits and neither are great. He carries an average of .336 wOBA, .470 SLG, and .323 OBP. Bundy is also allowing 2.03 HR/9 and 42% FB rate. Toronto is slashing to a tune of .412 wOBA, .289 ISO, 162 WRC+, and .603 SLG to right handed pitching over the last two weeks.

Atlanta Braves

vs. RHP Jordan Yamamoto (MIA): 5.95 Runs

Jordan Yamamoto has a fairly small sample size coming into tonight’s matchup against the Braves. He lucked out his first two starts, taking on a Cardinals team who had been pretty inefficient against right handed pitching leading up to those two games where he found success. Yamamoto carries 4.57 ERA, 5.60 FIP, and 4.96 SIERA into tonight’s matchup. He has tremendous splits carrying .206 wOBA, .145 SLG, and .258 OBP through 23 innings pitched. I expect regression to the mean and the Braves are hitting very well recently. The Braves are slashing .330 wOBA, .220 ISO, and .466 SLG over the last two weeks.

Washington Nationals

vs. RHP Brad Keller (KCR): 6.10 Runs

Tonight we have Brad Keller in D.C. taking on the Nationals on a very hot and humid evening. Keller carries 4.46 ERA, 4.63 FIP, and 5.39 SIERA into tonight’s game. He is pretty inconsistent but overall he looks to be decent on paper. He is only allowing 0.69 HR/9 and GB rate of 50% while only allowing 36% hard contact. His splits are identical, so we can feel good about going after guys like Anthony Rendon and Trea Turner. The Nationals are slashing to a tune of .300 wOBA, .142 ISO, and .378 SLG over the last two weeks. Look for Nat’s flyball hitters to elevate Keller’s pitches tonight.

Preferred Stack: Juan Soto $4200 FD|$5400 DK, Anthony Rendon $4400 FD|$5200 DK, Trea Turner $4000 FD|$5300 DK, and Adam Eaton $3000 FD|$3800 DK.

Honorable Mentions

Baltimore Orioles

vs. RHP Aaron Sanchez (TOR): 5.10 Runs

Preferred Stack: Chance Sisco $3500 FD|$4000 DK, Renato Nunez $3200 FD|$4100 DK, Anthony Santander $3100 FD|$3900 DK, and Trey Mancini $3600 FD|$4300 DK. Jonathan Villar on FD $3400.

Boston Red Sox

vs. LHP Gregory Soto (DET): 6.75 Runs

Preferred Stack: JD Martinez $4400 FD|$4800 DK, Xander Bogaerts $4100 FD|$5200 DK, Christian Vasquez $3000 FD|$4300 DK and Jackie Bradley Jr. $2900 FD|$3900 DK.

One-off’s and Value Plays

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

DFS: July 4th Offensive Fireworks Hitting Stacks

Wes Anderson 5 years ago

written by Wes Anderson

Thursday’s MLB action may not include a Coors Game, but there are plenty of offenses to stack in DFS. We have four stacks to target as you assemble your Daily Fantasy Sports entries.

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Minnesota Twins

I am pretty sure the Oakland Athletics pushed Tanner Anderson’s start back a day just so he could help put on a fireworks show. Anderson has a 7.13 ERA this season, while allowing a robust 48.3% hard contact rate. The high amount of hard contact has led to home runs, as he is allowing 2.04 HR/9. With the Twins leading all of baseball in home runs hit, this seems like an appropriate spot to stack some Twinkies in DFS.

Anderson has been awful against lefties. He has allowed a .473 wOBA and 4.91 HR/9. So of course, we want to load up on the left-handed Twins. So our Minnesota stacks will need to start with Max Kepler (FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $4,600). Kepler has an ISO north of .330 versus right-handed pitching. Other Twins bats worth considering are: Jason Castro (FanDuel: $2,600 DraftKings: $3,800) and Jorge Polanco (FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $4,500). These two bats have ISOs above .240 versus righties in 2019.

Detroit Tigers

The Tigers’ offense is not normally in a position to stack. In fact, it has been good to our bank accounts to use starting pitchers against them. But this is just how bad the White Sox’s Lopez is. Lopez has a .5.12 SIERA and a low 10% swinging strike rate. He is not missing many bats and this is a perfect spot for us to pick on while we build DFS lineups.

