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Charlotte Hornets

NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 11/10

DFSGhost 3 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Despite only eight teams taking the court tonight, there is no shortage of intriguing storylines. There is plenty of star power available to us, but we’ll need value plays to get exposure to them. Luckily, five of eight teams are on back-to-backs, making this NBA slate one that can turn on a dime. It’s a Thirsty Thursday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

As mentioned above, five of eight teams are on the second half of a back-to-back. Injury reports will be interesting to monitor throughout the day. Thus, be sure to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups as the news rolls in. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

Dallas Mavericks @ Washington Wizards (+4)

Dallas Mavericks (-4)

If you are able to fit Luka Doncic into your lineups without feeling uneasy about the remaining players, do it. A leading candidate to be a MVP this year, if not soon enough, Doncic has been simply outstanding this season. Sporting a league-high 39.5% usage rate on the year, no one carries their team’s offense the way Doncic does. Last night was the first time he hadn’t scored 30 or more points through his first ten games and it took a 9-for-29 shooting performance to do so. Averaging 34.8/8.2/8.1 on 49.8% shooting, there is no stronger candidate to lead the NBA slate in scoring.

Washington Wizards (+4)

With Bradley Beal in health and safety protocols, the Wizards offense will run through Kristaps Porzingis and Kyle Kuzma. Unfortunately, with the Mavericks sitting dead last in the NBA in pace, there isn’t much appeal here. Monte Morris will form a trio with the others to log the bulk of the minutes in the starting lineup. Meanwhile, the bench unit will be led by Rui Hachimura, Will Barton, and Jordan Goodwin. With the Wizards sitting 26th in pace themselves, this is far and away the worst game environment on the slate and I won’t hesitate to fade it, outside of Luka Doncic.

Philadelphia 76ers @ Atlanta Hawks (-1.5)

Philadelphia 76ers (+1.5)

No doubt about it, Joel Embiid is the priority of the NBA slate not named Luka Doncic. Not only does he offer a sizeable advantage at a scarce position, but he is also in a premium spot. In his lone appearance without James Harden in the lineup this season, Embiid carried a lofty 37.4% usage rate while posting a 33/10/5 scoring line agains the Suns. Tonight, with the Hawks battling issues with their frontcourt, Embiid will not only aim to get Clint Capela in foul trouble, but consequently dominate Onyeka Okongwu on the inside.

Atlanta Hawks (-1.5)

With many options at the top of the pricing grid tonight, the duo of Trae Young and Dejounte Murray will likely find themselves behind the 8-ball. While Young carries a sizeable advantage in usage rate over his backcourt partner, it’s been Murray’s dominance on the glass and in the assist column that has been notable to his fantasy performances. Both have the ceiling to make this an interesting slate, but they’ll need to outscore the likes of Embiid, Lillard, and contend with Doncic. With the 76ers ranking 1st in the NBA versus opposing primary ball handlers, I’m likely out on Young, but I’ll provide an update on this offense in Discord, depending on how the slate shakes out closer to lock.

Portland Trail Blazers @ New Orleans Pelicans (-6.5)

Portland Trail Blazers (+6.5)

Missing Jusuf Nurkic (adductor), Jerami Grant (ankle), and Keon Johnson (hip) last night, the Trail Blazers’ injury report will be one to monitor leading up to lock. Additionally, Damian Lillard, Anfernee Simons, and Josh Hart were all listed as probable ahead of last night’s matchup. Should everyone be healthy and available, Damian Lillard is in a prime spot as a pivot to Luka Doncic at the top of the pricing grid. With the Pelicans sitting 24th in the NBA to opposing primary ball handlers, Dame will be able to exploit to Pelicans backcourt on the offensive side of the ball. Sporting a 32% usage rate on the season, Lillard has posted a 29/4.5/4.8 scoring line on 47.7% shooting, including nearly four 3-pointers made per game.

New Orleans Pelicans (-6.5)

With few options at the center position tongiht aside from Joel Embiid, Jonas Valanciunas is an interesting target in tournaments. Surely, should Nurkic miss a second straight game, the field will flock to Drew Eubanks. However, should Nurkic return to the lineup, that won’t be the case. Either way, Valanciunas is in an elite matchup. His minutes have been inconsistent this season, but Valanciunas is averaging a 14.4/10.3 double-double in under 25 minutes per game. With the Blazers ranking 23rd in the NBA to opposing big men, including allowing Mason Plumlee to drop 16/12/4 on them last night, the Pelicans need to utilize Valanciunas on the inside early and often.

Honorable Mention:

Charlotte Hornets @ Miami Heat (-10)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

3 years ago 0 comments

NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 11/09

DFSGhost 3 years ago

written by DFSGhost

After a day off yesterday, the majority of NBA teams are back in action tonight. While many players sat out on Monday night, most were for precautionary reasons. Now, with everyone having the day off yesterday, we’re likely to see healthy rotations tonight and consequently, a larger player pool. It’s a Wet Wednesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

With 26 of the league’s 30 teams in action tonight, the slate can change at any given time. Since everyone was off yesterday, some news has already trickled in while we await availability confirmation of some of the league’s best. Thus, be sure to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups as the news rolls in. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

Portland Trail Blazers @ Charlotte Hornets (+5)

Portland Trail Blazers (-5)

We’ll have to wait until the final injury report comes out, but there is plenty to like about the Blazers offense in this one. With four of five starters listed as probable, we’re likely to see a healthy rotation here. However, this is the NBA, and anything can change in the blink of an eye. Even with the return of Damian Lillard last game, Anfernee Simons led the team in usage with a whopping 37.3% rate. Consequently, Simons led the team in both points and field goal attempts. With Terry Rozier having a team-worst 114.8 defensive rating, Simons can be an unrostered gem for us tonight.

Charlotte Hornets (+5)

With a slightly improved Portland defense remains a constant: Jusuf Nurkic is a defensive liability. The Trail Blazers have lacked interior defense for quite some time, and this season is no different. Specifically, Portland ranks 26th in the NBA to opposing small ball centers, which bodes well for PJ Washington. Having Mason Plumlee log 30 minutes or more in only two of eleven appearances, the Hornets are quick to shift Washington to the ‘5’ and use Jalen McDaniels in favor of Plumlee. In 6 games where he has logged 30 minutes or more, Washington has scored 17 points or in five of six.

