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daily fantasy soccer

Soccer DFS: English Premier League 12/1

written by rmferenc@gmail.com

Welcome to my soccer DFS breakdown for the English Premier League! We have a large mid-week slate on tap for Wednesday with six games on the slate! There are a few games that appear to be very lopsided with Chelsea, Manchester City, and Liverpool having easy matchups. My favorite game might be Brigh...

2 years ago 0 comment

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Soccer DFS: UEFA Champions Leagues 9/29

rmferenc@gmail.com 3 years ago

written by rmferenc@gmail.com

Welcome to my soccer DFS breakdown for the UEFA Champions League!There is one marquee matchup on Wednesday's slate featuring two European heavyweights in Chelsea and Juventus. We also have two of the top teams in the world with easy matchups in Barcelona (Benfica) and Bayern Munich (Dynamo Kiev). Th...

3 years ago 0 comment

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Soccer DFS: UEFA Champions Leagues 9/15

rmferenc@gmail.com 3 years ago

written by rmferenc@gmail.com

Welcome to my soccer DFS breakdown for the UEFA Champions League!On day two of the Champions League first round, we have some really interesting matchups. There are some top-class clubs in action like Manchester City, PSG, Liverpool, and Real Madrid that we will want exposure to. If you are playing ...

3 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports

Soccer DFS: Gold Cup Final USA vs Mexico 8/1/21

Matt Vecchio 3 years ago

written by Matt Vecchio

Welcome to my soccer DFS breakdown for the CONCACAF Gold Cup 2021!

Sunday night is the final for the 2021 Gold Cup and it will feature the class of CONCACAF. Nobody is surprised that Mexico and the United States are here in the final as it’s the seventh time they will meet in the final in just the sixteen editions of the Gold Cup. The USA is the only team to win every one of their games and has been very impressive. Team USA has been especially outstanding on the defensive side led by their 27-year-old goalkeeper, Matt Turner ($5,400). Mexico has been equally as stout on defense as the Americans, allowing just one goal in their five games. Alfredo Talavera ($6,600) has started four of Mexico’s five games but has not had the workload of the American keeper. Talavera has only made seven saves and allowed one goal in his four appearances. I think Mexico does get the win on Sunday, but I think turner will make 3-4 saves and only allow one goal in this game. My prediction is Mexico wins 1-0 in 90 minutes, or this game goes to penalties.

Soccer DFS:

Since it seems like we might have a low-scoring game on Sunday, I want to focus on the players who do all the ancillary things instead of goal hunting. There are two players in particular that I want to lock in are Jesus Corona ($10,400) from Mexico and Sebastian Lletget ($7,800) from the USA. Both players are solid wings who are involved in the build-up for their team’s offenses. Corona in particular is a crossing machine with 43 in five games this tournament and Lletget is no slouch with 20 of his own in four games.

Defensive plays:

Shaq Moore ($6,200) and Sam Vines ($6,000) have been solid DFS plays for Team USA on defense with both pushing up the field. Vines and Moore each have goal-scoring potential as both have put one in during this tournament. Even when they don’t score they still put up points. For Mexico, it’s Luis Rodriguez ($7,000) on the backend that I want to use on Sunday. Similar to Moore and Vines, Rodriguez fills up the score sheet with fringe points but also factors into the scoring.

Value Plays:

Looking to find some value, I keep landing on Edson Alvarez ($3,400) from Mexico. Alvarez has not gotten on the score sheet but does average 6.2 DKFP per game. That number is not very high, but he is super cheap and will make it much easier to fit Corona in at captain which is my preferred play. On the US side of the value, I like Miles Robinson ($3,800) as a value play.

Lastly, if you have the salary, Rogelio Funes Mori ($10,200) is Mexico’s best goal scorer this tournament and is someone I will look to fit in. Funes Mori doesn’t just score goals, he can put up some of the aforementioned ancillary points as well. Funes Mori does have three goals but also has 23 shots taken and twelve shots on gold.

Thank you for reading my breakdown for the two different showdown slates for tonight’s Gold Cup games! Make sure to be in discord tonight after lineups release (approximately 1 hour before kickoff) to see if any changes are needed to your lineups! Make sure to follow both, @mvecchio81, and @windailysports on Twitter!

3 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports

Soccer DFS: Gold Cup Showdown slates 7/24/21

Matt Vecchio 3 years ago

written by Matt Vecchio

Welcome to my soccer DFS breakdown for the CONCACAF Gold Cup 2021!

Saturday night starts the quarterfinals of the Gold Cup with two very intriguing matchups. First, unbeaten Qatar takes on El Salvador who went 2-0-1 in their three games conceding just once in their loss to Mexico. In the late game, Mexico takes on Honduras, whose only loss was to aforementioned Qatar. Both of these games feature teams with high-scoring offenses, but also stout defenses.

Soccer DFS:

Qatar vs El Salvador

Qatar scored 9 goals in their three games, meanwhile El Salvador only scored four goals. Qatar tended to get things going early, scoring the majority of their goals in the first hour of play. In contrast, El Salvador scored all but one of their goals in the last 15 minutes of play. I am trying to say that this game could come down to the wire.

Qatar:

Qatar is my pick to win this game and potentially keep a clean sheet as well. El Salvador is not a high-powered offense and as I mentioned tends to sit back and wait for their chance to strike late on a tired defensive backline.

