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Welcome to the Sunday edition of MLB DFS Picks and Pivots where we dive into the top fantasy baseball plays and slate strategy to help you take down tournaments all season long at Win Daily Sports!

Congrats to our Win Daily Sports MLB Expert Rocker on a massive MLB DFS win on Saturday Night!

https://twitter.com/THEDFSNERD/status/1378563149360680960

If you are new to MLB DFS Picks and Pivots, the goal of this article is not simply to list out the “best plays” but rather walk through the context of the slate and help you identify the best arms and stacks to build around for MLB DFS tournament play. We will use DraftKings pricing as our anchor and help you get a head start on your winning builds!

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots: Pitching Picks

For the first time since the 2021 MLB DFS season started, we have a Main Slate without the Dodgers in Coors Field and this is the first slate without obvious ace-level arms – which means we have far more landmines to navigate and potential risk.

The two best arms on the slate in terms of K metrics are Ian Anderson ($9.8K) and Zach Eflin ($8.2K) who sported 29.7% and 28.6% K rates respectively last season while also having 25% or lower HC rates which means they have high K upside and the potential for run prevention – however, the issue for both will lie in the fact they face each other, and more specifically the Braves and Phillies lineups.

If you have been following along with Picks and Pivots early this season, you know that I am a huge proponent of going double-aces on DraftKings, anchoring to high K arms and banking on high variance from hitters that allow me to attack cheaper stacks.

The issue with that approach is that it cannot be applied to every slate equally – like today – if we do not have the elite K arms, I do not think we need to force it.

So rather than start from the top, let’s work our way up from the bottom with two punt arms that I think have some GPP appeal.

Jeff Hoffman ($5.4K) by all metrics is an arm we are not going to start our day considering based on his history but for a pitcher that has spent his entire career in Coors Field, the move out to Cincinnati could pay big dividends.

The reality is, Hoffman outside of his career in Coors has been a totally serviceable arm with a 4.8 ERA and a 21.6% K rate which in the context of this slate, actually puts him in contention to be playable. If you dig deeper, his best K metric split is on the road against RHB, sitting at 23% – and guess what he is about to face today with the Cardinals- a projected line-up with 5-6 right-handed batters included.

Bruce Zimmermann ($6.7K) makes his first start of 2021 and with just 7 innings of major league experience, the Orioles left-hander will get the tough task of pitching in Fenway Park. Interestingly enough, Zimmermann pitched 4 innings of relief against Boston in Fenway last season and did quite well – with 4 innings of 2 hit ball with 5 K’s on his way to 15 DK points.

https://twitter.com/GiraffeNeckMarc/status/1376544336091959303

What is interesting about Zimmermann is that his pitch mix and approach are still developing and we may end up seeing an improved version of himself in his first full big-league season. Zimmermann spent the off-season re-working his mechanics which is outlined in great detail in this great piece from Fangraphs and what we saw in Spring Training was a much different arm with better breaking stuff and more velocity. It is a small sample size, but in 9 innings, he allowed just one hit and sported a 10:3 K: BB ratio.

Listen, I am not going to pound the table and tell you that punting with these arms is a slam dunk – it is far from it. There is risk but there is risk with nearly every arm on this slate and I think the perceived “good arms” are overpriced relative to their talent. So instead- can we punt with arms that have demonstrated K ability and still give us all the salary we want to spent on bats? I think so.

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots: Stacks to Attack

With all the salary we could want, we can attack the best bats on this slate and the game that catches my eye is Yankees/Blue Jays.

The Yankees face off with RHP TJ Zeuch, a low K ground ball arm and the fact that the Yankees have one of the highest totals on the Main Slate, over 5 runs today, will make them a popular place to spend up against arguably the worst arm we have today. The weather in New York will be 60 degrees and sunny with 10MPH winds blowing straight out and so this is a a spot where I think a Yankee stack of power bats could pay massive dividends.

The Blue Jays side of this game very honestly is where my GPP mind goes to. At the start of my research I was intrigued by RHP Domingo German who is back for the Yankees at the back end of the rotation his suspension for domestic violence – listen this kid has tremendous K potential with 26% and 27% K rates his previous two years but that came with nearly 40% hard contact and almost 2 HR/9.

I could have just as easily made the argument FOR German has an SP option on this slate – the kid has electric stuff as evidenced by his 17:1 K:BB ratio in the spring and if the Blue Jays lineup is a Sunday Special – well, maybe we need to reconsider. However, this is also an arm who gives up a ton of hard contact and power against one of the most exciting and powerful young lineups in baseball.

