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Chicago Cubs

MLB DFS Aces and Stacks (July 19)

Joel Bartilotta 2 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Welcome to Wednesday’s edition of Aces and Bases, where I’ll go through the top MLB DFS Aces and Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel.

Today we are back to having a split slate on a Wednesday. This article will be focused on the 8-game MLB DFS slate that starts at 7 pm EST. This slate has a real lack of high-end pitching, but it does have a bunch of mid-level pitching that has some extra upside. We also have some bats that should be in solid spots tonight.

Let’s dig in and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Eduardo Rodriguez vs. Kansas City Royals

Although the Royals caused Tarik Skubal to have a negative outing yesterday, I’m still going to go right back to the well and attack them today. Skubal was cruising along until he completely imploded in the fourth inning. With Rodriguez being more of a seasoned vet, I don’t see the same thing happening two games in a row. Rodriguez has now been back for 2 starts.

In his first start, he was very blah as he finished with just 9 DK points. In outing number 2 we saw vintage ERod as he finished with 21 DK points. He’s amassed 14 K’s across the 2 starts and I don’t see any reason why he can’t get another 7 in this one. This is still a bad Royals team and one that we should feel comfortable attacking with a pitcher. I’m comfortable with ERod tonight.

Kent Maeda vs. Seattle Mariners

Really like this spot for Kent Maeda tonight. Bailey Ober was able to have a strong outing vs. this Mariners team tonight and Maeda is a bit more skilled than Ober. Especially from a K standpoint. Over the last month, Maeda has had a K rate of over 33%. He’s had at least 6 strikeouts in 4 of his last 5 outings.

Against a Mariners team that is striking out 30% of the time since the All-Star break, Maeda has some strong upside and we could potentially see more of a ceiling-type game. There’s definitely some risk with Maeda as the Mariners have a strong lineup, but they strike out a ton and I’m going to chase the strikeouts tonight as we all know that strikeouts are King in MLB DFS.

Luis Castillo vs. Minnesota and Justin Verlander vs. Chicago White Sox are also in play. The pitching is not very deep tonight. I doubt I’ll stray from my top 2, but adding Castillo and Verlander to my player pool gives me some more options.

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Atlanta Braves vs. Ryne Nelson

This Braves lineup is just dominant. They scored a boatload of runs last night and will more than likely score more tonight vs. Ryne Nelson. They have a significant lead in home runs over the next team and they are 1 of just 4 teams that have scored over 500 runs this season. Few teams have the ability to put up runs like the Braves. It helps that they’ll be facing a pitcher in Ryne Nelson that has somewhat struggled over the last month.

Over his last 28 innings of work, he’s allowed 5 bombs and 10 barrels. Of the pitchers throwing tonight, no one has allowed more barrels than Nelson over the last month. From a priority standpoint, we’ll want to focus on the lefties first. They have a significantly higher ISO and wOBA than righties. That said, righties are also very much in play tonight.

We’ll want to get Matt Olson, Ozzie Albies, and Michael Harris into our lineups tonight. As I said above, lefties have crushed Nelson so far this season. They have a .243 ISO and a .379 wOBA. Both numbers are much higher than Nelson would like. Olson has been one of the better hitters in baseball this season and AA has looked like a genius for trading for him a couple of seasons ago. Against righties, Olson has a .430 wOBA and a .362 ISO. He’ll be a lock in my lineups tonight.

We can’t ignore Ronald Acuna or Austin Riley tonight. Riley finally broke out of his slump last night with 2 homers and 7 RBI. While I doubt we see a replication of that type of night, his bat looked solid and he should do well tonight.

New York Mets vs. Touki Toussaint

The Mets offense showed last night that they do have some upside when motivated as they scored 11 runs vs. Lucas Giolito and the White Sox pen. Tonight they’ll get an easier matchup vs. Touki Toussaint. While Touki hasn’t pitched that poorly this season, there’s a reason why he hasn’t pitched so sparingly in the Majors over the last few years and why he has bounced around from team to team. He’s just not that good.

He’s sporting a career ERA over 5 and an xFIP that is nearly identical. He’ll regress back to his career numbers and I expect that to happen tonight vs. a Mets team has does have some potential, even if their record doesn’t show it. Over the course of his career, lefties have been his weakness so we’ll want to prioritize them in our stack.

The 3 guys I’ll prioritize here will be Brandon Nimmo, Francisco Lindor, and Jeff McNeil. McNeil has had a down year, but he did show some promise last night with a pair of RBI hits. If he can replicate that tonight, we’ll get someone that has upside at just $3.2k. This was last year’s NL batting champ at a severely reduced price. If last night triggered him, we’re getting a huge discount here.

Brandon Nimmo’s on-base numbers are down this year, but his power is up. I really like his price point of $4.1k tonight. Other bats to include here will be Francisco Alvarez, Pete Alonso, Brett Batty, and Daniel Vogelbach. My hope is that the Mets bats continue their momentum from last night.

Other stacks tonight are a complete game stack of the Reds/Giants game. Both sides could put up big numbers. I also really like the Cubs vs. Trevor Williams.

MLB DFS Summary

This is a tricky slate tonight. Pitching looks really tough and bats appear to be spread out. Pick your contests wisely.

Make sure to drop into Discord where we’re constantly talking about plays for every slate.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!

2 years ago 0 comments

MLB DFS Aces & Stacks (July 17)

Joel Bartilotta 2 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Welcome to Monday’s edition of Aces and Bases, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Aces and Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel.

It’s Monday Funday and MLB has blessed us with a 10-game slate of MLB DFS. This slate is lacking a true ace pitcher but it does have some higher-end pitching that should do well for us. It also has some gas cans that we should be able to take full advantage of tonight. At first glance, this is looking to be a fun slate that we can go in multiple directions.

Let’s dig in and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Nick Pivetta vs. Oakland Athletics

Some sites are showing Nick Pivetta as the listed starter for the Boston Red Sox tonight. Should he start tonight, I really like this spot for him. The A’s are an inconsistent offense that has shown to have some spunk. They are also a lineup that has shown a high propensity to strike out as they have a 32% K rate since coming back from the All-Star Break.

We all know that K’s are king and even if a pitcher gives up a few runs, those excess strikeouts will save our day. Pivetta has shown the ability to strike out hitters in masses this season. Over his last few outings, Pivetta has a K rate of over 42%. With his ability to strike out hitters and the A’s propensity to strike out, there’s a high ceiling for Pivetta tonight.

Logan Webb vs. Cincinnati Reds

The Reds have one of the more exciting lineups in all of baseball with some of the prospects they’ve called up this season. Matt McClain, Elly de la Cruz, and now Christian Encarnacion -Strand. That said, since the All-Star Break, their offense has essentially been non-existent. They’ve scored just 3 runs and have struck out a league-leading 41% of the time.

With such a young lineup, we’ll see swings like this as they’ll be inconsistent as they find their footing. With the funk that they are in right now, I plan on attacking them with the Giants’ top starter in Logan Webb. Webb has been good over the last month with an ERA of just over 3 and a K rate of 25.5%. With his solid form and the Reds’ struggles right now, this is a solid spot for Webb.

Logan Gilbert vs. Minnesota Twins

I don’t mind Logan Gilbert either tonight. The Twins, while having the ability to put up runs quickly, have the ability to really strike out quite a bit. In the 3 games after the All-Star Break, the Twins have struck out 33 times for a 32% K rate. That’s one of the highest marks of any team in the big leagues. If we look at what Gilbert has done recently, he’s been pretty good.