One player who is going to be a lock for my builds will be Akram Afif ($11,800, cpt: $17,700). Afif has been the best fantasy option when it comes to Qatar and should be the highest-scoring player in this game. I know he is expensive, but playing him at the captain’s spot will be a contrarian play and the difference-maker. Some value options in this game will make getting Afif at the captain’s spot doable. Abdelaziz Hatim ($6,800) is one of the better plays from Qatar in this matchup. Hatim has been great for Qatar as a wing and has been very involved in their offense. In the group stage, Hatim scored twice, had 8 total shots and two shots on goal. One of the best parts about him is that Hatim is listed as a defenseman but plays the midfield, so if Qatar gets the clean sheet, he picks up an additional 3 points for this. If you think like I do and that Qatar keeps a third straight clean sheet, then playing their keeper, Meeshal Barsham ($7,200), will be a key player in your builds. We need to see the lineup first, but both Boualem Khoukhi ($3,600) and Karim Boudiaf ($3,200) could be vital in getting Afif in as captain.

El Salvador:

Bryan Tamacas ($5,800) is El Salvador’s highest-scoring fantasy player this tournament so far but did not get into their final game, coincidentally their only loss. I think we see Tamacas back in the lineup for El Salvador on Saturday. El Salvador has only conceded one goal in this tournament and in GPP’s I like using their keeper, Mario Gonzalez ($5,200). There is a chance that El Salvador keeps this game close and Gonzalez make 3-4 saves while only letting 1 goal in which make him great value at probably very low ownership. Darwin Ceren ($4,400) is another inexpensive player that has a small upside. If you are looking to play 1-2 cheap players from this side, then you are banking on big production from your higher end Qatar players so you aren’t expecting a huge day out of someone like Ceren anyway. If you do have salary to spend and want to pay up, which I think will be contrarian, then my favorite play is Joshua Perez ($8,000). Perez hasn’t netted a goal or assist yet, he is involved in the offense some. Perez has taken or assisted on good amount of El Salvador’s shots, and since he plays up top there is always a chance he gets one in.

Mexico vs Honduras

Both teams have a lot of fire power and scored plent of goals in their group stage games. Mexico scored four goals in their final two games after getting shutout in their first games. As for Honduras, they scored seven goals in their first two games before being shutout by Qatar in game three.

Mexico:

After not showing up in the game against Trinidad, Orbelin Pineda ($9,000, cpt: 13,500) has been a monster for Mexico. Pineda can both score and get points without getting on the score sheet as well. In the last two games Pineda has drawn 9 fouls, taken 8 shots, and landed 4 on goal. Luis Rodriguez ($8,600, cpt: $12,900) has been the most consistent player in DFS for Mexico and another player I want to make sure I roster on Saturday. Like Pineda, Rodriguez gets his points either by getting a goal or assist or sending 8 crosses in. Both Hector Herrera ($9,400) and Jesus Corona ($10,800) are great high priced plays as well Saturda. As for some cheap options, my favorite is probably Edson Alvarez ($4,600). Another really cheap play is Nelson Araujo ($3,400), but I would reserve him as a last resort for savings.

Honduras:

Romell Quioto ($7,000, cpt: 10,500) is an option I like for the captains spot to be different since I think most will flock to the Mexican side of this game. Quioto has scored three goals so far this tournament, but did pick up an injury in their loss to Qatar, so wee need to see the lineup first. If Quioto is out, Jerry Bengston ($6,000) would be a good cheaper option who can score. Alexander Lopez ($8,200) is the best fantasy option for Honduras, a little more expensive than I’d like to make him the captain, but I plan on rostering him on Saturday. Deybi Flores ($3,800) is a great cheap option from Honduras. He doesn’t do a lot, but he’s played every minute for this team and does manage to get up the field and be involved in the offense.

3 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports

Soccer DFS: Gold Cup Showdown slates 7/15/21

Jared Levitt 3 years ago

written by Jared Levitt

Welcome to my soccer DFS breakdown for the CONCACAF Gold Cup 2021!

On Thursday night we have the second games from Group B in this tournament with Canada and Haiti kicking things off in Kansas City. In the late game the United States host Martinique in Kansas City as well. Both Canada and the USA won their opening matchups and should take care of business on Thursday setting up a matchup for the group later this weekend.

Soccer DFS:

Haiti vs Canada

Haiti gave up an early goal to the USA on Sunday but couldn’t recover and ended up losing by that score, 1-0. As for Canada, they demolished Martinique with a flurry of goals, three in just 10 minutes to be exact.

Haiti:

If Haiti is to have any chance in this game they will need to find a way to get more chances offensively than the mere three they mustered against the Americans on Sunday. Stephane Lambese ($5,200) is listed as a defenseman on DraftKings, but he played in the midfield and was probably Haiti’s best player last game. Lambese sent in three crosses and took three shots last game and he is probably one of the two players I will be looking to use in this game for Haiti. Derrick Etienne ($5,000) is another option for the Haitians. Ettiene is a cheap option who played center midfield for Haiti but did send in three crosses and took two shots. Carnejy Antoine ($7,800) was the lone striker for Haiti in their first game and while he didn’t produce he could be a low-owned option with goal potential if you have the salary.

Canada:

I will be looking to have a 4 or 5 man Canada build for this game as I just don’t think Haiti can stop this team. I will start in between the woodwork with Maxime Crepeau ($7,600). I believe he will be popular, and he should be. Crepeau and team Canada should earn their second win in this tournament and their first clean sheet. I’m just going to put it out there now, we will have to pay a premium at the captain position in this game, but with the Haitian value I mentioned above we should be just fine in building lineups on Thursday. David Junior Hoilett ($10,400) will be popular on Thursday and for good reason as he is Canada’s best player. I will have exposure but at the captain spot, I want to find someone different, insert Tajon Buchanan ($14,100 – cpt, $9,400). Last week against Martinique, Buchanan had a great performance with an assist, four crosses, 5 fouls drawn, and two shots. Buchanan was all over the board, but another good play that could be more popular is Richie Laryea ($8,100 – cpt, $5,400). Laryea wasn’t as proficient as Buchanan but will probably be under 10% in the captain’s spot. I also have an interest in Jonathan Osorio ($9,000) and Stephen Eustaquio ($8,600) who both netted goals last game.

