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FanDuel FreeRoll

Every Friday we have a private invite only FreeRoll. Enter Our FanDuel FreeRoll by clicking below fanduel.com/windaily

Enter our FanDuel FreeRoll where you can win a ONE YEAR PREMIUM GOLD MEMBERSHIP to WinDailySports.com . Free to Enter! First Prize is a $399 Value. If you finish in second, third, fourth, or fifth place you will receive a one month membership worth $39.99. All details can be found at fanduel.com/windaily .

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Follow Win Daily Sports on twitter @WinDailyDFS. Please check out everything that Win Daily Sports has to offer by becoming a premium member. New articles, projection models and data are being added frequently. We can’t say enough about our private Win Daily Slack Channel as it provides one on one coaching for all sports and all platforms. There are channels set up for MLB, PGA, NASCAR, WNBA, CFL, NBA, and NFL. We also have a channel dedicated to sports betting and one dedicated to Monkey Knife Fight where we provide winners to cash in on daily. We have a special promo for a limited time only to sign up for a full 12 months at only $199.99 or a monthly plan at $19.99 which are both 50% off our regular price.

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FanDuel FreeRoll

Every Friday we have a private invite only FreeRoll. Enter Our FanDuel FreeRoll by clicking below fanduel.com/windaily

Enter our FanDuel FreeRoll where you can win a ONE YEAR PREMIUM GOLD MEMBERSHIP to WinDailySports.com . Free to Enter First Prize a $399 Value. If you finish in second, third, fourth, or fifth place you will receive a one month membership worth $39.99. All details can be found at fanduel.com/windaily .

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

Follow Win Daily Sports on twitter @WinDailyDFS. Please check out everything that Win Daily Sports has to offer by becoming a premium member. New articles, projection models and data are being added frequently. We can’t say enough about our private Win Daily Slack Channel as it provides one on one coaching for all sports and all platforms. There are channels set up for MLB, PGA, NASCAR, WNBA, CFL, NBA, and NFL. We also have a channel dedicated to sports betting and one dedicated to Monkey Knife Fight where we provide winners to cash in on daily. We have a special promo for a limited time only to sign up for a full 12 months at only $199.99 or a monthly plan at $19.99 which are both 50% off our regular price.

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We often talk about DFS Stacks in MLB, and you can stack in football as well. Stacking your QB with your receiving core is a great idea, as you’ll get points on both ends. In 2017, QB/WR stacks earned 20+ points fifty-two times, or 3.05 times per week. This is a tried-and-true strategy for racking up big points.

Utilizing Connections in DFS Stacks

DFS Stacks of QB/RB is a little more complicated. If the RB on the team catches the ball well out of the backfield, something players like Alvin Kamara do on a consistent basis, you can stack the QB with the RB. This is especially true if the defense they’re facing that day runs a scheme that leaves RBs out of the backfield uncovered or left to a slower linebacker. You can uncover a great matchup by researching little tidbits like this. However, the only time you’d want to stack a QB with an RB is if he catches the ball out of the backfield a lot. In 2017, there were only twenty-five occurrences of twenty-point QB/RB stacks, or 1.47 per week. There just aren’t that many Alvin Kamaras and Christian McCaffreys out there.

You’re looking for an accumulation of points. So you don’t want to take a QB and an RB out of a balanced offense and get a marginal return from both in your DFS Stacks. It would be better for you to take a QB from a pass-heavy offense and an RB from a run-heavy one. That way, you’re taking the biggest producers from each offensive scheme.

Go for the Full Game with DFS Stacks

You can also stack the entire game, just like with baseball DFS Stacks. If you take a look at the Vegas line and the game is projected to be close and high-scoring, you might have a shootout on your hands. As long as you don’t pick either of the defenses, this situation could really pay off for you. You’ll get points from both offenses as they go back and forth throughout the game. The longer defenses stay on the field, the more tired they get. So that production is only going to increase as you head into the second half.

Think about DFS Stacks as a series of correlations. If you stack your QB and WR, you’re betting that they’re going to connect for a lot of passing yards and a couple TDs. You want these sorts of dependent relationships. Look at how good the two future Hall of Famers Tom Brady and Randy Moss were when they were in New England together. If you took Brady and Moss, not only were you getting two players at the top of their game. Every time they connected, you would rack up points with a compounding effect.