Over the last month, Gilbert has pitched to a 2.10 ERA and just a .87 WHIP. While I wish the K rate was a bit higher than his 19.4%, he does have some upside with how much the Twins have been striking out. The other good thing about Gilbert is that he typically goes deeper into games so that just adds to the positives for him tonight. He’s priced fairly tonight at $9.8k so feel to roll him on DraftKings.

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Los Angeles Angels vs. Luis Severino

Luis Severino is coming off back-to-back absolute clunkers. Over his last 2 outings, Severino has given up a total of 14 ER. That’s not ideal for one of the Yankees’ mainstay pitches. He’s actually given up 7 ER 3 times this season in a game. Do I think he does that again today? Eh, probably not. I do think he continues with his string of subpar outings.

This season has really been a struggle for Severino. His ERA is 4 runs higher than last year, his xFIP is 2 runs higher, and K’s are down significantly over his career average. The 2023 season is so far one that Severino is wishing that he can get a restart on. I won’t be overly concerned with splits here because Severino has been hot trash vs. both sides of the plate.

Any Angels stack that doesn’t start with Shohei Ohtani is just doing it wrong. He is the best player that this game may ever see. He’s absolutely crushed righties this season, with a .444 wOBA and a .354 ISO. The only drawback to Ohtani tonight is his $6.6k price tag on DK. That said, there’s way more than enough value in this lineup to make up for his enormous salary.

We’ll also look to include Mike Moustakas at $2.5k, Mickey Moniak at $3.8k, and Taylor Ward and $3.9k. If you want to grab even more value, you can dip all the way down to Eduardo Escobar and Luis Rengifo as they are both under $3k tonight. The Angels are in a great spot tonight and should put up a big number, just like they did last night.

Chicago Cubs vs. MacKenzie Gore

Another team that has been somewhat of a disappointment this season is the Chicago Cubs. They are currently 6 games under .500 and will more than likely be sellers as the trade deadline approaches. The Cubs made some big signings this offseason and they aren’t really seeing much in the way of productivity from them.

That said, they are in a great spot tonight vs. a struggling pitcher in MacKenzie Gore. In 3 of his last 5 starts, Gore has allowed at least 5 ER. That’s not ideal for a pitcher the Nationals plan on building around for years to come. Gore has been pretty bad vs. both sides of the plate this season so we won’t need to worry about excluding lefties here.

I’m starting my Cubs stack off with Cody Bellinger. Bellinger has been one of the few really bright spots this season for the Cubs. He’s showing that he really just needed a fresh start to get back to the glory days that saw him win an MVP award. Bellinger has been really solid vs. lefties this season, with a .455 wOBA and a .309 ISO. No need to shy away from the L/L matchup here.

I also like guys like Nico Hoerner, Seiya Suzuki, and Yan Gomes. They all have solid numbers vs. southpaws this season. A solid value piece here could be Miguel Amaya. Amaya has a .426 wOBA vs. lefties this season and is just $2.2k on DK tonight.

Other stacks I like tonight will be the Tigers vs. Jordan Lyles, Red Sox vs. Paul Blackburn, and Pirates vs. Xzavion Curry.

MLB DFS Summary

We have our first Monday slate after the All Star Break. This slate brings us some clear mismatches and some pitchers in really good spots. It’s shaping up to be a really fun slate.

Make sure to drop into Discord where we’re constantly talking about plays for every slate.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.

2 years ago 0 comments

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MLB DFS Aces & Stacks (May 8)

Joel Bartilotta 2 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Welcome to Monday’s edition of Aces and Bases, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Aces and Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel.

It’s Monday Funday and we have a nice-sized 8-game slate of MLB DFS tonight. We have some clear mismatches on the mound and we also have some glaring spots for offense. It’s looking like a fun evening of MLB DFS.

Let’s dig and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Zac Gallen vs. Miami Marlins

The biggest mismatch of the day today will belong to Zac Gallen vs. the Miami Marlins. Gallen has been a rockstar this season. Over the last month, Gallen is sporting a nearly 42% k rate and when he’s not striking batters out, he’s inducing ground balls with a 50% ground ball rate. Hitters have just a 68% contact rate vs. him as well.

It’s still early, but Gallen is making a case for his first Cy Young award this season. He’ll surely be able to breeze through a Marlins lineup that has a 24% strikeout rate vs. righties. The Dbacks are huge favorites tonight and rightfully so. Look for Gallen to have a monster night tonight.

Dylan Cease vs. Kansas City Royals

To say the 2023 season has been a huge disappointment for Dylan Cease would be quite an understatement. If we look at some of his metrics, all isn’t too bad and the old Dylan Cease is still somewhere in there. He’s been extremely unlucky as his BABIP against over the last month is a massive .375. That kind of number can’t stay consistent and we’ll see some positive regression coming his way soon.

There’s no better opponent for that to come against than the Kansas City Royals. Yes, the Royals just put up a whole bunch of runs but they were also playing against the Oakland Athletics. They struggle against good pitching and they’ll face good pitching tonight. Look for the old Dylan Cease to appear tonight.

Other arms that I have interest I tonight will be Nestor Cortes vs. the A’s, Hunter Brown vs. the Angels, and Marcus Stroman vs. St. Louis (weather is not conducive to hitting tonight in Chi-town).

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

New York Yankees vs. JP Sears

With it being a day ending in Y, we’re going to go ahead and attack the Oakland A’s and whoever they throw out on the mound. Now yesterday was a little bit different as the A’s threw out a competent start in Mason Miller, but once he left the A’s bullpen proceeded to give away 3 runs pretty quickly. Sears is coming off a start that saw him shutout the Mariners for 6 innings, with the bullpen proceeding to give up 7 runs in the final 3.

Notice the trend? No matter who they throw out, good or bad, the bullpen is awful and runs will be scored. The one area of concern here is that the Yankees lineup has some holes. They don’t have Judge (he should be back tomorrow) or Stanton. I just don’t care here as the A’s are bad.

I’m starting off my Harrison Bader. Although Bader has only been back for 5 games, he’s made his presence felt immediately. Over the weekend he was on fire, going 5 for 7 with 4 RBI and even a homer yesterday. He fell a double shy of the cycle yesterday. He’s still very cheap at $3.5k and in an absolute dream matchup today.

Other than Bader, I’ll look to guys like DJ LeMahieu, Gleyber Torres, and Anthony Volpe. I preach this time and again, don’t leave Anthony Rizzo of your stacks when facing lefties. He has a .406 wOBA vs. them this year and that’s been somewhat consistent throughout his career.

Chicago Cubs vs. Miles Mikolas

I wish the weather was a little more conducive to hitting tonight (wind blowing left to right), but what a spot for the Cubbies tonight. Mikolas just hasn’t been good. Other than 1 start vs. the Giants, he’s been getting rocked. Over his last 28 innings of work, Mikolas has given up 9 barrels and 6 bombs. His hard-hit rate against is over 36%. Just not good numbers. Lefties are going to be important here as they’ve been crushing Mikolas. They have a .239 ISO and a 51% hard-hit rate.

You know what that means, enter Cody Bellinger. The rebound that Bellinger has been having this season has been fun to watch. While he didn’t homer this past week, he did go 9 for 29 with 6 runs scored. He’s been a huge part of this offense and one of the better off-season signings for any team.