U.S.A. vs Martinique

This game seems pretty straightforward and similar to the early game. The Americans are still trying to build cohesiveness as a unit but they earned the three points against Haiti. Martinique was no match for Canada and shouldn’t put up much of a fight on Thursday

U.S.A.:

I will be stacking 4-5 Americans on Thursday, I’d stack 6 if DraftKings would let me, but nevertheless, they don’t. Sebastian Lletget ($13,800 – cpt, $9,200) wore the captain’s armband for team USA on Sunday, so why not make him my captain for showdowns? Lletget took corners for the USA on Sunday and had six crosses but also took four shot attempts. Sam Vines ($8,800) scored the Americans’ only goal on his only shot but did add four crosses. I think Vines could carry some ownership but I will not force him in because there are better options in my opinion. Shaq Moore ($6,200) is someone I would rather play from the team since he seemed to be more involved in the offense. If you take out Vines’ goal these two would have had similar point totals but for $2.6K less in salary. Both Kellyn Acosta ($7,600) and Gyasi Zardes ($10,800) are two players I have an interest in on Thursday. Whoever ends up in goal for Team USA will be in my lineup as well, Matt Turner ($8,000) started last game.

Martinique:

Emmanuel Riviere ($6,400) scored Martinique’s only goal last game so he will be an option for me on Thursday. Aside from scoring his goal, Riviere also added three shots with two landing on goal. Outside of Riviere, Yann Thimion ($5,400) is someone who could pick up the fringe points (crosses, fouls drawn). If you want to take a risk and pay up for a Martinique player, Kevin Fortune ($8,200) played up top for Martinique. Lastly, Daniel Herelle ($4,800) plays on the outside wing and could also be in one for a day similar to Thimion.

3 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports

Soccer DFS: Gold Cup Showdown slates 7/14/21

Matt Vecchio 3 years ago

written by Matt Vecchio

Welcome to my soccer DFS breakdown for the CONCACAF Gold Cup 2021!

Tonight we have two games from Group A both taking place in Texas! In the early game (7:30 pm east) we will see group leaders El Salvador taking on Trinidad and Tobago from Toyota Stadium in Frisco, Texas who earned one point in a 0-0 tie with Mexico last weekend. Guatemala takes on the aforementioned Mexican side from The Cotton Bowl in Dallas, Texas, in the nightcap (9:30 pm east).

Soccer DFS:

El Salvador vs Trinidad and Tobago

In their first game, El Salvador completely outplayed Guatemala to the tune of 69% of possession. La Selecta also outshot the Guatemalans 21-4 and had earned 10 corners to Guatemala’s 0. I think El Salvador should see similar dominance against the Soca Warriors on Wednesday night after the way Mexico handled them. I don’t think El Salvador is on par with the Mexican team and T&T isn’t as poor of a side as Guatemala, but I am definitely leaning to the El Salvador side when building lineups.

Trinidad & Tobago

While I think El Salvador dominates this game, I don’t think there will be many goals scored. I don’t hate a potential goalie stack in this game, but if I am going to choose one, it will be Marvin Phillip ($5,200) of Trinidad. He was stellar in stopping all 7 shots on target from Mexico last Saturday, and I think El Salvador gets 4-5 shots on target tonight. There isn’t much else to really like about Trinidad in this matchup since they don’t push forward and attack much. Alvin Jones ($8,600) is expensive for a defender but he was the best fantasy option after Phillip in their first game. Jones pushed forward as a wing-back and attempted one shot on goal and sent in three crosses. I expect a similar scoreline from him tonight. Reon Moore ($7,800) was the Soca Warriors lone striker last time out and should be once again tonight. If you think Trinidad & Tobago net a goal he would be my pick.

El Salvador:

As for La Selecta, my favorite overall play from this game comes from their midfield and is Marvin Monterroza ($6,600). He is inexpensive and while he is seen as a central midfielder he played more like a wing last game. Monterroza had 18.1 DK points without getting on the score sheet. He sent in 6 crosses and attempted 6 shots with one landing on net. When you can get that type of production from a player without getting involved in the goals at this cheap you have to love that. Alexander Larin ($9,600) is similar to Jones where he plays a wing-back position and pushes up on the attack. Last game Larin sent in 8 crosses and picked up 12.4 DK points. If you are looking for some value, both Bryan Tamacas ($6,200) and Alex Roldan ($6,800) performed well last game and should be considered tonight as well.

Mexico vs Guatemala

Similar to the early game, I want to try and build a 4-2 or 5-1 team in favor of Mexico. Mexico will most likely come out firing knowing they need to win and by multiple goals to try and win this group. Guatemala has been good defensively allowing just three goals in their last 14 fixtures, but Mexico is hungry and that can be dangerous.

Mexico:

Jesus Corona ($11,200) is basically a must-play for me tonight for the Mexicans. I know the price is steep, especially at captain ($16,800) but he was the best player on the field last time out. Mexico did not score, but Corona still managed 25.3 DK points thanks to his 17 crosses (INSANE!), and four attempted shots with 2 landing on goal. After Corona, we will need to find value, and it could come in Efrain Alvarez ($6,600) Alvarez subbed on for the injured Hector Lozano in the 11th minute against T&T last game and will likely start in his place. If Alvarez starts he could be a low-owned goal scorer tonight after taking 3 shots last game. Hector Herrera ($9,800) was arguably the best player on the pitch last game earning Man of the Match honors. Herrera attempted 8 shots and sent in four crosses as well, he is another great captain’s play tonight over Corona if you need the salary savings.

