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The NFL DFS season continues with the Monday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big in one of the final Week 17 NFL DFS contests!NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see my first showdown article of 2021.Let’s get to the game!Week 17 NFL DFS MVP cand...

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The NFL DFS season continues with this week’s Monday night showdown, and we’re helping you win big money in the final Week 14 NFL DFS contests!

Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

DraftKings calls them “Showdowns,” and FanDuel doesn’t really have a name for them other than “Single-Game Contests,” but whatever we call them they require an understanding of game narratives and game theory – which means we need to target low-ownership players that will give us the best opportunities within the narratives and game outcomes we’re expecting.

My picks will focus almost exclusively on finding GPP-winning combinations that have a chance at taking down the contests you’re entering, be they single-entry or MME. While we can’t cover all the possible combos or provide full lineups for you to deploy, the goal here is to give you the tools to win and highlight some names that will help make for profitable results.

If I enter five lineups in a large-field GPP, at least three of those lineups will focus on the most likely game outcome (based on Vegas odds, props and totals), with one or two contrarian builds. As we know, late-breaking news can have a significant effect on full slates, and that’s just amplified with single-game contests. If you have any questions leading up to lock, please consult our NFL DFS experts in Discord.

Let’s get to the game!

Week 14 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.

Chalk: Lamar Jackson (DK $17,700, FD $17,000)

Pivot: Baker Mayfield (DK $15,000, FD $15,000)

Contrarian #1: Nick Chubb (DK $15,000, FD $14,500)

Contrarian #2: Mark Andrews (DK $13,200, FD $10,500)

DK Punts: Willie Snead IV ($8,700) and Harrison Bryant ($6,300)

DK Contrarian Punts: Devin Duvernay ($2,400) and Marvin Hall ($300)

Last season, it would have sounded a bit crazy to suggest that Baker Mayfield would be a viable pivot from Lamar Jackson in this matchup, but here we are. You’re probably going to need at least one of them in your lineup this week, and there’s a few ways we can even fit both.

Neither of these defenses has played up to their abilities the past couple of weeks, but both are capable of posting double-digit fantasy totals, so we’ll have to keep them in mind as we construct our showdown rosters. They haven’t met since Week 1, when the Ravens were dominant from the start – and if I had to lean toward one of them it would be the Ravens DST since the Browns DST will be without Denzel Ward (calf).

The Ravens have several position players of interest, with Mark Andrews and rookie J.K. Dobbins sporting the highest upside. Andrews had a pair of TDs in the first meeting with Cleveland, and is coming off a two-game absence due to COVID-19, while Dobbins has assumed a much larger workload with capable RB Gus Edwards and veteran Mark Ingram II taking a backseat in recent weeks.

I like the price and target total over the past four weeks (25) for Willie Snead IV, and while it’s hard to trust Marquise Brown, Hollywood is always a big play away from making a huge impact. Devin Duvernay is a longshot DFS play but a very talented rookie WR and playmaker and capable of filling out a winning GPP entry.

For the Browns, we need to prioritize Nick Chubb, who has TDs and 100+ rushing yards in three of his past four games (and 522 total yards over that four-game span as well) since returning from a knee injury. Kareem Hunt is an expensive but viable change-of-pace back who lacks the same upside unless the Browns are in a negative game script – a possibility we should plan for in some of our GPPs.

Receivers Jarvis Landry and Rashard Higgins are soaking up most of the targets, and both have ben productive, while Austin Hooper’s absence (doubtful with a neck injury) could mean more looks for explosive rookie TE Harrison Bryant. Opportunistic rookie wideout Donovan Peoples-Jones is also a viable option with plenty of big play ability, especially in play action. It’ll also be interesting to see if recently acquired deep threat Marvin Hall sees some action, as he’s a game-breaking value at $300/200 on DK if he catches even one long throw.

As always, we should consider Ravens K Justin Tucker, who has at least 8 DK points in nine of 12 games this season (and double-digit fantasy output in five of those games) and Cody Parkey, who has 31 DK points over his last three games.

Week 14 NFL DFS Utility options (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Remember to build your team based on a narrative that makes sense, and utilize the WinDaily fantasy toolbox for cheatsheets and projections that can help you tremendously with lineup building.

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together.

DON’T: Go into your GPP builds without a narrative plan this week. Use the writeup and flex list below to help narrow your player pool and find a winning path.

