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DraftKings GPP

Stoweby’s Showdown for 11.15 Ravens at Patriots

David Stowe 4 years ago

written by David Stowe

Week 10 NFL DFS Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

DraftKings calls them “Showdowns,” and FanDuel doesn’t really have a name for them other than “Single-Game Contests,” but whatever we call them they require an understanding of game narratives and game theory – which means we need to target low-ownership players that will give us the best opportunities within the narratives and game outcomes we’re expecting.

My picks will focus almost exclusively on finding GPP-winning combinations that have a chance at taking down the contests you’re entering, be they single-entry or MME. While we can’t cover all the possible combos or provide full lineups for you to deploy, the goal here is to give you the tools to win and highlight some names that will help make for profitable results.

If I enter five lineups in a large-field GPP, at least three of those lineups will focus on the most likely game outcome (based on Vegas odds, props and totals), with one or two contrarian builds. As we know, late-breaking news can have a significant effect on full slates, and that’s just amplified with single-game contests. If you have any questions leading up to lock, please consult our NFL DFS experts in Discord.

Let’s get to the game!

Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.

I’m putting this in every article until folks listen: Do not play Showdown if you’re still building bankroll or you’re tilting from a bad main slate! This is nothing more than a way to have a little fun during the game and it shouldn’t be counted on for anything more than that. They are incredibly difficult to win.

Week 8 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points) Stoweby’s Showdown for 11.15 Ravens at Patriots

Chalk: Lamar Jackson $18,600

Pivot: Cam Newton $16,200

Contrarian #1: Jakobi Meyers $14,400

Contrarian #2: Mark Andrews $11,400/ JK Dobbins $12,600 (If Ingram is out)

Contrarian #3: Damien Harris $13,200/ Rex Burkhead $10,200 (If Harris is out or on “snap count”)

Vegas: 44.5 Point total Ravens -6.5:

Vegas is projecting this to be a low scoring tough slog and with rain and wind around 20 MPH at kickoff if you wanted to go with defenses and runners you can choose that as an alternate path than what I mention below. It’s 2020 and more often than not we see crazy things happen contrary to popular opinion every night.

I am going to get this out there first. Living in North Carolina I’ve been forced to watch Cam Newton throw the ball since long before I ever wrote DFS articles. Once the health became I problem I knew the wheels would fall off. His throwing mechanics, accuracy, and tendency to get moody on the sidelines would eventually cause a good deal of problems. He has played one top ten defense all season and was benched after throwing three picks and ended the game with 2.82 points. But, with that being said I recognize my bias here and he makes a lot of sense as a contrarian captain play for much the same reason. I’m not the only person who feels this way and I think we’ll be surprised by just how low his ownership will be at captain. He also presents a clear path with Jakobi Meyers as his main weapon and it looks like Ravens DB Jimmy Smith won’t be playing tonight so Josh McDaniels will surely try to scheme Cam’s favorite guy open. We all know what Lamar Jackson brings to the table so no need to say much and if pairing him with a pass catcher you have two main options in Mark Andrews and Marquis Brown. Both of them have been largely absent this season but someone has to score and the added dynamic of Lamar running the ball may just cause Bill Belichick to make him win through the air so I think you have to pair him with one or the other at minimum. Finally, according to Ian Rappaport he expects Damien Harris to play and he seems to be their best back right now. But Ian Rappaport is one of the absolute worst NFL “insiders” in the business consistently giving you incorrect information causing you to make bad choices (he said CMC and Mike Davis were going to split carries last week….) so until I see official word I will plan on Rex Burkhead as a deep contrarian play as he has shown a high ability to play option football and I think we’re going to see a heavy dose of that tonight from both teams.

Stoweby’s Showdown for 11.15 Ravens at Patriots Flex Plays: (All captains are viable flex’s)

Both Defenses are in play tonight due to both QB’s struggling to throw the ball and the rain and wind. Kickers worry me for the same weather reasons but I’ll have them sprinkled in, mainly Justin Tucker. I personally love Isaiah Ford but he’s a smaller receiver who his better with timing throws that need an accurate QB throwing it. Cam is inaccurate and high on his throws so beyond a cheap punt play I don’t feel great there. Dez Bryant is still on the practice squad so the Dez truthers will have to wait at least another week.

Patriots: Defense, James White, Damiere Byrd, Isaiah Ford,

Ravens: Defense, Mark Ingram, JK Dobbins, Willie Snead, Justin Tucker

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Stoweby’s Showdown for 11.15 Ravens at Patriots . Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

4 years ago 0 comments

NFL

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 10

Uriah Wesson 4 years ago

written by Uriah Wesson

Introduction into NFL DFS contest selection:

As a newer DFS player most of us started off the same way. We were either watching television or listening on SiriusXM and we heard a commercial that went along the lines of “Do you think you know NFL? Do you play seasonal fantasy sports? Do you want to win money instantly? Have a chance to be like (insert name here), he/she won a million dollars playing daily fantasy sports on (insert website). Well sign up today and start winning”. In 2013 that was me, the site was Fanduel, and the player was Chris Prince. I proceeded to enter my money, and I was immediately hooked. Unfortunately, I also was not aware of sites like Win Daily Sports for a couple of years and I was doing like most new players and did nothing but chase the bright shiny Millionaire Maker contests. It took me a long time to realize what full time players already understood, the Milli Maker contests are a waste of money for the average player and that I needed to focus on single entry tournaments and 50/50’s. Not just that when you dig into it because not all single entry contests are created equal. With Win Daily Sports NFL Contest Selection week 10 we will tackle individual contests selection and why It is important.

Subscriber Questions: I will try to address any questions from our Win Daily Sports family that you may have that I haven’t already covered below.

What is the Difference in build structure between Cash and GPP contests? Your build structure will be vastly different between these types of contests. When building cash lineups the two biggest differences are that first, you don’t fade the highest ownership players like you would consider doing in GPP’s. High ownership is irrelevant because you aren’t worried about finding sneaky low owned players to separate yourself from the rest of the field to get to the top of the leaderboard, you just need to get above the cash line. You don’t get style points for finishing first. Second, you do not want to stack games like you would in GPP’s i.e. Playing a QB and 1-2 pass catchers from one team and running it back with a player from the opposing team. The reason for that is your goal is to minimize your risk and consistently score enough points to simply beat half of the field. If you have your players spread across multiple games and one guy gets hurt or has a bad game it won’t hurt any corresponding players on your team and you can still cash, whereas if your QB has a bad game and you stacked two of his receivers with him you’re now down 3 players and likely dead in the water. At most in cash games I may pair a QB with ONE receiver on RARE occasions and I will use a running back paired with a defense if the matchup is extremely good. One other key difference between the two is that you should largely avoid things like bad matchups in cash (such as a good running back in a bad matchup or a QB in a game with windy conditions), but you will take risks on those plays in GPP’s in an attempt to get a huge performance at low ownership. I hope all of that makes sense to everyone.

