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Denny Hamlin

Last Week’s NASCAR Auto Club 400 was a step in the right direction as we made a slight profit. Alex Bowman won the race with the best car. Unfortunately, much of the chalk hit, so winning any big money was difficult with a number of ties at the top. This week’s FanShield 500 at Phoenix should be a bit different, with opportunities to have some lineup diversity.

The 48th running of this race, over the 1-mile tri-oval track, will have 3 stages and 312 laps as Stage 1 is set to end at Lap 75, and Stage 2 Lap 190. Joe Gibbs Racing has dominated recently winning four of the last five Phoenix races, leading the most laps in each of the last six races (He has Hamlin, Kyle Busch, Truex Jr., and Jones this year) Many drivers have won multiple times on this surface including Kevin Harvick 9 (Five FanShield 500’s), Jimmie Johnson 4, Kyle Busch 3, and Denny Hamlin 2. Joey Logano and Kurt Busch have also won here before.

FanShield 500 Stats

Chase Elliott shined in Friday’s practice sessions finishing 2nd early and 1st in the late session. Many drivers showed well in both finishing in the top 10 of each including William Byron, Brad Keselowski, Kyle Busch, Joey Logano, and Erik Jones.

Practice Session #1 Friday
Practice Session #2 Friday

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Chase Elliot continued his weekend dominance in Phoenix also taking down the Pole in Saturday’s qualifying. His performance is much like what Bowman did last week and is hard to ignore in DFS and Win betting. Phoenix dominator Kevin Harvick joins Elliott in the first row. Hamlin, Larson, a Blaney round out the top 5.

Last year’s winner Kyle Busch will start in 10th and will have other top drives right behind him including Logano 13th, Keselowski 14th, Jimmie Johnson 21st. Martin Truex Jr. who qualified 12th will start the race in the rear due to an engine change.

FanShield 500 Qualifying Results

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My top DFS plays at each price tier this week are listed below. I am leaning on those who have had success at this track and showed speed in practice and qualifying. Those qualifying at the rear will be avoided as they will go down multiple laps quickly with little chance to make a top 15 run. My final Driver Usage will be posted on Twitter Sunday.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced

  1. Kevin Harvick $11,00
  2. Kyle Busch $12,000
  3. Brad Keselowski $10,400

NASCAR DFS Mid-Tier

  1. Chase Elliott $9.600
  2. William Byron $8,300
  3. Erik Jones $8,500

NASCAR DFS Value Plays

  1. Christopher Bell $6,500
  2. Kurt Busch $8,100
  3. Bubba Wallace $6,000

I also like 6 plays on DraftKings Sports Book to win the race. I am again riding Kyle Busch as my pick to win this week, but Kevin Harvick can never be ignored.

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE

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The NASCAR field is finally set for the 62nd Daytona 500 this Sunday. The 2 Bluegreen Vacations duel races on Thursday help set the starting lineup. The first Duel race was won by Joey Logano who led 19 laps. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. continued his good showing at Daytona with 27 led laps and an 8th place finish. Only Daniel Suarez was not running at the end after his crash. The 2nd Duel race was won by William Byron. Kevin Harvick led the most laps at 34 and finished 4th followed by 12 laps led by Alex Bowman who was the pole-sitter but finished 15th. As with the first duel, only one driver J.J Yeley was off the grid at the finish after the accident.

Bluegreen Vacations Duel 1 At DAYTONA
Bluegreen Vacations Duel 2 At DAYTONA

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Based on the finishes in the Duel races, we are going to have some chalk in DFS Sunday. Stenhouse Jr. leads everyone on the pole followed by Bowman and Duel Winners Logano and Byron.

Friday’s practice was lead by William Byron followed by Ryan Preece and Chase Elliott as Chevrolet dominated taking the top 7 spots for top speed. On Saturday, Joey Logano leads the afternoon practice session as Ford dominated.

Kyle Busch is going to be the top chalk starting in the 28th position. Hamlin 21st, Blaney 27th, and Elliott 25th will also be very highly owned. Only Bowman 2nd and Logano 3rd intrigue me at the top. I see Logano winning this race and leading the most laps. Kyle Busch and Hamlin would be my next 2 choices for top DFS point-getters.

