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DFS Stacks

NFL DFS GPP Advice – Stick’s Stacks for Week Five

Allan Fabrykant 5 years ago

written by Allan Fabrykant

Week Four was a big one for the Win Daily team (many thanks to rostering a lot of Los Angeles Rams and Nick Chubb). Unfortunately, the game stacks in last week’s post didn’t really work out, but our top team stack paid dividends in a NFL DFS GPP.

It’s a bit of an ugly slate this week, so I do advise DFS players to heavily consider playing more cash games this week. Please check out our Cash Game Checkdown before you set your DFS lineups for Sunday. But, lets get to work on Stick’s Stacks for Week Five.

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If you have any questions and would like some further help when building your lineups, please do not hesitate to reach out to me directly on Twitter.

A “game stack” is similar, except we are going to use players from both teams in a given game. Focusing on team stacks and game stacks is incredibly useful in the NFL DFS GPP environment. That being said, let’s get to this week’s top NFL DFS stacks!

Top NFL DFS GPP Game Stacks

Arizona Cardinals @ Cincinnati Bengals (47.5)

With the pace both of these teams play at and the combined struggles on defense, I was quite surprised to see a relatively mediocre total of 47.5 points. I’m going to remain confident this game shoots out and that multiple players in this game are worth targeting in your NFL DFS GPP lineups.

Arizona Cardinals

Kyler Murray ($6,300)
David Johnson ($7,500)
Larry Fitzgerald ($6,000)
KeeSean Johnson ($3,500)
Trent Sherfield ($3,000)

Cincinnati Bengals

Joe Mixon ($6,100)
Andy Dalton ($5,700)
Tyler Boyd ($6,500)
Auden Tate ($3,500)
Tyler Eifert ($3,300)

Atlanta Falcons @ Houston Texans (49)

Both offenses have been extremely disappointing of late and enter Week Five in a perfect “get-right” spot. There really aren’t a whole lot of games that scream shootout in Week Five, but this game should be one of them. Both teams have been playing at a high pace and we always love Matt Ryan and company in a dome.

It looks like the Houston offense will be popular this weekend and for good reason, but I love getting exposure to the Falcons’ offense in Week Five for NFL DFS GPP style of tournaments.

Atlanta Falcons

Mohamed Sanu ($4,200)
Matt Ryan ($5,900)
Devonta Freeman ($5,300)
Julio Jones ($7,700)
Austin Hooper ($4,500)
Calvin Ridley ($4,900)

Houston Texans

Deshaun Watson ($6,700)
DeAndre Hopkins ($7,800)
Will Fuller ($4,500)
Duke Johnson ($4,200)
Carlos Hyde ($4,300)

Top NFL DFS GPP Team Stacks

Baltimore Ravens

Lamar Jackson ($7,100)
Marquise Brown ($5,700)
Mark Andrews ($4,800)
Miles Boykin ($3,200)

Chicago Bears

Chase Daniel ($4,800)
Allen Robinson ($5,600)
David Montgomery ($5,200)
Trey Burton ($3,300)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Chris Godwin ($6,900)
Jameis Winston ($6,200)
Mike Evans ($7,100)
O.J. Howard ($3,900)

New England Patriots

Julian Edelman ($6,300)
Josh Gordon ($6,100)
Tom Brady ($6,500)
Sony Michel ($5,500)
James White ($5,000)
Phillip Dorsett ($4,900)

Sample NFL DFS GPP Lineup

QB: Kyler Murray
RB: David Johnson
RB: Joe Mixon
WR: Mohamed Sanu
WR: DeAndre Hopkins
WR: Larry Fitzgerald
TE: O.J. Howard
FLEX: David Montgomery
DST: Tennessee Titans

5 years ago 0 comments

NFL DFS GPP Advice – Stick’s Stacks for Week Three

brgrewe@gmail.com 5 years ago

written by brgrewe@gmail.com

No need to waste any time, lets get right back into NFL DFS GPP action for Week Three. For those of you who still prefer cash formats, be sure to check out my article for your Week Three NFL DFS Cash Games.

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If you have any questions and would like some further help when building your lineups, please do not hesitate to reach out to me directly on Twitter.

Top Game Stack

Baltimore Ravens @ Kansas City Chiefs (53)

There’s really not a whole lot to say about this game besides that you are going to want to get some exposure to it in one or more of your NFL DFS GPP lineups. Both offenses come into this game scorching hot and I’ll be sure to get some shares of both teams in DFS this weekend.

Keep in mind, both quarterbacks are extremely expensive, but that should help keep ownership down a bit throughout the industry.

Baltimore Ravens

Lamar Jackson ($7,000)
Marquise Brown ($5,900)
Mark Andrews ($4,600)
Mark Ingram ($5,700)
Willie Snead ($4,200)

Kansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes ($7,600)
Travis Kelce ($7,100)
Sammy Watkins ($6,800)
Mecole Harman ($5,000)
Demarcus Robinson ($5,200)

Top Team Stacks

Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Tampa Bay comes in with what is looking like the fourth highest implied total on the slate sitting around 27 points. This is a great number to focus on when building NFL DFS GPP lineups. Usually, I’ll always have a big focus on teams that have an implied total of 25 or more points and a game script that I can predict/support.

The Giants are in my opinion, the absolute worst team in defending the pass right now and their run defense isn’t much better – this leads me to having a very positive game script for the Bucs’ offense as a whole. The one thing that is scaring me a bit is: unlike a typical Bruce Arians offense (pass-heavy), TeamRankings.com shows us that the Bucs sit towards the bottom in the NFL for pass attempts per game.

First off, I don’t think Bruce Arians has completely changed his coaching style. Secondly, as the sample size continues to grow, my bet is that the Bucs will be one of the most pass-heavy teams in the NFL. Mike Evans and the boys are due for a big week.