I’m going to just put this in here because no matter how many ways I say it people seem to not hear me. If you are playing with a limited bankroll as a new player or simply want the easiest path to make steady winnings DO NOT PLAY SHOWDOWNS. Your chances to win a showdown slate is worse than any other type of contest and if you are relying on it to make up for a bad main slate or think you can predict it accurately enough to be profitable over the long term you are doing it wrong. You’ll be broke and out of the DFS community before we ever get a chance to help you. Ok you’ve been warned. It’s just for fun and maybe you’ll get lucky, that’s it.

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 10: Daily Fantasy Jargon and Definitions:

One thing that I feel is tremendously important is understanding the vocabulary within DFS. New players can sometimes be overwhelmed and a little embarrassed to ask what in the world we are talking about in our articles and in discord. First thing, don’t be. There is not a single content creator that will give you a hard time for not knowing what something means. We have a lingo all our own and it can take a little time to get up to speed and experienced players can sometimes get into the weeds when having nuanced conversations and inadvertently leave newer players not having any idea what we are saying.

GPP or Guaranteed Prize Pool/Tournament:

These are tournaments where the pay structure is pre-defined prior to the start of the contest and the pay structure increases the higher you finish in the final standings. They can either be single entry or multi entry. The Millionaire Maker is the most notable example.

Cash Contests/Double-Ups/50-50’s:

These are contests where if you finish above a certain point in the field you are payed a pre-determined amount that does not change based on final standings. Finishing in the top 50 percent (50-50’s) on FanDuel or roughly top 40 percent (double ups) on DraftKings will result in a positive outcome. These are the easiest contests to cash and the best place for new players to focus on while building bankroll.

MME/Multi Entry/Mega Multi Entry:

Contests where you are allowed to enter more than lineup in a given contest. These contests can range from 3-entries up to 150 entries per contest. These are the most difficult kinds of contests for people to win and with the exception of the 3 entry max should be avoided by most players who do not have an already established bankroll.

Single Entry Contests:

Contests that only allow you to enter a single lineup in a given contest. All new players and even established players should focus the majority of their bankroll on this style of contest. The potential winnings are not nearly as attractive to new players as the giant MME contests but they are by far the best choice for sustained growth. There are both GPP and Cash versions of single entry contests.

Rake:

Rake is the percentage of the overall prize pool that a given site will remove as profit from what is payed out in the player prize pool. Typically, MME GPP’s and smaller entry fee contests have the highest rake sometimes reaching 16% of entry fees removed while higher entry fee contests can see as low as 8% rake. That 8% will directly affect where the pay line sits as well as payout structure i.e. Top 24% of players will cash as opposed to top 18% or top 5 players winning $10K, $8K, $6K, $4K, $3K as opposed to top 5 players winning $10K, $5K, $2K, $1K, $750. These percentages change every given week and will give us the basis for many of our plays on a given week.

Overlay:

You don’t see this one all that often in NFL contests but overlay does still happen. Overlay happens when GPP’s do not fill up and it provides an additional advantage in your overall chances to win. As an example if a contest that has 10,000 maximum entries and only pays the top 2,000 players that means 20% percent of people will win. If only 8,000 people enter that contest they will still pay the top 2,000 people and you now have a 25% chance to win. That 5% improvement in your odds is huge over the long term for your success. It’s harder to predict but if you have a lineup that you feel very confident in and you watch the contest lobby you can give yourself an edge that not everyone will be looking for.

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 10: Cash Contests

It’s less about rake or percentages here so this will be the same every week. When it comes to cash contests stick to single only and play in events with between 100-1000 total entries. This range eliminates the random variance that comes with smaller contests and the slightly higher scores that inevitably come from contests with the multi-thousands of entries of games. We’ll get more into that in the coming weeks as we gather data. If you are just starting out a minimum of 70% of your weekly bankroll needs to go towards these types of contests.

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 10 DraftKings:

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 10: $1-$25 Range

Both the single entry and 3 entry max $1 dollar contests are identical so if you want to throw a buck at them have fun. Only 1.5x min cash but it’s $1,000 to first in both.

The larger $12 Fair catch is marginally better. A .02% increase in rake but a .19% increase to pay line and a marginally flatter structure near the top edges this one out of its 50k counterpart. $25,000 to First.

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 10: $25-$100 Range

In a strange twist this week DraftKings did a better job flattening the top of the larger contests at the sub $100 range. That’s fine with me, we get to take a swing at the larger top prize with marginally better odds. $10,000 to First.

I nice big $7,500 top prize contest with 600 entries and a “decent” Top Ten payout under 35% puts the 3 entry max Goal Line on my list. Rake is about 1.5% too high in my opinion and I’d rather have 2x min cash but it better than most and it’s not crazy for someone who has a bit of a bankroll to max out if they really wanted to.

DK loaded us up with contests with min cash of only 1.5x in the $50-$100 range. This smaller Hot Route contest though is really nice. Under 400 entries, 2.0x min cash, sub 10% rake and a $5,000 top prize. If you’re new to the higher dollar contests and want to dip a tow in I love the idea of taking a swing here. A takedown is a reasonable goal with this one.

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 10: $100-$500 Range

Do you want to take a step up an go after a 5 figure top prize and actually have decent odds? Here is you game. With only 416 entries, a rake under 10%, and a min cash of 2x this is a fun one. This one is top heavy but when the GPP’s get this small in terms of entries top loaded is what you want. You have a very real chance at finishing at the top with a strong lineup.

Still have a little left over from your stimulus check and missed out on the new Xbox release? Why not drop $300 in this Single Entry Spin Move contest and take a swing at a $20,000 top price. Top heavy as all get out but like I already said, when your entering these higher dollar contests with sub-600 entries you want to have as much up top as possible. In the event that you just barley cash though the 2x return still gives you an extra chunk of change so you can afford to pay scalper prices on that Xbox you missed out on.