Guatemala:

There is not much to like on the Guatemalan side of this fixture but in GPP’s I really like the idea of using keeper, Nicholas Hagen ($4,000). He is sure to face a ton of shots and should extremely under-owned. Will he get the clean sheet or win bonus, probably not, but he should have plenty of save opportunities and that is what we need. If you want to play the big names from Mexico, then we need to find cheap fill-ins around them and that is Nicholas Hagen. Outside of Hagen, Jose Morales ($5,400) and Marvin Ceballos ($5,800) are decent cheap options who could fit in your 4-2 style build. Morales is listed as a defender but played in the midfield last game and Ceballos played a right-wing role for Guatemala.

3 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports UEFA Champions League

Tuesday 12/8 UCL DFS and Best Bet

Richard Masana 3 years ago

written by Richard Masana

This article focuses on 12/8 UCL Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel and DraftKings Daily Fantasy. We consider tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so we can gain an edge on the field at large.

Tuesday 12/8 UCL Slate and DFS Gameplan

It’s time to put an end to the Champion’s League Group Stages with the first half of Matchweek 6/6, beginning at 3:00 p.m. ET.

Note: Projected starters are highlighted in bold. Goal odds of all potential starters are included, but if a player is not in the starting lineup, disregard his scoring odds.

PSG (-1000)

Key Goal Scoring Odds: Kylian Mbappe (-245), Neymar (-195), Moise Kean (-137), Angel Di Maria (-104)

PSG finds themselves in a huge game, where they are heavily favored against lowly Istanbul Basaksehir. Collectively, they have the highest goal scoring odds on the slate, in a must win matchup. Their attackers should all be popular.

Chelsea (-345)

Key Goal Scoring Odds: Timo Werner (-120), Tammy Abraham (-103), Olivier Giroud (-103), Christian Pulisic (+135), Kai Havertz (+180), Mason Mount (+280), Billy Gilmour (+390)

We will have to see how the lineup shakes out. I doubt that Olivier Giroud would get a third straight start at age 35. So chances are we see Tammy Abraham in the mix. With Hakim Ziyech’s injury, Mason Mount should have control of all the set pieces once again. Finally, young talent Billy Gilmour might be making his first start of the season. That is something to watch for if looking for a cheap flier, particularly on FanDuel for $7.

Dynamo Kyiv (-124)

Key Goal Scoring Odds: Viktor Tsyhankov (+140), Vladyslav Supriaha (+160), Benjamin Verbic (+175), Gerson Rodrigues (+190), Clayton (+205), Franck Boli (+260)

Both teams in this game are absolutely terrible. However, the Hungarian team Ferenvcaros is even worse than Dynamo Kyiv. Thus, maybe this is a spot for some savings if you want to pick out a couple bodies from Dynamo to go stars and scrubs.

Manchester United (+200) at RB Leipzig (+120)

Key Goal Scoring Odds: Alexander Sorloth (+175), Youssef Poulsen (+195), Bruno Fernandes (+195), Marcus Rashford (+225), Emil Forsberg (+275), Christopher Nkunku (+275), Dani Olmo (+275), Marcel Sabitzer (+275), Mason Greenwood (+280), Donny van de Beek (+450)

This is probably the best game of the day from a raw perspective. Both teams are dead even on nine points, so this is likely an elimination game. Manchester United will be without both Edinson Cavani and Anthony Martial. They will need another huge Champion’s League game from Marcus Rashford and/or Bruno and Mason Greenwood, to help them move on. Meanwhile, Leipzig is favored here and their attackers are certainly in play, as well.

Juventus (+235) at Barcelona (+110)

Key Goal Scoring Odds: Leo Messi (+118), Cristiano Ronaldo (+123), Antoine Greizmann (+180), Alvaro Morata (+195), Martin Braithwaite (+205), Federico Chiesa (+235), Paulo Dybala (+240), Phillipe Coutinho (+260), Federico Bernardeschi (+275), Trincao (+375), Pedri (+375)

Messi v. Ronaldo. Barcelona will win this group either way on goal difference, so this one is simply for pride. It might be the last time these two ever face each other again, based on how the future plays out. However, this game might not exactly be the high paced shootout that it would’ve been years ago.

Sevilla (+130) at Rennes (+220)

Key Goal Scoring Odds: Lucas Ocampos (+215), M’Baye Niang (+215), Luuk de Jong (+235), Carlos Fernandez (+235), Youssef En-Nesyri (+245), Oussama Idrissi (+275), Oscar Rodriguez (+375), Franco Vazquez (+420)

Sevilla clinched a spot in the Round of Sixteen but cannot win their group. Therefore, they have nothing to play for here and it will be all backups. This is a stayaway spot for me unless it’s last man in.

Best Bet

PSG and Chelsea (-245 total) DraftKings Sportsbook – 2 Units*

DraftKings | FanDuel

The Betting Game Plan

PSG and Chelsea come in as the big favorites on the slate and we should be able to rely on them here. Because the total odds aren’t great, feel free to add on something else from another sport to your parlay as desired.

12/8 UCL FanDuel Rankings

Forward/Midfield

1. Neymar – PSG – $23
2. Kylian Mbappe – PSG – $22
3. Leo Messi – Barcelona – $23
4. Cristiano Ronaldo – Juventus – $21
5. Moise Kean – PSG – $15
6. Bruno Fernandes – Manchester United – $19
7. Angel Di Maria – PSG – $16 “Not currently projected to start”
8. Tammy Abraham – Chelsea – $15
9. Christopher Nkunku – RB Leipzig – $15
10. Christian Pulisic – Chelsea – $16
11. Mason Mount – Chelsea – $14
12. Mason Greenwood – Manchester United – $13
13. Marcus Rashford – Manchester United – $18
14. Yussuf Poulsen – RB Leipzig – $18
15. Oscar – Sevilla – $11
16. Federico Chiesa – Juventus – $13
17. Alvaro Morata – Juventus – $19
18. Victor Tsygankov – Dynamo Kyiv – $16
19. Martin Braithwaite – Barcelona – $16
20. Antoine Griezmann – Barcelona – $18
21. Phillipe Coutinho – Barcelona – $16
22. Youssef En-Nesyri – Sevilla – $17
23. Marcel Sabitzer – RB Leipzig – $12
24. Oussama Idrissi – Sevilla – $11
25. Billy Gilmour – Chelsea – $7