Defensive Considerations in DFS Stacks

You can think about correlations for defenses, too. If you pick a defense to hold their opponent to a few points, the correlation strategy would be to pick that team’s RB as well in your DFS Stacks. If the defense does what it’s supposed to, the team will likely maintain a lead throughout the game. They will run the ball a lot to wind down the clock.

You’ll also want to examine Vegas lines to look for potential full game stacks, to note games to avoid, and to predict game flow. If the over/under for the game is in the mid to high 50s and the spread is minimal, the betting world is expecting a back-and-forth shootout. That is an ideal situation for DFS and full game DFS Stacks. Vegas is only a prediction tool, though, and games with lower totals could provide the same high scoring shootout with the added bonus of low ownership. So don’t be afraid to full game stack a lower Vegas total game.

You can also take a look at the games with a low over/under and pick up one of those defenses in your DFS Stacks. Use the over/under as a reference point for the players you already have penciled into your lineups, too, because if you have an offensive player on one of the teams with an over/under at twenty or fewer points, it’s highly unlikely that they will be the only player who racks up good offensive points in the game.

Vegas Knows

Check out the spreads as well. If a team is heavily favored, you can use that information to your advantage. Pick up the RB that will get a lot of touches late in the game to run down the clock. Likewise, if a team is expected to lose big, that would be a good sign that you should target their QB or top WR.

For full game DFS stacks to pay off, though, you want the game where two bad defenses are squaring off. Then the plan is to stack four to six players with proper correlations. A good combination would be two to four QB-WR-TE from your predicted trailing team along with one to three RB-WR-TE from your predicted leading team. Combine whoever you think will come out on top with an RB and some receivers, along with the trailing team’s QB and WRs. Then, to round out your team, you can sprinkle in some value plays or high-end guys from other games.

Follow Win Daily DFS on twitter @WinDailyDFS. Please check out everything that Win Daily DFS has to offer by becoming a premium member. New articles, projection models and data are being added frequently. We can’t say enough about our private Slack Channel. It provides one on one coaching for all sports and all platforms. There are channels set up for MLB, PGA, NASCAR, WNBA, CFL, NBA, and NFL. We also have a channel dedicated to sports betting and one dedicated to Monkey Knife Fight. We have a special promo for a limited time for a full 12 months at only $199.99 or a monthly plan at $19.99. Both are 50% off our regular price.

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Developing projections within a model is a major key to formulating success while playing Daily Fantasy Football. Projections are defined by Merriam-Webster’s dictionary as, “an estimate of future possibilities based on the current trend.” The projections create a foundation for your DFS roster construction and give insights on the range of outcomes specific players offer on any given slate. The top DFS players utilize projections to give them an edge against the competition. So to succeed in the DFS space it is critical to have at least some input from projections. It can be the true attribute that can separate you from the field, especially in the long-term. All projection models are different and we will review what goes into a successful projection model and the types of data that it can show.

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What Goes Into A Daily Fantasy Football Projection Model?

Daily Fantasy Football projections will never be 100% accurate; rather it gives DFS players a range of outcomes from a floor to a ceiling. Creating projections is about inserting statistics and data of known quantities in order to predict future performance. We all have access for the most part to the same statistics, but which ones you choose and how heavy each is weighed is what makes each model different. In your projection model, how much is one factor impacting the end projection? It can take some time to develop the right formulas through overall research to go along with basic trial and error. This is where the fun begins.

Because we have access to so much data, we can actually check the accuracy of our projections. If things seem like they are way off, based on the real outcome it is time to make a change. A projection model will never be perfect, but should always continue to be tweaked. Utilizing a projection model is part of the Daily Fantasy Football process and needs to be optimized constantly. Has it been a while since you won? Then you need to check your process and make adjustments to your model. Especially in regards to NFL DFS, where the variance is at the highest as compared to the MLB and NBA. Also, the challenge with NFL DFS projections is that the smaller sample size proves to be a disadvantage. But that is why you must continue to add to your model as more data is accessible.

Types of Data In A Model

“You are what you eat.” Essentially this is true about a projection model. If you add poor statistics with little weight on outcomes that are of relevance to Daily Fantasy Football, the model will not lead to success. Adding information especially from Sportsbooks can be extremely beneficial. Adding figures like team totals can be useful in creating accurate projections. Remember these totals already consider the likes of weather and player injuries; making it much easier to update projections and weigh other factors accordingly.

