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Indianapolis Colts

Week 12 NFL DFS Thursday Night Showdown Preview with DFS Pro David Jones

5 years ago

written by

Week 12 in the NFL is all about finding the best opportunities for guaranteed production with high upside. Follow my stud and value plays and lock in the NFL DFS Picks of Destiny.

David Jones took down the Week 8 Monday Night Showdown which is the fourth time he has won it the past five contests.

David Jones won 100K on FanDuel! Read about it here

I want to start off this article by saying you must have the absolute nuts to win the top prize up top on large field GPPs. There is no room for mistakes with so many entries in these contests. If you think you are going to win it all by playing a combo of the top seven guys in the player pool, you are not. If a combo of a bunch of guys you have heard of before is indeed the best scoring lineup, you will most likely tie for first. If that sounds good to you, then go for it. It will be profitable if you nail it, but for me, I like to be a little different on these slates. I will be making multiple teams and taking long shots on a few cheap guys.

Leaving cash on the table in these NFL DFS contests is fine too. This makes your lineup even more unique and lower owned because a lot of amateurs will be pulling their hair out to use their entire salary.

That all being said, I have looked at every possible player that can get on the field and listed my picks below.

The NFL DFS Week 12 Thursday Night Showdown Picks

NFL DFS MVP: Deshaun Watson ($16,000 FD)

He is a dual-threat QB with multiple touchdown upside through the air and on the ground. MVP is close today, but I am locking in Watson as my top guy.

MVP Pivot: Jacoby Brissett ($15,000 FD)

He has an easier defense to pass against, however not as much rush upside.

MVP Pivot 2: DeAndre Hopkins ($14.500 FD)

Elite WR in a primetime spot. He should get double-digit targets and has two touchdown upside, especially if Houston somehow finds themselves playing from behind. If you have him as your MVP you better have Watson as a flex.

MVP Pivot 3: TY Hilton ($11,500 FD) HE IS PLAYING

He owns the Texans. If he is playing, he is healthy and is Jacoby Brissett’s top target. If he is your MVP you want Brissett as a flex.

Note: I think you are going to want multiple teams today. Taking one of these down with a single bullet is very difficult. If you are having a hard time deciding who to make MVP but love your build just make another team and switch the MVPs.

Honorable Mention: I have to mention my boy Will Fuller. If he is healthy you better believe I am going to have some MVP shares.

Flex Options:

Listed in order of preference, with price factored in.

Nyheim Hines ($10,000 FD) I like him better on DK. Houston gives up the most receptions to pass-catching backs.
Jonathan Williams ($12,500 FD) It feels weird to pay this much for a back that is splitting touches with two other guys (Hines and Wilkins), however, he is the “starter” tonight and will have the opportunity.
Will Fuller ($8,000 FD) He is playing. Love Fuller
Carlos Hyde ($13,000 FD) He has been pretty steady all season. Needs to get in the end zone to pay off. I have some concern over Watson stealing one of his touchdowns in the RedZone.
Darren Fells ($7,500 FD) The starting TE is too cheap. He has three touchdowns the past three games.
Duke Johnson ($10,500 FD) Houston pass-catching back, I don’t think I want him and Hyde on the same team.
Zach Pascal ($9,000 FD) Bump him way up if TY Hilton is out.
Kenny Stills ($8,500 FD) He is the clear WR 2 if Fuller (my boy) is out. We have to watch the news. I will update closer to lock when we have more information.
Jack Doyle ($8,500 FD)I like him a lot more if Ebron is out and/or if TY Hilton is out. UPDATE: Ebron in
Eric Ebron ($8,000 FD) Update: Prefer Ebron over Doyle
Jordan Wilkins ($6,500 FD) Seems too cheap. He has unimpressive game logs but is just as likely to get a RedZone rush attempt as Williams in my opinion. He will get a usage bump with Marlon Mack ruled out.
Adam Vinatieri ($9,000 FD) Hall of Fame kicker but it looks like his legendary career will be coming to an end very soon. I am not ready to count him out yet. I like that he is kicking in a dome.
Kyle Fairbairn ($9,500 FD) Houston kicker

I did my research on FanDuel today.