Daytona 500 Starting Grid
Friday’s Daytona 500 Practice
Saturday’ Daytona 500 practice

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I have adjusted my top NASCAR plays at each pricing tier based on the starting grid, duel races, practicing, and most importantly the eye test.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced

  1. Kyle Busch $9,800
  2. Joey Logano $10,500
  3. Denny Hamlin $10,400

Mid-Tier

  1. Erik Jones $7,900
  2. Matt DiBenedetto $7,800
  3. Jimmie Johnson $8,200

Value Plays

  1. Christopher Bell $6,700
  2. Brendan Gaughan $7,200
  3. Tyler Reddick $6,400

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The 2020 NASCAR season is finally here. The 2 Bluegreen Vacations Duels At DAYTONA are on tap for Thursday to complete the field for the 62nd Daytona 500 this Sunday. Denny Hamlin took home the trophy last season, and for the 2nd time in 4 years. Jimmie Johnson is the only other driver in the field with multiple wins in this event. While starting position is nice to have for DFS, I will always lean towards talent starting at the back of the field.

The Bluegreen Vacations Duel #1 At DAYTONA
The Bluegreen Vacations Duel #2 At DAYTONA


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This is my favorite race of the year, as I have taken home huge wins in the past with unlikely winners including Trevor Bayne and Austin Dillon. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. won the pole for Sunday’s race and leads a slew of driver racing for new teams.

2020 NASCAR driver changes

Richard Childress Racing
#8 Chevrolet

2020: Tyler Reddick
2019: Daniel Hemric

Stewart-Haas Racing
#41 Ford

2020: Cole Custer
2019: Daniel Suarez

Roush Fenway Racing
#17 Ford

2020: Chris Buescher
2019: Ricky Stenhouse Jr

JTG Daugherty Racing
#37 Chevrolet
2020: Ryan Preece
2019: Chris Buescher

JTG Daugherty Racing
#47 Chevrolet

2020: Ricky Stenhouse Jr
2019: Ryan Preece

Wood Brothers Racing
#21 Ford

2020: Matt DiBenedetto
2019: Paul Menard

Levine Family Racing
#95 Toyota

2020: Christopher Bell
2019: Matt DiBenedetto

Front Row Motorsports
#38 Ford

2020: John Hunter Nemechek
2019: David Ragan

Premium Motorsports
#15 Chevrolet

2020: Brennan Poole
2019: Ross Chastain

StarCom Racing
#00 Chevrolet

2020: Quin Houff
2019: Landon Cassill

Many rookies should make an impact in 2020 with Christopher Bell leading the way, but others including Custer and Reddick could give him a nice run It was nice to see these drivers get their chance on the big stage.

TOP ROTY CANDIDATES FOR 2020

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My top DraftKings DFS plays going into this weekend are below. I may tweak them a bit once the final starting grid comes out, but I am fairly confident in these choices at this point. Other than maybe Stenhouse Jr. at the top, the qualifying was not too surprising as 4 Chevrolets were at the top. Erik Jones took down the Busch Clash last Weekend and finished 10th in qualifying.

I will be updating my plays, including my DFS driver usage, on Saturday.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced

  1. Kyle Busch $9,800
  2. Denny Hamlin $10,400
  3. Joey Logano $10,500

Mid-Tier

  1. Erik Jones $7,900
  2. Matt DiBenedetto $7,800
  3. Jimmie Johnson $8,200

Value Plays

  1. Christopher Bell $6,700
  2. Tyler Reddick $6,400
  3. Chris Buescher $7,100
Qualifying for the Daytona 500

I have also chosen 5 NASCAR plays that I think have good value to win on DraftKings. While I think a big odds win is not probable, I am always willing to take some shots. Make sure you always shop around as most of the good odds this week are on FanDuel, not DraftKings.

  1. Kyle Busch 10/1 (13/1 on FanDuel) $250
  2. Jimmie Johnson 20/1 (22/1 on FanDuel) $100
  3. Christopher Bell 33/1 (42/1 on FanDuel) $100
  4. Erick Jones 25/1 $100
  5. Bubba Wallace 50/1 (70/1 on FanDuel) $50

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE

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The weather, unfortunately, wiped out qualifying, thus the starting lineup was put in place using owner’s points. The final four left in the chase for the Championship will start in the top 4 which makes for excitement in the race but does not give us too much for DFS purposes. Below is our DraftKings DFS NASCAR post-qualifying analysis for Miami.

There does not seem to be any huge advantage for anyone, but if I have to rank them in order, I would have to go with the following ranking.

