For those not familiar, my name is Dan Wehr and I am a new author here at WinDailyDFS. This report will provide stacks that I recommend for today’s 13 game main slate. I’ve also included my favorite one offs and value plays.
Toronto Blue Jays
vs. RHP Dylan Bundy (BAL): 5.90 Runs
The Toronto side of this game will undoubtedly be on the chalkier side given how well the Jays are hitting and also how bad Dylan Bundy can be more often than not. Bundy carries 4.91 ERA, 5.29 FIP, and 4.38 SIERA. Bundy has nearly identical splits and neither are great. He carries an average of .336 wOBA, .470 SLG, and .323 OBP. Bundy is also allowing 2.03 HR/9 and 42% FB rate. Toronto is slashing to a tune of .412 wOBA, .289 ISO, 162 WRC+, and .603 SLG to right handed pitching over the last two weeks.
Preferred Stack: Cavan Biggio $3700 FD|$4400 DK, Eric Sogard $3300 FD|$4600 DK, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. $3800 FD|$5800 DK, Freddie Galvis $2900 FD|$4000 DK, and Justin Smoak $2800 FD|$3700 DK.
vs. RHP Jordan Yamamoto (MIA): 5.95 Runs
Jordan Yamamoto has a fairly small sample size coming into tonight’s matchup against the Braves. He lucked out his first two starts, taking on a Cardinals team who had been pretty inefficient against right handed pitching leading up to those two games where he found success. Yamamoto carries 4.57 ERA, 5.60 FIP, and 4.96 SIERA into tonight’s matchup. He has tremendous splits carrying .206 wOBA, .145 SLG, and .258 OBP through 23 innings pitched. I expect regression to the mean and the Braves are hitting very well recently. The Braves are slashing .330 wOBA, .220 ISO, and .466 SLG over the last two weeks.
Preferred Stack: Freddie Freeman $4400 FD|$5100 DK, Ronald Acuna Jr. $4200 FD|$5200 DK, Brian McCann $2700 FD|$3400 DK, Josh Donaldson $3100 FD|$3900 DK, and Nick Markaikas $3000 FD|$3900 DK.
vs. RHP Brad Keller (KCR): 6.10 Runs
Tonight we have Brad Keller in D.C. taking on the Nationals on a very hot and humid evening. Keller carries 4.46 ERA, 4.63 FIP, and 5.39 SIERA into tonight’s game. He is pretty inconsistent but overall he looks to be decent on paper. He is only allowing 0.69 HR/9 and GB rate of 50% while only allowing 36% hard contact. His splits are identical, so we can feel good about going after guys like Anthony Rendon and Trea Turner. The Nationals are slashing to a tune of .300 wOBA, .142 ISO, and .378 SLG over the last two weeks. Look for Nat’s flyball hitters to elevate Keller’s pitches tonight.
Preferred Stack: Juan Soto $4200 FD|$5400 DK, Anthony Rendon $4400 FD|$5200 DK, Trea Turner $4000 FD|$5300 DK, and Adam Eaton $3000 FD|$3800 DK.
vs. RHP Aaron Sanchez (TOR): 5.10 Runs
Preferred Stack: Chance Sisco $3500 FD|$4000 DK, Renato Nunez $3200 FD|$4100 DK, Anthony Santander $3100 FD|$3900 DK, and Trey Mancini $3600 FD|$4300 DK. Jonathan Villar on FD $3400.
Boston Red Sox
vs. LHP Gregory Soto (DET): 6.75 Runs
Preferred Stack: JD Martinez $4400 FD|$4800 DK, Xander Bogaerts $4100 FD|$5200 DK, Christian Vasquez $3000 FD|$4300 DK and Jackie Bradley Jr. $2900 FD|$3900 DK.
One-off’s and Value Plays
Tom Murphy (SEA) $2400 FD|$3700 DK, Yordan Alvarez (HOU) $4100 FD|$4600 DK, Hunter Renfroe (SDP) $2800 FD|$4000 DK, Nicholas Castellanos (DET) $3300 FD|$4000 DK, Jose Martinez (STL) $2700 FD|$3600 DK, and Dwight Smith Jr. (BAL) $2900 FD|$4000 DK.