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Indiana Pacers

NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 11/28

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

There is a strong possibility that many stars will be missing on this NBA slate. Injury reports are already riddled with questionable tags and there are surely more to come. However, there are a few games that stand out above the rest amongst the uncertainty. It’s a Mojito Monday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

While some players have already been ruled out, the availability of many more is up in the air. Thus, be sure to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups as the news rolls in. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

OKC Thunder @ New Orleans Pelicans (-4.5)

OKC Thunder (+4.5)

Assuming Brandon Ingram (toe) misses this game, the Pelicans backcourt is extremely overmatched tonight. The duo of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Josh Giddey have been leading one of the most entertaining offenses the NBA has to offer. Over their last four games, the Thunder are only 1-3, but they have averaged 118.25 points per game. During the same span, SGA and Giddey have usage rates of 33.1% and 24.4%, respectively, which are the top two on the team. Moreover, SGA continues to lead the team in scoring with a 30.8/5.8/7 scoring line over his last four, while Giddey has averaged 14.5/7.8/6. SGA has a higher ceiling in terms of raw points, but Giddey has one of his own given his rebounding and assist upside.

New Orleans Pelicans (-4.5)

CJ McCollum remains out for this game and it looks like Brandon Ingram (toe) will be joining him. Currently listed as doubtful, the Pelicans backcourt will be a popular spot for value on this NBA slate. The duo of Jose Alvarado and Devonte’ Graham will both see a notable uptick in minutes should Ingram miss this game. In their last three games, both Alvarado and Graham has been efficient with their time on the court. The duo sport usage rates of 15.9% and 21.1%, respectively, while combining for 22.3 points per game. Zion Williamson instantly becomes the primary option on offense should Ingram be ruled out, but this rotation will be highlighted by the value it brings to the table.

Chicago Bulls @ Utah Jazz (-3.5)

Chicago Bulls (+3.5)

The Bulls take on a reeling Jazz squad and are all affordable. Moreover, the Jazz are ranked 24th in the NBA in defensive efficiency, making this game environment one of the best on the slate. There are four players of interest here: DeMar DeRozan, Zach Lavine, Nikola Vucevic, and Patrick Williams. While the duo of DeRozan and Lavine have the higher ceiling of the trio, Vucevic has the best matchup. The Bulls center has four double-doubles in his last five games where he has sported an 18.4% usage rate. Moreover, he has posted a 14.2/11.4/4 scoring line on 49.2% shooting. The Jazz rank 29th in the league against true centers, giving him the ceiling he needs at an affordable price tag. Lastly, Patrick Williams makes for an intriguing value play. He has now logged 26 or more minutes in four straight games, scoring in double digits in all four.

Utah Jazz (-3.5)

Exposure to the Jazz will depend on the status of Lauri Markkanen. Currently battling a knee injury, Markkanen collided with Deandre Ayton the other night and it did not look good. However, there has been no confirmation just yet, so be sure to monitor this injury report closely. Utah has drastically condensed their rotation and it makes for an interesting scenario for fantasy purposes. In a matchup against the Bulls, Collin Sexton, Jordan Clarkson, Malik Beasley, and Kelly Olynyk will log heavy minutes in a fast-paced environment. The Bulls are weakest on the wing, meaning Beasley will be intriguing off the bench, but look for updates in Discord once we get confirmation on Markkanen.

Indiana Pacers @ Los Angeles Lakers (-4.5)

Indiana Pacers (+4.5)

At the top of the pricing grid, Tyrese Haliburton is an intriguing play for tournaments. Not only does he currently lead the NBA in assists per game with 11.1, but the second ranked player, Trae Young, averages 9.1. There is a sizeable improvement in Haliburton’s playmaking and a matchup against a Lakers defense that ranks 28th versus primary ball handlers is hard to pass on. However, both Myles Turner and Buddy Hield are intriguing options as well. The two have been at the center of trade rumors with their opponent and certainly have something to prove. Turner will have no minutes concern given the need to have him match Anthony Davis in the paint, while Hield gets a friendly matchup versus a Lakers defense that ranks 27th against wings.

Los Angeles Lakers (-4.5)

Exposure to the Lakers depends on the status of Anthony Davis. While LeBron James is also listed as questionable, there is little doubt that he will play. However, a calf injury forced Davis to miss the second half of a back-to-back against the Spurs. Nonetheless, there are elite options are both ends of the pricing grid here. Obviously, at the top, both James and Davis are strong options. Moreover, Dennis Schroder has now logged 20 or more minutes in four straight games. While he is clearly the third, if not fourth option on offense, he has been efficient on offense with limited opportunity while posting just under one DraftKings point per minute. Not only do the Lakers lead the NBA in pace, but their opponent is ranked sixth.