New Orleans Pelicans @ Chicago Bulls (+2)

New Orleans Pelicans (-2)

If you are looking for an under-appreciated game stack on this NBA slate, this is it. Not only are there plenty of elite offensive options here, but no one is in the upper range of the pricing grid. With Zach Lavine presumably making his return, I’m looking at his matchup on the other side of the ball in Brandon Ingram. Since returning to the lineup, Ingram leads the team in usage rate at 28.4%. In those three games, Ingram has also led the team in minutes, scoring, assists, and field goal attempts. With a 7’3″ wingspan, Ingram has a notable advantage over Lavine off the ball and will be relied upon to create offense consistently.

Chicago Bulls (+2)

There are different ways to get exposure to this offense tonight. Firstly, Nikola Vucevic gets a favorable matchup with the Pelicans ranking 21st in the NBA in points allowed in the paint per game. As a result of Jonas Valanciunas playing less in favor of Zion Williamson at the ‘5’ and Trey Murphy III checking in to help the team’s perimeter defense, New Orleans is weaker on the inside down the stretch. Second, is none other than Zach Lavine, who we discussed above. Ideally, you want to avoid DeMar DeRozan lining up on Herbert Jones, leaving Lavine to get the switches he loves in an isolation offense to get off Ingram and onto CJ McCollum, who has a 112.8 defensive rating. Lastly, the Bulls’ bench unit of Goran Dragic, Javonte Green, and Alex Caruso will dominate the Pelicans’ bench unit, but minutes will be limited, capping their upside.

Memphis Grizzlies @ San Antonio Spurs (+6)

Memphis Grizzlies (-6)

Should Steven Adams (ankle) miss a second straight game, the Grizzlies rotation gets awfully thin. Thus, Ja Morant is in a prime spot to be a surprising contender to lead the NBA slate in scoring. With most presumably flocking to Giannis Antetokounmpo if Jrue Holiday (ankle) misses their game versus OKC, Morant will be rostered at a lower rate than he should be. Not only does the matchup against a Spurs team that ranks 26th versus primary ball handlers entice us, but the game environment does. The Spurs are shockingly 3rd in the league in pace while sitting dead last in defensive rating. This is truly an elite game environment, and Morant’s upside will be on full display. Coming into tonight with a 28.5/5.7/7.1 scoring line through a 36.2% usage rate on 47.5% shooting, including 45.7% from deep, Morant can alter this slate in a massive way.

San Antonio Spurs (+6)

Despite this being a mismatch on paper, Vegas has this game staying close. Not only do I agree because of how surprisingly good the Spurs have performed, but because of how inconsistent the Grizzlies have been. Forever known for their defense, Memphis sits 23rd in the NBA in defensive rating. Notably, the Grizzlies have been exposed in the backcourt. With Ja Morant, Desmond Bane, and Dillon Brooks all carrying defensive ratings of 114 or worse, there is plenty to like here. Both Keldon Johnson and Devin Vassell make for excellent plays on this slate. The two have the benefit of the matchups detailed above on the wing and in the backcourt, respectively. Leading the team with usages rates of 27.5% and 25.3%, respectively, Johnson and Vassell have combined for 44.5 PPG on over 32 field goal attempts per game.

Honorable Mentions:

Denver Nuggets @ Indiana Pacers (+5.5)
Utah Jazz @ Atlanta Hawks (-4)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

3 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 11/07

DFSGhost 3 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Numerous teams take the floor tonight with concerns to be addressed. Injuries are plentiful to begin the NBA season, shifting slates at the blink of an eye. Tonight, some back-to-backs are at the forefront of the player pool, while two elite game environments make for excellent pivots in tournaments. It’s a Mojito Monday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

On a large NBA slate, injury report updates are likely to be lengthly and frequent throughout the day. Thus, be sure to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups as the news rolls in. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

Houston Rockets @ Orlando Magic (-4.5)

Houston Rockets (+4.5)

The rebuilding Rockets continue to be a bargain on NBA slates. Despite the offense running through their backcourt tandem, my priority here is Alperen Sengun. Averaging over 1.3 DK points per minute, Sengun is amongst the most productive players on a per minute basis. Facing an Orlando Magic frontcourt that allows nearly 50 points in the paint per game, Sengun is far and away one of the best targets in the mid range of the pricing grid.

Orlando Magic (-4.5)

With Markelle Fultz, Cole Anthony, Gary Harris, Jonathan Isaac and Mo Wagner all on the shelf, this is one of the thinnest rotations in the NBA. Impressive is his rookie campaign thus far, Paolo Banchero leads his team with a 29.6% usage rate while posting a 22.9/8.5/3.6 scoring line on 45.8% shooting. However, his point/dollar upside is limited on such a large slate. Thus, I’ll be turning to the wings once again in Franz Wagner and/or Bol Bol. The two carry usage rates of 24.2% and 15.4% in the last five games, respectively. In that stretch, since Bol Bol has entered the starting lineup, the two have combined for 32.2 points per game. Against a Rockets team that ranks 28th in the league versus wings, the two have phenomenal matchups in an elite game environment.

Washington Wizards @ Charlotte Hornets (-3)

Washington Wizards (+3)

With the Wizards on the second half of a back-to-back, their injury report can dictate the NBA slate. Already without Bradley Beal, who is in healthy and safety protocols, the Wizards offense have one of, if not the best situation on the slate. Now, with Beal likely out for a second straight game, usage gets more condensed and there are two primary benefactors. The duo of Kristaps Porzingis and Kyle Kuzma are both in advantageous situations in their respective matchups. The former lines up on Mason Plumlee, who carries a defensive rating of 110.4, while the Hornets frontcourt collectively ranks 29th in the league versus opposing big men. Meanwhile, the latter has a favorable matchup of his own; Kelly Oubre Jr. shifts to the ‘3’ with Terry Rozier back in the lineup, while having a defensive rating of 111.2 on the season.