Look to use the Tigers’ offense as a cheap stack to help load up on bats from Minnesota or one of these other teams. But target the likes of Brandon Dixon (FanDuel: $2,800 DraftKings: $4,300) and Gordon Beckham (FanDuel: $2,300 DraftKings: $3,300). All of these Tigers’ bats have ISOs over .200 against right-handed pitching this season.

Atlanta Braves

The Phillies’ Zach Eflin is not a terrible pitcher but he is not elite with his SIERA being 1.3 higher than his ERA. That means some regression is coming and it likely is coming today. Not only does Eflin struggle on the road with a 4.64 xFIP, but the Braves’ lineup is stacked with guys that crush righties. The Atlanta Braves have seven guys with regular at bats that are posting .200-plus ISOs against right-handed pitchers.

Of course, start your Atlanta DFS stack with Freddie Freeman (FanDuel: $4,400 DraftKings: $5,000). But you can also mix and match the likes of: Austin Riley (FanDuel: $3,400 DraftKings: $4,500), Josh Donaldson (FanDuel: $3,000 DraftKings: $4,000), Tyler Flowers (FanDuel: $2,500 DraftKings: $3,600), Dansby Swanson (FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $4,500), Brian McCann (FanDuel: $2,600 DraftKings: $3,400) and Ronald Acuna Jr (FanDuel: $4,300 DraftKings: $5,400). All four of these Braves batters have accumulated at least a .200 ISO versus right-handed pitching.

Kansas City Royals

The Royalsand Indians game should have plenty of fireworks from both offenses and may bea great spot to game stack for DFS purposes. But if you have to chose just oneside, the Royals’ offense is the way to lean. The Indians’ Zach Plesac has a5.01 SIERA and a 5.13 xFIP in 2019. He also is allowing flyballs at a rate of42.4% which has led to 1.91 HR/9.

Use HunterDozier (FanDuel: $3,600 DraftKings: $4,700), Jorge Soler (FanDuel: $3,100DraftKings: $4,000) and Adalberto Mondesi (FanDuel: $3,600 DraftKings: $4,800).These three batters have ISOs greater than .200 against right-handed pitching.

But also, Dozier (.250 ISO) and Soler (.409 ISO) have crushed fastballs this season, which Plesac has thrown 55% of the time.

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5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

The Winning Edge – 6.24 – Main Slate Breakdown – DraftKings and FanDuel MLB

6 years ago

written by

Good afternoon everyone! For those not familiar, my name is Dan Wehr and I am a new author here at WinDailyDFS. This article will cover a game by game breakdown for the seven game main slate on Draftkings and Fanduel.

Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees

Over/Under: 10.5

Implied Run Total – TOR: 3.91 Runs

Implied Run Total – NYY: 6.63 Runs

Weather Concerns – N/A

Toronto Blue Jays – Aaron Sanchez (RHP) on the mound tonight for the Jays in New York. He is carrying a 5.49 ERA, 5.50 FIP, and 5.43 SIERA on the season. He has identical splits, allowing .354 wOBA, .380 OBP, and .445 SLG on the season. Toronto hitters are slashing .346 wOBA .213 ISO, and 119 WRC+ to left handed pitchers over the last two weeks.

Preferred Plays: Lourdes Gurriel Jr., Teoscar Hernandez, Eric Sogard, Vlad Guerro Jr., and Randal Grichuk.

New York Yankees – CC Sabathia (LHP) on the mound tonight for the Yankees at home. He is carrying a 4.14 ERA, 5.66 FIP, and 4.29 SIERA on the season. Sabathia has true splits, allowing .379 wOBA, .561 SLG, and .352 OBP against right handed batters. He is also allowing 2.14 HR/9. New York hitters are slashing .380 wOBA, .232 ISO, .366 BABIP, and 138 WRC+ to right handed pitching over the last two weeks, well above their season average.

Preferred Plays: Luke Voit, Gary Sanchez, Edwin Encarnacion, DJ Lemahieu, and Gleyber Torres.

