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Chris Carson

Week 12 DFS RB Picks: Cash, GPP and Value Targets

jason mezrahi 4 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

We’ve got your NFL Week 12 DFS plays – the best RBs to use in the main slate, as well as some contrarian picks to win you some major green in huge GPPs!

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Week 12 DFS Running Back – Cash Game Plays

ChristianMcCaffrey, CAR at NO

DK ($10,500) FD ($10,500)

With at least 23 DK points in four straight games and averaging a massive 32.4 DK PPG, CMC is again top dog in all formats. I’m not going to bore you anymore with his resume at this point, and while the matchup is difficult compared to others he’s faced, it doesn’t freak me out enough to avoid him. Just lock the guy in and move on.

Nick Chubb, CLE vs. MIA

DK ($8,100) FD ($8,200)

If you can’t fit in McCaffrey in your cash lineups, thenshame on you. No, really, Chubb has some competition for touches now, but he’sanother back facing a poor opponent who could clean up this week and make his fantasyowners very happy. He’s hasn’t scored since Week 6, so he’s due.

Week 12 DFS Running Back – GPP Plays

Alvin Kamara, NO vs. CAR

DK ($8,200) FD ($8,300)

We nailed Kamara last week, and he was under 10 percent owned in large-field GPPs (9.58% in the DK Millionaire Maker). I’m smitten with how Kamara fits into the Saints offense and can break off enormous plays as opponents get distracted by the plodding style of Latavius Murray, the pass-catching ability of Michael Thomas and the multiple speed options (Ted Ginn, Taysom Hill) who complement Kamara’s soaring talent. He’s probably cash viable but is best deployed in GPPs.

Josh Jacobs, OAK at NYJ

DK ($7,400) FD ($8,000)

Jacobs is again nursing the same shoulder injury, but he’sa GPP darling this season, getting lots of work in all aspects of the Raiders’offense. Last week an underwhelming fantasy total, but he’s a better bet toreach paydirt in Week 12 and score 15-25 DK points.

Derrick Henry, TEN vs. JAC

DK ($6,900) FD ($8,400)

The Titans would like to win this division rivalry without throwing the ball a lot, as they grabbed a win over the Chiefs last week with Ryan Tannehill attempting fewer than 20 passes. Henry has a massive upside in this matchup and is one of the strongest runners in the game.

Leonard Fournette, JAC at TEN

DK ($7,300) FD ($7,000)

The other side of the Titans-Jags game features Fournette, who last week was a bit of a disappointment. For Week 12, Fournette’s price is down on both sites and he’s almost a bargain on FD. He’s not a high-profile name and he could go under-owned in GPPs after drawing just 4-5 percent ownership last week.

Joe Mixon, CIN vs. PIT

DK ($5,900) FD ($6,700)

The Bengals are bad, but Mixon has 200 rushing yards and 45 carries over his last two games. He’s the focal point of this offense and the Steelers are a team in turmoil, so I’ll be locking this bell-cow into about 20-25 percent of my GPPs and hopefully staying ahead of the field.

Also consider: Le’Veon Bell, Jaylen Samuels, James White, David Montgomery

Week 12 DFS Running Back – Contrarian GPP Plays

Ezekiel Elliot, DAL at NE

DK ($7,500) FD ($8,100)

This could get interesting. Ezekiel’s ownership was at 14.06% in the Millionaire Maker last week, and he reached 20 DK points, but this week against a much tougher opponent (the Patriots allow the fewest points to fantasy RBs), that ownership level should plummet, even though he still has plenty of upsides and the price has come way down. He could be a sneaky play in GPPs.

Devin Singletary, BUF vs. DEN

DK ($5,400) FD ($6,300)

The Bills’continued reliance on Frank Gore (11 rushing attempts last game) keepsSingletary from getting the 20 attempts he’ll likely need to break through intoGPP stardom, but the Broncos are average against the run and Singletary is atalented back with upside – and probably some relatively low ownership this week.