Mike Evans ($6,600)
Peyton Barber ($4,600)
Jameis Winston ($5,400)
Chris Godwin ($6,900)
O.J. Howard ($3,800)

Buffalo Bills – I love the way the Bills have been playing on offense. Josh Allen is crushing it to start the year and I love him in all formats in DFS this week… especially for a NFL DFS GPP. He’s due for a big passing game and will always do damage via the run (not to mention the Bengals are a bottom five defense in defending not only the pass, but the run as well). Bills Mafia, here we go!

Josh Allen ($5,900)
John Brown ($5,500)
Zay Jones ($3,300)
Frank Gore ($4,400)
Cole Beasley ($4,400)

San Francisco 49ers – I’m all in for going right back to the well to roster some 49ers in a NFL DFS GPP. I don’t think anyone is going to play them this week and their pricing is more than reasonable. This is a great spot to get contrarian in your lineup builds.

George Kittle ($5,800)
Jimmy Garoppolo ($6,200)
Deebo Samuel ($4,500)
Matt Breida ($5,400)
Marquise Goodwin ($5,000)
Dante Pettis ($4,500)

Arizona Cardinals – Although Arizona has a slightly lower implied team total than I’d like to see (~24 points), I am really liking the idea of getting some Arizona stacks in my NFL DFS GPP lineups. Larry Fitzgerald has been incredibly successful versus a zone defense and that is what Carolina is going to bring to the table.

Kingsbury’s air raid offense is going to have multiple “trip” sets of receivers on one side of the field for most of this game and I think the Panthers will really struggle in defending that for a full game. If the Cardinals’ offensive line can hold the pass rush (that’s a big “if”), Kyler Murray is going to have a monster day with both his arm and legs.

Larry Fitzgerald ($5,100)
Kyler Murray ($5,800)
David Johnson ($6,800)
Christian Kirk ($5,000)
Damiere Byrd ($3,000)

Sample NFL DFS GPP Lineup

QB: Josh Allen

RB: Frank Gore

RB: Aaron Jones

WR: Nelson Agholor

WR: Mike Evans

WR: John Brown

TE: George Kittle

FLEX: Christian McCaffrey

DST: Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen Featured Image via Erik Drost

5 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports MLB

9/10 DFS Hitting Picks and Stacks: The Cards in Coors

jason mezrahi 5 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

It’s tasty Tuesday, and I’m feeling hungry for more action in some GPPs in 9/10 DFS. Let’s fill our plates with some prime MLB DFS hitting picks and satiating stacks for the massive 14-game 7:05 main slate, focusing on what promises to be a run-happy Coors game, a team from the West Coast arriving in a hitter’s paradise, and another sneaky stack or two in good matchups and park upgrades.

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9/10 DFS Hitting Stacks of the Day

St. Louis Cardinals at Chi Chi Rodriguez

The Redbirds have the highest implied total on the slate at 7+ runs and should have no problems hitting the weak offerings of Chi Chi Rodriguez into the cavernous, expansive gaps in the Coors power alleys. A full stack is in order here, with ample shares of the Cards’ 1-5 hitters – Dexter Fowler (DK $4,500, FD $3,600), Kolten Wong (DK $4,800, FD $3,500), Paul Goldchmidt (DK $5,100, FD $4,300), Marcel Ozuna (DK $5,300, FD $4,100), and Paul DeJong (DK $4,800, FD $3,900), and a few combinations that include Yadier Molina (DK $4,300, FD $3,400), Tommy Edman (DK $5,400, FD $3,300) and value option Harrison Bader (DK $3,900, FD $3,000).

Los Angeles Dodgers at Ty Blach

When the Dodgers have faced Blach in the past, it’s been in San Diego or LA, but now they get the scuffling lefthander in Baltimore, where the balls jump out of the park in droves. Blach’s currently sporting a 10.95 ERA and 2.15 WHIP over 24.2 IP in the majors this season, and his minor league numbers are just as pathetic. There are several possible mixtures of the usual 1-5 hitters but A.J. Pollock (DK $4,700, FD $3,800), who has a .401 xwOBA versus LHPs since 2018, David Freese (who’s $5,400 on DK but just $2,700 on FD) and Kiké Hernandez (DK $4,000, FD $2,600) look like good targets to build from and add Cody Bellinger and/or Justin Turner (DTD).

Colorado Rockies at Michael Wacha

The Rockies have been in a hellish 3-17 nosedive in their past 20 games, but a return to Coors is just what they need to liven up that lumber and score some runs. They may not notch a win against the Cards, but the bats of Nolan Arenado (DK $5,300, FD $4,600), Trevor Story (DK $5,400, FD $4,500) and Charlie Blackmon (DK $5,500, FD $4,500) make for an appealing mini-stack if you can afford them. Wacha has an xwOBA approaching the .400 mark over the past two seasons, and the Rockies have the second highest implied total of the slate at over 6 runs.

9/10 DFS Hitting Stacks to Consider

Houston Astros at Tanner Roark

Minnesota Twins vs. Anibal Sanchez

9/10 DFS Hitting Catcher

J.T. Realmuto, PHI vs. ATL

DK ($4,900) FD ($3,800)

I love Realmuto at home against LHPs, and I professed as much in my firstpiece for WinDailySports.com. We’re going back to the well with the Phillies catcher facingMax Fried, who’s not as good against RHBs (.373 xwOBA since 2018). Realmuto’sbeen raking since the start of September and makes for a solid backstop andone-off to differentiate your lineups.

9/10 DFS Hitting First Baseman

Paul Goldschmidt, STL at COL

DK ($5,100) FD ($4,300)

I mentioned him in my Cards stack above, but I’m including himhere to reiterate that I’ll be having close to 100 percent exposure to Goldy inthis matchup. The veteran first baseman has a .327/.415/.608 career slash with15 homers in 289 Coors field plate appearances, so he’s tops on my list andisn’t nearly as expensive as he should be.