New York Mets @ Philidelphia Phillies

Over/Under: 10

Implied Run Total – NYM: 4.76 Runs

Implied Run Total – PHI: 5.26 Runs

Weather Concerns – Possible late game shower

New York Mets – Steven Matz (LHP) on the mound tonight for the Mets in Philly. Matz is carrying a 4.28 ERA, 5.00 FIP, and 4.37 SIERA on the sesason. Matz has reverse splits, allowing .401 wOBA, .563 SLG, and .397 OBP to left handed batters. He is also allowing 40% hard contact and 1.83 HR/9. Mets batters are slashing .306 wOBA, .182 ISO, .262 BABIP, and .419 SLG. They are hitting close to their season average over their last two weeks.

Preferred Plays: Pete Alonso, Michael Conforto, Jeff McNeil, and Robinson Cano.

Philadelphia Phillies – Zach Eflin (RHP) is on the mound at home tonight. He is sporting a 2.83 ERA, 4.02 FIP, and 4.51 SIERA. Eflin is allowing only .221 BABIP on the season. Philly batters are slashing .332 wOBA, .155 ISO, .300 BABIP, and .412 SLG against left handed pitching over the last few weeks, close to their season averages.

Preferred Plays: Zach Eflin, Scott Kingery, Jay Bruce, Rhys Hoskins, Bryce Harper, and JT Realmuto.

Kansas City Royals @ Cleveland Indians

Over/Under: 10

Implied Run Total – KCR: 4.34 Runs

Implied Run Total – CLE: 5.72 Runs

Weather Concerns – Possible PPD. 55% Precip. 7pm-10pm (EST)

Kansas City Royals – Brad Keller (RHP) on the mound for the Royals in Cleveland. He carries a 4.45 ERA, 4.35 FIP, and 5.41 SIERA on the season. Keller has identical splits, allowing .311 wOBA, .343 OBP, and .367 SLG. He has a low HC% and FB% all while only allowing .56 HR/9 this season. Royals batters are slashing .275 wOBA, .115 ISO, and .271 BABIP to right handed pitchers over the last few weeks. They are hitting well below their season averages.

Preferred Plays: Brad Keller

Cleveland Indians – Adam Plutko (RHP) takes the mound at home. He carries a 4.55 ERA, 6.25 FIP, and 4.69 SIERA on the season. Plutko is allowing .391 wOBA, .655 SLG, and .305 OBP on the year. He is also allowing 2.93 HR/9. Despite the inflated numbers, Plutko does offer strike out upside. Indians batters are slashing .341 wOBA, .212 ISO, and .327 BABIP over the last few weeks. They are hitting above their season averages.

Preferred Plays: Adam Plutko, Carlos Santana, Jason Kipnis, Oscar Mercado, Jose Ramirez, and Francisco Lindor.

Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox

Over/Under: 9

Implied Run Total – CHW: 3.88

Implied Run Total – BOS: 5.14

Weather Concerns – N/A

Chicago White Sox – Lucas Giolito (RHP) is on the mound in Boston tonight. He is sporting a 2.74 ERA, 3.09 FIP, and 3.62 SIERA on the season. Giolito has excellent splits, allowing .252 wOBA, .267 OBP, and .304 SLG to both hands this season. White Sox batters are slashing .353 wOBA, .192 ISO, and 124 WRC+ over the last two weeks, well above their season avearges.

Preferred Plays: Luery Garcia, Jose Abreu, James McCann, and Eloy Jimenez.

Boston Red Sox – Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP) is on the mound at home this evening. He is carrying a 4.71 ERA, 4.00, and 3.98 SIERA on the season. Rodriguez is a reverse splits pitcher, allowing .392 wOBA, .610 SLG, and 7 home runs through 18 innings pitched against left handed batters. Red Sox batters are slashing .392 wOBA, .243 ISO, and 139 WRC+ to right handed pitching over the last two weeks. The Red Sox are hitting well above their season averages.

Preferred Plays: Christian Vasquez, Rafael Devers, Xander Bogaerts, Mookie Betts, and Jackie Bradley Jr..

Atlanta Braves @ Chicago Cubs

Over/Under: 11.5

Implied Run Total – ATL: 5.45

Implied Run Total – CHC: 6.12

Weather Concerns – N/A

Atlanta Braves – Julio Teheran (RHP) takes the mound at Wrigley this evening. He is sporting a 3.40 ERA, 4.36 FIP, and 5.10 SIERA on the season. Teheran has identical splits, carrying .288 wOBA .311 OBP, and .347 SLG to both hands. I consider Teheran a viable pitching option in GPP’s. Braves hitters are slashing a massive .426 wOBA, .271 ISO, .386 BABIP, and 161 WRC+ over the last two weeks. To put it simply, they are on absolute fire.