Also consider: Saquon Barkley, Chris Carson, Phillip Lindsay

Week 12 DFS Running Back – Value/Punt Plays

Miles Sanders, PHI vs. SEA

DK ($5,000) FD ($5,600)

Sanders is a talented back and Jordan Howard hasn’t yet beencleared for contact. With the rookie getting the bulk of work out of the Phillybackfield and having such enormous upside based on his speed and shiftiness, I’lltake the chance against the Seahawks in some GPPs.

Sony Michel, NE vs. DAL

DK ($4,900) FD ($6,300)

Michel is still just too cheap on DK and had 10 carries and four targets last week. I expect the Patriots to use him a little more this week against the Cowboys – who are more susceptible to straight-line power runners – making him a fine value play in Week 12.

Tarik Cohen, CHI vs. NYG

DK ($4,800) FD ($5,700)

Cohen saw an uptick in usage last week and could get more workin Week 12. He’s scored receiving TDs in two straight and could make it a thirdagainst this dubious Giants defensive unit.

Derrius Guice, WAS vs. DET

DK ($4,700) FD ($5,400)

Guice has an excellent matchup and big-play upside, so he’son my list for Week 12 GPP value plays. This team is still committed to giving AdrianPeterson touches, but Guice is cheaper and probably the better back.

Kalen Ballage, MIA at CLE

DK ($4,400) FD ($5,500)

Ballage remains cheap, but his upside is limited,especially against an improving Browns defensive unit. But with Mark Waltondone with football for the foreseeable future, the volume could mean viability onDK.

Additional plays: Ronald Jones, J.D. McKissic, Latavius Murray

Monkey Knife Fight Picks of the Week

Goal: 78.5, Prize: 3x

Christian McCaffrey, Michael Thomas, and Alvin Kamara are my picks (two RBs and a WR) for notching the most fantasy points in this Week 12 matchup. Let’s go big for 3x since they all catch passes, they can all score multiple TDs and go over 150 total yards and offer monster upside.

4 years ago 0 comment

Monday Night Football DFS Week 10 Showdown Preview – Best Values and GPP Stacks

Andrew Erickson 4 years ago

written by Andrew Erickson

Welcome to another Monday night preview article. It will come along with a video to break down Monday Night Football in all things DFS. I will be covering value and punt plays, favorite stacks, and my contrarian play of the game. So who is ready for some Monday night action between the 49ers and Seahawks? All prices discussed are via DraftKings in their Monday Night Football Showdown Contest.

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https://youtu.be/7yIcybEL4aw

Value and Punt Plays

Tight end Ross Dwelley ($2,000) is the easy punt play in lineup builds with George Kittle doubtful for Monday night football. Dwelley should see the lion’s share of snaps Monday against Seattle. His price is too cheap for a starting player with significant playing time. The Seahawks have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points and fifth-most receiving yards to tight end position this season. Dwelley ran just one fewer route than Kittle in Week 9.

Jaron Brown ($2,200) is interesting as he has three touchdown receptions in his last two games played versus the 49ers. Receiver David Moore ($1,200) has seen his snaps increase since Week 6. He has gone from 22.9%, 41.7%, and 49.2%, all the way up to 54.7% in Week 9. Brown’s snaps have decreased over that timespan.

Favorite Stack

With the 49ers favored by 6.5 points playing at home, the best stack to build with is quarterback Russell Wilson ($11,400). Wilson has been playing at an MVP level this season. In his last two games versus the 49ers, Wilson has thrown for a total of six touchdowns and zero interceptions. The obvious stacks to build Wilson around are the top Seahawks passing weapons in Tyler Lockett ($10,400), DK Metcalf ($7,800), and Chris Carson ($8,600).

Now Lockett and Metcalf both have tougher matchups with the 49ers allowing the fourth-fewest fantasy points to the receiver position this season. I would prefer Lockett. He has scored at least 12 fantasy points in seven games this season. In seven of those games, Metcalf has scored 12 or more fantasy points in four of them. You should have at least one build with both receivers, but I would not force Metcalf in. Worth noting Lockett has not surpassed 65 receiving yards in his last four games versus the 49ers.