Other guys I’ll look to here will be Ian Happ to get that lefty bat, and then Trey Mancini and Nico Hoerner. Rookie Matt Mervis is a solid value at just $2.2k. Can he get his first homer tonight off a pitcher getting walloped by lefties?

Other stacks I like tonight will be the Diamondbacks vs. Braxton Garrett, Giants vs. Jake Irvin, and Mariners vs. Jon Gray.

MLB DFS Summary

This should be a fun slate. We have a decent number of options both on the mound and at bat. With the weather being warmer today, look for the ball to fly out of the bandbox we like to call Yankee Stadium.

Make sure to drop into Discord where we’re constantly talking about plays for every slate.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.

2 years ago 0 comments

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MLB DFS Aces & Stacks (May 3)

Joel Bartilotta 2 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Welcome to Wednesday’s edition of Aces and Bases, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Aces and Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel.

On this fine Wednesday, we have a nice-sized 8-game slate of MLB DFS. Pitching, as has been the case on most slates this season, is very dicey. Outside of Shohei Ohtani, there are few pitchers in good spots. That said, we have a bunch of offense in solid spots so this should be a fun slate of MLB DFS.

Let’s dig and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Shohei Ohtani vs. St. Louis Cardinals

The 2023 version of the Cardinals is an absolute mess. A team that was dominant vs. lefties last season was held in check last night by Patrick Sandoval. He let up just a single run. This was a matchup that a year ago they would have scored a healthy amount of runs. Well, it’s 2023 and the Cardinals are really struggling. With how badly they are struggling this season, Ohtani should be able to have a ceiling type of game tonight.

He doesn’t come without risk though. Ohtani is coming off a start that saw him give up 5 ER against the Oakland Athletics. Anything can happen on any given day, but I do like the chances of Ohtani having one of his normal dominant outings tonight.

Louie Varland vs. Chicago White Sox

There’s no shot at double aces tonight so I’m going to drop down right to the very bottom of the salary range tonight. Varland is coming off a very strong initial start. Although he gave up 3 homers to the Yankees in that start, he also struck out 8 of them. His groundball rate of 50% in that start was also very impressive. If he can continue to keep the ball on the ground and have his 32% strikeout rate that he did against the Yankees, he could be one of the top values tonight on the mound.

Similar to the Cardinals, this is also a team really struggling. The 2023 White Sox are already 12 games under .500 and after tonight will more than likely be 13. When you’re dealing with a $6k pitcher there’s almost always a high level of risk, but I’m willing to ride that because there’s also a great level of reward here

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Chicago Cubs vs. Jake Irvin

The Washington Nationals will turn the ball over to Jake Irvin tonight, a pitcher making his major league debut. With Irvin, we’re not talking about a pitcher that is a top prospect. Most scouts predict he’ll be a back end of the rotation guy. Irvin has struggled so far in the minors this season. In 5 starts for Rochester, he has as 5.64 ERA and a strike out rate of just 20%. He’s someone that will most certainly struggle against big league hitting at the start.

It looks like all Cody Bellinger needed was a change of scenery to get back his once MVP-caliber bat. Since coming from paternity leave, he’s 4 for 15 with 2 homers and 5 runs scored. He’s a force in the middle of this lineup and one that I’ll be locking into my MLB DFS stacks tonight.

I’ll also look to add in Dansby Swanson. Swanson is one of the hotter hitters in the game right now. Over the last week, he has 8 hits and has 4 RBI. He also has an OPS of over 1.000. Other bats I like here will be Ian Happ, Patrick Wisdom, and Trey Mancini

Baltimore Orioles vs. Zack Greinke

With each start, it’s becoming more and more obvious that Zack Greinke is washed up. Greinke is coming off by far his worst outing of the year as he gave up 7 ER to the Minnesota Twins last week. Over his last 3 starts, he’s given up 15 ER. I’m expecting more of the same tonight vs. a very solid Orioles lineup. Greinke has been pretty abysmal vs. both sides of the plate so I won’t be overly concerned with splits here.

I’m starting my O’s stack off with Adley Rutschman. While the power hasn’t been there for me recently, it’s only a matter of time. He’s hitting the ball hard (45% hard-hit rate over the last week) and putting the ball in play as he has 9 hits in his last 20 AB. With a launch angle of around 12%, a slight adjustment and those hard-hit balls will leave the park.

I also like Cedric Mullins here and Ryan Mountcaslte. Mountcastle is coming off a monster night so his ownership may be exaggerated, but he’s always a solid play vs. a bad pitcher. I’ll also look to include guys like Austin Hayes, Anthony Santander, and Jorge Mateo.

Other stacks I like tonight are both ends of the Coors game, Boston vs. Alek Manoah (Verdugo would be the priority), and Seattle vs. JP Sears.

MLB DFS Summary

I plan on loading up on O’s bats once again. They helped me last night and they’ll help me again tonight. Pitching, I’m not straying from the 2 names I mentioned.

Make sure to drop into Discord where we’re constantly talking about plays for every slate.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.

2 years ago 0 comments

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MLB DFS Aces & Stacks (Apr. 26)

Joel Bartilotta 2 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Welcome to Wednesday’s edition of Aces and Bases, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Aces and Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel.

It’s Wednesday and that means we have a split slate on our hands. There’s a 5-game starting at 1pm est and an 8-game slate starting at 6:35pm est. This article will be focused solely on the main slate of MLB DFS starting this evening. It’s a doozy with some clear mismatches.

Let’s dig and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Bryce Elder vs. Miami Marlins

The pick on the Marlins tour turns to Bryce Elder tonight. So far in this series we’ve seen Spencer Strider strike out 13 and Charlie (AARP cardholder) Morton strike out 9. While Elder doesn’t necessarily have the K upside that Strider and Morton have, he has been consistent with at least 6 K’s in 3 of his 4 starts this season.

With facing the Marlins and their 24% K rate vs. righties, there’s definitely a chance for Elder to grab a couple of extra strikeouts tonight. His price has started to get up there at $9.4k, but that matchup tonight speaks for itself. He should be able to pay off his salary tonight.

Steven Matz vs. San Francisco Giants

I said this the other day with Jordan Montgomery, lefties vs. the Giants will be a thing this season. Montgomery went on to have a pretty nice outing, striking out 6 through 6 innings and not allowing a single earned run. We’ll continue to pick on them with competent lefties and tonight we’ll do so with the kid from Long Island, Steven Matz.

Matz being only $6k on DK tonight makes him arguably the top-value pitcher tonight. He may not net us 30 points tonight, but he’s been over 10 in 3 of his first 4 starts and the one he didn’t was in Colorado so he gets somewhat of a pass. He has 13 K’s over his last 2 games and with facing a team that has a 31% K rate vs. lefties tonight, he has extreme upside at this price.

In full transparency, these are the only 2 arms I’m looking at tonight. Other arms that may do ok are Logan Gilbert and Kodai Senga. Senga’s biggest issue has been walks. If he can get some more control of his pitches, he should dominate but he’s definitely struggling with command.

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Chicago Cubs vs. Michael Wacha

After shutting out the Braves on April 8, the world has essentially fallen apart for Michael Wacha. Over his last 2 starts, Wacha has allowed an impressive 12 ER in just over 8 innings of work. Also over those 2 starts, he’s allowed 21 hits. He’s struggling to get hitters out right now and they are getting good wood on him as he’s allowed 9 barrels this season.

I’m not going to be overly concerned with splits here as Wacha has been bad vs. both sides. That said, he’s been brutal vs. lefties this season as they have a .382 ISO and a .460 wOBA.