9/10 DFS Hitting Second Baseman

Nick Solak, TEX vs. TB

DK ($3,900) FD ($3,300)

Solak has made an immediate impression in DFS with a.328/.449/.500 slash in his first 19 games in the bigs, with a .320 ISO vs.LHPs. He’s going to be low-owned facing the capable Ryan Yarbrough, comes at adiscount, and bats fourth in a hitter’s park. There’s plenty to like if you’relooking for value component with some positional flexibility (2B/3B on DK) thatoffers ample upside.

9/10 DFS Hitting Third Baseman

Rafael Devers, BOS at TOR

DK ($5,200) FD ($3,800)

Devers absolutely crushes Toronto pitching, and since we don’t know how long T.J. Zeuch will toe the slab on Tuesday, he’s a fine option no matter who’s on the hill. In 15 games against the Jays (59 AB) he’s slashing .441/.484/.915 with 8 homers and just 7 Ks. He’s expensive, but he should command less ownership than Nolan Arenado at the hot corner and offers a high-upside pivot from the Coors game

9/10 DFS Hitting Shortstop

Paul DeJong, STL at COL

DK ($4,800) FD ($3,900)

Like the other Paul on this team, I’m having a hard timeclicking on any other name at his respective position. Trevor Story is obviouslyan option, but DeJong’s a little more affordable and has just as much upside ina larger implied total. He’s only played a couple games in Coors, but he has ahomer, sports a .411 road xwOBA over his past couple seasons, and shouldn’thave trouble with Chi Chi or the Rockies bullpen.

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9/10 DFS Hitting Outfielders

A.J. Pollock, LAD at BAL

DK ($4,700) FD ($3,800)

We’rea few games removed from Pollock’s 3-HR day, but if there’s a spot to jump onboard, it’s now. He’s hitless in his last two games but gets a massive parkupgrade and shouldn’t be as highly owned as the Cards OF and some of the biggername bats. Dodgers OF Chris Taylor (DK $4,400, FD $2,800) could be the pivot ifyou’re looking to fit some different Dodgers bats and need some savings.

Ronald Acuna, Jr., ATL at PHI

DK ($5,200) FD ($4,000)

Acuna led off last night’s game with a homer and now has 38 round trippers on the season. He’s fared well against the Phillies this season with a .333/.452/.529 slash – and he’s got a massive .487 xwOBA and .279 ISO vs. LHPs. Jason Vargas has pitched well this season, but he’s benefited from a low BABIP (.266) and has given up 15 HRs to RHBs.

Dexter Fowler, STL at COL

DK ($4,500) FD ($3,600)

Grabbing the leadoff hitter in any stack is always a smart move, andwhile Fowler doesn’t offer the same raw power as the other Cards bats, he’scertainly got the bat skills to rope some doubles and triples in Coors Field, wherehe began his Major League career. The numbers in that venue are staggering(.300/.397/.492 with 67 doubles, 35 triples and 29 HR in 342 games, 290 of whichhe started).

Additional options:

C: Yadier Molina, Austin Hedges (DK $2,600)

1B: Eric Thames (FD $2,700), Ryan O’Hearn (DK $3,400, FD $2,400)

2B: Kiké Hernandez (FD), Kolten Wong

3B: UPDATED (Gyorko NOT STARTING today) Yoan Moncada, Travis Shaw (value)

SS: Manny Machado (DK $4,000, FD $3,500), Jean Segura (DK$4,000, FD $3,000)

OF: Nick Castellanos (DK $4,500), Phillip Ervin (DK $3,200), Trent Grisham (DK $3,100), Yordan Alvarez (FD $4,200), Cody Bellinger, Austin Meadows

5 years ago 0 comments

NFL

NFL DFS GPP – Stick’s Stacks for Week One

brgrewe@gmail.com 5 years ago

written by brgrewe@gmail.com

The wait is over. Week One is here and it’s time to start reserving your entries and building your lineups for some NFL DFS GPP action. Personally, I think the edge DFS players once had in DFS cash games is starting to decrease drastically, so I am really excited to continue using the majority of my DFS bankroll towards the NFL DFS GPP space. For those of you who still prefer playing more cash games, be sure to check out my article for your Week One Cash Game Picks.

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If you have any questions and would like some further help when building your lineups, please do not hesitate to reach out to me directly on Twitter.

The purpose of this weekly article is to identify team/game stacks that we are going to use for an NFL DFS GPP. For those of you that don’t know, a “team stack” is simply multiple players from the same team. A “game stack” is similar, except we are going to use players from both teams in a given game. Focusing on team stacks and game stacks is incredibly useful in the NFL DFS GPP environment. That being said, let’s get to the plays!

Top Game Stacks

San Francisco 49ers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (51.5)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers – As soon as Bruce Arians was named the head coach in Tampa Bay, I immediately put the Bucs on my radar for Week One NFL DFS. The Bucs are going to play at a fast pace and pass the ball all over the field – which should hopefully lead to a lot of fantasy points against a less-than-stellar San Francisco 49ers’ defensive unit. Please note that I rarely ever use four players from the same team in one lineup – it’s usually best to stick to a max of three players from one team. Here are the guys from Tampa Bay that I’ll be stacking together in my NFL DFS GPP lineup:

Jameis Winston
Mike Evans
Chris Godwin
O.J. Howard

San Francisco 49ers – Well, if I think the Tampa Bay offense is going to score at will, I should probably get some players on the 49ers’ side of the ball. The 49ers will also be playing at a high pace, trying to hang around in this shootout matchup against the Bucs (who also happen to have a very weak defense). Using players on both teams in this game is a great example of our “game stacks”. This game is going to be high scoring and you’re going to want exposure to it in your NFL DFS GPP. Players to consider for your stack:

Jimmy Garoppolo
George Kittle
Matt Breida
Tevin Coleman
Dante Pettis
Marquise Goodwin

Kansas City Chiefs @ Jacksonville Jaguars (52)

Kansas City Chiefs – The Chiefs have the highest implied total on the Vegas board that is currently sitting around 28 points. We all know how explosive this offense can be so we don’t need to dive into a whole lot here. Kansas City is going to score points and it seems the DFS public is a bit scared of this matchup against what used to be a stout defense in Jacksonville. I’m all for using two to three Chiefs in my lineups (if I can afford their salaries). Key players I’m targeting:

Patrick Mahomes
Tyreek Hill
Travis Kelce
Damien Williams (tread lightly now that LeSean McCoy is on the team, but don’t 100% avoid Williams. He can be a great leverage play at less than 10% ownership)
Sammy Watkins

Jacksonville Jaguars – The Chiefs are going to score points in this game and Jacksonville is only a three-point underdog in Vegas. This tells me Vegas is confident that the new Jacksonville offense, under John DeFilippo, can score points in this game as well. I don’t love getting a lot of exposure to the Jaguars due to the fact we really don’t know who’s going to get opportunities in this offense yet. We do need to get some exposure though if we’re going to use Vegas to our advantage and stack the highest total on their board in our NFL DFS GPP.

Leonard Fournette
Dede Westbrook
Nick Foles

Top Team Stacks

Minnesota Vikings – I’m targeting the Vikings’ offense for four reasons:

All of their prices on DFS sites are criminally low
The Atlanta Falcons’ defense is a plus-matchup for any competent offense in the NFL until further notice
Kirk Cousins has a career passer rating of 97.5 when playing at home
The Atlanta Falcons and Dan Quinn’s defensive scheme absolutely bleeds fantasy points to opposing running backs… Hello, Dalvin Cook (he will be a chalky play though).

In my NFL DFS GPP lineups that do not key on San Francisco @ Tampa Bay, the Vikings offense will most likely be my main pivot. If you want to roll out some Vikings in your lineup, it’s not a bad idea to use guys like Devonta Freeman, Julio Jones, or Calvin Ridley on the other side in hopes this game shoots-out. Key Minnesota Vikings stack candidates:

Dalvin Cook
Stefon Diggs
Kirk Cousins
Adam Thielen

Detroit Lions – Yes, you are reading this correctly, I’m on board with stacking up the Detroit Lions offense in a NFL DFS GPP in Week One, against what should be a terrible Arizona defense. They are going to be incredibly low-owned and a great place to pivot or even to add to your main game stack lineup. My only concern is that the Lions play at a very slow pace… so let’s hope Kyler Murray and the Cardinals can score some points. We need Matthew Stafford and company to move the ball up and down the field on offense, not just run the clock out. Key Lions to stack (maybe get shares of David Johnson on the other side to have a mini-game stack):

Kenny Golladay
Kerryon Johnson
Marvin Jones Jr.
Matthew Stafford

Sample NFL DFS GPP Lineup

QB: Jimmy Garoppolo

RB: Leonard Fournette

RB: Damien Williams

WR: Marquise Goodwin

WR: Marvin Jones Jr.

WR: Chris Godwin

TE: George Kittle

FLEX: David Johnson

DST: Miami Dolphins

Mike Evans featured image via Keith Allison

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB Daily Fantasy Sports

9/5 DFS Hitting Picks and Stacks: Sporting Sox and Dinger Locks

Joel Bartilotta 5 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

On our Thursday 9/5 DFS 7:05 main slate, there are seven ballgames – with one that stands out as a good single-game stack with a couple one-offs (a hot-hitting Cub and some RHBs on the lefty-mashing Houston buzzsaw). Are we ready to, once again, embrace the variance and win some green? You bet we are – and there’s enough pitching value to fade the top arms and build a lineup with serious studs.

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9/5 DFS Hitting Stacks of the Day

Boston Red Sox vs. Martin Perez

Most of this stack’s full-bodied components will be discussed hitterby hitter in greater detail below, but this is my top stack of the slate and I’llhave plenty of exposure to this game in general. The usual suspects apply. TheRed Sox are slashing a robust .285/.355/.506 at home this season and there’s nobodyI’d be careful to avoid.

Minnesota Twins at Nathan Eovaldi

The Twins have a little tougher matchup as they are underdogs inFenway Park, but they’d slashed .319/.384/.584 as a team over the past 7 daysheading into last night’s tough matchup vs. Eduardo Rodriguez (which resultedin a 6-2 loss). Look for the Twins to rebound in a big way against a hittable Eovaldi(6.23 ERA, 5.62 FIP). I like the outfielders (though Max Kepler was removedfrom last night’s game with upper chest soreness) and the slugging infielders (JorgePolanco, Miguel Sano, C.J. Cron, Luis Arraez).

Houston Astros vs. Marco Gonzales

Jose Altuve, Alex Bregman and Yuri Gurriel make up the core of this stack, with Michael Brantley and/or Yordan Alvarez rounding it out on FD/DK. But if you’ve only got room for hitters like Aledmys Diaz, Abraham Toro and cheap catching option Robinson Chirinos, there’s still plenty of reason to get excited. The Astros has demolished LHPs this season to the tune of a 133 wRC+ and have great number sat home (.217 team ISO with just an 18.8% K rate – the second lowest in the league).

9/5 DFS Hitting Stacks to Consider

Chicago Cubs at Chase Anderson (Reverse splits pitcher and an implied total near 5 runs)

Baltimore Orioles vs. Kolby Allard (high-risk/value/contrarian)

Tampa Rays vs. Trent Thornton (high-risk/value/contrarian)

9/5 DFS Hitting Catcher

Jason Castro, MIN at BOS UPDATE: Castro is not in the starting lineup

PIVOT: Robinson Chirinos, HOU vs. SEA

DK ($3,400) FD ($3,000)

With Castro starting this game out on the bench, I’m pivoting to Chirinos. He’s about the same price and offers similar upside in this matchup. Chirinos sports a .444 xwOBA in 174 ABs (217 plate appearances) vs. LHPs over the past couple of seasons.