DO: Include Nick Chubb somewhere. He’s been averaging about 100 yards and a TD every week since coming back, so I wouldn’t recommended fading him without using Kareem Hunt in a negative game script narrative build.

DON’T: Play anyone who is inactive. Pay attention to the breaking news and pivot as needed.

Now that we’ve established some narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):

  1. Lamar Jackson
  2. Baker Mayfield
  3. Nick Chubb
  4. Mark Andrews
  5. J.K. Dobbins
  6. Jarvis Landry
  7. Marquise Brown
  8. Rashard Higgins
  9. Willie Snead IV
  10. Kareem Hunt
  11. Ravens DST
  12. Justin Tucker
  13. Browns DST
  14. Cody Parkey
  15. Gus Edwards
  16. Donovan Peoples-Jones
  17. Harrison Bryant
  18. Mark Ingram II
  19. Devin Duvernay
  20. Marvin Hall
  21. David Njoku
  22. Miles Boykin
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The NFL DFS season continues with the Thursday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the Week 2 NFL DFS contests!

Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

DraftKings calls them “Showdowns,” and FanDuel doesn’t really have a name for them other than “Single-Game Contests,” but whatever we call them they require an understanding of game narratives and game theory – which means we need to target low-ownership players that will give us the best opportunities within the narratives and game outcomes we’re expecting.

My picks will focus almost exclusively on finding GPP-winning combinations that have a chance at taking down the contests you’re entering, be they single-entry or MME. While we can’t cover all the possible combos or provide full lineups for you to deploy, the goal here is to give you the tools to win and highlight some names that will help make for profitable results.

If I enter five lineups in a large-field GPP, at least three of those lineups will focus on the most likely game outcome (based on Vegas odds, props and totals), with one or two contrarian builds. As we know, late-breaking news can have a significant effect on full slates, and that’s just amplified with single-game contests. If you have any questions leading up to lock, please get in the game with a gold account and consult our NFL DFS experts in Discord.

Let’s get to the game!

Week 2 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.

Chalk: Joe Burrow (DK $16,200, FD $14,500)

Pivot: Baker Mayfield (DK $15,300, FD $15,000)

Contrarian #1: Joe Mixon (DK $12,900, FD $13,000)

Contrarian #2: Tyler Boyd (DK $10,500, FD $10,000)

Contrarian #3: Nick Chubb (DK $11,400, FD $13,500)

This is a pretty straight-forward Showdown slate, and I’m leaning toward using Joe Burrow as my MVP based on his ability to score on the ground or via the air with both his WRs and RBs.

I think the most ownership will end up with Burrow as the top guy, though I understand the contrarian pivot to Mayfield or a guy like Joe Mixon – the player likely to have the most touches in this game.

Both defenses are pretty banged up, and while the total is just 43.5, I’m expecting a higher-scoring game. If you have to play a defense in the top spot, make it the Browns (because of their pass rush) and fill in the rest of your lineups accordingly based on that narrative.

I’d steer clear of using a kicker in the MVP slot in this game because we probably don’t need to go there.

Week 2 NFL DFS Utility options (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Remember to build your team based on a narrative that makes sense.

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together

DON’T: Use Joe Burrow as your MVP with no Bengals position players and the Browns DST.

DO: Use the projected team totals to shade one way or the other with your selections.

DON’T: Use players with almost no shot of seeing the field, regardless of their salary.

Now that we’ve established some narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):

  1. Joe Burrow
  2. Joe Mixon
  3. Nick Chubb
  4. Tyler Boyd
  5. A.J. Green
  6. Odell Beckham, Jr.
  7. Baker Mayfield
  8. Jarvis Landry (questionable, hip)
  9. Austin Hooper
  10.  Kareem Hunt
  11.  C.J. Uzomah
  12.  Reggie Bullock
  13.  Cody Parkey (make sure he’s starting)
  14.  Browns D
  15.  Giovani Bernard
  16.  Bengals D
  17.  John Ross III
  18.  Rashard Higgins
  19.  Auden Tate
  20.  Harrison Bryant

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The slate of DFS wide receivers is questionable with teams resting their stars with most of the playoff seeding figured out. There are some spots where you can afford some expensive receivers and some cheaper options with a good upside. Let’s dive into the best wideouts for Cash Games, GPP and who you should avoid with our Week 17 Wide Receiver DFS Picks.