Defense

1. Emerson – Chelsea – $6
2. Alessandro Florenzi – PSG – $8
3. Antonio Rudiger – Chelsea – $8
4. Kaio – FC Krasnodor – $9
5. PUNT

Goalies

Keylor Navas – PSG – $14
Edouard Mendy – Chelsea – $15 “If Kepa is in, it is a big downgrade”
Kepa – Chelsea – $5 “A big downgrade from Mendy but reflected in price”

12/8 UCL DraftKings Rankings

Forward

Kylian Mbappe – PSG – $9,800
Neymar – PSG – $12,800 “Set pieces if no Di Maria”
Leo Messi – Barcelona – $11,300 “Set pieces”
Moise Kean – PSG – $7,200
Angel Di Maria – PSG – $9,500 “Not currently projected to start, some set pieces if in”
Timo Werner – Chelsea – $9,600 “Not currently projected to start”
Tammy Abraham – Chelsea – $8,000
Cristiano Ronaldo – Juventus – $11,000
Edin Visca – Istanbul Basaksehir – $8,400 “Not currently projected to start, set pieces if in”
Christopher Nkunku – RB Leipzig – $8,900 “Some set pieces”
Yussuf Poulsen – RB Leipzig – $7,800
Alexander Sorloth – RB Leipzig – $6,700 “Not currently projected to start”
Christian Pulisic – Chelsea – $7,500
Mason Greenwood – Manchester United – $5,500
Alvaro Morata – Juventus – $8,600
Federico Chiesa – Juventus – $7,400
Marcus Rashford – Manchester United – $8,100
Antoine Greizmann – Barcelona – $7,300
Martin Braithwaite – Barcelona – $7,700
Youssef En-Nesyri – Sevilla – $6,500
Oussama Idrissi – Sevilla – $5,400
Oleksandr Zubkov – Ferenvcaros – $4,900 “Some set pieces”

Midfield

1. Neymar – PSG – $12,800 “Set pieces if no Di Maria”
2. Leo Messi – Barcelona – $11,300 “Set pieces”
3. Mason Mount – Chelsea – $6,900 “Set pieces”
4. Angel Di Maria – PSG – $9,500 “Not currently projected to start, some set pieces if in”
5. Timo Werner – Chelsea – $9,600 “Not currently projected to start”
6. Bruno Fernandes – Manchester United – $9,600 “Some set pieces”
7. Viktor Tsygankov – Dynamo Kyiv – $6,600
8. Edin Visca – Istanbul Basaksehir – $8,400 “Not currently projected to start, set pieces if in”
9. Christopher Nkunku – RB Leipzig – $8,900 “Some set pieces”
10. Oscar Rodriguez – Sevilla – $7,600 “Set pieces”
11. Christian Pulisic – Chelsea – $7,500
12. Mason Greenwood – Manchester United – $5,500
13. Benjamin Bourigeaud – Rennes – $8,300 “Set pieces”
14. Marcus Rashford – Manchester United – $8,100
15. Emil Forsberg – RB Leipzig – $6,200
16. Deniz Turuc – Istanbul Basaksehir – $6,100
17. Oleksandr Zubkov – Ferenvcaros – $4,900 “Some set pieces”
18. Billy Gilmour – Chelsea – $4,200
19. Paul Pogba – Manchester United – $4,000
20. Eduardo Camavinga – Rennes – $4,200

Defense

1. Angelino – RB Leipzig – $7,400 “Very expensive, some set pieces”
2. Alex Telles – Manchester United – $5,900
3. Tomasz Kedziora – Dynamo Kyiv – $4,000
4. Vitali Mykolensko – Dynamo Kyiv – $4,400
5. Artem Shabanov – Dynamo Kyiv – $2,600 “Not currently projected to start”

Goalies

Keylor Navas – PSG – $5,900
Edouard Mendy – Chelsea – $5,700 “Big downgrade if Kepa in goal”

Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Rich will be there answering questions all day and all night! Follow Rich on Twitter @JFan303 and be sure to be on the look out for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-soccer/

3 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports UEFA Champions League

Tuesday 12/1 UCL DFS and Best Bet

Richard Masana 3 years ago

written by Richard Masana

This article focuses on 12/1 UCL Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel and DraftKings Daily Fantasy. We consider tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so we can gain an edge on the field at large.

Tuesday 12/1 UCL Slate and DFS Gameplan

It’s time for Matchweek 5/6 of the Champion’s League Group Stages with a six game slate beginning at 3:00 p.m. ET.

A couple of teams already have their spots in the Round of Sixteen all locked up. However, at least this week, only Bayern Munich has actually clinched their group’s top spot. As a result, they are the only team with nothing to play for and should be resting starters.

Note: Projected starters are highlighted in bold. Goal odds of all potential starters are included, but if a player is not in the starting lineup, disregard his scoring odds.

Atalanta (-560)

Key Goal Scoring Odds: Duvan Zapata (-177), Luis Muriel (-139), Joseph Illicic (-132), Alejandro Gomez (-108), Remo Freuler (+188)

Atalanta is the biggest favorite on the slate by quite a lot. Their attacking players will be cash game staples.

Alejandro Gomez and Duvan Zapata will likely be the chalkiest but be sure not to sleep on Joseph Illicic if in! If not, Luis Muriel has fairly high goal scoring odds as well.