Charlotte Hornets (-3)

Making his return to the lineup last game after a lengthly absence, Terry Rozier picked up right where he left off. Despite the losing effort against Brooklyn, Rozier led the team in usage, minutes played, scoring, and field goal attempts. Taking 24 shots on the night, Rozier took a whopping 14 from behind the arc, shooting 37.5% from the field and 42.9% from deep. With the Wizards ranking last in the NBA in opponent three-point field goal percentage allowed, Rozier will have the green light to take as many shots as it takes to get the win and makes for an excellent pivot to a guard mentioned below.

Toronto Raptors @ Chicago Bulls (-3.5)

Toronto Raptors (+3.5)

The reason the two games above highlighted targets in the mid range of the player pool is because the field will flock in this direction. With Pascal Siakam (groin) is slated to miss the next two weeks, Fred VanVleet, OG Anunoby, and Scottie Barnes will be popular on every NBA slate featuring the Raptors. Tonight, Toronto takes on Chicago on the second half of a back-to-back, where the trio will be tasked with heavy minutes once again. There is simply no need for an explanation as to why all three are in play, but they will be some of the most rostered players in the field. Moreover, Coach Nick Nurse refuses to go deep into his rotation, whether it’s a regular season game in November or Game 7 of the NBA Finals. Thus, add Christian Koloko to the players whom will garner the interest of the field.

Chicago Bulls (-3.5)

With Zach Lavine (knee) missing last night’s game, his status for tonight will dictate interest in the Bulls roster. Truth be told, while both Nikola Vucevic and DeMar DeRozan will see increased looks on offense should Lavine sit once again, I don’t think I’ll get there on such a large NBA slate. Thus, should Lavine miss a second straight game, I’ll turn to the Chicago rotation pieces in Caruso, Green, Williams, and Dragic. Again, this is only if not only Lavine is out, but Coby White (quad) as well. Check Discord for updates.

Honorable Mentions:

Sacramento Kings @ Golden State Warriors (-7.5)
LA Lakers @ Utah Jazz (-3)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

3 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 11/02

DFSGhost 3 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Back to a full set of games on this beautiful Wednesday. Multiple teams are on back-to-backs tonight, making some scenarios particularly interesting. Additionally, some elite game environments are on this NBA slate, especially in the Western Conference. It’s a Wet Wednesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Eleven games are on tap tonight, meaning there will be plenty of injury news to follow. Some players have already been ruled out, but with multiple back-to-backs on this slate, there will be more to follow. Be sure to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups as the news rolls in. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

Charlotte Hornets @ Chicago Bulls (-5.5)

Charlotte Hornets (+5.5)

With LaMelo Ball (ankle) out and Terry Rozier (ankle) doubtful to play, the Hornets are a primary source of mid range value on tonight’s NBA slate. With the Bulls’ struggles against three-point shooting and on the wing, Kelly Oubre Jr. fits this matchup to a tee. Leading the team with a 26.7% usage rate with Rozier out of the lineup, Oubre Jr. has posted a 17.4/5.6/1.6 scoring line on 38.8% shooting. Additionally, he leads the team with 2.6 three-pointers made per contest during that stretch on nearly eight attempts per night. Should value be scarce on this NBA slate, Oubre Jr. will be a popular option in an elite game environment.

Chicago Bulls (-5.5)

On the second half of a back-to-back, the Bulls are in an elite game environment. Zach Lavine (rest) has already been ruled out for this one, meaning DeMar DeRozan and Nikola Vucevic will carry the load on offense. In three games without Lavine this season, DeRozan carries a team-high 32% usage rate. Leading the charge with a remarkable 34/4.3/5.3 scoring line on 55.4% shooting in these same three games, DeRozan has a cakewalk of a matchup versus Gordon Hayward on the wing, who carries a 113.6 defensive rating.

Memphis Grizzlies @ Portland Trail Blazers (+4)

Memphis Grizzlies (-4)

Even if Desmond Bane (ankle) returns to the lineup tonight, it’s all systems go on Ja Morant. On a large NBA slate with plenty of studs, it’s Morant who finds himself in the best matchup in the best game environment. With Damian Lillard (calf) ruled out for tonight’s contest, Morant will be lined up on Anfernee Simons, who carries a 113.5 defensive rating. Coming into tonight, Morant has averaged 33.3/4.5/6.3 on 55% shooting while carrying a 34.8% usage rate. With 20 or more points in all six games he’s played this season, including 30 or more in four of six, Morant is one of the best options at the top of the pricing grid.

Portland Trail Blazers (+4)

A ridiculed offseason had most believing the Trail Blazers were destined for the draft lottery, potentially losing Damian Lillard in the process. Now six games into their NBA season, Portland sits atop the Western Conference at 5-1 and have the second-best record in the league. Tonight, they face a Memphis team that ranks last in defensive rating. With Lillard (calf) missing this one, look for Anfernee Simons to carry the load on offense. In his lone appearance with Lillard out of the lineup, Simons dropped 30/5/7 on the Rockets, finishing second on the team with a 27.1% usage rate. While Ja Morant is a tremendous offensive talent, he ranks as one of the worst defenders in the league with a 122 defensive rating, paving the way for a backcourt of Simons and Sharpe to do significant damage.

Honorable Mentions:

Sacramento Kings @ Miami Heat (-6.5)
New Orleans Pelicans @ LA Lakers (+3.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

3 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 10/31

DFSGhost 3 years ago

written by DFSGhost

The first weeks of the NBA season have been wildly entertaining. While some teams are struggling in the early stages, others are quickly separating themselves from the pack. Tonight, the Milwaukee Bucks put their perfect record on the line, while others look to keep pace in the East. The Western Conference teams have a ton of pending injury news, but shape up to be some of the best scenarios on the slate. It’s a Mojito Monday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Despite the NBA season only being a few weeks old, injury/illness news has been altering slates. In order to keep up, be sure to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

Sacramento Kings @ Charlotte Hornets (+1)

Sacramento Kings (-1)

No longer one of the winless teams in the NBA, the Kings look to string some momentum together against a thin rotation. With LaMelo Ball out and Terry Rozier doubtful, De’Aaron Fox will see Dennis Smith Jr. on the flipside of his matchup. Sitting 20th in the league against primary ball handlers, the Hornets will look to slow Fox down, which is a daunting task. The former Kentucky Wildcat is having a tremendous season to the tune of a 27.8/7.2/5.6 scoring line on 55% shooting. Scoring 26 or more in four of five games this season, with the outlier coming against Miami’s stingy defense, Fox is in a prime spot in an elite game environment.