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 10 FanDuel:

I will say that while the sponsored single entry contests all seem to do a pretty decent job with a flatter pay structure FanDuel makes sure to always increase the rake on them and reduce the min cash to 2x or below (1.83x min cash on the $33) on all three contests so unless you are just dead set on it I would avoid for better options. Unlike DraftKings you can usually find GPP’s with at least 2x min cash but they are by no means perfect as you will see below.

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 10: $1-$25 Range

FanDuel unfortunately is really limited on “good” contests in the less expensive single entry contests. I’ve asked them to fix it, they never will. The smaller contests i.e. Small Sweep ($25), Small Scramble ($10), Small Spike ($5), and Small Squib ($1) are better with rake, payout structure, cash line, and min cash. So instead of writing them all up I’ll just say fade the bigger contests and go for the smaller ones to build bankroll. It will pay off in the long run, I promise.

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 10: $25-$100 Range

$50 Single Entry NFL Hot Route: Nice Flat payout structure with 2x min cash, $10,000 to first.

$50 Single Entry Small Hot Route: As with the smaller buy in contests I like the way they have the 100-120 entry single entry contests structured. 2.5x Min cash while staying above the 20% cash line is nice. $1,000 to first.

$75 Single Entry NFL Stiff Arm: I’m not a huge fan of the top ten taking 40% of the of the winnings but it’s great elsewhere with almost 25% cashing and under 12 percent on the rake.

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 10: $100-$500 Range

FanDuel if you are reading this (which I highly doubt) you need to do better, your higher dollar single entry contests are embarrasing in terms of rake, payout structrure, cash line, and min cash. I couldn’t recommend a single one. DraftKings beats you in every way. The only reason I could even put anything in here is because of a 2 max and 3 max entry contest.

$100 Two Entry Small Blitz: The only decent $100 contest on FanDuel. 68 entries, $1,500 to first.

$150 Three Entry NFL End Zone. Hate the 50% going to the top ten and almost 12% rake but the rest is good. $10,000 to first

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Sports NFL Contest Selection Week 10 . Looking forward to seeing some green screens this week. If you have any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

4 years ago 0 comments

NFL

Stoweby’s Showdown For 11.8 Saints at Buccaneers

David Stowe 4 years ago

written by David Stowe

Week 9 NFL DFS Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

Let’s get to the game!

Week 8 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points) Stoweby’s Showdown For 11.8 Saints at Buccaneers

Chalk: Alvin Kamara $16,800

Pivot: Tom Brady $15,900

Contrarian #1: Drew Brees $15,000

Contrarian #2: Mike Evans $12,600

Contrarian #3: Michael Thomas $14,700

This one is incredibly interesting in terms of Showdown contests go with a number of narratives. Tom Brady and Drew Brees are going back and forth for the NFL’s touchdown record. Antonio Brown returns to action after a lengthy absence as does Michael Thomas. A little less talked about narrative is that Brees has been dealing with a right shoulder issue and I’m not sure of the severity, how long he’s dealt with it, or how it will affect him if at all. Vegas thinks that this will be a close shootout with a total of 50.5 and Tampa being 3.5 point favorites at home so they are thinking pickum. Alvin Kamara will always be chalk when he is in a showdown lineup and for good reason but I think if you were ever to go somewhere else at captain this is the week facing the best run defense in the NFL and arguably the best overall defense and with Michael Thomas looking to return to action potentially changing his target share just a bit through the air. I think the safest pivot will be Tom Brady with a full allotment of weapons, in primetime, after a rough outing against the Giants. The Saints secondary is nothing to be scared of and he will have what is arguably now the best WR core with Antonio Brown, Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Scotty Miller, and Tyler Johnson. Rob Gronkowski and Cameron Brate at tight end, and two backs in Ronald Jones and Leonard Fournette who can run inside and catch the ball out of the backfield. I really don’t think the Saints have a chance to stop them, our problem is picking the spots where the points will come from. From the Saints offense we only have 3 primary options tonight in Kamara, Thomas, and Brees so I’m really not going to spend much time there. Overall I count 10 different players on DraftKings the we could consider in your captain spot so my list is not comprehensive by any means tonight, the five up top are just the safest options in my opinion. I think for high upside low owned options Chris Godwin will be extremely low owned given his finger injury and I think everyone is gonna wait a week before running AB out there.

Stoweby’s Showdown For 11.8 Saints at Buccaneers Flex Plays: (All captains are viable flex’s)

There are just a plethora of Bucs that are worth considering tonight so I will list my flex plays in order of most to least favorite today. If you run a script where the game will be close like Vegas predicts load on on Bucs pass catchers and if you are running a couple of scrips where the Bucs roll over the Saints like I am it would be good idea to run a pass catcher or two with either Fournette or Jones in a 4-2 split with either Kamara or Thomas and whoever you can fit in as your second Saints player.

Buccaneers: Rob Gronkowski, Chris Godwin, Ronald Jones, Leonard Fournette, Antonio Brown, Ryan Succop, Bucs Defense, Scotty Miller, Tyler Johnson, Cameron Brate

Saints: Emmanuel Sanders, Will Lutz, Jared Cook, Latavius Murray

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Stoweby’s Showdown For 11.8 Saints at Buccaneers . Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

4 years ago 0 comments

NFL

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 9

Uriah Wesson 4 years ago

written by Uriah Wesson

Introduction into contest NFL DFS contest selection:

As a newer DFS player most of us started off the same way. We were either watching television or listening on SiriusXM and we heard a commercial that went along the lines of “Do you think you know NFL? Do you play seasonal fantasy sports? Do you want to win money instantly? Have a chance to be like (insert name here), he/she won a million dollars playing daily fantasy sports on (insert website). Well sign up today and start winning”. In 2013 that was me, the site was Fanduel, and the player was Chris Prince. I proceeded to enter my money, and I was immediately hooked. Unfortunately, I also was not aware of sites like Win Daily Sports for a couple of years and I was doing like most new players and did nothing but chase the bright shiny Millionaire Maker contests. It took me a long time to realize what full time players already understood, the Milli Maker contests are a waste of money for the average player and that I needed to focus on single entry tournaments and 50/50’s. Not just that when you dig into it because not all single entry contests are created equal. With Win Daily Sports NFL Contest Selection Week 9 and going forward we will tackle individual contests selection and why It is important. It took some time for me to get this formatted and written for future articles so this week will be DraftKings only. Week 10 I will have both DraftKings and FanDuel so stay tuned.