Preferred Plays: Freddie Freeman, Josh Donaldson, Ozzie Albies, Austin Riley, and Ronald Acuna Jr..

Chicago Cubs – Jon Lester (LHP) is on the mound at home tonight. He carries a 4.13 ERA, 4.47 FIP, and 4.16 SIERA on the season. Lester has identical splits, allowing .390 wOBA, .329 OBP, and .464 SLG to both hands. He is also allowing 81% contact on his pitches, 41% of that being hard contact. Cubs batters are slashing ,291 wOBA, .163 ISO, .253 BABIP, and 78 WRC+ over the last two weeks. They are hitting well below their season averages.

Preferred Plays: Kyle Schwarber, Wilson Contreras, Anthony Rizzo, and Jason Heyward.

LA Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks

Over/Under: 8

Implied Run Total – LAD: 4.25 Runs

Implied Run Total – ARI: 3.75 Runs

Weather Concerns – Dome

Los Angeles Dodgers – Clayton Kershaw (LHP) takes the mound in Arizona tonight. He is sporting a 2.85 ERA, 3.51 FIP, and 3.76 SIERA on the season. Kershaw has identical splits, carrying .282 wOBA, .269 OBP, and .278 BABIP to both hands. Dodgers batters are slashing .338 wOBA, .209 ISO, and .298 BABIP over the last two weeks. They are hitting close to their season averages.

Preferred Plays: Clayton Kershaw, Max Muncy, Joc Pederson, and Cody Bellinger.

Arizona Diamondbacks – Zack Greinke (RHP) takes the mound at home tonight. He is sporting a 2.91 ERA, 3.45 FIP, and 3.96 SIERA on the season. Greinke has identical splits, allowing .260 wOBA, .249 OBP, and .252 BABIP to both hands. Arizona batters are slashing .339 wOBA, .218 ISO, and .306 BABIP over the last two weeks, They are hitting above their season averages.

Preferred Plays: Ketel Marte, Eduardo Escobar, Ildemaro Vargas, and Carson Kelly.

Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants

Over/Under: 7.5

Implied Run Total – COL: 3.75

Implied Run total – SFG: 3.75

Weather Concerns – N/A

Colorado Rockies – Jon Gray (RHP) takes the mound tonight in San Francisco. He carries a 4.18 ERA, 4.20 FIP, and 4.19 SIERA on the year. Gray has identical splits, carrying a .338 wOBA, .339 OBP, and .439 SLG to both hands. Rockies batters are slashing a slate high .427 wOBA, .220 ISO, .438 BABIP, and 138 WRC+ over the last two weeks. They are hitting well above their season averages.

Preferred Plays: Jon Gray, Charlie Blackmon, Ian Desmond, David Dahl, and Nolan Arenado.

San Francisco Giants – Drew Pomeranz (LHP) is on the mound at home. He carries a 7.09 ERA, 6.01 FIP, and 4.68 SIERA on the year. Pomeranz has true splits as right handed batters are slashing .412 wOBA, .594 SLG, and .396 OBP against him this season. San Francisco batters are slashing .334 wOBA, .182 ISO, and .321 BABIP recently. They are hitting close to their season averages.

Preferred Plays: Brandon Belt and Alex Dickerson

Dwehrj08’s favorite plays

Top Pitchers:

Clayton Kershaw
Jon Gray
Julio Teheran

Top Stacks:

Atlanta Braves
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays

Home Run Call: Austin Riley (ATL)

6 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports

Podcast for 6/10 with The King and our DFS/Weather Expert

Scott Engel 6 years ago

written by Scott Engel

Scott Engel and MLB and meteorology expert Mark Paquette break down the Monday slate.

6 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports

Podcast for 6/9 with The King and our DFS/Weather Expert

Scott Engel 6 years ago

written by Scott Engel

Scott Engel and MLB and meteorology expert Mark Paquette break down the Sunday slate.