Honorable Mentions:

Atlanta Hawks @ Philadelphia 76ers (-1.5)
Phoenix Suns @ Sacramento Kings (-1.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 11/25

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

After a day off yesterday, the NBA is back in action tonight. With nearly every team taking the court, this slate has a multitude of possibilities. Injuries will be key to monitor, especially with the expected returns of multiple players whom sat out on Wednesday to rest. It’s a Fajita Friday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

We saw many key players in multiple rotations sit out on Wednesday. As a result, they have now had 48 hours to recuperate with yesterday’s day off. However, injuries are still expected to roll in as we get closer to lock. Thus, be sure to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups as the news rolls in. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

Brooklyn Nets @ Indiana Pacers (+3.5)

Brooklyn Nets (-3.5)

If you are living in the mid range of the pricing grid tonight, look no further than Ben Simmons for exposure to one of the best game environments on the slate. Over the last four games, Simmons has a modest 17.4% usage rate. However, he has been efficient on both sides of the ball. Simmons is not shooting the ball a ton, but he is averaging 15.5/7.5/7.3 on 80% shooting in his last four appearances. Moreover, Simmons is being tasked with elevating Brooklyn’s perimeter defense, leading to 1.75 steals per game and 1.5 blocks per game. While his price has quickly increased over the last week, it still is not high enough for someone that has triple-double potential in a matchup against an Indiana defense that ranks 18th in the NBA.

Indiana Pacers (+3.5)

With Ben Simmons playing excellent defense on the perimeter, I’ll be looking elsewhere than Tyrese Haliburton. He is still in a good spot while running an offense that ranks 8th in the NBA, but his ceiling in this one is concerning. Thus, with Brooklyn’s struggles versus combo guards, I’ll be looking to Benedict Mathurin off the bench. Not only is the Canadian a favorite for Rookie of the Year, but he is also a strong candidate for Sixth Man of the Year. Surprisingly, it is Mathurin, not Haliburton, who leads the Pacers in usage rate at 26.8%. Moreover, Mathurin has posted a 19.4/3.9/1.8 scoring line on 44.4% shooting, including 43.3% from deep.

New Orleans Pelicans @ Memphis Grizzlies (-1.5)

New Orleans Pelicans (+1.5)

One of the key injuries already disclosed on this NBA is CJ McCollum, who has been ruled out after being placed in health and safety protocols. Moreover, there is a possibility that others join him, so be sure to keep an eye on this injury report leading up to lock. In his absence, Brandon Ingram will be the primary ball handler. While the field will likely chase Zion Williamson’s performance from last game, I do not like the matchup against Jaren Jackson Jr. Rather, it is Ingram who gets the favorable spot against a Memphis defense that ranks 20th in the NBA in defensive efficiency and 23rd against primary ball handlers.

Memphis Grizzlies (-1.5)

Suddenly, the Grizzlies are one of the most shorthanded teams in the NBA. Not only does Desmond Bane remain out for this game, but Santi Aldama is doubtful and John Konchar is questionable. This will be a key injury report to monitor. Nonetheless, while Ja Morant makes for an elite target in a favorable game environment, I’ll take a point guard listed below over him. Thus, I’ll be turning to Jaren Jackson Jr. once again. Through three appearances this season, JJJ carries a 30.2% usage rate while averaging 18/7 on 40.9% shooting. Moreover, he is averaging over one steal per game and a whopping 4.33 blocks. With the Pelicans ranked 19th in the league in points allowed in the paint per game, JJJ will get more looks on offense in a thin rotation.

Utah Jazz @ Golden State Warriors (-6.5)

Utah Jazz (+6.5)

Make no mistake about it, Lauri Markkanen is one of the best stories in the early stages of the NBA season. However, there is another player stealing the spotlight recently. With 20 or more points in three of his last four games, Malik Beasley has been crucial for the Jazz. In the absence of Mike Conley, no one has stepped up as much as Beasley. In his last four games, Beasley has posted a 22.8/5.8/2 scoring line on 48.4% shooting, including 44.2% from deep. Moreover, he has an outstanding 25.7% usage rate, despite coming off the bench. With the Warriors ranked 23rd against off-ball spot-up shooters, Beasley will look to continue his impressive run in a favorable matchup.

Golden State Warriors (-6.5)

His price is high but Steph Curry has one of the highest ceilings on this NBA slate. Looking to turn their season around, the Warriors are now 3-1 in their last four games. During that stretch, Curry has a modest 28.6% usage rate. However, it has not stopped him from averaging 26.3/6/11.3 on 49.2% shooting, including 43.2% from deep. With the Jazz ranked 21st in defensive rating, most notable struggling on the perimeter, Curry is an elite option.

Honorable Mentions:

Los Angeles Lakers @ San Antonio Spurs (+4.5)
Atlanta Hawks @ Houston Rockets (+6.5)
Sacramento Kings @ Boston Celtics (-7.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 11/18

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

There are plenty of intriguing storylines for tonight’s NBA slate. A multitude of players have already been ruled out, while others seem to be on the wrong side of their questionable tags. It’s a Fajita Friday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Multiple players are currently listed on their team’s respective injury report. With eleven games on the schedule tonight, those lists will only grow. Thus, be sure to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups as the news rolls in. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

Indiana Pacers @ Houston Rockets (+5)

Indiana Pacers (-5)

If I didn’t like the studs in the game below this one as much as I do, I’d be all over Tyrese Haliburton. In summary, this is a dream spot for the Pacers’ plethora of guards. The Rockets rank 28th in the NBA in defensive rating, 29th versus primary ball handlers, and 29th versus off-ball guards. This bodes well for the trio of Haliburton, Hield, and Mathurin. While it’s a good spot for all three, I want to also highlight Myles Turner. Sporting a 21.8% usage rate on the season, Turner has posted an 18.1/8.9/1.6 scoring line on 52.9% shooting. Moreover, Turner has posted four straight double-doubles. During that span, he has averaged 22.5/10.8/1.5 on 59.6% shooting through a 22.5% usage rate. Whether it comes in the form of the three guards or Turner, you need exposure to this Pacers offense in one of the best game environments on the slate.

