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Golden State Warriors

NBA DFS for Ghost’s Gems (Feb. 1)

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

There are tremendous matchups on this NBA slate. Many elite stars take the court, with multiple injury reports expecting to be lengthy. It’s a Wet Wednesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Be sure to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups as the news rolls in. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

Golden State Warriors @ Minnesota Timberwolves (+2.5)

Golden State Warriors (-2.5)

The defending NBA Champions are currently slated in the Play-In tournament, but no one in the league wants to face this team. Every game counts for them down the stretch, as they look to creep into a top-4 seed to gain homecourt advantage in the opening round of the playoffs. Steph Curry will continue to lead the way and is in a phenomenal matchup tonight. Minnesota lacks perimeter defense and guarding Curry is a daunting task. Over his last three games, Curry has posted 30 or more points in each appearance. Moreover, he has averaged 35.7/5.7/8.7 on 58.3% shooting during that span, including 53.3% from behind the arc on 5.3 three-pointers made per night.

Minnesota Timberwolves (+2.5)

Anthony Edwards continues to lead the charge for a reeling Timberwolves squad. However, he lacks upside on this slate given his positioning on the pricing grid. Thus, the duo of D’Angelo Russell and Rudy Gobert are enticing in good individual matchups. Edwards will draw Klay Thompson and Andrew Wiggins on defense, leaving Russell ample room to find his shot. Moreover, Rudy Gobert will take few shot attempts in this one, but has point/dollar upside given his strong chance of getting a double-double. On an NBA slate where most will look to the top of the pricing grid at the center position, Gobert makes for an excellent tournament play.

Sacramento Kings @ San Antonio Spurs (+7.5)

Sacramento Kings (-7.5)

The Kings hold the third seed in the Western Conference but have many teams approaching them. Thus, not even a matchup against the lowly Spurs should be taken lightly. The duo of Domantas Sabonis and De’Aaron Fox are both in terrific matchups. San Antonio currently ranks 28th in the NBA versus primary ball handlers and Fox has registered 29 and 32 points, respectively, over his last two games, averaging 30.5/4/5 on 45.1% shooting. Moreover, the Spurs have solid interior defense with Jakob Poeltl manning the paint, but Sabonis will dominate the glass versus a team that sits 20th in the league in rebounding.

San Antonio Spurs (+7.5)

If there is ever a spot to play Keldon Johnson with confidence, it’s in this matchup. While the Spurs continue to look toward the future, Johnson figures to be a crucial piece in their rebuild. Moreover, he leads the team with a 28.1% usage rate this season. Despite a 1-7 record over the team’s last eight games, Johnson has scored 20 or more points in seven of those. He has averaged 25.4/5/2.4 on 48.8% shooting during that span, and gets a matchup versus a Kings defense that ranks last in the NBA versus combo wings.

Toronto Raptors @ Utah Jazz (-3.5)

Toronto Raptors (+3.5)

In the absence of OG Anunoby, other players in this Toronto rotation must step up. Over the last few NBA slates, no one has been as popular as Precious Achiuwa. He has now scored in double digits over his last eight games, averaging 15.6/9.3/1 on 59.3% shooting. The Jazz rank last in the league versus small-ball centers despite ranking second in the league in points allowed in the paint per game. Scottie Barnes and Pascal Siakam also make for excellent tournament plays.

Utah Jazz (-3.5)

While Lauri Markkanen, Jordan Clarkson, and Mike Conley have solidified their place in the Jazz rotation, the true value here lies in the paint. Walker Kessler has been having a phenomenal rookie campaign, averaging 7.7/7.3 on 71.5% shooting. Moreover, he sits fourth in the NBA in blocks per game with 2.0. However, with Toronto running a smaller lineup, do not overlook Jarred Vanderbilt. Make sure to check our proprietary projections to see which of the two is set to give the most value.

Honorable Mentions:

Portland Trail Blazers @ Memphis Grizzlies (-5.5)
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Houston Rockets (+5.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

NBA DFS for Ghost’s Gems (Jan. 19)

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

There are only five games on the schedule tonight, but there sure is plenty of firepower. Headlining the main slate is a rematch of last year’s NBA Finals, while Chicago and Detroit face off in an afternoon game overseas. It’s a Thirsty Thursday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Golden State Warriors @ Boston Celtics (-5.5)

Golden State Warriors (+5.5)

This is the second time these teams face one another since the NBA Finals. The matchup in December was no letdown, seeing the Warriors take a 123-107 victory at home. Tonight, this game will be overlooked because of interest in other studs at the top of the pricing grid. As popular as Damian Lillard will be because of his recent play, Steph Curry makes for an excellent pivot in tournaments. Since returning from injury, Curry struggled mightily over his first three games back. He averaged a mere 19.7/5/3.3 on 44.9% shooting, hitting only 31.3% of his three-pointers. However, on the second half of a back-to-back and in his fourth game returning, Curry exploded for 41/7/2 versus the Wizards.