Adding Carson makes a ton of sense because it gives you total market equity of the Seahawks potential touchdowns. The 49ers have allowed the eighth-most fantasy points to backs over the past two weeks and will be without starting linebacker Kwon Alexander. I like Carson as an option in the captain spot because of his floor usage in the passing game and his touchdown upside. He also averages more points on the road (19) than at home (16). Going heavy Seahawks on offense I believe is the right play and bringing it back with Emmanuel Sanders ($10,200) and/or Deebo Samuel ($4,800). Seattle has allowed the most fantasy points to receivers over the past two weeks.

49ers Running Game

You will also want to have shares of 49ers running backs Tevin Coleman ($8,200) and Matt Breida ($6,200). After multi-game absences, left tackle Joe Staley (lower leg), fullback Kyle Juszczyk (knee) and right tackle Mike McGlinchey (knee) all returned to practice Tuesday and have a shot at returning for an important divisional matchup on Monday Night Football. If these guys return you need to increase your exposure to the 49ers running game. Both Coleman and Breida have scored significantly more points at home than on the road this season. Breida has averaged 16 fantasy points per game at home versus just 9.4 on the road. Meanwhile, Coleman has averaged 28.3 fantasy points per game at home versus 8.9 on the road.

Contrarian Plays

Without Alexander, the 49ers could find themselves extremely vulnerable versus tight ends. According to PFF, Alexander against the pass ranked eighth in pass coverage and second in passer rating against. That is why the 49ers have allowed the fewest fantasy points per game to the tight end position. Things get more complicated here though because the Seahawks have multiple tight ends that could be featured or used. Jacob Hollister ($4,600) is the more obvious play with Luke Willson ($200) nothing more than a punt. Hollister has run the third-most routes (68) on the Seahawks over the past three weeks.

Kicker Chase McLaughlin ($3,600) is the backup kicker to Robbie Gould who is going to miss this game. The 49ers rank fourth in the NFL in field goal attempts per game (2.5), and Seattle allows the fourth-most field goal attempts per game (2.4). Previously with the Chargers, McLaughlin averaged seven points per game in four starts.

A lot of people will play Jimmy Garoppolo ($11,000) because of his matchup on paper trumps Wilson’s. Seattle has allowed the ninth-most fantasy points to the quarterback position over the past four weeks. But with the 49ers always wanting to run the ball (57.00% run play selection at home), I do not think he has the upside. He’s a fade for me. Seahawks DST ($3,200) is not good but could be a nice contrarian play. The 49ers at home have been averaging two giveaways per game.

In terms of Josh Gordon ($5,400), there’s a chance he does not even play, but I am not even sure what is ceiling would even be in this game. Coming off an ankle injury he is an easy fade for me.

Image via Brook Ward

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4 years ago 0 comment

NFL Daily Fantasy Sports

Week 8 DFS RB Picks: Cash, GPP and Value Targets

jason mezrahi 5 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

I’m excited to offer up some of my favorite Week 8 DFS plays for NFL RBs on the main slate, with cash, GPP and some contrarian plays to win you some green!

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Week 8 DFS Running Back – CashGame Plays

Christian McCaffrey, CAR at SF

DK ($9,200) FD($9,600)

McCaffrey benefits from a week off and continued involvementin all aspects of the Carolina offense, and the absence of Cam Newton means he’llget most of the goal line carries as well. The top RB play in any format – evenagainst a tough 49ers run defense – McCaffrey should see 5-10 targets and score20+ fantasy points even if he doesn’t break out with a monster game.

Saquon Barkley, NYG at DET

DK ($8,900) FD ($8,600)

Barkley checks in at 1B when it comes to fantasy upside forWeek 8. He was a full participant in Thursday’s practice at is coming off aWeek 7 return which saw him net 80 total yards against the Cards. This week, hefaces the second-worst fantasy defense vs. RBs and should have his ay with the Lionsin Detroit’s Ford Field.

Leonard Fournette, JAC at NYJ

DK ($7,800) FD ($7,700)

If you want to save a little cash from the top plays I’drecommend landing on Fournette, who has at least 20 carries (29, 23, 20, 29) ineach of his last four games and regular scores 15-30 fantasy points. Bolsteredby his contributions to the passing game and a great matchup against the Jets,Fournette’s fantasy upside may exceed both Barkley and McCaffrey in Week 8.