Houston Rockets (+5)

This is a great game environment for the mid range of the pricing grid. With the Pacers ranked 25th in defensive rating, I’m going right to the Rockets’ backcourt duo in Kevin Porter Jr. and Jalen Green. Now, the former is listed as questionable, so be sure to keep an eye on that leading up to lock. However, both are firmly in play, should they both suit up. Green leads the team in usage rate at 27.1%, while Porter Jr. slots in second with a 26.4% rate of his own. They have combined for over 40 points per game this season while taking over 33 shots per night. Indiana currently ranks 22nd in the NBA versus primary ball handlers, while ranking in 27th versus off-ball guards. Moreover, the Pacers rank 29th in opposing three-point percentage allowed and 25th in three-pointers made per game, allowing 13.4 per game.

OKC Thunder @ Memphis Grizzlies (-6)

OKC Thunder (+6)

Tied for third in league scoring, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is one of the best players in the league right now. Averaging a career-high 32.3 points per game, SGA has scored 37 or more points in four of his last five games. Moreover, he has posted a 35/4.4/6.2 scoring line on 56% shooting while carrying a 34.7% usage rate. Facing a Memphis defense that sits 19th in defensive efficiency and 23rd versus primary ball handlers, SGA is one of the best plays on the NBA slate.

Memphis Grizzlies (-6)

If you are looking for a back and forth between two of the league’s best young talents, look no further. Ja Morant played excellent in a losing effort to the Pelicans the other night. Despite the team only being able to muster 102 points, Morant posted a 36/8/4 scoring line on 48.1% shooting. Moreover, he led the team with a whopping 40.7% usage rate and finished +5 on the night. With the Thunder ranked third in the NBA in pace, this game environment is right up the alley of Morant.

Denver Nuggets @ Dallas Mavericks (-6.5)

Denver Nuggets (+6.5)

This is far from an elite game environment. However, with Jamal Murray (health and safety protocols) joining Nikola Jokic (health and safety protocols) on the sidelines, the Nuggets will be the most popular rotation on the NBA slate. Michael Porter Jr. instantly becomes the primary shot taker, but his efficiency has been lackluster, shooting 30% or worse from the field in three of his last four games. Thus, the duo of Bruce Brown and Bones Hyland are more intriguing. The former has scored in double digits in three straight games, posting a 13.3/9/5 scoring line on 45.5% shooting. Moreover, Hyland reentered the lineup last game and finished second on the team in usage rate, only behind Murray. Hyland posted a 21/7/2 scoring line on 46.5% shooting, including five three-pointers made on ten attempts. Considering the Mavericks are last in the league in pace and fifth in defensive rating, do not go overboard on the Nuggets.

Dallas Mavericks (-6.5)

Despite the absences of key members to the Nuggets rotation, Vegas still has this game staying close. Thus, Luka Doncic is firmly in play. Leading the NBA with a 38.3% usage rate, Doncic has been on a record-breaking pace to begin the season. Doncic has posted a remarkable 34.4/8.8/7.8 scoring line on 49.7% shooting. Moreover, he has 30 or more points in 11 of 13 appearances this year. I’ll never encourage the prediction of blowouts, and while this may seem like one on paper, the Mavericks have losses against the Wizards, Magic, and Thunder this year, while having a narrow margin of victory of 8.38 points in eight wins.

Honorable Mentions:

Boston Celtics @ New Orleans Pelicans (+3)
New York Knicks @ Golden State Warriors (-6.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 10/31

DFSGhost 3 years ago

written by DFSGhost

The first weeks of the NBA season have been wildly entertaining. While some teams are struggling in the early stages, others are quickly separating themselves from the pack. Tonight, the Milwaukee Bucks put their perfect record on the line, while others look to keep pace in the East. The Western Conference teams have a ton of pending injury news, but shape up to be some of the best scenarios on the slate. It’s a Mojito Monday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Despite the NBA season only being a few weeks old, injury/illness news has been altering slates. In order to keep up, be sure to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

Sacramento Kings @ Charlotte Hornets (+1)

Sacramento Kings (-1)

No longer one of the winless teams in the NBA, the Kings look to string some momentum together against a thin rotation. With LaMelo Ball out and Terry Rozier doubtful, De’Aaron Fox will see Dennis Smith Jr. on the flipside of his matchup. Sitting 20th in the league against primary ball handlers, the Hornets will look to slow Fox down, which is a daunting task. The former Kentucky Wildcat is having a tremendous season to the tune of a 27.8/7.2/5.6 scoring line on 55% shooting. Scoring 26 or more in four of five games this season, with the outlier coming against Miami’s stingy defense, Fox is in a prime spot in an elite game environment.

Charlotte Hornets (+1)

Somehow sitting at 3-3, the Hornets are doing the best they can without LaMelo Ball to start the season. With wins against the Hawks and Warriors, Charlotte can go with the best of them. With the Kings sitting 26th in the NBA in defensive rating, their weakest point comes on the wing. Surprisingly, Harrison Barnes carries a net defensive rating of 119.1 into tonight’s game, which bodes well for Kelly Oubre Jr. Leading the Hornets in usage rate over the last four games in Rozier’s absence, Oubre Jr. has posted a 17.8/6/1.5 scoring line on a mere 37.5% shooting during that span. Taking 16 or more attempts in all four games, Oubre Jr. carries a low floor, but finds himself in a situation to have a great outing should his shot be dropping.