The Blue Jays lineup is not only powerful – but they are pricey on DK with guys like Vlad, Bichette, Biggio and Teoscar all in the $4-$5K and so here is a spot where you take your stand. Are you playing the K rate for German or are you attacking an arm that have up a ton of hard contact with a high HR/9 rate with the wind blowing out in Yankee Stadium?

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots – The Wrap Up

Sunday’s forMLB DFS are always tricky because we tend to see days off for star players and odd lineups that can take a fringe arm and quickly make him a core play if lineups break right.

Today – DISCORD is going to be huge as we adjust and react to lineups.

Let’s be honest – there is no arm today I feel like we HAVE to have, let alone getting two on DraftKings – so instead, can we pay down for arms and let the bats win us this slate? As we get lineups out today, I think we may find that some fringe arms are in better spots then we first thought!

Enjoy this slate – let’s get in our FREE Discord today and chat it up while we dig through our cheat sheets and custom projections here at Win Daily to set up the start of this MLB DFS season with some big wins!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @2LockSports and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!

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Welcome to the Saturday edition of MLB DFS Picks and Pivots where we dive into the top fantasy baseball plays and slate strategy to help you take down tournaments all season long at Win Daily Sports!

If you are new to MLB DFS Picks and Pivots, the goal of this article is not simply to list out the “best plays” but rather walk through the context of the slate and help you identify the best arms and stacks to build around for MLB DFS tournament play. We will use DraftKings pricing as our anchor and help you get a head start on your winning builds!

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots: Slate Breakdown

Opening up this Saturday Main Slate with 6 games on the MLB DFS slate, we are once again confronted with the question of how we attack the Dodgers in Coors Field.

With a 7+ run total after scoring 11 runs last night, the Dodgers are going to be insane chalk again – with the core batters all sitting around 40-50% ownership in GPP’s.

Listen, I get it – but baseball is the one sport where I am willing to fade the chalk ESPECIALLY when it comes to hitters as there is no DFS sport with the variance that baseball has when it comes to batters. If the Dodgers go nuts, I am done for – but if they flop at 50% ownership, that is the kind of crazy leverage where you could get a GPP takedown, and frankly, that is the goal any time we play tournaments.

The chalk builds tonight on DK look like Corbin Burnes as your SP1 with as many Dodgers as you can jam in and for cash, I am fine following that path – but for GPP’s we have more than enough viable pivots.

First off – we pay up for pitching – at both spots – all the way up with both Walker Buehler and Lance Lynn who are both over $9K. Buehler over the last two season has a 30% K rate, 13% swinging-strike rate and faces a Rockies projected lineup that has a 27% K rate against RHP since 2019.

Lynn meanwhile is at his best against right-handed heavy teams, sporting a 32.4% K rate against RHB since 2019 and will face likely 6 righties in the Angels lineup.

In both cases, Walker in Coors and Lynn against the Angles are not spots that stand out as “must have” environments for SP’s and couple that with the fact everyone wants Dodgers will leave these guys 10-20% owned tonight. I will take the known commodities on the mound with 30% K rate upside every time and tonight going Buehler/Lynn will be a massive difference maker.

For our stacks – this is easy – we have a right-handed heavy team against a lefty that has been throttled by RHB since 2019 to the tune of a .253 ISO. Caleb Smith is in for a hurting tonight against the San Diego Padres who can roll out a Murderer’s Row of right-handed power.

All of Fernando Tatis Jr. Manny Machado and Wil Myers have .250+ ISO marks against LHP since 2019 and I would argue that this stack has every bit the power upside to match the Dodgers tonight. Looking at ownership right now – you can get a Machado/Myers/Cronenworth middle of the order stack for combined 5-7% ownership – compare that to a Turner/Bellinger/Lux stack at 40% ownership and ask yourself if the Dodgers are really 8-9X more likely to outscore the Padres middle of the order.

One of the ways I think you can get serious leverage tonight is to not only ignore the Dodgers but to attack the chalky Corbin Burnes. Burnes is pushing nearly 60% ownership tonight as of this writing and I am sorry, but that is exactly where I think we can get a huge advantage on the field.