Boston Celtics (-5.5)

Should Jaylen Brown miss this game with a groin injury, Jayson Tatum instantly becomes one of the best studs on the NBA slate. On the season, Tatum has averaged 31.1/8.3/4.3 through a 32.9% usage rate. This has resulted in Tatum posting 1.41 fantasy points per minute. However, with Brown off the court, Tatum sees his usage rate increase to 35.8% and his output increases slightly to 1.43 fantasy points per minute. Brown did practice on Wednesday, meaning he in likely to suit up. Thus, both Marcus Smart and Robert Williams III make for good plays in a competitive game environment. The former will be on the court in all clutch moments, while the latter has logged 27 or more minutes in three straight games since having his minutes restriction lifted.

Toronto Raptors @ Minnesota Timberwolves (+3.5)

Toronto Raptors (-3.5)

If the NBA slate is starving for value on the pricing grid, then two Raptors will be the primary path to success. Having the luxury of running a tight rotation thanks to players with incredible length, Coach Nick Nurse focuses on seven players on a nightly basis. Thus, two of Fred VanVleet, Scottie Barnes, and Gary Trent Jr. fit the scenario of a balanced lineup structure. VanVleet has been lights out in the last two games, posting 30+ points in back-to-back appearances. Meanwhile, Trent Jr. has been logging serious minutes and scoring in bunches as well. Barnes is the unicorn of the roster, playing and guarding positions one through five. If value is needed on this slate, Precious Achiuwa continues to be the first player off the bench and carries a relatively safe floor.

Minnesota Timberwolves (+3.5)

Exposure to this offense depends on two key injury statuses: Anthony Edwards and Rudy Gobert. The latter was ruled out of Wednesday’s game with a groin injury, while the former continues to deal with a recurring hip soreness. Should Gobert be ruled out once again, Naz Reid will be a staple for NBA lineups tonight. Reid carries a 23% usage rate and 1.14 fantasy points per minute this season. However, in four starts this season, he has averaged 20.3/8 this season through a 25.4% usage rate. Moreover, D’Angelo Russell and Jaylen Nowell are in line for big roles tonight, only if Edwards be ruled out.

Honorable Mentions:

Brooklyn Nets @ Phoenix Suns (OTB)
Philadelphia 76ers @ Portland Trail Blazers (+2.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 01/16/2023

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

There are multiple ways to play different NBA slates tonight. Since the schedule will be roughly 12 hours long from beginning to end, there are showdowns, a main slate, and a late slate available. It’s a Mojito Monday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Golden State Warriors @ Washington Wizards (+3.5)

Golden State Warriors (-3.5)

The Warriors are on the second half of a back-to-back, therefore this can be a lengthly injury report. Klay Thompson has already been ruled out, while the statuses of Steph Curry, Draymond Green, and Andrew Wiggins need to be monitored. Curry has struggled in his three games since returning from an injury, but Jordan Poole has thrived. Over his last nine games, Poole has averaged 25.7/3.9/5 on 43.7% shooting. Moreover, he has scored 20 or more points in each of those nine appearances. In the absence of Thompson, Poole will be able to run the offense while Curry is on the bench, while flourishing as a secondary ball handler with Curry on the court. On a small NBA slate, Poole is one of the best targets in the mid range of the pricing grid.

Washington Wizards (+3.5)

Exposure to this offense is contingent on the status of Bradley Beal. The face of the Wizards franchise has made a single appearance in the team’s last eight games before leaving early after aggravating his hamstring injury. While many players have stepped up in different fashions, one that has struggled has been Kristaps Porzingis. KP has a mere two double-doubles over his last five games, but he has scored 20 or more points in four of those appearances. On a small NBA slate, the top of the pricing grid is a true premium, and there may not be anyone to consider once this game tips off.

Toronto Raptors @ New York Knicks (-3.5)

Toronto Raptors (+3.5)

Many rumours continue to swirl around the core players of this rotation. OG Anunoby is by far the most coveted wing on the trade block, while Gary Trent Jr. and Fred VanVleet could garner interest before the trade deadline. Nonetheless, the Raptors have won three of their last four and are still making a playoff push. Should VanVleet miss this game because of a lower-back injury, Scottie Barnes instantly becomes one of the most popular players on the NBA slate. Moreover, amidst the turmoil of a disappointing season, Pascal Siakam continues to thrive. Leading the team with a 28.5% usage rate, Siakam has averaged 25.7/8.2/6.4 on 47.8% shooting this season. He leads the team in scoring, rebounding, and assists, making him one of the most intriguing options at the top of the pricing grid of this NBA slate.

New York Knicks (-3.5)

Jalen Brunson was one of the most popular headliners of this past offseason. Leaving Dallas for the Big Apple was a surprise to no one, but his contract certainly was. However, Brunson has taken over this offense, along with Julius Randle. Over his last eight games, Brunson has scored 20 or more points in every appearance. Moreover, he has averaged 32.4/5.6/5.7 on 52.3% shooting during that span, leading the team in scoring and field goal attempts. Toronto’s zone defense is always a polarizing one to face, but Brunson and Randle will be relied upon to log heavy minutes in a tightly-contested affair. Brunson makes for one of the better options in the mid range of the pricing grid of this NBA slate, similarly to Jordan Poole.

