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Chase Elliott

NASCAR | Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 DFS Picks

Jacob Nelson 5 years ago

written by Jacob Nelson

FanDuel NASCAR DFS | Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 | Atlanta Motor Speedway

Join us in the #nascar Discord channel to discuss your QuikTrip 500 DFS picks. The following is intended for FanDuel GPP purposes only.

Follow Josh on Twitter at @dfs_noshame.

THE SLATE

NASCAR Cup Series returns today with the Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 at Atlanta Motor Speedway in Hampton, Georgia.

This race is 325-laps, or 500.5-miles, on this 1.54-mile track.

The optimal lineup to begin race will be Joey Logano, Chase Elliott, Clint Bowyer, Aric Almirola, and Chris Buescher.

THE PICKS | FanDuel

CHASE ELLIOTT – Elliott starts on the pole today and has been one the strongest performing drivers recently. With a victory and four top-five finishes, Elliott offers salary relief from Harvick and Kyle Busch and appears to be in a better position to dominate this race. Starting on the pole does present risk of negative place differential though, so looking for laps led and top-five finish from Chase if he is going to be rostered.

MARTIN TRUEX JR. – Truex had one of the better cars last time out at Atlanta. Starting 11th, Truex provides some place differential upside in comparison to the other top-twelve drivers and is $1,800 less than Harvick.

KEVIN HARVICK – Harvick is the highest-priced driver on this slate and the favorite to win. Starting 9th, Harvick has positive place differential potential and the ability to lead laps in this race. Harvick should garner a considerable amount of ownership today.

BRAD KESELOWSKI – Keselowski is coming off two recent victories and has six top-ten finishes this season. Starting 6th, Keselowski has the potential to lead laps and finish top-five in this race.

JIMMIE JOHNSON – Johnson does not offer the same dominator potential as the other drivers listed above, but starting 15th, and projected to finish 9th, he has the positive place differential upside at a reduced salary. Johnson feels safer than many plays available today, but he’s not a requirement in every line.

CHRISTOPHER BELL – Bell is starting 27th today, provides salary relief, and positive place differential upside. Be careful with punting on FanDuel, so outside of Custer and McDowell, avoid rostering any drivers below Bell.

Additional options: Denny Hamlin, Joey Logano, Alex Bowman, Kyle Busch, Kurt Busch, Ryan Blaney, Clint Bowyer, Aric Almirola, Tyler Reddick, Matt DiBenedetto, Cole Custer, Michael McDowell, Erik Jones, Chris Buescher, and Ricky Stenhouse Jr.

NON-LEAD LAPPERS

NOTE: Be sure to roster drivers that finish on the lead lap.

The following drivers have not finished on the lead lap during the 2020 Cup Series: Josh Bilicki, Garrett Smithley, BJ McLeod, Timmy Hill (with exception for the Supermarket Heroes 500), Joey Gase, Quinn Houff, JJ Yeley (with exception for the Fan Shield 500), Reed Sorenson, and Brennan Poole (with exception for the Daytona 500).

Timmy Hill finished 19th at the Supermarket Heroes 500, but he does not provide sufficient upside due to the unlikeliness to achieve a top-ten or top-fifteen finish.

SLATE ANALYSIS

LAST TIME OUT AT ATLANTA

The last time out at Atlanta, Brad Keselowski took the checkered flag, followed by Martin Truex Jr., Kurt Busch, Kevin Harvick, Clint Bowyer, Kyle Busch, Erik Jones, Aric Almirola, Chris Buescher, and Daniel Suarez.

Kyle Larson in the number 42 car, now driven by Matt Kenseth recorded the most laps led with 142. Harvick led 45 laps, Ryan Blaney led 41 laps, Almirola led 36 laps, Keselowski led 33 laps, Joey Logano led 22 laps, Truex led four laps, and Kurt Busch and Ricky Stenhouse Jr. each led one lap.

Larson also recorded the most fastest-laps with 54 laps. Harvick and Truex recorded 38 fastest-laps each. Keselowski recorded 28, Kyle Busch recorded 25, Logano recorded 24, Blaney recorded 17, and Almirola recorded 14.

The optimal FanDuel lineup for the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 included Keselowski, Truex, Kurt Busch, Jones, and Buescher with a total of 382.8 points. The driver’s salary ranged from $6,000 to $13,000 and left $100 salary remaining.

The optimal DraftKings lineup for the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 included Keselowski, Truex, Larson, Jones, Buescher, and David Ragan in the number 38 car. The total score was 382.25 points, the driver’s salary ranged from $5,800 to $11,100, and left #-0- salary remaining.

RECENT CUP SERIES RACES

The Cup Series has raced three times at mile-and-a-half tracks during 2020, most recently at Charlotte Motor Speedway.