9/5 DFS Hitting First Baseman

Yuri Gurriel, HOU vs. SEA

DK ($4,300) FD ($3,600)

Gurriel has cooled off a little bit since his insane July (.408/.437/.847 in 24 games), but not much, as he posted a .344/.423/.677 slash in August. He’s actually a little better against RHPs but maintains a .237 ISO vs. lefties, so he’s maybe a tad contrarian if you’re mini-stacking stacking Astros along with Boston bats. The .298 home ISO and 148 home wRC+ make him an attractive option.

9/5 DFS Hitting Second Baseman

Jose Altuve, HOU vs. SEA

DK ($4,500) FD ($4,300)

Altuve (.302/.369/.599 with 14 HR at home this season) isunderpriced on DK and the Astros have the second highest implied total (about 6runs) on the evening slate. The diminutive slugger has been in a bit of a funk withno XBH on the five-game road trip, but a return to friendlier confines could bejust what he needs. It’s hard to find better implied value at this position, sowhy look past the five-and-a-half footer if we’re putting our best foot forward?

9/5 DFS Hitting Third Baseman

Rafael Devers, BOS vs. MIN

DK ($5,300) FD($4,100)

Lefty on lefty for Devers hasn’t bothered me since he took AroldisChapman deep as a youngster for the Sox, and he’ll be an overlooked part of theBoston stack and low-owned because of it. He’s completely avoidable if you’renot stacking this team, but I love going with Devers at 3B because he’s alwaysin the thick of this offense and his production this season (.320/.369/.579 slashwith 29 HR and 107 RBI) shows it.

9/5 DFS Hitting Shortstop

Xander Bogaerts, BOS vs. MIN

DK ($5,300) FD ($4,100)

We’ve had success recently with Bogaerts, and this is agreat matchup for the power-hitting SS to show off his .416 xwOBA against LHPs overthe past two seasons. Martin Perez isn’t a bad pitcher these days, but he has stillyielded a .184 ISO and .865 OPS since 2018. I’ve been doing well not overthinkingon Xander, so that’ll continue as I plug him into most of my lineups at SS. Thesomewhat underpriced Alex Bregman ($4,900 DK, $4,400 FD) is the obvious pivotat 3B and SS if you’re not anxious play both Devers and Bogaerts.

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9/5 DFS Hitting Outfielders

Mookie Betts, BOS vs. MIN

DK ($5,000) FD ($4,200)

Bettshad a monster game last night and when Mookie gets hot, you continue to playhim. Boston’s leadoff hitter connected for a couple homers last night en routeto a 4-for-5, five RBI night. He’s still underpriced at $5K on DK and is a Benjamincheaper than J.D. Martinez on FD. Since the start of 2018, Betts is sporting anxwOBA of .430 against LHPs and even if Perez gets yanked early, a righthander faceseven more obscene Betts data (.468 xwOBA vs. RHPs and home xwOBA of .478).

Nicholas Castellanos, CHI at MIL

DK ($4,500) FD ($3,500)

Mr. Castellanos has taken the Windy City by storm, and he getsto travel to Milwaukee to hit in a controlled environment. The problem is thatthese walls cannot possibly contain him either, and he’s been a revelatory offensivepowerhouse since joining the Cubs in a deadline deal, slashing .346/.378/.709 witha ridiculous .362 ISO, .439 wOBA, 12 homers and 24 RBI in just 31 games. It’snot just Wrigley, either: the bell-ringer has split his dingers 6/6 betweenhome and road. Plus, he’s massively underpriced facing a reverse-splits righty (ChaseAnderson) on a small slate. It’ll be tough to leave him out in any format.

Sam Travis, BOS vs. MIN

DK ($3,300) FD (1B $2,800)

The Sox are my favorite team and Travis is much-welcomed valueto help you finish them off on FD with these four hitters I’ve listed, or even addin another bat on DK if you’re going that route. He hits lefties well (.382 xwOBA,.200 ISO and under a 20% strikeout rate over the past two seasons). He’s higherrisk and may attract some ownership, but at that low, low price I’ll make roomto differentiate elsewhere.

Additional options:

C: Wilson Contreras ($4,200 DK, $3,100 FD), Travis d’Arnaud($4,000 DK, $2,700 FD)

1B: Josh Bell ($4,800 DK, $4,200 FD), Garrett Cooper (valueat $3,500 DK, $2,700 FD)

2B: Jonathan Schoop ($4,600 DK, $3,100 FD), Starlin Castro($3,500 DK, $3,000 FD)

3B: Abraham Toro ($2,600 DK, $3,200 FD, Miguel Sano ($5,100DK, $3,900 FD)

SS: Alex Bregman, Jonathan Villar ($4,700 DK, $3,400 FD)and possibly Javier Baez (thumb, DTD – $4,600 DK, $4,100)

OF: Twins galore (Max Kepler, Eddie Rosario, Nelson Cruz, JakeCave), Trey Mancini, Anthony Santander and Ryan Braun (.475 xwOBA vs. LHPs, 415ISO including five career HR vs. Jose Quintana)

