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The CJ Cup: Initial Picks

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The CJ Cup: Initial Picks

Two weeks in Vegas sounds like a bad idea, but here we are at a no-cut event in Shadow Creek.  This is a new location for the CJ Cup which normally takes place in South Korea.  Therefore, you can go ahead and ignore prior history as it was not on this course. We have also already seen DJ and Tony Finau withdraw the the event. Shadow Creek is characterized as a long course but the length is minimized by the altitude.  There are plenty of water hazards and the rough may be high so you’re going to want some accuracy with your length and good play around the green will also prove to be helpful here, so here are our The CJ Cup: Initial Picks. Don’t forget to join the Livestream TONIGHT (Tuesday) at 8:00 EST.

Jon Rahm (11300) – Hard to pick among the upper crust this week as they are all very deserving to be put in your lineups, but I prefer Rahm’s all around game, particularly what he can do OTT.  Justin Thomas is my honorable mention as far as my favorite top play.

Xander Schaufele (10300) – Looking for good all around game and Xander checks all the boxes.  He has also been in great form which includes a 5th place at the U.S. Open.

Matthew Wolff (10000) – I would normally be a bit hesitant to take a guy who just lost in a playoff, but I don’t think anything really affects the former rookie class of Wolff, Morikawa and Hovland.  They certainly don’t seem like the new kids on the block and I’ll be on them again this week.  Wolff’s ownership likely to be high.

Tyrell Hatton (9600) – Coming off a win last week in Europe, Hatton is a guy that can go low on any given day.  He’s in good form and he gains strokes in every metric with APP being the best of those metrics.  Ownership may be down a bit because Hatton just won and had to travel quite a bit in the last couple of days. 

Collin Morikawa (9500) – I’m guessing Collin’s stock is dipping now that he’s starting to miss cuts and that means it’s the perfect time to take him.  I must admit, I’m a touch worried about his game right now, but it wouldn’t shock me at all if he turns it around on his home turf in Vegas.

Viktor Hovland (9000) – An incredible ball striker who still has a questionable short game.  Definitely willing to gamble on this guy as right now he’s probably the most forgotten of the ‘Rookie Three’ and I think it’s a good time to pick up shares.  His ownership is tracking at well below that of Wolff and Morikawa but still above 10%.

Abraham Ancer (8200) – Ancer was pretty terrible down the stretch of last season, but seems to have recalibrated last week with a 4th place finish.  This guy seems to start FedEx Cup seasons well and he should be a good course fit with his OTT and APP game.

Brendan Todd (7900) – Certainly not long OTT but always seems to be around on Sundays.   Ownership should be low as there are plenty of ‘sexier’ options in this range.

Russell Henley (7100) – Good enough OTT and great on APP and gains ARG.  Henley has been particularly good on APP recently.  Henley may have limited upside but has the game to put up scores that outpace his price.

Ryan Palmer (6700) – I have no issue jamming Palmer into a lineup in a no-cut event.  He’s usually good for at least one great day (and one very bad one) and that’s the type of scenario that could really pay off this week. 

Adam Hadwin (6700) – Great ball striker who has a great track record in the desert.  He shot super low last Saturday and followed it up with a bad Sunday.  The bad Sunday (and resulting 34th place finish) is hopefully what most will remember and that should keep ownership low.

Secret Weapon – See you in Discord.

Thanks for checking out my The CJ Cup: Initial Picks! Don’t forget to join us tonight, check out the other great articles up on Win Daily Sports, and please also subscribe to the Win Daily Podcast!

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Shriners: Initial Picks

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Shriners: Initial Picks

We finally have a legitimate field of stars here at the Shriners and it appears that we have value in all pricing tiers. I have isolated my Initial Picks, but I can assure you we will have many more on the Livestream TONIGHT at 8:00 and in Discord up until Thursday morning. Please tune in tonight and good luck this week. Here are is the Shriners: Initial Picks.

Bryson DeChambeau (11800) – There’s no such thing as a lock button guy in golf, but this is pretty close.  His game fits this course quite well, he’s been on fire lately and he’s got a great track record at this course.  His price is the only downside, but you’re going to want plenty of shares.  Bryson will likely be owned at over 20% this week so clearly his price tag is not dissuading players from selecting him.  A lock in cash, but if you want to fade him in a big GPP, I have no issue with it.

Tony Finau (10200) – Yes, I passed right over the guy (Patrick Cantlay) who has finished 2nd, 2nd and 1st his last three years at this event, but I’m going to pivot to Finau who also comes in great form and has a solid track record at this event (including a Top 10 last year).  I’m assuming the expensive salary will keep his ownership at 15% or below.

Matthew Wolff (9600) – Had a top 20 finish last year in his first time at the Shriner’s.  That’s not terribly impressive but Wolff’s game suits this course very well and he’s been on fire as of late (Top 5 finishes in his last two majors).  Wolff is finally being priced up with Morikawa and for good reason.  Interestingly, it looks like Wolff’s ownership will be higher than Morikawa by a significant margin (tracking at 22% versus 15% as of now). 

Sergio Garcia (9100) – Not a huge fan of selecting the winner from the week prior, but this seems like a reasonable price for a guy that is great T2G and who may have figured out some of his putting issues last week.   Sergio’s projected ownership looks to be tracking at less than 7% and he is therefore a nice GPP pivot from many of the other golfers in this range.

Cam Davis (8200) – A long hitter who can get hot at any moment, as evidenced by last week’s Round 3 of nine under (7 birdies and 1 eagle including 5 birdies in a row).   Davis usually fizzles on Sundays but if he gets to Sunday, he’s likely to pay off his price tag.  Be careful in GPP’s with Davis as he is tracking at approximately 25% ownership which is enormous in this range.  You can play him in GPP’s, just be mindful of the chalk and be different elsewhere.  A great cash play.