The optimal lineups for the 2020 Alsco Uniforms 500 were (FD) Elliott, Hamlin, Blaney, Austin Dillon, Stenhouse Jr., and (DK) Elliott, Harvick, Logano, Blaney, Stenhouse Jr., Austin Dillon.

The optimal lineups for the 2020 Coca-Cola 600 were (FD) Elliott, Keselowski, Johnson, Blaney, Custer, and (DK) Truex, Elliott, Bowman, Blaney, Custer, McDowell.

The optimal lines for the 202 Pennzoil 400 were (FD) Logano, DiBenedetto, Austin Dillon, Stenhouse Jr., Wallace Jr., and (DK) Harvick, Logano, Stenhouse Jr., Wallace Jr., Ty Dillon.

2020 NASCAR CUP SERIES PERFORMANCE

The following drivers have taken the checkered flag during the 2020 Cup Series: Keselowski (2), Hamlin (2), Logano (2), Elliott, Harvick, and Bowman.

The following drivers have top-five finishes during the 2020 Cup Series: Harvick (5), Kyle Busch (5), Elliott (4), Keselowski (4), Hamlin (4), Blaney (3), Kurt Busch (3), Logano (2), Bowman (2), Bowyer (2), Jones (2), Johnson (2), Stenhouse Jr. (2), DiBenedetto, Austin Dillon, and Buescher.

The following drivers have top-ten finishes during the 2020 Cup Series: Harvick (8), Keselowski (6), Kurt Busch (6), Kyle Busch (5), Elliott (5), Hamlin (5), Logano (4), Jones (4), Johnson (4), Truex (4), Blaney (3), Bowyer (3), Austin Dillon (3), Almirola (3), Bowman (2), Stenhouse Jr. (2), DiBenedetto (2), Buescher (2), Byron (2), Reddick (2), Wallace (2), Bell (2), Nemechek, Custer, and Newman.

“Change your game, and change your life!” #windaily #nascardfs

RESOURCES

The starting line up is available here.
Pit stall selections are available here.
Driver rankings are available here.
Race results for the last time out at Atlanta are available here.
Loop data for the last time out at Atlanta is available here.

5 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR DRAFTKINGS DFS: Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500

Chris Bouchard 5 years ago

written by Chris Bouchard

We move to the Atlanta Motor Speedway this week for the Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500. This is another 1.5 mile track than has held racing since 1960. Jimmie Johnson once again is the active driver who has had the most success here with 4 wins, tied with legends Richard Petty, Dales Earnhardt, and Bobby Labonte. Brad Keselowski is the only other driver with multiple wins, taking down 2 of the last three in 2017 and 2019.

Hendrick Motorsports leads all owners with 9 wins, followed closely by Joe Gibbs Racing with 7 wins in Atlanta. Neither though have won the last 3 years. Chevrolet leads with 23 wins over the 19 for Ford, but the latter has taken the last 3 races.

***Owner Wins at Atlanta Motor Raceway***

Hometown Chase Elliott hopes to improve off of his poor Truck Race effort. He is on the Pole with Aric Almirola next to him in the front row. Dominators Joey Logano, Kyle Busch, Brad Keselowski Kevin Harvick and Denny Hamlin are also in the top 10. The early race to the lead could be a big factor in who dominates and wins DFS GPP’s.

My top DFS plays at each price tier this week are listed below. I decided to just lock it in with 41 lineups and not mess with them Sunday AM.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced | DraftKings

Brad Keselowski $8,900 (This price is a bit ridiculous – Should by over $10K)
Jimmie Johnson $10,200
Kevin Harvick $11,700

NASCAR DFS Mid-Tier | DraftKings

Clint Bowyer $8,700
Ryan Blaney $8,700
Alex Bowman $9,100

NASCAR DFS Value Plays | DraftKings

Michael McDowell $5,200
Austin Dillon $6,400
Brennan Poole $4,900

Here is my Driver Usage for Sunday’s Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500.

I also like 5 plays to win the race. I like Clint Bowyer for the WIN, but the 4 other obviously are in the mix.

I am again on some plays to finish in the Top 3, Top 5 and a couple of driver match ups. 3 units on Clint Bowyer and 1 unit on all other plays.

TOP 3 PICKS: Kurt Busch +500; Clint Bowyer +750

TOP 5 PICKS: Kurt Busch +275; Clint Bowyer +375; Austin Dillon +1100

Matchups: Clint Bowyer over Erik Jones -108; Austin Dillon -130 over Ryan Newman

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE. JOIN US ON DISCORD, TOO!