Charlotte Hornets (+1)

Somehow sitting at 3-3, the Hornets are doing the best they can without LaMelo Ball to start the season. With wins against the Hawks and Warriors, Charlotte can go with the best of them. With the Kings sitting 26th in the NBA in defensive rating, their weakest point comes on the wing. Surprisingly, Harrison Barnes carries a net defensive rating of 119.1 into tonight’s game, which bodes well for Kelly Oubre Jr. Leading the Hornets in usage rate over the last four games in Rozier’s absence, Oubre Jr. has posted a 17.8/6/1.5 scoring line on a mere 37.5% shooting during that span. Taking 16 or more attempts in all four games, Oubre Jr. carries a low floor, but finds himself in a situation to have a great outing should his shot be dropping.

Indiana Pacers @ Brooklyn Nets (-8)

Indiana Pacers (+8)

We talked about this game over the weekend in Discord and I’m going right back to the well. The return of Myles Turner to the lineup shifts things a bit, but Haliburton, Mathurin, and Smith remain firmly in play alongside the big man. However, I want to emphasize just how good Buddy Hield has been this season. Having a 21.5% usage rate as a spot-up shooter is impressive as is, but Hield is doing so much more than prior years on the offensive side of the ball. His 5.7 rebounds per game in the small sample size is a career high, while his shooting has been as good as ever. Sitting third in the NBA with 4.1 three pointers made per game, Hield has shot a ridiculous 44.6% from behind the arc on over nine attempts per contest.

Brooklyn Nets (-8)

It will be a recurring theme this NBA season when discussing the Nets, but there’s a handful of players that interest me on this offense, if that. Both Kyrie Irving and Kevin Durant dominate many of the looks on the offensive side of the ball, making it hard to look elsewhere. I’m certainly not forcing any exposure to this Nets team, but if you’re stacking this one, I’ll side with Durant. While he got off to a slow start last game, KD poured in 22 of his team’s 54 points in the second half. With the easiest matchup on the Nets, KD makes for an intriguing tournament play once again.

Atlanta Hawks @ Toronto Raptors (-3.5)

Atlanta Hawks (+3.5)

In order to beat Toronto’s defense, you need to be quicker than them both with the ball and off it. Players need to be in movement and the ball needs to be moved around the perimeter to the wings and corners. The Raptors excel at closing out on shooters and have great on-ball defense, making it tough for primary ball handlers to succeed. Rather, it’s the spot-up shooters and primary off-ball options who flourish in this matchup. Cue Dejounte Murray, who provides us with all around ability in this matchup. While his shooting is far from that of Trae Young, the former’s ability to rebound and dish the rock gives him a tremendous ceiling in any matchup.

Toronto Raptors (-3.5)

If you haven’t had a chance to watch Raptors basketball in recent years or this NBA season, please do. Not only are they fun to watch, but Toronto is one of the most feared teams on both sides of the basketball with their polarizing length at every position. Tonight, Pascal Siakam is the one I want to highlight. Leading the team with a 29.8% usage rate, Siakam has quietly posted a phenomenal 25.3/9.2/7.7 scoring line on 48.7% shooting. In a matchup versus the Hawks, Siakam and this Raptors offense will be a problem for their opposition’s defense in the transition game and on the inside. Seeing as though Clint Capela has yet to log over 30 minutes this season, Capela will likely be forced off the court early on in favor of Onyeka Okongwu, who has a defensive rating of 111.7 on the season, giving Siakam a favorable situation.

Honorable Mentions:

Memphis Grizzlies @ Utah Jazz (+4)
Houston Rockets @ LA Clippers (-9.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

3 years ago 0 comments

NBA

NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 10/19

DFSGhost 3 years ago

written by DFSGhost

After two thrilling games on opening night, we have our first large slate of the NBA season. New rotations and multiple players making debuts with their new teams steal the headlines, but there are also players returning from serious injuries and plenty of elite game environments to target. While the games listed in the Honorable Mentions section at the end of the article are high on my list, they will be popular. Thus, discussed are a few spots that may go overlooked in tournaments. It’s a Wet Wednesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

You will see a reoccurring message across all articles, but it’s truly imperative to success. The way NBA news rolls in unlike any other sport makes every slate different. Thus, it’s crucial to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups. Be sure to join the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need to win NBA DFS tournaments.

Washington Wizards @ Indiana Pacers (+2)

Washington Wizards (-2)

In a game that will largely go overlooked on a large NBA slate, there is offensive upside to be had. The Wizards offense will continue to run through Bradley Beal, who is expensive tonight, but his teammates are not. Kyle Kuzma is coming of a career year where he averaged 17.1/8.5/3.5 on 45.2% shooting through a 24.3% usage rate. Facing off versus a combination of poor defenders and inexperienced wings, he may not make my final lineup, but Kuzma draws intrigue in my preview.

Indiana Pacers (+2)

On the flipside of this game, get used to seeing Tyrese Haliburton listed here early and often. In 13 games for the Pacers last season, Haliburton was electric. The usage was modest at 20.2%, but he averaged an 18/10.9 double-double while also grabbing nearly five rebounds per game. Facing a Wizards perimeter defense that struggles to guard primary ball handlers, Haliburton finds himself as a key component of my NBA lineups tonight.