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Week 17 Wide Receiver Cash Game Plays

Davante Adams, GB @ DET

DK ($8,000) FD ($8,400)

Davante Adams had a great game against the Lions earlier this season with four touchdown receptions. You’d be crazy to expect that, but a solid game shouldn’t be questioned. He’s also coming off a game where he was targeted 16 times. He is Top 25 in both receptions and yardage with a weaker defense in Detroit. He should wreak havoc against the Lions yet again.

Michael Thomas, NO @ CAR

DK ($9,900) FD ($9,200)

It would be criminal to not include Michael Thomas on this list. He now has the all-time single-season reception record and still has one more regular-season game to play. He was dealing with a hand injury but won’t affect his status and Carolina (like the rest of the NFL) had trouble stopping him. Last time these teams met, 10 catches for 101 yards and a touchdown. A slight opportunity for a Wild Card bye as well? Expect another big game.

Week 17 Wide Receiver GPP Plays

Jarvis Landry, CLE @ CIN

DK ($5,900) FD ($6,800)

This one is simple: Jarvis Landry is the Browns’ best receiver. The Bengals have nothing to play for while the Browns still have the opportunity to build up chemistry for next season. Landry is 12th in the NFL in yardage and should get a good amount of looks to up to get him closer to the Top 10.

Amari Cooper, WAS vs DAL

DK ($6,500) FD ($7,500)

This is Cooper’s last chance to show teams what he can do with impending free agency in the near future. The Cowboys lost their hold on the NFC East and need to win and have the Eagles lose to make the playoffs. With the reports that he was benched during last week’s game, this should be his chance to attack a weak secondary and show why he is still among the league’s top wideouts.

Week 17 Wide Receiver Fades

Juju Smith-Schuster, PIT @ BAL

DK ($5,500) FD ($5,900)

Juju didn’t look 100 percent last week against the New York Jets and I’m not sure he will be in this matchup either. He had seven catches for 75 yards and a touchdown against the Ravens earlier this season. But with the opportunity of a playoff berth for the Steelers still there, I see Juju trying to pull it out but he isn’t healthy yet.

Stefon Diggs, CHI vs MIN

DK ($6,500) FD ($7,500)

Diggs doesn’t get a crazy amount of targets as he only has one game this year with at least 10 targets. The Vikings have already clinched last Wild Card spot and this could be the reason Diggs gets pulled at halftime to prevent any injuries. Diggs isn’t as explosive against a good defense and I think he won’t produce as well as other wide receivers for this price.

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Michael Thomas, Jarvis Landry and Davante Adams over 23.5 receptions.

Arguably three of the best wide receivers this season should hit this mark. Michael Thomas is dealing with a hand injury but will play this week and should continue getting double-digit catches himself. Jarvis Landry is dealing with a hip injury but it won’t affect his status either. The combination of Landry and Davante Adams should easily get 14 catches combined.

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The slate of wide receivers is incredible as we are approaching teams clinching playoff spots. There are some spots where you can afford some expensive receivers and some cheaper options with a good upside. Let’s dive into the best wideouts for Cash Games, GPP and who you should avoid with our Week 15 Wide Receiver DFS Picks.

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Week 15 Wide Receiver Cash Game Plays

Julian Edelman, NE @ CIN

DK ($7,100) FD ($7,700)

Julian Edelman is going to have the most targets for the Patriots and has been doing well lately. In the last three games, he is averaging seven catches for 98 yards. Those were against Kansas City, Houston, and Dallas, which are leagues above the Bengals defense. Edelman also has a touchdown in each of the last two games. I don’t think any defensive back on the roster can stop Edelman so expect a nice 100-yard game out of him.

Jarvis Landry, CLE @ ARI

DK ($6,700) FD ($7,400)

Jarvis Landry is the number one option for Baker Mayfield and going against the worst pass-defending team in the NFL. When he went up against another struggling defense in Miami, Landry had 13 catches for 148 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Expect one of the biggest statistical games of the season for Landry.

Week 15 Wide Receiver GPP Plays

Stefon Diggs, MIN @ LAC

DK ($7,300) FD ($7,700)

Stefon Diggs is still one of the best receivers in the game. He is a deep threat with seven plays of at least 40 yards. The only issue is that he has four fumbles on the year as well so ball security is the biggest weakness. The Chargers are solid against the pass but with a handful of their defensive backs on the injury report means trouble against a speedy receiver. Expect a solid game out of Diggs to keep Minnesota in the NFC North race.