New Orleans Pelicans @ Cleveland Cavaliers (-6.5)

New Orleans Pelicans (+6.5)

Despite missing two key players in Zion Williamson and Brandon Ingram, the Pelicans still hold the #3 seed in the Western Conference. Tonight, they face the #2 defense in the NBA and will be in tough to matchup versus a frontcourt of Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen. However, this is one of the most competitive game environments on the slate. CJ McCollum continues to run the offense but lacks point/dollar upside on this slate. Another tough matchup will be Jonas Valanciunas versus Mobley and Allen, but his minutes will be plentiful given the size of the Cavaliers. Lastly, do not overlook the important of Jose Alvarado, should Herbert Jones miss this game. If the latter is ruled out, Alvarado will draw the daunting task of guarding Donovan Mitchell.

Cleveland Cavaliers (-6.5)

This is one of the most rounded teams in the NBA. The Cavaliers boast a tremendous balance between offense and defense. Tonight will be yet another test for a team that has Championship hopes. In a matchup versus the Pelicans, the wings will flourish. However, this offense is not tailored to its wings, rather, its backcourt and frontcourt duos. Jarrett Allen has been phenomenal on both ends of the court this season and is in a great matchup. Over his last two games, Allen has averaged 21.5/9/4 on 70.4% shooting. New Orleans allows nearly 50 points in the paint per game, and Allen will be featured early and often to attack Jonas Valanciunas on the inside.

Honorable Mentions:

Miami Heat @ Atlanta Hawks (+1.5)
Utah Jazz @ Minnesota Timberwolves (-2.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 01/10

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Following the theme of the new year, there are numerous studs already ruled out for tonight’s NBA slate. However, there are marquee names nearing their returns, while others look to step up in their teammates’ absences. It’s a Taco Tuesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Detroit Pistons @ Philadelphia 76ers (-9.5)

Detroit Pistons (+9.5)

In the absence of Bojan Bogdanovic, the Pistons offense will be searching for answers. There will be plenty of shots to go around, with a few benefactors. Killian Hayes continues to lead the charge in a surprisingly deep backcourt. While Philadelphia leads the NBA in defensive rating versus primary ball handlers, Hayes figures to be in for a ton of work tonight. Over his last three games, Hayes has logged 35 minutes per night, averaging 17.7/3/8.7 on 51.2% shooting. Moreover, Hamidou Diallo, Saddiq Bey, and Alec Burks make for intriguing options with Bogdanovic out. If Joel Embiid remains out for Philadelphia, Isaiah Stewart has a tremendous matchup versus Montrezl Harrell.

Philadelphia 76ers (-9.5)

Exposure to the 76ers offense in contingent on the availability of Joel Embiid. Should the face of the franchise return to the lineup after missing the last three games, both he and James Harden will be able to roll this offense efficiently versus the Pistons. However, if Embiid sits out another game, James Harden figures to be one of the more popular options on the NBA slate. Detroit currently ranks 29th in the NBA versus primary ball handlers, struggling mightily since Cade Cunningham went down with a season-ending injury. Over his last eight games, Harden has scored 20 or more points in seven appearances. Moreover, he has averaged 23.1/6.1/11.9 on 41.6% shooting during that span. Harden is only in consideration should Embiid miss this game.

Phoenix Suns @ Golden State Warriors (-4.5)

Phoenix Suns (+4.5)

No team in the NBA has as depleted of a rotation as the Suns. Tonight, they will be without Devin Booker, Chris Pauk, Cam Johnson, and Cam Payne. Moreover, Deandre Ayton, Landry Shamet, and Torrey Craig are all listed as questionable to play. This is not a question about statistics, per minute fantasy output, usage rate, or anything else. Rather, the Suns that do find themselves suiting up will be popular solely because there will be so few of them. Both Damion Lee and Duane Washington Jr. will see a ton of minutes in the backcourt, with the latter being a must play in all formats.

Golden State Warriors (-4.5)

Depending on how the Suns injury report shakes out, the Warriors will approach the game accordingly. Steph Curry is nearing a return from a shoulder injury, while Andrew Wiggins returned to the lineup the other night after missing 15 games. Golden State needs to get their best players back into rhythm, while prioritizing their long term health. One player that has been routinely in NBA lineups for our team has been Anthony Lamb. In the absence of Jonathan Kuminga, Lamb has been tremendous off the Warriors bench. Over his last three games, Lamb has logged over 31 minutes per night. Moreover, he has scored 17 or more points in each appearance, averaging 20/5.7/3.3 on 53.7% shooting, including 40% from behind the arc on 3.3 three-pointers made per game.