Indiana Pacers @ Brooklyn Nets (-8)

Indiana Pacers (+8)

We talked about this game over the weekend in Discord and I’m going right back to the well. The return of Myles Turner to the lineup shifts things a bit, but Haliburton, Mathurin, and Smith remain firmly in play alongside the big man. However, I want to emphasize just how good Buddy Hield has been this season. Having a 21.5% usage rate as a spot-up shooter is impressive as is, but Hield is doing so much more than prior years on the offensive side of the ball. His 5.7 rebounds per game in the small sample size is a career high, while his shooting has been as good as ever. Sitting third in the NBA with 4.1 three pointers made per game, Hield has shot a ridiculous 44.6% from behind the arc on over nine attempts per contest.

Brooklyn Nets (-8)

It will be a recurring theme this NBA season when discussing the Nets, but there’s a handful of players that interest me on this offense, if that. Both Kyrie Irving and Kevin Durant dominate many of the looks on the offensive side of the ball, making it hard to look elsewhere. I’m certainly not forcing any exposure to this Nets team, but if you’re stacking this one, I’ll side with Durant. While he got off to a slow start last game, KD poured in 22 of his team’s 54 points in the second half. With the easiest matchup on the Nets, KD makes for an intriguing tournament play once again.

Atlanta Hawks @ Toronto Raptors (-3.5)

Atlanta Hawks (+3.5)

In order to beat Toronto’s defense, you need to be quicker than them both with the ball and off it. Players need to be in movement and the ball needs to be moved around the perimeter to the wings and corners. The Raptors excel at closing out on shooters and have great on-ball defense, making it tough for primary ball handlers to succeed. Rather, it’s the spot-up shooters and primary off-ball options who flourish in this matchup. Cue Dejounte Murray, who provides us with all around ability in this matchup. While his shooting is far from that of Trae Young, the former’s ability to rebound and dish the rock gives him a tremendous ceiling in any matchup.

Toronto Raptors (-3.5)

If you haven’t had a chance to watch Raptors basketball in recent years or this NBA season, please do. Not only are they fun to watch, but Toronto is one of the most feared teams on both sides of the basketball with their polarizing length at every position. Tonight, Pascal Siakam is the one I want to highlight. Leading the team with a 29.8% usage rate, Siakam has quietly posted a phenomenal 25.3/9.2/7.7 scoring line on 48.7% shooting. In a matchup versus the Hawks, Siakam and this Raptors offense will be a problem for their opposition’s defense in the transition game and on the inside. Seeing as though Clint Capela has yet to log over 30 minutes this season, Capela will likely be forced off the court early on in favor of Onyeka Okongwu, who has a defensive rating of 111.7 on the season, giving Siakam a favorable situation.

Honorable Mentions:

Memphis Grizzlies @ Utah Jazz (+4)
Houston Rockets @ LA Clippers (-9.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

3 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 10/26

DFSGhost 3 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Now that most teams have a few games under their belt, players are starting to find their groove on both sides of the ball. Rookies continue adjusting to the pace of play, while veterans get back into form. Additionally, with the new and improved NBA schedule, teams will face off against one another multiple times over the same week or two to limit travelling. This scenario is highlighted below, amongst other game environments to target. It’s a Wet Wednesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Despite only being a week into the new season, injury news has been affecting NBA slates daily. In order to keep up, be sure to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

Brooklyn Nets @ Milwaukee Bucks (-4)

Brooklyn Nets (+4)

Make no mistake about it: the Nets will only go as far as Kyrie Irving and Kevin Durant can carry them. Last game, the two stars combined for over half of the team’s field goal attempts. Taking 44 shots out of 87 attempts, Kyrie and KD combined for 74 points of the team’s 124. However, the two each have a tough matchup tonight. KD will likely see a lot of Giannis, while Irving will see Jrue Holiday out on the perimeter. I lean the former in this spot, who will try to stay around the 3-point line and find the midrange, as he attempts to get Giannis to stay closer to the basket. Pacing the team in both usage rate and scoring, KD makes for an attractive tournament play on this NBA slate, if committing to this game.

Milwaukee Bucks (-4)

Playing at an MVP level in the early stages of the NBA season, Giannis Antetokounmpo has the best chance to lead the slate in scoring. Through two games, Giannis has averaged 32.5/12.5/5.5 on 70/3% shooting through a 34.6% usage rate. Not only has he been efficient, but he’s doing so at a historic rate. Last game, Giannis scored 44 points in only 28 minutes, making him the fifth player in league history to do so. In a matchup versus a Nets roster that ranks 25th in points allowed in the paint per game with 55.3 per contest, it’s all systems go on the Greek Freak.

Indiana Pacers @ Chicago Bulls (-7.5)

Indiana Pacers (+7.5)

Another NBA slate with the Pacers means I get to talk about Tyrese Haliburton once again. However, I’ll spare the long writeup as you already know I like the idea of playing him. Rather, my attention for this game will be on Buddy Hield. Being one of the best shooters in the league since arriving in 2016, Hield has largely gone under-appreciated. Despite a modest 22.1% usage rate, Hield sits fourth in the team in scoring. Additionally, the sharpshooter has taken over eight attempts from deep per contest, hitting at a 36.4% clip. Facing a Bulls team that currently ranks 28th in the NBA in 3-point field goal percentage allowed, Hield makes for an intriguing tournament play, should his shot be falling.