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

8/8 MLB DFS Hitting Stacks and Picks

5 years ago

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There’s only eight games on the schedule, and since each will be played under the lights, it will give you time to consider how to load your lineup with 8/8 MLB DFS bargain plays and stacks (besides the obvious one in Yankee Stadium). There’s at least two games with the stench of poor lineups along with a game or two that will produce a sleeper.Top 8/8 MLB DFS Stack: New York Yankees: Blue Jays starter Thomas Pannone has a 7.48 ERA on the road and a 48.1% fly ball rate. Wrong place, wrong time, Thomas. You can start your Pinstripe stack with blistering hot Mike Tauchman ($3,300 at FanDuel), who opened the week with three homers and five RBI. Brett Gardner ($3,000) is hitting .417 with a pair of homers and five ribbies over the past week, and there should be enough available to add Gio Urshela ($3.500), who returned to the lineup on Wednesday to go 3-for-5 with a pair of bombs and four RBI. If Austin Romine gets the start, get greedy and add his $2,700 to the line, as he’s homered in each of his last two starts.Chicago Cubs 8/8 MLB DFS Stack: Entering Wednesday’s play, the Cubs were batting a composite .295/.356/.515 over the past seven days with 10 homers and 26 RBI. Those numbers should remain on point as they play at hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark and face Alex Wood, who has allowed three homers in his first two starts. Obviously, Javier Baez ($5,100 at DraftKings) will cost, but you’ll pay considering he’s hit .400 with three homers and nine ribbies over the last week. Kris Bryant ($4,300) also comes with a stiff sticker price, but he’s destroyed Reds pitching (.356, three homers, 1.130 OPS) this season. Kyle Schwarber ($4,500) is another high-priced bat, but he’s homered five times against Cincinnati this season.Detroit Tigers 8/8 MLB DFS Stack: Don’t laugh, but there’s some value in this lineup. Brandon Dixon ($3,100 at FanDuel) is hitting .357 over the past week with a homer and a stolen base to boot. Miguel Cabrera ($3,100) has a .346 average over the same span while also swatting a homer. Cabrera is hidden gold when the Tigers are at home. The ever-versatile Niko Goodrum is batting .333 with six RBI and comes in with a reasonable $3,200 salary.Now that we’ve stacked, I suppose you’ll want to get some more hitting into your system. Give ‘em what they want, right?8/8 DFS Hitting CatcherFrancisco Mejia, SD vs. COLDK ($3,200) FD ($2,200)The highly-touted bat is coming alive. Mejia has consecutive three-hit games and hit his fifth homer of the season on Wednesday. He’s slowly getting his hard contact rate on the upswing (32.7%) while quietly going .302/.351/.453 since the All-Star Break. Rockies pitcher Jon Gray has a 4.17 ERA outside of Coors Field and has allowed four of his 18 homers to Padres hitting.8/8 MLB DFS Hitting 1BMiguel Cabrera, DET vs. KCDK ($3,500), FD (3,100)As mentioned earlier, Cabrera is a solid hitter at Comerica Park, where he slashes at .351/.410/.446. His strong start to the month has seen him produce a 1.049 OPS in his first 22 at-bats. With Danny Duffy on the DL, the Royals will pitch Jorge Lopez, who makes his first start since May 28. Lopez will serve as the opener for K.C., but it doesn’t matter considering he’s allowed 10 homers in 48.2 innings on the road.8/8 MLB DFS Hitting 2BJon Berti, MIA vs. ATLFD ($4,200), DK ($3,000)The journeyman is making the most of his extended trip to The Show with four multi-hit games in his last five starts. Berti has a 1.087 OPS and will continue to keep highly-touted Isan Diaz on the bench. He’s become a line drive machine, hitting them at a 29.5% rate. The Braves will start the Bad version of Dallas Keuchel, as in the one who has a 4.71 road ERA and has allowed opposing batters to hit .301 against him outside of Atlanta. 8/8 MLB DFS Hitting 3BVladimir Guerrero, Jr. TOR vs. NYYFD ($4,500), DK ($3,700)He’s finally brought his OPS above .800 (.803) as Guerrero opened August with 11 hits in 26 at-bats that includes five extra base hits. What makes him interesting here is whether he become more consistent at home, where he’s hitting .254 with four of his 13 homers coming at Rogers Centre. Guerrero is batting .243 with a homer against New York pitching. Still, the one number that’s intriguing is the .390 OBP he’s established since the ASB, a clear sign The Chosen One is starting to get it. 8/8 MLB DFS Hitting SSBo Bichette, TOR vs. NYYFD ($4,400), DK ($3,800)Bichette has doubled in eight straight games; 11 of his first 18 hits have gone for extra bases, and it doesn’t hurt that Bichette has a stolen base to his credit. Yankees starter Domingo German is 14-2 overall but has been addicted to giving up dingers, as he’s allowed at least two homers in three of his last four starts. German is also suspect on the road, where his 5.60 ERA is more than double the 2.19 ERA he’s posted in New York. 8/8 MLB DFS Hitting OutfieldersRonald Acuna, Jr. ATL at MIADK ($5,300), FD (4,300)He’s now one homer and four steals away from going 30-30, damn nifty for a 21-year old who’ll get some serious MVP consideration that Cody Bellinger and Christian Yelich won’t hoard. Acuna is locked in, hitting .357/.400/.750 in 28 at-bats this month. As good as his numbers were in the first half, Acuna has been filthy since the break with a .302/.373/.538 slash and a .911 OPS. He loves Marlins pitching, having hit four runs against them this season with a .916 OPS. Jorge Soler, KC at DETDK ($4,200), FD ($3,200)Speaking of impressive second halves, Soler’s .309/.436/.667 (1.103 OPS) would garner more attention if he were playing almost anywhere outside of Kansas City. Soler has raised his walk rate to 9.7% while adding 75 points to his Isolated Power total (.277). He’s never going to win a batting crown, but his reduction in pulling the ball from 53.2% last season to 45.8% this year has helped make him a more complete hitter.Aristides Aquino, CIN vs. CHCDK ($3,800), FD ($2,900)Aquino is swinging the bat in almost the same manner another #44 in a Reds uniform once did. He’s still light years from Eric Davis, but Aquino has a pair of homers and five RBI in his first 16 at-bats and is hitting the ball hard to the tune of a 50% hard contact rate. Aquino is a cheap option with a great upside playing in Great American Ball Park.