Burnes has electric K stuff for sure, but he also gives up a ton of power, especially to lefties, with a .200 ISO and 43% HC rate allowed to LHB since 2019. The Twins tonight will roll out 4 lefties but they also throw out right-handed batters with some serious reverse splits and while Burnes has shown he has elite K ability this is also a pitcher who gave up 3 HR/9 in 2019 before his breakout 2020.

Now – I would not make the Twins a priority stack – but I do love the idea of using them as a mini-stack around the Padres tonight as a handful of the Twins profile really well against Burnes.

Burnes throws his slider nearly 40% of the time to righties and guys like Miguel Sano and Byron Buxton hammer that pitch type with .200+ ISO marks and 300+ average distance traveled. Against LHB, Burnes relies on his cutter nearly 40% of the time and Max Kepler and Jorge Polanco have .400 and .280 ISO marks against that pitch type.

With Burnes being so popular tonight, I think there are a variety of ways the Twins bats get to him and picking off 1-2 bats with HR ability could help you get low owned dongs that also give you direct leverage off the chalk arm!

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots – The Wrap Up

Slates like tonight are the best and worst of MLB DFS. Listen, the Dodgers are the best spot on the board but the ownership pushing nearly 50% on these bats that is correlated with Corbin Burnes being SUPER chalky gives us the Ricky Bobby path tonight – either we are first or last.

I am happy to fade the chalk tonight and let the chips fall where they may. The San Diego Padres bats have all the upside to match the Rockies and allow me enough salary savings to also get two elite K arms. Two aces and a 5 man power stack at single digit ownership sounds lovely to me!

Enjoy this slate – let’s get in our FREE Discord today and chat it up while we dig through our cheat sheets and custom projections here at Win Daily to set up the start of this MLB DFS season with some big wins!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @2LockSports and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!

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Welcome to the 2021 Opening Day edition of MLB DFS Picks and Pivots where we dive into the top DraftKings and FanDuel plays and slate strategy to help you take down tournaments all season long at Win Daily Sports!

If you have been waiting to join the Win Daily Sports family – now is your chance! Promo code Sweet 16 gets you 16% off the package of your choice – all in time for March Madness.

If you are new to MLB DFS Picks and Pivots, the goal of this article is not simply to list out the “best plays” but rather walk through the context of the slate and help you identify the best arms and stacks to build around for MLB DFS tournament play. We will use DraftKings pricing as our anchor and help you get a head start on your winning builds!

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots: Slate Breakdown

The first thing you will notice when you open your MLB DFS slate for Opening Day is how DraftKings and FanDuel opted to approach the staggered start times differently. FanDuel has included the Yankees and Indians 1 PM EST starts while DraftKings begins their 9 game slate at 2:10 PM EST.

The biggest difference is what this means for our pitching pool as Shane Bieber and Gerrit Cole are going to be aces that are not available on the DraftKings slate. Neither site will have the Mets/Nationals nightcap which means no Opening Day Jacob deGrom or Max Scherzer. As a Mets fan, this makes me sad.

I bring this up because typically early season MLB DFS gives the advantage to the elite arms as the weather remains cooler in early April, the hitter’s are not yet in a regular-season groove and the pricing is generally softer from a DFS perspective. This has always lead me early in the years to prioritize arms over bats early but I will say, the way DraftKings has Opening Day set up – they make you think about it.

Not only do we lack the typical “Opening Day Studs” on this 9 game slate but we also get arguably the best offense in baseball, the Los Angeles Dodgers, in Coors Field! So right off the bat, we get Coors Field slates with lofty Vegas run totals that may make people push the hitters to the top of their priority list.

However, if you are new to MLB DFS you need to realize that baseball is the highest variance sport for fantasy specifically in how it relates to hitters. Even the best of the best in the sport are only successful a third of the time at the plate which means that even someone like Mike Trout can leave you with a big fat zero on any given night. You never get that same level of “floor” for an NBA star like Giannis or an NFL stud like Derrick Henry – barring injuries, these guys always get their stats – in MLB when it comes to batters, that is far from guaranteed.

Conversely, however, this is also why MLB DFS is one of my favorite GPP sports because the variance in offense gives you massive boom or bust potential on any given night. This is what leads me to utilize “stacking” as an ideal GPP strategy in MLB DFS – putting together multiple hitters from the same team to try and maximize that upside.

Sure you can go home run hunting if you like but if you have the lead-off man who doubled, the 2nd hitter who walked, and then the #3 hitter who drilled a home run into the outfield seats – well you have maximized every point of that DFS upside versus those who rostered only the guy who “got the HR.”