Punts Listed in order

Keke Coutee ($7,500 FD) If Fuller is out I like him a lot if Fuller is in, I have little to no interest.
Marcus Johnson ($8,500 FD) Priced too high for my liking, which makes him a punt
Chester Rodgers ($7,000 FD) Punt Colts WR. Helps somewhat that Paris Campbell is out
Jordan Akins ($6,000 FD) YOLO Texans TE punt

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5 years ago 0 comments

Week 11 DFS TE and DST NFL Picks: Andrews is Elite

jason mezrahi 5 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

It’s time for our Week 11 DFS recommendations for the Sunday main slate. I’m focusing on tight ends (TEs) and defenses (DSTs) that will help you win big!

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Week 11 DFS Tight End CashGame Plays

Mark Andrews, BAL vs. HOU

FD ($6,900) DK ($6,100)

With 6-53-2 in Week 10, things worked out for Andrews, who we listed as our top GPP choice. There’s a dearth of viable cash game options this week, so even in a tough matchup against the Texans, Andrews is likely the best we’ve got. You can always spend down at TE in cash games and assume a little more risk since it’s a generally inconsistent position in terms of week-to-week production, but Andrews should be considered an elite TE at this point.

Jared Cook, NO at TB

FD ($6,000) DK ($4,400)

It’s a ugly week at TE. Cook rarely can be considered a lock forproduction, but he’s been remarkably consistent for the past three weeks withdouble-digit DK points in all three, and his 10 targets last week were aseason-high for him. His price has comeup on FD, but DK still has him listed as just $4,400, making him a huge bargainin a great matchup (TB ranks 31st against TEs)

Week 9 DFS Tight End GPP Plays

Darren Waller, OAK vs. CIN

FD ($6,700) DK ($5,500)

Waller has just as much upside as any TE this week based on matchup and typical volume, but Derek Carr is spreading the ball around more to his other TEs and WRs like Hunter Renfrow. Waller is worth a look in GPPs, but he’s no cash game lock.

Eric Ebron, IND vs. JAC

FD ($5,200) DK ($3,600)

Ebronis actually the discounted Colts TE this week, coming in at a remarkably low $3,600after a 12-target game in Week 10 against the Dolphins. His ownership might bea little higher than Doyle’s based on the pricing.

Jack Doyle, IND vs. JAC

FD ($5,400) DK ($4,000)

It’s fascinating to watch Doyle and Ebron flip back andforth on DK, with Doyle priced up this week despite just four targets to Ebron’s12 a week ago. Both make sense for GPPs, though it would take some hutzpah toplay them both together. That’s not recommended.

T.J. Hockenson, DET vs. DAL

FD ($5,300) DK ($3,900)

Hockenson gets a favorable matchup against Dallas, as the Cowboys are30th in the league against TEs based on DK points allowed. The rookie parlayedhis six targets into 3-47-0 last week facing the Bears, and he gets Jeff Driskelagain this week. He’s not a lock, but worth sprinkling into some GPPs.

Ross Dwelley, SF vs. ARI

FD ($4,900) DK ($3,400)

Dwelley only hauled in three of his seven targets last week,but he faces the worst defense in the league against TEs and should have moresuccess against the Cards than he did against Seattle. George Kittle is listedas doubtful for Week 11.

Week 9 DFS Tight End PuntPlays

TylerEifert, CIN at OAK

FD ($5,000) DK ($3,200)

Eifert’s stock is on therise, as theBengals have installed Ryan Finley down the stretch and a big-bodied, sturdytarget like Tyler could offer a security blanket for the rookie. This week hegets a favorable matchup against a Raiders team that has struggled in passdefense and will likely allow multiple dump-offs to Eifert and the RBs.

Ryan Griffin, NYJ at MIA

FD ($4,800) DK ($2,900)

Griffin gets no respect ion the DK pricing algorithm, andthat’s just fine with me. I’ll have tons of shares of the Jets TE, especiallywith Chris Herndon out for the season and no longer a threat to cut into hissnaps and targets.

Greg Olsen, CAR vs. ATL

FD ($5,100) DK ($3,900)

Olsen had 10 targetslast week and he could have a huge impact in this game if the Falcons stack thebox against CMC. I love the Panthers offense as a whole this week, as last week’sperformance vs. the Saints was probably an anomaly.