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

8/5 MLB DFS Stack Selections from The King: Be Brave

MLBMovingAvg 5 years ago

written by MLBMovingAvg

It is not easy to find the most optimum 8/5 MLB DFS Stack. Thereare a handful of seemingly inexperienced and vulnerable pitchers to target onthe slate, but batters are always in danger of not faring as well as hoped whenthey have not seen much of a starter before. Plus, some of the better hittingteams don’t always make it easy for us to build stacks with them because ofseveral top hitters being priced very high. Despite those challenges, we’rehere to identify the best teams to stack for Monday.

Top 8/5 MLB DFS Stack: Atlanta Braves: Jake Odorizzi settled down in his last start, but that was because he faced Miami. Atlanta is fifth in MLB team batting over the past week and that’s good enough to attack Odorizzi with. Adam Duvall pinpoints here at $4200 as he is hitting .385 with four homers and six RBI over the past week. Ozzie Albies ($4300) is hitting .300 over the past week. Josh Donaldson is just $4200 and has five RBI in the past week. Freddie Freeman can easily fit into this 8/5 MLB DFS Stack at $4900 to cap it all off.

Boston Red Sox 8/5 MLB DFS Stack: Mike Montgomery has been hit hard in two of his past three starts. The Red Sox have a good opportunity to bounce back from a sweep by the Yankees here. Start building your 8/5 MLB DFS stack with J.D. Martinez ($5,100 on DraftKings) and Xander Bogaerts will be worth the $5300 tag. Then fit in Christian Vazquez at $4200 and you can get Michael Chavis for $4,300. Martinez is hitting .391 over the past week with two homers and four RBI. Vazquez is hitting .316 during that span. Bogaerts has cooled off lately so you can consider Mookie Betts as your other top anchor at $5500.

Baltimore Orioles 8/5 MLB DFS Stack: This is not as crazy as it may seem as an 8/5 MLB DFS Stack when you consider Masahiro Tanaka has allowed 32 runs in his last six starts, allowing four or more in four of them and five or more in three. Trey Mancini has nine RBI over the past week and leads the way here at $4900. Renato Nunez has been cold over the past week but can rebound and has to be in any Orioles build at $4300. Hanser Alberto is hitting .333 in the past week and can be a salary saver at $3,800. Jonathan Villar also deserves strong consideration at $4700 as does Anthony Santander at $4,600. The prices here are friendly enough that you can possibly fully stack from this game, building a Yankees mini-stack around your Orioles core..

Mini Stack: New York Yankees: We would love to build a four-man 8/5 MLB DFS stack here, but most of the prices of the top hitters are near or above $5,000. Still, against Gabriel Ynoa you have to go for Aaron Judge at $4,600 and get one more Yankees bat in there for good measure. Mike Tauchman and Brett Gardner give you platoon splits and exposure for under $5,000. If you can find a creative way to get four top Yankee bats in a lineup, they should be your prime stack, but the pitching outlook for value plays is not too good tonight, especially on a two-pitcher site.

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

Stacking in MLB DFS: What You Need To Know

Jason Mezrahi 5 years ago

written by Jason Mezrahi

You may hear people talking about “stacking.” Stacking is one of the most used and most talked about tournament strategies. Stacking is a great option to bet a strong lineup against a weak pitcher. Understanding that pitchers tend to do poorly with runners on base and that pitchers have bad days, taking as many batters from one team as the site allows, gives you the advantage to compound the scoring of your team exponentially.

If you stack a few hitters in a lineup, big innings and rallies will catapult your lineup to the top of the leaderboard. The goal of a stack is to select the optimal grouping of three to five players from a team in hopes to blow up a starting pitcher early in the game and get into the opposing team’s weaker bullpen arms. It’s important to recognize the difference between FanDuel and DraftKings here, though. On FanDuel, you can only take up to four hitters from one team, while DraftKings allows you to choose up to five.

Stacking can pay off in a couple specific ways. The standard strategy is to stack power hitters who hit opposite-handed from the starting pitcher they’re facing, since we know that players hit opposite-handed pitchers better than same-handed ones. The idea is that you can add points quickly with rallies with multiple extra-base hits.

However, it’s a good idea to throw in some less-owned players from a stack in order to be different, especially if you believe you are attacking a popular stack. Same-handed hitters from that lineup could work because starters will be pulled if they give up too many runs early. An opposite-handed long reliever could likely take their place. This is an especially strong strategy for tournaments, as few people will have that hitter in their lineups. Taking a lesser-owned player is a good way to climb the rankings, as not many other players will get points off that player.

You typically can’t afford the best four or five hitters in a strong lineup, but you can get the best two and choose a couple of the cheaper hitters in a lineup who have a good chance of being involved in the rally, especially if they have either some power or speed attributes.

You can also take a gamble by stacking against a highly-owned pitcher in a tournament, because if your hitters have success, not only will you rack up points for their success, many other players in the tournament who own that pitcher will sink to the bottom of the leaderboard.

There’s one extreme way to use stacking to your advantage. In GPP tournaments, you can stack every team in baseball, enter them all in, betting that one will make up for the losses of the rest. It’s not as easy as it sounds, though. Extreme multi-stacking can cost you a lot of time and money and still not guarantee you success. Even players rolling out hundreds of entries do not come close to covering every possible scenario. It just can’t be done. So, my suggestion is to find that one spot that you feel best about and hit it hard.

You can also play what’s called a full-game stack. Let’s go back to our example of Wrigley Field on a hot humid day with the wind blowing out. If both pitchers throwing have a high FB% and HR/9 numbers, it would be a savvy play to take as many hitters from both teams as you can afford. Just make sure you don’t take the pitchers, too.

