DFS & Sports Betting Tools, Exclusive Content, and Expert Chat
 
Home / Kansas City Chiefs / Page 2
Tag:

Kansas City Chiefs

Denver Broncos 2020 Season Preview and Best Bets

Fangio Will Turn the Broncos into Winners

The Denver Broncos have gone ‘all-in’ to second-year head coach Vic Fangio looking for him take a big step forward towards NFL playoff contention. The overall public sentiment is a bit sour coming off three consecutive losing seasons for the first time in franchise history. As a result, substantial betting opportunities arise out of the phoenix when NFL fan sentiment is highly negative for a team.

Denver’s Coaching History

Denver has had a history of significant head coaches, mostnotably Reeves and Shanahan. Let us look at how first and second-year coacheshave done in the Broncos franchise.

Remember Wade Phillips?

In Wade Phillips’ first season, he earned a respectable 9-7straight-up (SU) record and earned his backers a 9-5-2 against-the-spreadrecord (ATS). However, he was unable to build on that success and went a dismal7-9 SU and 5-9-2 ATS and escorted to the exits.

Enter the HOF Shanahan

At the start of 1995, Mike Shanahan took over the reins andwent 8-8 SU and 9-7 ATS. In his second season, he exploded for a 13-3 SU and9-6-1 ATS season and went 2-1 SU in the playoffs losing in the Super Bowl 43-8to the Seattle Seahawks.

After a great run, Shanahan retired and gave way to Josh McDaniels, the offensive genius, and he went 8-8 SU and 9-7 ATS in 2009. After a horrid start to the 2010 season, McDaniels was fired. As a result, Eric Studesville finished off the season and was never truly considered for the head coaching position in 2011.

The Under-Appreciated Coach Fox

The Broncos turned to John Fox among five solid head coaching candidates in 2011, and he went 9-9 SU and 8-10 ATS and earned a playoff berth and won his first playoff game. He built the Broncos into a smash-mouth style of team ranking third in sacks and first in offensive rushing yards. In his second season, he went 13-4 SU and 11-6 ATS, making the playoffs but losing in the Divisional Round. He is only the second coach in NFL history to win four consecutive Divisional crowns with a new team.

Kubiak Inherits a Contender

Gary Kubiak took over in 2015 and inherited a great teamfrom Fox and went 15-4 SU and 12-7 ATS and lost 24-10 as 4.5-point underdogs tothe Carolina Panthers and Cam Newton in the Super Bowl.

GM Elway Loves Fangio

Kubiak was followed by Vance Joseph, who somehow sent thisteam into the abyss with 11-21 SU record spanning two seasons. Now, Vic Fangioenters his Sophomore season amid low expectations after a 7-9 SU and 8-7-1 ATSrecord in 2019.

What are the SB odds and Wins Total for the Broncos?

So, most books I have researched make the Broncos a 75 to 80:1 long shot to win the Super Bowl as offered by the Draft Kings Sportsbook and post seven wins for their 2020 season. I will tell you right now I am all over this 7-win line. The line is calling for a 7-9 record because of their past failures. By contrast, I see them going 9-7 and possibly 10-6 if the stars align. In other words, I love the Denver Broncos and fully expect them to have a great year and the following paragraphs discuss the X-factors that will make it happen.

Drew Lock

Drew Lock (6-4, 228) started the last five games of the 2019season and went 4-1 SUATS, completed 64% of his 156 pass attempts for 1,020yards, and an 89.7 quarterback rating. He will start the season fresh and willhave several new additions to the roster, including their No.1 draft pick JerryJeudy out of Alabama. Jeudy will start at WR and lined up on the right side ofthe formation with speedster Courtland Sutton lined up on the left side.

Draftee Jerry Jeudy

Jeudy enters his NFL rookie season, possessing many of the skillsetsthat established pros possess. He runs extraordinarily tight routes, does notbreak off routes, and has the speed and agility to make catches in tightspaces. When he catches the ball in space, he has been a nightmare for defensestop tackle, and he will be at this level too. Take Jeudy and Sutton and add inK.J. Hamler, and Noah Fant, it becomes pretty easy to see why this is a vastlyunderrated team.

The Broncos defense is coming off a strong season and will be led again by Von Miller and Bradley Chubb. The defensive unit is flat-out frightening to the rest of the quarterbacks on the Broncos schedule this season. Moreover, armed with an improved offensive unit, the defense will spend less time on the field and as a result, will be even better in late-game situations.

What Are the Technical Trends to Know?