Joaquin Neimann (8100) –  The ball striking metrics are there for Joaquin, but he is certainly a hit or miss prospect this week.  Going with the upside that he flashed at the BMW (3rd place) and he remains in relatively good form with a 23rd at the U.S. Open.  At less than 10% projected ownership, he’s a nice GPP pivot from Cam Davis (Ancer is another good pivot in the 8k range as his ownership is below 10% as of now).

Denny McCarthy (7600) – Finished 6th last week and has two Top 15’s in his last two attempts at the Shriners.  His ball striking metrics have been very good as of late and he is a great putter.  Good value at the price.

Kristoffer Ventura (7100) – His recent strokes gained metrics jump off the page.  Outside of some somewhat shaky APP play, he’s been knocking the metrics out of the park.  He’s also finished Top 8 in two out of his last three tournaments.  Finished 18th here last year.

Henrik Norlander (6900) – An absolute boom or bust play.  He has been bad lately, but finally emerged from the abyss last week with a 4th place at Sanderson.  We saw the upside with Norlander right after the re-start so we know he has it in him.

Tyler Duncan (6700) – Duncan has been a bit erratic lately with the driver and the putter but his APP game is fantastic.  The rough shouldn’t be too penal here so maybe his APP game bails him out and maybe he finds the putter.  When you get into the 6k range you need to play the ‘maybe’ card from time to time, and I’m happy to do that with Duncan.

Sepp Straka (6500) – Coming off a missed cut last week, but here we have a golfer that typically gains OTT and on APP and doesn’t have a terrible putter.  Plenty of boom upside with Straka.

JB Holmes (6400) – On absolutely nobody’s radar but he did make the cut last week and unfortunately had a horrific Sunday.  I’m willing to lean a bit on pre-injury pedigree for Holmes with the knowledge that I’m dipping into a dangerous area in the 6k range.

Don’t forget to join us TONIGHT at 8:00 for the Win Daily PGA Livestream with Michael Rasile, Joel Schrek and myself. Don’t forget to also subscribe to the Win Daily Podcast and the Win Daily YouTube channel. See you tonight!

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BMW Championship – Initial Picks

Down to the final 70 players for the FedEx Cup which means two things:  there is no cut and most of the field will be gunning to get into the Top 30 to qualify for the final event.  We will have way more on this tournament from the WinDaily team within the next 24 hours, and of course, we will be bringing you the Livestream tonight (Tuesday night) at 8:30 pm with Michael Rasile and Joel Schrek.  The Livestream will also feature 1st Round Leader bets, outright bets and matchups. Here are our BMW Championship – Initial Picks.

Justin Thomas (10800) – JT checks all the boxes.  Before the restart I dubbed JT the best player in the world and I think he finishes the FedEx Cup on top when it’s all said and done.  Since the restart JT leads the field T2G.  He didn’t have a great tournament with the putter last week, but expect a rebound in that department.

Webb Simpson (10100) – Doesn’t get the respect he deserves and that is absolutely fine with me as I will keep firing.  He’s in great form and coming off a 3rd and a 6th place finish.   I have no issue if you want to start your team in this range.

Scottie Scheffler (9000) – We’ve always known that Scottie can pile up DFS points, but now he is actually contending among the elite tier of golfers.  He has been the best player T2G over the last month.  His price continues to creep upward but he’s still worth the pricetag considering the form he is in.

Tony Finau (8700) – We know Finau can get hot and go low and we also know that he can buckle under pressure.  Therefore, a no cut event would appear to be a good situation for Tony and at this price he doesn’t need to be Top 3 to justify the selection.  I will point out that he is 29th in the FedEx Cup Standings.

Adam Scott (8200) – Very unimpressive 58th place last week, but he can attribute some of the poor days to a lack of play since the restart.  With that said, he’s finally playing two tournaments in a row and he sits at 36th in the FedEx Cup standings.  I think Scott will be particularly dialed into making that Top 30 and I expect a good showing.

Matthew Wolff (8200) – Shot a laughable 77 on Saturday at the Northern Trust but had a nice rebound performance on Sunday with a 67.  Wolff, Morikawa and Hovland are only a handful of players that actually have some recent experience on this course (from their amateur days which were literally just two years ago) and I expect all three of them to play well here again. 

Viktor Hovland (8100) – With only 70 players in the field I’m looking for a golfer that can get hot on any given day and Hovland continues to prove that he can do that.   The reason I have selected only two of the Fab three (I have excluded Morikawa) is simply a product of value and that is exactly what you’re getting with Hovland.

Ryan Palmer (7600) – Yes he will have the occasional blow up rounds but he has been very good since the restart, including four made cuts in a row with two Top 10’s in that span.  It’s interesting to note that Abraham Ancer (7700) has played the same exact last four tournaments as Ryan Palmer (Northern Trust, PGA, WGC and Memorial) and Ancer’s best finish during that span is 15th and his other three finishes were MC, 43rd and 58th). 

Talor Gooch (6600) – I was on the Gooch last week and it paid off with an 18th place finish.  He’s been Top 25 in his last two and appears to be on the rise.  Definitely value at this price.

Secret Weapon (sub 7k/less than 5%) – At some point I’m going to be wrong on the SW pick, but it’s been two months and it hasn’t happened yet.  See you in Discord for the next installment.

Thrive Fantasy

Using the information above, you can even make some money on Thrive Fantasy! As I said I like Tony Finau and you can grab the UNDER on his total PARs and BOGs Prop. You can also take advantage of Tiger needing to do well, and Bryson shooting under a 67! Check them out and use promo code “windaily” when you sign up for some extra bonuses. Learn how to play here on our quick over.

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