Please also follow me on Twitter @CHRISBOUCHARD88

5 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR

DraftKings NASCAR DFS | Camping World 200 Picks

Joshua Moore 5 years ago

written by Joshua Moore

Join us in the #nascar Discord channel to discuss your Camping World 200 picks. The following is intended for DraftKings GPP purposes only. Follow Josh on Twitter at @dfs_noshame.

THE SLATE

The NASCAR Gander RV & Outdoors Truck Series returns today with the 12th annual Vet Tix Camping World 200 at Atlanta Motor Speedway in Hampton, Georgia.

The Truck Series race is set to drop the flag at 1:17 p.m. ET Saturday.

This race will be 130-laps or 200.2 miles on this 1.54-mile track. The stages will be 30-laps, 30-laps, and 70-laps.

THE PICKS

ROSS CHASTAIN – Chastain has the third-highest price on the slate, but starts 27th and is projected to finish 3rd, for 65 points.

CHASE ELLIOTT – Elliott is the second-highest priced driver on the slate, starts 13th, and is projected to finish 2nd for 53 points, before fastest laps and laps led.

KYLE BUSCH – Kyle is the highest-priced driver on the slate, starts 6th, and is projected to finish first for 51 points, before fastest laps and laps led.

BEN RHODES – Rhodes is $7,700, starts 8th, and is projected to finish 7th, for 38 points.

AUSTIN HILL – Hill is $7,200, starts 4th, and is projected to finish 6th, for 36 points.

TY MAJESKI – Majeski is $5,900, starts 18th, and is projected to finish 18th, for 26 points.

Additional options: John Hunter Nemechek, Stewart Friesen, Johnny Sauter, Matt Crafton, Sheldon Creed, Brennan Poole, and Austin Self.

“Change your game, and change your life!” #windaily #nascardfs

RESOURCES

Starting lineup for the race is available here.
Truck Series driver rankings are available here.
Video from the last race is available here.
Race results from the last race are available here.
Loop data from the last race is available here.
Video from the last time out at Atlanta is available here.
Race results from the last time out at Atlanta is available here.
Loop data from the last time out at Atlanta is available here.

5 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR

NASCAR DRAFTKINGS DFS: The Supermarket Heroes 500

Zak puckpicks 5 years ago

written by Zak puckpicks

NASCAR moves to the Bristol Motor Speedway tomorrow for The Supermarket Heroes 500. This half mile track has given me fits in DFS, but I have had a good run at picking the winners. This week will be very tricky on DrafKings as the pricing and starting lineup is very difficult and true to normal form. Brad Keselowski will be on the pole with Almirola at his side. The top 10 is full of drivers who can take this down and is led by Kyle Busch in the 7th spot who has won at Bristol 8 times.

***The Supermarket Heroes 500 Starting Lineup***

Joe Gibbs has dominated taking 4 of the last 5 races, and 5 of the last 9 with Toyota. Chevrolet has 3 wins in the last 10 with Jimmie Johnson winning 2 of them. Brad Keselowski and Matt Kenseth are the only other active drivers with a win in the last 10 races.

***Winners of the last 10 Food City 500 Races at Bristol***

My top DFS plays at each price tier this week are listed below. I am all about those who have had success at this track or I believe can be a dominator. My final Driver Usage will be posted on Twitter Sunday, but my top plays are below.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced | DraftKings

Kyle Busch $12,500
Jimmie Johnson $10,200
Brad Keselowski $9,100

NASCAR DFS Mid-Tier | DraftKings

Kurt Busch $8,300
Ryan Blaney $8,600
Matt Kenseth $8,100

NASCAR DFS Value Plays | DraftKings

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. $7,400
Christopher Bell $7,300
Aric Alirola $6,700

I also like 5 plays to win the race. I am riding Kyle Busch as my pick to win his 3rd Food City 500 in a row this week, but I do like 4 other value plays.

I am also on some plays to finish in the Top 3, Top 5, Top 10, and a couple of driver match ups. 2 units on Kyle Busch and 1 unit on all other plays.

TOP 3 PICKS: Kyle Busch +100; Brad Keselowski +300

TOP 5 PICKS: Kyle Busch -152; Brad Keselowski +170

TOP 10 PICKS: Jimmie Johnson -118, Kurt Busch -137, Ryan Blaney -180

Matchups: Kyle Busch over Chase Elliott -136; Christopher Bell over Austin Dillon +135

Please also follow me on Twitter @CHRISBOUCHARD88

5 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR

Alsco 500 NASCAR DFS | DraftKings, FanDuel

Jacob Nelson 5 years ago

written by Jacob Nelson

The following DraftKings and FanDuel Alsco 500 NASCAR DFS picks are intended for GPP purposes only. Click here to join us in the #nascar Discord channel now! Follow Josh on twitter at @dfs_noshame.