It also makes it easier to win player props such as those offered on Monkey Knife Fight. If your projection on a player vastly differs from a player prop offered, then you have a great chance to expose it. Especially if in the projection model the outcome comes in as a forecasted floor.

Fundamentally the data should consider and factor in player salaries as well; with the goal in mind finding the best value of a player projection. You should also be considering their price tag and ownership percentage.

Takeaways

At the end of the day, using a Daily Fantasy Football projection model removes any emotional ties you may have to players. The numbers are concrete and can provide a clear lens of how players will perform without any biases. It also provides a baseline on what to expect from the slate from an over-arching level, and with that values are much easier to identify and expose. But what makes one projection model different from another is what goes into it. It’s about finding what factors are true indicators of the future (or at least closest to it).

Every single week, there is so much variance in the NFL. Matchups can be heavily favored based on what defense the offense faces that week. For example, in a projection model for quarterbacks, I would highly weigh the opposing defense because there is a clear correlation between bottom-ranked pass defenses and quarterback fantasy points. Identifying these correlations and how they relate to fantasy points is the key part of your projection model process. Behind every strong Daily Fantasy Football player, you are sure to find a strong projection model.

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Scott Engel and Mark Paquette discuss the Main FanDuel MLB DFS Slate on the 7/15 MLB DFS Podcast. They break down the main slate on DraftKings and FanDuel.

Saving on Monday Pitching

There are some big names to possibly spend up on, such as Luis Castillo, but Scott and Mark offer a pair of arms that can save you some cash and help you stack from the Colorado/San Francisco game. Kyle Hendricks is under $10,000 on DK, and Joe Musgrove is incredibly cheap when you consider how he has been pitching recently.

7/15 MLB DFS Podcast Stacks

There are a few likable options for tonight, and the Blue Jays are one of them. We also have to give strong consideration to the Braves. Of course, the second game of the Rockies/Giants doubleheader offers us some apparent quality options.

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Thank you for listening to the 7/15 MLB DFS Podcast. Follow Win Daily Sports on twitter @WinDailyDFS. Please check out everything that Win Daily Sports has to offer by becoming a premium member. New articles, projection models and data are being added frequently. We can’t say enough about our private Win Daily Slack Channel as it provides one on one coaching for all sports and all platforms. There are channels set up for MLB, PGA, NASCAR, WNBA, CFL, NBA, and NFL. We also have a channel dedicated to sports betting and one dedicated to Monkey Knife Fight where we provide winners to cash in on daily. We have a special promo for a limited time only to sign up for a full 12 months at only $199.99 or a monthly plan at $19.99 which are both 50% off our regular price.

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Jason Mezrahi and Mark Paquette discuss the Main FanDuel MLB DFS Slate on the 7/14 MLB DFS Podcast. They break down the main slate on FanDuel. Its your typical Sunday Slate schedule so listen closely to who they like.

Lock and Load on deGrom !

Pitching is easy and straight forward on this slate. Lock deGrom and move on to hitting. Play him in your cash games and pitch him in your GPPs. Forget the ownership and find out how to be different with you bats. You will have to find some value bats. Don’t worry we’ve got you covered, just listen below to the 7/14 MLB DFS Podcast.

7/14 MLB DFS Podcast Stacks

We have to find bats and Jason thinks we should head to his City and stack up the New York Yankees. Pairing deGrom with the Yankees will be tough so listen closely. When your’e done listening to our 7/14 MLB DFS Podcast, please check out our premium weather blog to stay up to date on your busy Sunday

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Thank you for listening to the Sunday 7/14 MLB DFS Podcast. Follow Win Daily Sports on twitter @WinDailyDFS. Please check out everything that Win Daily Sports has to offer by becoming a premium member. New articles, projection models and data are being added frequently. We can’t say enough about our private Win Daily Slack Channel as it provides one on one coaching for all sports and all platforms. There are channels set up for MLB, PGA, NASCAR, WNBA, CFL, NBA, and NFL. We also have a channel dedicated to sports betting and one dedicated to Monkey Knife Fight where we provide winners to cash in on daily. We have a special promo for a limited time only to sign up for a full 12 months at only $199.99 or a monthly plan at $19.99 which are both 50% off our regular price.

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Scott Engel and Jason Mezrahi get into the full MLB schedule on the 7/13 MLB DFS Podcast. They break down the night slate on FanDuel and DraftKings. There are some tough pitching decisions to make in order to help you get the bats you want, especially at Coors Field.