Dallas Mavericks @ Los Angeles Clippers (-2.5)

Dallas Mavericks (+2.5)

It’s forever been a matchup to pick on: primary ball handlers versus the Clippers. This season is no different than in years past, with Los Angeles ranked 26th in the NBA against the player type. On the other side of the ball, there’s a pretty good ball handler in Luka Doncic that the Clippers have to deal with. Leading the league with a 38.5% usage rate, Doncic has averaged 34/8.8/8.7 on 49.9% shooting this season. It’s a challenge in its own to get Doncic into NBA lineups on all fantasy sites, but his upside is like no other player in the league.

Los Angeles Clippers (-2.5)

In the absence of Paul George, Kawhi Leonard will be a must play on this NBA slate. On the season, Leonard has averaged 17.3/5.9/3.8 on 46.4% shooting through a 25.9% usage rate. However, he has been limited in both playing time and games played. With his teammate off the floor this season, Kawhi sees bumps in both output and usage rate. The former increases from 1.14 fantasy points per minute to 1.25 fantasy points per minute, while the latter jumps from 25.9% to 29.2%, leading the team. Not only does he have a high ceiling in an elite game environment, but his safe floor makes him one of the best targets of the slate.

Honorable Mentions:

Charlotte Hornets @ Toronto Raptors (-7.5)
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Utah Jazz (-3.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 12/21

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Injuries and shortened rotations have been the theme of the week in the NBA. As was pointed out in both articles this week, this will continue to be the trend throughout the holiday period. Yesterday was utter chaos and there was only five games on the schedule. Tonight, with many more set to tipoff, it will be more of the same. It’s a Wet Wednesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Golden State Warriors @ Brooklyn Nets (OTB)

Golden State Warriors (OTB)

With the Warriors on the second half of a back-to-back, this rotation will be one of, if not the most popular on tonight’s NBA slate. Assuming the injury reported is finalized as expected, Klay Thompson and Draymond Green are strong candidates to receive the night off. Already without Steph Curry and Andrew Wiggins, the Warriors would be without four of five regular starters. Jordan Poole instantly becomes a premier option, while there will be ton of viable value options as well.

Brooklyn Nets (OTB)

Exposure to the Nets offense all depends on the Warriors’ injury report. Should both Thompson and Green miss this game, in addition to both Curry and Wiggins being sidelined, this one could get out of hand rather quickly. However, blowouts are never predictable and this is an elite game environment on a large NBA slate. Both Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving have been phenomenal since the latter returned to the lineup in late November. During those 14 games, the Nets are 11-3. Moreover, the two have combined for a ridiculous 57 points per game during that span, representing 49.7% of the team’s scoring.

Los Angeles Lakers @ Sacramento Kings (-6.5)

Los Angeles Lakers (+6.5)

Assuming LeBron James makes his return to the lineup tonight, this is the best game on the NBA slate. James sat out the tail end of the Lakers’ back-to-back after playing 35 minutes per game in the previous five, so it was likely precautionary, considering Anthony Davis will be sidelined for the next month. Having scored 30 or more points in his last four appearances, James has been carrying the Lakers once again in his 20th season. Moreover, he has averaged 32.8/7.5/6.8 on 57.4% shooting during that span. With Davis off the court this year, LeBron sees an increase in both usage rate and fantasy points per minute. The former goes from 31.6% to 33.9%, while the latter goes from 1.40 to 1.52. He is far and away one of the best targets at the top of the pricing grid.

Sacramento Kings (-6.5)

For those that have been here for multiple NBA seasons, you know where the Domantas Sabonis fanbase began. Tonight, to the surprise of no one, Sabonis is again a favorite amongst a loaded player pool. Over his last eight games, Sabonis has scored 20 or more points in six appearances. Moreover, he has averaged 20.8/15.6/6.6 on 68.9% shooting during that span. With the Lakers missing their best interior defender in Anthony Davis, the paint will be Sabonis’ to own on both ends of the court. The Lakers currently rank 27th in the league against true centers, while ranking 24th in points allowed in the paint. Moreover, both of these teams are top 5 in pace, making this the best game environment on the NBA slate.

Honorable Mentions:

Portland Trail Blazers @ Oklahoma City Thunder (+4.5)
Orlando Magic @ Houston Rockets (+2.5)
Charlotte Hornets @ Los Angeles Clippers (OTB)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 12/16

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

We’re a fourth into the NBA season and things are shaping up to be rather interesting heading into the holidays. Many teams are experiencing injuries, while others are picking up steam on both sides of the ball. Tonight, many elite game environments make this slate an intriguing one. It’s a Fajita Friday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Sacramento Kings @ Detroit Pistons (+4.5)

Sacramento Kings (-4.5)

This is a prime spot for the Kings’ duo of stars. Both Domantas Sabonis and De’Aaron Fox find themselves in elite matchups at their respective positions. For one, the Pistons rank 29th in the NBA in points allowed in the paint and 25th in defensive rebounding. Over his last five games, Sabonis has scored 20 or more points in four appearances. Moreover, he has averaged 20.8/14.4/5.8 on 69.6% shooting and has racked up 4.2 offensive rebounds during the same span. De’Aaron Fox has been volatile as of late, only scoring 20 points once in his last seven appearances. However, his point/dollar upside in an elite game environment makes him an intriguing play for tournaments.