THE SLATE

The 2020 Alsco Uniforms 500 is set to drop the green flag at Charlotte Motor Speedway in Concord, North Carolina tonight.

This 500-kilometer (approximately 312-miles) race will consist of 208 laps. The stages will be 55-laps, 60-laps, and 93-laps. This race will be official after 104 laps.

The race will be rescheduled for Thursday if rain prevents the race from occurring Wednesday night.

FRONTRUNNERS

NO. 19 – MARTIN TRUEX JR. (FD-$14,000; DK-$9,400; +450) – Truex is among the three favorites to take the checkered flag at this race. Truex offers some point differential upside starting 15th and has the speed and ability to win this race and capture laps led points; he finished 6th on Sunday, with 87-laps led and 56-fastest laps.

NO. 9 – CHASE ELLIOTT (FD-$13,000; DK-$9,700; +500) – Chase was well-positioned to take the checkered flag this past Sunday when a late caution led to a second-place finish. Chase finished Sunday’s race with 38-laps led and 50-fastest laps, and took first place in last night’s Truck Series race, the North Carolina Education Lottery 200.

ADDITIONAL OPTIONS: KYLE BUSCH (FD-$13,700; DK-$10,500; +625; starts 12th), KEVIN HARVICK (FD-$12,300; DK-$9,200; +900; starts 16), DENNY HAMLIN (FD-$12,000; DK-$11,200; +1400; starts 29), JOEY LOGANO (FD-$11,000; DK-$8,900; +1000; starts 8), BRAD KESELOWSKI (FD-$11,600; DK-$10,000; +1100, starts 20).

NOTE: Be sure to include the race winner in your Alsco 500 NASCAR DFS lineup, and pass on rostering drivers that finish below their starting position.

NO. 88 – ALEX BOWMAN (FD-$12,200; DK-$8,700; +600) – Bowman led an impressive 164-laps on Sunday, and recorded 52-fastest laps. Starting 12th, Bowman dominated much of the race only to finish 19th. Bowman has the speed and ability to win and dominate this race but faces increased negative place differential risk starting second.

NO. 24 – WILLIAM BYRON (FD-$10,700; DK-$8,500; +1200) – Byron will be starting for the pole tonight after finishing 20th on Sunday with no laps led and 13-fastest laps. He is one of the best young drivers in the Cup Series but his high starting position increases the risk of a negative place differential.

CAPTURE THE UPSIDE

NO. 48 – JIMMIE JOHNSON (FD-$11,200; DK-$12,300; +1000) – Jimmie Johnson finished second on Sunday but failed the post-race tech inspection. resulting in a disqualification. Therefore, he will be starting 40th this evening. With minimal down-side risk and significant positive place differential upside, Johnson should be found in many lineups tonight. Make sure to try at least one build without Jimmie just in case he takes an early exit. Jimmie’s last Cup Series win was in June 2017.

NO. 14 – CLINT BOWYER (FD-$9,000; DK-$11,800; +6600) – Bowyer crashed hard into the wall Sunday, and therefore, will be starting 39th. Bowyer offers significant positive place differential upside and should garner ownership on both FanDuel and DraftKings. Consider getting at least one build without Bowyer just in case he decides to take another hard right turn.

ADDITIONAL OPTIONS: MATT KENSETH (FD-$7,600, DK-$8,100; +3500; starts 26th), BUBBA WALLACE (FD-$5,000; DK-$8,300; +55000; starts 38th).

SECOND-TIER STUDS

The following drivers do not have the most attractive starting positions but do have the ability to move up during the race and provide value if they do so: RYAN NEWMAN (FD-$7,000; DK-$7,500; +12500; starts 27th), KURT BUSCH (FD-$10,000; DK-$9,000; +1800; starts 14th), ERIK JONES (FD-$9,500; DK-$7,800; +1500; starts 10th), RYAN BLANEY (FD-$10,400; DK-$7,800; +1500; starts 18th), and TYLER REDDICK (FD-$8,000; DK-$7,600; +3500; starts 13th).

STARTING TOO HIGH

The following drivers may be starting a little too high and face risk of negative place differential: Reed Sorenson, Michael McDowell, John Hunter Nemechek, Cole Custer, Matt Benedetto, Austin Dillon (see note below), and Corey LaJoie.

NOTE: Austin Dillon does have the potential to finish top-6 and have a strong performance. Starting 7th increases his risk of negative place differential though.

NON-LEAD LAPPERS

The following drivers have not finished on the lead lap during the 2020 NASCAR Cup Series season: Timmy Hill, Quin Houff, Gray Gaulding, Joey Gase, Josh Bilicki, and J.J. Yeley (with exception for the Fan Shield 500).

NOTE: Avoid rostering drivers that will not finish on the lead lap.