New Orleans Pelicans @ Brooklyn Nets (-3)

Brooklyn Nets (-3)

The pace of this one will be off the charts and both teams carry a ton of upside. Brooklyn had an offseason to remember, involving storylines surrounding their two star players, but their rotation remains intact and now has reinforcements. Should you choose to go with a 1-2 punch at the top of the pricing grid tonight from the same game, this is it. Beginning with Kevin Durant, your NBA lineups can generate upside from a back and forth in this one. Durant can score with ease, dropping nearly 30 PPG last season through a 31.1% usage rate. One of the safest players in the league to log heavy minutes nightly, Durant not only has a safe floor, but one of the highest ceilings on this slate.

New Orleans Pelicans (+3)

Making his return to an NBA floor in this one is none other than Zion Williamson. The former Duke standout missed all of last season, but is back after averaging 27/7.2/3.7 across 33 MPG in his last full campaign. In a glorious matchup versus a Nets defense that struggled mightily on the interior last season, Williamson is intriguing for tournaments, barring any minute limitations. The Nets allowed over 47 points in the paint per contest last season, and didn’t address their interior defense in the offseason. A force in the paint that averaged seven paint touches per game in his last full season, good for 10th in the NBA, Williamson makes for a good target in tournaments.

Charlotte Hornets @ San Antonio Spurs (+2)

Charlotte Hornets (-2)

Let it be known that both of these teams are tanking for Victor Wembanyama. Arguably the most hyped NBA prospect since LeBron James, if you have not seen footage of his game, I suggest going to watch it as soon as possible. Needless to say that these types of game environments will be elite for NBA DFS this year and we won’t have to wait until the later stages of the season to get exposure to them. With LaMelo Ball (ankle) not playing in the Hornets’ season opener, look for both Kelly Oubre Jr. and Terry Rozier to take all the shots they can handle. With Ball off the court last season, both Rozier and Oubre Jr. saw increases in usage and fantasy production. Rozier saw his usage rate increase from 23.4% to 25.5%, while Oubre Jr. saw an increase in usage from 22.9% to 25.9%.

San Antonio Spurs (+2)

Gone is Dejounte Murray, the former face of the Spurs franchise, as they now enter their biggest rebuild since drafting Tim Duncan. With Murray now in Atlanta, there are so many touches to go around offensively and the Spurs are in arguably the best matchup NBA DFS has to offer. Charlotte ended last season 5th in pace and 22nd in net defensive rating, struggling across multiple positions and player types. Dominating usage for the Spurs early on is Tre Jones, who will be supported by the likes of Josh Primo and Devin Vassell in the backcourt, with the duo of Keldon Johnson and Jakob Poeltl manning the frontcourt. In eleven starts last season, Jones posted a 13.5/4.6/7.5 scoring line on 48.8% shooting all on a mere 17.5% usage rate.

Honorable Mentions:

Houston Rockets @ Atlanta Hawks (-9.5)
Portland Trail Blazers @ Sacramento Kings (-2)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

3 years ago 0 comments

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Jacob’s Above Average Plays

Pick Management 5 years ago

written by Pick Management

Jacobs Above Average Plays started the week off with a bang, sweeping his plays last night! The work never stops to make sure Jacob’s Above Average Plays are always stellar and that they keep winning you money!

Take Boston Bruins (to win in regulation) -150 vs LA Kings (7:00 pm EST, Tuesday 17 December 2019)

Before we start, let me explain what a bet “to win in regulation” is. The team you choose must win in the first 60 minutes. If a game goes to overtime, we have a loser.

Boston is a way above average team when playing at home. They have won in regulation at home in all but three games this year, and they’ve been an above-average team on both ends of the ice. Their defense is dependent on the above-average goalie, Tuukka Rask. He is only allowing two goals per game, and Boston has won thirteen of his twenty starts. Having a reliable goalie like Rask is what allows the Bruins to continuously attack the other end of the ice. So far, that style of play has worked. The Bruins are 21-13 straight up in all games this year. As the home favorite, they have won twelve of eighteen games. Boston is taking on a Kings team that is one of the worst teams on the road in the league. Overall, on the road: They have won only four of eighteen games. As an underdog, they are even worse – winning only three of sixteen games. The one area the Kings shine is above average offensive shots on goal. They rank second in the NHL in shots on goal per game at thirty-four shots per game. However, most of these shots were made as they were trying to play catch up at the end of games, so I wouldn’t say they are really above average in shots on goal. Ride with Boston to win in the first sixty minutes at a much better price of -150.

Take Sacramento Kings -4.5 vs Charlotte Hornets (7:10 pm EST, Tuesday 17 December 2019) This game features two teams with wildly different outcomes in their last games. One an above-average team in the playoff hunt, the other is floundering. Sacramento went into Golden State last week and totally laid the hammer. They played above average, shooting just over 60% from the floor. However, their fast tempo led to an above-average amount of turnovers. They turned the ball over twenty-nine times in that game! They overcame that poor performance, scoring ten three-pointers out of twenty-two attempts. In Charlotte’s last game, they were blown out – I mean really blown out. Their less than impressive offense was on display in all its glory. The Hornets own the league’s 26th worst offense, only scoring 104.5 points per game. They rank 24th in rebounding, only grabbing 43.2 rebounds per game and the rank 18th in assists with 23.6 assists per game. They have no above-average scorers nor defenders, and I truly believe they are worse than people assume. A short three-game win streak made them look like an above-average team but that ended last game, providing a lower line as the public is a real victim to recency bias. Sacramento has covered the spread in fifteen of it’s last twenty games and is also 11-4 against the spread on the road. Charlotte has only won three times in their last ten games versus the Pacific Division, and I think that trend continues today. Take the Kings, playing above average, to get the road cover.

5 years ago 0 comments

Sports Betting Premium

Cash with Flash Best Bets: NHL & NBA Monday!

6 years ago

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Cash with Flash Best Bets had a terrific close to another successful week offering you the very best betting opportunities in the world of sports. A 5-2 NFL finish was just what the doctor ordered and if you played every pick offered here at Cash with Flash Best Bets last week, you would have profited around $900 dollars this week. It may not be as sexy as some, but Cash with Flash Best Bets has never had a losing week at Win Daily or anywhere else since we began handicapping full-time in late September 2018.