The bats I’m mostly interested in here will be Ian Happ, Patrick Wisdom, and Nico Hoerner. Happ is the lefty here so he’s going to have a major advantage with how bad Wacha has been against lefties. Happ has been great vs. righties this year too, with a wOBA of .446.

Wisdom is off to a solid start this year, especially against righties. He has a .391 wOBA and a .380 ISO vs. them. He also lines up very well. Wacha throws his changeup 26% of the time to righties. This is a pitch that Wisdom has crushed from righties, with a .463 wOBA and a .400 ISO. Other bats I’ll look to here are Dansby Swanson, Eric Hosmer, and Trey Mancini.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Roansy Contreras

Roansy Contreras has just 1 bad start out of 4 to start to the year. I fully expect him to make it 2 out of 5 after tonight. He’s just not someone that profiles well as he gives up a ton of fly balls, doesn’t miss many bats, and also has an extremely high WHIP.

His 1.52 WHIP to start the year is one of the highest numbers of anyone on the mound today. We chase pitchers with high WHIPS because it just means there are more batters on the bases and that gives us more chances for runs.

I’m starting off my Dodgers stack with the Rookie of the Year award leader, James Outman. Outman is red hot over the last week with 4 homers and 4 barrels. His 8 wRC also leads the team. In terms of the Rookie of the Year award, he’s really in a class of his own at this point. He’s hit safely in 6 of his last 7 games and after tonight it will be 7 of 8.

Other bats we’ll look at here will be Freddie Freeman, Mookie Bets, JD Martinez, and David Peralta. From a value standpoint, Miguel Vargas should be close to the top of the list. He’s just $2.5k and is 7 for his last 22. He won’t get us much in the way of power, but at his price point if he continues to play like he has he’ll easily return value.

Los Angeles Angels vs. Luis Medina

The Oakland A’s will be turn the ball over to rookie Luis Medina tonight. Medina will be making his major league debut. While he has a fastball that reaches triple digits, he’s also been a pitcher in the minors that has had command issues. Anytime I see a young prospect coming up with command issues, I automatically want to attack him. Major League hitters are way more patient and his command issues could lead to a ton of walks.

The obvious bats here are Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani. There’s not much I need to say to sell you on them. They are good, no they’re generationally good. I also really like both Brandon Drury and Hunter Renfroe here. They were both key additions for the Angels this past offseason.

Renfroe has been great for them so far this season, with 6 homers and 18 RBI. He’s also been solid vs. righties with a .279 ISO. The value bat I’m looking at here Zach Neto. He’s 7 for his last 22 and has a .899 OPS. If he can get on tonight, there’s a great chance that one of Ward, Trout, or Ohtani will knock him in.

MLB DFS Summary

I didn’t name them in my top stacks, but a full game stack of that A’s/Angels game is very much in play. The A’s have shown the ability to put up runs and Sandoval has one of the higher xFIPS of anyone pitching tonight. They could definitely do some damage tonight.

Make sure to drop into Discord where we’re constantly talking about plays for every slate.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.

2 years ago 0 comments

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MLB DFS: Aces and Bases – 4/22 (Fanduel Main Slate)

Jared Levitt 4 years ago

written by Jared Levitt

Welcome to the Thursday edition of Aces and Bases. Tonight we have a fun 5 game main slate of MLB DFS on Fanduel to navigate through.

Dumpster Fire – an utterly calamitous or mismanaged situation or occurrence : disaster

This is how I would define the pitching on today’s main slate. The “top” pitchers on the slate are in less than ideal situations with the pitchers in good positions being very mediocre. As a result, the goal today will be to limit the damage.

With that being said, let’s dig in to today’s slate!

MLB DFS: The “Aces”

Walker Buehler ($9.8K) vs. San Diego Padres – I’m going to be honest, I want no part of Buehler today. For the season, Buehler has struggled to K batters. His K rate compared to years past is way down. This year he’s at 17.1% vs. 29% if you go all the way back to 2019. It’s early and I’m sure the k’s will come, but at his price point you want K’s and they just won’t be there today. The Padres for the season are only striking out at a 20% clip against righties. For me, Buehler is an easy fade today.

Alex Cobb ($8.7k) vs. Houston Astros – I wish his matchup was better. He’s the one pitcher on the slate today that’s really been dealing this year. Through 2 starts he’s already racked up 17 k’s through only 11 IP. My concern here is the Astro’s lack of K vs. righties. For the season, they’ve only k’d at a shade under 21% vs. righties. While this isn’t a ceiling game for Cobb, he should strike out enough Astros to pay off his salary.

Aaron Sanchez ($7.2) vs. Miami Marlins – I feel dirty writing up Sanchez. When you think of fantasy goodness, his name normally isn’t in the convo. This is a pure match-up and slate based play. Sanchez doesn’t go deep. He hasn’t gone past 5 innings all year. So you won’t get a QS, but what you’ll get out of him today is someone that will limit the damage and get you around 20 points. Over his past 2 starts he’s induced a ton of ground balls (48%), which is his MO. The Marlins have struggled this season vs. righties. They have a 25.4% k rate and a low ISO of .105. Hate to say it, but he’s one of the lower risk guys today.

My theme for pitching today will be, limit the damage. I’m picking between Cobb and Sanchez, but don’t sleep on Nick Pivetta vs. the Mariners. It’s a good matchup for him and if he can limit the walks he’ll be in a good spot.

MLB DFS: The Bats

First place I’m looking today is Wrigley. Similar to last night, the flood gates should open for both offenses. This time it will be weather aided, not defense aided. 20 runs were scored (mostly by the Cubbies) last night and I don’t think this today will be any different except for it being more evenly spread. At game time the wind should be blowing out to right center at 12 mph. When the wind is blowing out in Wrigley, the runs follow quickly.

For his career, Joey Lucchesi has given up a .208 ISO to righties. The first guy I want to pencil in from the Cubs is Javier Baez ($3.9K). He’s finally heating up after really struggling to start to the year. He has a career .285 ISO vs. lefties. While the sample size is small, he’s had some success against Lucchesi also. Other guys I want to look at are Wilson Contreras ($3.6k) and Kris Bryant ($3.8k), who’s auditioning for his future team.

The New York Mets also have a really solid match against Williams. The one metric that really stands out with Williams is his WHIP. Over his past 2 starts, he’s had a 2.28 WHIP. He’s really struggled to keep guys off the bases. The Mets have one of the best guys in the business at getting on. Brandon Nimmo ($3k) leads off with a walk tonight, followed by a Francisco Lindor ($3.1k) homer. Not a bad way to start the game! Also really love Michael Conforto ($2.7k) here who is dirt cheap. Willams = Conforto’s slump buster.

My final stack of the day takes us to the Boston Red Sox. Justin Dunn has a respectable 3.72 ERA to start the year, but his xFIP is a full 3 runs higher at 6.79. There’s regression coming for Dunn, and I want to take full advantage of it. There will be a stiff breeze blowing out to right field tonight and because of that, I want all of Alex Verdugo ($3.4k) and Rafael Devers ($3.4k).

MLB DFS Aces and Bases Wrap Up

From a rain standpoint, weather won’t play an issue today. But the weather in Chicago and Boston will be our friends for offense. While pitching is going to brutal tonight, enjoy watching the offenses take full advantage!

Enjoy today’s slate. With the lack of a clear pitching path and some solid spots for offense, it should be a fun!