JMO’S DRAFTKINGS FAVORITES

Chase Elliott, Martin Truex Jr., Kevin Harvick, Kyle Busch, Joey Logano, Denny Hamlin, Brad Keselowski, Kurt Busch, Matt Kenseth, Ryan Newman, Ryan Blaney, Erik Jones, Tyler Reddick, Bubba Wallace, Jimmie Johnson.

JMO’S FANDUEL FAVORITES

Chase Elliott, Martin Truex Jr., Kevin Harvick, Kyle Busch, Joey Logano, Denny Hamlin, Brad Keselowski, Kurt Busch, Matt Kenseth, Ryan Newman, Ryan Blaney, Erik Jones, Tyler Reddick, Jimmie Johnson.

NOTE: All relevant updates related to these DraftKings and FanDuel Alsco 500 NASCAR DFS picks will be posted in the #nascar-research channel prior to lock.

“CHANGE YOUR GAME AND CHANGE YOUR LIFE.” Check out windailysports.com for additional insight on NASCAR, MMA, eSports, golf, and more.

5 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR

DraftKings NASCAR DFS Picks | Toyota 500

Joshua Moore 5 years ago

written by Joshua Moore

Want to ask Josh questions about his DraftKings NASCAR DFS Picks directly? Follow him on twitter at @dfs_noshame and hop in our discord chat!

The following analysis, DraftKings NASCAR DFS Picks, is intended for DraftKings NASCAR DFS GPP purposes only (Toyota 500 at Darlington – May 20, 2020). The projections below include the official starting positions for each driver.

THE PICKS

JIMMIE JOHNSON ($9,100) – Johnson got to the front of the pack on Sunday, before crashing, and landing him in the 37th starting position for Wednesday. Johnson is projected to finish 12th, and provides significant positive place differential upside. Given the upside, it appears Johnson may be quite chalky, but go ahead and eat the chalk, and move on to your next driver selection.

WILLIAM BYRON ($8,900) – Bryon also found himself in trouble on Sunday, ending his day early, and securing the 34th start position for the Toyota 500. If Byron can remember this is not an iRace, settle in, and log some solid long-run laps – he can provide excellent positive place differential upside. Along with Johnson, Byron will most likely find his way into a lot of line ups Wednesday.

RICKY STENHOUSE JR. ($7,900) – Wrecky Ricky did not make it through the first lap before he ended up in the wall on Sunday, landing him in the 39th start position for the Toyota 500. With minimal downside risk and significant positive place differential upside, it appears Ricky could make it into a lot of lineups for this slate.

KEVIN HARVICK ($11,600) – Harvick won The Real Heroes 400 at Darlington Raceway this past Sunday, landing him in the 20th position to start the Toyota 500. Harvick had the best car on Wednesday, is the favorite to win on Sunday, provides positive place differential upside, and has the ability to lead laps. Plug Harvick in and watch him roll to a victory.

JOEY LOGANO ($9,400) – Logano has a shot at taking the checkered flag every time he fires up the engine. Logano will be starting 3rd with Ty Dillon and Ryan Preece in front of him, giving him a clear path to clean air and laps led. If Logano grabs a bunch of laps led, and finishes in the top five, he will be a great play.

KYLE BUSCH ($12,000) – Kyle Busch is the most expensive driver on the slate; starting 26th and projected to finish second, he’s well-positioned to provide positive place differential points. If you believe Kyle will lead a significant portion of laps, he’s a fine play.

ADDITIONAL OPTIONS

Alex Bowman, Kurt Busch, Erik Jones, Martin Truex Jr., Denny Hamlin, Chase Elliott, Brad Keselowski, Cole Custer, Christopher Bell, Daniel Suarez

NOTE: Be sure to check the #nascar channel in Discord for any updates regarding DraftKings NASCAR DFS!