Man City (-162)

Key Goal Scoring Odds: Gabriel Jesus (+135), Raheem Sterling (+160), Kevin De Bruyne (+195), Riyad Mahrez (+205), Phil Foden (+220), Fernan Torres (+220), Bernardo Silva (+325)

We will just have to see how the lineup shakes out here. Phil Foden has had the hot hand and Torres has been slowly coming along. Riyad Mahrez is coming off a hat trick this weekend, but is not projected to start. Kevin De Bruyne remains a strong play, as always.

Liverpool (-148)

Key Goal Scoring Odds: Mohammed Salah (-110), Sadio Mane (+118), Diego Jota (+125), Divock Origi (+185), Robert Firmino (+195), Dusan Tadic (+240)

Liverpool has been fairly disappointing over the last week. First, losing at home to Atalanta 2-0 in the Champion’s League and then a 1-1 tie over the weekend against Brighton. If Diego Jota is in, he would be my favorite play from this team as he is red hot and scoring all their goals. However, in terms of stacking, they are a fairly hard team to trust at the moment.

Atletico Madrid (-120)

Key Goal Scoring Odds: Joao Felix (+160), Angelo Correa (+235), Yannick Carrasco (+285), Marcos Llorente (+360)

Atletico Madrid was probably the most disappointing of any team last week. They were as big as a -560 favorite as of game time against Lokomotiv Moscow, only to put up a scoreless draw.

They have a chance to bounce back here against a Bayern Munich squad likely resting players with nothing to play for. Luis Suarez and Diego Costa are not in the match squad, making the Atletico lineup a bit more predictable.

Inter Milan (+120) at Gladbach (+205)

Key Goal Scoring Odds: Romelu Lukaku (+110), Lautaro Martinez (+150), Alexis Sanchez (+170), Marcus Thuram (+200), Alassane Plea (+200), Breel Embolo (+210), Ivan Perisic (+255), Lars Stindl (+260), Patrick Hermann (+275)

I had mentioned how Atletico Madrid was disappointing last week. As for Inter Milan, their game turned out to be a total disaster, as well. First, they allowed an early penalty and then Arturo Vidal got a red card for cursing out the referee, leading to a loss against Real Madrid.

They will have a tough game here against a resilient Gladbach team. The Germans will finally be returning forward Alassane Plea “pronounced like Play-a” and will be at full strength.

Olympiakos (+230) at Marseille (+130)

Key Goal Scoring Odds: Dario Benedetto (+175), Florian Thauvin (+180), Dmitri Payet (+265)

This group continues to churn out some bad games. With this one, the trend continues, as outside goaltenders and cheap defenders, there is not a lot to target. It would be amazing if we had diminutive Olympiakos midfielder Mathieu Valbuena, who is all of a sudden half price on DraftKings at $5,400. Unfortunately, he is out injured.

Marseille has a shot at their first win of UCL, but Olympiakos plays slow, grinding defense. Their attackers are really cheap on DraftKings, if looking for a very contrarian large field flyer.

12/1 UCL Best Bet

Atalanta and Man City (-110 total) DraftKings Sportsbook – 1.75 Units*

DraftKings | FanDuel

The Betting Game Plan

With so few huge favorites, this is one of the tougher UCL slates to bet on. However, we can lock in Atalanta and beyond that, since it is hard to trust Liverpool right now, let’s roll with Man City. Perhaps famous last words, but I guess we will find out.

12/1 UCL FanDuel Rankings

Forward/Midfield

1. Duvan Zapata – Atalanta – $19
2. Alejandro Gomez – Atalanta – $17 “Set pieces”
3. Joseph Illicic – Atalanta – $18
4. Luis Muriel – Atalanta – $14 “Not currently projected to start”
5. Kevin De Bruyne – Man City – $23 “Set pieces”
6. Phil Foden – Man City – $15
7. Diego Jota – Liverpool – $18 “Not currently projected to start”
8. Mohammed Salah – Liverpool – $22
9. Romelu Lukaku – Inter Milan – $19
10. Sadio Mane – Liverpool – $20
11. Gabriel Jesus – Man City – $20 “Not currently projected to start”
12. Raheem Sterling – Man City – $21
13. Ferran Torres – Man City – $17
14. Joao Felix – Atletico Madrid – $16
15. Lautaro Martinez – Inter Milan – $18
16. Alassane Plea – Gladbach – $17
17. Marcus Thuram – Gladbach – $15
18. Lars Stindl – Gladbach – $14
19. Dusan Tadic – Ajax – $18 “Some set pieces”
20. Yannick Carrasco – Atletico Madrid – $8
21. Eric Choupo-Moting – $7
22. Stefano Sensi – Inter Milan – $6 “Some set pieces”

Defense “PUNT”

1. Malang Sarr – Porto – $6
2. Rafael Toloi – Atalanta – $7
3. Daniel Hoegh – Midtjylland – $5
4. Alessandro Bastoni – Inter Milan – $7
5. Wilson Manafa – Porto – $7

Goalies

Marco Sportiello – Atalanta – $14
Jose Sa – Olympiakos – $8
Alexander Nubel – Bayern Munich – $5

12/1 UCL DraftKings Rankings

Forward

Duvan Zapata – Atalanta – $9,100
Joseph Illic – Atalanta – $8,600
Luis Muriel – Atalanta – $8,100 “Not currently projected to start”
Diego Jota – Liverpool – $9,200 “Not currently projected to start”
Mohammed Salah – Liverpool – $9,700
Romelu Lukaku – Inter Milan – $8,000
Sadio Mane – Liverpool – $8,900
Gabriel Jesus – Manchester City – $8,700 “Not currently projected to start”
Raheem Sterling – Manchester City – $8,100
Joao Felix – Atletico Madrid – $8,000
Lautaro Martinez – Inter Milan – $6,900
Leroy Sane – Bayern Munich – $6,800
Thomas Muller – Bayern Munich – $6,100
Riyad Mahrez – Manchester City – $7,200 “Not currently projected to start”
Lars Stindl – Gladbach – $9,000 “Set pieces”
Marcus Thuram – Gladbach – $7,900
Alassane Plea – Gladbach – $9,400
Dusan Tadic – Ajax – $8,300 “Some set pieces”
Douglas Costa – Bayern Munich – $5,800 “Some set pieces”
Dario DeBenedetto – Marseille – $4,000
Eric Choupo-Moting – Bayern Munich – $4,700