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4 years ago 0 comments

MLB

9/24 MLB DFS Pitching and Prop Picks

6 years ago

written by

The last time I saw this many Top Guns in one night I was at the Movie Theater watching Tom Cruise. So, with Gorilla Biscuits “Start Today” playing in the background on this 9/24 MLB DFS slate, I bring you today’s pitching picks.

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On theDefense

NoahSyndergaard vs. Miami Marlins

$8,200 FD / $9,000 DK

The Marlins have been red hot as of late, how hot? They arethird in wOBA over the last seven days. This scares me about as much as mydaughter Sam throwing a temper tantrum. They are still the Marlins, the same Marlinsteam that is striking out 24.2 percent of the time versus RHPs while being inthe bottom of the league in offense. Thor also has had his way all season with thefish with 12 strikeouts over 14 innings. Sometimes the best play is not alwaysthe best player and that is the case here on this 9/24 MLB DFS slate. Lock himin because Thor is going to bring the hammer tonight.

Max Scherzervs. Philadelphia Phillies

$10,600 FD / $11,000

This one was a struggle for me tonight. Gerrit Cole is the obvious cash cow but for the price I just feel that you can get close enough numbers from other starters, without paying the highest salary on the board.

Next was Mike Clevinger, easy matchup, seems great right? The White Sox are the number one team offensively over the last seven days, why take a chance this continues tonight? This leaves Max Scherzer on this 9/24 MLB DFS slate.

The Phillies are striking out 23.2 percent of the timeversus RHPs with a subpar .315 wOBA. Over the last seven days they have a wRC+of 65, which has little chance of climbing tonight in this matchup. Scherzerthis season facing the Phils has a 0.75 ERA over 12 innings while striking out19. Mad Max should go totally beyond the Terrordome tonight in this cakematchup.

MadisonBumgarner vs. Colorado Rockies

$8,600 FD / $8,200 DK

Looking for a high upside one-two punch on DK for this 9/24 MLB DFS slate? Well you just found the battle of the splits. The Rockies are 29^th in MLB on the road in offense while striking out 23.4 percent of the time versus LHPs. Meanwhile, Bumgarner’s home ERA is 2.80 versus his 5.29 ERA on the road. With splits both lining up here it feels like this one is a gift from stars at his price.

JeffHoffman vs. San Francisco Giants

$6,500 FD / $4,800 DK

I am sad to say there is no magic split here, Hoffman is generally just as bad outside of Colorado as he is in. But, for the price on DK it makes a strong argument for large field GPP play. The Giants are striking out 23.6 percent of the time versus RHPs with a low .303 wOBA. Over the last seven days they have generated a wRC+ of 63, which is embarrassing. Don’t expect miracles here on this 9/24 MLB DFS slate but it is reasonable to expect 12-to-18 fantasy points on DK.

Today’s Pitching Stats

Name	Team	W	L	IP	K/9	BB/9	HR/9	GB%	HR/FB	ERA	xFIP
Max Scherzer	Nationals	10	7	166.1	12.61	1.73	0.87	40.60%	10.70%	2.81	2.92
Noah Syndergaard	Mets	10	8	185.2	9.02	2.33	1.07	47.60%	12.80%	4.22	3.93
Madison Bumgarner	Giants	9	9	200.2	8.7	1.84	1.21	35.80%	11.60%	3.86	4.34
Jeff Hoffman	Rockies	2	6	61.2	8.9	4.09	2.63	35.50%	23.40%	6.71	5.29

On the Attack

MitchKeller vs. Chicago Cubs

It feels like a Cubs kind of night. The last time Keller faced Chicago he allowed six earned runs over 4 1/3 innings. The Cubbies are on the ropes here, its basically win every game, or go home. Stack away!

Chicago Cubs vs. RHPs

Name	PA	BB%	K%	BB/K	SB	OBP	SLG	OPS	wOBA	wRC+
Anthony Rizzo	457	12.30%	14.20%	0.86	4	0.418	0.551	0.969	0.406	152
Kris Bryant	505	10.10%	23.20%	0.44	3	0.37	0.495	0.866	0.366	126
Willson Contreras	309	9.10%	24.60%	0.37	1	0.346	0.513	0.859	0.358	120
Kyle Schwarber	470	11.90%	25.10%	0.47	2	0.338	0.538	0.876	0.358	120
David Bote	255	13.30%	24.70%	0.54	3	0.38	0.449	0.829	0.352	116
Jason Heyward	462	12.80%	17.30%	0.74	8	0.366	0.472	0.838	0.352	116
Nicholas Castellanos	536	5.80%	23.50%	0.25	2	0.323	0.493	0.816	0.34	109
Victor Caratini	214	10.30%	21.00%	0.49	1	0.346	0.457	0.803	0.339	108
Ian Happ	101	9.90%	22.80%	0.43	2	0.307	0.467	0.774	0.323	97
Robel Garcia	52	5.80%	40.40%	0.14	0	0.269	0.5	0.769	0.311	90
Jonathan Lucroy	216	9.70%	14.40%	0.68	0	0.333	0.378	0.711	0.31	93
Nico Hoerner	51	5.90%	13.70%	0.43	0	0.314	0.438	0.751	0.31	89
Ben Zobrist	134	10.40%	12.70%	0.82	0	0.351	0.342	0.693	0.306	86
Albert Almora Jr.	241	4.10%	16.20%	0.26	2	0.284	0.442	0.726	0.299	82
Addison Russell	167	6.60%	21.60%	0.31	2	0.301	0.404	0.705	0.298	81

Anthony Kay vs. Baltimore Orioles

The Orioles bats are very unpredictable but go off often.Kay has surrendered nine earned runs in his last 14 innings pitched. In a smallpark like Toronto I am going all in on O’s tonight.

Baltimore Orioles vs. LHPs

Name	PA	BB%	K%	BB/K	SB	OBP	SLG	OPS	wOBA	wRC+
Hanser Alberto	224	2.70%	11.20%	0.24	2	0.415	0.537	0.952	0.402	151
Trey Mancini	215	10.20%	20.90%	0.49	0	0.367	0.545	0.913	0.377	135
Renato Nunez	217	6.50%	19.40%	0.33	0	0.327	0.51	0.837	0.345	113
Pedro Severino	155	6.50%	21.30%	0.3	0	0.323	0.49	0.812	0.339	109
Anthony Santander	145	4.80%	25.50%	0.19	1	0.31	0.5	0.81	0.336	107
D.J. Stewart	42	4.80%	14.30%	0.33	1	0.357	0.375	0.732	0.319	95
Jonathan Villar	243	6.60%	26.70%	0.25	9	0.311	0.435	0.746	0.314	93
Richie Martin Jr.	160	5.60%	21.90%	0.26	6	0.291	0.338	0.629	0.273	65
Rio Ruiz	73	5.50%	24.70%	0.22	0	0.292	0.343	0.635	0.273	65
Dwight Smith Jr.	109	8.30%	29.40%	0.28	3	0.275	0.347	0.622	0.268	62
Mark Trumbo	17	5.90%	17.60%	0.33	0	0.235	0.375	0.61	0.255	53
Mason Williams	10	10.00%	30.00%	0.33	1	0.3	0.222	0.522	0.243	45
Chance Sisco	24	12.50%	37.50%	0.33	0	0.292	0.105	0.397	0.219	28
Steve Wilkerson	127	5.50%	35.40%	0.16	0	0.236	0.228	0.464	0.212	23
Chris Davis	68	8.80%	44.10%	0.2	0	0.221	0.23	0.45	0.205	19

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Monkey Knife Fight Prop Pick – Play These Picks Now and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Although Randal Grichuk has struggled this season versus Bundy going 1-for-9, he has picked it up as of late with three home runs over his last seven days. He is dialing in and I see no reason why that does not continue tonight. Over here for sure.