Chicago Bulls (-7.5)

With Zach Lavine making his return to the lineup last game, the Bulls offense is back in play. Still missing from the lineup is Lonzo Ball (knee), but that didn’t stop the team from putting up 120 points against one of the NBA’s best defenses in the Boston Celtics. In a matchup versus the Pacers, a primary target of mine will be Nikola Vucevic. In last game’s matchup versus a Celtics team that struggles on the interior without Robert Williams III, Vucevic led the team in usage rate, en route to an 18/23/5 scoring line on 36.8% shooting. Even with Lavine making his return, Vucevic managed to see 19 attempts from the field across 31 minutes. Versus a Pacers team that may be without Myles Turner (ankle) entirely, or at least on a limited basis, Vucevic will dominate the paint on both ends of the floor.

Houston Rockets @ Utah Jazz (-5.5)

Houston Rockets (+5.5)

Right back to the well with a game we discussed on Monday’s slate. While some were underwhelmed by the output, these two teams still combined for 222 points despite a 39-point first quarter. Needless to say, this game environment remains to be one of, if not the best on the NBA slate. I wrote up Jalen Green in this same matchup and he went for 25/3/3 on 56.3% shooting. Moreover, I highlighted the backcourt advantage both he and Kevin Porter Jr. hold over Mike Conley and Jordan Clarkson. In addition to Green, Porter Jr. went for 26/10/4 on 42.1% shooting. While he likely won’t grab another ten rebounds, both are firmly in play.

Utah Jazz (-5.5)

Similarly to the Rockets writeup, I’m going back to the same Jazz players I wanted on Monday. Despite the modest output, Lauri Markkanen still finished second on the team in usage rate at 27.6%. Moreover, he shot an abysmal 7-for-19 from the field, leaving most of the field underwhelmed about his last performance. As a result, I’m hoping for a lower number of people rostering him, but that remains to be seen. Markkanen is in the same elite matchup against a defense that ranks 27th in net rating and he took a price drop on the salary grid.

Honorable Mentions:

Atlanta Hawks @ Detroit Pistons (+7)
San Antonio Spurs @ Minnesota Timberwolves (-8.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

3 years ago 0 comments

NBA

NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 10/21

DFSGhost 3 years ago

written by DFSGhost

With the Bucks and Clippers both kicking off their seasons last night, every NBA team now has at least one game under their belt. Tonight, we’re back to a full slate of games and the schedule is now more balanced heading into the second week of the year. There are short rotations to take advantage of and a few game environments that stand out above the rest. It’s a Fajita Friday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

I’ll continue to preach the fact that news breaks in the NBA is unlike any other sport. This not only makes every slate different, but it emphasizes how crucial it is to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups. Be sure to join the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need to win NBA DFS tournaments.

San Antonio Spurs @ Indiana Pacers (-3.5)

San Antonio Spurs (+3.5)

While it was Keldon Johnson who paced the team in minutes and scoring, there are affordable options to get exposure to a rebuilding Spurs squad on this NBA slate. Firstly, Devin Vassell remains underpriced in the backcourt. He not only had a higher usage rate than Johnson, but he also has the opportunity to grow from his decent outing from a few nights ago. Vassell shot 0-for-8 from behind the arc and only 3-for-15 from the field, despite still putting up 20.5 DK points. Alongside Vassell is starting point guard, Tre Jones, who will continue running this offense, in addition to rookie Jeremy Sochan, who gets a friendly matchup versus a frontcourt that will be without their best defender in Myles Turner.

Indiana Pacers (-3.5)

In Wednesday’s article, I told you to get used to seeing Tyrese Haliburton’s name listed here. Tonight, in his second game of the NBA season, I’m talking about him once again. While Haliburton finished fourth on the team in usage rate at 24.8%, he led them in field goal attempts, scoring, and assists. He is the heartbeat to this Pacers offense and remains firmly in play until his price catches up to him. Other, with Myles Turner still out, projection model darling Jalen Smith was a mere 6% rostered, despite being our top value play. Not only did he come through with 30 DK points at $4,400, but he also led the team in usage rate at 29.1%. Smith had a great outing on Wednesday, and that was with early foul trouble, which he won’t have to be concerned with versus an imposing Spurs frontcourt tonight.

Memphis Grizzlies @ Houston Rockets (+5)

Memphis Grizzlies (-5)

With Jaren Jackson Jr. (foot) out for the next two months, there is value to be had in this Memphis frontcourt. Moreover, Dillon Brooks (thigh) is doubtful for tonight, increasing minutes across a thin rotation. Ja Morant finished last game with a 34/4/9 scoring line on 45.8% shooting, leading the Grizzlies in both usage rate at 37.2% and field goal attempts with 24. In the frontcourt, the trio of Steven Adams, Santi Aldama, and Brandon Clarke will all get further looks on offense in the absence of Jackson Jr. Of the three, Aldama was the most impressive, not only leading the trio, but actually pacing his whole team in minutes played. Clarke can come in and be efficient at any point, but all signs point to coach Taylor Jenkins using Clarke off the bench, leaving Aldama time to build on his 18/11 effort in the Grizzlies’ season opener.