The Broncos are 11-1 ATS covering the spread by an averageof 12 points-per-game (PPG) when on playing on a grass field and facing adivisional foe when coming off a win of seven or more points as a home favoriteand were leading by more than three points at the half. The Broncos will facethe Titans in Week1 and installed as 2.5-point home favorites. Should they winby seven or more points, the trend would be active in Week 2 when they travelto face the Steelers as a 5.5-point dog.

The most crucial game of the season just might be in Week 6when they host the Miami Dolphins as 6.5 point favorites. They win this matchupover the Fish by seven or more points the trend is active as they face-offagainst the defending Super Bowl Champs Kansas City Chiefs.

The second meeting with the Chiefs will be at Arrowhead Stadium, where they are currently an 11.5 point underdog. I have already made this bet on the Broncos plus 11.5-points because the offense is going to monumentally more efficient. This line could be below six points, for instance, if the Broncos play as well as I expect during the first 12 weeks.

In conclusion, the Reigning World Champions are prone to a Super Bowl hangover that could see them drop to 10 or 11 wins. As a result, the Broncos are in perfect position to be the Cinderella team of the 2020 campaign. So, put me down for the Broncos to win 11 games in 2020 and make it a Best Bet ‘OVER’ the posted 7-win regular season wins line.

I hope you enjoyed this article and be sure to check out all of the other fantastic Win Daily Sports articles too. I can be found on Twitter @JohnRyanSports1 and I welcome further discussion from you. Please join me on the Free Discord Chat to get things started. See you soon.

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail

Welcome to my preview video for the Super Bowl DFS game. I will be covering value and punt plays, favorite stacks, and my contrarian plays for the big game. Are you ready for some Super Bowl DFS action? All prices discussed are via DraftKings. I will also include some of my favorite prop bets! Check out the full article.

https://youtu.be/0YKQXz_b5cw

Sign up NOW for Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

It should come to no surprise that in games that the total exceeds 51 or more points Patrick Mahomes ($12,600) puts on an absolute clinic. Before the playoffs, in the divisional playoff game and championship game Mahomes scored (41 and 35 points respectively). He is clearly the best fantasy quarterback in the game but that is why he is the most expensive player.

Super Bowl DFS DraftKings

As for Jimmy Garoppolo ($8,000), he is the seventh-most expensive player in the game on DraftKings. The narrative here is that Garoppolo is entering this game very similar to how Ryan Tannehill was. Basically, the Titans were just relying on the run game and Tannehill had thrown for just 160 yards total on 31 passing attempts. In the championship game alone Tannehill went 21-31 for 209 yards and two touchdowns.

For defenses overall on this slate the Chiefs ($3,000) are the cheaper of the two on DraftKings with the 49ers ($3,600) coming in slightly higher. Both of these defenses can get after the quarterback in passing situations. The current over/under on sack totals in the game is 4.5 sacks. I like the over there.

Damien Williams ($9,800) is the third-most-expensive player on DraftKings. I tend to favor rostering pass-catching running backs in the captain spot due to their path to touchdowns. Williams has been getting all the carries and snaps in the Chiefs backfield since returning from injury so I like him a lot. He has nine touchdowns in five career playoff games. With the 49ers heavy zone scheme and a low percentage of blitzes Williams should see plenty of targets in the backfield. The 49ers have allowed the lowest ADOT this season to opposing quarterbacks (6.8).

Additionally, the only team that played more zone than the 49ers did this season were the Los Angeles Chargers, who the Chiefs played twice this season. In those games, the Kansas City running backs averaged 6.5 receptions with the lead back getting at least four receptions.

The 49ers have one of the best fullbacks in the NFL. The 49ers this season had a 54% success rate when running from 21-personnel averaging 5.4 yards per attempt. They also ran it 32% of the time (#1 in the NFL). The Kansas City defense versus that personnel grouping allowed a 51% success rate and 5.5 yards per carry. Kyle Juszczyk ($1,800) is sneaky on DraftKings at his price for Super Bowl DFS.

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail

Week 16 in the NFL is all about finding the best opportunities for guaranteed production with a high upside. Follow my stud and value plays and lock in the NFL DFS Picks of Destiny.David Jones took down the Week 8 Monday Night Showdown which is the fourth time he has won it the past five contests.Da...

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail

It’s time for our Week 10 DFS recommendations for the Sunday main slate. I’m focusing on tight ends (TEs) and defenses (DSTs) that will help you win big!

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chatsand more!