Trey Mancini is 2-for-2 this season off of Kay, and I know that is not much to go on. Right handed hitters are also batting .283 this season versus Kay, seems easy enough for Trey. Have I said over yet?

Madbum is facing a Rockies team tonight that strikes out a ton versus LHPs, and he has easily reached this number in both home starts this season facing the Rocks. Over, over, and over.

The Giants are a difficult team at times to rack up strikeouts against. Hoffman has a hard enough time against easy prey, I am going under here all the way.

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6 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports MLB

9/24 DFS Hitting Picks and Stacks: Stacking Sox in the Texas Heat

jason mezrahi 6 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

We’ve got a 13-game main slate for 9/24 DFS and while a playoff picture is finally emerging and the season is winding down, there are still some high-upside hitters and stacks to get you prepped to win some green!

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9/24 DFS Hitting Stacks of the Day

Red Sox at Edinson Vólquez/Ariel Jurado

The Red Sox shouldn’t have problems getting to either Vólquez, who’s having a last hurrah in the big leagues before retiring, or Jurado, who has a 5.73 ERA this season and has trouble getting Ks. You may want to skip Betts, who’s been getting rest since coming back from a foot injury, but grab shares of J.D. Martinez, Rafael Devers, Xander Bogaerts and some of the more inexpensive bats (Mitch Moreland, Brock Holt, Jackie Bradley) that should help you make salary. I think the 2-5 plus Christian Vazquez (the projected 7 hitter) might be my favorite stack among the Red Sox bats.

Houston Astros at Justin Dunn/Tommy Milone

The Astros are always worth looking to considering their 121 team wRC+ and .349 wOBA, but they face a couple mashable pitchers and you don’t have to worry about splits since they rake just about everybody. Get some shares of the red-hot George Springer (three HRs on Sunday) as well as Jose Altuve, Alex Bregman, Yuri Gurriel and Yordan Alvarez. they have the highest implied total among the teams with set lines so far.

TorontoBlue Jays at Dylan Bundy

These teams have been bashing each other’s brains in, and while I prefer the Blue Jays side of this offensive tilt, the entire game stack is in play. It’s been a GPP winner recently, so I have no qualms about rolling out the usual suspects again: Cavan Biggio, Randal Grichuk, Rowdy Tellez, and value bats like Brandon Drury and Teoscar Hernandez – especially if Lourdes Gurriel, Jr. (illness) sits for a second consecutive day.

9/24 DFS Hitting Stacks to Consider

Chicago Cubs at Mitch Keller – The Cubs are nearly out of the playoff picture thanks to the Cardinals, but for 9/24 DFS you shouldn’t consider them officially dead yet – and they’re a bunch who can still pile on the runs. The Pirates home park isn’t the best venue for stacks, so ownership should be relatively low.

Atlanta Braves at Danny Duffy – Plenty of bats to like for this potent Braves lineup facing the lefty in Kansas City, you’ll just have to leave out a couple since they’re all so good. I may be fading the Yankees in Tampa, but I’m not worried about the Braves against a hittable pitcher in the heartland.

Cleveland Indians vs. Hector Santiago – The Indians aren’t as consistent as the Braves offensively, but they have a bunch of lefty mashers with a special affinity for Santiago. The implied run total is over 5.5, which means you should have shares of the 1-5 bats along with some exposure to Franmil Reyes and Jordan Luplow. I might take a wait-and-see approach with Jose Ramirez, who’s set to be activated from the IL.

Oakland Athletics at Dillon Peters – The A’s aren’t as good against LHPs (.305 team wOBA), but it’s a viable contrarian stack to consider for 9/24 DFS. The implied total is also over 5.5 runs and seems a bit high — so tread lightly with this bunch.

9/24 DFS Hitting Catcher

Christian Vazquez, BOS at TEX

DK ($4,600) FD($3,200)

Vazquez got a day off yesterday against the Rays, but he should beback in the lineup Tuesday in Texas. He’s got 3 homers in his last seven gamesand his overall numbers in 2019 have been impressive: .273/.316/.472 with 22 HRs.Digging a little deeper, we find a .232 road ISO, with 14 of his dingers comingaway from Fenway Park.

9/24 DFS Hitting First Baseman

Carlos Santana, CLE at DET

DK (4,900) FD ($4,000)

Santana is having a career year, and I’m plugging him into most ofmy GPP builds against Hector Santiago. Hisseason slash sits at .288/.403/.529 with a 139 wRC+ and he’s destroying LHPsthis season (1.015 OPS, 162 wRC+ and .421 wOBA). There are many ways to go at1B on this slate, but Santana is my bet for a monster game.

9/24 DFS Hitting Second Baseman

Cavan Biggio, TOR at BAL

DK ($4,900) FD ($3,700)

Did you expect me to play some other than Biggio? He hit anotherbomb last night and has ben raking every time I use him in GPPs – from lastTuesday’s cycle and Thursday’s home run to helping me spike some decent cashesin last night’s Rally contests on FanDuel. He’s way too cheap on that site andhis price tag on DK should keep him from being chalk – especially with so manyhigh-priced arms.

9/24 DFS Hitting Third Baseman

Manny Machado, SD vs. LAD (3B/SS on DK)

(DK $3,700) FD($3,000)

It’s been a disappointing season for Machado, but he’d like to endit with some standout performances against his old team, the Dodgers. I lovethe matchup against LHP Rich Hill since Machado – with some really pronouncedsplits this season – hits .314/.401/.683 against southpaws. The price is rightfor Machado, and using him as a one-off or with OF Hunter Renfroe ($4,000 onDK, $3,100 on FD) – who’s another viable Padres power hitter with a 132 wRC+against LHPs – makes a lot of sense if you’re trying to find some value and buildingmultiple lineups.

9/24 DFS Hitting Shortstop

Corey Seager, LAD at SD

DK ($4,700) FD($3,800)

Seger is finally hitting his groove as we near the postseason, andnow is a great time to plug him in at SS in the 9/24 DFS main slate. He’s got a123 wRC+ against RHPs and has a .381 WOBA and .314 ISO sine the start of September.There’s no time like the present, and presently, Corey Seager is raking.

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9/24 DFS Hitting Outfielders

Cody Bellinger, LOS at SD (1B/OF on DK)

DK ($4,800) FD($3,200)

Cody might just ring that bell again on Tuesday night against “BadRonald” Bolanos, who’s given up three homers in 14 innings. Bellinger’s 166wRC+ and ridiculous .314/.414/.641 slash line vs. RHPs means he’ll be in all thelineups I can afford him in, regardless of the venue and the fact he’s on the road(149 wRC+ in away games this season).

Ronald Acuna, Jr., ATL at KC

DK ($5,300) FD ($4,400)

He makes for a fine one-off if you’re not using the Braves stack, and he’s putting up obscene numbers against both LHPs and RHPs. Another interesting stat about Acuna is that he’s slashing a robust .281/.370/.510 with a 125 wRC+ at home and .279/.361/.527 with a 128 wRC+on the road. There’s not a day that I don’t consider him, even against the league’s top pitchers and regardless of the lofty price tag.