Houston Rockets (+5)

The Houston Rockets are going to be a ton of fun this NBA season. The trio of Jalen Green, Jabari Smith Jr., and Kevin Porter Jr. are all impactful players. The three combined for 54 points on 56 shots, shooting a mere 39.29% from the field, but have an easier matchup tonight than Dejounte Murray and DeAndre Hunter. Meanwhile, Bruno Fernando got a surprising start and produced well in 25 minutes, posting a 7/9/7 scoring line on 100% shooting. However, I’ll let the field chase his previous game. The usage was an abysmal 6.2%, while his seven assists were a career high. Rather, Alperen Sengun makes for an intriguing tournament play coming off the bench. He logged nearly as many minutes as Fernando with 22 of his own, while also leading the team with a 30.5% usage rate and has a size advantage over the Grizzlies bench.

Honorable Mentions:

New Orleans Pelicans @ Charlotte Hornets (+6)
Phoenix Suns @ Portland Trail Blazers (+4.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

3 years ago 0 comments

NBA

NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 10/19

DFSGhost 3 years ago

written by DFSGhost

After two thrilling games on opening night, we have our first large slate of the NBA season. New rotations and multiple players making debuts with their new teams steal the headlines, but there are also players returning from serious injuries and plenty of elite game environments to target. While the games listed in the Honorable Mentions section at the end of the article are high on my list, they will be popular. Thus, discussed are a few spots that may go overlooked in tournaments. It’s a Wet Wednesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

You will see a reoccurring message across all articles, but it’s truly imperative to success. The way NBA news rolls in unlike any other sport makes every slate different. Thus, it’s crucial to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups. Be sure to join the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need to win NBA DFS tournaments.

Washington Wizards @ Indiana Pacers (+2)

Washington Wizards (-2)

In a game that will largely go overlooked on a large NBA slate, there is offensive upside to be had. The Wizards offense will continue to run through Bradley Beal, who is expensive tonight, but his teammates are not. Kyle Kuzma is coming of a career year where he averaged 17.1/8.5/3.5 on 45.2% shooting through a 24.3% usage rate. Facing off versus a combination of poor defenders and inexperienced wings, he may not make my final lineup, but Kuzma draws intrigue in my preview.

Indiana Pacers (+2)

On the flipside of this game, get used to seeing Tyrese Haliburton listed here early and often. In 13 games for the Pacers last season, Haliburton was electric. The usage was modest at 20.2%, but he averaged an 18/10.9 double-double while also grabbing nearly five rebounds per game. Facing a Wizards perimeter defense that struggles to guard primary ball handlers, Haliburton finds himself as a key component of my NBA lineups tonight.

New Orleans Pelicans @ Brooklyn Nets (-3)

Brooklyn Nets (-3)

The pace of this one will be off the charts and both teams carry a ton of upside. Brooklyn had an offseason to remember, involving storylines surrounding their two star players, but their rotation remains intact and now has reinforcements. Should you choose to go with a 1-2 punch at the top of the pricing grid tonight from the same game, this is it. Beginning with Kevin Durant, your NBA lineups can generate upside from a back and forth in this one. Durant can score with ease, dropping nearly 30 PPG last season through a 31.1% usage rate. One of the safest players in the league to log heavy minutes nightly, Durant not only has a safe floor, but one of the highest ceilings on this slate.

New Orleans Pelicans (+3)

Making his return to an NBA floor in this one is none other than Zion Williamson. The former Duke standout missed all of last season, but is back after averaging 27/7.2/3.7 across 33 MPG in his last full campaign. In a glorious matchup versus a Nets defense that struggled mightily on the interior last season, Williamson is intriguing for tournaments, barring any minute limitations. The Nets allowed over 47 points in the paint per contest last season, and didn’t address their interior defense in the offseason. A force in the paint that averaged seven paint touches per game in his last full season, good for 10th in the NBA, Williamson makes for a good target in tournaments.

Charlotte Hornets @ San Antonio Spurs (+2)

Charlotte Hornets (-2)

Let it be known that both of these teams are tanking for Victor Wembanyama. Arguably the most hyped NBA prospect since LeBron James, if you have not seen footage of his game, I suggest going to watch it as soon as possible. Needless to say that these types of game environments will be elite for NBA DFS this year and we won’t have to wait until the later stages of the season to get exposure to them. With LaMelo Ball (ankle) not playing in the Hornets’ season opener, look for both Kelly Oubre Jr. and Terry Rozier to take all the shots they can handle. With Ball off the court last season, both Rozier and Oubre Jr. saw increases in usage and fantasy production. Rozier saw his usage rate increase from 23.4% to 25.5%, while Oubre Jr. saw an increase in usage from 22.9% to 25.9%.

San Antonio Spurs (+2)

Gone is Dejounte Murray, the former face of the Spurs franchise, as they now enter their biggest rebuild since drafting Tim Duncan. With Murray now in Atlanta, there are so many touches to go around offensively and the Spurs are in arguably the best matchup NBA DFS has to offer. Charlotte ended last season 5th in pace and 22nd in net defensive rating, struggling across multiple positions and player types. Dominating usage for the Spurs early on is Tre Jones, who will be supported by the likes of Josh Primo and Devin Vassell in the backcourt, with the duo of Keldon Johnson and Jakob Poeltl manning the frontcourt. In eleven starts last season, Jones posted a 13.5/4.6/7.5 scoring line on 48.8% shooting all on a mere 17.5% usage rate.