Not manyhandicappers can say this either and Cash with Flash Best Bets has worked very hard and continuesto do so because you deserve the best that we can offer.

The publiccontinues to get hammered in NFL wagering but Cash with Flash Best Bets, and our readers continue to profitbetting NFL games. The public lost on many of the most heavily bet and mostlopsided games of the day, which was great news for the sportsbooks. Thebiggest unpopular dog covers were the Falcons (+7.5 vs Seahawks, lost 27-20),the Broncos (+6 at Colts, lost 15-13) and the Raiders (+5.5 at Texans, lost27-24).

The houseusually wins but so far Cash with Flash Best Bets has come out ontop. The backdoor Giants cover with 1:26 left in the fourth quarter stung a bitas did Buffalo failing to win against Philadelphia, but Cash with Flash Best Bets is happy to beatthe books and cash those NFL tickets.

Bankroll Management

Can’t stress enough how important managing your bankroll is to your long-term success. I don’t know your personal financial situation or what your goals are but hopefully, you are using some type of bankroll management plan to help you reach them.

Slack Chat

Our sports betting slack chat seems to be increasing inparticipation and that’s a good thing. Our sports betting channel is availablefor our Gold and Platinum subscribers and a good way for you to get someone-on-one advice and someone is always there to help with your questions andoffer advice if needed.

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NHLTonight

There isjust a pair of games on the schedule and Cashwith Flash Best Bets suggests playing home favorite Buffalo Sabres-125 to defeat the Arizona Coyotes.

NBATonight

Eleven games on the NBA schedule tonight and Cash with Flash Best Bets have looked over the sheet and have found a couple of plays we really like tonight.

Utah Jazz-4.5 over Phoenix Suns

NewOrleans Pelicans -3 over Golden State Warriors

New YorkKnicks +1 over Chicago Bulls

PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEWARTICLES, STATISTICS, AND DATA ARE BEING ADDEDCONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE.

The opinions expressed in this article are the author’s own and donot reflect the views or opinions of Win Daily or any of the employees and/orexecutives of Win Daily. All data and information provided on this siteare for informational purposes only. Win Daily makes no representationsas to accuracy, completeness, currentness, suitability, or validity of anyinformation on this site and will not be liable for any errors, omissions, ordelays in this information or any losses, injuries, or damages arising from itsdisplay or use. All information is provided on an as-is basis.

6 years ago 0 comments

Sports Betting Premium

Cash with Flash Best Bets: NHL and NBA Friday!

6 years ago

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Cash with Flash Best Bets had another day that could have been a beautiful day end up a .500 day thanks to a couple of funny NHL games. We hit the Clippers-Warriors game and we hit the San Jose Sharks defeating the Montreal Canadians. That underdog Sharks win gave Cash with Flash Best Bets a winning Thursday night.

ThatClippers team is going to be deadly when Paul George returns. They mangled GoldenState last night and it’s going to be the rare occasion when we get a price like-1 point with the Clippers this season.

NBABetting Trends

NBAUnderdogs are 11-5 ATS this season and road teams went 3-0 last night and are10-6 ATS and we will be keeping a daily eye on this and hopefully we can takeadvantage of this somewhere down the road.

Live Odds

Understandinghow lines move and when to take advantage of a favorable line movement isparamount to success. Cashwith Flash Best Bets is published in the morning and uses the mostrecent line we must go by. Oftentimes that line doesn’t end up being the closingline. VSIN has FREE tools for you touse to watch line movements throughout the day and we hope you take advantageof this FREE tool.

BankrollManagement

If youaren’t practicing bankroll management or curious as to what that is, Cash withFlash Best Bets published a primer that hopefully answers all yourquestions and hopefully helps you set up a money management system that worksfor you.

SlackChat

Oursports betting slack chat seems to be increasing in participation and that’s agood thing. Our sports betting channel is available for our Gold and Platinumsubscribers and a good way for you to get some one-on-one advice. Usually,someone is there to help with your questions and offer advice if needed.

NHL Tonight

There aresix NHL games on the sheet and Cashwith Flash Best Bets like a pair of games tonight.

Colorado Avalanche vs Vegas Golden Knights 6:00 pm ET

Cash withFlash Best Bets: Vegas -160, Under 6.5 Goals

This matchupis at 3:00 pm Vegas time and the Canucks are ending a six-game road trip butwere able to go back to Colorado for a couple of days rest before heading toVegas. The Knights are coming off a three-game road trip and have also had acouple of days rest before this game.

ImportantTrends

Colorado is1-8 ATS when playing with three or more days rest over their last two seasonsand Vegas is 19-6 ATS in home games when playing against a team with an above.500 record in the first half of the season over their last three seasons. Intheir last six meetings, the UNDER is 4-2 over the past three seasons.

Colorado ismissing Mikko Rantanentoday and he’s a big part of what the Avalanche does and has five goals and sevenassists this season.

Cashwith Flash Best Bets suggests playing the UNDER if you can get 6.5 goals or more and wesuggest playing the Knights to defeat the Avalanche tonight.

San Jose Sharks vs Toronto MapleLeafs 7:00 pm ET

Cash with Flash Best Bets: Maple Leafs -165

This is a7:00 pm matchup and the Sharks are playing their third road game in four nightsand coming off a Thursday night underdog win over Montreal. Toronto is playing itsthird game in five nights and is hoping to end a two-game losing streak.

Maple Leafscenter John Tavaresis listed as OUT for this game as he continues to deal with a broken finger.

ImportantTrends

San Jose is16-20 ATS over its last two seasons vs non-conference opponents. Toronto is 3-1ATS and 3-1 vs San Jose over the past two seasons. Over their last two seasons,two of those four games have gone OVER the total.

Cashwith Flash Best Bets likes the more rested team and would suggest playing the Leafs todefeat the Sharks tonight. We also suggest playing the OVER in thisgame as these two teams have combined to score 34 goals and have allowed 30goals over their past five games.

NBATonight

The National Basketball Association has nine games on tap and Cash with Flash Best Bets are interested in the following NBA games.