Detroit Pistons (+4.5)

The Pistons offense has many opportunities given the absence of Cade Cunningham. In 18 games since Cunningham last played, Bojan Bogdanovic has been carrying this offense. During that span, he leads the team with a 27.3% usage rate and has averaged 22.4/4.1/2.9 on 51.4% shooting, including 41.1% from deep. Sacramento ranks 23rd in the NBA in three-point shooting percentage allowed on over 11 makes per game. Moreover, there is value to be had with both Jaden Ivey and Jalen Duren, despite the tough matchup for the latter against Sabonis.

Golden State Warriors @ Philadelphia 76ers (-7.5)

Golden State Warriors (+7.5)

Welcome to the most popular rotation in NBA DFS over the next month. Unfortunately, Steph Curry will be sidelined for the next month or so after leaving last game with a shoulder injury. Thus, Jordan Poole and Klay Thompson will carry this offense. On the season, Poole and Thompson have usage rates of 28.2% and 25.6%, respectively, while posting 1.03 and 0.98 fantasy points per minute. However, with Curry off the floor, Poole takes a significant leap. In over 400 minutes played without Curry on the floor, Poole sees an increase to 1.14 fantasy points per minute through a 35.3% usage rate. However, Thompson sees dips in both. If you think Golden State keeps this one close, Poole is your guy, albeit being one of, if not the most popular player on the NBA slate.

Philadelphia 76ers (-7.5)

This is a tricky spot for the 76ers. On one hand, this game can get out of hand quickly. However, blowouts simply cannot be predicted. Thus, there is a strong chance that Joel Embiid or James Harden lead the NBA slate in scoring. Golden State currently leads the league in pace while ranking 19th in defensive rating. Moreover, they have struggled to guard primary ball handlers, ranking 24th in the NBA. Over his last three games, Harden has averaged a whopping 22.7/6.7/14.3 on 50% shooting, including 43.5% from behind the arc. This only thing stopping Harden from dominating tonight is Joel Embiid and his love for getting to the free throw line.

Minnesota Timberwolves @ Oklahoma City Thunder (-1.5)

Minnesota Timberwolves (+1.5)

This game is riddled with questionable tags for both injury reports. However, there is plenty of intrigue. Should he make his return after missing last game, D’Angelo Russell makes for an excellent tournament play. Over his last 10 games, Russell has averaged 21.4/2.8/6.6 on 52.3% shooting, including 40.5% from deep. Moreover, there could be value in the frontcourt, should Rudy Gobert be unavailable. Should this be the case, Naz Reid will instantly become one of the best values on the NBA slate and one of the most popular options in the field.

Oklahoma City Thunder (-1.5)

Similarly to above, should Rudy Gobert miss this game, value is here with Darius Bazley. With Jeremiah Robinson-Earl out for a few weeks, Bazley filled in at center, logging 31 minutes against Miami and posting a 12/5/2/1/1 scoring line in a tough matchup. Moreover, if Gobert plays, this game instantly becomes more competitive. Thus, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is in a tremendous spot. With 23 or more points in 14 of his last 15 games, SGA has been on an absolute tear. During that span, he has averaged 31.4/4.8/6.1 on 48% shooting. Minnesota ranks 29th in the NBA against primary ball handlers, setting the stage for SGA to potentially lead the slate in scoring.

Honorable Mentions:

Brooklyn Nets @ Toronto Raptors (+1.5)
Denver Nuggets @ Los Angeles Lakers (+1.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 12/14

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Plenty of games on tonight’s NBA slate but a few stand out above the rest. It’s a Wet Wednesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Golden State Warriors @ Indiana Pacers (OTB)

Golden State Warriors (OTB)

This will be an injury report to monitor throughout the day. While there is no clear path to take as of yet, there will be one once the NBA slate locks, as this is the first one on it. Klay Thompson has sat out back-to-backs this season, and he continues to rehabilitate from multiple ACL injuries. Moreover, Draymond Green is a rest candidate, Andrew Wiggins is out with a groin injury, and Steph Curry looked hobbled by the end of yesterday’s game against the Bucks. Thus, Jordan Poole can be one of the most popular players on the slate, depending on how this one shakes out.

Indiana Pacers (OTB)

Depending on who plays for the Warriors, there are different ways to get exposure to the Pacers in an elite game environment. The Warriors currently lead the NBA in pace, while the Pacers rank 5th. Thus, there will be a ton of offense in this one and getting exposure to both sides is a strong start to any NBA lineup tonight. Tyrese Haliburton has upside in this matchup given that the Warriors rank 23rd against primary ball handlers. Moreover, the duo of Buddy Hield and Myles Turner can do damage in the midrange of the pricing grid.

Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs (+6.5)

Portland Trail Blazers (-6.5)

This is a risky spot for the Trail Blazers. While they are heavily favored, Vegas does not have this as a landslide victory. Thus, be cautious with exposure but feel confident enough to get a piece of this high scoring game. Damian Lillard is the main contributor on offense, but this is a favorable matchup for Anfernee Simons as a tournament play. San Antonio currently ranks last in the NBA against off-ball guards, allowing over 44 fantasy points per game to the player type. Moreover, the Spurs rank last in three-point shooting percentage allowed and 23rd in three-pointers allowed per game. With Simons being one of three players to hoist up over ten three-pointers per night, he has the chance to lead the team in scoring tonight.

San Antonio Spurs (+6.5)

While the trio of Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell, and Tre Jones will shoulder the offense once again, there will be value in this Spurs frontcourt. Jakob Poeltl remains out and Zach Collins is listed as doubtful to play. Thus, a combination of Jeremy Sochan, Keita Bates-Diop, Charles Bassey, and Isaiah Roby will see the bulk of minutes in a favorable matchup. Portland currently ranks 26th in the NBA against centers while being 22nd in points allowed in the paint per game. Look for updates in our projections for further direction.

Minnesota Timberwolves @ Los Angeles Clippers (-6.5)

Minnesota Timberwolves (+6.5)

This game brings us back to a duo that won us a ton of money on Monday night. Despite the field loving Anthony Edwards, I preached the upside of Rudy Gobert as a pivot and tonight is the same case. While the Clippers are known to go with smaller lineups, they will have no choice to roll Ivica Zubac for more time, as the Timberwolves simply cannot match the Clippers’ small ball lineup with Towns still out. Thus, Gobert has massive upside in this matchup. The Clippers currently rank 24th in the NBA against true centers. Moreover, Gobert has three double-doubles in his last four games, averaging 19.5/15.8/1.5 on 66% shooting.

Los Angeles Clippers (-6.5)

I preached the upside of Kawhi Leonard in his last matchup and boy did he come through! Not only was he rostered by a mere 5% of the field that night, but Kawhi dropped 47 fantasy points in 29 minutes. Tonight, we’re going right back to the well. While on a “minutes limit”, Leonard has now seen 28 or more minutes in his last four contests. That is more than enough to do significant damage on this NBA slate. The Timberwolves currently rank 28th against wings, struggling mightily with their 3-and-D rotation. In his last contest, Kawhi dropped 25/9/6 on 83.3% shooting and I expect more of the same tonight, even despite an expected dip in efficiency.

Honorable Mentions:

Sacramento Kings @ Toronto Raptors (-5.5)
Miami Heat @ Oklahoma City Thunder (+4.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 12/07

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Some teams are on back-to-backs, while a key rotation is sitting out the majority of their starters. The NBA fantasy landscape changes drastically leading up to lock, and tonight will be no different. It’s a Wet Wednesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Atlanta Hawks @ New York Knicks (-1.5)

Atlanta Hawks (+1.5)

Trae Young has been inconsistent on offense lately, but whenever he’s playing in the Garden, you have to take notice. By now, everyone knows the history that lies between Young and the city of New York, dating back to the 2021 NBA Playoffs. Additionally to the narrative, the Knicks currently rank 29th in the NBA to primary ball handlers. Moreover, they rank 28th in three-pointers allowed per game. He’s in a tremendous spot, but can’t fault you for being concerned about his recent output. Should you not go to the top of the pricing grid with Young, do not hesitate to go right back to the well with the trio of AJ Griffin, Jalen Johnson, and Jarrett Culver without both John Collins and De’Andre Hunter still out.

New York Knicks (-1.5)

Tom Thibodeau continues to search for answers in his rotation and cannot find any. Recently, Cam Reddish has fallen out of the rotation, similarly to how Evan Fournier has for quite some time. Thus, there are few options of interest here. The trio of Julius Randle, Jalen Brunson, and RJ Barrett are in for a heavy workload on offense tonight. However, I also want to mention Quentin Grimes and Immanuel Quickley. The Hawks currently rank 27th in the NBA versus off-ball guards. Grimes has a low floor, but has logged 26 or more minutes in eight straight appearances. Meanwhile, Quickley has only seen 20 or more minutes in three of his last five. Don’t force exposure to the Knicks tonight.

Oklahoma City Thunder @ Memphis Grizzlies (-6.5)

Oklahoma City Thunder (+6.5)

If you’re looking for a back and forth between two elite guards, this is the game for you. Over his last seven appearances, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has topped 30 points in every one. Moreover, he has averaged 31.7/5.1/6.1 on 44.4% shooting during that span. While the field will see his lackluster performance against Memphis in their last game, I’m counting on the fact that this keep him rostered at a lower number than he should be. With a certain stud point guard in the next game ruled out, there is arguably to better option at the position on this NBA slate than SGA.

Memphis Grizzlies (-6.5)

Ja Morant has been removed from the injury report, and the Memphis value from their last NBA slate is gone. However, there are different ways to get exposure to this offense in an elite game environment. Morant is the obvious choice, but by doing so, you’re committing the primary contributions of your lineup to a single game. This is more than fine given the studs in this matchup, but if not, use the Memphis frontcourt. With OKC running a much smaller lineup than Memphis, Steven Adams will likely see less than 30 minutes in this game. Thus, things open up for Jaren Jackson Jr., Brandon Clarke, and Santi Aldama. OKC currently ranks 26th in the league versus centers while allowing over 54 points in the paint per game, ranking 27th in the NBA.