DeAndre Hopkins, HOU @ TEN

DK ($8,000) FD ($8,600)

Hopkins is a catching machine as he is at 93 receptions thus far, which ranks only behind Michael Thomas. Tennesee is in the Top 10 with passing yards allowed per game, but the last time they faced a solid number one receiver, Tyreek Hill had 157 yards. The Titans struggle with the upper echelon of receivers and DeAndre Hopkins should have a great game.

Week 15 Wide Receiver Fades

Keenan Allen, MIN vs LAC

DK ($6,300) FD ($6,800)

He only has six targets in each of the last two games so it seems like Philip Rivers is transitioning away from him as of late. Minnesota forces turnovers so the time of possession could be heavily favored towards the Vikings as well, limiting the opportunities that Keenan Allen would have to make an impact. Xavier Rhodes has been limited in practice due to an ankle injury but is expected to play against the Chargers. With Rhodes covering him for most of, if not all of the game, expect Allen to be held under his average and not worth the price.

Julio Jones, ATL @ SF

DK ($7,000) FD ($7,500)

Julio Jones is still one of the best receivers in the league and the 49ers are coming off a game where they seemed like any offense would cause problems. However, the Saints offense is a completely different animal than the Atlanta offense. San Francisco is still the best team defending the pass with only 150.8 passing yards allowed. Expect a few catches but nothing that will make you regret the decision to fade him in your DFS contests this Sunday.

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Chris Godwin, O.J. Howard and Danny Amendola over 17.5 receptions.

Chris Godwin is going to be Jameis Winston’s biggest target as Mike Evans is listed as doubtful so I expect around seven catches for him. O.J. Howard has seen his targets increase the past two weeks as well so expect a handful of catches for him as well. Danny Amendola is good for about five catches himself and that should get you right at 18. This one might be tight but the over should still hit.

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The slate of wide receivers is incredible as we are approaching teams clinching playoff spots. We have a limited slate as three games on Thanksgiving with quality receivers make DFS interesting. There are some spots where you can afford some expensive receivers and some cheaper options with a good upside. Let’s dive into the best wideouts for Cash Games, GPP and who you should avoid with our Week 13 Wide Receiver DFS Picks.

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Week 13 Wide Receiver Cash Game Plays

Chris Godwin, TB @ JAX

DK ($7,700) FD ($8,200)

Chris Godwin is behind just Michael Thomas for receiving yards this season. Godwin has the ability to beat a defense with his nine touchdown receptions on the year as well. He’s coming off a great game where he had 184 yards and two touchdowns. I think Jameis Winston will have enough time to deliver some passes to his receivers against Jacksonville so expect Godwin to have a solid game.

Jamison Crowder, NYJ @ CIN

DK ($5,600) FD ($6,300)

This might come as a shock but I think Crowder has a real chance of being a big-time player in this game. He leads the Jets in almost every important receiving category outside of touchdowns. Going up against a Cincinnati Bengals team that has the best interest in losing this game to almost guarantee the first overall pick in the NFL Draft, Crowder should have a big day. Expect around seven targets and 65 yards with a touchdown.

Week 13 Wide Receiver GPP Plays

Cooper Kupp, LAR @ ARI

DK ($7,100) FD ($7,800)

Arizona is the worst team at stopping the passing attack and Cooper Kupp is the most productive receiver for the Rams. This has the chance to be a huge game for Kupp after two duds. His price isn’t too high and will have lineups focused on him and Jared Goff. Expect around seven catches and possibly a trip to the end zone.

Mike Evans, TB @ JAX

DK ($6,900) FD ($7,700)

Loading up on the two best wide receivers that Tampa has to offer. Mike Thomas, Godwin and Evans are the only receivers with at least 1,000 receiving yards so one of the two Bucs receivers should have a great game. Jacksonville doesn’t have the secondary to stop both guys so one will have a solid game. Evans just needs to have a few more receptions than he has the past few weeks.

Week 13 Wide Receiver Fades

DeAndre Hopkins, NE vs HOU

DK ($7,600) FD ($8,300)

DeAndre Hopkins is a Top Five wide receiver in the NFL but I am not going against one of the NFL laws: Bill Belichick eliminates the opposing number one option. Hopkins is just that and for that reason alone, I am fading Hopkins this week.

Jarvis Landry

DK ($6,400) FD ($7,400)

The Cleveland Browns are heading into an emotional game for Pittsburgh as this is their retribution for what happened a few weeks ago between these teams. Especially with this game being in Pittsburgh and the possibility of Odell Beckham being limited makes Landry not as huge of an option as he should be. Pittsburgh also has a solid passing defense as they give up just 217.2 yards a game.