6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

DFS Stacks and Hitters for 6/2: Colorado Cooking

Marshall Rosen 6 years ago

written by Marshall Rosen

Catcher – Gary Sanchez vs. David Price

FanDuel: $4,100 DraftKings: $5,400

The Yankees’ catcher has a .310 ISO versus left-handed pitchers in 2019. Sanchez will take on Price, who he has owned in the past. Sanchez is 6-for-13 with five home runs in his career against the Boston starter. Sanchez should take advantage and keep crushing southpaws in this one.

Values:

Wilson Ramos (FanDuel: $2,700)

Wellington Castillo (DraftKings: $3,000)

First Base – Daniel Murphy vs. Aaron Sanchez

FanDuel: $3,900 DraftKings: $4,900

Murphy has a .400/.478/.500 slash line against groundball pitchers this season. With the Toronto Blue Jays’ Aaron Sanchez owning a slate high 51.2% groundball rate look for Murphy to shine on Sunday.

Values:

Eric Thames (FanDuel: $2,500)

Kendrys Morales (DraftKings: $2,700)

Second Base – Ketel Marte vs. Steven Matz

FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $4,400

The Diamondbacks’ Marte has a .313 ISO, a .542 wOBA and a 241 wRC+ versus left-handed pitching in 2019. Look for those numbers to jump up after this meeting with Steven Matz. The southpaw is allowing a 44.1% hard contact rate and 1.82 HR/9 against right-handed batters this season.

Values:

Cavan Biggio (FanDuel: $3,100 DraftKings: $4,000)

Nick Lopez (FanDuel: $2,700 DraftKings:$3,500)

Third Base – Nolan Arenado vs. Aaron Sanchez

FanDuel: $4,800 DraftKings: $5,800

The Rockies’ third baseman at is always tough to pass up at home and the same holds true today. He has a .235 ISO versus right-handed pitching in 2019. Arenado has a .280 ISO at home. And finally, he faces the Blue Jays’ Aaron Sanchez, who as mentioned earlier, is an extreme groundball pitcher. Well, Arenado has a .343/.410/.571 slash line against groundball pitchers this season.

Values:

Pablo Sandoval (FanDuel: $2,400)

Jeimer Candelario (DraftKings: $2,700)

Shortstop –Trevor Story vs. Aaron Sanchez

FanDuel: $4,600 DraftKings: $5,900

Trevor Stroy is running pure right now. In his last seven contests, he owns a .444 ISO, .561 wOBA and a 240 wRC+. For good measure, he has even added in two stolen bases. Never walk away from a heater. Instead, trust this Story has a good finish on Sunday.

Values:

Trea Turner (DraftKings: $4,600)

Brandon Crawford (FanDuel: $2,500)

Outfield – Christian Yelich vs. Jordan Lyles

FanDuel: $4,700 DraftKings: $5,600

Christian Yelich continues to put up video game-like numbers against right-handed pitching. He has a .449 ISO and a .484 wRC+ against righties this season. With the Pirates’ Lyles struggling with lefties this year, Yelich should get into a couple here.

Outfield – Mookie Betts vs. C.C. Sabathia

FanDuel: $4,300 DraftKings: $5,000

Mookie has done well against C.C. Sabathia in the past. In their career matchups, Betts owns a 1.050 OPS against the Yankees’ starter. With Sabathia allowing a .345 wOBA, 2.43 HR/9 and a 44% hard contact rate to righties, the Red Sox’s outfielder is in a spot to build on those numbers.

Outfield – Mike Trout vs. Marco Gonzales

FanDuel: $4,800 Draftkings: $5,400

Anytime you can get the best player in baseball in your DFS lineup, it is probably a good idea. Trout is in a great spot to succeed in this one. Against lefties this year, Trout has a .305 ISO and a .409 wOBA.

Values:

Randal Grichuk (FanDuel: $3,200 DraftKings: $4,200)

Derek Fisher (FanDuel: $2,200)

Christin Stewart (FanDuel: $2,600 DraftKings: $3,200)

Top Stacks

Colorado Rockies:

When you have a game in Coors Field, you always try to cram in Rockies’ bats into your DFS lineups. Today is no different especially with the Blue Jays’ Aaron Sanchez on the bump. The Blue Jays’ right-hander has a 4.99 SIERA and a 5.33 SIERA in 2019. Now he will pitch in Colorado ‘s thin air. Things surely are set up for the Rockies’ offense to succeed at home on Sunday.