Week 8 DFS Running Back – GPPPlays

Todd Gurley, LAR vs. CIN

DK ($7,400) FD ($7,400)

Todd Gurley played just 46-of-75 snaps (60.5%) in the Week7 win over the Falcons, so he’s a considerable risk if he keeps such a low workload.But there’s plenty of upside for the Rams lead back against a Bengals team that’sworst in the league versus fantasy RBs. Malcolm Brown has already been ruledout, so I’ll have plenty of exposure to Gurley with some shares of rookierunning back Darrell Henderson as the complementary option.

Chris Carson, SEA at ATL

DK ($7,000) FD ($8,000)

After three straight 100-yard rushing performances, Carsonwas held in check against a tough Ravens’ defense, but he’s a good bet for asolid bounce-back game facing the Falcons. Don’t overthink this. You’ll be gladyou played him in GPPs as part of your core builds. He’s viable for cash gameson DK and is a better GPP play on FD where his price is a bit elevated.

Chase Edmonds, ARI at NO

DK ($6,200) FD ($6,100)

David Johnson is a game-time decision, but we’re to going tolet that cloud our decision to play Edmonds. Johnson was active vs. the Giantsbut saw just one carry. Edmonds has at least 14 DK points in three games in arow, and although this is a tougher road matchup, he’s on my radar.

Marlon Mack, IND vs. DEN

DK ($6,100) FD ($6,800)

Mack had trouble getting into open space against the Texans,but the passing game was really clicking, so they didn’t need his normal groundand pound approach. He rushed 18 times for 44 yards and caught all three of histargets for 12 more in the Week 7 win and has a better matchup at home vs. theBroncos. I’m not expecting huge ownership levels which makes him a good buy forGPPs.

Derrick Henry, TEN vs. TB

DK ($6,000) FD ($6900)

A usually efficient runner with plenty of upside, Henry didn’t get loose against the Chargers last week but did tally at least 20 carries for the third time in his last four games. With the Titans offense looking better with Ryan Tannehill under center, I’m counting on fewer eight-in-the-box looks against this offense and more of Henry’s emblematic “jailbreak” TD runs against TB.

Also consider: Phillip Lindsay, Tevin Coleman, James White (DK)

Week 8 DFS Running Back – ContrarianGPP Plays

Austin Ekeler, LAC at CHI

DK ($5,900) FD ($6,800)

If this ends up being a negative script game, we could see theChargers using a lot more of Ekeler in space, run or pass, than Gordon. He’shad just one dud so far this season, which was Week 6 against Pittsburgh when everythingwent out the window very early in the Chargers’ game plan. He has two games inhis past three outings with at least seven catches, so I have more interest inDK with the full point PPR, especially with the Bears are among the leagueleaders in receptions allowed to running backs this year with 45.

Nick Chubb, CLE at NE

DK ($6,600) FD ($7,700)

Nick Chubb gets the Patriots this week, who have allowedzero touchdowns to running backs thus far, and very few RBs are even worthstarting in New England. But Chubb is a special back, could get a few catches,and he’ll have very low ownership. I think he might be worth a look inlarge-field GPPs as a contrarian play.

Also consider: Le’Veon Bell, Latavius Murray (if Kamara isout), Joe Mixon

Week 8 DFS Running Back – Value/PuntPlays

Royce Freeman, DEN at IND

DK ($5,500) FD ($5,700)

Freeman is becoming a decent DFs option, especially on DK.He has at least 12 PPR points in each of his past two games against Tennesseeand Kansas City, and he has at least four catches in five of his past sixoutings.

Sony Michel, NE vs. CLE

DK ($5,200) FD ($6,500)

Michel is always risky, especially in PPR, since a lot of thepasses head to WRs and James White. IfRex Burkhead (foot) plays this week, that makes the decision even tougher. ButMichel’s getting more work in this offense and has now scored a touchdown infour of his past six games. He’s also facing a putrid Browns defense this weekthat allows the third-most rushing yards per game at 154.