MinnesotaTimberwolves -5.5 over Charlotte Hornets

BostonCeltics -3 over Toronto Raptors

PortlandTrail Blazers -2.5 over Sacramento Kings

PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEWARTICLES, STATISTICS, AND DATA ARE BEING ADDEDCONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE.

6 years ago 0 comments

NBA

10/23 NBA DFS Game Previews

6 years ago

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It’s an 11-game slate on the first full night of the 2019-20 NBA regular season. The 10/23 NBA DFS Game Previews offer a look at which players will be good fits for tonight’s Fantasy action.

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Chicago at Charlotte, 7:00 PM Eastern

The Bulls finished 27th in scoring last season but full seasons from SG Zach LaVine, PF Lauri Markkanen and C Wendell Carter Jr. should change that Markkanen has the best ceiling for DFS players, although Carter can emerge into a consistent 30-30 Fantasy points per game scorer. On the other hand, the Hornets may be one of the Association’s worst Fantasy-friendly teams after letting PG Kemba Walker sign with the Celtics. SF/C Cody Zeller is the only projected starter with a Player Efficiency Rating over 15 (league average) in 2018-19 (17.26). If you want in for this one, go heavy on the Bulls and let the Hornets piece things together without impacting your roster.

Detroit at Indiana, 7:00 PM Eastern

PF Blake Griffin will miss at least the first five games. Get used to the phrase “PF Blake Griffin will miss…” as he’s become more of a 60-65 games a year performer at this stage of his career. C Andre Drummond will have more scoring opportunities to go along with the copious number of rebounds he’ll grab. He’s easily the best play in DFS among the Pistons. PG Reggie Jackson is day-to-day, so look for PG Derrick Rose to either start or see significant minutes off the bench. For the Pacers, SF T.J. Warren could be the biggest beneficiary with SG/SF Victor Oladipo out until at least the All-Star Break. C Myles Turner’s per 40 rates makes him a strong player, especially with blocked shots. Domantas Sabonis comes off a career-best 21.99 PER last season and could approach 25 PER now that’s entrenched in the lineup after signing a long-term extension.

Cleveland at Orlando, 7:00 PM Eastern

Look elsewhere if counting on the Cavs for DFS help. Only the Grizzlies scored fewer points per game than the 104.5 Cleveland averaged last season. PF/C Kevin Love could be useful, yet is obviously a shell of his former self. Rookie PG Darius Garland should be the clear leader in usage for the Cavs. Beyond that, yeesh. Magic C Nikola Vucevic had career-bests in usage and PER in 2018-19. He quietly gets the job done and is the best option in the Magic lineup. PF Aaron Gordon remains more promise than reality. He’s too much of a risk to invest heavily. Gordon could be overtaken by SF/PF Jonathan Isaac, a sleeper play who will offer rebounds and blocks. D.J. Augustin opens at PG, but the progress of PG Markelle Fultz is worth monitoring.

Boston at Philadelphia, 7:30 PM

SF Jason Tatum spent the preseason adjusting to becoming the focal point of the Celtics’ offense. Expect his usage rate to take a significant hike along with his 15.7 points per game from last season. PG Kemba Walker is the new quarterback in Boston but won’t have to carry such a scoring load that he had last year with the Hornets. SF Gordon Hayward and SG Jalen Brown are DFS teases. Avoid. Obviously, PF/C Joel Embiid is the high-end option in Philly. He’ll deliver 40+ FPG on an almost nightly basis. PG Ben Simmons will also fill up a stat sheet without attempting 3s. SF Tobias Harris is sneaky good and makes for a good complement if considering a Sixers stack. Former Celts PF/C Al Horford makes his Philly debut. He won’t have the workload he did in Boston, so see how he flows through the Sixers lineup before choosing to commit him to a DFS lineup.

Memphis at Miami, 7:30 PM

Woof woof, what a dog when it comes to DFS impact. The Grizzlies had the lowest-scoring offense last year; the Heat were 26th. If you must, Memphis PF Jaren Jackson Jr. is the one Grizz with DFS appeal, although C Jonas Valanciunas will get his share of boards. New Heat SF Jimmy Butler will rebound from a disappointing 19.88 PER while getting his wish and dominate Miami’s usage rates. C Bam Adebayo was on the short list of 2019-20 breakout candidates and should get his season off to a good start. He’ll be undervalued on either DraftKings or FanDuel. Justise Winslow is projected to start at PG but will also see minutes at both SG and SF. Goran Dragic might be a pleasant surprise coming off the bench.

Minnesota at Brooklyn, 7:30 PM

C Karl-Anthony Towns has three straight seasons of at least 24.99 PER and will flirt with 30% usage this season. He’s an elite talent that’s only 23 and is durable enough to produce 45-50 FPG on a nightly basis. PF Robert Covington was a sneaky-good NBA DFS performer before injuries ended his season on New Year’s Eve. PG Jeff Teague can hand out dimes with the best of them and still get enough scoring to justify having in your lineup at an affordable rate. SF/SG Andrew Wiggins can score the ball. That’s about all he can do. It’s PG Kyrie Irving’s world in Brooklyn, so look for him to shoot at will along with getting his teammates involved. C Jarrett Allen looked like a breakout performer before the Nets signed C De’Andre Jordan, crippling the DFS value of both. SF Caris LeVert can be streaky with his shot, but his 31.2% mark from beyond the arc last season stunts his upside.

Washington at Dallas, 8:00 PM

When it comes to the Wizards, add SG Bradley Beal into your lineup and let his offense do the rest. He’ll get enough assists and steals to compliment his high scoring. Other than Beal, C Thomas Bryant is the only other starter worth considering. The Mavericks duo of SG Luka Doncic and PF Kristaps Porzingis is one of the night’s best stacks. Porzingis looked sharp at times in the preseason. Doncic is a stat stuffer who could be a nightly NBA DFS monster if he’s improved upon his 33% mark from long range. C Dwight Powell is a low-end play who can get his points without having plays called for him. SF Justin Jackson is a clip ‘n save whose minutes could lead him to being an intriguing add throughout the season.