Kyle Rudolph, MIN vs. DEN

FD ($4,500) DK ($3,600)

FanDuel must have something against Rudolph, because he’s just $4,500 there. For a guy with four TDs in his last four weeks, that’s way too low. Use him in GPPs at TE or flex if you aren’t loading up on Dalvin Cook and the run game.

Additional Week 9 DFS GPP andpunt options:

ZachErtz, PHI vs. NE (FD $6,200, DK $5,000) – GPP

NoahFant, DEN at MIN (FD $5,100, DK $3,700) – GPP

O.J.Howard, TB vs. NO (FD $5,300, DK $3,600) – GPP

MikeGesicki, MIA vs. BUF (FD $5,100, DK $3,500) – GPP

BlakeJarwin, DAL at DET (FD $4,500, DK $2,900) – Punt

NickBoyle, BAL (FD $4,900, DK $2,700) – Punt

Week 11 DFS DST Cash GamePlays

Buffalo Bills (BUF at MIA)

FD ($5,000) DK ($3,800)

In Week 11, the Bills facethe Dolphins. They had a poor showing versus the Browns in Week 10 but scored10+ against this Miami team in Week 7 when Preston Williams was healthy andthey had more viable RBs. They offer a solid floor and upside this week and shouldbe a cash game staple, and the price on DK is still affordable.

New Orleans Saints (NO vs. ATL)

FD ($5,000) DK ($3,700)

With 14 sacks over theirpast four games, the Saints make for a solid option in all formats against abanged-up Falcons offensive unit. They’re cash-viable with 20-point upside inGPPs.

San Francisco 49ers (SF vs.ARI)

FD ($4,900) DK ($4,000)

The 49ers defense gets a favorable matchup and is one of thebest units in the game, and they didn’t take advantage a couple weeks ago in Arizona.Now, on their home turf, we could see a completely different story emerge. They’re solid play in all formats.

Week 11 DFS DST GPP Plays

New England Patriots (NE atPHI)

FD ($5,000) DK ($3,500)

This might be the cheapest you’ll see the Patriots defense the restof the way out this season on DK, where they’ve scored double digits in everyweek of the season except Week 9 and their bye. They should easily be $4Kagainst a banged-up Eagles team that’s lacking in consistent offensive options.The best option for GPPs (20+ upside) and cash-viable as well.

Minnesota Vikings (MIN vs. DEN)

FD ($4,700) DK ($3,400)

The Vikings defensive line must be licking theircollective chops at the prospect of going after Brandon Allen on their hometurf. This week could feature their highest DST score since the dropped 16 DKpoints on Atlanta in Week 1.

Oakland Raiders (OAK vs. CIN)

FD ($5,000) DK ($3,300)

The Raiders face one ofthe worst teams in the league, if not the worst, and should put plenty of pressureon Ryan Finley despite their issues with pass coverage. They might have a lowerflor than some of these other STs listed, but they have just as much upside asanyone except the Pats and Vikings.

Dallas Cowboys (DAL at DET)

FD ($4,100) DK ($3,600)

The Cowboys are relatively inexpensive, because they’re a risky bunchto get into shootouts and don’t create a ton of turnovers. They have muchhigher upside this week against a poor run defense (they can slow it down andyou can pair Ezekiel Elliott with the Cowboys DST in a few GPP builds)) and apositive game script for the defense against Jeff Driskel.

Indianapolis Colts (IND vs. JAC)

FD ($4,400) DK ($3,300)

TheColts are a boom-or-bust GPP play this week, as they face the Jaguars and NickFoles. I’m willing to consider them at home against a QB who could be rusty,especially sine they have a solid run defense and Foles might be forced to throwa bit more than he’d like in his first game back.

Week 11 DFS DST PuntPlays

New York Jets (NYJ at WAS)

FD ($4,500) DK ($3,100)

The Jets face a rookie QB (Dwayne Haskins) and have looked muchbetter defensively the past few weeks. They’re a viable play in all formatsthis week and still won’t cost you much.

Baltimore Ravens (BAL vs. HOU)

FD ($4,300) DK ($3,000)

The Ravens DST has a toughmatchup, but the Texans are not immune to mistakes. They’re a risky play butcheap on both sites and GPP viable.