A lot of Aces in the deck

There are a lot of pitching aces on this main slate. Chris Sale, Aaron Nola, Trevor Bauer, Patrick Corbin and Matt Boyd are all on the mound on a loaded Saturday Night Pitching Slate. Therefore we have to decide if there is any Pitching values so we can fade these top arms. Don’t worry we’ve got you covered, just listen below to the 7/13 MLB DFS Podcast.

7/13 MLB DFS Podcast Stacks

We have another game in Colorado to take into account after the two Grays locked it down on Friday night and tempered both offenses. Is tonight the night to hop back on the Coors Field Stacks? So when your’e done listening to our 7/13 MLB DFS Podcast, please check out our premium weather blog to stay up to date on your busy Saturday.

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Thank you for listening to the Saturday 7/13 MLB DFS Podcast. Follow Win Daily Sports on twitter @WinDailyDFS. Please check out everything that Win Daily Sports has to offer by becoming a premium member. New articles, projection models and data are being added frequently. We can’t say enough about our private Win Daily Slack Channel as it provides one on one coaching for all sports and all platforms. There are channels set up for MLB, PGA, NASCAR, WNBA, CFL, NBA, and NFL. We also have a channel dedicated to sports betting and one dedicated to Monkey Knife Fight where we provide winners to cash in on daily. We have a special promo for a limited time only to sign up for a full 12 months at only $199.99 or a monthly plan at $19.99 which are both 50% off our regular price.

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Scott Engel and Jason Mezrahi get into the full MLB schedule on the 7/12 MLB DFS Podcast. They break down the night slate on FanDuel and DraftKings. There are some good pitching bargains to help you get the bats you want, especially at Coors Field.

7/12 MLB DFS Podcast: Making The Pitching Calls

There is no need to spend up for Gerrit Cole when there are two viable and affordable starters in the Mets-Marlins matchup. Robbie Ray and Danny Duffy also offer opportunities to save salary for the hitting you want. There is a lot of chatter on Yonny Chirinos as well around the industry for valid reason due to his pricing.

7/12 MLB DFS Podcast Stacks

In the battle of the Grays at Colorado, there are some affordable Cincinnati bats if you want to run a stack. The Astros are also stackable, and the Giants make a nifty build as well, according to Jason.

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Thank you for listening to the Friday 7/12 MLB DFS Podcast. Follow Win Daily Sports on twitter @WinDailyDFS. Please check out everything that Win Daily Sports has to offer by becoming a premium member. New articles, projection models and data are being added frequently. We can’t say enough about our private Win Daily Slack Channel as it provides one on one coaching for all sports and all platforms. There are channels set up for MLB, PGA, NASCAR, WNBA, CFL, NBA, and NFL. We also have a channel dedicated to sports betting and one dedicated to Monkey Knife Fight where we provide winners to cash in on daily. We have a special promo for a limited time only to sign up for a full 12 months at only $199.99 or a monthly plan at $19.99 which are both 50% off our regular price.

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We finally get some baseball after a four-day break and I simply can’t contain my excitement to play some DFS. Getting right back into it with pitching is all I could ask for and we have a fascinating slate ahead of us here. With this being the first day back after the break, there are some funky things happening. There’s still a handful of pitchers who haven’t even been announced yet and it appears many managers aren’t even re-setting their rotations. That’s why this article is full of value plays and it’s time to get right back into the grind! 

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Cash Game Pitcher of the Day 

Caleb Smith, MIA vs. NYM 

DK ($8,600)   FD ($8,000) 

I rarely recommend a guy below $10,000 as the cash game pitcher of the day but it’s hard to ignore Smith’s floor in a matchup like this. What gives him such a nice floor is his K upside, with Smith recording at least six Ks in 11 of his 13 starts while pitching at least five innings in 12 of those fixtures. That has led to him scoring at least 30 FanDuel points in all 11 of those games, which is an incredible mark from a player barely cracking $8,000.

The Mets are not a matchup we need to worry about either, with New York ranking 18th in runs scored, 17th in K rate and middle of the pack in wOBA and xwOBA. An average offense like that will likely struggle in Marlins Park, which ranks as the best pitcher’s park in the Majors. That’s why Smith is pitching to a 1.84 ERA and 0.89 WHIP at home this season while providing an 11.9 K/9 rate.  