Ty Johnson, DET vs. NYG

DK ($4,900) FD ($5,200)

Ty Johnson should get most of the touches now that KerryonJohnson is on the IR. He’ll share some of the passing game work with J.D.McKissic, who makes sense as a dart-throw punt in large-field GPPs as well, butwe much prefer TYJ facing a Giants defense that has allowed eight running backsto either score or gain at least 100 total yards this season.

David Montgomery, CHI vs. LAC

DK ($4,400) FD ($5,700)

Montgomery has been an overwhelming bust in 2019, includingthe past two games against Oakland and New Orleans when he rushed for acombined 31 yards and a touchdown on 13 carries, adding 3-24-0. If he can getinto an offensive groove and find his feet a bit against the Chargers (a team thatstruggles to stop the run), we could see a breakout.

Additional plays: Tarik Cohen, Devin Singletary, LeSean McCoy

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Week

Touchdown Dance — Pick the Players that will get the most Total TDs

Goal: 2.50, Prize: 2x

I’m going Todd Gurley, Leonard Fournette and Chris Carson and taking the lock at 2x, but I feel like two of these guys are going to get two TDs each, so the 20x bet is awful tempting.

5 years ago 0 comment

NFL

NFL DFS: Week Six Running Back Breakdown

5 years ago

written by

This report will provide NFL DFS running back options for the Week Six 10-game main slate. Running backs will be broken down into three tiers, high, mid, and low. I will also include punt plays.

High Tier

NFL DFS Running Back: Le’Veon Bell (NYJ) ($6800 FD|$6400 DK)

I’ve said since Sam Darnold went out I wouldn’t roster Le’Veon Bell. Well now Darnold is back and NFL teams actually have to game plan for the pass which will create more opportunities for Bell. It’s hard to put up good numbers on the ground with teams stacking the box every down, but Bell still has manged top five targets (32) and receptions (27) on the season. He has 166 yards receiving and 206 yards on the ground. The Jets rank dead last in terms of run blocking, but we should see that number improve with Darnold at the helm. This is easily my favorite RB play of the week with the palatable price on both sites and considering his upside and usage in the Jets offense.

NFL DFS Running Back: Dalvin Cook (MIN) ($8200 FD|$8400 DK)

It wouldn’t be right for me not to mention Cook, but he isn’t a top play for me this week. He will find his way into my lineups just based on sheer usage. He has 542 yards on the season (second best) and is averaging over six yards per touch. Hard to ignore his 24.6 fantasy point per game output, but his matchup against the number one run defense in the NFL has me thinking twice. The Eagles allow the least amount of yards to the RB position (63 per game). The Vikings offensive line, who allow Cook to average over five yards per carry, will have their work cut out for them at home this Sunday.

NFL DFS Running Back: Mark Ingram (BAL) ($7500 FD|$6600 DK)

Mark Ingram found his way into the end zone in Week Five but outside of that it was a floor performance for the All-pro running back. Second only to San Francisco, The Ravens average over 190 yards on the ground per game. Granted, there is essentially a three way split in carries in Baltimore and we all know Lamar Jackson gets a good chunk of those yards. The Bengals have been atrocious against the run, allowing nearly 170 yards on the ground per game. Things won’t get easier for them this Sunday against a Ravens team that prides themselves on their balanced run attack. Only draw down I see for Ingram is Jackson and Edwards eating into his usage.

NFL DFS Running Back: Ezekiel Elliott (DAL) ($8500 FD|$8500 DK)

Elliott will round out my top tier plays for Week Six. He draws a tough matchup against one of the best defensive lines against running backs. The Jets allow just over 3.50 yards per carry and an average of 87 yards per game on the ground. Elliott will need to get things going for the Cowboys who rank in the top five in terms of run blocking (4.6 yards per carry) and get top LT Tyron Smith back to anchor their offensive line in Week Six. Elliott has 85 carries for 386 yards and 13 receptions for 92 yards through the first five weeks.