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 9: Daily Fantasy Jargon and Definitions

GPP or Guaranteed Prize Pool/Tournament:

Cash Contests/Double-Ups/50-50’s:

MME/Multi Entry/Mega Multi Entry:

Single Entry Contests:

Rake:

Overlay:

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 9: Cash Contests

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 9: $1-$25 Range

$1 Daily Dollar (Single Entry): $20,000 Total Prize Pool, 27% cash (1.5x Min Cash), 1st place 5% Prize Pool , Top 10% 16.25% Prize Pool, 15.9% Rake. Both $1 contests pay the same, flat pay structure. $1,000 to first

$1 Singleback (Three Entry Max): $20,000 Total Prize Pool, 27% cash (1.5x Min Cash), 1st place 5% Prize Pool, Top 10% Payout 16.25% Prize Pool, 15.9% Rake. Both $1 contests pay the same, flat pay structure. $1,000 to first

$12 Fair Catch $250K (Single Entry): $250,000 Total Prize Pool. 21.53% Cash (2.08x Min Cash), 1st place 10% Prize Pool ($25,000), Top 10% Payout 24.60% Prize Pool, 14.99% Rake. The largest of the two $12 contests gets the nod this week with a slightly better Min cash line and flatter pay structure up top. $25,000 to first.

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 9: $25-$100 Range

$27 Blind Side $50K (Single Entry): $50,000 Total Prize Pool, 22.88% Cash (2x Min Cash), 1st Place 10% Prize Pool, Top 10% Payout 30.90% Prize Pool, 14.23% Rake. You can see here the top heavy approach becomes apparent with top 10% taking 31% of the winnings but the 2x min cash with payout just shy of 23% is pretty good on the smaller of the two Blind Sides. $5,000 to first.

$50 Red Zone $100K (Single Entry): $100,000 Total Prize Pool, 22.62% Cash (2x Min Cash), 1st Place 10% Prize Pool, Top 10% Payout 27% Prize Pool 11.97% Rake. Here we see a big drop of more than 2% in rake and the pay structure is way better in all aspects compared to the larger Red Zone contest. Go here for your $50 entry. $10,000 to first.

$100 Spy $500K (Single Entry): $500,000 Total Prize Pool, 20.88% Cash (1.5x Min Cash), 1st Place 20% Prize Pool, Top 10% Payout 41.20% Prize Pool 9.99% Rake. We finally get under sub 10% in rake but the min cash drops way down to 1.5x and the top 10% payout balloons to over 40%. Honestly I think I’m avoiding both $100 Spy contests but the smaller one is even worse with the top 10% accounting for over half of the total prize pool. They need to fix this one honestly. 100K to first.

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 9: $100-$500 Range

$150 Power Sweep $555K (3 entry max): $555,000 Total Prize Pool, 23.72% Cash (1.5x Min Cash), 1st Place 18.02% Prize Pool, Top 10 Payout 39.01% Prize Pool 10% Rake. Back to our 3-entry max contests this one is pretty good all the way around. 10% rake, sub 40% flattened pay structure (not perfect but manageable) which at this point that’s what you’re going to see, and you are still over 23% for the cash line. 100K to first

$300 Spin Move $125K: $125,000 Total Prize Pool, 20.35% Cash (2x Min Cash), 1st Place 16% Prize Pool, Top 10 Payout 51.20% Prize Pool 9.81% Rake. Extremely top heavy at over 51% going to the top 10 and only a hair over 20% cash but it checks off every other thing we want. Sub 10% rake, under 500 entries, 2x min cash, and single entry. I’m probably firing this one up this week.

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Sports NFL Contest Selection Week 9 . Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. If you have any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

4 years ago 0 comments

NFL

Stoweby’s Showdown For 11.1 Cowboys at Eagles

Richard Masana 4 years ago

written by Richard Masana

Week 8 NFL DFS Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

Let’s get to the game!

Week 8 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points) Stoweby’s Showdown For 11.1 Cowboys at Eagles

Chalk: Boston Scott $13,200

Pivot: Carson Wentz $17,700

Contrarian #1: Dallas Goedert $11,700

Contrarian #2: Ezekiel Elliott $16,200

Contrarian #3: Ben DiNucci $12,900/Eagles Defense $9,300 High Risk

The theme of the day for the majority of our games this weekend is weather and this Cowboys/Eagles contests is no different. With sustained winds over 15 MPH and gusts into the mid/upper 20’s we’re need to temper our expectations for offensive production. It’s not really like we were expecting much from Dallas and the Eagles offensive weapons have largely been limited all season so the 42.5 point total feels like a decent number albeit I’m in the mood for unders today and to this point I’m being rewarded for it. Chalk tonight is far and away Boston Scott tipping our projections at 30% in the captain spot and for good reason. Dallas can’t stop anything, he’s cheap, and the weather favors the running game as I already mentioned. If you want to pivot and you feel that the weather will not inhibit the pass and somehow Dallas can stay close (I doubt it), a pivot to Carson Wentz and pairing him with Travis Fulgham or Dallas Goedert will be a fine contrarian option. There is one other EXTREMELY contrarian path and it ties into the Eagles passing narrative, you pair Ben DiNucci with someone like Amari Cooper and pray the lack of film on him allows a few big plays in the first half before the Eagles make an adjustment. I really can’t stress this enough, this last option is high risk but it leverages heavily against the game script that 99 percent of people will be on tonight. If you use this one don’t @ me in discord to tell me it was a bad play. It’s showdown. If you aren’t playing all or nothing you shouldn’t be playing. Ezekiel Elliott is in my captains list for the obvious reason that he is their only real chance to win tonight. He needs 30+ touches at minimum to have a shot but to be honest I don’t trust Mike McCarthy’s ability to do anything correctly so play any Dallas players at your own peril.

Stoweby’s Showdown For 11.1 Cowboys at Eagles Flex Plays: (All captains are viable flex’s)

You probably hate me right now if you’re a Cowboys fan but I’m gonna keep this fles section pretty straight forward. If you are expecting this game to be as bad as I am for Dallas tonight I would really only consider playing one Cowboy and only in a flex postion. My favorite two guys for that are Zeke or kicker Greg Zuerlein. Sorry Dallas.