  1. Hamlin
  2. Truex Jr.
  3. Harvick
  4. Kyle Busch
Qualifying Results

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They were only able to get one practice session in Saturday. Kyle Busch topped the session with the best speed of 168.966 and the best overall lap average. Martin Truex Jr. was 2nd in both categories. Hamlin was 3rd in Practice and 5th in lap averages followed by Harvick who was 9th in practice and 4th in lap averages. Even after these results, I am sticking with my ranking. While you can’t ignore Kyle ever, I just think the other 3 have been better in my eyes.

Practice Results
Best Lap Averages

Joey Logano is still the most intriguing driver in my eyes outside of the championship four. I think he wants to repeat in this race and prove he is still on top of his game. I also like Keselowski. He was fast in practice which helps, but he has had several issues in recent races. I will have him in one of my lineups. I also expect Chase Elliott to be in the mix.

I have ranked my top drivers outside of these seven below. The only addition to my first article this week is Erik Jones who looked good in practice. These are the 14 drivers I focused on for my DFS lineups.

  1. Jimmie Johnson
  2. Alex Bowman
  3. Erik Jones
  4. Austin Dillon
  5. Matt DiBenedetto
  6. Ty Dillon
  7. Ricky Stenhouse Jr.

I have decided to only play 5 lineups this week. My Optimal Lineup includes Hamlin, Truex Jr., Logano, and Austin Dillon plus 2 value plays. It was very difficult to decide who to use, but I thought this foursome was the best. I do have Harvick and Kyle Busch in a lineup as well as many of the others I spoke of above.

Optimal Lineup

The odds on DraftKings have not changed as the top four are still +325. My other top picks for this site would be Logano at +2000, Jones at +4000, and Johnson at +10000. I think Logano is the best value.

These odds are so much better than what FanDuel is offering, except for Jones who is +5000. Nothing else intrigued me.

While winning some serious cash is top on my list tomorrow, I do want this championship to come down to the last lap. I think Hamlin edges out Truex Jr. with Logano finishing 3rd. Good Luck!

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Since I am on Hamlin and Truex Jr. to lead, I have to go with the under on both Harvick and Kyle Busch.

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE

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Phoenix pretty much went as I thought. I was in on Chase Elliott and he crashed. He had to push it and it ended up costing him. I am just glad he went all in trying to win. We are now down to the final four and will crown a Champion on Sunday. Below is my DraftKings NASCAR DFS analysis for Miami.

Final Four eligible for the Championship

The creme rose to the top as these four drivers were the dominate ones this season, each winning at least 4 times. It is no surprise that they top the odds to win Sunday’s event as all 4 drivers are +325 on DraftKings.

Homestead-Miami Speedway, a 1.5-mile track, has hosted the Ford EcoBoost 400 since 1999. Only Denny Hamlin has won this race multiple times in 2009 and 2013, but each of the other three finalists also have a recent win here (Harvick 2014, Kyle Busch 2015, Martin Truex Jr. 2017) I really do not see any of them having an advantage at this point, but qualifying could change that.

A few other drivers I think have a chance to win with favorable odds include Joey Logano, last year’s winner, at 14-1, Jimmie Johnson, the 2016 winner, at 100-1, and Alex Bowman at 50-1.

2018 Ford EcoBoost 400 Results

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Looking at DraftKings DFS, the top 4 are reasonably priced led by Busch at $11,400 followed by Hamlin at $11,000, Harvick at $10,800, and Truex Jr. at $10,600.

Of those outside of the championship hunt, the top 3 values I see are Joey Logano at $9,800, Alex Bowman at $7,800, and Matt DiBenedetto at $7,600. I am very leery at this point of any deep value unless someone shows something in practice or qualifying. Below are my top drivers at each price point pre-qualifying.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced

  1. Kevin Harvick $10,800
  2. Denny Hamlin $11,100
  3. Joey Logano $9,800

Mid-Tier

  1. Alex Bowman $7,800
  2. Matt DiBenedetto $7,600
  3. Jimmie Johnson $7,900

Value Plays

  1. Ty Dillon $6,500
  2. Austin Dillon $7,100
  3. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. $6,900

I will be updating my DFS picks after qualifying Saturday including my Driver usage and Optimal lineup.

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE

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The practices and qualifying at ISM Raceway have put me in a quandary as I consider the post-qualifying analysis for Phoenix. The big question for me is to play Chase Elliott or not. He dominated the 2nd practice and qualified 6th. His only chance to make the final 4 next week in Miami is to win, and I think he will take any chance to make it happen, He definitely has the talent to do so. Below is our post-qualifying analysis for Phoenix.