On DraftKings you can stack up to 5 hitters from the same team and personally, this is a strategy I will use early and often and it is one I will help guide you through on this slate and throughout the season.

Enough small talk – let’s dive in!

MLB DFS Picks – Opening Day Arms

On DraftKings, the highest-priced arm on the slate is going to be Yu Darvish ($10.4K) who gets a home start for his new San Diego Padres team against the Arizona Diamondbacks. Darvish was every bit the MLB DFS ace last season as he ranked top 11 in both K rate and swinging-strike rate with a 31.3% K rate and 14.4% SWSTR rate.

Strikeouts are king in MLB DFS as each strikeout will get you 2.75 DK points and it is the arms with the elite K ability that I am going to want over and over when we have them available to us in our MLB DFS Picks.

Darvish changed his pitch mix drastically in 2020, cutting his fastball usage nearly in half while utilizing his curveball nearly 15% of the time and doing all that while cutting his walk rate in half. Now, Darvish still did struggle with hard contact allowed, a 34.2% rate which was top 12 in baseball – so while he could miss bats, when they squared him up, he got hit hard.

Darvish also had a little bit of luck on his side last year as he sported an 83% Left on Base rate which was top 5 in baseball and a near 10% jump on his career marks. Now it is possible at age 33, with the pitch mix change and the move to an even friendlier pitcher’s park in San Diego that he can maintain that level of run prevention along with his elite K rate but I think his larger career sample size would tell you there is risk in paying the premium dollar for him on the first slate and I could argue that if he is chalky, the Arizona bats make for a sneaky mini leverage stack.

As Adam Strangis pointed out in his Starting Rotation Darvish has really anchored to his cutter, throwing it nearly 40% of the time against left-handed heavy lineups and this was a pitch type Arizona handled well last year – especially the top of the order. Guys like Ketel Marte and Eduardo Escobar have both hammered this pitch type with .300 and .400 ISO marks respectively and nearly 50% hard contact rates. This Arizona team has some dangerous bats up top and as a team that struck out just 20% of the time against RHP last season which limits the upside in my mind for Yu on Opening Day!

Aaron Nola ($10.1K) is every bit the ace that Darvish showed last season with metrics that match or exceed his as his 33.2% K rate was 2% higher than Darvish while his 13.5% SwStr % was nearly 1% below. In all cases, Nola was a similar top 10 K arm and on this first slate my guess is that with the ballpark difference and the the fact that Nola takes on the Braves, will make Nola nothing more than a low-owned pivot off a likely popular Darvish.

Nola faced the Braves twice last season and we saw the ceiling in his second start with 8 innings of 1 run ball and 10 K’s on his way to 38 DK points. The first outing was not so kind, as he lasted just 2 innings in Atlanta, giving up 4 ER’s and leaving the game with -1.4 DK points.

Nola had some serious home/road splits in his metrics last season as he sported a 36% K rate at home, a 6% increase on his road mark and most importantly saw his 1.42 HR/9 mark on the road drop to 0.91 when pitching in Philadelphia, where he will be on Opening Day.

Nola also exhibited serious L/R splits in 2020 with a 39.7% K rate against RHB which was a 13% increase over the lefties and a staggering shift from the previous season. The driver of this was simple – he went from using his change-up just 15% of the time to a staggering 35% of the time against right-handed batters as his biggest put away pitch with a 35% whiff rate. That change in approach drove this high K output against right-handed heavy teams and with the Braves having only two hitters from the left side in their projected line-up (Albies/Freeman) – Nola stands out as my top GPP SP1.

The last of my “aces” is my lock and load SP2 arm on this slate who arguably can be treated as an SP1 in Kenta Maeda ($8.3K).

Maeda sits in the top 11 in baseball in all the same K metrics we rattled off for Yu and Nola with a 32.3% K rate which is right in the middle of those two but with a 17.2% SWSTR% which was third in all of baseball last season behind only deGrom and Lucas Giolito.

From an advanced stats perspective, Maeda was actually the best pitcher of this trio as he had the lowest SIERA and xFIP of any of the “Big 3” here on Opening Day and yet we can get him at a $2K price discount.

Maeda gets to take on a Brewers team with a 26% K rate against RHP last season and a near 50% GB rate which plays in perfectly to Maeda’s heavy ground ball approach to generate soft contact. That ability to get weak contact WITH swing and miss stuff makes him an elite play for cash games with substantial GPP upside due to his pricing.