Honorable Mention: Alvin Kamara (NOS) ($7900 FD|$8000)

Mid Tier

NFL DFS Running Back: Chris Carson (SEA) ($7200 FD|$6000 DK)

This week presents great spots for mid tier priced running backs and Chris Carson comes in as one of my favorite in Week Six. Carson and the Seahawks face a Cleveland Browns defense that just gave up 278 yards on the ground to the 49ers on Monday Night. The Browns are also giving up over 150 yards per game on the ground and rank in the bottom five in terms of defensive line efficiency, giving up over five yards per carry. I love Carson in Week Six, catching the Browns at home on a short week.

NFL DFS Running Back: Leonard Fournette (JAX) ($7300 FD|$6700 DK)

Leonard Fournette has now strung together two games over 100 yards rushing and got into the end zone for his first touchdown in Week Five. The Jaguars will take on the Saints who surrender over four yards per carry and over 100 yards per game on the ground. The implied matchup is tough, but Fournette managed to log a solid performance in a similar matchup against the Panthers in Week Five. Fournette has 95 carries for 512 yards (3rd best) and 20 receptions for 143 receiving yards on the year.

NFL DFS Running Back: Derrick Henry (TEN) ($6700 FD|$6100 DK)

Derrick Henry is hot and cold as always, but draws a good matchup against a Denver defense that is allowing over 125 yards per game on the ground in 2019. Henry has 98 carries for 387 yards (3.8 per carry). One thing to keep in mind when considering Henry is where he is playing. Henry is a big bruiser but playing in Denver is no easy task if players are not properly conditioned for over 5,000 feet above sea level. Outside of that I think he provides a fairly safe floor and decent upside in Week Six.

Honorable Mention: Joe Mixon (CIN) ($6400 FD|$5500), Devonta Freeman (ATL) ($6600 FD|$5800) David Johnson ($7900 FD|$7600 DK) **Listed Questionable

Low Tier & Punt Plays

NFL DFS Running Back: Kenyan Drake (MIA) ($5600 FD|$4400 DK)

I know, I know, crazy of me to even consider listing a Miami player. Despite how bad the Dolphins have been this season, the Redskins really aren’t that far behind them. Washington is giving up over 140 yards on the ground per game and rank in the bottom ten in terms of defensive line efficiency (4.3 yards per carry). This really is a punt play, but this game presents a lot of value and good matchups even when considering how bad these two teams have been. Drake has 31 carries for 113 yards in 2019.

NFL DFS Running Back: Chase Edmonds (ARI) ($5200 FD|$4600 DK)

David Johnson is listed as questionable coming into Week Six. If he is out, Chase Edmonds would be the one to inherit the touches. Edmonds certainly offers big play upside, he has 19 carries for 127 yards and six receptions for 43 yards. He is averaging 6.8 yards per carry in the limited action he has seen. Atlanta has been fairly decent on a per play basis, allowing just over four yards per carry, but still allow over 120 yards on the ground per game. The Atlanta defense has been dismal in 2019, holding a 3.8% adjusted sack rate and 10.4% defensive DVOA. Arizona and Atlanta both rank within the top ten in terms of offensive pace, so Edmonds should see plenty of looks if he indeed does get the nod this Sunday.

Honorable Mention (Punt): Adrian Peterson ($5300 FD|$4500 DK)

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5 years ago 0 comment

NFL

NFL DFS: Week Three Running Back Breakdown

Daniel Wehr 5 years ago

written by Daniel Wehr

This report will provide NFL DFS running back options for the Week Three 13-game main slate. Running backs will be broken down into three tiers, high, mid, and low. I will also include punt plays.

High Tier

NFL DFS Running Back: Christian McCaffrey (CAR) ($8900 FD|$8700 DK)

Whatever is going on with Cam Newton this season has clearly resulted in an uptick in usage for Christian McCaffrey. CMC has a 100% snap share, averages 17 carries per game, seven targets per game, and has two touchdowns already this season. Tampa was able to catch the Panthers on a short week (Thursday Night Football) and nullify CMC’s effectiveness in the offense. I’m going to say this is an outlier because four days prior CMC carried the ball 19 times for 128 yards and two touchdowns. He also had 10 receptions for 81 yards. You go ahead and do all that work and let me know how you feel on Thursday night. The Panthers will face the Arizona Cardinals who are allowing 149 rushing yards per game (29th) and 307 passing yards per game (27th).