Carolina Panthers (CAR vs. ATL)

FD ($3,700) DK ($3,000)

The Panthers might be my favorite punt defense this week in GPPs,because they have the best RB in fantasy and the Falcons are a mistake-prone groupmissing their top RB and TE Austin Hooper, a key safety valve for Matt Ryan.

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Michael Thomas, Jared Cook and Mike Evans are my guys, though if youre skittish about using a TE you can go with Alvin Kamara or Chris Godwin.

5 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports NFL

Week 10 DFS TE and DST NFL Picks: Hooper is My Homeboy

jason mezrahi 5 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

It’s time for our Week 10 DFS recommendations for the Sunday main slate. I’m focusing on tight ends (TEs) and defenses (DSTs) that will help you win big!

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Week 10 DFS Tight End CashGame Plays

Austin Hooper, ATL at NO

FD ($6,800) DK ($6,300)

No tight end in the NFL has more double-digit fantasy performancesthis season, as Hooper has averaged 18.6 FPPG on DK and 14.63 on FD. Thematchup may be tough on paper, but the Falcons will be throwing the ball inthis one and Hooper is a lock for 7-10 targets each week. He’s got the highestfloor and a Top 3 ceiling.

Travis Kelce, KC at TEN

FD ($6,700) DK ($6,900)

Kelce caught 7-62-0 on nine targets last week, but with Patrick Mahomeslooking ready to suit up for Week 10, we might see the big TE finally reachpaydirt for only the second time since mid-September, when he dropped 7-107-1on the Raiders. I’m expecting a stat line closer to that than the morepedestrian totals we’ve been seeing.

Week 10 DFS Tight End GPP Plays

Mark Andrews, BAL at CIN

FD ($6,800) DK ($5,200)

The exciting young TE isfar from a cash game lock against a Bengals defense that may struggle tocontain Baltimore’s running game. Game script may dictate a conservativeapproach from the Ravens and they might just not need much from Andrews. But ifCincy can somehow keep this thing close, we could see monster day from him.

GeraldEverett, LAR at PIT

FD ($5,700) DK ($4,500)

The Rams are without Brandin Cooks, and both WR JoshReynolds and Everett get a big bump this week against the Steelers. Everett hassome of the biggest GPP upside on this slate, and his price isn’t oppressiveenough that we are forced to compromise at other positions. He has three gamesof 15+ DK points so far, including a 23.6-point effort against Seattle in Week5 – so get him in some of your Sunday builds.

Eric Ebron, IND vs. MIA

FD ($4,900) DK ($3,900)

I’m notgoing to begin to parse how the pricing algorithms on FD and DK are this wonkywhen it comes to Ebron and his teammate (discussed below), but there’s merit toplaying both of these guys in GPPs against the Dolphins, who have done a betterjob keeping games close the past few weeks. Ebron is a boom-or-bust GPP optionjust about every week, and we need to consider him, even if we don’t load up.

Jack Doyle, IND vs. MIA

FD ($5,200) DK ($3,600)

Doyle is a huge bargain on DK and relatively expensive onFD, but he’s an excellent GPP option on both and could have a higher floor thanthe aforementioned Ebron. It would take some enormous hutzpah to play both in aGPP, and I’m not necessarily recommending it, but if there was a week to do it,it would be one like this.

T.J. Hockenson, DET at CHI

FD ($5,300) DK ($3,900)

Hockenson gets a favorable matchup against the Bears, who are 30thin the NFL vs. TEs. No major worries the concussion front, either, as he wasevaluated during Week 9 but just had the wind knocked out of him on a big hit.He’s an excellent GPP value play with upside.

Jonnu Smith, TEN vs.KC

FD ($5,100) DK ($3,500)

Delanie Walker (ankle) has been ruled out again, and it’s asituation Smith is familiar with. He’s had a couple different results – with a6-78-1 receiving line in a Week 8 win over Tampa Bay and a not-so-great 3-18-0in last week’s loss to the Panthers. The matchup with the Chiefs is on the favorableside, as they are 22nd in the NFL vs. TEs.

Week 10 DFS Tight End Punt Plays

CameronBrate, TB vs. ARI

FD ($5,100) DK ($3,700)

Brate gets to face theworst team in the league at defending TEs and he’s the best option at theposition for the Bucs. TheKing is with me on this, so feel free to roll Brate out in GPPs and evensome cash games if you don’t want to spend up.