Austin Hays, BAL at TOR
DK ($3,800) FD ($2,700)

Hays had a monster night in Toronto on Monday and he’s once again in a good spot facing a lefty. The 24-year-old slugger is slashing .302/.362/.535 in the 15 games he’s played in the majors, and he’s still very inexpensive on both sites. If he’s in the Orioles lineup on Tuesday, I’ll be grabbing shares.

9/24 DFS Additional Stack Options:

C: Wilson Contreras ($4,400 DK, $3,200 FD), Sean Murphy ($4,000DK, $3,100 FD)

1B: Anthony Rizzo ($4,900 DK, $4,100 FD), Trey Mancini ($4,700 DK,$3,900 FD)

2B: Jose Altuve ($4,700 DK, $4,200 FD), DJ LeMahieu ($5,000 DK)($4,200 FD – 3B)

3B: Gio Urshela ($4,100 DK, $3,000 FD) Vladimir Guerrero Jr, ($3,800DK, $3,200 FD)

SS: Francisco Lindor ($5,400 DK, $4,300 FD), Nico Hoerner ($3,700DK, $3,000 FD)

OF: Anthony Santander ($4,000 DK, $3,400 FD), Brett Gardner ($4,500DK, $3,500 FD), Randal Grichuk ($4,100 DK, $3,000 FD), Ramon Laureano GPP($3,100 FD), Austin Riley GPP ($2,200 FD), Adam Duvall GPP ($2,400 FD)

6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

9/16 MLB DFS Pitching and Prop Picks

6 years ago

written by

This 9/16 MLB DFS slate is small but extremely appetizing. Any time we have an implied total of 13.5 runs in any MLB game it becomes a clear indicator of where all the ownership is going to be directed. The problem is, we also have some excellent SP1 options tonight. So, with the new Sect LP playing in the background, I bring you today’s pitching picks.

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On theDefense

Salary is a huge issue on this 9/16 MLB DFS slate, we haveseveral top priced starters with little in the way of mid-tier value. This isgoing to make stacking Coors Field tough unless you take some serious chances.

StephenStrasburg vs. St. Louis Cardinals

$10,400 FD / $11,800 DK

There is little question that Strasburg is the top pitchingoption for this 9/16 MLB DFS slate. The Cardinals are striking out 22.5 percentof the time versus RHPs with a wOBA of .313. The last time “The Stras” faced St.Louis he had nine strikeouts over 6 2/3 innings while allowing one earned run.If you are going to spend tonight, here is where to look for the highest Kupside.

JoseBerrios vs. Chicago White Sox

$8,500 FD / $10,200 DK

At times I am baffled with the price differences between thesites on this 9/16 MLB DFS slate. For $8,500 tonight on FD Berrios is a highupside option at a bargain price. On DK I have to say “No way Jose” outside oflarge field GPPs. Regardless, the White Sox are striking out 25.7 percent ofthe time versus RHPs with a low .312 wOBA. This season Berrios is 3-1 versusthe Sox with a 3.00 ERA and 25 strikeouts over 27 innings. Love the matchup,hate he is not cheaper on DK.

DakotaHudson vs. Washington Nationals

$8,600 FD / $8,100 DK

Sniffing out the third pitching option on this 9/16 MLB DFSslate was like threading a needle with fat fingers. Although I do like TannerRoark versus the Royals, that $9,300 price tag on DK scared me away. Robbie Rayseemed like another option with great numbers versus Miami, like everyone else.But that blister issue is one where it seems prudent to hold back the cash fora start while we wait and see. Remember Rich Hill’s blister?

The clear choice seems to be Hudson. On FD I prefer Berrios, but on DK here is your best SP2 option at the price. The Nationals are 10^th in MLB in wOBA versus RHPs, and on the lower side of the strikeout world at 21.2 percent. Hudson, however, did strike out seven while only allowing one earned run over six innings in his only start facing the Nats this season. On a tricky 9/16 MLB DFS slate he is the shining star in a SP2 galaxy of dead planets.

Boom orBust

One possible matchup stands out to me on this 9/16 MLB DFS slate for an uber cheap SP2 option. The problem, of course, is he has serious potential to sink you as well. If you are not among the faint of heart this is for you.

PabloLopez vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

$6,700 FD / $5,500 DK

If you are playing on FD on this 9/16 MLB DFS slate, you are better served spending up. The pricing is reasonable, and you can still fit some great bats in without taking this risk. On DK, it is a different world. The Diamondbacks are striking out at a lower 21.3 percent of the time facing RHPs with a low .306 wOBA. Over the last seven days they are batting a pathetic .167 with a wRC+ of 26. If memory serves me that is about the lowest wRC+ I can remember. Attacking a slumping team with a sub-par pitcher sometimes is like hitting the DFS jackpot, or the toilet.

Name	Team	W	L	K/9	BB/9	HR/9	GB%	HR/FB	ERA	xFIP
Stephen Strasburg	Nationals	17	6	10.79	2.31	1.04	50.10%	15.60%	3.49	3.2
Jose Berrios	Twins	12	8	8.6	2.29	1.19	42.10%	12.10%	3.63	4.38
Dakota Hudson	Cardinals	15	7	6.93	4.23	1.18	57.20%	21.20%	3.38	4.49
Pablo Lopez	Marlins	5	8	7.97	2.16	1.31	46.60%	15.90%	4.97	4.24

On theAttack

On this small 9/16 MLB DFS slate the attack options arequite limited with the volume of positive pitching matchups. The Mets / Rockiesgame is where the DFS world is looking so why not look elsewhere?

KevinGausman vs. Chicago Cubs

There is a bit of confusion here as to whether it is Sonny Gray, or Kevin Gausman starting tonight. The latest report I have is Gausman. Lucky for us the pricing is still adjusted to Gray. This means all the Cubs bats are discounted facing a pitcher with a 6.28 road ERA against one of the best hitting teams in baseball. On this 9/16 MLB DFS slate attack this with everything you got.

ChicagoCubs vs. RHPs

Name	PA	BB%	K%	SB	OBP	SLG	OPS	wOBA	wRC+
Nico Hoerner	26	11.50%	11.50%	0	0.423	0.565	0.988	0.402	149
Anthony Rizzo	443	12.40%	14.20%	4	0.413	0.541	0.954	0.4	147
Kris Bryant	477	9.90%	22.40%	3	0.375	0.516	0.891	0.375	131
Willson Contreras	290	9.70%	24.80%	1	0.359	0.528	0.886	0.368	127
Jason Heyward	440	12.50%	17.50%	8	0.37	0.488	0.859	0.359	121
David Bote	251	13.50%	24.70%	3	0.386	0.458	0.844	0.358	119
Victor Caratini	197	10.20%	22.30%	1	0.355	0.48	0.835	0.351	115
Kyle Schwarber	447	11.60%	25.10%	2	0.329	0.522	0.851	0.348	113
Nicholas Castellanos	505	5.50%	24.40%	2	0.321	0.49	0.811	0.338	108
Javier Baez	448	4.50%	27.90%	3	0.308	0.512	0.82	0.337	106
Robel Garcia	51	5.90%	39.20%	0	0.275	0.511	0.785	0.317	93
Ben Zobrist	109	11.00%	13.80%	0	0.358	0.347	0.705	0.311	89
Ian Happ	90	11.10%	22.20%	2	0.3	0.43	0.73	0.308	87
Jonathan Lucroy	215	9.30%	14.40%	0	0.33	0.378	0.708	0.308	91
Albert Almora Jr.	241	4.10%	16.20%	2	0.284	0.442	0.726	0.299	81

ColeHames vs. Cincinnati Reds

Cole Hamels was lit up in his only start this season facing the Reds allowing five earned runs over four innings. With cheap bats in need on this 9/16 MLB DFS slate there is a bevy of value to be found here on both sites tonight.