GPP Pitchers 

Mike Fiers, OAK vs. CWS 

DK ($8,500)   FD ($8,400)  

Fiers has seen a major increase in price over recent weeks and it’s easy to see why. Not only has Fiers allowed three runs or fewer in 13 straight starts, he’s actually pitching to a 2.11 ERA and 0.88 WHIP over his last 11 starts. That’s simply elite production and it’s clear that he’s thriving in a pitcher’s haven like Oakland Coliseum. While his strikeouts have been lacking in that span, facing a White Sox team that ranks 23rd in K rate adds to his intrigue. That’s not the only way they struggle, with Chicago sitting 25th in runs scored and 22nd in wOBA. Fiers is also projected to enter this game as a –190 favorite.  

Yonny Chirinos, TB at BAL 

DK ($8,400)   FD ($6,800) 

When is Chirinos going to get the respect he deserves? This $6,800 price tag on FanDuel is downright insulting, as he should be above $8,000 on both sites. The Tampa Bay righty is currently pitching to a 3.15 ERA and 0.99 WHIP so far this season. Those are All-Star numbers, as Chirinos has only allowed more than four runs once all season. Four runs seem like a tough task for an offense like the Orioles too, with Baltimore ranking 21st in K rate, 26th in runs scored, 27th in OPS and 29th in xwOBA. In two starts against the Orioles this season, Chirinos has completed 12.1 innings while allowing just three runs and 10 baserunners. Vegas agrees, making the Rays a –155 favorite in this matchup.  

Danny Duffy, KC vs. DET 

DK ($6,800)   FD ($7,900 

This will undoubtedly cause some controversy in our Slack discussion for Gold members because our staff has been split on this guy all season long. I’ve been somewhere in the middle but he’s tough to fade in a matchup like this. The simple fact is, Duffy is a league-average pitcher in a supreme matchup. That automatically puts him in play at this sort of price because the Tigers are the worst offense in baseball.

In fact, the Motor City Kitties currently rank last in both runs scored and OBP while sitting 29th in both K rate and wOBA. Duffy has been solid this season too if you take out a game at Texas and versus Boston, with the southpaw pitching to a 3.50 ERA and 1.29 WHIP over his other 11 starts. That’s fine for a guy facing such a bad offense, with Duffy entering this game as a –150 favorite.  

Cheap Pitcher of the Day 

Chase Anderson, MIL vs. SF 

DK ($6,300)   FD ($6,500) 

This price is simply too cheap for someone with so much in his favor. The biggest variable for Anderson is this matchup, with the Giants ranking 27th in runs scored, 28th in OBP and 29th in OPS, wOBA and xwOBA. That’s a recipe for anyone to succeed, especially a solid pitcher like Anderson. The Milwaukee righty is pitching to a 3.54 ERA and 1.17 WHIP dating back to 2017, despite being inconsistent this season. Anyone with that sort of potential is definitely worth a shot, particularly against a putrid offense like this. That doesn’t even take into consideration that Anderson enters this game as a –190 favorite.   

Also, don’t overlook Dinelson Lamet on FanDuel. The Padres righty has always been good when healthy and his $5,600 price tag on FD makes no sense. What makes it even more bizarre is the fact that he’s the third-highest priced pitcher on DraftKings at $9,800. Any time you see a $4,200 difference, you have to consider him on the cheaper site.  

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day 

Caleb Smith/Jason Vargas Over 10.5 Combined Strikeouts

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You know we already love Smith with his write-up in our cash game section but Vargas hasn’t been shabby himself. In fact, the Mets lefty is pitching to a 2.76 ERA and 1.16 WHIP over his last 12 starts and gets to face a Marlins offense who ranks last in wOBA, runs scored and OPS. That should make it a relatively easy task for these guys to combine for 11 Ks.

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There have been quite a few NFL rule changes over the past few years that benefit offensive players and play into Daily Fantasy Football Strategy. Defensive backs aren’t allowed to hand-check and hold nearly as much as they used to, and pass rushers basically can’t touch the quarterback at all. Both of these changes have made passing easier. Rule changes to protect receivers, making it illegal to hit defenseless receivers or hit them in the neck/head region, have resulted in more missed tackles and bigger windows for receptions, too. These changes have raised the stakes on your offensive drafting. Offense in NFL DFS has always been important, but these rule changes have made it even more so.

When putting together your team, choosing the right defense will also be important. Because you get points for sacks and turnovers as well as for holding opposing offenses to fewer points, it’s a smart Daily Fantasy Football Strategy to target teams who get great pressure on the quarterback to force turnovers and hold offenses to low point output.