Honorable Mentions:

Houston Rockets @ Atlanta Hawks (-9.5)
Portland Trail Blazers @ Sacramento Kings (-2)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

3 years ago 0 comments

Sports Betting

Cash with Flash Handicapping Challenge Day 26!

Phil Naessens 5 years ago

written by Phil Naessens

Cash with Flash Best Bets is now on video and Flash has issued a 30 Day Cash with Flash Sports Handicapping Challenge. The Flash picked the Santa Clara to defeat San Diego and that’s exactly what happened on Saturday. The Flash is now 15-9 through the first twenty-25 days of the 30 Day Sports Handicapping Challenge.

What is the Cash with Flash 30 Day Sports Handicapping Challenge? Flash shared the details in the first video of this series and everything that you need to know is in the video below.

Before we get to Day twenty-six of the Cash with Flash 30 Day Sports Handicapping Challenge, Flash would like to share a very special offer with you.

Cash with Flash Best Bets will gift the winner of the Cash with Flash Best Bets 30 Day Sports Handicapping Challenge with a one month Gold Membership to Win Daily Sports but in order to win the membership, we need you to do the following to help us keep score.

1). Follow @windailydfs and @cashwithflash on Twitter and Instagram.

2). Leave your picks with the hashtag #cashwithflash on Twitter or in our Discord Sports Betting Channel and include @windailysports and @cashwithflash so we can count

3). Missing a day or more won’t disqualify you from winning the FREE one month Win Daily Sports Gold membership. Just be sure to publish your picks with the hashtag #cashwithflash and the one with the highest winning percentage grabs the prize.

That’s all you have to do and the winner will receive a complimentary one month Gold Membership to Win Daily Sports.

Day twenty-six of the Cash with Flash 30 Day Challenge is here and Flash was unable to do a video on Sunday morning. He did, however, leave us with a pick for day 26.

Indiana Pacers +1 over the Portland Trail Blazers

Indiana has been playing exceptional ball on the road this season and has won four of its last five road games. Sunday ends a five-game road trip for Indiana and they up against a Portland Trail Blazers team with a red-hot Damian Lillard who has scored 108 points over the last two games. Portland will likely miss C.J. McCollum with an ankle injury and that is going to hurt them against the tenth best defense of the Pacers. Cash with Flash by taking the point and playing the Pacers to cover tonight.

Good luck and don’t forget to follow us on social media and tweet us your picks to be included in this contest.

The opinions expressed in this article are the author’s own and do not reflect the views or opinions of Win Daily or any of the employees and/or executives of Win Daily. All data and information provided on this site are for informational purposes only. Win Daily makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, currentness, suitability, or validity of any information on this site and will not be liable for any errors, omissions, or delays in this information or any losses, injuries, or damages arising from its display or use. All information is provided on an as-is basis.

5 years ago 0 comments

Sports Betting

Cash with Flash Handicapping Challenge Day 13!

Phil Naessens 5 years ago

written by Phil Naessens

Cash with Flash Best Bets is now on video and Flash has issued a 30 Day Cash with Flash Sports Handicapping Challenge. Cash with Flash picked the Memphis Grizzlies to defeat the Golden State Warriors by 5.5 points and that is exactly what Milwaukee did. The Flash is now 8-3 after twelve days of the Cash with Flash 30 Day Sports Handicapping Challenge.

What is the Cash with Flash 30 Day Sports Handicapping Challenge? Flash shared the details in the first video of this series and everything that you need to know is in the video below.

Before we get to Day Thirteen of the Cash with Flash 30 Day Sports Handicapping Challenge, Flash would like to share a very special offer with you.

1). Follow @windailydfs and @cashwithflash on Twitter and Instagram.

2). Leave your picks with the hashtag #cashwithflash on Twitter or in our Discord Sports Betting Channel and include @windailysports and @cashwithflash so we can count

That’s all you have to do and the winner will receive a complimentary one month Gold Membership to Win Daily Sports.

Day thirteen of the Cash with Flash 30 Day Challenge is here and rather than doing a video on such a cold day, the Flash will leave his pick for you to consider.

https://youtu.be/mzZEhv2PnDE

Good luck and don’t forget to follow us on social media and tweet us your picks to be included in this contest.

5 years ago 0 comments

Sports Betting Premium

Jacob’s Above Average Plays

Pick Management 5 years ago

written by Pick Management

Jacob’s Above Average Plays are back after a great 2-1 night. Today he has one NBA and two NHL plays that are going to continue our winning ways.

Take Miami Heat +1 versus Indiana Pacers ( 7:10 pm EST, Wednesday 8 January 2020)

I really like Miami going into this game as they face off against a banged-up Pacers team. Miami has won seven out of their last ten games, scoring an average of 111.11 points per game. They are also shooting great from behind the arc, shooting almost 38% (37.8%). They are led by Jimmy Butler, who is scoring just over twenty points per game (20.4), 6.9 rebounds, 6.6 assists, and Bam Adebayo, who is averaging 15.6 ppg, 10.6 rebounds, and 4.5 assists. These two have worked well not only as a powerhouse duo on offense, but have shut teams down defensively all year. It also helps that Miami has seven players who average more than ten points per game. They do not have just an above-average offense, but defense too. Miami ranks 10th in overall scoring defense allowing just 107.3 ppg to opposing teams, keeping them under a 45% shooting percentage (44.2%). Miami is one of the most balanced teams in the NBA – with the injury issues the Pacers are dealing with, Indiana could be in trouble.