THE PROJECTIONS

(fastest laps, laps led not included)*

NO.	DRIVER	TEAM	MANUFACTURER	SALARY_DK	START	PROJECTED_FINSIH	PROJECTED _DK_POINTS*
4	Kevin Harvick	Stewart-Haas Racing	Ford	$11,600	20	1	65
18	Kyle Busch	Joe Gibbs Racing	Toyota	$12,000	26	2	66
11	Denny Hamlin	Joe Gibbs Racing	Toyota	$10,700	16	3	54
19	Martin Truex Jr.	Joe Gibbs Racing	Toyota	$11,110	15	4	51
88	Alex Bowman	Hendrick Motorsports	Chevrolet	$10,000	19	5	53
9	Chase Elliott	Hendrick Motorsports	Chevrolet	$10,300	17	6	49
22	Joey Logano	Team Penske	Ford	$9,400	3	7	33
2	Brad Keselowski	Team Penske	Ford	$9,700	8	8	36
1	Kurt Busch	Chip Ganassi Racing	Chevrolet	$8,700	18	9	44
20	Erik Jones	Joe Gibbs Racing	Toyota	$8,500	13	10	37
24	William Byron	Hendrick Motorsports	Chevrolet	$8,900	34	11	56
48	Jimmie Johnson	Hendrick Motorsports	Chevrolet	$9,100	37	12	57
12	Ryan Blaney	Team Penske	Ford	$8,300	5	13	23
42	Matt Kenseth	Chip Ganassi Racing	Chevrolet	$7,600	11	14	27
21	Matt DiBenedetto	Wood Brothers Racing	Ford	$7,000	7	15	21
8	Tyler Reddick	Richard Childress Racing	Chevrolet	$7,700	14	16	26
10	Aric Almirola	Stewart-Haas Racing	Ford	$7,400	9	17	19
6	Ryan Newman	Roush Fenway Racing	Ford	$6,400	6	18	14
14	Clint Bowyer	Stewart-Haas Racing	Ford	$7,300	4	19	10
3	Austin Dillon	Richard Childress Racing	Chevrolet	$7,200	10	20	14
41	Cole Custer	Stewart-Haas Racing	Ford	$6,600	22	21	24
95	Christopher Bell	Leavine Family Racing	Toyota	$6,800	24	22	24
17	Chris Buescher	Roush Fenway Racing	Ford	$6,100	32	23	30
38	John Nemecheck	Front Row Motorsports	Ford	$6,200	12	24	8
96	Daniel Suarez	Gaunt Brothers Racing	Toyota	$6,100	25	25	19
47	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	JTG Daugherty Racing	Chevrolet	$7,900	39	26	31
13	Ty Dillon	Germain Racing	Chevrolet	$5,900	2	27	-8
37	Ryan Preece	JTG Daugherty Racing	Chevrolet	$5,400	1	28	-11
43	Bubba Wallace	Richard Petty Motorsports	Chevrolet	$5,700	21	29	7
34	Michael McDowell	Front Row Motorsports	Ford	$5,800	23	30	7
66	Timmy Hill	MBM Motorsports	Toyota	$4,900	33	31	15
77	Ross Chastain	Spire Motorsports	Chevrolet	tbd	29	32	9
32	Corie LaJoie	Go Fas Racing	Ford	$5,500	31	33	9
15	Brennan Poole	Premium Motorsports	Chevrolet	$4,800	27	34	3
27	Gray Gaulding	Premium Motorsports	Ford	$4,500	28	35	2
51	Joey Gase	Petty Ware Racing	Chevrolet	$4,600	30	36	2
00	Quin Houff	Starcom Racing	Chevrolet	$4,700	35	37	5
53	Garrett Smithley	Rick Ware Racing	Chevrolet	$5,200	36	38	4
78	BJ McLeod	BJ McLeod Motorsports	Chevrolet	$5,000	38	39	4

Join the Win Daily family today at https://windailysports.com/ and join our discord chat to get real-time updates for DraftKings NASCAR DSF!

5 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR

NASCAR DRAFTKINGS DFS: The Real Heroes 400

Chris Bouchard 5 years ago

written by Chris Bouchard

Finally we get back to some real NASCAR racing Sunday at Darlington Speedway. This starts a crazy good stretch of seven races is eleven days, but this comes with some negatives. There is no qualifying for this race and the starting grid was based off of owners points in 4 groupings, and a random draw. This will put the cream of the crop at front of the field and will make decisions on value plays critical.

NASCAR has been racing at Darlington since 1950 on this 1.366 mile oval. Joe Gibbs (4 wins)(Jones, Truex Jr., Kyle Busch, and Hamlin on his current team) and Toyota (5 wins)(Joe Gibbs Team plus Bell, Suarez, and Hill) have dominated at this track the last 7 races. Only Jimmie Johnson and Denny Hamlin have multiple wins at this track.

Brad Keselowski gained the pole followed by Alex Bowman in the first row. Harvick, Kyle Busch, Logano, and Hamlin are possible dominators in the top ten. I would be shocked if any drivers outside of the top ten make it into the top five without some major crash. My top three picks to possibly break the top five would be Elliott (11th), Byron (18th), and Jones (20th). I am not too thrilled with many outside of the top 20 to make up serious ground, but I would take Newman (21st), Kurt Busch (22nd), and Bell (28th) as my top three. I did have to throw in a few deep value plays just to get some diversity in my lineups, but other than McDowell (31st), T, Dillon (33rd), and Suarez (37th), I do not give many of them any hope to score decent DFS points.