Week 10 DFS Tight End CashGame Plays 

Austin Hooper, ATL at NO

FD ($6,800)         DK ($6,300) 

No tight end in the NFL has more double-digit fantasy performancesthis season, as Hooper has averaged 18.6 FPPG on DK and 14.63 on FD. Thematchup may be tough on paper, but the Falcons will be throwing the ball inthis one and Hooper is a lock for 7-10 targets each week. He’s got the highestfloor and a Top 3 ceiling.

Travis Kelce, KC at TEN

FD ($6,700)         DK ($6,900) 

Kelce caught 7-62-0 on nine targets last week, but with Patrick Mahomeslooking ready to suit up for Week 10, we might see the big TE finally reachpaydirt for only the second time since mid-September, when he dropped 7-107-1on the Raiders. I’m expecting a stat line closer to that than the morepedestrian totals we’ve been seeing.

Week 10 DFS Tight End GPP Plays

Mark Andrews, BAL at CIN

FD ($6,800)          DK ($5,200)

The exciting young TE isfar from a cash game lock against a Bengals defense that may struggle tocontain Baltimore’s running game. Game script may dictate a conservativeapproach from the Ravens and they might just not need much from Andrews. But ifCincy can somehow keep this thing close, we could see monster day from him.

GeraldEverett, LAR at PIT

FD ($5,700)          DK ($4,500)

The Rams are without Brandin Cooks, and both WR JoshReynolds and Everett get a big bump this week against the Steelers. Everett hassome of the biggest GPP upside on this slate, and his price isn’t oppressiveenough that we are forced to compromise at other positions. He has three gamesof 15+ DK points so far, including a 23.6-point effort against Seattle in Week5 – so get him in some of your Sunday builds.

Eric Ebron, IND vs. MIA

FD ($4,900)          DK ($3,900)

I’m notgoing to begin to parse how the pricing algorithms on FD and DK are this wonkywhen it comes to Ebron and his teammate (discussed below), but there’s merit toplaying both of these guys in GPPs against the Dolphins, who have done a betterjob keeping games close the past few weeks. Ebron is a boom-or-bust GPP optionjust about every week, and we need to consider him, even if we don’t load up.

Jack Doyle, IND vs. MIA

FD ($5,200)          DK ($3,600)

Doyle is a huge bargain on DK and relatively expensive onFD, but he’s an excellent GPP option on both and could have a higher floor thanthe aforementioned Ebron. It would take some enormous hutzpah to play both in aGPP, and I’m not necessarily recommending it, but if there was a week to do it,it would be one like this.

T.J. Hockenson, DET at CHI

FD ($5,300)         DK ($3,900) 

Hockenson gets a favorable matchup against the Bears, who are 30thin the NFL vs. TEs. No major worries the concussion front, either, as he wasevaluated during Week 9 but just had the wind knocked out of him on a big hit.He’s an excellent GPP value play with upside.

Jonnu Smith, TEN vs.KC

FD ($5,100)         DK ($3,500) 

Delanie Walker (ankle) has been ruled out again, and it’s asituation Smith is familiar with. He’s had a couple different results – with a6-78-1 receiving line in a Week 8 win over Tampa Bay and a not-so-great 3-18-0in last week’s loss to the Panthers. The matchup with the Chiefs is on the favorableside, as they are 22nd in the NFL vs. TEs.

Week 10 DFS Tight End Punt Plays 

CameronBrate, TB vs. ARI

FD ($5,100)         DK ($3,700) 

Brate gets to face theworst team in the league at defending TEs and he’s the best option at theposition for the Bucs. TheKing is with me on this, so feel free to roll Brate out in GPPs and evensome cash games if you don’t want to spend up.

Ryan Griffin, NYJ at MIA

FD ($5,100)         DK ($3,100) 

Griffin has double-digit fantasy points on DK in three of his last four and caught six of eight targets for 50 yards in Sunday’s 26-18 loss to the Dolphins. His Week 10 matchup is against the Giants, who are 28th in the league vs. his. With Chris Herndon questionable again, Griffin is a staple of my GPP builds.

Greg Olsen, CAR at GB

FD ($5,100)         DK ($3,600) 

Olsen hasn’t shown much upside in the past several weeks, as the Panthers offense has involved the WRs more and focused on being the Christian McCaffrey show. We’ll see another big workload from CMC, but the Packers secondary is more likely to yield completions underneath to Olsen than the big play. If this thing turns into an offensive explosion, Olsen could get more red-zone looks and make for a cheap, TD-dependent GPP play.

Mike Gesicki, MIA vs. IND

FD ($5,300)         DK ($3,100) 

The suddenly relevant Gesicki matches up against the AFC’s second-worst team vs. TEs, and he’s been relatively efficient the past three weeks. Absent Preston Williams, the Miami offense could work him into more routes and targets for Week 10.