My strategy on this slate, especially on DraftKings is to go “double aces” and with Maeda operating as an ace as a far too cheap SP2 it will allow me to take either Darvish or Nola as my SP1.

MLB DFS Picks – Top Stacks

When it comes to MLB DFS, the pitchers are always going to be my first priority – the reality is you cannot miss on arms when it comes to DFS so I want to anchor to arms I feel good about knowing that batter’s by their nature, are going to be where my “variance” lies.

That said, with my bats, it becomes about the hitters but even more so about which arms I want to attack and that is where stacking comes in. Now the Dodgers in Coors Field are CLEARLY the most optimal spot but their pricing is going to make getting two of the top arms impossible and so I think we find a cheaper stack that faces in my opinion – the worst arm on the slate.

The Kansas City Royals will take on Kyle Gibson and the Rangers and this is the stack that I think can win me a slate on Opening Day.

Gibson was arguably one of the worst arms in baseball in 2020 as he ranked in the bottom 5 in all of baseball in hard contact rate allowed (37.7%) and HR/9 allowed with 1.6 HR/9 in 2020.

In 12 starts last season, Gibson gave up 4 or more runs in half of them and surrendered multiple HR’s in 4 of his 12 starts. THOSE are the starts you are targeting – the multiple HR games with 5,6 and 7 ER’s – that is how you make noise in a MLB DFS GPP!

Gibson struggled with walks (10%) and had just a 9% swinging strike rate last year – meaning people were on base, batters put the ball in play and when they did – they did so at a top 5 hard contact rate.

Past Gibson, you get into one of the worst 10 bullpens in baseball last year for Texas and so if the Royals get to Gibson early and often, they will get the back-end of a terrible bullpen to pad their stats as the game goes on.

The top of the Royals lineup is a speed/power combination with Whit Merrifield, Jorge Soler and the newly-acquired Andrew Benintendi – all sitting in front of power bats like Salvador Perez and Carlos Santana.

Gibson gave up a .233 ISO mark to LHB in 2020 and a nearly 50% HC rate to RHB so no matter the side of the plate, I think this stack can get to him for an early crooked number.

This 5 man Royals stack alongside a Maeda and Nola/Darvish ace pairing, will still leave you roughly $2.7K per batter for the last 3 spots in your build and I would argue this stack gives you every bit the upside as the high-priced Dodgers.

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots – The Wrap Up

First off – welcome back MLB DFS – how awesome is it to be reading about Opening Day and fantasy baseball!

Secondly, it will be important to re-align ourselves with how we want to attack our MLB DFS picks after a shortened 2020 season. Take the time to really dig into your builds and players rather than simply “clicking names” because early season MLB DFS can be where we get leverage off the masses before they have had the time to adjust.

My goal on Opening Day is to anchor to a tried and true formula – going double aces with a 5 man high-upside stack. That means going with Nola/Darvish as an SP1 with Kenta Maeda as my locked-in SP2 and pairing them with a 5 man Royals stack against Kyle Gibson.

I am so pumped for this MLB season with Win Daily Sports as we will have amazing content each day for cash games and GPP’s and our wide suite of tools and projections to help you get an edge all year long!

Enjoy this slate – let’s get in our FREE Discord today and chat it up while we dig through our cheat sheets and custom projections here at Win Daily to set up the start of this MLB DFS season with some big wins!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @2LockSports and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!

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Welcome back MLB DFS fans! Tonight we have the FINAL MLB DFS slate of the season with a Game 7 in the ALCS which will make this the last multi-game slate of this crazy abbreviated baseball season.

We are looking to go out with a bang here and build that bankroll before Sunday’s NFL DFS action – and if you have not yet – make sure you read our FREE Week 6 Game by Game breakdown and if you are new to Win Daily – jump into FREE Discord with us and get all the expert help you need to win big!

For those of you new to Picks and Pivots, the goal of this MLB DFS article each and every day is to provide you a “First Look” overview of the slate where we use DraftKings pricing as a baseline to help us get started. Rather than simply write out the “top plays,” this article will focus on slate strategy and roster construction with a GPP mindset to help you get started on your initial builds. Without further ado, let’s dive into today’s slate!

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots: Saturday Slate Breakdown:

After days and days of sorting through scraps for pitching – we open up today’s slate and see a stable of elite arms which makes this a slate that should/could play differently from what we have been seeing. We have four arms in Walker Buehler/Max Fried and Lance McCullers/Charlie Morton who all have demonstrated K upside and have game logs from the LCS to support it. All four arms delivered solid performances the first games of this series ranging from 18 DK points (Buehler), 21 (Morton), 25 (Fried) all the way up to the ceiling of McCullers (32).