Practice Session #1
Practice Session #2

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Blaney, Harvick, Hamlin, Logano, DiBenedetto, and Kyle Busch all finished in the top 10 of both practice sessions and look to have good speed. Kyle Busch, Logano, and Hamlin also took the top 3 spots in qualifying and must be part of a large percentage of DFS lineups. Truex Jr. qualified 4th followed by Larson, Elliott, and Harvick, so as I anticipated the leader board is going to be filled with the top talent all day Sunday. Blaney who qualified 10th was the lowest qualifier of the 8 still in the playoff.

Qualifying Results

I Identified 5 value drivers yesterday that I thought would play a big role in DFS lineups on Sunday. They qualified about where I thought they might except for Dillon who was lower than expected on 28th. I am a little worried that they will not have the speed to compete for a top 5 finish, and I leaned on experience with Johnson and Newman as I build my lineups.

  1. Ryan Newman – 20th
  2. Jimmie Johnson – 22nd
  3. Aric Almirola – 11th
  4. Austin Dillon – 28th
  5. Daniel Suarez – 15th

Some other drivers who intrigued me included Bowman who qualified 14th, DiBenedetto who qualified 16th, and John Nemechek who qualified 26th. I also still like the 4 plays I made yesterday using Almirola 42/1, Johnson and Suarez at 70/1, and the value play of the day Newman at 180/1 to win. The new post-qualifying odds have not come out yet, but it will be dominated I am sure by the top qualifiers and I do not believe there will be enough value on any of them so I will pass.

I ended up with 40 lineups this week on DraftKings. Pricing made it difficult to get as many of the top drivers as I wanted. I also really wanted to avoid too many deep values plays. My driver’s usages are below. Good Luck!!!

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I am leaning towards the under on both drivers here, but I think Blaney has the best chance to hit that number as he goes all in for a playoff spot.

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS, AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE

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Finally had a good week of DFS in Texas as Kevin Harvick took care of business and punched his ticket to the final 4 in Miami. This week we head to the ISM Raceway in Phoenix to fill the last 2 spots in the playoff chase. Kyle Busch and Joey Logano have the advantage, but one wrong move on the track or in the pits can change that. Chase Elliott is in a major slump and is in a must win situation. I am interested to see how he practices and qualifies, because he could be an interesting DFS play.

Phoenix is a 1 mile track that opened in 1964. Since 2005 they have held 2 races a year which are currently the TicketGuardian500 and Bluegreen Vacations500. Harvick is the dominator here with 9 wins and 16 top 5 finishes. He will nearly be impossible to fade if he qualifies on top. Other drivers have also had success here like Jimmie Johnson (4 wins – None since 2009), Kyle Busch (3 wins – Including the last two at this track), and Ryan Newman (2 wins)

Playoff standing after Texas

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DFS this week will be very specific for me with the 5 drivers racing for the last 2 spots dominating my lineups. The cream will rise to the top and I can’t imagine any of those five not being in the top 10 unless they get caught up in a wreck. For me, Elliott will be the wild card. I will be over owned on him if he qualifies and practices well, and under owned or will fade him completely if he does not.

Regarding Harvick and Truex Jr. if they get the pole I will probably be 50% or more, otherwise I most likely will play them more as a GPP pivot. Contests will be won based on how the value performs. I have five drivers I will be focusing on.

  1. Ryan Newman – I love the fact that he has won here before and has driven very well the last 2 weeks. Outside of the Hollywood Casino 500 disaster, he has averaged 54 DK points over his last 3 finishes and is only $7,600 this week.
  2. Jimmie Johnson – He is a legend and at $7,900 I always have to give him a look. He has finished 34th or worse the last 3 weeks, but outside of those, he has finished 10th, 8th 9th, 11th, and 11th. He has a top 10 in him and possibly a top 5 if he gets some breaks.
  3. Aric Almirola – He has back to back 4th place finishes at this track his last 2 races, and he has proven week after week he is a top driver qualifying well and always in the mix including last week’s 2nd place finish. He just has to stay out of trouble and another top 5 is very possible.
  4. Austin Dillon – At $6,800 he is a tremendous value. He has been consistent and if everything goes right, he has serious top 10 potential. His value goes up if he qualifies outside the top 20 as long as he practices ok. He finished 8th in this race last year.
  5. Daniel Suarez – After a rough go of it lately, he finished 3rd last week and I think he can bring that momentum to Phoenix. I assume he will qualify in the 10-15 range and I love his top 5 potential. His last 3 finishes of 19th, 21st, and 36th here may also keep his ownership down.
2019 TicketGuardian500 at Phoenix Results
2018 Can Am 500 at Phoenix Results