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Chris Godwin, Davante Adams and Mike Evans over 2.5 touchdowns

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have a huge passing offense and going up against Jacksonville, I believe Jameis Winston will be good enough to throw at least one touchdown to either Godwin or Evans. Davante Adams is currently injured with a toe injury but I expect he will play against the Giants. Aaron Rodgers will almost guarantee a touchdown to Adams as the Giants don’t have enough to stop him. He did just grab his first touchdown of the season last week so they can build on that.

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A look back at some of the best performances from the Sunday slate plus their outlooks for the remainder of the season. All that and more on the 11/25 DFS and Betting review and look ahead.

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11/25 Win Daily DFS: Javier Prellezo

One of the hottest and best DFS players in the entire industry has made his way back on this article. Javy posted this screenshot on the Discord chat. Javy dominated the NFL slate with over $16,000 in winnings. Just the opportunity to see what Javy is thinking and the ability to pick his brain is worth the Premium membership. Why continue to lose money on DFS when we offer the best experts in the industry?

11/25 Win Daily DFS Winner: Capper Steve

Here is a snippet of last night’s Sports Betting Picks from Capper Steve. He went 7-3 overall on his picks yesterday and if you followed his action, you would be up two units. Capper Steve is one of the best in the business and is giving away his picks for all Premium members of the Win Daily family. His picks alone make you a surplus so what are you waiting for?

11/25 Win Daily DFS Winner: Jarvis Landry

Here is a snippet from the Week 12 Value and Punt Plays article from Scott Engel. The “revenge game” for Landry was in full effect as he went to Miami and had 10 catches for 148 yards and two touchdowns.

Outlook for the rest of the season: This was the fourth consecutive game that Landry has found the end zone. This game was exactly what the doctor ordered as the Browns as an organization needed this. Expect a solid rest of the season for him as the Browns are still in contention for a playoff spot.

11/25 DFS Winner: Sam Darnold

Here is a preview from the NFL DraftKings Cheatsheet, a document updated weekly for Premium members. Javy saw the value in Darnold going up against the Raiders at home. He went 20-of-29 with 315 yards and a pair of touchdown passes. He also ran four times for 16 yards and reached the end zone as well.

Outlook for the rest of the season: The next few weeks could make Darnold’s entire season stats look even better. The Jets face off against the Cincinnati Bengals and Miami Dolphins these next two weeks. Darnold has been impressive with 608 yards and six touchdowns the past two games. It looks like he is finished seeing ghosts and instead of seeing a potential playoff spot if the team continues to play like this.

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The slate of wide receivers is incredible as we are approaching teams clinching playoff spots. There are some spots where you can afford some expensive receivers and some cheaper options with a good upside. Let’s dive into the best wideouts for Cash Games, GPP and who you should avoid with our Week 12 Wide Receiver DFS Picks.

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If you’d like to see more of my DFS work click here! Also, Follow me on Twitter @VinPensabene

Week 12 Wide Receiver Cash Game Plays

Michael Thomas, CAR vs NO

DK ($9,200) FD ($9,300)

Michael Thomas is leading the league in targets, receptions, receiving yards per game and receiving yards. The Panthers do not have any defensive backs that can stop him. Expect another big game from Michael Thomas with double-digit targets and around 100 yards and possibly a touchdown or two.

D.K. Metcalf, SEA @ PHI

DK ($6,300) FD ($6,700)

Recently, Metcalf has shown what he is able to do with a 100-yard game against the Buccaneers. Going up against a depleted secondary of the Philadelphia Eagles could be a blessing for Metcalf as he can get around five catches for 80 yards and a touchdown. Russell Wilson will have a nice game and Metcalf will be the main reason why.

Week 12 Wide Receiver GPP Plays

Jarvis Landry, MIA vs CLE

DK ($6,300) FD ($6,900)

This should be the game where Jarvis Landry and Baker Mayfield have a huge game together. Going up against the tanking Miami Dolphins helps as they allow 12.6 yards a catch and haven given up 42 plays of at least 20 yards. Landry will get the second cornerback and should tear it up more than OBJ will.

Mike Evans, TB @ ATL

DK ($7,300) FD ($8,000)

Evans is averaging just under 100 yards a game and is second in receiving yards this season. He also has seven touchdowns and could increase that total against a subpar Atlanta defense. Atlanta gives up 276 yards per game through the air and Mike Evans could benefit the most from that. Who do they have that can stop Mike Evans?