Taking a look at DVOA (Defense Value Over Average) is a good place to start when researching defenses as part of your Daily Fantasy Football Strategy approach. DVOA calculates a team’s success each play during the season and how successful they are compared to the league average for that down and distance. A defense that ranks near the top in DVOA is better on average week in and week out than the rest of the league. Go after the defense that has proven to be able to game plan against their opponents to hold them to fewer points than other defenses.

Also check out what they defendagainst well and what they don’t. Some teams are really good against the runbut have a weak secondary, and vice versa. A team may have a great DVOA becauseof their secondary, but if they have an average defensive line and linebacking coreand are facing off against a team that’s averaging well over one hundred yardsin rushing each week, they’re likely to see that DVOA ranking drop after givingup a lot of points on the ground. The same is true with passing defense numbers.Remember that the game is skewed toward the offense now, and the best offensiveteams in each category will beat the best defensive teams in that category.

The best way to target your defense, though, isn’t really about the defense at all. It’s most important to pick your defense based on their opponent. Low-scoring offenses rarely have breakout performances, no matter who they’re up against. So, as you pick your defense and consider your Daily Fantasy Football Strategy approach here, start your research by taking a look at the worst-performing offenses and who they’re playing that week. Especially look to target teams missing their starting QB, key pieces of their offensive line, or their stud RB. It’s a savvy Daily Fantasy Football Strategy.

As you identify good matchups, beaware that weather can have an effect—although not as much as you might think.Light rain, snow, or wind doesn’t have much of an effect on offensive players. However,heavy snow and rain can make it more difficult for quarterbacks to throw well,for running backs to hold on to the ball, and for receivers to completereceptions. During snowy games, the amount of accumulation on the ground isvery important: while offensive players may be slowed down a bit, defensiveplayers are too, which can open up some great opportunities for long catch-and-runTD’s.

Heavy winds over 20 mph are rare but do occur several times throughout each season. Strong wind will have the worst effect on the offense, affecting quarterbacks and the receiving core most. Be sure to check out the weather reports the day of the games to see if any weather threats are affecting the players you have chosen and your Daily Fantasy Football Strategy.

Games played in domes are typicallygood for offenses, as players will be able to play faster with more surefooting. Identifying offenses with fast skill players who are playing insidethat week is a good plan: their speedy guys might be able to break through forbig gains during the winter months when other teams’ offenses will be sloweddown by heavy snow, rain, and frigid temperatures.

Something else to keep in mind as is that injuries are common in the NFL. Reading the practice reports as they come out during the week will be crucial to your success and Daily Fantasy Football Strategy. If a player is inactive or if he’s questionable, take a look at his replacement, especially if it’s an RB in a run-heavy offense or a WR in a pass-heavy one. Teams won’t change their entire offensive structure just because a player is out that week. They will plug the next guy in and keep right on going. These players will typically be flying under the radar, as low-owned backups. However, be careful about reading too much into these reports, as teams are deceptive in their approach and disclose as little as possible about their players’ injuries so that their upcoming opponents don’t catch wind of a crucial injury.

Byeweeks are crucial for players who are battling nagging injuries. If there’s aplayer who’s been listed on his team’s practice report as questionable for acouple weeks due to a minor injury, but he gets a full bye week to rest, he couldbe a good buy-low candidate if the team goes into a matchup that will favorthem. After an extra week of rest and treatment, he might be lined up for abreakout performance.

The converse of that is when players are coming off a short week or flying cross-country, getting less rest between games. Be especially aware of which direction teams are flying each week when considering this in Daily Fantasy Football Strategy. If one of the players you’re considering is on a West Coast team and is heading East to play an early game in the 1:00 p.m. slot, you may want to slide down his projection a tad. That’s a tough adjustment for the player to make, and if you’re considering two players side by side, that might make the difference for you.

Low-owned players in general should be a place for you to look for value picks. If somebody is struggling early on in a new system or battling injuries but is facing off against a weak defense or other conditions that favor him, it would be a good bet to take a flyer on him as a value pick who may break out. This is especially true when players face off against defenses with certain weaknesses. Maybe an RB is having a tough season but is playing a team with a weak defensive line. That’s a great opportunity to get some value out of a cheaper pick. Similarly, using middling receivers versus banged-up secondaries is a good Daily Fantasy Football strategy.

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