***The Real Heroes 400 Top 10 Starting Grid***

My top DFS plays at each price tier this week are listed below. I am leaning on those who have had success at this track or I believe can be a dominator. Those qualifying at the rear will be avoided other than to add some diversity in case of any big crashes. My final Driver Usage will be posted on Twitter Sunday, but my top plays are below.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced | DraftKings | FanDuel |

Denny Hamlin $11,100
Joey Logano $10,100
Kyle Busch $11,600

NASCAR DFS Mid-Tier | DraftKings | FanDuel |

Erik Jones $9.200
William Byron $8,700
Kurt Busch $8,500

NASCAR DFS Value Plays | DraftKings | FanDuel |

Ryan Newman $6,500
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. $6,800
Daniel Suarez $6,200

I also like 4 plays on DraftKings Sports Book to win the race. I am riding Denny Hamlin as my pick to win this week, but I do like 3 other value plays.

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5 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR

NASCAR IS BACK – The Real Heroes 400 DFS – Darlington Raceway – 5/17/20

Joshua Moore 5 years ago

written by Joshua Moore

Want to ask Josh questions about The Real Heroes 400 DFS directly? Follow him on twitter at @dfs_noshame and hop in our discord chat!

The following NASCAR Cup Series – The Real Heroes 400 DFS – Darlington Raceway – 5/17/20 analysis is intended for FanDuel GPP purposes.

1. FRONT RUNNER – JOEY LOGANO (FD-$12,200)

Joey Logano, in the Team Penske Shell Penzoil Ford, will be starting from the 9th position on Sunday. Logano has won two of the four Cup Series races in 2020 and will be in a strong position to take the captured flag again at this track that is, too tough to tame.

Pivots: Denny Hamlin (FD-$12,500), Kyle Busch (FD-$14,000), Kevin Harvick (FD-$14,500), Alex Bowman (FD-$10,600), Brad Keselowski (FD-$12,000)

*Make sure to roster the race winner. A second driver from this category may be rostered if they will capture a significant portion of laps led.

2. CAPTURE THE UPSIDE!

Select drivers that will give you positive place differential points. Consider rostering the following:

CHASE ELLIOTT (FD-$11,700) – Elliott is starting 11th. Elliott has faced some challenges in 2020 capturing the checkered flag, but continues to be ranked third in driver/owner points.

ERIK JONES (FD-$9,800) – Jones is starting 20th. Jones won the last Cup Series race in Darlington, South Carolina (2019 Bojangles’ Southern 500 – September 1, 2019).

KURT BUSCH (FD-$9,400) – Kurt Busch is starting 22nd. Busch logged 65-fastest laps on his way to a 7th place finish last time out at Darlington.

WILLIAM BYRON (FD-$9,000) – Byron is starting 18th. Byron finished 21st last time out at Darlington, but started on the pole. The combination of Bryon and crew chief Chad Knaus, seems to make Byron a great option to capture the upside.

MARTIN TRUEX (FD-$11,500) – Truex is starting 15th. Truex may be the fifth-best driver after Logano, Busch, Hamlin, and Harvick, but has yet to see a top-10 finish in 2020. The starting position makes Truex attractive, but roster this driver with caution.

TYLER REDDICK (FD-$6,600) – Reddick, a teammate of Austin Dillon, is starting 29th. Reddick has an excellent history in the NASCAR Xfinity Series and looks to continue to excel in his rookie year as a Cup driver.

RYAN NEWMAN (FD-$7,000) – Newman is starting 21st. If nothing else, who does not want to see Newman fighting for the win on Sunday. Newman offers great upside, but roster with caution.

3. DEEP PUNTS

Look towards a balanced build this week for The Real Heroes 400, and roster drivers that will finish on the lead lap. Consider avoiding drivers Timmy Hill, Joey Gase, Quin Houff, Reed Sorenson, and Garrett Smithley that have not finished on the lead lap in a 2020 NASCAR Cup Series race.

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5 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR Daily Fantasy Sports

NASCAR DFS: FanShield 500 Analysis

Chris Bouchard 5 years ago

written by Chris Bouchard

Last Week’s NASCAR Auto Club 400 was a step in the right direction as we made a slight profit. Alex Bowman won the race with the best car. Unfortunately, much of the chalk hit, so winning any big money was difficult with a number of ties at the top. This week’s FanShield 500 at Phoenix should be a bit different, with opportunities to have some lineup diversity.

The 48th running of this race, over the 1-mile tri-oval track, will have 3 stages and 312 laps as Stage 1 is set to end at Lap 75, and Stage 2 Lap 190. Joe Gibbs Racing has dominated recently winning four of the last five Phoenix races, leading the most laps in each of the last six races (He has Hamlin, Kyle Busch, Truex Jr., and Jones this year) Many drivers have won multiple times on this surface including Kevin Harvick 9 (Five FanShield 500’s), Jimmie Johnson 4, Kyle Busch 3, and Denny Hamlin 2. Joey Logano and Kurt Busch have also won here before.