Cowboys: (Do I have to?), Amari Cooper, Dalton Shultz, CeeDee Lamb, Michael Gallup, Tony Pollard, Greg Zuerlein

Eagles: Travis Fulgham, Greg Ward, Richard Rodgers, Corey Clement, Jason Huntley, Jake Elliott

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Stoweby’s Showdown For 11.1 Cowboys at Eagles . Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

4 years ago 0 comments

NFL

NFL DFS GPP: Stix Picks for Week 8

StixPicks 4 years ago

written by StixPicks

To quote the great Michael Rasile, “It’s a great day to be alive.” NFL DFS GPP season is here and it’s time for us to stay hot. It was a strange week of scoring in Week 7 for NFL DFS GPP lineups but we can right the ship this Sunday. For those who haven’t read it yet, please check out the Week 8 Cash Game Checkdown for your bankroll sustaining, cash game build advice.

In addition, I would strongly advise reading my NFL DFS Strategy article I published this offseason, before diving into the 2020 NFL DFS season. If you have any questions or would like some further help when building your lineups, please do not hesitate to reach out to me directly on Twitter.

For those looking to get different and make a splash in some GPPs, the time is now. We’ll usually be taking some heavy stances on lower-ownership players, but at times, there is certainly good “chalk” to eat. Let’s get into it.

Please note, everyone on our cheatsheet and the Cash Game Checkdown are also in play for GPPs. This is more to uncover some players people are not talking about… and they should be.

*Keep in mind, for the stack options, you obviously do not need to use everyone listed. You can always just use one or two of those players if that fits your build more appropriately*

NEW: Adjusted Expected Team Totals Rankings for Week 8
1. Kansas City Chiefs – 25.67
2. Green Bay Packers – 23.60
3. Seattle Seahawks – 23.45
4. San Francisco 49ers – 23.33
5. Los Angeles Rams – 22.28

*Great tool for evaluating DFS stacks and what offenses are likely to score the most via touchdowns (no special teams included)*

NFL DFS GPP Quarterbacks

Russell Wilson – There are a ton of weather concerns this week, so I’ll likely be avoiding most of those games as a whole. I’m going to be heavily invested in this afternoon hammer when the 49ers go into Seattle to face Wilson and the boys.

This game has the highest total on the board (by far) and zero weather concerns at the moment. Wilson is the #1 quarterback in the AETY Model as well. There are so many ways to stack this game up and you know where all of the production is going.

On the other side, Jimmy Garoppolo is also a great play (and likely to be the chalkiest QB on the slate). I don’t care what ownership is for this game, I’ll be overweight in every possible way. Play Wilson naked, play him with Metcalf, play him with Lockett, or play him with both.

Potential Stack(s):
Metcalf/Lockett
Metcalf/Lockett/Aiyuk
Metcalf/Lockett/Kittle/Aiyuk
Metcalf/Lockett/Aiyuk/Bourne
Metcalf/Lockett/Kittle/Bourne

*Don’t forget, Tevin Coleman is active. Feel free to toss him into your west coast game stacks as well if you need the savings.
Patrick Mahomes – The best quarterback in the NFL against the worst defense in the NFL. Yes, the spread in this game is out of control and likely leads to a Kansas City blowout, but I trust Mahomes and this offense so much that I’m fine with stacking them (if we only get to see them for three quarters) before the second string comes in.

There are plenty of cheap options on the other side to run it back with, but I’m not sure you want to have a lot of KC/NYJ game stacks out there. A sub-10% owned Mahomes on a weird slate is something that just seems right.

Like Russ, you can play Mahomes naked, single stacked, double stacked, and game stacked. Kelce is probably my favorite pairing with Mahomes as these Jets’ linebackers and safeties give generous cushions in coverage on a weekly basis.

Potential Stack(s):
Hill/Kelce
Kelce/Hardman
Kelce/Hill/Mims
Kelce/Hill/Mims/Perine
Etc. etc. etc… you know what to do
Jared Goff – It wouldn’t be a NFL DFS GPP article without mentioning a player that is going to be 0% owned. Jared Goff is that guy for me this week. On paper, the Miami defense looks strong, but they’ve played nobody. In the two games they faced a top-10 offense in passing efficiency, they have given up an average of 387.5 passing yards (Seattle and Buffalo… both games in Miami).

The Rams come into this matchup ranked 9th in offensive pass efficiency… this is a low-key recipe for a blow-up game as the Rams really need a victory with a guaranteed loss coming for either Seattle or San Francisco, and Arizona on a bye.

I love what I’ve been seeing out of McVay and the rest of this Rams offense and I truly believe they’ll have no issues scoring 35+ points in this matchup.

Potential Stack(s):
Kupp/Woods
Kupp/Reynolds
Kupp/Everett
Kupp/Henderson
Kupp/Henderson/Gesicki

Honorable Mention: Aaron Rodgers, Joe Burrow, Ryan Tannehill, Jimmy Garoppolo

Running Backs

Derrick Henry – He’s #1 on the AETY Model in terms of total rushing yards by a WIDE margin. Last time that happened, it was Week 6… which was the best DFS weekend of my life and likely Win Daily’s (screenshots galore). Henry is easily the top dog running back on this slate with a rushing projection over 110 yards and Vegas odds of (-250) to score. That all checks out as the Bengals’ rush defense is non-existent.

The issue with Henry is that it’s hard as hell to fit him in if you’re heavily invested in that afternoon game. There’s a lot of condensed value on this slate and likely everyone in the field that uses Henry is going to use the same players for salary relief (Mims or Bourne). When playing Henry, find a way to get different this week.
Kareem Hunt – I was all in last week and was disappointed a bit but I’ll go right back to the well this week against the Raiders’ 29th ranked defense, in terms of DVOA. The weather will be a mess in Cleveland and the tight spread leads me to believe Hunt will be heavily utilized all game long.
Jonathan Taylor – Rookie running backs after the bye week… I still don’t trust Frank Reich to fully unleash Jonathan Taylor, but if there was ever a matchup to free Jon Taylor, it’s this week against Detroit’s run defense. Outside of the timeshare, the only other downside is that Indianapolis has not been that effective of late when rushing the football.

The offensive line should be 100% healthy for the first time in over a month and that should lead to plenty of wide gaps for Taylor to bust through. If you’re looking to pivot off of Kareem Hunt chalk, Taylor would be my guy.
Darrell Henderson Jr. – Miami is dead last in run defense DVOA and the Rams are top-5 on the Adjusted Expected Team Totals tool (and very efficient when running the football). This is an absolute smash spot for Henderson (if and only if McVay lets him loose). We know we’re going to see some Malcolm Brown and Cam Akers, but there’s no doubt in my mind that Henderson earned a much more significant role in the offense over the past few weeks.