Ryan Griffin, NYJ at MIA

FD ($5,100) DK ($3,100)

Griffin has double-digit fantasy points on DK in three of his last four and caught six of eight targets for 50 yards in Sunday’s 26-18 loss to the Dolphins. His Week 10 matchup is against the Giants, who are 28th in the league vs. his. With Chris Herndon questionable again, Griffin is a staple of my GPP builds.

Greg Olsen, CAR at GB

FD ($5,100) DK ($3,600)

Olsen hasn’t shown much upside in the past several weeks, as the Panthers offense has involved the WRs more and focused on being the Christian McCaffrey show. We’ll see another big workload from CMC, but the Packers secondary is more likely to yield completions underneath to Olsen than the big play. If this thing turns into an offensive explosion, Olsen could get more red-zone looks and make for a cheap, TD-dependent GPP play.

Mike Gesicki, MIA vs. IND

FD ($5,300) DK ($3,100)

The suddenly relevant Gesicki matches up against the AFC’s second-worst team vs. TEs, and he’s been relatively efficient the past three weeks. Absent Preston Williams, the Miami offense could work him into more routes and targets for Week 10.

Additional Week 10 DFS GPP and punt options:

JimmyGraham, GB vs. CAR (FD $5,800, DK $4,000) – GPP

VanceMcDonald, PIT vs. LAR (FD $5,600, DK $3,800) – GPP

JaredCook, NO vs. ATL (FD $5,800, DK $4,100) – GPP

O.J.Howard, TB vs. ARI (FD $5,000, DK $3,300) – Punt

RhettEllison, NYG at NYJ (FD $5,000, DK $2,500) – Punt

Tyler Eifert, CIN vs. BAL(FD $5,000, DK $3,000) – Punt

Week 10 DFS DST Cash Game Plays

Baltimore Ravens (BAL at CIN)

FD ($5,000) DK ($4,000)

The Ravens DST has a great matchup this week and has proven themselves worthy even against the toughest of opponents, with 31 combined DK points over the past two weeks against the Seahawks and Patriots. They’re easy to lock into cash games.

New Orleans Saints (NO vs. ATL)

FD ($5,000) DK ($3,700)

With 14 sacks over their past four games, the Saints make for a solid option in all formats against a banged-up Falcons offensive unit. They’re cash-viable with a 20-point upside in GPPs.

Week 10 DFS DST GPP Plays

Indianapolis Colts (IND vs.MIA)

FD ($4,900) DK ($3,500)

The Colts draw the best matchup of Week 10 and should be a chalky GPP option facing Miami. They’ve averaged 8.5 DK points over their last three and have a 15-point upside on Sunday.

Los Angeles Rams (LAR at PIT)

FD ($4,600) DK ($3,000)

The Rams are a sneaky play this week facing the Steelers, who seem to limit mistakes and play a conservative style that doesn’t yie4ld a lot of turnovers. Still, the Rams have a slew of impact defensive players who give them an enormous upside in GPPs.

Buffalo Bills (BUF at CLE)

FD ($4,500) DK ($2,900)

In Week 10, the Bills facethe Browns, who make a lot of mistakes. The road matchup and two recent weak effortsare the only things that will keep me from using them more.

New York Giants (NYG at NYJ)

FD ($4,600) DK ($3,500)

The Giants just acquired Leonard Williams from the Jets not toolong ago, and we’ve seen the Jets struggle to score the football in the redzone. They make for a boom-or-bust GPP play in a game that could end up being adefenseless shootout.

Chicago Bears (CHI at PHI)

FD ($4,200) DK ($3,100)

The Bears DST has been remarkably quiet lately, but Matthew Stafford and the Lions tend to push the ball up the field and throw over the top of the defense, which can lead to multiple turnovers. They’re far from safe, but they have an upside.

Week 10 DFS DST Punt Plays

Pittsburgh Steelers (PIT vs. LAR)

FD ($4,100) DK ($2,600)

Scott Engel mentioned these guys, along with the Chiefs in hispunts column this week, and I’m right there with him. The Steelers defensehas been maddeningly consistent with its DK scoring, averaging 11.8 on the seasonand posting 19, 11, 14, 13, and 19 points in succession since Week 4.

