9/16 MLB DFS Pitching and Prop Picks

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This 9/16 MLB DFS slate is small but extremely appetizing. Any time we have an implied total of 13.5 runs in any MLB game it becomes a clear indicator of where all the ownership is going to be directed. The problem is, we also have some excellent SP1 options tonight. So, with the new Sect LP playing in the background, I bring you today’s pitching picks.

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On theDefense

Salary is a huge issue on this 9/16 MLB DFS slate, we haveseveral top priced starters with little in the way of mid-tier value. This isgoing to make stacking Coors Field tough unless you take some serious chances.

StephenStrasburg vs. St. Louis Cardinals

$10,400 FD / $11,800 DK

There is little question that Strasburg is the top pitchingoption for this 9/16 MLB DFS slate. The Cardinals are striking out 22.5 percentof the time versus RHPs with a wOBA of .313. The last time “The Stras” faced St.Louis he had nine strikeouts over 6 2/3 innings while allowing one earned run.If you are going to spend tonight, here is where to look for the highest Kupside.

JoseBerrios vs. Chicago White Sox

$8,500 FD / $10,200 DK

At times I am baffled with the price differences between thesites on this 9/16 MLB DFS slate. For $8,500 tonight on FD Berrios is a highupside option at a bargain price. On DK I have to say “No way Jose” outside oflarge field GPPs. Regardless, the White Sox are striking out 25.7 percent ofthe time versus RHPs with a low .312 wOBA. This season Berrios is 3-1 versusthe Sox with a 3.00 ERA and 25 strikeouts over 27 innings. Love the matchup,hate he is not cheaper on DK.

DakotaHudson vs. Washington Nationals

$8,600 FD / $8,100 DK

Sniffing out the third pitching option on this 9/16 MLB DFSslate was like threading a needle with fat fingers. Although I do like TannerRoark versus the Royals, that $9,300 price tag on DK scared me away. Robbie Rayseemed like another option with great numbers versus Miami, like everyone else.But that blister issue is one where it seems prudent to hold back the cash fora start while we wait and see. Remember Rich Hill’s blister?

The clear choice seems to be Hudson. On FD I prefer Berrios, but on DK here is your best SP2 option at the price. The Nationals are 10^th in MLB in wOBA versus RHPs, and on the lower side of the strikeout world at 21.2 percent. Hudson, however, did strike out seven while only allowing one earned run over six innings in his only start facing the Nats this season. On a tricky 9/16 MLB DFS slate he is the shining star in a SP2 galaxy of dead planets.

Boom orBust

One possible matchup stands out to me on this 9/16 MLB DFS slate for an uber cheap SP2 option. The problem, of course, is he has serious potential to sink you as well. If you are not among the faint of heart this is for you.

PabloLopez vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

$6,700 FD / $5,500 DK

If you are playing on FD on this 9/16 MLB DFS slate, you are better served spending up. The pricing is reasonable, and you can still fit some great bats in without taking this risk. On DK, it is a different world. The Diamondbacks are striking out at a lower 21.3 percent of the time facing RHPs with a low .306 wOBA. Over the last seven days they are batting a pathetic .167 with a wRC+ of 26. If memory serves me that is about the lowest wRC+ I can remember. Attacking a slumping team with a sub-par pitcher sometimes is like hitting the DFS jackpot, or the toilet.

Name	Team	W	L	K/9	BB/9	HR/9	GB%	HR/FB	ERA	xFIP
Stephen Strasburg	Nationals	17	6	10.79	2.31	1.04	50.10%	15.60%	3.49	3.2
Jose Berrios	Twins	12	8	8.6	2.29	1.19	42.10%	12.10%	3.63	4.38
Dakota Hudson	Cardinals	15	7	6.93	4.23	1.18	57.20%	21.20%	3.38	4.49
Pablo Lopez	Marlins	5	8	7.97	2.16	1.31	46.60%	15.90%	4.97	4.24

On theAttack

On this small 9/16 MLB DFS slate the attack options arequite limited with the volume of positive pitching matchups. The Mets / Rockiesgame is where the DFS world is looking so why not look elsewhere?