Toronto Blue Jays:

Antonio Senzatela could be in for a long one here. The Rockies’ starter has a 5.81 ERA and the peripherals don’t suggest there will be improvements any time soon. Senzatela owns a 4.95 xFIP and a 5.35 SIERA this season. And he is not missing many bats these days as he has a low 15.98% whiff rate. Senzatela should be in trouble early and often here so stack up all the Blue Jays that you can.

Texas Rangers:

The Royals’ Brad Keller is a guy we want to attack today. He has the highest SIERA of the starters for MLB’s Sunday action. But equally important is the fact that the Rangers have crushed right-handed pitching all season. The Rangers have a .213 ISO against righties.

Kansas City Royals:

The Rangers’ Adrian Sampson has a 46.9% hard contact rate this season, but he is also allowing a 40.2% flyball rate. This should play into the hands of the Royals’ batters, especially the right-handed ones. Sampson is allowing .393 wOBA, 45.4% hard contact rate and a 1.88 HR/9 to right-handed bats this season.

Value Stack

LA Dodgers:

Besides Cody Bellinger, all other Dodgers’ batters are grossly underpriced, particularly on FanDuel. With the Phillies starting Nick Pivetta, the Dodgers’ stack not only allows you to pay up for some other of the big bats but they are also in a position to do some damage themselves. Los Angeles has a .216 ISO versus right-handed pitching in 2019. Pay particular attention to the Dodgers’ lefties as Pivetta is allowing a .457 wOBA to them this season.

6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

DFS Hitting Stacks for 5/29: Bright Reds

Marshall Rosen 6 years ago

written by Marshall Rosen

Here are thetop teams to stack for MLB’s May 29th action:

EARLY SLATE

Cincinnati Reds

The Pirates’ Steven Brault is a guy we want to attack when he takes the bump for Pittsburgh. The left-handed pitcher has a robust 7.11 ERA. And his other numbers for this season aren’t any better. Brault has a 5.46 SIERA and a 5.85 xFIP. The Pittsburgh starter also is getting hit hard with a 44.9% hard contact rate, making the Reds look like a juicy stacking option for Thursday.

The building blocks for this stack will be Eugenio Suarez (FanDuel: $3,900 DraftKings: $4,900) and Nick Senzel (FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $4,900). Both of these right-handed bats have at least a .300 ISO against lefties in 2019. And while he doesn’t have great numbers against southpaws this season, how do you not chase yesterday’s three home run performance by Derek Dietrich (FanDuel: $2,900 DraftKings: $4,900)?

Other Reds to look at it include: Kyle Farmer (FanDuel: $2,100 DraftKings: $3,800) and Yasiel Puig (FanDuel: $3,200 DraftKings: $4,200). Both Cincinnati bats have over .200 ISOs against lefties in 2019.

Seattle Mariners

The Rangers’ Drew Smyly is struggling this season with a 6.15 ERA and is allowing 2.14 HR/9. With seven Mariners owning an ISO of over .200 against southpaws in 2019, the Texas starter’s struggles should continue in this one.

These seven players should be the emphasis of your stack: Jay Bruce (FanDuel: $3,100 DraftKings: $4,300), Domingo Santana (FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $4,500), Daniel Vogelbach (FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $5,300), Tim Beckham (FanDuel: $3,000 DraftKings: $3,800), Mitch Haniger (FanDuel: $3,900 DraftKings: $4,400), Omar Narvaez (FanDuel: $2,900 DraftKings: $4,200) and Edwin Encarnacion (FanDuel: $3,500 DraftKings: $4,500).

Los Angeles Angels

Since returning to the big leagues, the Athletics’ Daniel Mengden has been hit really hard by opposing offenses. In fact, he has allowed a 50% hard contact rate. The hard contact has resulted in him having a 6.07 SIERA and a 6.11 xFIP. The Angels’ offense should be able to hit some balls awfully hard against the young Oakland right-hander here and make for a great value play to combine with Cincinnati or Seattle.