Chase Elliott shined in Friday’s practice sessions finishing 2nd early and 1st in the late session. Many drivers showed well in both finishing in the top 10 of each including William Byron, Brad Keselowski, Kyle Busch, Joey Logano, and Erik Jones.

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Chase Elliot continued his weekend dominance in Phoenix also taking down the Pole in Saturday’s qualifying. His performance is much like what Bowman did last week and is hard to ignore in DFS and Win betting. Phoenix dominator Kevin Harvick joins Elliott in the first row. Hamlin, Larson, a Blaney round out the top 5.

Last year’s winner Kyle Busch will start in 10th and will have other top drives right behind him including Logano 13th, Keselowski 14th, Jimmie Johnson 21st. Martin Truex Jr. who qualified 12th will start the race in the rear due to an engine change.

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My top DFS plays at each price tier this week are listed below. I am leaning on those who have had success at this track and showed speed in practice and qualifying. Those qualifying at the rear will be avoided as they will go down multiple laps quickly with little chance to make a top 15 run. My final Driver Usage will be posted on Twitter Sunday.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced

Kevin Harvick $11,00
Kyle Busch $12,000
Brad Keselowski $10,400

NASCAR DFS Mid-Tier

Chase Elliott $9.600
William Byron $8,300
Erik Jones $8,500

NASCAR DFS Value Plays

Christopher Bell $6,500
Kurt Busch $8,100
Bubba Wallace $6,000

I also like 6 plays on DraftKings Sports Book to win the race. I am again riding Kyle Busch as my pick to win this week, but Kevin Harvick can never be ignored.

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5 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR Daily Fantasy Sports

NASCAR DFS: DraftKings Analysis for Miami

Chris Bouchard 5 years ago

written by Chris Bouchard

Phoenix pretty much went as I thought. I was in on Chase Elliott and he crashed. He had to push it and it ended up costing him. I am just glad he went all in trying to win. We are now down to the final four and will crown a Champion on Sunday. Below is my DraftKings NASCAR DFS analysis for Miami.

***Final Four eligible for the Championship***

The creme rose to the top as these four drivers were the dominate ones this season, each winning at least 4 times. It is no surprise that they top the odds to win Sunday’s event as all 4 drivers are +325 on DraftKings.

Homestead-Miami Speedway, a 1.5-mile track, has hosted the Ford EcoBoost 400 since 1999. Only Denny Hamlin has won this race multiple times in 2009 and 2013, but each of the other three finalists also have a recent win here (Harvick 2014, Kyle Busch 2015, Martin Truex Jr. 2017) I really do not see any of them having an advantage at this point, but qualifying could change that.

A few other drivers I think have a chance to win with favorable odds include Joey Logano, last year’s winner, at 14-1, Jimmie Johnson, the 2016 winner, at 100-1, and Alex Bowman at 50-1.

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Looking at DraftKings DFS, the top 4 are reasonably priced led by Busch at $11,400 followed by Hamlin at $11,000, Harvick at $10,800, and Truex Jr. at $10,600.

Of those outside of the championship hunt, the top 3 values I see are Joey Logano at $9,800, Alex Bowman at $7,800, and Matt DiBenedetto at $7,600. I am very leery at this point of any deep value unless someone shows something in practice or qualifying. Below are my top drivers at each price point pre-qualifying.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced

Kevin Harvick $10,800
Denny Hamlin $11,100
Joey Logano $9,800

Mid-Tier

Alex Bowman $7,800
Matt DiBenedetto $7,600
Jimmie Johnson $7,900

Value Plays

Ty Dillon $6,500
Austin Dillon $7,100
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. $6,900

I will be updating my DFS picks after qualifying Saturday including my Driver usage and Optimal lineup.

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5 years ago 0 comments

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Chase Elliott

THE SLATE

THE PICKS | FanDuel

NON-LEAD LAPPERS

SLATE ANALYSIS

LAST TIME OUT AT ATLANTA

RECENT CUP SERIES RACES

2020 NASCAR CUP SERIES PERFORMANCE

RESOURCES

THE SLATE

THE PICKS

RESOURCES

THE SLATE

FRONTRUNNERS

CAPTURE THE UPSIDE

SECOND-TIER STUDS

STARTING TOO HIGH

NON-LEAD LAPPERS

THE PICKS

ADDITIONAL OPTIONS

THE PROJECTIONS

(fastest laps, laps led not included*)

1. FRONT RUNNER – JOEY LOGANO (FD-$12,200)

2. CAPTURE THE UPSIDE!

3. DEEP PUNTS

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(fastest laps, laps led not included)*

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