Below are my pre Practice/Qualifying rankings. I will update my rankings and give my driver usage for DFS once qualifying is official.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced

  1. Kevin Harvick $11,500
  2. Kyle Busch $11,900
  3. Kyle Larson $9,600

Mid-Tier

  1. Ryan Newman $7,600
  2. Jimmie Johnson $7,900
  3. Aric Almirola $8,100

Value Plays

  1. Daniel Suarez $7,200
  2. Austin Dillon $6,800
  3. Rickie Stenhouse Jr. $6,600

I was also looking at DraftKings’ and FanDuel’s sportsbooks and FanDuel has the best odd by far. There are 4 plays that I think have great value with Ryan Newman at 180/1 being ridiculous.

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE

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Martinsville did not turn out like I has hoped as Martin Truex Jr. did exactly what I expected Denny Hamlin to do by dominating the race. Those short tracks are tricky and you have to throw your dart. This week we get back to a 1.5 mile track at the Texas Motor Speedway. There are only 2 races left for those 8 finalists still left in the playoffs to make the final four in Miami. For those below the cut line, this week in crucial as a DNF could force a must-win situation at Phoenix next week. Truex is currently on top followed by Hamlin, Kyle Busch, and Joey Logano in the top 4.

Playoff Standing thru Martinsville


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The Texas Motor Speedway is a newer track opening in 1996. It hosts 2 races yearly with the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 in the Spring and the AAA Texas 500 in the fall. Jimmie Johnson has dominated at this track with 7 wins, but many others in the race Sunday have also had success including Kyle Busch and Hamlin with 3 wins, Harvick with 2, and Logano and Newman with one. Hamlin took the race earlier this season with some longer shots in the next three spots including Bowyer, Suarez, and Jones. I will have to spread a bit more in this race, to make sure I have proper DFS coverage.

2019 O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 Results

Below are my pre-qualifying NASCAR DFS rankings for DraftKings. I am a little more comfortable on this type of track, but I still prefer the super speedways. I always like drivers who will go for the win and take the risks necessary to make it happen.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced

  1. Denny Hamlin $10,800
  2. Kevin Harvick $10,400
  3. Kyle Busch $11,200

Mid-Tier

  1. Jimmie Johnson $8,600
  2. Erik Jones $8,400
  3. William Byron $8,000

Value Plays

  1. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. $6,800
  2. Daniel Suarez $7,200
  3. Paul Menard $7,300

Kevin Harvick led qualifying which was no surprise. Erik Jones and Denny Hamlin were close behind followed by Kurt Busch to complete the first two rows. The other playoff drivers qualified 11th (Logano), 12th (Kyle Busch), 13th (Larson), 14th (Elliott), 15th (Larson), and 17th (Truex Jr.) so all are in decent position to make a run to the top.

AAA Texas 500 Qualifying Results

It was very hard to decide who I wanted to back in this race on DraftKings. I decided to lean on the big three of Harvick, Hamlin, and Kyle Busch and wheel a bunch of value around them. It was hard to ignore Johnson who qualified 25th, but I was cautious only using him 4 times. I also thought Bowyer (24th), Newman (25th), and Menard (31st) had top 10-15 potential which would score well in DFS. I had to throw in some deep value in some lineups, but no one under $6K stood out. Below is my driver usage over 23 lineups. Good Luck!

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I am a bit leery about Logano in this spot, so I would lean under with him, but I think Jones could lead some laps and get a top 5 finish, thus, I am on the over with him.

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE

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Just 4 events left after a crazy finish in Kansas that saw Joey Logano edge out Brad Keselowski for the last of the 8 playoff spots. Now we head to Martinsville in NASCAR DFS to start the final-four playoff push for Miami. Kyle Busch leads the playoff standings with 46 points followed closely by Martin Truex Jr. and Denny Hamlin.

Current Playoff Standings. The top 4 after Martinsville, Texas, and Phoenix race for the title in Miami on November 17th

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The Martinsville Speedway is a 0.52 mile track that opened in 1947. The STP 500 is ran in the Spring and this race, the First Data 500, is always in the Fall. Jimmie Johnson and Hendrick Motorsports have dominated this event in the past as Johnson has 6 wins, with the last in 2016, and Hendrick Motorsports has 16 wins since 1987. Chevrolet dominated with 6 straight wins from 2011 to 2016, but Toyota and Ford have won the last two with Kyle Busch and Joey Logano. Denny Hamlin is the only other multiple winner of this event, winning back to back in 2009-2010. Johnson and Hamlin also have won the Spring STP 500 3 times each with Brad Keselowski winning it twice.