NFL DFS Running Back: Saquon Barkley (NYG) ($9200 FD|$9100 DK)

Here we are in Week Three and Saquon Barkley is on the slate so we’re going to talk about him! I see a lot of people on the Tampa Bay defense going into Sunday so far and I’m not sure the Giants are the team you want to pick on with the best running back in the league toting the football. Barkley is a Top Five back when it comes to snap share (88%), targets (6.5 per game), rushing yards per game (114), and yards per carry (6.8). I believe Daniel Jones will manage the game better than most would think and the Giants will most certainly continue to lean on their star RB with limited weapons across the offense. The Giants have one of the best offensive lines in football so Tampa is in for quite a task on Sunday.

NFL DFS Running Back: Ezekiel Elliott (DAL) ($8900 FD|$8800 DK)

I will start out by saying yes, I do love the matchup here against the Dolphins. The Dolphins rank dead last against the run through two weeks (195 YPG) and rank 28th against the pass (316 YPG). We have to make a decision every week to attack or fade against Miami because they are so bad and are going to attract a lot of ownership. My main concern is the Cowboys run the score up quickly and choose to preserve their starters for another day. You should know that going into this. Yes, Elliott is a premier RB play on Sunday, and yes there is also possibility he doesn’t pay off his hefty price tag just because of the blowout potential (Sony Michel). I will be looking to the two players listed above who should have more prevalence in their respective offenses.

Mid Tier

NFL DFS Running Back: Marlon Mack (IND) ($7000 FD|$5800 DK)

Marlon Mack has been getting a ton of work through two games this season. He is averaging 23 carries per game on one of the most fast paced offenses in the league. Atlanta isn’t so great on run defense and I actually think they are worse than advertised having only played two games. Dalvin Cook was able to make minced meat of their defense, rushing 21 times for 111 yards and a pair of TD’s. I think Mack is fairly comparable to Cook and should continue to be run as their every down workhorse back. Do keep an eye on his status (calf injury),

NFL DFS Running Back: Chris Carson (SEA) ($7000 FD|$5900 DK)

I think Chris Carson is a guy that may go overlooked this week. His numbers are not gaudy by any means but the Saints have allowed almost 150 rushing yards per game through two games this season against teams who aren’t exactly loaded with running back talent. With no Drew Brees in the mix, the Saints could be in for a very long day if they have issues with turnovers. Also factor in the home advantage for the Seahawks, I can easily see them getting ahead early and controlling all four quarters of the game.

NFL DFS Running Back: Mar Ingram (BAL) ($7000 FD|$5700 DK)

It is slim pickings for mid-tier running backs this week and Mark Ingram will round out those plays. I have to question his workload if the Ravens are not able to establish an effective rushing attack against the Chiefs. If Ingram is not able to dominate early as he did the Miami game, the Ravens will turn to any means necessary and that means it’s the Lamar Jackson show. Ingram saw a similar fate last Sunday against the Cardinals, where he carried 13 times for 47 yards, paving the way for Lamar to utilize his incredible speed and agility and amass 120 yards over 16 carries. Keep Ingram in mind but tread lightly.

Low Tier

NFL DFS Running Back: Frank Gore (BUF) ($5700 FD|$4400 DK)

Devin Singletary worked out pretty well for me last week but he is questionable going into Sunday against the Bengals. This play is based purely on workload so we will need to monitor Singletary’s status. If he does end up limited on Sunday, Gore would be the one to benefit against an awful Cincinnati defense that allows 170 rushing yards per game. If Singletary has no limitations going into Sunday, he is also to be considered.

NFL DFS Running Back: Devonta Freeman (ATL) ($6200 FD|$4900 DK)

Devonta Freeman is only averaging 2.2 YPC through two games this year. He will need to get going if he does not want to see some of his workload go to Ito Smith. The Falcons will need to have an effective run game this week if they stand a chance. The Colts have a very young and talented secondary. If Atlanta is not able to keep the defense on their toes we could see a very low score total from what is considered to be a high powered offense.

Punts: I recommend you not spend any lower than Frank Gore on both sites.

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5 years ago 0 comment

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