KevinGausman vs. Chicago Cubs

There is a bit of confusion here as to whether it is Sonny Gray, or Kevin Gausman starting tonight. The latest report I have is Gausman. Lucky for us the pricing is still adjusted to Gray. This means all the Cubs bats are discounted facing a pitcher with a 6.28 road ERA against one of the best hitting teams in baseball. On this 9/16 MLB DFS slate attack this with everything you got.

ChicagoCubs vs. RHPs

Name	PA	BB%	K%	SB	OBP	SLG	OPS	wOBA	wRC+
Nico Hoerner	26	11.50%	11.50%	0	0.423	0.565	0.988	0.402	149
Anthony Rizzo	443	12.40%	14.20%	4	0.413	0.541	0.954	0.4	147
Kris Bryant	477	9.90%	22.40%	3	0.375	0.516	0.891	0.375	131
Willson Contreras	290	9.70%	24.80%	1	0.359	0.528	0.886	0.368	127
Jason Heyward	440	12.50%	17.50%	8	0.37	0.488	0.859	0.359	121
David Bote	251	13.50%	24.70%	3	0.386	0.458	0.844	0.358	119
Victor Caratini	197	10.20%	22.30%	1	0.355	0.48	0.835	0.351	115
Kyle Schwarber	447	11.60%	25.10%	2	0.329	0.522	0.851	0.348	113
Nicholas Castellanos	505	5.50%	24.40%	2	0.321	0.49	0.811	0.338	108
Javier Baez	448	4.50%	27.90%	3	0.308	0.512	0.82	0.337	106
Robel Garcia	51	5.90%	39.20%	0	0.275	0.511	0.785	0.317	93
Ben Zobrist	109	11.00%	13.80%	0	0.358	0.347	0.705	0.311	89
Ian Happ	90	11.10%	22.20%	2	0.3	0.43	0.73	0.308	87
Jonathan Lucroy	215	9.30%	14.40%	0	0.33	0.378	0.708	0.308	91
Albert Almora Jr.	241	4.10%	16.20%	2	0.284	0.442	0.726	0.299	81

ColeHames vs. Cincinnati Reds

Cole Hamels was lit up in his only start this season facing the Reds allowing five earned runs over four innings. With cheap bats in need on this 9/16 MLB DFS slate there is a bevy of value to be found here on both sites tonight.

Cincinnati Reds vs. LHPs

Name	PA	BB%	K%	BB/K	SB	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	wOBA	wRC+
Phillip Ervin	84	7.10%	20.20%	0.35	0	0.405	0.662	1.067	0.312	0.436	168
Aristides Aquino	43	7.00%	32.60%	0.21	1	0.372	0.667	1.039	0.359	0.423	160
Eugenio Suarez	143	17.50%	30.80%	0.57	2	0.406	0.574	0.98	0.296	0.401	145
Alex Blandino	24	25.00%	20.80%	1.2	0	0.417	0.278	0.694	0.056	0.332	101
Curt Casali	88	10.20%	19.30%	0.53	0	0.33	0.429	0.758	0.169	0.321	93
Freddy Galvis	183	1.60%	20.80%	0.08	2	0.295	0.422	0.717	0.139	0.302	85
Jose Peraza	100	7.00%	12.00%	0.58	2	0.32	0.376	0.696	0.108	0.3	80
Jose Iglesias	119	4.20%	10.10%	0.42	0	0.311	0.389	0.7	0.115	0.3	79
Joey Votto	163	11.00%	23.90%	0.46	2	0.344	0.322	0.665	0.07	0.299	79
Josh VanMeter	26	11.50%	30.80%	0.38	1	0.269	0.227	0.497	0.091	0.234	37
Derek Dietrich	25	0.00%	36.00%	0	0	0.24	0.217	0.457	0.043	0.211	21
Tucker Barnhart	49	12.20%	26.50%	0.46	1	0.245	0.163	0.408	0.023	0.188	6

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Monkey Knife Fight Prop Pick

With no interest in either sides of the plate tonight and two starting pitchers both capable of easily reaching these totals I am going with the over on both.

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