2018 First Data 500 Results

Here were my pre-qualifying NASCAR DFS rankings. This is a race where the cream usually rises to the top, and I like to choose drivers that qualify well. Sometimes you are forced to go outside the top 10 for value, but otherwise the top is best. You will also see the best drivers are slightly more expensive this week.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced

  1. Denny Hamlin $11,000
  2. Joey Logano $10,100
  3. Kyle Busch $11,800

Mid-Tier

  1. Alex Bowman $8,300
  2. William Byron $8,000
  3. Jimmie Johnson $8,100

Value Plays

  1. Ty Dillon $6,200
  2. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. $7,000
  3. Paul Menard $7,100

Qualifying was not too surprising. Denny Hamlin took the pole and will be my main play for the race. Chase Elliott qualified 2nd, but due to a blown engine in practice, he will be starting at the rear of the field. The other playoff drivers were all over the grid with Truex Jr. 3rd, Blaney 6th, Joey Logano 10th, Kyle Busch 13th, Larson 14th, and Kevin Harvick a disappointing 22nd.

I decided to play only 3 lineups this weekend. Hamlin is in all three of them, then I mixed in the rest of my favorite plays. I was planning on playing deeper, but I decided to go with less lineups in more contests. My best week ever in NASCAR DFS was using one lineup that pushed over 600 points, so lets hope this strategy works again. My driver usage is below. Good Luck!

DraftKings DFS Picks for Martinsville

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I am going with the under for both drivers in this play. Elliott is at the back of the pack to start and I do not see Busch contending. Neither will lead enough laps to get the needed Fantasy Points.

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Just 5 events left after an amazing race at Talladega last weekend. 10 drivers are still in the chase for the last 6 spots in the playoffs with Kyle Larson and Ryan Blaney already guaranteed spots into the next round. The Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas Sunday should be very interesting as some below the cut line are in must-win situations. Those above the cut line need to stay aggressive, but must avoid a DNF.

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PLAYOFF STANDINGS

The Kansas Speedway is a 1.5 mile track that opened in 2001 and has become a main cog in the playoff chase. Chevrolet has won 10 of the 18 events and 3 drivers in the field (Johnson, Harvick, and Logano) have won twice. Chase Elliott won last year’s event. The Digital Ally 400 event is also held at the Kansas track in May. Harvick and Johnson have each also won this event. Brad Keselowski is the only 2-time winner including this year’s event, which had a nice mix of chalk and value plays in the top 10.

2019 DIGITAL ALLY 400 RESULTS AT KANSAS

Below were my pre-qualifying DFS rankings. There was a huge focus on the drivers in the playoffs, but narrowing in on the value plays with Top-10 potential is crucial.

High Priced

  1. Joey Logano $9,800
  2. Brad Keselowski $9,600
  3. Kevin Harvick $11,000

Mid-Tier

  1. Clint Bowyer $8,800
  2. Jimmie Johnson $8,000
  3. William Byron $8,200

Value Plays

  1. Chris Buescher $6,700
  2. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. $7,000
  3. Ryan Newman $7,300

Qualifying gave two playoff chase drivers some issues as Kevin Harvick was not able to qualify after after failing inspection and will start at the rear of the field. Martin Truex Jr. failed inspection twice and qualified 11th.  Both have lost their crew chiefs for rest of the weekend.  Harvick instantly becomes the chalk of the event in DFS.  It will be hard to fade him.  Rookie Daniel Hemric took the pole at just over 178 MPH.  David Ragan was a surprise #2 qualifier followed by Blaney, Keselowski, and Larson in the top 5. 

Kyle Busch continues to qualify poorly, finishing 18th as did other playoff chase competitors Denny Hamlin (23rd) and Joey Logano (29th).  There will be a ton of jostling for position as these drivers try to move their way to the top.
I have included my final driver percentages for Kansas below over 41 lineups.  My “OPTIMAL” lineup will include Harvick, Elliott, and Keselowski with 3 value plays.  I am using this lineup in a single entry event. Good Luck Sunday!

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE

Please also follow me on Twitter @CHRISBOUCHARD88

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