Mike Trout (FanDuel:$4,700 DraftKings: $5,500), Kole Calhoun (FanDuel: $3,500 DraftKings: $4,100),Albert Pujols (FanDuel: $3,000 DraftKings: $3,500), Shohei Ohtani (FanDuel: $3,300DraftKings: $3,500) and Tommy La Stella (FanDuel: $3,100 DraftKings: $3,900)all have produced at least a 45% hard contact rate against righties in 2019.

MAIN SLATE

Arizona Diamondbacks

Winning DFS lineups for today’s slate will likely be loaded with Arizona Diamondbacks. The Rockies will be running Jeff Hoffman out to the bump. The right-handed starter has not fared well at Coors Field in his career. Hoffman has allowed a .303/.376/.541 slash line in 86.1 innings pitched in Colorado. Hoffman also has a 5.20 xFIP and 5.7% K-BB% in those contests. Look for the Diamondbacks to take advantage of this matchup in a big way tonight.

The Diamondbacks’ build must start with Eduardo Escobar (FanDuel: $4,600 DraftKings: $5,700). The third baseman is red hot. He has scored double-digit fantasy points per game for a week now. His hot streak should continue on Wednesday. Escobar has crushed against righties this season. He owns a .250 ISO and a .351 wOBA against them. You can build around Escobar with a combination of Adam Jones (FanDuel: $4,000 DraftKings: $5,300) and Ketel Marte (FanDuel: $4,400 DraftKings: $5,500) as well. Each of these Diamondbacks’ hitters have .200-plus ISOs against right-handed pitching in 2019.

Colorado Rockies

The Colorado Rockies have had Robbie Ray’s number throughout his career. In 106 at-bats against the current Colorado roster, the Arizona starter has allowed a .302/.395/.586 slash line with a .982 OPS. Of the 32 hits Ray has allowed to the current Rockies’ hitters, 16 of them have been for extra bases. And seven of those have left the yard. The success against Ray should continue tonight as the Rockies’ offense has a.209 ISO versus lefties in 2019.

When building your Rockies’ stack, of course you will want to start the construction with Nolan Arenado (FanDuel: $4,900 DraftKings: $5,600). The infielder has crushed lefties this season. He has a .466 ISO and a .516 wOBA versus them. Also, he has killed Ray in the past. Arenado has a 1.289 career OPS against the Diamondbacks’ pitcher.

You also need to consider Ian Desmond (FanDuel: $3,500DraftKings: $3,900). The outfielder has an ISO of .321 versus lefties in 2019.He also has a 1.289 career OPS versus Ray. Chris Iannetta (FanDuel: $3,300DraftKings: $3,700), Ryan McMahon (FanDuel: $3,200 DraftKings: $4,100), DanielMurphy (FanDuel: $3,600 DraftKings: $4,100), Raimel Tapia (FanDuel: $3,200DraftKings: $4,100) and even Mark Reynolds (FanDuel: $3,000 DraftKings: $3,500)should all be considered. Each of those Rockies’ hitters have .200-plus ISOsagainst left-handed pitching in 2019.

Kansas City Royals

The ChicagoWhite Sox’s Reynaldo Lopez has struggled this season. The Right-hander has a5.09 SIERA and a 5.81 xFIP. Lopez has also allowed a 53.6% flyball rate and a40.9% hard contact rate. In addition to his 2019 struggles, Lopez has also hada difficult time with the Royals in his career. Against the current Royals’roster, the Chicago starter has allowed a .301 batting average and a .382 on-basepercentage.

Hunter Dozier(FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $5,100) and Jorge Soler (FanDuel: $3,100DraftKings: $4,400) are great building blocks to a Royals’ stack. Both KansasCity hitter have ISO’s of at least .275 against right-handed pitcher but theyalso have .900-plus OPS against flyball pitchers.

Alex Gordon (FanDuel:$3,400 DraftKings: $4,800) and Adalberto Mondesi (FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $5,500)also have produced at least a .200 ISO against righties in 2019. While WhitMerrifield (FanDuel: $3,900 DraftKings: $5,200) has a .364 wOBA and a 127 wRC+against right-handed pitching this season.

Philadelphia Phillies

The St.Louis Cardinals will be starting Genesis Cabrera. The left-handed pitcher has a6.35 ERA in Triple-A this season. In 39.2 innings pitched for the Memphis Cardinals,Cabrera has allowed 43 hits and 19 walks that have led to 28 earned runs. ThePhillies are likely going to provide a rude welcome the Cardinals’ starter.