Cincinnati Reds vs. LHPs

Name	PA	BB%	K%	BB/K	SB	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	wOBA	wRC+
Phillip Ervin	84	7.10%	20.20%	0.35	0	0.405	0.662	1.067	0.312	0.436	168
Aristides Aquino	43	7.00%	32.60%	0.21	1	0.372	0.667	1.039	0.359	0.423	160
Eugenio Suarez	143	17.50%	30.80%	0.57	2	0.406	0.574	0.98	0.296	0.401	145
Alex Blandino	24	25.00%	20.80%	1.2	0	0.417	0.278	0.694	0.056	0.332	101
Curt Casali	88	10.20%	19.30%	0.53	0	0.33	0.429	0.758	0.169	0.321	93
Freddy Galvis	183	1.60%	20.80%	0.08	2	0.295	0.422	0.717	0.139	0.302	85
Jose Peraza	100	7.00%	12.00%	0.58	2	0.32	0.376	0.696	0.108	0.3	80
Jose Iglesias	119	4.20%	10.10%	0.42	0	0.311	0.389	0.7	0.115	0.3	79
Joey Votto	163	11.00%	23.90%	0.46	2	0.344	0.322	0.665	0.07	0.299	79
Josh VanMeter	26	11.50%	30.80%	0.38	1	0.269	0.227	0.497	0.091	0.234	37
Derek Dietrich	25	0.00%	36.00%	0	0	0.24	0.217	0.457	0.043	0.211	21
Tucker Barnhart	49	12.20%	26.50%	0.46	1	0.245	0.163	0.408	0.023	0.188	6

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Monkey Knife Fight Prop Pick

With no interest in either sides of the plate tonight and two starting pitchers both capable of easily reaching these totals I am going with the over on both.

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6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

9/16 MLB DFS Winners

Vincent Pensabene 6 years ago

written by Vincent Pensabene

A flashback at some of the best performances from the Sunday slate plus their outlooks for the remainder of the season on the 9/16 MLB DFS review and look ahead.

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9/16 MLB DFS Winner: Anibal Sanchez

Anibal Sanchez was able to provide value for any DFS player that added him as their pitcher. Against the division-rival Atlanta Braves, Sanchez went seven shutout innings while only allowing three hits and a walk. He also added three strikeouts.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Sanchez could get postseason starts depending on how the Nationals want to line up their rotation and if they could advance out of the Wild Card round. More of a question mark is his 1.29 WHIP, but he could be a long man on a playoff roster if need be. Expect two more starts out of him and for Sanchez to throw a good amount of innings.

9/16 MLB DFS Winner: Howie Kendrick

The Washington Nationals were able to avoid being swept. Howie Kendrick was a big part of the reason the Nats were able to win the final game of the series vs. Atlanta as he went 3-for-4 with a home run, three RBI and two runs scored

Outlook for the rest of the season: In about a half season of at-bats from Howie Kendrick, he is producing very well. He is now at .336 with 15 home runs and 60 RBI. Almost as important as his numbers, he provides veteran leadership to a Nationals team where early postseason exits seem to be common. Expect Kendrick to produce well in his at-bats for the final stretch of the season and beyond.

9/16 MLB DFS Winner: Wellington Castillo

In a battle of two teams trying to see what they have going into 2020, the Chicago White Sox travelled to Seattle to play the Mariners, Wellington Castillo had a solid day at the plate, going 1-for-3 with a grand slam and a sacrifice fly.

Outlook for the rest of the season: This has not been a very good year for Castillo, as he is batting just .204 in 211 at-bats. Someone should remind him how the balls are juiced this season as he has a swing that could produce more home runs than just the 10 he sits at. Expect Castillo to play a decent amount of the remaining games and try to figure something out offensively, as he could be a free agent at the end of the year.

9/16 MLB DFS Winner: Chicago Cubs Offense

The Chicago Cubs dominated at Wrigley Field last night against the division-rival Pittsburgh Pirates, scoring 16 runs on 19 hits with three walks and reaching on an error. The production was evenly spread across the lineup but Kris Bryant went 3-for-5 with a pair of home runs.

Outlook for the rest of the season: At the time of this writing, the Cubs are sitting in the second Wild Card spot and are just two games behind the Cardinals in the N.L. Central. The Cubs have the sixth-lowest team ERA with a 4.04. The offense also scores 5.11 runs per game. Expect the Cubs to continue their winning ways and make the postseason as it would be a huge disappointment if they fail.

6 years ago 0 comments

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Chicago Cubs

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Eduardo Rodriguez vs. Kansas City Royals

Kent Maeda vs. Seattle Mariners

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Atlanta Braves vs. Ryne Nelson

New York Mets vs. Touki Toussaint

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Nick Pivetta vs. Oakland Athletics

Logan Webb vs. Cincinnati Reds

Logan Gilbert vs. Minnesota Twins

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Los Angeles Angels vs. Luis Severino

Chicago Cubs vs. MacKenzie Gore

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Zac Gallen vs. Miami Marlins

Dylan Cease vs. Kansas City Royals

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

New York Yankees vs. JP Sears

Chicago Cubs vs. Miles Mikolas

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Shohei Ohtani vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Louie Varland vs. Chicago White Sox

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Baltimore Orioles vs. Zack Greinke

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Bryce Elder vs. Miami Marlins

Steven Matz vs. San Francisco Giants

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Roansy Contreras

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MLB DFS Summary

MLB DFS: The “Aces”

MLB DFS: The Bats

MLB DFS Aces and Bases Wrap Up

Monkey Knife Fight Prop Pick – Play These Picks Now and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

9/24 DFS Hitting Stacks of the Day

Red Sox at Edinson Vólquez/Ariel Jurado

Houston Astros at Justin Dunn/Tommy Milone

TorontoBlue Jays at Dylan Bundy

9/24 DFS Hitting Stacks to Consider

9/24 DFS Hitting Catcher

Christian Vazquez, BOS at TEX

DK ($4,600) FD($3,200)

9/24 DFS Hitting First Baseman

Carlos Santana, CLE at DET

DK (4,900) FD ($4,000)

9/24 DFS Hitting Second Baseman

Cavan Biggio, TOR at BAL

DK ($4,900) FD ($3,700)

9/24 DFS Hitting Third Baseman

Manny Machado, SD vs. LAD (3B/SS on DK)

(DK $3,700) FD($3,000)

9/24 DFS Hitting Shortstop

Corey Seager, LAD at SD

DK ($4,700) FD($3,800)

9/24 DFS Hitting Outfielders

Cody Bellinger, LOS at SD (1B/OF on DK)

DK ($4,800) FD($3,200)

Ronald Acuna, Jr., ATL at KC

DK ($5,300) FD ($4,400)

Austin Hays, BAL at TORDK ($3,800) FD ($2,700)

9/24 DFS Additional Stack Options:

9/16 MLB DFS Winner: Anibal Sanchez

9/16 MLB DFS Winner: Howie Kendrick

9/16 MLB DFS Winner: Wellington Castillo

9/16 MLB DFS Winner: Chicago Cubs Offense

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Austin Hays, BAL at TOR
DK ($3,800) FD ($2,700)

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