Kansas City Chiefs (KC vs. TEN)

FD ($3,700) DK ($2,700)

The Chiefs defense – especially the pass rush – is underrated, andthey should have DL Chris Jones back for a second consecutive week, which meansRyan Tannehill could be in trouble. I’m on board as a GPP punt in large-field,low-stakes tourneys.

Cleveland Browns (CLE vs. BUF)

FD ($3,500) DK ($2,500)

The Browns’ defensive line is loaded with talent and the defensive backs seem sot be getting healthy. They could give the Bills some problems, but they remain a longshot for viable production. I’d avoid them in lineups using Devin Singletary and/or the Bills passing game, obviously.

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Goal: 23.5, Prize: 3x

I am including TE Austin Hooper with WRs Julio Jones and Michael Thomas in this MKF bet, going for broke on the 3x, because these three guys can easily average 8 receptions each this week. Thomas might be good for 12 on his own, and Jones and Hooper each have about 7-8 in them too.

Photo of Austin Hooper via Thomson200 at Wikimedia Commons.

5 years ago 0 comments

Sports Betting Premium

Cash with Flash Best Bets: NFL Sunday!

6 years ago

written by

Cash withthe Flash Best Bets had a forgettable Saturday and one where we won’t betalking about it other than to say we’ve had better days. Days like our Saturdayalso remind me of something I heard years ago on a Las Vegas sports betting TVshow.

Never get toohigh or too low because what’s done is done and tomorrow is another day.

Bankrollmanagement isthe key to survival in sports betting and since I don’t know your personalfinancial situation, it’s up to you to decide what to bet, how much to bet, whento fade these plays or even to go against us.

Cash with the Flash Best Bets is cool with whatever helps you win becausewe are here to help you win cash.

The NBA begins Tuesday night and Cash with the Flash Best Bets will have an NBA Betting Primer with terms and strategies and whatever else you need to kick off the NBA season in the right way. Look for that Tuesday.

Sunday is anew day and Cashwith the Flash Bets has some ideas for you to consider for this action-packedsports day.

BaltimoreRavens vs SeattleSeahawks

Cash withthe Flash Best Bets: Seattle -150

Cash with the Flash Best Bets believes this to be our play of theday. How can you not at least consider the Seahawks at home against the Ravens?That’s a great price on a football team that is 5-1 overall and 2-1 at home withtheir only home loss coming against the now 5-1 New Orleans Saints? Seattleopened as a four-point favorite and that’s been bet down to where it now sitsat Seahawks -3 points.

Cash with the FlashBest Bets believesthe Seahawks will win this game and refuses to lay any points on this game asthis could end up one of those old-fashioned shootouts that end in a one-pointvictory.

Both Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson and Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson are MVP candidates and both quarterbacks are up against two decent defenses and it should be fun to watch them do their thing this afternoon. According to Football Outsiders, Seattle has the edge in both offensive and defensive DVOA and Seattle is playing at home.

It will be a wetday in Seattle with winds under 10 miles per hour and both teams shouldbe able to do whatever they intend on doing offensively without the weathergetting in the way. Cash with the Flash Best Bets suggests playing the SeattleSeahawks to defeat the Baltimore Ravens in this contest.

Cash with the Flash Best Bets likes the following NFL plays thisafternoon.

NewOrleans Saints +4 over the Chicago Bears

Miami Dolphins+17.5 points over the Buffalo Bills

HoustonTexans +105 over the Indianapolis Colts

LosAngeles Rams -165 over the Atlanta Falcons

JacksonvilleJaguars -4.5 over the Cincinnati Bengals

DetroitLions +2.5 over the Minnesota Vikings

PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEWARTICLES, STATISTICS, AND DATA ARE BEING ADDEDCONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE.

The opinions expressed in this article are the author’s own and donot reflect the views or opinions of Win Daily or any of the employees and/orexecutives of Win Daily. All data and information provided on this siteare for informational purposes only. Win Daily makes no representationsas to accuracy, completeness, currentness, suitability, or validity of anyinformation on this site and will not be liable for any errors, omissions, ordelays in this information or any losses, injuries, or damages arising from itsdisplay or use. All information is provided on an as-is basis.