Jean Segura (FanDuel:$3,900 DraftKings: $4,800), J.T. Realmuto (FanDuel: $3,400 DraftKings: $4,600),Scott Kingery (FanDuel: $2,800 DraftKings: $4,100), Rhys Hoskins (FanDuel: $4,400DraftKings: $4,900) and Bryce Harper (FanDuel: $4,300 DraftKings: $4,500) allwill be part of the welcoming party. Each of these players have recorded atleast a .200 ISO versus lefties in 2019.

Baltimore Orioles

The Tigers’Ryan Carpenter has had a rough go to the start of his 2019 campaign. He isallowing 3.21 HR/9 while maintaining a 9.00 ERA. While we usually stack againstthe Orioles, today you want to stack with the Orioles.

This stackwill of course start with Trey Mancini (FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $5,000).While he is not a cheap part of the stack, he is an owner of a .283 ISO and a.430 wOBA versus lefties this season.

The other bat to consider starting the Baltimore stack with is Pedro Severino (FanDuel: $2,800 DraftKings: $3,900). Severino has a .300-plus ISOs against lefties this season.

Good luckand happy stacking!

6 years ago 0 comments

Newer Posts

Older Posts

Kansas City Royals

Teams with Highest IRT

Fantasy MLB Stack: Houston Astros**

vs. RHP Edwin Jackson (DET): 7.50 Runs

Fantasy MLB Stack: Los Angeles Angels

vs. LHP Kolby Allard (TEX): 5.80 Runs

Fantasy MLB Stack: Baltimore Orioles**

vs. RHP Jorge Lopez (KCR): 5.50 Runs

Other Teams I Have Interest in

Fantasy MLB Stack: Minnesota Twins**

Fantasy Team Stack: Cincinnati Reds**

Fantasy Team Stack: Kansas City Royals

Pitching

8/11 DFS Pitching Cash Game Pitchers

Jacob deGrom, NYM vs. WSH

DK ($11,600) FD ($11,700)

Justin Verlander, HOU at BAL

DK ($12,400) FD ($12,500)

8/11 DFS GPP Plays

Mike Minor, TEX at MIL

DK ($9,600) FD ($9,200)

Lucas Giolito, CWS vs. OAK

DK ($10,600) FD ($9.800)

8/11 DFS Punt Plays

Jakob Junis, KC at DET

DK ($7,900) FD ($8,600)

Monkey Knife Fight Pitching Props

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.

Daily Fantasy Stack: Cincinnati Reds

vs. RHP Alex McRae (PIT): 6.15 Runs

Daily Fantasy Stack: Los Angeles Angels

vs. RHP Jordan Zimmermann (DET): 6.60 Runs

Daily Fantasy Stack: Los Angeles Dodgers

vs. RHP Jon Gray (LAD): 6.90 Runs

Honorable Mention

Daily Fantasy Stack: Kansas City Royals

Daily Fantasy Stack: Colorado Rockies

Pitching

Toronto Blue Jays

vs. RHP Dylan Bundy (BAL): 5.90 Runs

Atlanta Braves

vs. RHP Jordan Yamamoto (MIA): 5.95 Runs

Washington Nationals

vs. RHP Brad Keller (KCR): 6.10 Runs

Honorable Mentions

Baltimore Orioles

Boston Red Sox

One-off’s and Value Plays

Minnesota Twins

Detroit Tigers

Atlanta Braves

Kansas City Royals

Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees

New York Mets @ Philidelphia Phillies

Kansas City Royals @ Cleveland Indians

Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox

Atlanta Braves @ Chicago Cubs

LA Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks

Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants

Dwehrj08’s favorite plays

Catcher – Gary Sanchez vs. David Price

First Base – Daniel Murphy vs. Aaron Sanchez

Second Base – Ketel Marte vs. Steven Matz

Third Base – Nolan Arenado vs. Aaron Sanchez

Shortstop –Trevor Story vs. Aaron Sanchez

Outfield – Christian Yelich vs. Jordan Lyles

Outfield – Mookie Betts vs. C.C. Sabathia

Outfield – Mike Trout vs. Marco Gonzales

Top Stacks

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