Additional Week 10 DFS GPP and punt options:

JimmyGraham, GB vs. CAR (FD $5,800, DK $4,000) – GPP

VanceMcDonald, PIT vs. LAR (FD $5,600, DK $3,800) – GPP

JaredCook, NO vs. ATL (FD $5,800, DK $4,100) – GPP

O.J.Howard, TB vs. ARI (FD $5,000, DK $3,300) – Punt

RhettEllison, NYG at NYJ (FD $5,000, DK $2,500) – Punt

Tyler Eifert, CIN vs. BAL(FD $5,000, DK $3,000) – Punt

Week 10 DFS DST Cash Game Plays 

Baltimore Ravens (BAL at CIN)

FD ($5,000)         DK ($4,000) 

The Ravens DST has a great matchup this week and has proven themselves worthy even against the toughest of opponents, with 31 combined DK points over the past two weeks against the Seahawks and Patriots. They’re easy to lock into cash games.

New Orleans Saints (NO vs. ATL)

FD ($5,000)         DK ($3,700) 

With 14 sacks over their past four games, the Saints make for a solid option in all formats against a banged-up Falcons offensive unit. They’re cash-viable with a 20-point upside in GPPs.

Week 10 DFS DST GPP Plays

Indianapolis Colts (IND vs.MIA)

FD ($4,900)         DK ($3,500) 

The Colts draw the best matchup of Week 10 and should be a chalky GPP option facing Miami. They’ve averaged 8.5 DK points over their last three and have a 15-point upside on Sunday.

Los Angeles Rams (LAR at PIT)

FD ($4,600)         DK ($3,000) 

The Rams are a sneaky play this week facing the Steelers, who seem to limit mistakes and play a conservative style that doesn’t yie4ld a lot of turnovers. Still, the Rams have a slew of impact defensive players who give them an enormous upside in GPPs.

Buffalo Bills (BUF at CLE)

FD ($4,500)         DK ($2,900) 

In Week 10, the Bills facethe Browns, who make a lot of mistakes. The road matchup and two recent weak effortsare the only things that will keep me from using them more.

New York Giants (NYG at NYJ)

FD ($4,600)         DK ($3,500) 

The Giants just acquired Leonard Williams from the Jets not toolong ago, and we’ve seen the Jets struggle to score the football in the redzone. They make for a boom-or-bust GPP play in a game that could end up being adefenseless shootout.

Chicago Bears (CHI at PHI)

FD ($4,200)          DK ($3,100)

The Bears DST has been remarkably quiet lately, but Matthew Stafford and the Lions tend to push the ball up the field and throw over the top of the defense, which can lead to multiple turnovers. They’re far from safe, but they have an upside.

Week 10 DFS DST Punt Plays 

Pittsburgh Steelers (PIT vs. LAR)

FD ($4,100)         DK ($2,600) 

Scott Engel mentioned these guys, along with the Chiefs in hispunts column this week, and I’m right there with him. The Steelers defensehas been maddeningly consistent with its DK scoring, averaging 11.8 on the seasonand posting 19, 11, 14, 13, and 19 points in succession since Week 4.

Kansas City Chiefs (KC vs. TEN)

FD ($3,700)         DK ($2,700) 

The Chiefs defense – especially the pass rush – is underrated, andthey should have DL Chris Jones back for a second consecutive week, which meansRyan Tannehill could be in trouble. I’m on board as a GPP punt in large-field,low-stakes tourneys.  

Cleveland Browns (CLE vs. BUF)

FD ($3,500)         DK ($2,500) 

The Browns’ defensive line is loaded with talent and the defensive backs seem sot be getting healthy. They could give the Bills some problems, but they remain a longshot for viable production. I’d avoid them in lineups using Devin Singletary and/or the Bills passing game, obviously.

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Week – Click Here to Play and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Pick the Players that will get the most Receptions

Goal: 23.5, Prize: 3x

I am including TE Austin Hooper with WRs Julio Jones and Michael Thomas in this MKF bet, going for broke on the 3x, because these three guys can easily average 8 receptions each this week. Thomas might be good for 12 on his own, and Jones and Hooper each have about 7-8 in them too.

Photo of Austin Hooper via Thomson200 at Wikimedia Commons.

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail

A flashback at some of the best performances from the Thursday slate plus their outlooks for the remainder of the season. All that and more on the 10/18 DFS and Betting review and look ahead.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Gold right here! DFS Pro Cheat Sheets, projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats with our DFS Pros and more!