I’d lock-button Henderson if he were priced down a bit more, but having said that, I’ll have still have ton of Henderson shares tomorrow as he’s likely to be ~5% owned while the field flocks to Gio Bernard at a similar price-point.
Le’Veon Bell – at $4,600 on DraftKings and a favorable running gamescript, Le’Veon Bell should absolutely put on a show when he’s on the field this Sunday. His touchdown odds throughout the week have plummeted (in favor of him scoring) and he has a solid rushing prop of 42 rushing yards.

If he can get some work in the passing game and find a way into the end-zone (you have to think Andy Reid is going to give Bell every chance he can to score a touchdown against Adam Gase), Bell should walk backwards into 3x value on this low salary.
La’Mical Perine – It’s gross, but I’m in. The only way you can really attack this 2020 Kansas City Chiefs’ defense is via the run game. The Jets are a god-awful football team, so there’s nothing sexy about this play at all. But as everyone and their brother punts down to Denzel Mims, I want to pivot up to La’Mical Perine. The AETY Model has Perine projected for 60 rushing yards, which clearly is a bit much, but I’m going to trust it and ride the young running back at 1% ownership.

Honorable Mention: Dalvin Cook, Josh Jacobs, Tevin Coleman

Wide Receivers

DK Metcalf / Tyler Lockett – Again, just getting a ton of exposure to this afternoon game with the highest expected total on the slate. It’s been very difficult to run on this 49ers’ defense and Seattle has been incredibly efficient on offense by moving the ball through the air. They’re going to pass and pass a lot. I give a slight edge to Metcalf this week, but I’m very interested in both in Week 8.
Kenny Golladay – I’m done with stacking the Detroit Lions, but I’ll always play a sub $7K Kenny Golladay in a plus matchup against Rock Ya Sin and a washed-up Xavier Rhodes.
Tyler Boyd – On Monday, I was all-in on Bengals’ stacks featured by Tyler Boyd and his cakewalk matchup against Titans’ rookie slot cornerback, Chris Jackson, but the weather got me off this game a bit. I will still have a ton of Boyd on Sunday as I don’t think the weather really impacts the routes that Boyd runs on a weekly basis.

In addition, this Bengals’ offensive line (which was terrible to begin with) is likely out three starters. Burrow is going to have to get rid of the ball quick and I really only see that having a positive impact on Tyler Boyd and Gio Bernard.
Cooper Kupp – Kupp is my favorite WR on the slate this weekend. Nik Needham is arguably the worst cover corner in the NFL and Sean McVay sure as hell knows that. I love Jared Goff this weekend and I adore pairing him up with Cooper Kupp. Slot wide receivers absolutely torch Miami on a weekly basis and they’ve yet to see one as skilled and more importantly, as heavy of a focus in their offense as Cooper Kupp.
TY Hilton – He’s $4,900 on DraftKings. This is simply one of my favorite value plays on the slate. He may be washed-up, but the air yards are there on a consistent basis and the matchup is one of the best he’s seen this season.

Honorable Mention: Tyreek Hill, Justin Jefferson, AJ Brown, Marquise Brown, Brandon Aiyuk, Jarvis Landry, Marvin Jones

NFL DFS GPP Tight Ends

Travis Kelce – See Mahomes’ write-up.
Mike Gesicki – With how much I love the Rams’ offense this week, I need to run it back with someone on the Dolphins. That someone is going to be Mike Gesicki. I’ve watched plenty of tape on this Rams’ linebacking core and they simply struggle with inside receivers and tight ends. Mike Gesicki is part slot receiver and part tight end.

I’m a bit nervous to see how Tua utilizes Gesicki, but I’m diving head first into rostering Gesicki on the other side of my Rams’ stacks. If I’m not fully stacking the Rams, I’ll have a lot one mini stacks of either Henderson or Kupp with Gesicki on the other side.
Hunter Henry – He’s simply too cheap for the expected target share. It was a weird week for Henry last week (as two backup tight ends scored touchdowns), but I have no problem going back to Hunter Henry who’s projected for 5 catches for 53 yards. If he can get into the end-zone, he’s going to be a smash value on Sunday afternoon.

Honorable Mention: George Kittle, Darren Waller, Jonnu Smith, Noah Fant, Gerald Everett (if Higbee is out)

Good luck to all this week in your NFL DFS GPP lineups!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @stixpicks and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Model powered by AETY and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate as sports FINALLY return.

4 years ago 0 comments

NFL

Stoweby’s Showdown For 10.29 Atlanta at Carolina

David Stowe 4 years ago

written by David Stowe

Week 8 NFL DFS Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

Let’s get to the game!

Week 6 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points) Stoweby’s Showdown For 10.29 Atlanta at Carolina

Chalk: Teddy Bridgewater $15,900 / Matt Ryan $16,500

Pivot: Mike Davis $13,200

Contrarian #1: Todd Gurley $12,600

Contrarian #2: Robby Anderson $13,800

Contrarian #3: Calvin Ridley $15,300

***Huge Caveat*** There is an outside chance that Christian McCaffery returns to action tomorrow. I’m going to need to look at what is said about his workload if he does but I think that will move Davis to flex only at best.

We have ourselves a 51 point implied total with the Panthers as 2.5 point favorites but we do have a few questions. Will Christian McCaffrey be removed from IR prior to the game? If so what do we do with him and Mike Davis? What should we do with Julio Jones on a short week with the injuries that he has been dealing with? Last, but certainly not least is the weather. I live about 2 hours north of Charlotte and we are smack in the middle of the path for a Hurricane Zeta. It should largely be out of the area by kickoff but we are likely going to have terrible field conditions and some lingering wind in the area so we may need to downgrade our downfield pass catchers a bit but we’ll make that determination tomorrow closer to kickoff. My selections for captain and flex are under the impression that the field is in good shape and the weather is out of the area. Pop into discord tomorrow night and join our livestream and I’ll give you my final take. At this point I think that the chalk ownership will fall on Teddy Bridgewater with the slight savings and Atlanta’s continued secondary issues followed closely by Matt Ryan. Mike Davis and Todd Gurley are next respectively with -200 and -121 odds to score. Considering this game (weather permitting) will likely be a shootout give me Robby Anderson and Calvin Ridley as my two pass catching captain options. I’m hoping we get a little recency bias towards DJ Moore with his big week and we can get Anderson at better ownership and Ridley is my lean due to Julio nursing numerous injuries all season and being on short rest, nothing more than that.