McCullers is the clear outlier, the 11 strikeout ceiling performance standing out among the field and his $8.3K price point on DK will likely make him an easy spend up option on this slate. The Rays offense has consistently been the one to attack for K upside as this is a projected line-up with a 27-28% K rate and we have seen other Astros starters hit for strong games with Framber Valdez (20 and 29 DK points) and Zack Greinke (24 DK) showing us the path to cashing tends to go through the Rays K heavy offense.

The flip side – McCullers is the only arm of the four giving up a .200+ ISO to hitters and oh by the way, he does that to both sides of the plate. That K upside comes with some serious power risk and let’s not overlook he gave up 2 bombs to the Rays (Margot/Zunino) and this was after getting tagged for 3 HR’s in his start against Oakland where Davis, Olson and Murphy took him deep.

So in GPP’s – I think we have to assume, McCullers is the chalkiest of the options and because of the HR risk he has displayed in the postseason and the overall ISO risk he has had all 2020 – I would argue the Rays are the best leverage stack we could ask for.

Not only do they have a path against McCullers but this Astros bullpen has been up against the wall for days now – using closer Ryan Pressly in each of the last 3 games with Scrubb/Javier working last night and two of the last three days.

So I think taking a path and stacking the Rays could end up being an elite way to attack this slate. The Rays have been the definition of homer happy in the postseason with 70%+ of their runs coming via the long ball and from a DFS perspective – that is what is going to win you money on a two game slate.

It all starts with Randy Arozarena but by and large, this Rays team is priced down outside of him which makes stacking them alongside another elite offense – a really easy way to build on DK.

My other take from this game – the Rays may be reeling a bit, but Kevin Cash knows he has the best bullpen arms ready to go tonight and I think with Charlie Morton and that pen behind it, it gives you a path to a Rays onslaught kind of build.

So rock Morton with a Rays stack – hope Tampa gets to McCullers early and gives Uncle Charlie a path to another 5 inning win and 20 DK points and you could have the core build that drives you over the cash line.

The Dodgers/Braves game is the first one up on the slate and I actually think this one could be more of a true pitcher’s duel despite the two elite offenses. This is far more anecdotal than it is analytical – but with the ALCS game being a winner take all Game 7 – I think that one plays far more chaotic than this NLCS counterpart where they may need to live to fight another day.

With the Braves using a bullpen game in Game 5 – they may need Max Fried to go a bit deeper and old tight pants himself, Walker Buehler is going to look for another 100+ pitch outing with some more efficency to lengthen this series for the Dodgers.

This game being played in the afternoon could actually help the pitcher’s as well if Globe Life Field keeps the roof open and we start to get shadows later in the game to impact the hitters ability to pick up the pitches.

I am going to lean Buehler here tonight just on pure stuff and K metrics alone as his 31% K rate in 2020 and 14% SS rate far outpace any other arm on this slate.

Pair Walker with a LAD stack and attack Fried and a tired Braves bullpen – and you can hope you get a similar playbook to what we saw in TB/Houston last night. Houston got runs early and forced Tampa to use their lower-tier bullpen arms with a Game 7 coming up the next day.

If the Dodgers can get to Fried early, considering how many arms Atlanta had to use yesterday – they may simply save their best bullets for a Game 7 and that could mean some seriously positive late-inning matchups for those Dodgers bats.

UPDATE – With Chris Taylor OUT, Kike’ Hernandez ($3K) becomes a core play with his 2B/OF eligibility on DraftKings as he opens up any and every build you could want.

Picks and Pivots: Wrap up

Well kids – this is it. For real this time.

Enjoy this final slate – don’t simply play the best plays – think through game theory in all your lineups and the paths to profit. We can watch ownership as it updates during the day and use Discord to talk through the best paths to leverage.

Thank you all for reading along each and every day with MLB DFS Picks and Pivots – for now, I will be taking my talents to NFL – but we will see you back here in the Spring for hopefully – a normal MLB season.

And oh yeah – stack against Jon Lester.

Jump in Discord today guys and gals and let’s figure out the best path to profit as we build our bankroll for the NFL weekend!

Let’s get it tonight my friends!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @2LockSports and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate as sports FINALLY return.

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