New York at San Antonio, 8:30 PM

C Mitchell Robinson inhales rebounds and exhales blocked shots. However, if he can’t go for the opener, Bobby Portis will fill in. As a starter last season, Portis averaged 13.3 points, 9.4 rebounds and 1.5 assists while shooting 37% from 3-point range. Rookie SG R.J. Barrett is worth the watch but not ready for DFS consideration. The Spurs still go through PF/C LaMarcus Aldridge, who can still deliver high end Fantasy scoring at age 34. SG/SF DeMar DeRozan comes into this season with six straight seasons of at least 20 points per game. Count on him stretching it to seven. C Jakob Poeltl opens the season as the starter but keep an eye on Trey Lyles. The former Jazz and Nuggets PF/C has solid Per 40 numbers and could emerge as a pleasant surprise if given the chance to start.

Oklahoma City at Utah, 9:00 PM

The one certainty on the new-look Thunder is PG Chris Paul handing out 8-10 assists along with knocking down 17-20 points and getting a steal or two. SF Danilo Gallinari remained healthy last season and could score 18-22 points per night if he can avoid the injury bug. C Steven Adams will be a modest DFS value play. Utah’s best Fantasy option continues to be C Rudy Gobert, who has averaged at least 13.8 points, 10.7 rebounds and 2.3 blocked shots per game in each of the past three seasons. Gobert could flirt with a 70% field goal percentage this year. Newcomer PG Michael Conley won’t need to score as much as he did with the Grizzlies, but his offensive game is there if needed. SG Donovan Mitchell is a good NBA DFS option, yet could see his scoring production take a mild dent with the additions of Conley and PF Bojan Bogdanovic.

Denver at Portland, 10:00 PM

The most Fantasy-friendly game on the schedule. C Nikola Jokic is a legit MVP candidate and an anchor for any DFS roster. Jokic is money well spent. PG Jamaal Murray should take the next step toward stardom. He managed a 25.9% usage rate last season and should continue at that level, even as Jokic recorded a 29.4% rate. SF Will Barton and SG Gary Harris can also be useful Nuggets. You could go with Jokic and Trail Blazers PG Damian Lillard as anchors in a west coast NBA DFS lineup and not look back. C.J. McCollum is a good complement to Lillard as both should combine for 48-50 points. New C Hassan Whiteside offers blocks and rebounds for Portland to go along with enough scoring to consider adding him in a one-game stack.

Sacramento at Phoenix, 10:00 PM

This could be the most entertaining game of the night. The Kings’ backcourt of PG D’Aaron Fox and Buddy Hield is as entertaining and Fantasy-friendly a guard combo. Pair them together and watch the points (real and Fantasy) come alive. PF Marvin Bagley III is earmarked for a breakout campaign, while SF Harrison Barnes should see some Fantasy appeal. The Suns will be fun for DFS users. SG/PG Devin Booker is going to fill the stat sheet on his way to competing for the scoring title. C Deandre Ayton isn’t far off from being an elite Fantasy scorer. That happens once he continues to raise his usage rate. SF/PF Dario Saric is built for the Suns’ uptempo attack and will be a strong Fantasy contributor. SF Kelly Oubre Jr. is sneaky-good and would be part of a stack mixing the two teams.

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6 years ago 0 comments

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Charlotte Hornets

Dallas Mavericks @ Washington Wizards (+4)

Dallas Mavericks (-4)

Washington Wizards (+4)

Philadelphia 76ers @ Atlanta Hawks (-1.5)

Philadelphia 76ers (+1.5)

Atlanta Hawks (-1.5)

Portland Trail Blazers @ New Orleans Pelicans (-6.5)

Portland Trail Blazers (+6.5)

New Orleans Pelicans (-6.5)

Portland Trail Blazers @ Charlotte Hornets (+5)

Portland Trail Blazers (-5)

Charlotte Hornets (+5)

New Orleans Pelicans @ Chicago Bulls (+2)

New Orleans Pelicans (-2)

Chicago Bulls (+2)

Memphis Grizzlies @ San Antonio Spurs (+6)

Memphis Grizzlies (-6)

San Antonio Spurs (+6)

Houston Rockets @ Orlando Magic (-4.5)

Houston Rockets (+4.5)

Orlando Magic (-4.5)

Washington Wizards @ Charlotte Hornets (-3)

Washington Wizards (+3)

Charlotte Hornets (-3)

Toronto Raptors @ Chicago Bulls (-3.5)

Toronto Raptors (+3.5)

Chicago Bulls (-3.5)

Charlotte Hornets @ Chicago Bulls (-5.5)

Charlotte Hornets (+5.5)

Chicago Bulls (-5.5)

Memphis Grizzlies @ Portland Trail Blazers (+4)

Memphis Grizzlies (-4)

Portland Trail Blazers (+4)

Sacramento Kings @ Charlotte Hornets (+1)

Sacramento Kings (-1)

Charlotte Hornets (+1)

Indiana Pacers @ Brooklyn Nets (-8)

Indiana Pacers (+8)

Brooklyn Nets (-8)

Atlanta Hawks @ Toronto Raptors (-3.5)

Atlanta Hawks (+3.5)

Toronto Raptors (-3.5)

Washington Wizards @ Indiana Pacers (+2)

Washington Wizards (-2)

Indiana Pacers (+2)

New Orleans Pelicans @ Brooklyn Nets (-3)

Brooklyn Nets (-3)

New Orleans Pelicans (+3)

Charlotte Hornets @ San Antonio Spurs (+2)

Charlotte Hornets (-2)

San Antonio Spurs (+2)

Chicago at Charlotte, 7:00 PM Eastern

Detroit at Indiana, 7:00 PM Eastern

Cleveland at Orlando, 7:00 PM Eastern

Boston at Philadelphia, 7:30 PM

Memphis at Miami, 7:30 PM

Minnesota at Brooklyn, 7:30 PM

Washington at Dallas, 8:00 PM

New York at San Antonio, 8:30 PM

Oklahoma City at Utah, 9:00 PM

Denver at Portland, 10:00 PM

Sacramento at Phoenix, 10:00 PM

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