Although stacking is very popular now, it’s not the only way to put together a strong lineup. If you have four hitters you can afford who are in the same lineup and in matchups they can benefit from, great. If you only have two that you really believe in and two you believe in that are on a different team, by all means set up a couple mini-stacks. Some of my most successful lineups have come from looking at the slate and choosing players across three or four teams. As with everything in DFS, there are so many different paths to success. Stacking absolutely works for some players, while for others, it may not be the way to go.

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

MLB DFS Stacks for 7/23

Mark Paquette 5 years ago

written by Mark Paquette

Your preferred MLB DFS Stacks for the Tuesday slate.

Braves: Atlanta remains at home and gets a reeling Royals team and mediocre lefty Danny Duffy. All the Braves bats are in play in MLB DFS Stacks against this southpaw and the bad bullpen.
Nationals: This was going to be my stack last night before they cancelled the game with plenty of warning for DFS purposes. I see no reason not to think they are still in a great spot and I will fire this stack up tonight against Peter Lambert and the rest of the depleted Rockies pitching staff.
Twins/Yankees: I will combine both of these teams here for MLB DFS Stacks as their lineups are not altogether different. Both have a 1-9 that makes the pitcher work, with no breaks or places to catch their breath. We saw what happened last night in this hitter’s park that is Target Field, there is no reason in my mind to expect anything different tonight.
Diamondbacks: The Snakes, besides being my favorite animal, are smack-dab in the middle of the N.L. playoff race and get to take their swings against newly returned from the IL Dylan Bundy and the rest of the bad Orioles bullpen. We have seen Arizona blow teams up several times over the past few weeks, and there is no reason to believe that they can’t do that again tonight. They are very useful among MLB DFS Stacks.

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5 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports NFL

DFS Stacks: How to Employ Them in Daily Fantasy Football

Jason Mezrahi 5 years ago

written by Jason Mezrahi

We often talk about DFS Stacks in MLB, and you can stack in football as well. Stacking your QB with your receiving core is a great idea, as you’ll get points on both ends. In 2017, QB/WR stacks earned 20+ points fifty-two times, or 3.05 times per week. This is a tried-and-true strategy for racking up big points.

Utilizing Connections in DFS Stacks

DFS Stacks of QB/RB is a little more complicated. If the RB on the team catches the ball well out of the backfield, something players like Alvin Kamara do on a consistent basis, you can stack the QB with the RB. This is especially true if the defense they’re facing that day runs a scheme that leaves RBs out of the backfield uncovered or left to a slower linebacker. You can uncover a great matchup by researching little tidbits like this. However, the only time you’d want to stack a QB with an RB is if he catches the ball out of the backfield a lot. In 2017, there were only twenty-five occurrences of twenty-point QB/RB stacks, or 1.47 per week. There just aren’t that many Alvin Kamaras and Christian McCaffreys out there.

You’re looking for an accumulation of points. So you don’t want to take a QB and an RB out of a balanced offense and get a marginal return from both in your DFS Stacks. It would be better for you to take a QB from a pass-heavy offense and an RB from a run-heavy one. That way, you’re taking the biggest producers from each offensive scheme.

Go for the Full Game with DFS Stacks

You can also stack the entire game, just like with baseball DFS Stacks. If you take a look at the Vegas line and the game is projected to be close and high-scoring, you might have a shootout on your hands. As long as you don’t pick either of the defenses, this situation could really pay off for you. You’ll get points from both offenses as they go back and forth throughout the game. The longer defenses stay on the field, the more tired they get. So that production is only going to increase as you head into the second half.

Think about DFS Stacks as a series of correlations. If you stack your QB and WR, you’re betting that they’re going to connect for a lot of passing yards and a couple TDs. You want these sorts of dependent relationships. Look at how good the two future Hall of Famers Tom Brady and Randy Moss were when they were in New England together. If you took Brady and Moss, not only were you getting two players at the top of their game. Every time they connected, you would rack up points with a compounding effect.

Defensive Considerations in DFS Stacks

You can think about correlations for defenses, too. If you pick a defense to hold their opponent to a few points, the correlation strategy would be to pick that team’s RB as well in your DFS Stacks. If the defense does what it’s supposed to, the team will likely maintain a lead throughout the game. They will run the ball a lot to wind down the clock.

You’ll also want to examine Vegas lines to look for potential full game stacks, to note games to avoid, and to predict game flow. If the over/under for the game is in the mid to high 50s and the spread is minimal, the betting world is expecting a back-and-forth shootout. That is an ideal situation for DFS and full game DFS Stacks. Vegas is only a prediction tool, though, and games with lower totals could provide the same high scoring shootout with the added bonus of low ownership. So don’t be afraid to full game stack a lower Vegas total game.

You can also take a look at the games with a low over/under and pick up one of those defenses in your DFS Stacks. Use the over/under as a reference point for the players you already have penciled into your lineups, too, because if you have an offensive player on one of the teams with an over/under at twenty or fewer points, it’s highly unlikely that they will be the only player who racks up good offensive points in the game.

Vegas Knows

Check out the spreads as well. If a team is heavily favored, you can use that information to your advantage. Pick up the RB that will get a lot of touches late in the game to run down the clock. Likewise, if a team is expected to lose big, that would be a good sign that you should target their QB or top WR.

For full game DFS stacks to pay off, though, you want the game where two bad defenses are squaring off. Then the plan is to stack four to six players with proper correlations. A good combination would be two to four QB-WR-TE from your predicted trailing team along with one to three RB-WR-TE from your predicted leading team. Combine whoever you think will come out on top with an RB and some receivers, along with the trailing team’s QB and WRs. Then, to round out your team, you can sprinkle in some value plays or high-end guys from other games.

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