6 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports NFL

Week 4 NFL DFS TE and DST Picks: Evan the Excellent

jason mezrahi 6 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

We’re into an exciting Week 4 DFS for NFL action and I’m looking at some TEs and DSTs to plug into your daily fantasy lineups and win some of that sweet, sweet green in cash games and GPPs. Let’s shed the bracket coverage, avoid the pesky double teams and find the paydirt!

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Week 4 DFS Tight End Cash Game Plays

EvanEngram, NYG vs. WAS

FD ($6,800) DK ($5,700)

Engram is still the best receiver available on the Giants, so that hasn’t changed since Week 1 – and has been elevated to either the No. 1 fantasy TE or No. 2 by just about every expert polled in Week 4. More than anything else, consensus rankings that uniform are the stuff of cash game gold – and we needn’t look further than Engram’s game logs and target totals (14,8,8) to know that he’s a reliable pass catcher who’s involved in every aspect of the offense. With rookie QB Daniel Jones (DAMN, Daniel!) at the helm and Saquon Barkley injured, the Giants TE will be heavily riled upon in Week 4.

DarrenWaller, OAK at IND

FD($6,700) DK ($5,200)

A guy who rarely comes off the field for the Raiders offense and has seen target totals of 8, 7 and 14 in the first three games, Waller entered the season as a highly touted, but somewhat risky fantasy option on a rudderless team without a bona fide No. 1 receiver. He hasn’t yet to score a TD, and that makes him kind of risky in GPPs – where he’ll be pretty highly owned. But Waller has incredibly managed to put himself into fine position as a cash game option with his elite level of involvement in just about every Oakland game script. I’m not saying he’s a bad GPP play, but he’s going to be chalky along with Engram.

Week 4 DFS Tight End GPP Plays

TravisKelce, KC at DET

FD(7,600) DK ($7,200)

Once again, Kelce has adifficult on-paper matchup that could keep a portion of the field away, and he’sstill very much a viable cash game option despite facing the Lions – who havedefended TEs well so far. But he’s my top GPP option of the Week and it’s not especiallyclose. At the moment, I’m looking at having ownership levels north of 50percent for Kelce, who’s put up consistent target totals of 8, 9 and 8 in hisfirst three games and has already compiled 25-284-1 on the season. He’s primedfor a two-TD game versus the Lions and I’m not especially afraid of theirdefense, which will struggle to contain this big-bodied gamebreaker.

EricEbron, IND vs. OAK

FD($5,300) DK ($4,000)

With Jacoby Brissett really clicking in this Colts offense and the Raiders safeties and linebackers looking a bit sluggish and underwhelming, I’ll have some shares of Ebron at this price. He hasn’t drawn any huge target totals this season and splits the field time with Jack Doyle, who’s another possible GPP option. What Ebron (11-80-1 on the season through three games) offers in Week 4 is likely increased usage inside the red zone, where he should have more opportunities than usual given Oakland defensive futility. He won’t draw much ownership and we know he has enormous upside – albeit a relatively low floor.

DelanieWalker, TEN at ATL

FD($5,700) DK ($4,800)

Walker is nursing a kneeinjury that has seen him miss consecutive practices, but if he’s available –even in a limited fashion – during Friday’s sessions I’ll find a way to use himin some tournaments. Walker is a veteran TE who’s posted 16-158-2 over his firstthree games and has a history of playing hurt, which can be a blessing and acure for fantasy owners. He’s fairly priced on both sites and has decent upside againstan Atlanta team that just lost Keanu Neal – its standout strong safety – to atorn Achilles. If Walker plays on Sunday, I’ll have some exposure.

Week 4 DFS Tight End Punt Plays

WillDissly, SEA at ARI

FD($5,400) DK ($3,600)

I make sure I lead off the punts by reminding you that you’ll be assuming a considerable amount of risk not looking to the obvious top TEs, but I’m not so sure that Dissly isn’t obvious at this point – given the matchup against the dreadful Cardinals and the upside that he’s established. After a quiet Week 1, Will has put up performances of 5-50-2 on five targets and 6-62-1 on seven targets. He’s worth rostering in all contests as a FLEX pairing with a more chalky TE or as a “contrarian light” option if you’re fading the five or six guys ahead of him in the weekly fantasy rankings. He’ll still garner ownership, but it probably won’t be as high as it should be.