The Pacers are coming into this game with power forward, Domantas Sabonis, listed as day-to-day with a knee injury, and point guard, Malcolm Brogdon, listed as out with a back injury. Sabonis and Brogdon are tied for second in scoring on the team, which is going to be a lot of points to make up for if Sabonis is out too.

Take Miami as one-point underdogs as they shut down the Pacers at home.

Take Washington Capitals -125 versus Philadelphia Flyers ( 7:30 pm EST, Wednesday 8 January 2020)

I’m going back to the well with the Capitals tonight as they travel to Philly to take on the Flyers.

Both of these teams have above-average offenses, but the Capitals are the better overall team. With both teams on back to back games, that makes me like the Capitals even more.

The Flyers are returning home for the first time after an awful six-game road trip. On this recent road trip, Philly won just one of those six games – averaging 2.6 goals and allowing 4.6 goals. Those are not the scores we have typically seen the Flyers put up or allow, as they have averaged over 3 goals a game (3.19) and have allowed 3.12 goals. Their recent below average form does not spell good news for them as they take on the number one team in the East, especially since Philadelphia has lost the last five versus Washington.

Washington, on the other hand, has continued to play above-average. They secured a win for us last night. They covered the puck line, beating Ottawa 6-1. They have scored an above-average 3.76 gpg on the road, which has led to them winning seventeen out of their twenty-three road games. Allowing just 3 gpg when on the road, they are ranked 13th in the NHL in scoring defense. With Philadelphia’s recent offensive woes, I see that trend continuing.

Take the Capitals to beat Philly -125. They have an above-average offense, defense, and Philly is playing awful lately. I see Washington scoring early and often as they continue their winning ways versus Philly.

Take Washington Capitals versus Philadelphia Flyers OVER 1.5 First Period -165( 7:30 pm EST, Wednesday 8 January 2020)

Both of these teams have been scoring a lot of goals this year. While I just listed how bad Philly has been playing, I do believe the Capitals can do this themselves. They are currently scoring 3.75 gpg on the road and Philly allows an above-average 4.6 goals per game, so I see the Capitals pouring in goals tonight. Washington is 5-2 on back-to-back games while Philly is 3-5, so the trends continue as to why the Capitals should score a lot in this game.

While Philly has been playing poorly as of late, the rest of the year they had scored a lot in games prior to their most recent road trip. They are 24-19 this year going over the total in the first period, so it isn’t like it hasn’t happened before – I just count more on the Capitals for this one.

Washington is playing great hockey and they score a lot. They are facing a team they have beat up on, winning seven of their last nine versus them. Take the over 1.5 goals in the first period as the Capitals get this one themselves.

5 years ago 0 comments

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Indiana Pacers

OKC Thunder @ New Orleans Pelicans (-4.5)

OKC Thunder (+4.5)

New Orleans Pelicans (-4.5)

Chicago Bulls @ Utah Jazz (-3.5)

Chicago Bulls (+3.5)

Utah Jazz (-3.5)

Indiana Pacers @ Los Angeles Lakers (-4.5)

Indiana Pacers (+4.5)

Los Angeles Lakers (-4.5)

Brooklyn Nets @ Indiana Pacers (+3.5)

Brooklyn Nets (-3.5)

Indiana Pacers (+3.5)

New Orleans Pelicans @ Memphis Grizzlies (-1.5)

New Orleans Pelicans (+1.5)

Memphis Grizzlies (-1.5)

Utah Jazz @ Golden State Warriors (-6.5)

Utah Jazz (+6.5)

Golden State Warriors (-6.5)

Indiana Pacers @ Houston Rockets (+5)

Indiana Pacers (-5)

Houston Rockets (+5)

OKC Thunder @ Memphis Grizzlies (-6)

OKC Thunder (+6)

Memphis Grizzlies (-6)

Denver Nuggets @ Dallas Mavericks (-6.5)

Denver Nuggets (+6.5)

Dallas Mavericks (-6.5)

Sacramento Kings @ Charlotte Hornets (+1)

Sacramento Kings (-1)

Charlotte Hornets (+1)

Indiana Pacers @ Brooklyn Nets (-8)

Indiana Pacers (+8)

Brooklyn Nets (-8)

Atlanta Hawks @ Toronto Raptors (-3.5)

Atlanta Hawks (+3.5)

Toronto Raptors (-3.5)

Brooklyn Nets @ Milwaukee Bucks (-4)

Brooklyn Nets (+4)

Milwaukee Bucks (-4)

Indiana Pacers @ Chicago Bulls (-7.5)

Indiana Pacers (+7.5)

Chicago Bulls (-7.5)

Houston Rockets @ Utah Jazz (-5.5)

Houston Rockets (+5.5)

Utah Jazz (-5.5)

San Antonio Spurs @ Indiana Pacers (-3.5)

San Antonio Spurs (+3.5)

Indiana Pacers (-3.5)

Memphis Grizzlies @ Houston Rockets (+5)

Memphis Grizzlies (-5)

Houston Rockets (+5)

Washington Wizards @ Indiana Pacers (+2)

Washington Wizards (-2)

Indiana Pacers (+2)

New Orleans Pelicans @ Brooklyn Nets (-3)

Brooklyn Nets (-3)

New Orleans Pelicans (+3)

Charlotte Hornets @ San Antonio Spurs (+2)

Charlotte Hornets (-2)

San Antonio Spurs (+2)

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