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Daily Fantasy Basketball

NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 11/25



After a day off yesterday, the NBA is back in action tonight. With nearly every team taking the court, this slate has a multitude of possibilities. Injuries will be key to monitor, especially with the expected returns of multiple players whom sat out on Wednesday to rest. It’s a Fajita Friday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

We saw many key players in multiple rotations sit out on Wednesday. As a result, they have now had 48 hours to recuperate with yesterday’s day off. However, injuries are still expected to roll in as we get closer to lock. Thus, be sure to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups as the news rolls in. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

Brooklyn Nets @ Indiana Pacers (+3.5)

Brooklyn Nets (-3.5)

If you are living in the mid range of the pricing grid tonight, look no further than Ben Simmons for exposure to one of the best game environments on the slate. Over the last four games, Simmons has a modest 17.4% usage rate. However, he has been efficient on both sides of the ball. Simmons is not shooting the ball a ton, but he is averaging 15.5/7.5/7.3 on 80% shooting in his last four appearances. Moreover, Simmons is being tasked with elevating Brooklyn’s perimeter defense, leading to 1.75 steals per game and 1.5 blocks per game. While his price has quickly increased over the last week, it still is not high enough for someone that has triple-double potential in a matchup against an Indiana defense that ranks 18th in the NBA.

Indiana Pacers (+3.5)

With Ben Simmons playing excellent defense on the perimeter, I’ll be looking elsewhere than Tyrese Haliburton. He is still in a good spot while running an offense that ranks 8th in the NBA, but his ceiling in this one is concerning. Thus, with Brooklyn’s struggles versus combo guards, I’ll be looking to Benedict Mathurin off the bench. Not only is the Canadian a favorite for Rookie of the Year, but he is also a strong candidate for Sixth Man of the Year. Surprisingly, it is Mathurin, not Haliburton, who leads the Pacers in usage rate at 26.8%. Moreover, Mathurin has posted a 19.4/3.9/1.8 scoring line on 44.4% shooting, including 43.3% from deep.

New Orleans Pelicans @ Memphis Grizzlies (-1.5)

New Orleans Pelicans (+1.5)

One of the key injuries already disclosed on this NBA is CJ McCollum, who has been ruled out after being placed in health and safety protocols. Moreover, there is a possibility that others join him, so be sure to keep an eye on this injury report leading up to lock. In his absence, Brandon Ingram will be the primary ball handler. While the field will likely chase Zion Williamson’s performance from last game, I do not like the matchup against Jaren Jackson Jr. Rather, it is Ingram who gets the favorable spot against a Memphis defense that ranks 20th in the NBA in defensive efficiency and 23rd against primary ball handlers.

Memphis Grizzlies (-1.5)

Suddenly, the Grizzlies are one of the most shorthanded teams in the NBA. Not only does Desmond Bane remain out for this game, but Santi Aldama is doubtful and John Konchar is questionable. This will be a key injury report to monitor. Nonetheless, while Ja Morant makes for an elite target in a favorable game environment, I’ll take a point guard listed below over him. Thus, I’ll be turning to Jaren Jackson Jr. once again. Through three appearances this season, JJJ carries a 30.2% usage rate while averaging 18/7 on 40.9% shooting. Moreover, he is averaging over one steal per game and a whopping 4.33 blocks. With the Pelicans ranked 19th in the league in points allowed in the paint per game, JJJ will get more looks on offense in a thin rotation.

Utah Jazz @ Golden State Warriors (-6.5)

Utah Jazz (+6.5)

Make no mistake about it, Lauri Markkanen is one of the best stories in the early stages of the NBA season. However, there is another player stealing the spotlight recently. With 20 or more points in three of his last four games, Malik Beasley has been crucial for the Jazz. In the absence of Mike Conley, no one has stepped up as much as Beasley. In his last four games, Beasley has posted a 22.8/5.8/2 scoring line on 48.4% shooting, including 44.2% from deep. Moreover, he has an outstanding 25.7% usage rate, despite coming off the bench. With the Warriors ranked 23rd against off-ball spot-up shooters, Beasley will look to continue his impressive run in a favorable matchup.

Golden State Warriors (-6.5)

His price is high but Steph Curry has one of the highest ceilings on this NBA slate. Looking to turn their season around, the Warriors are now 3-1 in their last four games. During that stretch, Curry has a modest 28.6% usage rate. However, it has not stopped him from averaging 26.3/6/11.3 on 49.2% shooting, including 43.2% from deep. With the Jazz ranked 21st in defensive rating, most notable struggling on the perimeter, Curry is an elite option.

Honorable Mentions:

  • Los Angeles Lakers @ San Antonio Spurs (+4.5)
  • Atlanta Hawks @ Houston Rockets (+6.5)
  • Sacramento Kings @ Boston Celtics (-7.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

Nicholas Di Tommaso has been playing daily fantasy sports everyday for the past five years, in addition to his season-long expertise across various sports. He has since set out to combine his passions of finance and sports to successfully become a professional DFS player. Having multiple GPP wins over the course of the last year (2019), the Canadian known as “Ghost” is seeking bigger and better things in the future. Nick loves a healthy balance of both cash games and tournament play, but prefers the latter, especially in NFL and NBA, where he mostly plays single entry GPPs and 3-max tournaments. The Montreal, Canada native is looking to put Win Daily Sports on the map by representing the North of the border in all fields, specifically NBA, NFL, NHL, MLB, and eSports.

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