Week 12 Wide Receiver Fades

Amari Cooper, DAL @ NE

DK ($6,600) FD ($7,700)

Amari Cooper is Top Five in receiving yards and yards per game. However, he is dealing with the New England Patriots’ defense. Let alone that, Bill Belichick takes away an opponent’s best DFS option and that would be Cooper. New England allows just 152.6 yards a game through the air and will gameplan against Amari Cooper. Cooper will definitely take a hit in production and force the Cowboys to figure out something else.

Allen Robinson, NYG vs CHI

DK ($6,500) FD ($7,500)

Allen Robinson is going to have an okay game against a less-than-stellar Giants defense. This is not about his skill not being there, instead of who is throwing him the ball. I don’t trust Mitchell Trubisky at all and with the Giants coming off their bye week, expect the gameplan to be to shut down Robinson in the passing game.

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Jarvis Landry, Michael Thomas and Mike Evans over 25.5 receptions

Michael Thomas should go out and get eight catches with most of the targets heading his way. Jarvis Landry should have a field day against the Miami Dolphins, who are actively trying to lose, will have their second-best corner on him. Mike Evans should get around seven catches as well against the Atlanta Falcons in a huge passing game. If Landry can get early confidence with Baker Mayfield, this should be a lock.

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Welcome to my video that will be released every Thursday. I will be covering value and punt plays, favorite stacks, and my contrarian plays for Thursday night football. So who is ready for some Week 11 Thursday night football action between the Browns and Steelers? All prices discussed are via DraftKings in their Thursday night Showdown Slate.

https://youtu.be/4Bn8peNh7CQ

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Thursday Night Football Value and Punt Plays

The only punt plays that DraftKings is allowing here are with the Browns’ tight ends: Demetrius Harris ($4,200), and Ricky Seals-Jones ($3,600). The matchup is fine with the Pittsburgh Steelers allowing the ninth most fantasy points to the TE position. The other punt plays (go figure) include each team’s kicker: Austin Seibert ($3,800) and Chris Boswell ($4,000). This game projects to be low-scoring so the kickers will be featured in many winning GPP lineups. Cleveland over the past three weeks has averaged 2.7 field goal attempts per game. Austin Seibert has made eight field goals over the past three weeks. The Steelers kicker Chris Boswell has also been good lately. He has scored the fourth-most fantasy points at the position over the past three weeks. Cleveland at home as allowed 2.2 field goal attempts per game this season. 

From points per game basis, the Steelers DST ($5,200) is easily the best value on the slate. They are averaging 13.2 fantasy points per game compared to quarterback Mason Rudolph ($8,400) who is averaging 13.6.

Favorite Stacks

Vegas was right to back the Browns last week favoring that home even against a 6-2 Bills team, so I am going back to the Browns here recommending a Cleveland stack as 2.5 favorites at home. Building around my core players in Baker Mayfield ($9,000), Nick Chubb ($10,600), and Odell Beckham Jr. ($9,200). On this slate, in particular, the defenses figure to be extremely popular and they should be. So I especially like stacking Chubb with the Browns DST ($4,600).

Week 11 Thursday Night Football Contrarian Plays

You do not have to play a quarterback in some of your rosters. It would not surprise me at all to see both QBs score under 15 fantasy points considering on average they both are scoring per game below that threshold.

Going heavier on the cheaper running backs on each team with Jaylen Samuels ($8,800) and Kareem Hunt ($5,800) who are arguably better in PPR formats from a ceiling projection. Both are more likely to see more receptions than their running back counterparts.

Fading James Conner ($10,800) at his price tag could be a nice contrarian play. Coming off another injury and looking at Conner’s game logs he only has two games this year where he has averaged more than four yards per carry (Bengals and Dolphins). Browns are allowing 4.9 yards per carry this season. Cleveland’s run defense is slightly better at home.

Receivers in the captain spot are always usually the way to go, but are often overlooked. JuJu Smith-Schuster ($8,600) could be in line for a nice outing with his cornerback matchup versus T.J. Carrie. Carrie has taken over as the primary slot defensive back in Cleveland after the release of Jermaine Whitehead. He has allowed 1.79 yards per snap which is fourth-worst in the NFL. Carrie is by far the worst cornerback on the Browns. The two best performances from receivers versus the Browns this season were Cooper Kupp and Julian Edelman who both scored two touchdowns and had double-digit targets.

Image via Erik Drost

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