MikeGesicki, MIA vs. LAC

FD($4,600) DK ($2,600)

Gesickiis a complete dart throw given Miami’s putrid offense and the fact that he’s onlyseen 11 targets through the first there weeks. But don’t look at him havingjust six catches for 51 yards without a touchdown through threegames as a negative – look at it as an opportunity to keep his ownership in the0-5 percent range. The second-year tight end won’t be a cash game optionanytime soon, but he’s likely to see increased targets in Week 4 versus the Chargerswith WRs Albert Wilson (calf/hip) and Allen Hurns (concussion) questionable anddoubtful, respectively.

Additional Week 4 DFS GPP/Punt options:

Mark Andrews, BAL vs. CLE (FD $6,100, DK $5,000) – Nursing a foot injury, so a GPP option you should make sure is playing.

Austin Hooper, ATL vs. TEN (FD $6,400, DK $4,300) – Hooper is my white whale for DFS TEs, and I’m always on the wrong end of his capricious antics.

O.J. Howard, TB at LAR (FD $5,900, DK $3,900) – At some point they’re going to start throwing to him.

Vernon Davis, WAS at NYG (FD $5,100, DK $3,400) – He’s old as the hills, but he’s playing the Giants and this one could get interesting.

Week 4 DFS DST Cash Game Plays

LosAngeles Chargers (LAC at MIA)

FD($5,300) DK ($3,800)

The Chargers are playing the Dolphins – and while we needn’tsay much more than that, it’s important to point out that despite a bevy of solidpass rushers, they have only recorded four sacks through three games. That’s anumber set to increase on Sunday against the worst offensive line in football. Don’toverthink this one and get the Chargers DST in there in cash games if you canafford it.

JacksonvilleJaguars (JAX at DEN)

FD($4,700) DK ($3,700)

It’s somewhat dangerous to play a defense at Mile High – a venue that doesn’t lend itself to standout performances for opponents. But these Denver Broncos are not a well-oiled machine, and they could have trouble moving the ball against the Jaguars defense. This Jacksonville unit is coming off its best game of the season in Week 3, when they racked up nine sacks and recovered a fumble, their first takeaway in 2019. They’d obviously like to have Jalen Ramsey for this game, but he’s on paternity leave and probably won’t be available in Week 4. If he somehow is, the Jags are an even better play.

Week 4 DFS DST GPP Plays

LosAngeles Rams (LAR vs. TB)

FD($4,300) DK ($3,500)

The Rams DST has been consistent from a fantasy points perspective,scoring 9, 8 and 9 FP in the first three weeks of the season. They have somesuperstar defensive lineman, including one of the best in the game, a group ofcapable LBs and some excellent defensive backs. They’ve also notched an INT ineach of their contests so far and should continue that streak against JameisWinston and the Bucs. Plug them in some of your GPPs and enjoy the results.

ChicagoBears (CHI vs. MIN)

FD($4,700) DK ($3,400)

By way of their electrifying performance in Week 3, the Bearscould garner some higher ownership levels than they might deserve against a Vikingsunit that runs the ball a lot and will do everything they can to prevent KirkCousins from getting in too many 3rd and long situations. Truthfully, that’s apretty smart strategy against a Bears defense that caused five turnovers Mondaynight against the Redskins.

Week 4 DFS DST Punt Plays

IndianapolisColts (IND vs. OAK)

FD($4,300) DK ($3,100)

The Colts defense had four sacks in each of its first twogames before the goose egg against Atlanta, and I expect a much betterperformance at home facing the woeful Raiders. They give up some yardage, butfor this price I’m buying shares.

TennesseeTitans (TEN at ATL)

FD($3,500) DK ($2,600)

Ina week without too many viable punt options at DST, this is about as cheap as I’dlike to go. The Titans secondary is much better than they played last Thursdaynight in Jacksonville, and despite a difficult matchup against a potent Atlantaoffense, there’s plenty to like in terms of their upside (23 FP in Week 1) and theplaymaking ability of their ball-hawking defensive backs.

AdditionalDST options:

New England Patriots (NE at BUF)

Houston Texans (HOU vs. CAR)

Evan Engram Featured Image via Keith Allison

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