10/18 DFS Winner – Javier Prellezo

https://twitter.com/Javi_Prellezo/status/1185079239336316928?s=20

Congratulations are in order for our own Javier Prellezo as he won the second qualifier for the NHL Live Final on DraftKings. In addition to a trip to Nashville, he also added $12,500 in his bankroll. Javier is active on our NHL Slack Channel, available to all Premium members. Be sure to check out his DFS Diamonds articles as the NFL, NHL and PGA seasons progress.

10/18 DFS Winner: Carter Hutton

As Allan Fabrykant highlighted in the Daily Hot Shot, Carter Hutton has had an excellent start to the season. Going against the Los Angeles Kings, Hutton had 47 saves and picked up his second consecutive shutout. Now at 5-0-0 this season, Hutton is proving to be one of the top goalies so far this season.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Carter Hutton has been phenomenal this season, with 1.70 goals allowed per game. Four of his seven goals allowed came in one game so he has proven he can be an elite goaltender. Expect Hutton to be a big target in NHL DFS for the next few Buffalo Sabres games.

10/18 Betting Winner – Phil Naessens

Phil had a great night betting on the NHL as all three of these bets ended up cashing out. His daily article, Cash with the Flash, highlighted these as his top picks for the NHL slate. Phil covers all sports in his bets and is available to all Premium members of the Win Daily family. As a member, you get a myriad of benefits including 24/7 access to our DFS experts on our Slack channel. If you are tired of losing money, give us a try!

10/18 DFS Winner: Tyreek Hill

Even though there was no players with an incredible statistical game on Thursday Night Football, Tyreek Hill had a solid day. He had three catches for 74 yards and a touchdown, thrown by the backup quarterback, Matt Moore.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Even though Hill has not had that huge game we know he is capable of, he is putting decent numbers up. His production depends on the health of Pat Mahomes, which was injured in the second quarter last night. With the questionable secondary of the Green Bay Packers and an extended week of preparation, expect Hill to have a huge day or two in the upcoming weeks.

10/18 DFS Winner: Kansas City Defense

The Kansas City Chiefs had a solid game against the Denver Broncos last night in a divisional matchup. Their defense stepped up, as they allowed just six total points with a touchdown on the opening drive. They allowed 205 yards of total offense and held the Broncos to 1-of-13 on third downs. Kansas City also had nine sacks and two defensive touchdowns.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Kansas City is not an elite defense by any stretch of the imagination, ranking 25th in total defense. However, they allow only 21.4 points per game. They host the Green Bay Packers next Sunday and expect the Chiefs to hold the running game down and make them one dimensional.

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail

Watch below to Find Out How to Build Your Lineup in Showdown for Thursday Night Football!

https://youtu.be/K9PJVuBNuF8

Sign up NOW for Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

Get Ready For Thursday Night Football!

The NFL season is entering Week 7! That means it is time for another Showdown Slate on Thursday night football for DraftKings. If it’s your first time watching remember Showdown differs from traditional contests. It features just six players to the roster. The caveat being one is slotted in as your captain. The captain spot is unique though. The players slotted there earn 1.5x fantasy points. They also cost 1.5x their normal price. Finding the right player for your captain spot will be especially important to win because if they have a big game and are not owned highly they are the difference-makers to bring home a victory.

Final Takeaways

For all the strategies you can use the number one is to buy into a narrative. Remember storytime as a kid? Same concept here. How will the game go in your eyes? Give yourself an idea of how you think the game will go and build your roster in correspondence to the game flow. Check out the full video to get the players I recommend targeting. As a sneak peek some of the players that I am touting for Thursday night football include Royce Freeman, Travis Kelce, Damien Williams, Demarcus Robinson, and Harrison Butker. You also have to love the Chiefs DST in this game. The current FanDuel Sportsbook has the current total at 48.5 with the Chiefs at -3.

Featured Image via Brook Ward

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail

Subscribe to our newsletter

The best bets and resources to make you more profitable

"*" indicates required fields

    Our Company

    At WIN DAILY®, our motto is to “change your game and change your life.” We want to help you win that bet, parlay, and big DFS tournament and have some fun while you do. Our goal is to help you turn your love of sports into a profit center while playing responsibly and enjoying your time with a like-minded community.

    ©2024 WIN DAILY®. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

    This site is 100% for entertainment purposes only and does not involve real money betting. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800 GAMBLER. This service is intended for adult users only.
    -
    00:00
    00:00
    Update Required Flash plugin
    -
    00:00
    00:00