Midfield

1. Alejandro Gomez – Atalanta – $9,800 “set pieces”
2. Kevin De Bruyne – Manchester City – $10,200 “set pieces”
3. Joseph Illicic – Atalanta – $8,600 “Not currently projected to start”
4. Remo Freuler – Atalanta – $4,200
5. Phil Foden – Manchester City – $8,400
6. Ferran Torres – Manchester City – $6,900
7. Marcelo Brozovic – Inter Milan – $4,000 “Not currently projected to start”
8. Nicolo Barella – Inter Milan – $4,300
9. Diego Jota – Liverpool – $9,200 “Not currently projected to start”
10. Mohammed Salah – Liverpool – $9,700

Defense

1. Benjamin Pavard – Bayern Munich – $3,900
2. Neco Williams – Liverpool – $4,400
3. Tanguy Nianzou – Bayern Munich – $2,600
4. Andy Robertson – Liverpool – $6,200 “Set pieces”
5. Milan Skriniar – Inter Milan – $3,100
6. Any cheap PUNT

Goalies

Marco Sportiello – Atalanta – $5,800
Ederson – Man City – $5,500
Jose Sa – Olympiakos – $4,500

3 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports UEFA Champions League

Wednesday 11/25 UCL DFS and Best Bet

Richard Masana 3 years ago

written by Richard Masana

This article focuses on 11/25 UCL Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel and DraftKings Daily Fantasy. We consider tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so we can gain an edge on the field at large.

Wednesday 11/25 UCL Slate and DFS Gameplan

It’s time for the second half of Matchweek 4/6 of the Champion’s League Group Stages with a six game slate beginning at 3:00 p.m. ET.

As we already saw all of these teams square off a few weeks ago, there is a lot of existing data to work with.

Note: Projected starters are highlighted in bold. Goal odds of all potential starters are included, but if a player is not in the starting lineup, disregard his scoring odds.

Bayern Munich (-455)

Key Goal Scoring Odds: Robert Lewandowski (-400), Serge Gnabry (-130), Leroy Sane (-113), Thomas Muller (+104), Leon Goretzka (+145), Kingsley Coman (+160), Corentin Tolisso (+260)

The defending Champions are coming off a disappointing draw with Werder Bremen over the weekend in the Bundesliga. However, they are the joint biggest favorites on the slate hosting Red Bull Salzburg.

Robert Lewandowski has the highest goal scoring odds on the slate and should be the chalk on both sites.

Joshua Kimmich remains out, my assumption is Thomas Muller will be taking his set pieces for DraftKings purposes.

Serge Gnabry, Leroy Sane, Kingsley Coman, and Muller, are all secondary options. We will just have to see how the lineups shake out.

Atletico Madrid (-455)

Key Goal Scoring Odds: Luis Suarez (Goal odds not listed as presumably out with Covid-19), Joao Felix (+100), Diego Costa (+138), Angelo Correa (+160), Yannick Carrasco (+200), Marcus Llorente (+255)

That other team from Madrid comes in a very heavy favorite here at home against Lokomotiv Moscow. They come in with some momentum following a big win over Barcelona this past weekend in La Liga.

Luis Suarez is likely going sit out as he continues to recover from Covid-19, so DraftKings sportsbook did not list goal odds for him. I’d think this is a bump to Joao Felix, who will likely be flanked by Diego Costa and Yannick Carrasco, with Angel Correa an alternate option. I like Felix’s FanDuel price as compared to his hefty DraftKings salary.

As far as other plays, Koke and Kierian Trippier tend to dominate the set pieces. Marcus Llorente can always troll a goal.

Ajax (-335)

Key Scoring Odds: Dusan Tadic (+104), Lassina Traore (+104), Quincy Promes (+110), Zakaria Labyad (+128), Antony (+128), David Neres (+185)

Ajax is favored at home at lowly FC Midtjylland. They beat them 2-1 on the road the first time around and should be able to repeat here. At the time, Ajax was also down a few players due to Covid-19. Going back to the game stats, they were not quite as dominant as you might expect or desire for a -335 favorite.

Among the forwards, Dusan Tadic handles at least half the set pieces “Zakaria Labyad the rest” and would likely take any penalty kicks. Lassina Traore has been a monster in the Dutch league, the Eriedivisie, so his $7 price tag on FanDuel is laughable. The other two in the mix to start in the attack are David Neres, Labyad and Antony.

Real Madrid (+230) at Inter Milan (+110)

Key Scoring Odds: Romelu Lukaku (+102), Lautaro Martinez (+143), Andrea Pinamonti (+150), Alexis Sanchez (+160), Mariano Diaz (+200), Eden Hazard (+230), Ivan Perisic (+240), Arturo Vidal (+275), Vinicius Junior (+290), Marco Asensio (+310)

Real Madrid was able to beat Inter Milan the first time around 3-2 in Madrid. However, both Karim Benzema and Sergio Ramos will be out tomorrow. As a result, I like the Inter Milan side here to take care of business.

Beginning with Real Madrid, on FanDuel, Eden Hazard is back up to $14 so unplayable. Marco Ascensio is cheap but maybe for a reason. The other projected starter in this attack is “Mariano”. He is $6 on FanDuel, and has the highest goal scoring odds of the trio, so the preferred play.