Stoweby’s Showdown For 10.29 Atlanta at Carolina Flex Plays: (All captains are viable flex’s)

As usual kickers are a good way to get cheap access for points. Unless weather is really bad I would not mess with either defense tomorrow.

Falcons: Julio Jones, Youngho Koo, Hayden Hurst, Olamide Zaccheaus, Russell Gage, Brian Hill

Panthers: DJ Moore, Joey Sly, Curtis Samuel, Ian Thomas

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Stoweby’s Showdown For 10.29 Atlanta at Carolina . Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

4 years ago 0 comments

NFL

Stoweby’s Showdown For 10.19 Chiefs at Bills

David Stowe 4 years ago

written by David Stowe

Welcome to week 6 ladies and gentlemen! Hopefully we are all taking a look at this shortly after counting all of our winnings from the main slate (might still be waiting if it’s Fanduel). This is a shaping up to be a fun one with offensive firepower all the way around and a few questions along the way with guys like Le’Veon Bell and Zack Moss. Let’s not waste any time, here is Stoweby’s Showdown For 10.19 Chiefs at Bills.

Week 6 NFL DFS Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

Let’s get to the game!

Week 6 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points) Stoweby’s Showdown For 10.19 Chiefs at Bills

Chalk: Josh Allen $16,800

Pivot: Patrick Mahomes $19,500

Contrarian #1: Tyreek Hill $15,000/Travis Kelce $15,600

Contrarian #2: Mecole Hardman $10,200

Contrarian #3: Stefon Diggs $14,400

***High Risk Captain Play*** Zack Moss (DK only): $2,400

With two explosive offenses and a 55 point total it’s going to be tough narrowing down our captains. Most folks would assume that Patrick Mahomes would be the chalk, but in when I pulled up the models it matched what my gut was telling me and that was Josh Allen with his lower pricing for the same upside is looking like big chalk this week at around 21 percent for captain. So we are looking at a situation where we can get the QB of the best offense in the NFL at a discounted ownership in the captain spot, sign me up for that all day. As far as game script itself goes, a think we all agree that there are plenty of points to be had here. Sans one game Josh Allen has been playing at an MVP level and Buffalo, while better, is still giving up chunk plays through the air leaving me to believe that this will be more of a Tyreek Hill game than a Travis Kelce game so if you wanted to use a pass catcher in your captain spot he would be my guy. Sammy Watkins is out so Mecole Hardman and Demarcus Robinson are firmly in play for value and Zack Moss will likely assume his roll in the offense splitting time with Devin Singletary and handling a large amount of the goal line work at and extremely deep discount. The only thing I don’t know yet is what is going to be Le’Veon Bell’s roll. I’d love to give you an answer but with so little time to practice and the fact that he isn’t listed on DK I have no idea how to handle Clyde Edwards-Helaire. Maybe we’ll get some clarity closer to kickoff but for now I can’t go there. When it comes to the Bills pass catchers I’m going to opt with using more John Brown and Cole Beasley that Stefon Diggs. Diggs’s price has spiked in Brown’s absence and although Brown still has the Q tag he was practicing in full this week aside from the final practice where he took it easy and logged limited work. Cole Beasley is is just getting it done every week based on his volume so even on days where his yardage totals aren’t huge he is always giving you plenty to work with giving you at least 11 DK points in each of the last four games. If you want to play Diggs go for it, I’m not saying fade by any stretch, I just prefer the value options so that I can use Allen and Mahomes but I’m positive his ownership at captain will be next to nothing so he is a contrarian play for sure. Finally, with this many points potentially being scored both kickers are firmly in play and there have been numerous showdowns this season where at least one kicker was in the winning lineup.

Stoweby’s Showdown For 10.19 Chiefs at Bills Flex Plays: (All captains are viable flex’s)

Chiefs: Demarcus Robinson, Harrison Butker, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Byron Pringle

Bills: Cole Beasley, John Brown, Devin Singletary, Tyler Kroft

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Stoweby’s Showdown For 10.19 Chiefs at Bills . Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

4 years ago 0 comments

NFL

Stoweby’s Showdown For 10.18 Rams at 49ers

David Stowe 4 years ago

written by David Stowe

Welcome to week 6 ladies and gentlemen! Hopefully we are all taking a look at this shortly after counting all of our winnings from the main slate. We should have ourselves a unique game with a higher total but both quarterbacks showing that they can lay an egg in the bright lights of primetime. We are going to likely have to run multiple game scripts to have a chance at a high cash today but we can make it happen. Here we go with Stoweby’s Showdown For 10.18 Rams at 49ers.

Week 6 NFL DFS Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

Let’s get to the game!

Week 6 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points) Stoweby’s Showdown For 10.18 Rams at 49ers

Chalk: Raheem Mostert $14,700

Pivot: Jared Goff $16,200

Contrarian #1: George Kittle $15,600

Contrarian #2: Cooper Kupp $13,500/Robert Woods $12,600

Contrarian #3: Cam Akers $3,000 (High Risk)

This one is interesting ladies and gentlemen. We have a 51 point total but both Jared Goff and Jimmy Garoppolo have shown that they can crap the bed when the lights are bright. So when building multiple lineups it would be a wise choice to put a few together assuming that one or both of them have a poor night by using kickers and defenses where it makes sense in your game script. My preferred approach will be to pick one one QB per lineup and using a pass catcher or two on the other side to get some exposure. My high risk captain is Cam Akers, they have been bringing him along slowly but he showed flashes last week on just nine carries. We know he should be the lead back, now we just need to hope the Rams have figured it out. Fingers crossed. Raheem Mostert also has the potential to completely shred this defense, Rams have given up over 100 yards in four of five games this year and if Jimmy G struggles again George Kittle and Mostert will likely be the only offensive 49ers worth rostering.