Golden State Warriors @ Utah Jazz (+1.5)

Golden State Warriors (-1.5)

The field will flock to this game and rightfully so. Golden State is sitting out three of their five starters with Steph Curry, Andrew Wiggins, and Draymond Green all ruled out. Thus, Jordan Poole instantly becomes the most popular option on the NBA slate. On the season, Poole is sporting a 27.5% usage rate and 1.03 fantasy points per minutes. However, his usage jumps to 32.6% in six starts this season. Moreover, with Curry off the floor, Poole carries a whopping 35.2% usage rate and sees his fantasy points per minute increase to 1.15. Utah currently ranks 20th in the NBA against primary ball handlers, while also sitting 25th in defensive rating.

Utah Jazz (+1.5)

The potential return of Mike Conley complicates a backcourt that is already riddled with talent in Jordan Clarkson, Collin Sexton, and Malik Beasley. However, he will almost certainly be on a minutes limit, if he makes his return. While both Sexton and Beasley are going to see the biggest decrease in volume of the trio, both Jordan Clarkson and Lauri Markkanen will still carry this offense. Golden State has struggled with its perimeter defense this season, most notably versus combo guards. This bodes well for Clarkson, who has scored 20 or more points in eight of his last ten games. Over that span, Clarkson has averaged 22.5/3.6/4.8 on 44.8% shooting, leading the team in usage rate at 28.1%.

Honorable Mentions:

Los Angeles Lakers @ Toronto Raptors (OTB)
Indiana Pacers @ Minnesota Timberwolves (-4.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 12/05

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

There are plenty of elite options on this NBA slate. Thankfully, there are a few game environments and matchups that stand above the others. It’s a Mojito Monday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

A few players are making their returns from injury tonight while others remain out. Moreover, there will be injury reports to be monitored since some teams are on back-to-backs. Thus, be sure to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups as the news rolls in. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

OKC Thunder @ Atlanta Hawks (OTB)

OKC Thunder (OTB)

Josh Giddey is resembling a fellow combo guard in this game. While his style of play translates to that of Dejounte Murray, it won’t be Giddey seeing him on defense, but rather Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. Thus, this is a tremendous spot for the former. Because Murray guards primary ball handlers, Atlanta currently ranks 24th in the NBA against off-ball guards. As a result, Trae Young is currently ranked 15th-worst in the league as a qualified defender. Through his last 13 games, Giddey has scored ten or more points in 12 of them. In that same span, he has averaged 15.7/8.8/5.9 on 47.6% shooting and is second on the team in usage, minutes, scoring, and assists, while leading the team in rebounding.

Atlanta Hawks (OTB)

Although Trae Young is expected to be returning to the lineup tonight, there is still plenty of value with both John Collins and De’Andre Hunter out. On their last slate, the trio of AJ Griffin, Jarrett Culver, and Jalen Johnson were crucial to our subcribers. Not only were they ignored by the field, but they combined for over 90 fantasy points for a little over $11,000 in salary. Tonight, on an NBA slate where value will be needed to roster multiple studs, this is the spot to be.

Phoenix Suns @ Dallas Mavericks (-4.5)

Phoenix Suns (+4.5)

If you’re looking for a back and forth between two of the league’s best, this is the game for you. I’d spend time talking about the history between Devin Booker and Luka Doncic, but there’s only so many hours in a day. If you’re unfamiliar with what has happened between these two, start at last season’s Conference Finals and you’ll find out soon enough. Over his last three games, Booker has led the Suns to a 2-1 record, at the time of writing. One win by blowout, one tight win, and one tight loss. During that span, Booker has posted 40 or more points in all three affairs, averaging 45.3/5.3/6 on 66.7% shooting, including 57.9% from deep.

Dallas Mavericks (-4.5)

I mentioned it briefly above, but seriously, look into the history between Doncic, Booker, and these two franchises over the last season. Also mentioned is the fact that, at the time of writing, the Suns are 2-1 in their last 3: one win by blowout, one tight win, and one tight loss. Well look no further, but the Mavericks are also 2-1 in their last 3 with, you guessed it, one win by blowout, one tight win, and one tight loss. Doncic didn’t quite match Booker’s three 40-point efforts, but the former does have 30 or more in three straight. Over that same span, Doncic averaged 35.3/8.3/9.7 on 52.1% shooting. The writing is on the wall for this one – enjoy the show.

Indiana Pacers @ Golden State Warriors (-8.5)

Indiana Pacers (+8.5)

Both of these teams have injury reports to monitor in one of the best game environments on the NBA slate. The Pacers find themselves on the second half of a back-to-back, meaning some players may sit. Most notably, Tyrese Haliburton has been nursing a groin injury. We’ll have the see how things shake out with their final injury report, but I’m certainly keeping an empty spot for a late swap in the event players are ruled out for the Pacers.