Whichever two Real Madrid wingbacks start, they are in play, but I wouldn’t go wild with a stack here.

Turning to Inter Milan, Romelu Lukaku continues to be a beast in all competitions and is the top play in this game. Lautaro Martinez is the alternate scoring option. I’d focus my exposure there.

Atalanta (+360) at Liverpool (-152)

Key Goal Scoring Odds: Mohammed Salah (-124), Sadio Mane (+106), Diego Jota (+118), Divock Origi (+175), Duvan Zapata (+175), Robert Firmino (+185), Luis Muriel (+210), Joseph Illicic (+220), Alejandro Gomez (+250).

Atalanta’s defensive liabilities puts the forwards Mohammed Salah, Sadio Mane, Diego Jota, and Roberto Firmino in play as pivots off of some of the other high priced options.

Salah is just coming back from Covid-19, Mane has been pretty good, but Jota has been the story lately since joining the Reds.

The two high-flying wing defensemen Andy Robertson and Trent Alexander-Arnold are expensive and I’ll pass.

Porto (+155) at Marseilles (+195)

Key Scoring Odds: Moussa Marega (+188), Dario Benedetto (+195), Florian Thauvin (+205), Luis Diaz (+240), Sergio Oliveira (+240), Joao Mario (+260), Dmitri Payet (+295)

The final game, Porto v. Marseilles, is the least interesting for either DFS or real life. A Moussa Marega one off here/there is fine, but this is not somewhere I would try to go overboard. Porto beat them up 3-0 the first time around and should definitely win at home but I would think more along the lines of 1-0.

UCL Best Bet

Bayern Munich and Inter Milan (+156 total) DraftKings Sportsbook – 1.75 Units*

DraftKings | FanDuel

The Betting Game Plan

Both Atletico Madrid and Ajax at their current odds are a bit too rich for my blood. You could look at Bayern Munich and Liverpool, but as mentioned above, I do like Inter Milan here. Without Real Madrid’s two core veterans, it seems like the rematch will be a very different game.

11/25 UCL FanDuel Rankings

Forward/Midfield

1. Robert Lewandowski – Bayern Munich – $24
2. Lassina Traore – Ajax – $7
3. Mariano – Real Madrid – $6
4. Luis Suarez – Atletico Madrid – $19 “If starting”
5. Joao Felix – Atletico Madrid – $18
6. Serge Gnabry – Bayern Munich – $18
7. Romelu Lukaku – Inter Milan – $19
8. Leroy Sane – Bayern Munich – $17
9. Diego Jota – Liverpool – $19
10. Mohammed Salah – Liverpool – $22
11. Dusan Tadic – Ajax – $20
12. Zakaria Labyad – Ajax – $7
13. Yannick Carrasco – Atletico Madrid – $9
14. Diego Costa – Atletico Madrid – $14 “If starting”
15. Lautaro Martinez – Inter Milan – $18
16. Sadio Mane – Liverpool – $21
17. Kinglsey Coman – Bayern Munich – $20 “If starting”
18. Moussa Marega – Porto – $17
19. Thomas Muller – Bayern Munich – $16
20. Luiz Diaz – Porto – $14
21. Sergio Oliveira – Porto – $14

Defense “PUNT”

1. Fabinho – Liverpool – $8
2. Malang Sarr – Porto – $6
3. Rafael Toloi – Atalanta – $6
4. Alessandro Bastoni – Inter Milan – $7
5. Jordan Amavi – Marseille – $7

Goalies

Jan Oblak – Atletico Madrid – $12
Manuel Neuer – Bayern Munich – $14
Agustin Marchesin – Porto – $10

11/25 UCL DraftKings Rankings

Forward

Robert Lewandowski – Bayern Munich – $11,900
Luis Suarez – Atletico Madrid – $8,200 “If starting”
Romelu Lukaku – Inter Milan – $8,000
Joao Felix – Atletico Madrid – $10,300
Mohammed Salah – Liverpool – $9,300
Lautaro Martinez – Inter Milan – $7,600
Diego Costa – Atletico Madrid – $5,900
Diego Jota – Liverpool – $9,700
Dusan Tadic – Ajax – $10,800
Kinglsey Coman – Bayern Munich – $8,600 “If starting”
Leroy Sane – Bayern Munich – $7,800
Sadio Mane – Liverpool – $8,800
Thomas Muller – Bayern Munich – $7,500
Antony – Ajax – $7,400 “if starting”
Lassina Traore – Ajax – $7,300
David Neres – Ajax – $5,700
Quincy Promes – Ajax – $6,700 “if starting”
Moussa Marega – Porto – $6,900
Duvan Zapata – Atalanta – $8,100
Marco Asensio – Real Madrid – $6,200

Midfield “Only non forward eligible players listed, aside from Gnabry and punts, I’d focus with the dual eligible players”

1. Serge Gnabry – Bayern Munich – $7,600
2. Christian Eriksen – Inter Milan – $6,300 “if starting”
3. Leon Goretzka – Bayern Munich – $6,400
4. Arturo Vidal – Inter Milan – $3,500
5. Nicolo Barela – Inter Milan – $4,400

Defense “PUNT”

1. Milan Skriniar – Inter Milan – $2,500
2. David Alaba – Bayern Munich – $3,000
3. Jerome Boateng – Bayern Munich – $3,100
4. Jose Gimenez – Atletico Madrid – $5,200
5. Boubacar Kamara – Marseille – $2,500
6. Alessandro Bastoni – Inter Milan – $3,200

Goalies

Manuel Neuer – Bayern Munich – $5,900
Jan Oblak – Atletico Madrid – $5,700
Agustin Marchesin – Porto – $4,500

3 years ago 0 comment

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