Stoweby’s Showdown For 10.18 Rams at 49ers Flex Plays: (All captains are viable flex’s)

49ers: 49ers D, Robbie Gould, Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk, Kendrick, Bourne, Jimmy Garoppolo

Rams: Rams D, Sam Sloman, Tyler Higbee, Darrell Henderson

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Stoweby’s Showdown For 10.18 Rams at 49ers . Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

4 years ago 0 comments

NFL

Stoweby’s Showdown For 10.4 Eagles at 49’ers

David Stowe 4 years ago

written by David Stowe

Welcome to week 4 ladies and gentlemen! Hopefully we are all taking a look at this shortly after counting all of our winnings from the main slate. We have an interesting contest this evening with an injury riddled Niners team and Eagles who beyond Miles Sanders and two tight ends have no pass catchers. With a ton of injuries there should be points to be had for minimal cost and plenty of solid opportunities to take advantage of. Let’s not waste anymore time get into Stoweby’s Showdown For 10.4 Eagles at 49’ers.

Week 4 NFL DFS Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

Let’s get to the game!

Week 4 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points) Stoweby’s Showdown Eagles at 49’ers:

Chalk: Miles Sanders $13,800

Pivot: George Kittle $14,100

Contrarian #1: Carson Wentz $15,600/ Nick Mullens $14,700

Contrarian #2: Jerick Mckinnon $12,300

Contrarian #3: Jeff Wilson $10,500

***Bonus Play*** If you’re feeling frisky Deebo Samuel is stone min $300 and while not in full game shape may make enough plays to shatter the slate. Don’t forget about him.

One thing about you builds tonight that I’m seeing, salary shouldn’t be hard to navigate so you should be able to fit your favorites. Aside from what will be the big chalk in Miles Sanders at a surprisingly low price I largely like the Niners side for captain spot being 9 point favorites. I’ll be attacking the run game heavily on the Niners side. As far as the Eagles go I want no business with the offense beyond Miles Sanders, Zack Ertz, and Greg Ward. There is a clear case to be made for the Kickers as well as the San Francisco defense tonight as well due to the amount of injuries on the offensive side for the Eagles.

Stoweby’s Showdown for 10.4 Eagles at 49’ers Flex Plays: (All captains are viable flex’s)

Eagles: Greg Ward, Zack Ertz, Jake Elliot

49’ers: SF Defense, Kendrick Bourne, Robbie Gould, Ross Dwelley

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Stoweby’s Showdown For 10.4 Eagles at 49’ers. Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

4 years ago 0 comments

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DraftKings GPP

Week 10 NFL DFS Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

Week 8 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points) Stoweby’s Showdown for 11.15 Ravens at Patriots

Chalk: Lamar Jackson $18,600

Pivot: Cam Newton $16,200

Contrarian #1: Jakobi Meyers $14,400

Contrarian #2: Mark Andrews $11,400/ JK Dobbins $12,600 (If Ingram is out)

Contrarian #3: Damien Harris $13,200/ Rex Burkhead $10,200 (If Harris is out or on “snap count”)

Stoweby’s Showdown for 11.15 Ravens at Patriots Flex Plays: (All captains are viable flex’s)

Introduction into NFL DFS contest selection:

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 10: Daily Fantasy Jargon and Definitions:

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 10: Cash Contests

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Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 10: $100-$500 Range

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Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 10: $100-$500 Range

Week 9 NFL DFS Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

Week 8 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points) Stoweby’s Showdown For 11.8 Saints at Buccaneers

Chalk: Alvin Kamara $16,800

Pivot: Tom Brady $15,900

Contrarian #1: Drew Brees $15,000

Contrarian #2: Mike Evans $12,600

Contrarian #3: Michael Thomas $14,700

Stoweby’s Showdown For 11.8 Saints at Buccaneers Flex Plays: (All captains are viable flex’s)

Introduction into contest NFL DFS contest selection:

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Week 8 NFL DFS Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

Week 8 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points) Stoweby’s Showdown For 11.1 Cowboys at Eagles

Chalk: Boston Scott $13,200

Pivot: Carson Wentz $17,700

Contrarian #1: Dallas Goedert $11,700

Contrarian #2: Ezekiel Elliott $16,200

Contrarian #3: Ben DiNucci $12,900/Eagles Defense $9,300 *****High Risk*****

Stoweby’s Showdown For 11.1 Cowboys at Eagles Flex Plays: (All captains are viable flex’s)

NFL DFS GPP Quarterbacks

Running Backs

Wide Receivers

NFL DFS GPP Tight Ends

Week 8 NFL DFS Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

Week 6 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points) Stoweby’s Showdown For 10.29 Atlanta at Carolina

Chalk: Teddy Bridgewater $15,900 / Matt Ryan $16,500

Pivot: Mike Davis $13,200

Contrarian #1: Todd Gurley $12,600

Contrarian #2: Robby Anderson $13,800

Contrarian #3: Calvin Ridley $15,300

Stoweby’s Showdown For 10.29 Atlanta at Carolina Flex Plays: (All captains are viable flex’s)

Week 6 NFL DFS Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

Week 6 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points) Stoweby’s Showdown For 10.19 Chiefs at Bills

Chalk: Josh Allen $16,800

Pivot: Patrick Mahomes $19,500

Contrarian #1: Tyreek Hill $15,000/Travis Kelce $15,600

Contrarian #2: Mecole Hardman $10,200

Contrarian #3: Stefon Diggs $14,400

Stoweby’s Showdown For 10.19 Chiefs at Bills Flex Plays: (All captains are viable flex’s)

Week 6 NFL DFS Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

Week 6 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points) Stoweby’s Showdown For 10.18 Rams at 49ers

Chalk: Raheem Mostert $14,700

Pivot: Jared Goff $16,200

Contrarian #1: George Kittle $15,600

Contrarian #2: Cooper Kupp $13,500/Robert Woods $12,600

Contrarian #3: Cam Akers $3,000 ***(High Risk)***

Stoweby’s Showdown For 10.18 Rams at 49ers Flex Plays: (All captains are viable flex’s)

Week 4 NFL DFS Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

Week 4 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points) Stoweby’s Showdown Eagles at 49’ers:

Chalk: Miles Sanders $13,800

Pivot: George Kittle $14,100

Contrarian #1: Carson Wentz $15,600/ Nick Mullens $14,700

Contrarian #2: Jerick Mckinnon $12,300

Contrarian #3: Jeff Wilson $10,500

Stoweby’s Showdown for 10.4 Eagles at 49’ers Flex Plays: (All captains are viable flex’s)

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Contrarian #3: Ben DiNucci $12,900/Eagles Defense $9,300 High Risk

Contrarian #3: Cam Akers $3,000 (High Risk)

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