Golden State Warriors (-8.5)

The Warriors are dealing with injuries of their own in this one. Both Andrew Wiggins and Jordan Poole are questionable to play. However, Klay Thompson is back in the lineup and he is the main interest on offense, aside from Curry. The Pacers currenly rank 23rd in the NBA in three-pointers allowed per game and three-point shooting percentage allowed. This bodes well for Thompson, who is arguably one of the best shooters to ever take an NBA court. Dating back to November 1st, Thompson has made two or more three-pointers in 12 of 13 appearances. Moreover, he has posted 19.8 points per game during that span with an average of 4.3 three-pointers made per contest, shooting 41.5% from deep.

Honorable Mentions:

Boston Celtics @ Toronto Raptors (+1.5)
Miami Heat @ Memphis Grizzlies (-2.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 11/29

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Only six teams are in action tonight. However, there are plenty of NBA stars facing off against one another, while a few others have already been ruled out. It’s a Taco Tuesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

With only three games on tonight’s schedule, a single injury can alter the look of lineups. Thus, be sure to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups as the news rolls in. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

New York Knicks @ Detroit Pistons (+3.5)

New York Knicks (-3.5)

Despite what the Pistons final injury report looks like, the Knicks have an intriguing player in the midrange of the pricing grid. With 27 or more points in four straight games, including 30 or more in his last three, Jalen Brunson is carrying this offense. Through his last four appearances, Brunson has posted a 30.8/3.3/6.3 scoring line on 51.8% shooting through a team-leading 31.3% usage rate. The Pistons currently rank 27th in the NBA against primary ball handlers and have the league’s 29th ranked defense.

Detroit Pistons (+3.5)

There won’t be a confirmation on how to get exposure to the Pistons until their final injury report is released. With four of five starters currently listed as questionable, including all of whom missed their last game, the Pistons can either be a popular source of value or targets in the midrange. The Knicks currently rank 11th in the NBA in pace and 27th in defensive rating. Thus, this will be a game environment that is far from one to avoid.

Golden State Warriors @ Dallas Mavericks (+1.5)

Golden State Warriors (-1.5)

Obviously, Steph Curry is the primary target on this Warriors offense. Not only is Curry posting better numbers than his unanimous MVP season, but he is leading the team in usage rate and scoring, while being second in rebounds and assists. If you are not getting exposure to the Warriors with Curry, you need to be doing so elsewhere. On their current five-game winning streak, the Warriors support cast have been elite. Both Klay Thompson and Andrew Wiggins have averaged over 20 points per game on over 50% shooting. Moreover, Draymond Green has averaged 11.3/5/9 while logging 31 or more minutes in every game. The Mavericks are last in the NBA in pace, but the Warriors offense is in another great spot.

Dallas Mavericks (+1.5)

Outside of Luka Doncic, there is little to be excited about when it comes to the Mavericks’ fantasy outlook. Despite being on a four-game losing streak, Doncic has continued to dazzle. The NBA MVP candidate has posted a 28.8/7.3/9.5 scoring line on 53.2% shooting during that span. However, he has little support. Spencer Dinwiddie has a safe floor in this game environment, but other guards take priority of him; he is not a bad play by any means, but lacks upside. Christian Wood is another target given the lack of depth at the center position on this NBA slate. However, with the Warriors playing Green more at the ‘5’, Wood will have a tough time in the paint on both ends of the court. Nonetheless, the Mavericks will shift Dwight Powell to the bench quickly in favor of Christian Wood if they want to stay in this game, making the latter an intriguing target despite the tough matchup.

Los Angeles Clippers @ Portland Trail Blazers (-2.5)

Los Angeles Clippers (+2.5)

With the trio of Paul George, Kawhi Leonard, and John Wall all ruled out for tonight, there is plenty of value on this Clippers offense. Ivica Zubac is fresh off a ridiculous 31/29/3 game and gets a phenomenal matchup against Jusuf Nurkic, making him the popular option at the thin center position. He is in a good spot, but be wary of chasing another big game. Elsewhere, with both Wall and Kennard missing in the backcourt, the trio of Reggie Jackson, Terence Mann, and Norman Powell will get many looks on offense. While all three are volatile given their dependence on their scoring output, Mann has the safer floor of the trio due to his upside on the glass and with his ball handling.

Portland Trail Blazers (-2.5)

Damian Lillard is slated to miss another game with his injury. Thus, Portland should be one of the first rotations you go to on this NBA slate. With Justice Winslow replacing Shaedon Sharpe in the starting lineup, the bench is getting little to no minutes. Joining Winslow are Simons, Hart, Nurkic, and Grant. Of the four, Jerami Grant is the most intriguing. Yes, Anfernee Simons has the higher upside as the primary shooter, but Grant gets a friendly matchup versus a defense that ranks 28th in the NBA versus wings. Over his last five games, Grant has scored in double digits in every one, posting a 25.2/2.8/2.6 scoring line on 45.8% shooting. There should be interest in Nurkic, Simons, and Winslow as well in an overlooked game on a small slate.

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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